Unusual Chantal Disorganized, but has 65 mph Winds

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 8:06 PM GMT on July 09, 2013

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Unusual Tropical Storm Chantal has strengthened a bit more as it speeds west-northwestwards at 26 mph away from the the Lesser Antilles Islands. Sustained winds of 38 mph, gusting to 52 mph, were observed at Martinique at 10 am AST as the storm passed. However, an automated weather station at the airport measured sustained winds of 60 mph, gusting to 78 mph, according to an official with Meteo-France. The Associated Press reported that Chantal ripped the roofs off of several homes on neighboring Dominica. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft measured top winds at their 1,000' flight level of 89 mph at 12:55 pm AST. Top winds seen by the aircraft's SFMR instrument were about 65 mph, in a small area east of Chantal's center. The Hurricane Hunters have departed Chantal, and the next plane is due in the storm at 8 pm EDT. Chantal's winds are unusually high considering the storm's high central pressure of 1006 mb and disorganized appearance on satellite imagery. Chantal is fighting dry air associated with the Saharan Air Layer (SAL), as seen on water vapor satellite loops. This dry air is creating strong thunderstorm downdrafts that are robbing Chantal of moisture and energy. Visible satellite loops show the outflow boundaries of these thunderstorm downdrafts at the surface, spreading to the northwest of Chantal. Martinique Radar shows a large area of heavy rain that is not well-organized, lying mostly to the west of the Lesser Antilles Islands.


Figure 1. MODIS image of Chantal taken at approximately 1 pm EDT Tuesday, July 9, 2013. At the time, Chantal had top winds of 65 mph, but looked very disorganized, due to high wind shear and dry air. Dry air is creating strong thunderstorm downdrafts that are robbing Chantal of moisture and energy. Outflow boundaries from these downdrafts are spreading out to the northwest of Chantal, as seen on this satellite image. Image credit: NASA.

An small-scale easterly jet creating high shear in Chantal
Chantal is not very impressive on satellite images, with a modest amount of heavy thunderstorms that are not well-organized. Only a small amount of upper-level outflow is visible. The reason for Chantal's rather disorganized appearance can be found by looking at this morning's balloon sounding from Guadaloupe. This island was just northwest of the center of Chantal when the balloon was launched at 8 am EDT. The sounding showed typical easterly trade winds at the surface of 12 knots (14 mph.) However, the winds rose quickly aloft, with a jet of easterly winds of 35 - 53 knots between 800 - 600 mb (about 7,000 - 15,000'.) But, by the time the ballon hit 500 mb (18,000'), the winds had died down to 15 knots. A change of wind speed from 12 knots to 53 knots and back down to 15 knots from the surface to 500 mb is a tremendous amount of wind shear, which will make it very difficult for a tropical storm to keep the surface center aligned with the upper level center. The traditional measure of wind shear, the difference in wind between 200 mb and 850 mb, was 44 knots in this morning's Guadaloupe sounding, but was a much higher 56 knots from 200 mb to 700 mb. The powerful easterly wind jet was not apparent at any of the other balloon soundings this morning at adjacent islands (Barbados, Puerto Rico, Saint Martin), and demonstrates that there is a lot going on the atmosphere at small scales we cannot see which makes intensity forecasting of tropical cyclones very challenging. Thanks go to Jason Dunion of NOAA's Hurricane Research Division for pointing out this morning's interesting Guadaloupe sounding.

Forecast for Chantal
Chantal will have difficulty intensifying much more before hitting Hispaniola on Wednesday afternoon. In their 11 am EDT wind probability forecast, NHC gave Chantal a 29% chance of becoming a hurricane before hitting Hispaniola. Working against intensification will be the high wind shear from the strong mid-level easterly jet discussed above, plus the fast forward speed of the storm--tropical storms moving faster than 20 mph in the deep tropics usually have trouble intensifying. In addition, the Eastern Caribbean is an area where the trade winds accelerate, helping drive sinking air that discourages tropical storm intensification. Dry air will also slow down the intensification process. Interaction with the high mountains of Hispaniola and high wind shear may be able to destroy Chantal by Thursday. The 2 pm EDT Tuesday wind shear forecast from the SHIPS model calls for shear to rise to the high range, 20 - 35 knots, Tuesday night through Friday. On Saturday, when Chantal is expected to be in the Bahamas, moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots is predicted. If Chantal survives until Saturday, it will then have the opportunity to re-strengthen. The latest 12Z run of the European model (ECMWF) dissipates Chantal as it crosses Hispaniola. The 12Z run of the American GFS model has Chantal barely surviving.

