Delta

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 10:52 PM GMT on November 23, 2005

Share this Blog
0
+

This is Tim Roche in for Dr. Masters.
Tropical Storm Delta was classified as a tropical storm as of the 4:00pm EST update from the National Hurricane Center. Delta formed out of a non-tropical low pressure system that has been slowly aquiring tropical characteristics, while drifting eastward over the Atlantic since the middle of last week. Convection wrapped almost all the way around the center earlier today, and a recent Quikscat pass showed several areas with uncontaminated 50kt wind vectors. The system is forecast to drift southward for the next few days then to accelerate northward and lose its tropical characteristics. As Delta becomes extratropical, it will likely strengthen more, with winds possibly reaching hurricane strength. Delta shouldn't effect any landmasses as a tropical storm, and is mostly a threat to nautical interests.

Figure 1. Official NHC 5 day forecast

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 160 - 110

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4Blog Index

160. Alec
3:38 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
hahahaha.....LOL cajunkid we're on a time capsule...sit back and ENJOY the ride!!!!LOL
159. Alec
3:36 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
see you there
158. cajunkid
3:35 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
wtf?? Who did this? pretty funny
Member Since: July 10, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1276
157. HurricaneKing
3:35 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
WE probably need to get out of here. Dont need to mess up this blog.
Member Since: July 6, 2005 Posts: 71 Comments: 2449
156. Alec
3:34 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
rats
155. Alec
3:34 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
The Emily blog!!!


next place....see ya...
153. HurricaneKing
3:33 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
I killed the dead blog.
Member Since: July 6, 2005 Posts: 71 Comments: 2449
152. atmosweather
3:33 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
LOL Alec brilliant!!! Hey, we could unearth all of the blogs from last year and put them at the top of the list and that'll really confuse people LOL!!!!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
151. HurricaneKing
3:32 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
HAHAHHAHAHA
Member Since: July 6, 2005 Posts: 71 Comments: 2449
150. Alec
3:32 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
i think Michael and the rest of the gang got lost!!LOL or maybe they'll find us soon.......a new time capsule soon..............
149. atmosweather
3:31 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
I can really buy into this Canary Island landfall idea right now........ROFLOL!!!!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
147. Alec
3:30 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
heyRich we can have a blog scavenger hunt!!!!this is totally awesome!!!!!!people will wonder whats going on!!!!
146. atmosweather
3:30 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
ROFL ALEC!!!

I think Epsilon will form on November 30th, thats just a guess LOL!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
145. Alec
3:29 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
weeeeeee
144. atmosweather
3:29 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
I'm going back to the future LOL!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
143. Alec
3:29 AM GMT on June 22, 2006
weatherboyfsu!!!!!!It's been a great thanksgiving, for im thankful everyday!!!LOL
142. weatherboyfsu
4:38 PM GMT on November 25, 2005
Hello everyone,,,,,,,,,,hope everybody had a great Thanksgivng Day!.....Good to see you HURRICANE CHASER, glad to hear everything is going well.......Good to see your weather forecasts on here. Please continue the good work....... and PLEASE STOP acknowledging anything derogatory on here!!!!!! These people need vindication. They are lacking somewhere and have to attack you to make themselves feel good. Just ignore them as I do. You have to understand what this forum is. Just a simple weather chat room with lots of lurkers who like to come on here and read our opinions. A lot more than you know. For their benefit ignore the few underachievers and have fun! Thats what this blog is about,discussing the weather and having fun..............As far as the tropical season.....nothing but Delta out playing with the fishes......boring.......and good to here from the ole STORMTOP.........WHATS KICKING BUDDY..........HOPE YOUR DOING WELL.............See ya
Member Since: July 17, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1025
141. hurricanechaser
12:03 PM GMT on November 25, 2005
Hey everyone,

I have just updated my blog not too long ago. Here is my perspective concerning the talk of Epsilon forming from a split of Delta and heading in the general direction of the U.S. I also go into my assessments of Delta as well as my thoughts about any further development this season in my blog.

