Chantal Dissipates; its Remains Bringing Heavy Rains to the Bahamas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:28 PM GMT on July 11, 2013

Share this Blog
57
+

The remains of Tropical Storm Chantal are bringing heavy rains and gusty winds to the Southeast Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands today, after the storm dissipated on Wednesday approaching Haiti. Chantal brought heavy rains to Haiti and the Dominican Republic on Wednesday, with satellite estimates of 4 - 8 inches of rainfall in Central Haiti and the central and south coastal Dominican Republic. One drowning death in the Dominican Republic is being blamed on the storm.


Figure 1. Predicted precipitation for the 7-day period ending Thursday, July 18, 2013. Chantal's remains are expected to bring 2 - 3" of rain to the Southeast U.S., which will not be great enough to cause major flooding issues. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.

Forecast for Chantal's remains
The remains of Chantal will spread into the Northwest Bahamas on Friday, and to the Southeast U.S. on Saturday and Sunday. High wind shear of 20 - 30 knots combined with dry air will make re-development of the storm unlikely through Friday. On Saturday, the wind shear over Chantal's remains will fall to the moderate range, but the storm will likely not have enough time over water to redevelop. In their 8 am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave Chantal's remains a 20% chance of development into a tropical depression or tropical storm by Saturday. None of the reliable computer models are predicting development of Chantal's remains, or of anything else in the Atlantic over the next seven days.


Figure 2. MODIS image of Typhoon Soulik taken at 04:20 UTC July 11, 2013. Image credit: NASA.

Typhoon Soulik a threat to Taiwan and China
Typhoon Soulik, a Category 2 storm with 110 mph winds in the Western Pacific, is expected to hit the northern end of Taiwan on Friday as a Category 3 storm. Soulik will then make landfall in China near Fuzhou on Saturday, most likely as a Category 2 typhoon. Soulik became the most powerful tropical cyclone of 2013 on Wednesday, when it peaked at Category 4 strength with 145 mph winds.

Jeff Masters

Sunset before Chantal (LindyLu60)
Taken with my cell phone at Rainbow Beach 36 hours before Tropical Storm Chantal is expected to brush the island of st croix to the south. Very excited as this will be our first TS .....
Sunset before Chantal

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1853 - 1803

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39Blog Index

1853. hydrus
When they say the rich keep getting richer, they mean it. The number of billionaires has tripled in the past thirteen years..
Year Number of billionaires Group's combined net worth
2013 1,426 $5.4 trillion
2012 1,226 $4.6 trillion
2011 1,210 $4.5 trillion
2010 1,011 $3.6 trillion
2009 793 $2.4 trillion
2008 1,125 $4.4 trillion
2007 946 $3.5 trillion
2006 793 $2.6 trillion
2005 691 $2.2 trillion
2004 587 $1.9 trillion
2003 476 $1.4 trillion
2002 497 $1.5 trillion
2001 538 $1.8 trillion
2000 470 $898 billion
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22718
Quoting 1849. pcola57:


Morning Marty..
Just a quick note..
I was able to check out your Facebook page yesterday..
It is awesome..
I may join again in the future..
Losts of pertinent info on your page..
You take a "perty" pic too.. Lol.. :)


Thank you for the kind words.. say, when was the last time you had your eyes checked?
Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 2639
seems like we have a new INVEST from noaa in the E Pac


12/1145 UTC 10.6N 89.9W T1.0/1.0 INVEST -- East Pacific


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting indianrivguy:


checked your WU mailbox?

You have WU-mail though :-)
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15979
1849. pcola57
Quoting 1842. indianrivguy:


checked your WU mailbox?


Morning Marty..
Just a quick note..
I was able to check out your Facebook page yesterday..
It is awesome..
I may join again in the future..
Losts of pertinent info on your page..
You take a "perty" pic too.. Lol.. :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Morning/evening all!

Quoting 1831. SouthernIllinois:
Good Morning Everyone! Another GORGEOUS morning up here in Southern Illinois. The sun has come up within the past hour upon clear skies. Not a single cloud in the sky and beautiful. :)

Natalie



Not too shabby here either. :)

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1842. indianrivguy:


checked your WU mailbox?


I have now, thanks!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1835. Chicklit:


The sal for the most part has subsided compared to the past couple of weeks.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Umm... is anybody paying attention to the swirl that is about up half way off the eastern Florida Coast. That was the northern part of Chantal's "guts" and it seems to be wrapping convection around it's southern side. You can see it in the visible sat. picture on the last few frames.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Now playing in theaters...Ghost 2 starring CMC
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1837. 69Viking:


We would sure like it if you sent some of that weather to the Southeast, we've had enough rain for a while.


checked your WU mailbox?
Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 2639
1840. SLU
Quoting 1791. BahaHurican:
Good morning all. So far...

Nothing.

Rain? No.
Wind? Nah.

Overcast skies? Well, ok, but it's been like that most of this week [unusual for July, mind you].



If SLU thought Chantal was a non-event in St Lucia, imagine what he'd think here.... lol


LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Here we go again...