Chantal's fast west-northwest forward speed of 26 mph will slow to 20 mph by Wednesday morning and then 10 mph by Thursday night, as the storm "feels" the presence of a trough of low pressure over the U.S. East Coast. This trough will steer Chantal to the northwest and then north-northwest across Hispaniola and into the Bahamas. The trough of low pressure pulling Chantal northwards is expected to lift out the the northeast over the weekend, leaving Chantal behind off the coast of Florida. High pressure will likely build in, potentially forcing Chantal westwards into the Florida or Southeast U.S. coast, with a possible Sunday landfall.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting 1067. all4hurricanes:
What did Recon find in Chantal?


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Quoting 1070. Bluestorm5:


Failed to find center in first 2 passes. We'll see.


they have been investigating the northern part this whole time, they havent gone further south yet
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Quoting will40:


i agree i think she knows exactly what she is doing

She is playing with the minds of the people on WU.
She is doing a very good job at it also.
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She looks south of the forecast points.
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Quoting 1062. Grothar:
Quoting 1062. Grothar:


Stop it
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Official NHC Forecast

As of 8 PM:
HISPANIOLA...
DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT FROM AN UPPER RIDGE COVERING MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN W OF 70W AND AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED W OF THE BAHAMAS IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HISPANIOLA THIS EVENING. THE CENTER OF TROPICAL CYCLONE CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC EARLY WED AFTERNOON.
THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE W-NW ACROSS THE ISLAND AND EXIT NW HAITI VERY EARLY ON THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE AND THE PROGRESS OF CHANTAL SHOULD BE WATCHED CLOSELY. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE UP FOR ALL OF HISPANIOLA WITH A HURRICANE WATCH ACROSS THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
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Having problems with my computer (sorry). If the Gentleman below (OZ) is in fact on the Island; he would be the first Blogger on here from Cuba.......Welcome. Please keep us posted on conditions there as you can over the next few days.
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Quoting Civicane49:


Impressive typhoon...

It's like a circular saw cutting through the atmosphere.
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1078. Levi32
Good evening.

Blog update:

Tropical Tidbit for Tuesday, July 9th, with Video
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Quoting 1068. GeoffreyWPB:
Gro...with her forward speed, do you expect another model shift?


I do....farther south and west in the next 3 days....probably staying about the same for days 4-5
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Quoting 1009. Grothar:



I told you people 3 days ago Chantal was going to move over Hispaniola then move through the Windward Passage into the Bahamas and very possibly Florida. :)

What more do you want???? I need my rest.


The Zen Master Hath Spoken! Bow in fear and awe of his almighty wisdom!
It seems as though that turn west maybe delayed so we might not get the center. At any rate we are just BARELY west of the forecast so I think we might be in for a decent ride if she strengthens in the Bahamas. I ran the genny earlier today to make sure all was well and secured all loose gear, checked supplies etc. looks like the season is starting with enthusiasm.
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1075. Grothar
Quoting 1068. GeoffreyWPB:
Gro...with her forward speed, do you expect another model shift?


I expect a number of them. In a fluctuating storm, the models do exactly what they are supposed to do; adjust to the current data.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26483
Looking at the 8pm models it seems that they have shifted to the west and then curving NW perhaps missing Haiti and coming up thru Cuba moving NNW into the Bahamas perhaps skimming SE Florida
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1073. sar2401
Quoting DataNerd:
New intense convective bursting underway:
Link

It's rather amazing that a storm that's about 210 miles SEE of San Juan still has so much interaction with Venezuela and Columbia.
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1072. sigh
Quoting 1048. 0z:
Hello, I am a Cuban meteorologist is my first comment on the blog of Jeff Masters, thanks Dr. Masters, I think Chantal did not reach Hispaniola, his career will live to the east of Cuba to go to the Bahamas, and I think also that touched southern Florida, the models will respond to what is making the move west, the trajectory will move west too, remember Hurricane Ivan the model s first pointed east of Cuba, then west and finally barely touch it .
Chantal can still surprise and Dorian watch next week, see you.