What about Epsilon?

I mentioned yesterday that Delta could split into two seperate and distinct low pressure areas (as a couple of models suggested)with the new Low moving more toward the west. Although this possibility can't be ruled out, it's fairly unlikely and would be a very rare occurance if it were to happen. Therefore, it is far more likely that a new Low will develop to its west as a seperate entity and this process could very well be taking place as we speak. The atmospheric pressures are falling to Deltas west and this could be the beginnings of the formation of our new Low. If so, this developing Low could take the energy away from Delta and basically absorb that weakening system. The latest computer models all develop a Low to Deltas west and move it in a general west to NW motion. However, this is not a sure thing till the new Low were to actually materialize. If it does do so as I anticipate, it is highly unlikely at most that this system could be a major threat to the U.S. coastline. As is typical for this time of year, there is far more atmospheric activity across the United States moving generally from west to east through the mid latitudes. As a result, the troughs that move through the U.S. and off the U.S. East Coast are much more amplified (stronger)and should keep any system that does form from getting too close to the U.S. Until such a Low forms to Deltas west, its all just speculation at this point as to its eventual strength or future track.

I hope you all had a wonderful Thanksgiving and I look forward to talking with you again soon.
140. theboldman
7:28 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
is it still a cold core system or has it turned to a warm core system yet does anybody know
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 25 Comments: 2
139. Trouper415
7:10 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Whats the difference in the outcome if it stalls or not?
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 637
138. snowboy
6:15 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
wow billsfan had never considered that possibility - that is not good at all. providing access to the best possible information should be the goal of the media as far as I'm concerned
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
137. billsfaninsofla
6:00 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
snowboy....South Florida relies on tourism...so if ANYTHING is coming this way, it will be squashed by the media.....some of us are relying on the knowledge and expertise here...we live here....we care
Member Since: September 5, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 5247
136. snowboy
5:46 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
what d'ya mean, billsfan?
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
135. billsfaninsofla
5:30 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
thanks guys for the input..please keep it coming.....because we will not get much down here in So Fla....
Member Since: September 5, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 5247
134. snowboy
5:12 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
?
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
133. dcw
5:01 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Ph33r the w0rd split.
Member Since: August 2, 2001 Posts: 2 Comments: 3
132. snowboy
4:30 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
true we're far out in the land of speculation - first need to see what happens with Delta and if new storm (Epsilon?) spins of or forms...
then (3 days from now) see what conditions are 5 days out

in the meantime, you have to hand it to Delta, it's a plucky little November storm (padding the record books with no risk to land, which is good)
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
131. ProgressivePulse
4:23 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
12Z says stall for all, exept for the nogaps. Will change tomorrow and the next and the Next. Have to see at 3 days, will it happen?
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
130. ProgressivePulse
4:17 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Yeah but this system is much farther north and in a much more hostile enviornment. If it were to track west it would be faced with crazy wind shears. GFS at 12Z dissipated the system around Puerto Rico.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
129. snowboy
4:10 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
this quote says it all:
"THE EVOLUTION OF THE TWO SYSTEMS IN THE MODELS IS
QUITE COMPLEX AND COULD CHANGE"
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
128. snowboy
4:08 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
it is November, but think of how far west TD27/Gamma made it before fizzling out (it started out well east of the Windward Islands)
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
127. ProgressivePulse
4:03 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Nor will it be till it happens, then it is highly complicated due to the patterns this time of year, almost anyones guess.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
126. ProgressivePulse
4:02 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
We now see persitance in the split, now we need to see persitance in the track, which is not there!
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
125. ProgressivePulse
3:59 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Little hope is that the latest GFS shows #2 stalling, like tornadoty stated earlier, chances are it will get picked up and out of the area (fish storm).
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
124. snowboy
3:55 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
yeah progressive, they're hedging now with this quote from 10 pm discussion:

