Unusual Chantal Disorganized, but has 65 mph Winds

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 8:06 PM GMT on July 09, 2013

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Unusual Tropical Storm Chantal has strengthened a bit more as it speeds west-northwestwards at 26 mph away from the the Lesser Antilles Islands. Sustained winds of 38 mph, gusting to 52 mph, were observed at Martinique at 10 am AST as the storm passed. However, an automated weather station at the airport measured sustained winds of 60 mph, gusting to 78 mph, according to an official with Meteo-France. The Associated Press reported that Chantal ripped the roofs off of several homes on neighboring Dominica. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft measured top winds at their 1,000' flight level of 89 mph at 12:55 pm AST. Top winds seen by the aircraft's SFMR instrument were about 65 mph, in a small area east of Chantal's center. The Hurricane Hunters have departed Chantal, and the next plane is due in the storm at 8 pm EDT. Chantal's winds are unusually high considering the storm's high central pressure of 1006 mb and disorganized appearance on satellite imagery. Chantal is fighting dry air associated with the Saharan Air Layer (SAL), as seen on water vapor satellite loops. This dry air is creating strong thunderstorm downdrafts that are robbing Chantal of moisture and energy. Visible satellite loops show the outflow boundaries of these thunderstorm downdrafts at the surface, spreading to the northwest of Chantal. Martinique Radar shows a large area of heavy rain that is not well-organized, lying mostly to the west of the Lesser Antilles Islands.


Figure 1. MODIS image of Chantal taken at approximately 1 pm EDT Tuesday, July 9, 2013. At the time, Chantal had top winds of 65 mph, but looked very disorganized, due to high wind shear and dry air. Dry air is creating strong thunderstorm downdrafts that are robbing Chantal of moisture and energy. Outflow boundaries from these downdrafts are spreading out to the northwest of Chantal, as seen on this satellite image. Image credit: NASA.

An small-scale easterly jet creating high shear in Chantal
Chantal is not very impressive on satellite images, with a modest amount of heavy thunderstorms that are not well-organized. Only a small amount of upper-level outflow is visible. The reason for Chantal's rather disorganized appearance can be found by looking at this morning's balloon sounding from Guadaloupe. This island was just northwest of the center of Chantal when the balloon was launched at 8 am EDT. The sounding showed typical easterly trade winds at the surface of 12 knots (14 mph.) However, the winds rose quickly aloft, with a jet of easterly winds of 35 - 53 knots between 800 - 600 mb (about 7,000 - 15,000'.) But, by the time the ballon hit 500 mb (18,000'), the winds had died down to 15 knots. A change of wind speed from 12 knots to 53 knots and back down to 15 knots from the surface to 500 mb is a tremendous amount of wind shear, which will make it very difficult for a tropical storm to keep the surface center aligned with the upper level center. The traditional measure of wind shear, the difference in wind between 200 mb and 850 mb, was 44 knots in this morning's Guadaloupe sounding, but was a much higher 56 knots from 200 mb to 700 mb. The powerful easterly wind jet was not apparent at any of the other balloon soundings this morning at adjacent islands (Barbados, Puerto Rico, Saint Martin), and demonstrates that there is a lot going on the atmosphere at small scales we cannot see which makes intensity forecasting of tropical cyclones very challenging. Thanks go to Jason Dunion of NOAA's Hurricane Research Division for pointing out this morning's interesting Guadaloupe sounding.

Forecast for Chantal
Chantal will have difficulty intensifying much more before hitting Hispaniola on Wednesday afternoon. In their 11 am EDT wind probability forecast, NHC gave Chantal a 29% chance of becoming a hurricane before hitting Hispaniola. Working against intensification will be the high wind shear from the strong mid-level easterly jet discussed above, plus the fast forward speed of the storm--tropical storms moving faster than 20 mph in the deep tropics usually have trouble intensifying. In addition, the Eastern Caribbean is an area where the trade winds accelerate, helping drive sinking air that discourages tropical storm intensification. Dry air will also slow down the intensification process. Interaction with the high mountains of Hispaniola and high wind shear may be able to destroy Chantal by Thursday. The 2 pm EDT Tuesday wind shear forecast from the SHIPS model calls for shear to rise to the high range, 20 - 35 knots, Tuesday night through Friday. On Saturday, when Chantal is expected to be in the Bahamas, moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots is predicted. If Chantal survives until Saturday, it will then have the opportunity to re-strengthen. The latest 12Z run of the European model (ECMWF) dissipates Chantal as it crosses Hispaniola. The 12Z run of the American GFS model has Chantal barely surviving.