It's fantastic to have a meteorologist from Cuba here. Welcome! Please keep posting!

.
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1071. will40
Quoting 1067. all4hurricanes:
What did Recon find in Chantal?


not much so far
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Quoting 1067. all4hurricanes:
What did Recon find in Chantal?


Failed to find center in first 2 passes. We'll see.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8030
Quoting 1061. RTSplayer:


Yes, it's over half a degree south of the forecast point, so it's even outside the self-reported margin of error.



this chages evere thing
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Gro...with her forward speed, do you expect another model shift?
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What did Recon find in Chantal?
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1066. will40
Quoting 1057. redwagon:


It's almost like Chantal has a brain and has 'thought' her way through this since jumping off Africa. Weird.


i agree i think she knows exactly what she is doing
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looks to have good convection firing but is it still outrunning the convection?
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We may have to look at storms different they don't act like they should anymore.
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1062. Grothar
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26483
Quoting 1049. Tazmanian:
now we have a ture center all so it is move W and its about too move pass its next forcast point


Yes, it's over half a degree south of the forecast point, so it's even outside the self-reported margin of error.
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Quoting 1055. AussieStorm:
Meanwhile in the WPAC

Typhoon Soulik


132mph(115kts) to peak at 149mph(130kts).


Impressive typhoon...
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does anybody read my posts? lol i put that there was a convective burst like 30 minutes ago. i saw it first :D (for once :P)
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Quoting 1053. MechEngMet:
I'll eat crow for sure, but if this keeps up she will not cross Haiti.

Weaker disorganized keeps moving west. (Yes I'm aware she just put up a burst of convection)

Faster keeps moving west.

Stronger slower moves north.

The ULL may drag her north at some point, but I think they're both too weak to do anything dramatic this soon. Wait untill the models gets this next set of recon data. This is gong to be interesting.


It may cross the western tip of Hispaniola
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Quoting 1036. canehater1:
One thing for sure..lil "Chantral" fired up the blog !


It's almost like Chantal has a brain and has 'thought' her way through this since jumping off Africa. Weird.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3276
1056. Matt74
Quoting 1044. DataNerd:
Pretty clear right now that chantal is off course substantially.

