Over 500 Killed in India's Monsoon Floods

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:25 PM GMT on June 21, 2013

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Earth's deadliest natural disaster so far in 2013 is the deadly flooding in India's Himalayan Uttarakhand region, where torrential monsoon rains have killed at least 556 people, with hundreds more feared dead. At least 5,000 people are missing. According to the Indian Meteorological Department, Uttarakhand received more than three times (329%) of its normal June rainfall from June 1 - 21, and rainfall was 847% of normal during the week June 13 - 19. Satellite estimates indicate that more than 20" (508 mm) or rain fell in a 7-day period from June 11 - 17 over some regions of Uttarakhand, which lies just to the west of Nepal in the Himalayas. Dehradun, the capital of Uttarakhand, received 14.57" (370 mm) of rain in 24 hours on June 16 - 17. This was the highest 24-hour rainfall in city history, according to an official from the India Meteorological Department. Dr. Dave Petley's Landslide Blog details that the torrential rains triggered a massive landslide that hit Uttarakhand's Hindu shrine in Kedarnath, which lies just a short distance from the snout of two mountain glaciers. The shrine is an important pilgrimage destination this time of year, and was packed with visitors celebrating the char-dham yatra: a pilgrimage to the four holy sites of Gangotri, Kedarnath, Yamnotri and Badrinath. Apparently, heavy rainfall triggered a collapse event on the mountain above Kedarnath, which turned into a debris flow downstream that struck the town. The main temple was heavily damaged, and numerous buildings in the town were demolished. It was Earth's deadliest landslide since the August 2010 Zhouqu landslide in China.

According to Aon Benfield's May Catastrophe Report, Earth's deadliest natural disasters of 2013 so far:

Winter weather, India, Bangladesh, Nepal, 1/1 - 1/20, 329 deaths
Earthquake, China, 4/20, 196 deaths
Flooding, Southern Africa, 1/10 - 2/28, 175 deaths
Flooding, Argentina, 4/2 - 4/4, 70 deaths
Flooding, Kenya, 3/10 - 4/30, 66 deaths


Figure 1. Indo-Tibetan Border Police (ITBP) arrive to rescue stranded Sikh devotees from Hemkunt Sahib Gurudwara, a religious Sikh temple, to a safe place in Chamoli district, in northern Indian state of Uttarakhand, India, Monday, June 17, 2013. AP photo.


Figure 2. Satellite-estimated rainfall for the 7-day period June 11 - 17, 2013, from NASA's TRMM satellite exceeded 20 inches (508 mm) over portions of India's Uttarakhand province, leading to catastrophic floods. Image credit: NASA.

A record early arrival of the monsoon
The June 2013 monsoon rains in Uttarakhand were highly unusual, as the monsoon came to the region two weeks earlier than normal. The monsoon started in South India near the normal June 1 arrival date, but then advanced across India in unusually rapid fashion, arriving in Pakistan along the western border of India on June 16, a full month earlier than normal. This was the fastest progression of the monsoon on record. The previous record for fastest monsoon progression occurred in 1961, when all of India was under monsoon conditions by June 21. Reliable monsoon records go back to 1961, and are patchy before then. Fortunately, no more heavy rain is expected in Uttarakhand over the next few days, as the monsoon will be active only in eastern India. Heavy rains are expected again in the region beginning on June 24. Wunderblogger Lee Grenci's post, Summer Monsoon Advances Rapidly across India: Massive Flooding Ensues, has more detail on the meteorology of this year's monsoon. There is criticism from some that the devastating floods were not entirely a natural disaster--human-caused deforestation, dam building, and mining may have contributed. "Large-scale construction of dams and absence of environmental regulations has led to the floods," said Sunita Narian, director general of Delhi based advocacy group Centre for Science and Environment (CSE).


Figure 3. The summer monsoon arrived in southwest India right on schedule (June 1) in South India, but it spread northward much faster than usual, reaching Pakistan a full month earlier than normal. Solid green contours indicate the progress of the 2013 summer monsoon (each contour is labeled with a date). You can compare this year's rapid advance to a "normal" progression, which is represented by the dashed, red contours (also labeled with dates).

