Earth has its 5th Warmest June on Record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:11 PM GMT on July 18, 2013

Share this Blog
59
+

June 2013 was the globe's 5th warmest June since records began in 1880, according to NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA rated it the 2nd warmest June on record. The year-to-date period of January - June has been the 7th warmest such period on record. June 2013 global land temperatures were the 3rd warmest on record, and global ocean temperatures were the 10th warmest on record. June 2013 was the 340th consecutive month with global temperatures warmer than the 20th century average. Global satellite-measured temperatures in June 2013 for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were 5th or 4th warmest in the 35-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH), respectively. Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has a comprehensive post on the notable weather events of June 2013 in his June 2013 Global Weather Extremes Summary.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for June 2013, the 5th warmest June for the globe since record keeping began in 1880. Record warmth was observed over much of northern Canada, far northwestern Russia, southern Japan, the Philippines, part of southwestern China, and central southern Africa. It was cooler than average across part of central Asia, central India, western Europe, and far northeastern Canada. No record cold was observed over land areas during the month. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .

Five billion-dollar weather disasters in June
At least five billion-dollar weather disasters hit Earth during June. The most damaging of these was the historic $22 billion flood disaster that killed at least 23 people in Central Europe in late May and early June--the 5th costliest non-U.S. weather disaster in world history. Record flooding unprecedented since the Middle Ages hit major rivers in Austria, the Czech Republic, Germany, Poland and Slovakia; the Danube River in Passau, Germany hit its highest level since 1501, and the Saale River in Halle, Germany was the highest in its 400-year period of record. Numerous cities recorded their highest flood waters in more than a century, although in some locations the great flood of 2002 was higher.

The world-wide tally of billion-dollar weather disasters so far in 2013 is sixteen, and the U.S. total is four, according to the June 2013 Catastrophe Report from insurance broker Aon Benfield:

1) Flooding, Central Europe, 5/30 - 6/6, $22 billion
2) Drought, Brazil, 1/1 - 5/31, $8.3 billion
3) Tornado, Moore, OK, and associated U.S. severe weather, 5/18 - 5/22, $4.5 billion
4) Drought, Central and Eastern China, 1/1 - 4/30, $4.2 billion
5) Flooding, Calgary, Alberta Canada, 6/19 - 6/24, $3.8 billion
6) Flooding, Indonesia, 1/20 - 1/27, $3.31 billion
7) Flooding, Australia, 1/21 - 1/30, $2.5 billion
8) Tornadoes and severe weather, U.S., 5/26 - 6/2, $2 billion
9) Severe weather, Midwest U.S., 3/18 - 3/20, $2 billion
10) Winter weather, Europe, 3/12 - 3/31, $1.8 billion
11) Drought, New Zealand, 1/1 - 5/10, $1.6 billion
12) Flooding, Sichuan Province, China, 7/7 - 7/11, $1.6 billion
13) Flooding, China, 6/29 - 7/3, $1.4 billion
14) Flooding, Argentina, 4/2 - 4/4, $1.3 billion
15) Flooding, India and Nepal, 6/14 - 6/18, $1.1 billion
16) Winter weather, Plains, Midwest, Northeast U.S., 2/24 - 2/27, $1.0 billion

The $8.3 billion cost of the 2013 drought in Brazil makes it by far the costliest natural disaster in Brazil's history, according to the international disasters database EM-DAT. Their 2nd most costly disaster was the drought of 1978 ($2.3 billion in 1978 dollars.)


Figure 2. The Danube River in Passau, Germany hit its highest level since 1501 during the June 2013 flood. Image credit: Stefan Penninger.


Figure 3. The $22 billion price tag of the June - June 2013 Central European floods puts that disaster in 5th place on the list of most expensive non-U.S. weather-related disasters.

Neutral El Niño conditions continue in the equatorial Pacific
For the 15th month in row, neutral El Niño conditions existed in the equatorial Pacific during June 2013. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) expects neutral El Niño conditions to last through summer and into the fall, and the large majority of the El Niño models also predict that neutral conditions will last through the fall of 2013. Temperatures in the equatorial Eastern Pacific need to be 0.5°C below average or cooler for three consecutive months for a La Niña episode to be declared; sea surface temperatures were 0.4°C below average as of July 15, and have been +0.1 to -0.4°C from average since April 1, 2013.

Arctic sea ice falls to 11th lowest June extent on record
Arctic sea ice extent during June was 11th lowest in the 35-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). The relatively high coverage was due to wind patterns that helped spread the ice out over a larger area. During the first two weeks of July, Arctic ice extent has fallen to the 5th lowest level on record.