00:55:00Z 15.517N 65.483W 842.8 mb
(~ 24.89 inHg) 1,610 meters
(~ 5,282 feet) 1013.5 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 142° at 30 knots
(From the SE at ~ 34.5 mph) 17.7°C
(~ 63.9°F) 15.0°C
(~ 59.0°F) 31 knots
(~ 35.6 mph) 32 knots
(~ 36.8 mph) 0 mm/hr
(~ 0 in/hr) 31.0 knots (~ 35.6 mph)
103.2%
00:55:30Z 15.500N 65.467W 843.2 mb
(~ 24.90 inHg) 1,606 meters
(~ 5,269 feet) 1013.3 mb
(~ 29.92 inHg) - From 143° at 30 knots
(From the SE at ~ 34.5 mph) 18.0°C
(~ 64.4°F) 14.8°C
(~ 58.6°F) 31 knots
(~ 35.6 mph) 35 knots
(~ 40.2 mph) 0 mm/hr
(~ 0 in/hr) 33.9 knots (~ 39.0 mph)
112.9%
00:56:00Z 15.483N 65.450W 843.1 mb
(~ 24.90 inHg) 1,608 meters
(~ 5,276 feet) 1013.4 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 138° at 27 knots
(From the SE at ~ 31.0 mph) 18.1°C
(~ 64.6°F) 13.6°C
(~ 56.5°F) 30 knots
(~ 34.5 mph) 39 knots
(~ 44.8 mph) 0 mm/hr
(~ 0 in/hr) 35.1 knots (~ 40.4 mph)
Tropical Storm 130.0%
00:56:30Z 15.467N 65.433W 843.2 mb
(~ 24.90 inHg) 1,605 meters
(~ 5,266 feet) 1013.1 mb
(~ 29.92 inHg) - From 129° at 28 knots
(From the SE at ~ 32.2 mph) 19.0°C
(~ 66.2°F) 12.2°C
(~ 54.0°F) 29 knots
(~ 33.3 mph) 40 knots
(~ 46.0 mph) 1 mm/hr
(~ 0.04 in/hr) 38.6 knots (~ 44.4 mph)
Tropical Storm 137.9%
00:57:00Z 15.450N 65.400W 844.7 mb
(~ 24.94 inHg) 1,591 meters
(~ 5,220 feet) 1013.5 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 139° at 29 knots
(From the SE at ~ 33.3 mph) 17.9°C
(~ 64.2°F) 12.5°C
(~ 54.5°F) 31 knots
(~ 35.6 mph) 42 knots
(~ 48.3 mph) 3 mm/hr
(~ 0.12 in/hr) 39.3 knots (~ 45.2 mph)
Tropical Storm 135.5%
00:57:30Z 15.433N 65.383W 842.2 mb
(~ 24.87 inHg) 1,613 meters
(~ 5,292 feet) 1014.5 mb
(~ 29.96 inHg) - From 143° at 21 knots
(From the SE at ~ 24.1 mph) 16.1°C
(~ 61.0°F) 13.6°C
(~ 56.5°F) 25 knots
(~ 28.7 mph) 39 knots
(~ 44.8 mph) 9 mm/hr
(~ 0.35 in/hr) 32.8 knots (~ 37.7 mph)
156.0%
Seems to me it's been exactly where the NHC track has said it's going to be. NHC has been pretty accurate as usual.
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Meanwhile in the WPAC

Typhoon Soulik


132mph(115kts) to peak at 149mph(130kts).
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Quoting 1043. weathermanwannabe:
Those jogs, when approaching a potential mountainous minefield, can make all the difference in the world. She is riding the southern edge of the ridge down there.....Don't see how she can avoid Haiti unless there is a huge shift in the ridge; also, note that the ULL near Florida is moving a bit SW. I still think she is going to still going to get pulled to the N-NW around Haiti per the current forecast.
What affect will the ULL have on Chantal?
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I'll eat crow for sure, but if this keeps up she will not cross Haiti.

Weaker disorganized keeps moving west. (Yes I'm aware she just put up a burst of convection)

Faster keeps moving west.

Stronger slower moves north.

The ULL may drag her north at some point, but I think they're both too weak to do anything dramatic this soon. Wait untill the models gets this next set of recon data. This is gong to be interesting.
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Quoting 1032. Patrap:


nice burst of convection, small, but let's see if it can persist.
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This storm seems to be hard to forecast where is reedzone? would like to get his forecast. on this one
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Quoting 1044. DataNerd:
Pretty clear right now that chantal is off course substantially.