Monsoons in India: a primer
Disastrous monsoon floods are common in India and surrounding nations, and 60,000 people--an average of 500 people per year--died in India due to monsoon floods between 1900 - 2012, according to EM-DAT, the International Disaster Database. EM-DAT lists sixteen flood disasters which killed 1,000 or more people in India since records began in 1950. Here are the number of people killed in these events, along with the month and year of occurrence and locales affected:

4892, Jul 1968, Rajasthan, Gujara
3800, Jul 1978, North, Northeast
2001, May - Oct, 1994, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh
2000, Jul 1961, North
1811, Aug 1998, Assam, Arunachal, Bihar
1600, Aug 1980, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar
1591, Jul 28, 1989, Maharashtra, Andhra Prade
1479, Sep 1995, Bihar, Haryana, Punjab
1442, Aug 1997, Andhra Pradesh, Arunachal
1200, Jul 24 - Aug 5, 2005 Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh
1200, Aug 1987, Assam, Bihar, West Bengal
1103, Jul 3 - Sep 22, 2007, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh
1063, Jun 11 - Jul 21, 2008 West Bengal, Orissa
1023, Jun 1971, North
1000, Sep 22 - Oct 9, 1988, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh
1000, Oct 1961

The monsoon occurs in summer, when the sun warms up land areas more strongly than ocean areas. This happens because wind and ocean turbulence mix the ocean's absorbed heat into a "mixed layer" approximately 50 meters deep, whereas on land, the sun's heat penetrates at a slow rate to a limited depth. Furthermore, due to its molecular properties, water has the ability to absorb more heat than the solid materials that make up land. As a result of this summertime differential heating of land and ocean, a low pressure region featuring rising air develops over land areas. Moisture-laden ocean winds blow towards the low pressure region and are drawn upwards once over land. The rising air expands and cools, condensing its moisture into some of the heaviest rains on Earth--the monsoon. Monsoons operate via the same principle as the familiar summer afternoon sea breeze, but on a grand scale. Each summer, monsoons affect every continent on Earth except Antarctica, and are responsible for life-giving rains that sustain the lives of billions of people. In India, home for over 1.1 billion people, the monsoon provides 80% of the annual rainfall. The most deadly flooding events usually come from monsoon depressions (also known as monsoon lows.) A monsoon depression is similar to (but larger than) a tropical depression. Both are spinning storms hundreds of kilometers in diameter with sustained winds of 50 - 55 kph (30 - 35 mph), nearly calm winds at their center, and generate very heavy rains. Typically, 6 - 7 monsoon depressions form each summer over the Bay of Bengal and track westwards across India.

The future of monsoons in India
A warming climate loads the dice in favor of heavier extreme precipitation events. This occurs because more water vapor can evaporate into a warmer atmosphere, increasing the chances of record heavy downpours. In a study published in Science in 2006, Goswami et al. found that the level of heavy rainfall activity in the monsoon over India had more than doubled in the 50 years since the 1950s, leading to an increased disaster potential from heavy flooding. Moderate and weak rain events decreased during those 50 years, leaving the total amount of rain deposited by the monsoon roughly constant. The authors commented, "These findings are in tune with model projections and some observations that indicate an increase in heavy rain events and a decrease in weak events under global warming scenarios." We should expect to see an increased number of disastrous monsoon floods in coming decades if the climate continues to warm as expected. Since the population continues to increase at a rapid rate in the region, death tolls from monsoon flooding disasters are likely to climb dramatically in coming decades. However, my greater concern for India is drought. The monsoon rains often fail during El Niño years, and more than 4.2 million people died in India due to droughts between 1900 - 2012. Up until the late 1960s, it was common for the failure of the monsoon rains to kill millions of people in India. The drought of 1965 - 1967 killed at least 1.5 million people. However, since the Green Revolution of the late 1960s--a government initiative to improve food self-sufficiency using new technology and high-yield grains--failure of the monsoon rains has not led to mass starvation in India. It is uncertain whether of not the Green Revolution can keep up with India's booming population, and the potential that climate change might bring more severe droughts. Climate models show a wide range of possibilities for the future of the Indian monsoon, and it is unclear at present what the future might hold. However, the fact that one of the worst droughts in India's history occurred in 2009 shows that serious droughts have to be a major concern for the future. The five worst Indian monsoons along with the rainfall deficits for the nation:

1) 1877, -33%
2) 1899, -29%
3) 1918, -25%
4) 1972, -24%
5) 2009, -22%

References
Goswami, et al., 2006, " Increasing Trend of Extreme Rain Events Over India in a Warming Environment", Science, 1 December 2006:Vol. 314. no. 5804, pp. 1442 - 1445 DOI: 10.1126/science.1132027

Wunderground's climate change blogger Dr. Ricky Rood wrote a nice 3-part series about the challenges India faces due to climate change after he completed a 2009 trip there.


Video 1. Flood waters claim a multi-story apartment building in Uttarakhand province, India, on June 17, 2013.

Historic flooding in Calgary, Alberta
Torrential rainfall on Wednesday night and Thursday has resulted in the most extensive flooding in Alberta Province, Canada in at least 8 years, with some 100,000 people facing evacuations in the city of Calgary. Wunderblogger Christopher C. Burt has a look at the disaster in his latest post. The floods are due, in part to the "stuck" jet stream pattern that brought record heat to Alaska this week.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting Civicane49:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN JUN 23 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION THREE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 485 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO.

