Chantal Dissipates; its Remains Bringing Heavy Rains to the Bahamas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:28 PM GMT on July 11, 2013

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The remains of Tropical Storm Chantal are bringing heavy rains and gusty winds to the Southeast Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands today, after the storm dissipated on Wednesday approaching Haiti. Chantal brought heavy rains to Haiti and the Dominican Republic on Wednesday, with satellite estimates of 4 - 8 inches of rainfall in Central Haiti and the central and south coastal Dominican Republic. One drowning death in the Dominican Republic is being blamed on the storm.


Figure 1. Predicted precipitation for the 7-day period ending Thursday, July 18, 2013. Chantal's remains are expected to bring 2 - 3" of rain to the Southeast U.S., which will not be great enough to cause major flooding issues. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.

Forecast for Chantal's remains
The remains of Chantal will spread into the Northwest Bahamas on Friday, and to the Southeast U.S. on Saturday and Sunday. High wind shear of 20 - 30 knots combined with dry air will make re-development of the storm unlikely through Friday. On Saturday, the wind shear over Chantal's remains will fall to the moderate range, but the storm will likely not have enough time over water to redevelop. In their 8 am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave Chantal's remains a 20% chance of development into a tropical depression or tropical storm by Saturday. None of the reliable computer models are predicting development of Chantal's remains, or of anything else in the Atlantic over the next seven days.


Figure 2. MODIS image of Typhoon Soulik taken at 04:20 UTC July 11, 2013. Image credit: NASA.

Typhoon Soulik a threat to Taiwan and China
Typhoon Soulik, a Category 2 storm with 110 mph winds in the Western Pacific, is expected to hit the northern end of Taiwan on Friday as a Category 3 storm. Soulik will then make landfall in China near Fuzhou on Saturday, most likely as a Category 2 typhoon. Soulik became the most powerful tropical cyclone of 2013 on Wednesday, when it peaked at Category 4 strength with 145 mph winds.

Jeff Masters

Sunset before Chantal (LindyLu60)
Taken with my cell phone at Rainbow Beach 36 hours before Tropical Storm Chantal is expected to brush the island of st croix to the south. Very excited as this will be our first TS .....
Sunset before Chantal

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Quoting 849. SLU:
18z GFS develops the wave that's about to emerge off Africa.



I wouldn't say "develops," more like a closed circulation. VERY weak.
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96L is up at NRL.

Link
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Whether the mess in the Bahamas form it is all the same threat.Rain.
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Quoting 813. presslord:


I am not speaking to Stormjunkie...but please remind him: I know where he lives...
Do not feel like you have been singled out Press. We say the Dakotas continuously...:)
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849. SLU
18z GFS develops the wave that's about to emerge off Africa.

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Quoting 811. WEATHERFANATIC5:
holy crow already......... why is everyone getting so wild about the remmants on this pathetic chantal.. all it is and all its gonna be is a little wave of some rain,,, we are haveing a 30 minute t storm right now that is a 10 on a scale of 1 to 10 compared to what this chantal wave is gonna be... so stop all the dramatics its a nothing cloudy wave


It is the only thing close & happening...at all...and has been somewhat unpredictable....could still redevelop.....AND....during hurricane season, with hot costal waters, ripe humidity, and apparent building T-storms,...it is not wise to ignore the....possibility...that it could reform. Some people might like to find someone cares about that if they live close to where it might reform & would want to know in advance if it were to do so. It could save lives & property. Plus, it is fun watching things in nature at work.
Member Since: June 7, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1299
Quoting 842. zampaz:

This is a clip from Key Largo the scene of James Temple (Lionel Barrymore) describing the devastation of the Great Labor Day Hurricane of 1935 which hit southern Florida.
My first video edit and post to youtube for my florida friends in the wunderground.
If I can find it in the public domain and assuming after 65 years it's public domain, I will post a link to download the entire movie on my blog later this evening.

Great old movie. We watch it every coupe years during hurricane season. Was on TCM last Saturday night.
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Quoting 840. sar2401:

The WPA workers were there working on what became Highway 1. The only role the FEC played was transporting them and supplies. They did no work on the railroad.


Thanks, I'm probably not remembering it right.
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Quoting 834. dfwstormwatch:
Very Defined Spin East of Bermuda, heading for Florida and then the Gulf of Mexico, should be interesting to watch.



East of Bermuda and headed for GOM???

What there is of Chantal should be hitting the GS at some point tonight it would seem.



Image from John Hopkins...Under Marine Data here.
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 26 Comments: 16874
Quoting 824. bigwes6844:
jeffreysweetypie. smdh ted


Whatever, same person. :)
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Quoting 832. sar2401:

***COUGH***Look at join date and post count***COUGH***lives under a bridge***COUGH.


Yeah, I figured it out after I posted, the only problem here is me. I am a really tolerant person, lol. I have 0 people on my ignore list for Pete's sake.
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Quoting 709. Hurrihistory:
Very sad as about 500 people (WWI Vets and Locals) were killed in that storm because the relief train was dispatched to late. The Great Labor Day Hurricane of 1935 is a text book example of what could happen to South Florida during any given Hurricane Season. That's why even a weak system like Chantal has to be looked at very carefully. The Labor Day Hurricane started out as a weak Tropical Storm just three days earlier in the central Bahamas.