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no tropical cyclone threat areas in the Atlantic to discuss today, and none of the reliable models for tropical cyclone formation is predicting development during the coming seven days. If the Atlantic stays quiet, I plan on making my next post on Saturday.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

Sign In or Register Sign In or Register

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 2490 - 2440

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50Blog Index

2490. buffed
10:39 AM GMT on July 25, 2013
Quoting 2486. winter123:

These doomcasts into the northeast aren't so unbelievable anymore, since Sandy.


Sandy was a rainstorm,i lived in the mid atlantic 40 years but theres just something hopeless when you find yourself in the eye of a cat3 storm you feel as if you are in a fishtank the pressure is so low.
Member Since: September 2, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 1
2489. buffed
10:32 AM GMT on July 25, 2013
its only a matter of time before a major hurricane revisits south florida.If Wilma hadnt scrapped Cancun and remained the strongest ever ,like it was,a once in 10,000 year event was in the making as Wilma was being flung like a rubberband by record cold late october front.
Member Since: September 2, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 1
2488. WeatherInterest
10:13 PM GMT on July 24, 2013
Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi
Dry air tends to fade mid and late season.. real meet of season Aug 15- Oct 15. New GFS has classic track close to east coast
week of Aug 4

Member Since: August 29, 2008 Posts: 5 Comments: 105
2487. LargoFl
10:44 AM GMT on July 22, 2013
Good Morning Folks..Blogs Coffee is perked..enjoy....
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 5 Comments: 51852
2486. winter123
7:48 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2404. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Wow!


These doomcasts into the northeast aren't so unbelievable anymore, since Sandy.
Member Since: July 29, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 1824
2485. risavjl
7:28 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting bappit:

Can you give an example? Tsunamis, hurricanes, volcanoes, hot weather, cold weather, earthquakes??? Who is saying this?


Mostly young'uns. Just mentioning what I've read over the years in comments sections, not here. Japan earthquake/tsunami "omg this has never happened before!!" (We are doomed) "omg big earthquakes are happening more often!!" (Doomed again) Sandy "omg this is unheard of!! hurricanes are happening more than ever!!" (doom&gloom) They don't recall the past 7 years of 0... Iceland volcano "omg thank goodness that doesn't happen over here!!" (What?) 2011 "omg there are more tornadoes than ever!!" (Doom is upon us) 2012 tornadoes (crickets).

Can't wait until the ISON comments. "oh noes! get in your shelter! we're, like, totally, doomed!!" and on and on and on... Kids....

I'm a novice compared to all of you here. I do a lot of speed reading about earth and space on the internet and in books. I watch Gary England and James Spann et al live and the chasers on the plains. I've been a trained ham radio storm spotter for 17yrs. WI doesn't have much action in that regard but I stay ready for it.
Member Since: June 2, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6
2484. unknowncomic
7:09 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2478. Hurricanes305:


The wave is predicted to have a moisture bubble similar to Chantal but more potent if thats the case a little of SAL would impede development but it will slow it down a bit. Development in 3 days is bit too fast though. But the GFS makes up for it by showing it slowing developing until it reaches the Islands.

Will it have an anti cyclone over it and if so how do you know that?
Member Since: August 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2366
2483. Vlad959810
2:50 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2411. ncstorm:
GFS Ensembles spread









Even if is too early, we may have our first CV storm of the season.
Member Since: July 14, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 90
2482. Patrap
2:49 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Sen Vitter, "R" Louisiana is the Biggest US Sen. Shill for Big Oil, period.

He has not, your National Interest at Heart.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 437 Comments: 134828
2481. LAbonbon
2:49 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2416. washingtonian115:
Well it was nice knowing N.Y.C.lol.It's like TMC's It could happen tomorrow.


When Sandy was bearing down, and they were talking surge and tide, that show's episode on the effects of a hurricane on NYC was the first thing that popped into my mind.
Member Since: June 26, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 4141
2479. Orcasystems
2:48 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2472. Tazmanian:



same here he is acting more and more like JFV evere day


ROFLMAO... I thought those three letters were put on the auto ban list :)
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
2478. Hurricanes305
2:48 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2460. canehater1:
Until the SAL retreats Northward or dissipates, I don't see how anything can develop as it comes off the African coast...also need a major pattern change to get something more "home grown"...


The wave is predicted to have a moisture bubble similar to Chantal but more potent if thats the case a little of SAL would impede development but it will slow it down a bit. Development in 3 days is bit too fast though. But the GFS makes up for it by showing it slowing developing until it reaches the Islands.

Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
2477. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
2:46 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
2476. AussieStorm
2:46 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Goodnight all.... Stay well. Stay safe.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 16017
2475. ackee
2:46 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2460. canehater1:
Until the SAL retreats Northward or dissipates, I don't see how anything can develop as it comes off the African coast...also need a major pattern change to get something more "home grown"...
agree
Member Since: July 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1433
2474. weatherlover94
2:46 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
quite a few models are hinting there could be a significant impact some where on the US east coast. We don't even have a system yet...we need to get the system first then the models will get a better grip on what might happen. my guess right now is a 50/50 chance of US significant impact or a harmless re-curve out to sea.
Member Since: September 8, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2250
2473. Orcasystems
2:45 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2458. Grothar:


ORCA!!!!