00:55:00Z 15.517N 65.483W 842.8 mb
(~ 24.89 inHg) 1,610 meters
(~ 5,282 feet) 1013.5 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 142° at 30 knots
(From the SE at ~ 34.5 mph) 17.7°C
(~ 63.9°F) 15.0°C
(~ 59.0°F) 31 knots
(~ 35.6 mph) 32 knots
(~ 36.8 mph) 0 mm/hr
(~ 0 in/hr) 31.0 knots (~ 35.6 mph)
103.2%
00:55:30Z 15.500N 65.467W 843.2 mb
(~ 24.90 inHg) 1,606 meters
(~ 5,269 feet) 1013.3 mb
(~ 29.92 inHg) - From 143° at 30 knots
(From the SE at ~ 34.5 mph) 18.0°C
(~ 64.4°F) 14.8°C
(~ 58.6°F) 31 knots
(~ 35.6 mph) 35 knots
(~ 40.2 mph) 0 mm/hr
(~ 0 in/hr) 33.9 knots (~ 39.0 mph)
112.9%
00:56:00Z 15.483N 65.450W 843.1 mb
(~ 24.90 inHg) 1,608 meters
(~ 5,276 feet) 1013.4 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 138° at 27 knots
(From the SE at ~ 31.0 mph) 18.1°C
(~ 64.6°F) 13.6°C
(~ 56.5°F) 30 knots
(~ 34.5 mph) 39 knots
(~ 44.8 mph) 0 mm/hr
(~ 0 in/hr) 35.1 knots (~ 40.4 mph)
Tropical Storm 130.0%
00:56:30Z 15.467N 65.433W 843.2 mb
(~ 24.90 inHg) 1,605 meters
(~ 5,266 feet) 1013.1 mb
(~ 29.92 inHg) - From 129° at 28 knots
(From the SE at ~ 32.2 mph) 19.0°C
(~ 66.2°F) 12.2°C
(~ 54.0°F) 29 knots
(~ 33.3 mph) 40 knots
(~ 46.0 mph) 1 mm/hr
(~ 0.04 in/hr) 38.6 knots (~ 44.4 mph)
Tropical Storm 137.9%
00:57:00Z 15.450N 65.400W 844.7 mb
(~ 24.94 inHg) 1,591 meters
(~ 5,220 feet) 1013.5 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 139° at 29 knots
(From the SE at ~ 33.3 mph) 17.9°C
(~ 64.2°F) 12.5°C
(~ 54.5°F) 31 knots
(~ 35.6 mph) 42 knots
(~ 48.3 mph) 3 mm/hr
(~ 0.12 in/hr) 39.3 knots (~ 45.2 mph)
Tropical Storm 135.5%
00:57:30Z 15.433N 65.383W 842.2 mb
(~ 24.87 inHg) 1,613 meters
(~ 5,292 feet) 1014.5 mb
(~ 29.96 inHg) - From 143° at 21 knots
(From the SE at ~ 24.1 mph) 16.1°C
(~ 61.0°F) 13.6°C
(~ 56.5°F) 25 knots
(~ 28.7 mph) 39 knots
(~ 44.8 mph) 9 mm/hr
(~ 0.35 in/hr) 32.8 knots (~ 37.7 mph)
156.0%


*sigh*

Those aren't center fixes. Those are the locations of the dropsonde sampling.
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now we have a ture center all so it is move W and its about too move pass its next forcast point
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1048. 0z
Hello, I am a Cuban meteorologist is my first comment on the blog of Jeff Masters, thanks Dr. Masters, I think Chantal did not reach Hispaniola, his career will live to the east of Cuba to go to the Bahamas, and I think also that touched southern Florida, the models will respond to what is making the move west, the trajectory will move west too, remember Hurricane Ivan the model s first pointed east of Cuba, then west and finally barely touch it .
Chantal can still surprise and Dorian watch next week, see you.
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1047. sar2401
Quoting EyEtoEyE:
Chantal is very much alive and kicking , just give her time to evolve, just remember what John Hope the Hurricane guru said , developes east of the islands , the storm won't die , it may struggle where it is , but west of Haiti , watch out she could explode . My thinking over middle of Cuba , then all bets are off east or west of Florida as a major , that is if she survives tonight , and early Wednesday , Chantal will probally surprise us all , she's made it thus far .

You're thinking she may not survive tonight but, if she does, she will somehow emerge from Haiti and then turn either east or west of Florida and explode as a Cat 3+? West of Haiti lies Cuba, with some of the highest mountains in the Caribbean. I think your undertanding of the geography in that area needs a little work.
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chantral pressure is 1008 mb and the trades ganna blow her doors in
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Quoting 1043. weathermanwannabe:
Those jogs, when approaching a potential mountainous minefield, can make all the difference in the world. She is riding the southern edge of the ridge down there.....Don't see how she can avoid Haiti unless there is a huge shift in the ridge; also, note that the ULL near Florida is moving a bit SW. I still think she is going to still going to get pulled to the N-NW around Haiti per the current forecast.


If that happens,then it avoids the tall mountains of DR.
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Pretty clear right now that chantal is off course substantially.

00:55:00Z 15.517N 65.483W 842.8 mb
(~ 24.89 inHg) 1,610 meters
(~ 5,282 feet) 1013.5 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 142° at 30 knots
(From the SE at ~ 34.5 mph) 17.7°C
(~ 63.9°F) 15.0°C
(~ 59.0°F) 31 knots
(~ 35.6 mph) 32 knots
(~ 36.8 mph) 0 mm/hr
(~ 0 in/hr) 31.0 knots (~ 35.6 mph)
103.2%
00:55:30Z 15.500N 65.467W 843.2 mb
(~ 24.90 inHg) 1,606 meters
(~ 5,269 feet) 1013.3 mb
(~ 29.92 inHg) - From 143° at 30 knots
(From the SE at ~ 34.5 mph) 18.0°C
(~ 64.4°F) 14.8°C
(~ 58.6°F) 31 knots
(~ 35.6 mph) 35 knots
(~ 40.2 mph) 0 mm/hr
(~ 0 in/hr) 33.9 knots (~ 39.0 mph)
112.9%
00:56:00Z 15.483N 65.450W 843.1 mb
(~ 24.90 inHg) 1,608 meters
(~ 5,276 feet) 1013.4 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 138° at 27 knots
(From the SE at ~ 31.0 mph) 18.1°C
(~ 64.6°F) 13.6°C
(~ 56.5°F) 30 knots
(~ 34.5 mph) 39 knots
(~ 44.8 mph) 0 mm/hr
(~ 0 in/hr) 35.1 knots (~ 40.4 mph)
Tropical Storm 130.0%
00:56:30Z 15.467N 65.433W 843.2 mb
(~ 24.90 inHg) 1,605 meters
(~ 5,266 feet) 1013.1 mb
(~ 29.92 inHg) - From 129° at 28 knots
(From the SE at ~ 32.2 mph) 19.0°C
(~ 66.2°F) 12.2°C
(~ 54.0°F) 29 knots
(~ 33.3 mph) 40 knots
(~ 46.0 mph) 1 mm/hr
(~ 0.04 in/hr) 38.6 knots (~ 44.4 mph)
Tropical Storm 137.9%
00:57:00Z 15.450N 65.400W 844.7 mb
(~ 24.94 inHg) 1,591 meters
(~ 5,220 feet) 1013.5 mb
(~ 29.93 inHg) - From 139° at 29 knots
(From the SE at ~ 33.3 mph) 17.9°C
(~ 64.2°F) 12.5°C
(~ 54.5°F) 31 knots
(~ 35.6 mph) 42 knots
(~ 48.3 mph) 3 mm/hr
(~ 0.12 in/hr) 39.3 knots (~ 45.2 mph)
Tropical Storm 135.5%
00:57:30Z 15.433N 65.383W 842.2 mb
(~ 24.87 inHg) 1,613 meters
(~ 5,292 feet) 1014.5 mb
(~ 29.96 inHg) - From 143° at 21 knots
(From the SE at ~ 24.1 mph) 16.1°C
(~ 61.0°F) 13.6°C
(~ 56.5°F) 25 knots
(~ 28.7 mph) 39 knots
(~ 44.8 mph) 9 mm/hr
(~ 0.35 in/hr) 32.8 knots (~ 37.7 mph)
156.0%
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Those jogs, when approaching a potential mountainous minefield, can make all the difference in the world. She is riding the southern edge of the ridge down there.....Don't see how she can avoid Haiti unless there is a huge shift in the ridge; also, note that the ULL near Florida is moving a bit SW. I still think she is going to still going to get pulled to the N-NW around Haiti per the current forecast.
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New intense convective bursting underway:
Link
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1041. Matt74
Quoting 1029. Civicane49:
Impressive looking burst of storms.
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65w 15n

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Quoting 1010. MiamiHurricanes09:
Pretty "interesting" wind shifts.



Pretty interesting flight path too; not the typical cross pattern. They seem to be doubling back on themselves.
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i guss we sould toes the wind shear map out the window


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Quoting 1010. MiamiHurricanes09:
Pretty "interesting" wind shifts.


yeah weird

Quoting 1017. Matt74:
Might as well call him a wishcaster cause he's definitely wanting a cayman/Jamaica hit.

I'm not and I don't want it going anywhere
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One thing for sure..lil "Chantral" fired up the blog !
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.