This is a clip from Key Largo the scene of James Temple (Lionel Barrymore) describing the devastation of the Great Labor Day Hurricane of 1935 which hit southern Florida.
My first video edit and post to youtube for my florida friends in the wunderground.
If I can find it in the public domain and assuming after 65 years it's public domain, I will post a link to download the entire movie on my blog later this evening.

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Any new intensity model runs?
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Quoting Msdrown:

The WPA workers were there working on what became Highway 1. The only role the FEC played was transporting them and supplies. They did no work on the railroad.
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Quoting 825. CybrTeddy:


Based on a true story?

I hope not.

Quoting 830. Astrometeor:


Sharknado?

What time?

9pm EDT.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32696
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Quoting 833. Grothar:
Ex-Chantal looks like it will be threatening Floria and the Bahamas soon, after it finishes with Hispaniola. I they don't get more flooding.


Gee. Thanks, Gro.

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Quoting 827. dfwstormwatch:
Defined Upper Level low East of Bermuda, should be interesting to watch.


The latest CMC develops it as it heads WSW into the GoM.
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Are there any recent scatterometer passes on our two-headed monster Chantal/Dorian?
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Very Defined Spin East of Bermuda, heading for Florida and then the Gulf of Mexico, should be interesting to watch.

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Ex-Chantal looks like it will be threatening Floria and the Bahamas soon, after it finishes with Hispaniola. I they don't get more flooding.

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Quoting Astrometeor:


LOL.

Obviously you are not yet well acquainted with this blog. Chantal has a decent chance of redeveloping into Dorian over the next few days, and that, is enough to send this blog into a frenzy, although, I don't think it has quite reached the fever-pitch you are describing. Rather, currently I would put the blog's mood more at a lazy meander than anything else. Wait for the peak of the season and then you will see this place hype up.

***COUGH***Look at join date and post count***COUGH***lives under a bridge***COUGH.
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Quoting 778. sar2401:

That was the Florida

Man that is a tough story. Now I'm really confused. I saw what I thought was a good documentary on that storm including the rail workers that were mostly vets on the History Channel. They told mostly a different story but did not put any blame on the rail roaders. Instead they put it on the President of the Rail Road who was in control of the work force even though the forman of the project was doing everything well in advance to evacuate. I guess I can't even trust the History Channel anymore.
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Quoting 820. TropicalAnalystwx13:
There's a semi-weather-related movie (...I think) premiering on SyFy tonight.

Lol, what even.

Trailer


Sharknado?

What time?
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Quoting 812. Dakster:


They LOVE PB.. I used to put my dogs pills in it to get her to take them.


Haha, and it sticks their mouths together so they don't bark as much, too. ;)
Member Since: June 7, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1299
Quoting 820. TropicalAnalystwx13:
There's a semi-weather-related movie (...I think) premiering on SyFy tonight.

Lol, what even.

Trailer


Yeeeeaaaah. Ok....

I know what station I will NOT be watching tonight.
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Quoting 820. TropicalAnalystwx13:
There's a semi-weather-related movie (...I think) premiering on SyFy tonight.

Lol, what even.

Trailer


Based on a true story?
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Quoting 817. CybrTeddy:
811. Care to tell us if there will be nostorminflorida from this as well?
jeffreysweetypie. smdh ted
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Quoting Astrometeor:
Re-post from trHUrrIXC5MMX (Max)'s blog:



Well, I ended up getting .04 in my gauge from this afternoon's storms. That was a major letdown. Curious to see tomorrow how much more everyone else around me got.

This is like Deja vu all over again with 94L. Georgia and Florida get all the rain and we won't get anything. Got zero today is SE AL. If the new blob (x-Chantal) avtually gets in the Gulf, maybe we can look foreward to some rain after the weekend...but I'm not holding my breath. :-)
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Quoting 784. 1900hurricane:

Want to trade?



No I think I'll keep my jungle weather! Hopefully you guys will see some wetter patterns arriving too.
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There's a semi-weather-related movie (...I think) premiering on SyFy tonight.

Lol, what even.

Trailer
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32696
811...

LOL.

Obviously you are not yet well acquainted with this blog. Chantal has a decent chance of redeveloping into Dorian over the next few days, and that, is enough to send this blog into a frenzy, although, I don't think it has quite reached the fever-pitch you are describing. Rather, currently I would put the blog's mood more at a lazy meander than anything else. Wait for the peak of the season and then you will see this place hype up.
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Quoting 801. SavannahStorm:


Chantal got her convection stuck behind the islands.


Nice Vid! -- Ah, the good old days, when actors actually acted...well. Well, there are some that still can. That King's Speech movie awhile back had some good acting!
Member Since: June 7, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1299
811. Care to tell us if there will be nostorminflorida from this as well?
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Anybody has a troll can spray anyone? I need sum bad!
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Quoting 811. WEATHERFANATIC5:
holy crow already......... why is everyone getting so wild about the remmants on this pathetic chantal.. all it is and all its gonna be is a little wave of some rain,,, we are haveing a 30 minute t storm right now that is a 10 on a scale of 1 to 10 compared to what this chantal wave is gonna be... so stop all the dramatics its a nothing cloudy wave


If you don't like reading about Chantal, go to another website. No one is forcing you to read this blog. Seriously, stop whining and go somewhere else.
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Quoting 811. WEATHERFANATIC5:
holy crow already......... why is everyone getting so wild about the remmants on this pathetic chantal.. all it is and all its gonna be is a little wave of some rain,,, we are haveing a 30 minute t storm right now that is a 10 on a scale of 1 to 10 compared to what this chantal wave is gonna be... so stop all the dramatics its a nothing cloudy wave


Right here, ladies and gentlemen, is the definition of dramatics. LOL!!!
Member Since: August 24, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 713
Quoting 798. hydrus:
It wont....He jumped already even when capitalized.
Quoting 798. hydrus:
It wont....He jumped already even when capitalized.


I am not speaking to Stormjunkie...but please remind him: I know where he lives...
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Quoting 810. WalkingInTheSun:


Nope. We were kids, so we didn't think that far. We just knew we needed him to stop barking, so we didn't even bother to add the "J" -- just double PB. It was rather fun watching him eat it, mouth smacking & all -- he loved it, too.

The dog would catch food in the air when tossed out to him. Once, my mom had found an old egg in the fridge that went bad, tossed it out without thinking about the dog.
My younger bro. & I were there to see him catch it & half swallow -- only got it half-way down though, as fast as he was. Then, up it came, as fast as he could. We laughed so much! (Sorry, didn't mean to be mean, and my mom didn't think he'd do that. Just really seemed ROLF funny at the time.)


They LOVE PB.. I used to put my dogs pills in it to get her to take them.
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Quoting 802. Dakster:


With an ex-lax chaser?


Nope. We were kids, so we didn't think that far. We just knew we needed him to stop barking, (if we didn't want to have to get rid of him, which did happen, later)...so we didn't even bother to add the "J" -- just double PB. It was rather fun watching him eat it, mouth smacking & all -- he loved it, too.

The dog would catch food in the air when tossed out to him. Once, my mom found an old egg in the fridge that went bad, tossed it out without thinking about the dog.
My younger bro. & I were there to see him catch it & half swallow -- only got it half-way down though, as fast as he was. Then, up it came, as fast as he could. We laughed so much! (Sorry, didn't mean to be mean, and my mom didn't think he'd do that. Just really seemed ROLF funny at the time.)
Member Since: June 7, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1299
Quoting 753. EyEtoEyE:
Remember what I called Chantal , she is Sybil , now with multiple blobs , that's for you Gro, so which blob wins the right to be her new center , and in the past the NHC has stuck with the original name , so still Miss Chantal!



:)
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778. sar2401

very interesting piece of huricane history. Can you imagine being on that ride?

As for x-chantal, I had written her off before the windwards. Reminds me of the little choochoo who thought she coo. She went poof, so I made weekend plans(in s. fla). Now i dunno.

No sense tryin' to reason with the hurican season
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Re-post from trHUrrIXC5MMX (Max)'s blog:

Quoting 118. Astrometeor:
Having storms roll through right now, not sure if the storms are actually going to drop rain or are just going to pester me with thunder and lightning.



Well, I ended up getting .04 in my gauge from this afternoon's storms. That was a major letdown. Curious to see tomorrow how much more everyone else around me got.
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Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11513
Quoting 797. FIUStormChaser:


Hey TAWX13,

It would be nice to have Recon out there, just to See the dynamics of the situation.

Doesn't appear to be too much of interest just yet; the system is in the process of stacking itself. Recon is flying out tomorrow afternoon, when we should see a better organized disturbance.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32696
Here's the weather station data for the SE 30 mph wind with area of storms earlier associated with Chantal's remnants
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Quoting 793. StormJunkie:


Highly unlikely anything gets as far W as the GOM. General track will be WNW-NW towards Fl E coast, Georgia, or The Carolinas (Figured maybe if I capitalized the The it would make presslord a little less grumpy)


I don't think remnants of Chantal will enter the Gom from the So., as via the Yucatan Channel. I tend to agree with you, initially, too, that the mass will gravitate No. But, I think it may try to wrap around that little low in the straits of Fl. If so, I see it with little chance it will go anywhere but drift (slowly?) to the West, into the SE GOM.
Member Since: June 7, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1299

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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