Chantal's fast west-northwest forward speed of 26 mph will slow to 20 mph by Wednesday morning and then 10 mph by Thursday night, as the storm "feels" the presence of a trough of low pressure over the U.S. East Coast. This trough will steer Chantal to the northwest and then north-northwest across Hispaniola and into the Bahamas. The trough of low pressure pulling Chantal northwards is expected to lift out the the northeast over the weekend, leaving Chantal behind off the coast of Florida. High pressure will likely build in, potentially forcing Chantal westwards into the Florida or Southeast U.S. coast, with a possible Sunday landfall.

Jeff Masters

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2686. leofarnsworth
4:50 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Now if Chantal was to RI, that ironically will probably be the death of her by my reckoning.  RI means a trip to the mountains...RIP. But I still contend if she drops to a wave, she will go west of all the models and end up in GOM where she could RI.
Quoting 2616. leofarnsworth:
Chantal getting severely disrupted is making the storm very shallow.  This should impact the steering currents previously thought to be in play.  My guess is Chantal will stay on a track westward under Cuba and emerge in GOM.  In GOM conditions should be much more favorable for RI. If I am right, what steering currents will impact Chantal in GOM? Where will she go from there?

Member Since: July 9, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 68
2685. moonlightcowboy
3:37 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
.
Member Since: July 9, 2006 Posts: 184 Comments: 29610
2684. BahaHurican
3:36 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2683. auburn:
You folks do know there is a new blog right?
NO.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22736
2683. auburn (Mod)
3:32 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
You folks do know there is a new blog right?
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 547 Comments: 50882
2682. Hurricane1956
3:31 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2632. StormWx:


Hey Scott, good to see you old friend. Looks like you wont be hit in Central Florida now, i'm sure thats killing you! Don't worry son, it could always make it into the gulf and then turn east in FL. Maybe you should make a call into NWS Melbourne and give them your update, they could very well change their mind! Have a great day, sir.
I'm for Florida and not wishcasting at all but I fully agreed with StormTrackerScott,I'm not expert but I expent the last 25 years studying hurricanes,and we I see a very persistent!! system like Chantal,they usually don't died easy,they are fighters storms for what ever reason mother nature should know!!,but just look how she looks last night and how she looks now!!!even the Hurricane Center was surprised to find a close circulation,this could be a Hurricane once it get North of Cuba,and I will safe this post to re-post it at a later time.
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 638
2681. mrsalagranny
3:30 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Good morning everyone. I for one am not discounting Chantal.Eventhough she looks rough, there is always the possibility of restrenghthen ( I know I didn't spell that right lol)Chantal is anything but an average storm.She has proved that through her journey.These are the ones you really have to watch.She has her sight set on something, just don't know what,but just be cautious in disregarding her.
Member Since: June 6, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 853
2680. RTSplayer
3:30 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Water vapor shows there is some upper level outflow on the NW quadrant, but I think that is enhanced by the ULL and the topography of DR and Haiti.

You can see on water vapor where it sort of blasts away the dry air around it, as well as other moisture streams in the vicinity, so that shows some outflow is present and formed in the past several frames.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
2679. FL1980
3:28 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2671. Dakster:


While I find your name quoting funny. It's Bastardi. I believe he knows who his mother is.


Totally, a typo. My mistake.
Member Since: August 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 38
2678. eddye
3:27 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
chantal is really blowing up
Member Since: August 12, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1386
2677. HurricaneAndre
3:27 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2659. 62901IL:

My forecast:
INIT 10/1500Z 16.5N 72.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 11/0000Z 18.1N 75.5W 35 KT 45 MPH
24H 11/1200Z 20.0N 78.2W 30 KT 40 MPH
36H 12/0000Z 22.5N 80.0W 25 KT 35 MPH
48H 12/1200Z 25.0N 80.5W 25 KT 35 MPH
72H 13/1200Z 30.0N 80.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
Have one problem,35kts isn't 45mph,it's 40mph.
Member Since: June 11, 2013 Posts: 20 Comments: 3383
2676. MonsterTrough
3:27 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
I find it interesting that some members are worried about a wave that the NHC has not circled, is several days from habitable areas, and models don't seem to develop intensely for some time......yet have completely written off a tropical storm that has defied logic and still maintains tropical storm status.

NHC may say it is going to be a wave soon, but they have been wrong in the past.

back to lurk.

MT out
Member Since: August 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 79
2675. SFLWeatherman
3:26 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
I like what the CMC is doing
Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4984
2674. AussieStorm
3:26 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Hurricane Central %u200F@twc_hurricane 1m
Tropical Storm Watch issued for #Jamaica. That said, #Chantal is forecast to fizzle sometime in the next 24 hours. Link
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15979
2673. mikatnight
3:26 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
I should get points for being prescient (#2661).
Member Since: October 18, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
2672. chrisdscane
3:25 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2648. MTWX:
My 2 cents:

Chantal is going to continue WNW and squeeze between Jamaica and Cuba. then start her turn north through central Cuba. US landfall along the Big Bend/Panhandle area of FL.

Reasoning:

storm will remain weak enough to not be picked up by the trough. As sheer relaxes north of Cuba and the High builds in from the east, she will gain latitude, but not really recurve.

Estimated FL landfall strength: 65-70 MPH TS

Quoting 2634. Camille33:
I think this maybe RI down the road.
Quoting 2616. leofarnsworth:
Chantal getting severely disrupted is making the storm very shallow.  This should impact the steering currents previously thought to be in play.  My guess is Chantal will stay on a track westward under Cuba and emerge in GOM.  In GOM conditions should be much more favorable for RI. If I am right, what steering currents will impact Chantal in GOM? Where will she go from there?




Guys stop this, GOM is not in play your just creating over-hype, quit the wishcasting lets get back to reality thank you.
Member Since: July 21, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1181
2671. Dakster
3:24 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2658. FL1980:
Here is Joe Bastard's take on Chantal..

"disagree with NHC. If this makes it across, should redevelop.warm water, trough splitting, favorable MJO all better in sw atl, not carribean"


While I find your name quoting funny. It's Bastardi. I believe he knows who his mother is.
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10815
2670. MTWX
3:24 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2651. 62901IL:

Wishcaster...go look at NHC.


I know what the NHC says... I just don't agree with their forecast.

And how the heck is that wishcasting??
Member Since: July 20, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1393
2669. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
3:24 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
2668. RTSplayer
3:23 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
I guess as long as it stays small circulation and moves so fast, its the best you could hope for Haiti avoiding any sort of flood disasters. Typically, a storm would be like twice the size and moving half the speed in this area.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
2667. Some1Has2BtheRookie
3:23 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2499. RitaEvac:


We're becoming a burnt crisp as cracks are widening and opening near foundations of homes, crape-myrtles are drooping and dying, grass is dying, detention ponds are down 3 feet


I have been faring a bit better, RitaEvac. I have managed to get some rains when most areas around me have not. I have not fared as well over the past couple of weeks and, as the temperatures of a Texas summer begin to rise again, I am seeing the beginnings of lower soil moisture content. When I last mowed the yard, the dust was becoming apparent. .. Also, I have had a bumper crop of poison ivy this year. Now all I need is a good market for it. Even at a dollar a bushel, I can make some real money here. :) ... Any buyers???
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4772
2666. CybrTeddy
3:23 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Wow, I certainly missed a lot regarding Chantal.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24580
2664. MechEngMet
3:23 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2623. RTSplayer:
Memorable facts about Chantal:

Totally unpredictable size and intensity.
Abnormally high pressure vs wind speeds.
Possibly the most disorganized TS on record.
!


I might add:

4) Formed during, strengthened in, and currently maintains avg ~25kts fwd speed!

5) Overcame SAL during X-Atl. transit and formation!

6) ALL in Early July!