The Circle Game
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI JUL 12 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE BAHAMAS AND THE ADJACENT ATLANTIC...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF CHANTAL...IS MOVING NORTHWARD. THIS WEATHER DISTURBANCE REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT HAS BECOME LESS LIKELY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE MISSION SCHEDULED FOR TODAY WILL BE CANCELLED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1831. SouthernIllinois:
Good Morning Everyone! Another GORGEOUS morning up here in Southern Illinois. The sun has come up within the past hour upon clear skies. Not a single cloud in the sky and beautiful. :)

Natalie



We would sure like it if you sent some of that weather to the Southeast, we've had enough rain for a while.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1836. ncstorm
Quoting 1833. SouthernIllinois:

Usually it's just the low country areas or the Piedmont but it looks like mega real estate is covered here. I am so JEALOUS. I love my sun but I can always use some rain. :)

Nat


even if ex chantal doesn't reform into anything, it still is more rain and thats something we dont need..I really hope this situation doesn't turn into another ex nicole of 2010.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16225
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1822. Chicklit:
Recon into ex Chantal canceled.
Down to 10%
8AM Tropical Weather Discussion NHC


Levi nailed it in his tidbits yesterday. If anything this remnant will head north and give Florida/Ga/SC a good soaking- not to mention the Bahamas.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1832. ncstorm
Good Morning all..I dont know when the last time I have seen most of SE NC/SC under a flood warning or watch..



Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16225
Quoting 1827. pcola57:
What a mess Ex-Chantal is this morning..



She's dead.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
wind shear going up!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1828. pcola57
Quoting 1826. Stormchaser121:

Whats your thinking on all that...?


Looks to be alot of blocking and stalling weather coming up IMO..

Wet,Dry,Stormy,Drought,The whole mixed bag..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1827. pcola57
What a mess Ex-Chantal is this morning..

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1820. pcola57:
Jet Stream Analysis..






Whats your thinking on all that...?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Despite what the models "say", Africa looks interesting today:

africa
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1821. pcola57:


Morning Chicklit..
Thats alot of dry air heading due South to the GOM..
Interesting..

Like a lead balloon.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1823. MahFL
Looks like the coc is directly south of the peninsular.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Recon into ex Chantal canceled.
Down to 10%
8AM Tropical Weather Discussion NHC
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1821. pcola57
Quoting 1819. Chicklit:
Link WV Loop EAUS


Morning Chicklit..
Thats alot of dry air heading due South to the GOM..
Interesting..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1820. pcola57
Jet Stream Analysis..





Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Link WV Loop EAUS
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good morning, Link WV Loop
...makes you go hmmmm

nuthin yet
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1816. bigwes6844:
oh okay so u and athomeintx not that far from each other sweet!

Thats right! I wonder if its correct...thats twice now the CMC said this same thing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1813. Stormchaser121:

Haha it was i made a mistake there. I live in southeast TX.
oh okay so u and athomeintx not that far from each other sweet!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
10% and recon canceled. Next!


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI JUL 12 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE BAHAMAS AND THE ADJACENT
ATLANTIC...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF CHANTAL...IS MOVING
NORTHWARD. THIS WEATHER DISTURBANCE REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND
DEVELOPMENT HAS BECOME LESS LIKELY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE MISSION SCHEDULED FOR
TODAY WILL BE CANCELLED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
models crying wolf again. sorry goldie lox your on your own,. whats left of the spin last night still shows up on twc. shot. going to listen to their tropical update and see what they say.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1812. bigwes6844:
i guess that was for me im in new orleans

Haha it was i made a mistake there. I live in southeast TX.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1811. Stormchaser121:

Where in TX do you live??
i guess that was for me im in new orleans
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1804. Stormchaser121:

What are your thoughts on this thing...Levi did mention this.

Where in TX do you live??
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Taipei Cam
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1809. jeebsa

Good morning from Martin County Fl.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1808. flcanes
Quoting 1804. Stormchaser121:

What are your thoughts on this thing...Levi did mention this.

Well its possible, but if chantal develops i dont know if it will really get that strong. Remember earlier this year before chantal developed, when the CMC showed a TS in the gulf and a hurricane on the east coast in the same run?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Typhoon Soulik now on Taiwan Radar.


Link

Also on Miyakojima/Yaeyama Radar

Link

Table of Hourly Weather Observations
12 July 2013
Ishigakijima
Currently 964.6hPa
Link
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15979
Quoting 1804. Stormchaser121:

What are your thoughts on this thing...Levi did mention this.
I believe it could happen with low shear in the gulf and the front that may not make it to the gulf it looks about right. Well have to wait and see but thats mighty close to me i see.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1791. BahaHurican:
Good morning all. So far...

Nothing.

Rain? No.
Wind? Nah.

Overcast skies? Well, ok, but it's been like that most of this week [unusual for July, mind you].



If SLU thought Chantal was a non-event in St Lucia, imagine what he'd think here.... lol
Good morning. Forecast here yesterday said 60-70% chance of t-storms and today said 90% chance.b I think we will be lucky to get a little drizzle since the system looks fairly dried out now.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1799. bigwes6844:
yep its normal around this time

What are your thoughts on this thing...Levi did mention this.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting 1786. stoormfury:
WOW very trnquill tropics. activity is retricted to the usual flow of tropical waves. none of the reliable models are showing development the next 10 days. now is the time to continue to make preparations for the august/September explosion of anticipated activity. This could be the calm before the storms
yep its normal around this time
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 1853 - 1803

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
47 °F
Overcast

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron