Ex-Dorian Attempting a Comeback off the Florida Coast

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:44 PM GMT on August 02, 2013

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After a long trek over the Atlantic Ocean from the coast of Africa, the remains of Tropical Storm Dorian (now called Invest 91L) have finally arrived at the shores of North America. Ex-Dorian is nearly stationary, and is situated over the Northwestern Bahama Islands, just off the coast of Southeast Florida. Satellite loops and Melbourne, Florida radar images show that ex-Dorian has only a limited amount of heavy thunderstorms, which are not well-organized. There does appear to be a surface circulation center trying to form just north of the storm's heaviest thunderstorms, about 70 miles east of Vero Beach, Florida. However, dry air to the northwest, as seen on water vapor satellite loops, is inhibiting development. WInd shear is moderate, 10 - 20 knots, but is expected to rise to the high range, 20 - 30 knots, by Saturday morning. Ex-Dorian is expected to move slowly northwards and then north-northeastwards on Saturday. This motion will get ex-Dorian tangled up with a cold front that extends from Northern Florida northeastwards, just offshore from the Southeast U.S. coast. Before it merges with the front, ex-Dorian has some potential for regeneration into a tropical depression, and in their 8 am Friday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave ex-Dorian a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone by Sunday. Ex-Dorian will likely bring heavy rains to the Northwest Bahamas on Friday, and these heavy rains may also clip the coast of Southeast Florida. However, the bulk of ex-Dorian's rains should stay offshore.


Figure 1. Morning radar image of ex-Dorian from the Miami radar.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting 473. Tazmanian:



no comet moveing on
thanks taz
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Quoting 464. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
no ban just a short minute to remove


sorry mudder got caught in the crossfire you should be back already


Situations like this are reason for a join-date filter so you don't even have to see comments from people who signed up today, yesterday, the day before, etc.

An auto-hide feature. Set your filter to 0 if you want to see everything and everybody.
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Just had a wild thought folks. As Dorian has basically defied all the models and more or less done his own thing....what if the trough DOES NOT pick this up??? While in reality that question makes no sense, there has been a lot of "senseless" actions by this blob and it has not followed the "normal" models. (Long hours watching blog spin, grow, crash, spin, grow, crash has messed up my mind! LOL)
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Quoting 466. LargoFl:


Some good vorticity over the Gulf Stream, huh?
Member Since: March 19, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1147
Quoting 469. Tribucanes:



LOL Taz, love ya as a blogger, but you do see the irony there don't ya? You think this invest gonna spin up Taz?



nop 91L is done
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Quoting 468. whitewabit:


Taz .. it also is not your job .



no comet moveing on
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INVEST 91E
DATE TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION ID NAME
20130802 1200 12.0 137.6 T1.0/1.0 91E 91E
20130802 0600 12.0 136.9 T1.0/1.0 91E 91E
20130802 0000 11.9 136.2 T1.0/1.0 IN1 INVEST
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Quoting 464. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
no ban just a short minute to remove


sorry mudder got caught in the crossfire you should be back already


Sorry everyone...I was in the process of taking out the bad words, but when I tried to repost it, well...I was already banned.

No worries Keep. It's not my first ban :) You do a great job.
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Quoting 453. Tazmanian:


Pat can you plzs mine your own business and stop acting like a mod wish you are not one plzs went the mods takecare of it



LOL Taz, love ya as a blogger, but you do see the irony there don't ya? You think this invest gonna spin up Taz?
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468. whitewabit (Mod)
Quoting 465. Tazmanian:


thats a mode job too do that


Taz .. it also is not your job .
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Might not be getting that look, but it is more of the S shape one looks for than it's disheveled look early morning when it was starting to organize. And now that it's stuck between the frontal system to the West and the trough East, it's stalled in excellent conditions to spin up. Not a big window and shear will be going up in the 15-20hr window as the front pushes this invest out of our lives for good this time. I like how the NHC says a low is attached now, pressure is dropping, signs of a surface circulation, conditions are very good, and then drops it from 40% to 30%. It's apparently cried wolf one time too many for their tastes too.
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Quoting 459. Astrometeor:


Heh.

Pat's just giving friendly reminders Taz.


thats a mode job too do that
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Quoting 449. hydrus:
M.T. Remove or modify your comment, or you may get a ban..Cant afford to loose ya..:)
no ban just a short minute to remove


sorry mudder got caught in the crossfire you should be back already
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The Dorian remnant is starting to feast on da warm watah..slurp,slurp, slurp..



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Is it my eyes playing tricks on me, or does the circulation east of Melbourne appear to be drifting ever so slowly W or even WSW (around 2 mph)? Seems as if the shower activity is beginning to increase around it just a bit.
Member Since: March 19, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1147
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Quoting 453. Tazmanian:


Pat can you plzs mine your own business and stop acting like a mod wish you are mot one plzs went the take care of it


Heh.

Pat's just giving friendly reminders Taz.
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Quoting 456. whitewabit:
Please do not quote Trolls .. you may find yourself banned for it ..

Hey i don't quote trolls and did you remove post 420?
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INVEST 91E
DATE TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION ID NAME
20130802 1200 12.0 137.6 T1.0/1.0 91E 91E
20130802 0600 12.0 136.9 T1.0/1.0 91E 91E
20130802 0000 11.9 136.2 T1.0/1.0 IN1 INVEST
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456. whitewabit (Mod)
Please do not quote Trolls .. you may find yourself banned for it ..
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Quoting 449. hydrus:
M.T. Remove or modify your comment, or you may get a ban..Cant afford to loose ya..:)

Agreed M.T. At least edit it
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I just hate it when a system just sits over the warm Gulf Stream waters and just grows and grows. Frances did that to us in '04. This remnant of Dorian has found sustenance! Wish the trough would grab this sucker and sent it on its way NE and gone.
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Quoting 448. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
442can ya removed that quoted comment ya don't deserve a ban but I will if ya leave no choice

Who posted 442?
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Quoting 444. Patrap:
Never quote insanity, you will be banned as well for it

Lol to the extreme
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Quoting 442. muddertracker:


Bye.

M.T. Remove or modify your comment, or you may get a ban..Cant afford to loose ya..:)
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too late already removed sorry
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here is iNvest 91E NOW
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whoever removed comment 420, thank you.
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Hey mitchelace5 you are currently on my ignore list for 48 hrs unless you clean you act up if not your registration to the list will be extended good day

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Never quote insanity, you will be banned as well for it
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Quoting 431. superpete:


Taz. Another view of the present wave, south of Cape Verde





Sweet looking good
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Quoting 429. CitikatzSouthFL:

Largo, that is the storm that just came over my house. Not a lot of wind, but heavy rain. Looks like more on the way.
yes its going to be an interesting afternoon and evening around here it seems.
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Well to be sure Viking, a lot went into severe weather Live blogging and sharing our family's K experience.



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I think the double circulation is definitely there, as some have pointed out. If so, then it seems like the southern one is the one to watch, as it has much more convection. Also, would it be right to assume that the chances of landfall will increase if the remnants get any closer to Florida? Looks like the winds split in two opposite directions just off Georgia and NE Florida.
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436. whitewabit (Mod)
Quoting 413. mitchelace5:


So I'm a troll for making a guess? And no. I've been keeping this name for a while bro.


There has never been a boring Hurricane Season !!!
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Quoting 409. Patrap:
91L beginning to sweep a lot of Atmosphere around Central Fla now.



Look at it... Just sitting there over 83-85 degree water. This was the 10Z sounding at Cape Canaveral (XMR)...

Member Since: March 19, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1147
Quoting 409. Patrap:
91L beginning to sweep a lot of Atmosphere around Central Fla now.


My uncle is in west palm beach he says it cloudy

Look guys just ignore mitchelace5 DON'T FEED THE TROLL

Quoting 421. EyEtoEyE:
Good Bye SAL! Say hello to CV season! Whoever put the food on the blog , I totally agree with alot more names , than what you had ! Because I can see a long wave train coming , till the beginning of October , plus alot of home grown stuff !

Agreed
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Quoting 412. hurricanes2018:
wind shear is going back up!

Decreasing around my area, tho.
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Quoting 401. Tazmanian:


Taz. Another view of the present wave, south of Cape Verde

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Quoting 413. mitchelace5:


So I'm a troll for making a guess? And no. I've been keeping this name for a while bro.


So 5 days is for a while, LOL!
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Quoting 418. LargoFl:

Largo, that is the storm that just came over my house. Not a lot of wind, but heavy rain. Looks like more on the way.
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Quoting 426. LargoFl:

Watch out, Eastgate!
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.