I've never seen one do that before!
Member Since: April 13, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 755
2663. 7544
3:23 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
wow the cmc was frist to show whatever chantel is left of her going north to cuba and upo to the tip of fla now i see every model follows that run and even the nhc cone interesting could the cmc be right on how strong and fast she redeveloped
Member Since: May 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6874
2662. SFLWeatherman
3:23 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Doing good now

Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4984
2661. mikatnight
3:22 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
I reckon the doc will be on soon to straighten everyone out. Probably add a little blurb about climate change just to rev the blog up a tad.
Member Since: October 18, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
2660. alexhurricane1991
3:22 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2655. GTstormChaserCaleb:
The next AOI:



Also this wave nearing Senegal needs to be watched as it may combine or give energy to the wave in front of it.

im not sure why they haven't mentioned it yet looks pretty good to me.
Member Since: April 8, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 2572
2659. 62901IL
3:22 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2657. Dakster:


Not really, you know I don't have standards.. wait... that came out wrong.

I have standards, their low, but I have them.

My only point was that I don't think that Florida will be wiped off the face of the Earth by Chantal - unless something changes. That is the wonderful thing about weather, always 'subject to change'.

I really don't think the current cone and strength is going to hold. By hold, I mean strength could go up or down and track will change.

My forecast:
INIT 10/1500Z 16.5N 72.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 11/0000Z 18.1N 75.5W 35 KT 45 MPH
24H 11/1200Z 20.0N 78.2W 30 KT 40 MPH
36H 12/0000Z 22.5N 80.0W 25 KT 35 MPH
48H 12/1200Z 25.0N 80.5W 25 KT 35 MPH
72H 13/1200Z 30.0N 80.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
Member Since: June 14, 2013 Posts: 2 Comments: 2004
2658. FL1980
3:21 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Here is Joe Bastard's take on Chantal..

"disagree with NHC. If this makes it across, should redevelop.warm water, trough splitting, favorable MJO all better in sw atl, not carribean"
Member Since: August 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 38
2657. Dakster
3:21 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2644. 62901IL:

Can you be more specific as to your standards?


Not really, you know I don't have standards.. wait... that came out wrong.

I have standards, their low, but I have them.

My only point was that I don't think that Florida will be wiped off the face of the Earth by Chantal - unless something changes. That is the wonderful thing about weather, always 'subject to change'.

I really don't think the current cone and strength is going to hold. By hold, I mean strength could go up or down and track will change.
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10815
2656. CarolinaHurricanes87
3:19 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
The NHC just said she is still a storm... while you guys are saying move on to the next one, she is blowing up convection and still fighting to restrengthen. Conditions are awful for her, and she is ragged as heck, but what is there to move on to? There is currently a TS moving towards land. Just because it is frustrating let's not ignore the fact that she is still here. She continues to surprise, just let it play out and cut the crap about her being dead. NHC JUST SAID SHE IS NOT
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 631
2655. GTstormChaserCaleb
3:19 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
The next AOI:



Also this wave nearing Senegal needs to be watched as it may combine or give energy to the wave in front of it.

Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8774
2654. Camille33
3:18 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Member Since: July 2, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 1523
2653. RTSplayer
3:18 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2641. GTstormChaserCaleb:
Well well well what do we have here? Looks like Chantal is still putting up a fight, despite all the unfavorable conditions, CLLJ and Westerly Wind Shear.







Well, the map does show 5kt decreasing shear tendency in the area Chantal is entering.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
2652. OrchidGrower
3:18 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
P.s. Anybody got a vapor loop? What I can see of the new wave off Africa, shows plenty of circular banding.
Member Since: September 24, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 398
2651. 62901IL
3:18 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2648. MTWX:
My 2 cents:

Chantal is going to continue WNW and squeeze between Jamaica and Cuba. then start her turn north through central Cuba. US landfall along the Big Bend/Panhandle area of FL.

Reasoning:

storm will remain weak enough to not be picked up by the trough. As sheer relaxes north of Cuba and the High builds in from the east, she will gain latitude, but not really recurve.

Estimated FL landfall strength: 65-70 MPH TS


Wishcaster...go look at NHC.
Member Since: June 14, 2013 Posts: 2 Comments: 2004
2650. wpb
3:18 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2645. LargoFl:
PEOPLE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL...WHICH IS NEAR THE SOUTH COAST
OF HISPANIOLA THIS MORNING. CHANTAL...IN THE FORM OF A DEPRESSION OR
POSSIBLY AN OPEN WAVE...IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER EASTERN AND CENTRAL
CUBA ON THURSDAY...THEN CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

NOW IS AN EXCELLENT TIME TO REVIEW YOUR SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTION
PLAN...AND GATHER ANY REMAINING SUPPLIES FOR YOUR HURRICANE KIT
THAT YOU MIGHT STILL NEED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

MOSES/CRISTALDI
should never write that for this system
Member Since: May 28, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 573
2649. redwagon
3:18 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2611. RitaEvac:
Moving west well over 20mph....gonna make fools outta the long range models


It appears everybody has abandoned Chantal.... so I guess she's ours now? I'm putting her into Kenedy County as a strong Cat 1.. that way everybody gets some.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3280
2648. MTWX
3:17 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
My 2 cents:

Chantal is going to continue WNW and squeeze between Jamaica and Cuba. then start her turn north through central Cuba. US landfall along the Big Bend/Panhandle area of FL.

Reasoning:

storm will remain weak enough to not be picked up by the trough. As sheer relaxes north of Cuba and the High builds in from the east, she will gain latitude, but not really recurve.

Estimated FL landfall strength: 65-70 MPH TS

Member Since: July 20, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1393
2647. wpb
3:17 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2627. SouthernIllinois:
Time to move onto the next system....
YES
Member Since: May 28, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 573
2646. Camille33
3:16 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Link
I see 2 Hurricane Alicia analogs maybe go to texas down the road....
Member Since: July 2, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 1523
2645. LargoFl
3:16 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
PEOPLE ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL...WHICH IS NEAR THE SOUTH COAST
OF HISPANIOLA THIS MORNING. CHANTAL...IN THE FORM OF A DEPRESSION OR
POSSIBLY AN OPEN WAVE...IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER EASTERN AND CENTRAL
CUBA ON THURSDAY...THEN CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

NOW IS AN EXCELLENT TIME TO REVIEW YOUR SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTION
PLAN...AND GATHER ANY REMAINING SUPPLIES FOR YOUR HURRICANE KIT
THAT YOU MIGHT STILL NEED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

MOSES/CRISTALDI
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42271
2644. 62901IL
3:15 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2639. Dakster:


Out of 1,000, with 1,000 being a Hurricane Andrew type event.

Can you be more specific as to your standards?
Member Since: June 14, 2013 Posts: 2 Comments: 2004
2643. CaicosRetiredSailor
3:15 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
: )


Results for Provo, TCI (21.78N, 72.27W):

The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 17.6N, 74.4W or about 319.4 miles (514.1 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 8 hours and 5 minutes from now (Wednesday, July 10 at 7:18PM EDT).
Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6069
2641. GTstormChaserCaleb
3:14 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Well well well what do we have here? Looks like Chantal is still putting up a fight, despite all the unfavorable conditions, CLLJ and Westerly Wind Shear.





Member Since: June 30, 2013 Posts: 12 Comments: 8774
2640. hurricanes2018
3:14 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 114 Comments: 107007
2639. Dakster
3:14 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2626. 62901IL:
Chantal's DOOM:CON for florida is a three by my standards.


Out of 1,000, with 1,000 being a Hurricane Andrew type event.
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10815
2638. OrchidGrower
3:13 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Chantal is no doubt in an astonishing hurry to go ... "somewhere."

Seems to me the ULL nearing/over SE Florida is an awfully big piece of this puzzle. Unless Chantal degenerates into a wave and essentially steams westward, she's got to start dealing with the ULL very soon, I would think.

Here's to not having Chantal knock all the fruit off my loaded trees in a few days!!!....
Member Since: September 24, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 398
2637. 62901IL
3:13 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2634. Camille33:
I think this maybe RI down the road.

Unlikely. Chantal is barely organized enough to be a 45mph TS.
Member Since: June 14, 2013 Posts: 2 Comments: 2004
2636. SFlHurricane06
3:12 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Quoting 2619. StormTrackerScott:
I think the NHC is wrong in saying Chantal will degenerate in 24 hrs. I am no expert but I just don't see her degenerating anytime soon.



You are a typical FL wish caster. Look at all your "sound the alarm" posts lol
Member Since: September 3, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 47

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