Good morning youngish older fellow.. good to see your still around :)

If any of those blobs are even close to what you have been posting... we could see the blog like the old days where we saw 100 posts in 10 minute spans again.
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
2472. Tazmanian
2:45 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2464. PortoJuan:

Not this again! Are you just naturally annoying or are you trying hard to be? Reason I'm calling you out is because your stupid countdowns annoy me and likely the other bloggers as well. If I get in trouble for speaking the truth, its better if I do than if a veteran long-time member does. So seriously stop with your stupid comments



same here he is acting more and more like JFV evere day
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5096 Comments: 116647
2471. GTstormChaserCaleb
2:45 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2438. gator23:


It can be argues that it was steered more west because it opened up into a wave
Not too sure about that the trough wasn't strong enough to pick it up maybe because it wasn't as far south the 1016 mb. line was extending all the way down into the Caribbean, I kept saying for days there was no way a Tropical Storm or even Hurricane would recurve up into the ridge which was centered over Bermuda.
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 9442
2470. hurricanes2018
2:44 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
severe weather today!!
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 154 Comments: 129998
2469. ackee
2:44 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2455. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Development in 3 days.
let see other that the GFS don't see much model support for it the CMC barely develop it THE Euro don't develop it at all lets see what will happen I think this wave wont be more than an Invest just my view
Member Since: July 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1433
2468. Grothar
2:43 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2446. GTstormChaserCaleb:
So in a day or two these waves should be emerging into the Atlantic? How soon do you think we will see development Gro?


More than a few days. IMHO(which is rare) I believe it is really too early to these to form quickly. Even though it has been an unusual season with some of these already.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 72 Comments: 28793
2467. hurricanes2018
2:43 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2457. Grothar:



if the northeast get hit by a hurricane this year its will be very bad..
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 154 Comments: 129998
2466. weatherlover94
2:43 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2459. Hurricanes305:


Wow you just putting bloggers out there. At least Camille33 knows about Meteorology.



Your right. Sorry about that
Member Since: September 8, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2250
2465. seminolesfan
2:43 PM GMT on July 20, 2013

Quoting 2428. GTstormChaserCaleb:
The ensembles have been consistent in keeping this one offshore of the East Coast. Still we have a ways to go and if it was one thing I learned from the previous storm don't put your bets on the East Coast trough because the Bermuda High prevailed in steering Chantal more further west despite it opening up into a wave.




Good points here, man. I am usually not so bullish on a long range forecast which shows a cyclone heading head-long into a multi-layered ridge...

Moving from outside the 1016mb contour and charging right up past the 1020mb zone seems unlikely to me.
Member Since: June 14, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2108
2463. floridaboy14
2:42 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
if this year we get the same steering pattern, then there is something missing we dont know about. this pattern where everything recurves is beyond ridiculous
Member Since: July 25, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1102
2462. StAugustineFL
2:42 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2442. PalmBeachWeather:
It's rumbling here in west Boynton Beach (again)


July has been yo-yo like in my backyard. A few consecutive days of rain then a week of pleasant weather. Rinse and repeat.
Member Since: March 8, 2011 Posts: 1 Comments: 1070
2461. weatherlover94
2:42 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2457. Grothar:






Oh yikes.....
Member Since: September 8, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2250
2460. canehater1
2:42 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Until the SAL retreats Northward or dissipates, I don't see how anything can develop as it comes off the African coast...also need a major pattern change to get something more "home grown"...
Member Since: September 8, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1175
2459. Hurricanes305
2:41 PM GMT on July 20, 2013

Quoting 2448. weatherlover94:


I Ignore trolls and report them all the time now days. They however do say things to make us all laugh like thunderstormsmike and Camille 33......Thunderstormsmike may be in for a rude awakening that the season is about to get going and it's going to be a bad season

Wow you just putting bloggers out there. At least Camille33 knows about Meteorology.
Member Since: May 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2043
2458. Grothar
2:41 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2447. Orcasystems:

Your going to peeve BF if you post stuff like that... she has a very low tolerance for anything that requires socks.


ORCA!!!!
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 72 Comments: 28793
2457. Grothar
2:40 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 72 Comments: 28793
2456. gator23
2:40 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2452. washingtonian115:
I was describing what the model was showing.I'm not worried about N.Y.C at this point and I'm sure not looking at anything 300+ hours out with seriousness.


Cool, im glad we agree.
Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2304
2455. GTstormChaserCaleb
2:40 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2450. ackee:
THE Blog really need a storm or invest to track the blog is fire up about a wave that has not even emerge off coast of Africa. The GFS could be up to it usual tricks for spinning up another phantom storm until this wave emerge of shore and we see what it does nothing to get too excited about
Development in 3 days.

Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 9442
2454. zampaz
2:39 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2384. JohnLonergan:



Partial Transcrpt of Senator Whitehouse questoning Roy Spencer:{snip}

According to Senator Vitter, the climate is not warming and has not warmed for the last 15 years.

In light of the melting we can see at the North pole and disappearance of glaciers across the world that we can see with our own eyes, consider the statements of Senator Vitter regarding global warming in his opening statement at the meeting:


Senator Vitter's web site: http://www.vitter.senate.gov/
Member Since: February 2, 2011 Posts: 3 Comments: 904
2453. hydrus
2:38 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2440. Grothar:


It has snowed in Florida many times. Not really unusual. Not so much in the south but many times in the Central and Northern part. I always hate it.




Your right, its not that unusual. I lived in north Tampa for a time. It may not snow a lot, but it freezes regularly during the winter.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 25114
2452. washingtonian115
2:38 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2449. gator23:


I saw the LOL but i also saw you say "it later down the road becomes a strong hurricane and clips the north east.Sick of this pattern". I made statement that was an opinion. Moving on.
I was describing what the model was showing.I'm not worried about N.Y.C at this point and I'm sure not looking at anything 300+ hours out with seriousness.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 19594
2451. canehater1
2:38 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
There is a very weak surface circulation with the trough in the N. Gulf..Very Lt WNW to NW winds just W of trough axis...Hopefully some cooling showers down here near Grand Isle, LA. later today as system drifts West....
Member Since: September 8, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1175
2450. ackee
2:37 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
THE Blog really need a storm or invest to track the blog is fire up about a wave that has not even emerge off coast of Africa. The GFS could be up to it usual tricks for spinning up another phantom storm until this wave emerge of shore and we see what it does nothing to get too excited about
Member Since: July 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1433
2449. gator23
2:36 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2436. washingtonian115:
If you can't look at the obvious lol at the end to tell this was a joke then I'm not even going to explain..


I saw the LOL but i also saw you say "it later down the road becomes a strong hurricane and clips the north east.Sick of this pattern". I made statement that was an opinion. Moving on.
Member Since: August 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2304
2448. weatherlover94
2:35 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2441. StAugustineFL:


Poll time.

When will bloggers ever learn to ignore trollish behavior?

A) Never
B) Never
C) Never
D) Never


I Ignore trolls and report them all the time now days. They however do say things to make us all laugh like thunderstormsmike and Camille 33......Thunderstormsmike may be in for a rude awakening that the season is about to get going and it's going to be a bad season
Member Since: September 8, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2250
2447. Orcasystems
2:35 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2440. Grothar:


It has snowed in Florida many times. Not really unusual. Not so much in the south but many times in the Central and Northern part. I always hate it.





Your going to peeve BF if you post stuff like that... she has a very low tolerance for anything that requires socks.
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
2446. GTstormChaserCaleb
2:35 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2390. Grothar:


I've been monitoring it for a couple of days. Which is why I posted it this morning again. Looks interesting.



So in a day or two these waves should be emerging into the Atlantic? How soon do you think we will see development Gro?
Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 9442
2445. Tazmanian
2:34 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5096 Comments: 116647
2444. 62901IL
2:34 PM GMT on July 20, 2013

This is my favorite invest in the WPAC!
Member Since: June 14, 2013 Posts: 2 Comments: 2724
2443. 62901IL
2:33 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2441. StAugustineFL:


Poll time.

When will bloggers ever learn to ignore trollish behavior?

A) Never
B) Never
C) Never
D) Never

Never. All options
Member Since: June 14, 2013 Posts: 2 Comments: 2724
2442. PalmBeachWeather
2:33 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
It's rumbling here in west Boynton Beach (again)
Member Since: October 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6019
2441. StAugustineFL
2:33 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2402. 62901IL:
Poll time!!!
Q: What does PDS mean?
A: Particularly Dangerous Situation
B: Please don't shout
C: Product Data Sheet
D: None of these


Poll time.

When will bloggers ever learn to ignore trollish behavior?

A) Never
B) Never
C) Never
D) Never
Member Since: March 8, 2011 Posts: 1 Comments: 1070
2440. Grothar
2:33 PM GMT on July 20, 2013
Quoting 2419. AussieStorm:


You live in Florida, you don't get snow. LOL


It has snowed in Florida many times. Not really unusual. Not so much in the south but many times in the Central and Northern part. I always hate it.




Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 72 Comments: 28793

Viewing: 2490 - 2440

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

Local Weather

Partly Cloudy
76 °F
Partly Cloudy

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Gust front cloud, SE Michigan
Thunderstorm over Grand Teton
Double rainbow over Old Faithful
Rainbow in Riverside Geyser