Typhoon Utor Pounds Phiippines, Heads for China

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:51 PM GMT on August 12, 2013

Share this Blog
56
+

Typhoon Utor powered ashore on the northern Philippine Island of Luzon on Monday near 3 am local time (3 pm EDT Sunday) as a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds. Damage was heavy in Casiguran (population 24,000) near where the typhoon made landfall, with 80% of the infrastructure of the town reportedly destroyed, and all roads into the city blocked. Utor is being blamed for two deaths so far, and 44 fishermen are reported as missing.


Figure 1. MODIS satellite image of Typhoon Utor taken at approximately 02:30 UTC on Monday, August 12. At the time, Utor was a Category 2 storm with 100 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Passage over Luzon disrupted the inner core of Utor, reducing the storm to Category 2 strength with winds of 100 mph. Satellite imagery shows that the typhoon is re-organizing, and a new eyewall is forming. Ocean temperatures are very warm, about 30°C (86°F), which is approximately 0.5 - 1.0°C above average. These warm waters extend to tremendous depth, giving Utor a huge source of energy to tap into. Wind shear is low, 5 - 10 knots. These favorable conditions for intensification will last until the typhoon gets midway between the Philippines and China, where wind shear will rise to the moderate range and ocean waters will cool to 29°C with a much lower heat content. I expect Utor will intensify into a Category 3 storm today, and make landfall in China as a Category 2 or 3 storm about 200 hundred miles southwest of Hong Kong about 06 UTC on Wednesday. Utor is a very wet storm, and will likely bring a large swath of 8+ inches of rain across Southeast China on Wednesday. These rains will cause dangerous flash flooding and mudslides.

Utor is a Marshallese word for squall line, and has been used for three tropical cyclones in the Western Pacific--in 2001, 2006, and 2013. Utor reached super typhoon status with 150 mph winds on Sunday, making it the strongest tropical cyclone globally so far in 2013. Earth's previous most powerful tropical cyclone of 2013 was Typhoon Soulik, which reached Category 4 strength with 145 mph winds on July 10. Soulik weakened to a Category 2 storm before hitting Taiwan on July 12.


Video 1. News video of the damage from Typhoon Utor in Casiguran in the Philippines. Utor is being called Typhoon Labuyo locally in the Philippines. Thanks to wunderground member AussieStorm for posting this in my blog comments.

The Philippines no stranger to powerful typhoons
The Philippines lie in the most tropical cyclone-prone waters on Earth, and rarely escape a year without experiencing a devastating typhoon. Usually, these storms impact the northern Philippine island of Luzon, but last year, Earth's deadliest weather disaster of 2012 occurred on the southern Philippine island of Mindanao, where Super Typhoon Bopha struck as a Category 5 super typhoon with winds of 160 mph (260 km/h), on December 3. Bopha made two additional landfalls in the Philippines, on central Visayas and on Palawan, on December 4. The typhoon left 1901 people dead, mostly on the island of Mindanao, making Bopha the 2nd deadliest typhoon in Philippine history. Bopha affected over 5.4 million people and left over 700,000 people homeless. With damages estimated at $1.7 billion, Bopha was the costliest natural disaster in Philippines history.


Figure 2. December 7, 2012: rescuers and residents look for missing victims amongst toppled tree trunks and coconut shells after flash floods caused by Super Typhoon Bopha hit Compostela Valley on Mindanao Island in the Philippines on December 3 - 4, 2012. (AP Photo/Jay Morales, Malacanang Photo Bureau, HO)

Activity possible late this week in the Gulf of Mexico
A tropical wave in the Central to Eastern Caribbean is kicking up disorganized heavy thunderstorms as it heads westwards. Wind shear is a very high 40 knots over the region, and the wave is not a threat to develop for the next two days. However, once the wave reaches the Gulf of Mexico on Saturday, some of the models are suggesting that the wave will find a region with lower wind shear, and a strong tropical disturbance capable of becoming a tropical storm could form near Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula or farther north in the Gulf of Mexico. If it penetrates far enough into the northern Gulf of Mexico, the tropical wave could interact with a stalled cold front expected to push off the Southeast U.S. coast late this week. This interaction could produce a hybrid low pressure system that might be partially tropical, and capable of bringing heavy rains to the Southeast U.S. on Saturday and Sunday. In their 8 am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave the system a 20% of developing by Saturday, and a 0% chance of developing by Wednesday.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1289 - 1239

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42Blog Index

Quoting Grothar:
I'll be off for awhile. I have to watch "Under the Gnome"


"Barface" is on for me
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


He only comes on now when there is a disaster imminent.