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS LOW IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO THE LARGE
CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E TO THE EAST. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE IT MOVES TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST OR EAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP3. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON THREE-E
ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMEP3.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
NNNN




95E rip
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN JUN 23 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION THREE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 485 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO.

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS LOW IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO THE LARGE
CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E TO THE EAST. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE IT MOVES TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST OR EAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP3. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON THREE-E
ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER
MIATCMEP3.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
NNNN
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7056
1606. sar2401
Quoting CaribBoy:


Trade wind showers often do the same when approaching us! I see them coming on the radar... passing Barbuda to our east... then weakening/dissipating... then reforming west of us. Lol, I'll be honest... I don't like when they do that.

I noticed that when I was sailing in the Caribbean. If I was 20 or so miles offshore from an island, we'd get some big storms. If I was at anchor, I could watch those storms come in and then dissipate right before they hit shore. About the only rain I could count on was the every 3 in the morning shower that occured when I was (trying) to sleep on deck.
Member Since: October 2, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 9957
1605. beell
Per the GFS, instability on a downward spiral over the central Atlantic this week. Just about to lose the ITCZ, lol.


06/23 18Z GFS 700mb theta-e. Valid 06/29, 18Z

And with modeled fast and deep easterly trades underneath 20-30 knot upper-level westerlies, the eastern Caribbean appears hostile as well. This could yield approximately 40 knots of zonal shear and not a good developmental set-up for the two low-latitude waves.


06/23 18Z GFS 850-200mb zonal shear. Valid 06/26, 18Z.


So as most of us have postulated, a quiet week ahead for most of the MDR at least.
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Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7056
Quoting java162:



Can I get the link for these models plz


Courtesy of WU's own Levi Cowan:

Tropical Tidbits
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I made* a new blog if any of you guys are interested.
The Impact of Hybrid & Subtropical Storms on a Season
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1601. java162
Quoting MississippiWx:
There are likely two reasons the GFS isn't developing much in the Atlantic currently. The first reason is that, for once, it is a little slower bringing the MJO pulse into Phases 1 & 2. It keeps a very strong pulse in Phase 8 (East Pacific) and thus, (reason #2) the strongest upward motion in the EPac is robbing the Western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico of any tropical activity. The 18z GFS shows a possible tropical cyclone in the Bay of Campeche, but it seems to be competing with a low in the EPac. During the GFS forecast, it never brings the MJO fully into phases 1 and 2 and we don't see much in the way of TC activity in the Atlantic basin. The GFS amplifies the MJO so strongly in Phase 8 that it is much slower to move through. While it may be correct on the timing, I believe it is pretty far off with the strength of the MJO pulse and the reluctant nature of it progressing into the Atlantic. In another week or so, we should start having a consensus in the models on our next TC. Until then, we will have model flip-flops while they figure out the progression of the MJO.




Can I get the link for these models plz
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1600. txjac
Quoting Patrap:
3rd day in a row we got measurable rain from Outflow Boundary, Sea Breeze interaction T-storms.

Had 2.01" today.


NEXRAD
Storm Total Surface Rainfall Accumulation � Elevation
Range 124 NMI



I'm jealous Pat, send some of that my way
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Quoting CaribBoy:


Not only TC my friend, tropical waves are nice too... as long as they don't dissipate just before my door step XD
Right now I'm not complaining about the no rain... we had more than our fair share, imo, at the end of May and beginning of June...

Maybe u'll get a bit more the next couple of weeks.
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1598. Patrap
3rd day in a row we got measurable rain from Outflow Boundary, Sea Breeze interaction T-storms.

Had 2.01" today.


NEXRAD
Storm Total Surface Rainfall Accumulation Elevation
Range 124 NMI

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Despite the very favorable conditions, majority of the intensity models are calling for 03E to reach high-end tropical storm strength by the next couple of days likely due to the system's large size that would slow the intensification process. However, if the inner core is established by 24-36 hours, then quick strengthening is likely and would be stronger than what most of the dynamical models are forecasting.

Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7056
1596. Patrap
Tropical Cyclone Imagery - Storm Floaters

East Pacific

03E
94E
95E

West Pacific

95W
Bebinca


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Quoting MississippiWx:
There are likely two reasons the GFS isn't developing much in the Atlantic currently. The first reason is that, for once, it is a little slower bringing the MJO pulse into Phases 1 & 2. It keeps a very strong pulse in Phase 8 (East Pacific) and thus, (reason #2) the strongest upward motion in the EPac is robbing the Western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico of any tropical activity. The 18z GFS shows a possible tropical cyclone in the Bay of Campeche, but it seems to be competing with a low in the EPac. During the GFS forecast, it never brings the MJO fully into phases 1 and 2 and we don't see much in the way of TC activity in the Atlantic basin. The GFS amplifies the MJO so strongly in Phase 8 that it is much slower to move through. While it may be correct on the timing, I believe it is pretty far off with the strength of the MJO pulse and the reluctant nature of it progressing into the Atlantic. In another week or so, we should start having a consensus in the models on our next TC. Until then, we will have model flip-flops while they figure out the progression of the MJO.