A POTENTIAL COMPLICATING FACTOR... HOWEVER... IS A SEPARATE SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORECAST TO DEVELOP WEST OF DELTA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE NEW MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THE MODELS
GENERALLY AGREE THAT DELTA WILL REMAIN SEPARATED FAR ENOUGH EAST
FROM THAT SYSTEM AND NOT BE DRAWN WESTWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD... BUT THE EVOLUTION OF THE TWO SYSTEMS IN THE MODELS IS
QUITE COMPLEX AND COULD CHANGE.
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
123. ProgressivePulse
3:50 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Yeah Baha I agree, Bahama's have been through too much.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
122. ProgressivePulse
3:49 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Not much, but it went from extrotropical to an unsure.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
121. ProgressivePulse
3:47 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
NHC is taking more crediance to the split as of 10pm advisory.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
120. snowboy
3:41 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Delta's looking pretty perky tonight
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
119. BahaHurican
2:08 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Please do not mention NE Caribbean too loudly.

That splitting is pretty darn scary . . .
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 20684
118. ProgressivePulse
1:22 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Steel, it is a relief to see communications coming back up for some affected by Katrina, more and more hurdles everyday are overcome. I am sorry to hear about your relatives, but I am sure they are in good hands with you and they have a whole country behind them. It Put a smile on my face to see you and stormtop post, things are coming together.
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 4863
117. taco2me61
1:22 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
Hey all,

Just wanted to say that is is good to see that Stormtop is ok and that we have not heard from him for some time... Now I also see that we may have a split of Delta and head towards US but I think that will be a hard from all of the fronts that come this way, so we will have to wait and see...

I did want to say I hope everybody had a safe and Happy Thanksgiving...

Love All My Weather Buddies

Taco :-)
Member Since: July 7, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 3163
116. steelmagnolia44
12:19 AM GMT on November 25, 2005
STORMTOP.....

I'm so glad to see your post! The eye of Katrina went right over my area so I've only had phone service for about a couple of weeks now. I could not use my home computer. Yes, I still have my home. I have five relatives who each lost everything.

I want to express my gratitude to you, especially on this Thanksgiving Day, for taking the time to post your forecasts about Katrina. I'm glad I listened to your predictions early enough to be able to make plans to leave and get to a safe place.

Everyone is being so strong and courageous in the face of tremendous hardship and challenge. The storm has been a great equalizer. It put us all in the same situation. Only a strong character sets some apart now and makes them admired.

I am looking forward to reading your future posts.

steelmagnolia
Member Since: August 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 43
115. iyou
11:43 PM GMT on November 24, 2005
snowboy, you're right-it's here now-this is the most snow we've had yet-what about where you are?
Member Since: July 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 5219
114. billsfaninsofla
11:28 PM GMT on November 24, 2005
snowboy....thanks... too close for my liking..
Member Since: September 5, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 5247
113. snowboy
10:30 PM GMT on November 24, 2005
you're right, I sense the contented communal celebration too, iyou - note that you should have some snow streamers coming your way over the next little while
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
112. iyou
8:57 PM GMT on November 24, 2005
Apart from the collective chewing rumbling up here from the States, it is conspicuously quiet in the blogs to-day! Happy Thanksgiving to all my American neighbours - you have a great and beautiful country! Enjoy ;-)
Member Since: July 25, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 5219
111. snowboy
7:33 PM GMT on November 24, 2005
thanks, and have a good one hurricanechaser
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 2547
110. hurricanechaser
7:28 PM GMT on November 24, 2005
Thanks again Snowboy,

You can read my response to snowboys question about my impressions of Delta and a possible splitting of the system in my own blog that I just updated or in my response to snowboy in Leftys blog.

Most importantly, I simply want to wish ALL of you a safe and wonderful, "Thanksgiving" day.

I am going to go now to celebrate all the things I have to be thankful for and certainly don't deserve based upon my own merits. I hope to talk with each of you again soon.:)


Viewing: 160 - 110

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4Blog Index

Top of Page

About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.