On the blog you mean LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Going well. Nice to see you post again!


Thank you! I wanted to come back for a while but I haven't been able to!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1286. beell
One little curiosity noted in today's 12Z and 18Z GFS operational model runs. As the initial troughing pulls out to the NE, the model wants to leave a weak low-level circulation right on the gulf coast. This feature appears to be independent of any activity farther south. This may indicate that the weakness will also be present in the low levels as this disturbance moves out into the Gulf of Mexico. If development is indeed slow to occur, a weakness in the lower troposphere would almost guarantee a system tracking more north towards the central gulf coast.


08/12 12Z GFS 850 mb heights-Valid @ 60 hrs

The model plays a bit of a peek-a-boo game with this "closed low" but is fairly consistent in a weakness extending from the gulf coast towards the N or NNE.


08/12 12Z GFS 850 mb heights-Valid @ 84 hrs

It has been a fairly common occurrence this summer to see a disturbance or inverted trough get trapped south of the ridge over the southern US and drift slowly to the west. Usually, this type of disturbance is a bit stronger and a bit deeper layered than shown here. And I've not really seen this particular setup this Spring and Summer-so a grain of salt and something to consider for a bit. But if our yet undeveloped Caribbean disturbance does manage to pass close to or through the Yucatan channel, there is a good chance that the track will shift a bit father to the west with the slowly, westward drifting 850 mb ridge weakness until a saggy, baggy upper level shortwave trough arrives over the western gulf.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1285. auburn (Mod)
Quoting 1267. 69Viking:


Under settings I have Fort Walton Beach set as my home but I still get a yellow or red banner for Denver weather across the top. There has to be a way to at least set it to my city if it can't be removed...


Click on the to change locations.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1251. Grothar:
More convection



Big Anticyclone coming to the AOI.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
Quoting 1280. Grothar:
I'll be off for awhile. I have to watch "Under the Gnome"


Watching "The Godfather".
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1281. Grothar
Quoting 1279. GeoffreyWPB:


Going well. Nice to see you post again!


He only comes on now when there is a disaster imminent.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26117
1280. Grothar
I'll be off for awhile. I have to watch "Under the Gnome"
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26117
Quoting 1274. caneswatch:


Hey! They're going great, how about for yourself?


Going well. Nice to see you post again!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1264. JrWeathermanFL:
Stupid annoying bar in the top right corner..It must think I live in Micanopy.
Since Nea's not around, I'd tell you to think of it as nothing more than a bunch of inanimate yellow pixels, totally incapable of either stupidity or genius:)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Thanks everyone, problem fixed, not sure how I missed it. Thought that would zoom me to the Denver weather for some reason, not thinking straight I guess!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1276. Levi32
I just noticed the WPC Day 5 forecast issued around 18z today has our wave heading into the western gulf. I guess, like me, they aren't completely sold on a northward track yet, either.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1270. Levi32:


Sure, the flow around the TUTT is often enhanced by significant convection to the south of the TUTT axis, as we have right now within the monsoon circulation as you noted.


;) Thanks. Shoot, that was risky business!

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Hey buddy! How are things going?


Hey! They're going great, how about for yourself?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1258. moonlightcowboy:


Yes, that's right, it's not the stj. But, the current TUTT is along the twave axis underneath Hispaniola and from the diffuence of the southern portion of the twave axis from Venezuela and northeasterly from there over the islands. The westerly flow west of that is from the diffluence associated with the monsoonal trough over south Central America and a developing ULL just north of the Yucatan as the Bermuda high builds westwards. It looks to be one element, but it's actually two elements, imnho. ;)




Follow the motion.



SFC MAP



Whew! :( Sure went out on a limb there with these two experts! And, I'm sure I'm probably wrong. Won't be the first time.


It flows nearly all the way to the Antarctic tho.....I know what you are saying and understand the Caribbean TUTT as well but I have never seen a flow all the way to the Antarctic like this that I can remember. Thanks!
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
1272. whitewabit (Mod)
Quoting 1267. 69Viking:


Under settings I have Fort Walton Beach set as my home but I still get a yellow or red banner for Denver weather across the top. There has to be a way to at least set it to my city if it can't be removed...


click on the magnifying glass in the banner and you should be able to set it for your location ..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1271. Grothar
Quoting 1267. 69Viking:


Under settings I have Fort Walton Beach set as my home but I still get a yellow or red banner for Denver weather across the top. There has to be a way to at least set it to my city if it can't be removed...


There is a little Spyglass icon next to the city. Just click on it and put in your city. It should pop up and set it properly.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26117
1270. Levi32
Quoting 1258. moonlightcowboy:


Yes, that's right, it's not the stj. But, the current TUTT is along the twave axis underneath Hispaniola and from the diffuence from the southern portion of the twave axis from Venezuela and northeasterly from there over the islands. The westerly flow west of that is from the diffluence associated with the monsoonal trough over south Central America and a developing ULL just north of the Yucatan as the Bermuda high builds westwards. It looks to be one element, but it's actually two elements, imnho. ;)



Sure, the flow around the TUTT is often enhanced by significant convection to the south of the TUTT axis, as we have right now within the monsoon circulation as you noted.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1264. JrWeathermanFL:
Stupid annoying bar in the top right corner..It must think I live in Micanopy.


I hated that bar.

Thankfully, I dont ever get any alerts in Rio De Janeiro... xD
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1268. Grothar
Quoting 1261. Chicklit:

well i did buy extra tunafish last weekend.
And I have plenty of pnut butter and jelly.
Just haven't started the generator or bought gas for it yet.
I bought extra tarps last year cuz I have an old roof.
And I'll probably need a fresh fifth of vodka (don't listen children).
Bag of apples, that sort of thing, but I don't usually get the perishables this early out.
anyway, I hope you're kidding about sleeping much of the day.



Just 4 hours in the afternoon. This way I give the blog a break, too.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26117
Quoting 1257. Grothar:


Easy, just change it to Des Moines, IA


Under settings I have Fort Walton Beach set as my home but I still get a yellow or red banner for Denver weather across the top. There has to be a way to at least set it to my city if it can't be removed...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1265. caneswatch:
Is it calm unlike yesterday?


Hey buddy! How are things going?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Is it calm unlike yesterday?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Stupid annoying bar in the top right corner..It must think I live in Micanopy.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1260. hurricanes2018:
we are going to have two tropical waves coming together and we be one big storm down the road and less dry air

I've seen them exit CV and look like they're going to do big things and then fizzle out. No telling until they get to the mid Atlantic anyway, imo.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
here we go!
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 15 Comments: 28928
Quoting 1255. Grothar:


Chicklit, you should have all that done already. You're a pro at this by now. It really does look like a few things ramping up. I spend most of my days sleeping now.

well i did buy extra tunafish last weekend.
And I have plenty of pnut butter and jelly.
Just haven't started the generator or bought gas for it yet.
I bought extra tarps last year cuz I have an old roof.
And I'll probably need a fresh fifth of vodka (don't listen children).
Bag of apples, that sort of thing, but I don't usually get the perishables this early out.
anyway, I hope you're kidding about sleeping much of the day.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
we are going to have two tropical waves coming together and we be one big storm down the road and less dry air
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 15 Comments: 28928
Quoting Envoirment:
Utor up to 95kts (1-minute sustained)

11W UTOR 130813 0000 18.5N 115.3E WPAC 95 952

He's strengthening a bit faster than forecast. He'll become a Category 3 typhoon again tomorrow. Hopefully he won't strengthen much more. It looks like he'll hit China as a high end Category 2.



Look like Utor will hit the same area

Severe Tropical Storm Rumbia (Gorio),

Severe Tropical Storm Jebi (Jolina),


Talk about a 1,2,3 punch. DANG!!

Btw, good morning all.

‘Labuyo’ stings N. Luzon; 3 dead, 54 missing

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1240. Levi32:


The TUTT flows over the Caribbean all the time. In fact, its climatological position during the summer puts the axis through the Caribbean. There's nothing unusual there.


Yes, that's right, it's not the stj. But, the current TUTT is along the twave axis underneath Hispaniola and from the diffuence of the southern portion of the twave axis from Venezuela and northeasterly from there over the islands. The westerly flow west of that is from the diffluence associated with the monsoonal trough over south Central America and a developing ULL just north of the Yucatan as the Bermuda high builds westwards. It looks to be one element, but it's actually two elements, imnho. ;)




Follow the motion.



SFC MAP



Whew! :( Sure went out on a limb there with these two experts! And, I'm sure I'm probably wrong. Won't be the first time.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1257. Grothar
Quoting 1253. 69Viking:
How do I get rid of the special weather statements for Denver banner across the top of the page? I've set my location in my profile...


Easy, just change it to Des Moines, IA
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26117
1255. Grothar
Quoting 1249. Chicklit:

Hey Gro. Am working on a government computer so not doing any extracurricular stuff these days. Evenings I visit my mother when I get home. That makes my evenings pretty short! Wowza. Agree with CaymanIslander that it feels like any thing could happen in the next weeks. Especially with the forecasters agreeing on a busy season. So this weekend will be my time to get my stuff together I guess!


Chicklit, you should have all that done already. You're a pro at this by now. It really does look like a few things ramping up. I spend most of my days sleeping now.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26117
looks like no dry air left in the Caribbean fo sho.

Next few days should be interesting to see what this wave does.
(From NHC 8 p.m. Discussion)
A DISTURBANCE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN IS NOW BEING ANALYZED AS A TROPICAL WAVE WITH AXIS EXTENDING FROM 20N70W TO 12N73W. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY SHOW THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A HIGH MOIST ENVIRONMENT S OF 18N. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE FROM 13N-18N BETWEEN 66W-78W BEING AMPLIFIED BY THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS. THIS WAVE IS ALSO SUPPORTING SIMILAR CONVECTION OVER HISPANIOLA.

adios my friends.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
How do I get rid of the special weather statements for Denver banner across the top of the page? I've set my location in my profile...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1240. Levi32:


The TUTT flows over the Caribbean all the time. In fact, its climatological position during the summer puts the axis through the Caribbean. There's nothing unusual there.


That is NOT what i'm referring too....there is a Trough stream that is goes all the down South America toward the Antarctic....NEVER seen that before....
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
1251. Grothar
More convection



Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26117
Quoting 1232. AllyBama:
Thanks Chicklit...I saw that a few minutes ago. Looks like it will stay north of me here in Mobile. That area of the state has had some pretty heavy rains recently and more rain is NOT what they need.


Yeah we estimate our hunting camp in Northern Conecuh County had 3-4 inches of rain on Saturday. A lot of the camp was a muddy swamp where typically it's dry during a normal summer.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1237. Grothar:


We've named it Blobzilla earlier. Wondered where you were.

Hey Gro. Am working on a government computer so not doing any extracurricular stuff these days. Evenings I visit my mother when I get home. That makes my evenings pretty short! Wowza. Agree with CaymanIslander that it feels like any thing could happen in the next weeks. Especially with the forecasters agreeing on a busy season. So this weekend will be my time to get my stuff together I guess!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1248. Patrap
Utor is impressive after Tearing thru Luzon, now exiting to the West.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1241. 69Viking:


Please NO! NW Florida is too water logged already, we don't need it, send it to Texas!


ROFL! Trust me if I can I will!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Utor up to 95kts (1-minute sustained)

11W UTOR 130813 0000 18.5N 115.3E WPAC 95 952

He's strengthening a bit faster than forecast. He'll become a Category 3 typhoon again tomorrow. Hopefully he won't strengthen much more. It looks like he'll hit China as a high end Category 2.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1245. auburn (Mod)
Quoting 1238. 69Viking:


Wow, some of the old regulars showing up tonight, guess we know something might possibly be brewing close to home! Good evening everyone!


Amazing..as off topic as it is...Hello everyone!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1209. IKE:

I had nearly 18 inches in July. Approaching 3 in August, so far.


IKE down along the coast we had about 23 inches in July, just amazing rains almost every other day. August has started out pretty wet too.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1243. Patrap
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1236. HurricaneAndre:
Hi Chicklit,Grothar was just talking about you,on your whereabouts.

Hi Andre. I no longer work from home, so my days are much more restricted! Looks like things are about to bust open for 2013. I know the African threats are pretty far from home, but looks like the SAL is gone, dry air will be clearing out and it is that time of the year so...will be interested to read what you all have to say about matters.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1200. AllyBama:


IKE! I am going to send you my rain! lol


Please NO! NW Florida is too water logged already, we don't need it, send it to Texas!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1240. Levi32
Quoting 1217. TampaSpin:
The link I posted above...when you view it scroll down and look at the Jet Stream going all the way down South America....Never seen that before that I can remember.


The TUTT flows over the Caribbean all the time. In fact, its climatological position during the summer puts the axis through the Caribbean. There's nothing unusual there.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1239. Patrap
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 1289 - 1239

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Mostly Cloudy
63 °F
Mostly Cloudy