Noticed in the past the Atlantc gets cranking once the EPAC activity fizzles.
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Quoting Grothar:
Those look healthy.
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03E is a large circulation so it will take a little more time before it can get going. It still has to absorb 95E which will make it bigger. I not seeing it getting over a cat. 1 till it reaches cooler water.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
There are likely two reasons the GFS isn't developing much in the Atlantic currently. The first reason is that, for once, it is a little slower bringing the MJO pulse into Phases 1 & 2. It keeps a very strong pulse in Phase 8 (East Pacific) and thus, (reason #2) the strongest upward motion in the EPac is robbing the Western Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico of any tropical activity. The 18z GFS shows a possible tropical cyclone in the Bay of Campeche, but it seems to be competing with a low in the EPac. During the GFS forecast, it never brings the MJO fully into phases 1 and 2 and we don't see much in the way of TC activity in the Atlantic basin. The GFS amplifies the MJO so strongly in Phase 8 that it is much slower to move through. While it may be correct on the timing, I believe it is pretty far off with the strength of the MJO pulse and the reluctant nature of it progressing into the Atlantic. In another week or so, we should start having a consensus in the models on our next TC. Until then, we will have model flip-flops while they figure out the progression of the MJO.

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Quoting BahaHurican:
This is what I was talking about... the AEW moistening the edge of the Sahel region and thereby moderating at least somewhat dust production over the ATL. Along with an upward phase of the MJO it could lead to improved conditions for TC formation.

I wouldn't expect anything to make it across, and whatever probability exists would depend on the lifting out and weakening of that high, which doesn't seem very likely ATM.

Once the high weakens some we could see our first CV storms. But the is later in July; once the upward motion moves across the Eastern Atl supporting African monsoon. 
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TD 3-E slowly organizing:

Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7056
Quoting BahaHurican:
I see you are still living in hopes of some TC action near St. Barts...


Not only TC my friend, tropical waves are nice too... as long as they don't dissipate just before my door step XD
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1588. Grothar
Quoting BahaHurican:
This is what I was talking about... the AEW moistening the edge of the Sahel region and thereby moderating at least somewhat dust production over the ATL. Along with an upward phase of the MJO it could lead to improved conditions for TC formation.

I wouldn't expect anything to make it across, and whatever probability exists would depend on the lifting out and weakening of that high, which doesn't seem very likely ATM.


I saw you mention that earlier. Don't worry, the models will soon come around to our way of thinking.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 64 Comments: 23749
Quoting sar2401:

I actually lucked out...sort of. I washed my car, and then came inside to check the radar. Had a bunch of thunderstorms headed right for me, so my clean car would be all messed up again. I apparently have the Alabama version of the Tampa Shield, since the storms literally vanished as they got within about five miles of me, only to reform we they got north of me. We have some really strange weather here sometimes.


Trade wind showers often do the same when approaching us! I see them coming on the radar... passing Barbuda to our east... then weakening/dissipating... then reforming west of us. Lol, I'll be honest... I don't like when they do that.
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Quoting CaribBoy:
Here is the webcam link for those who want to follow the weather in the N Lesser Antilles :-)

weather cam 1 - Looking NORTH

Cam 2 - looking SOUTH

Cam 3 real time - looking North

COULD BE USEFUL LATER IN THE SEAON LOL
I see you are still living in hopes of some TC action near St. Barts...
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1585. gator23
Quoting MississippiWx:


No, it's just a particular troll and a few taking the bait. Lol.


LOL! Ah gotcha! he does that all the time... been a victim myself
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Quoting Grothar:
This is what I was talking about... the AEW moistening the edge of the Sahel region and thereby moderating at least somewhat dust production over the ATL. Along with an upward phase of the MJO it could lead to improved conditions for TC formation.

I wouldn't expect anything to make it across, and whatever probability exists would depend on the lifting out and weakening of that high, which doesn't seem very likely ATM.
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1583. Patrap
94E RGB Loop

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Quoting gator23:
just popped in... i see we are back in the "bust year" conversation... ill check back in next week when we have a new invest.


No, it's just a particular troll and a few taking the bait. Lol.
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Good Evening everyone, 03E is getting better organized. However, I see that the GFS is making it into a massive storm system down the road. very interesting
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1580. gator23
just popped in... i see we are back in the "bust year" conversation... ill check back in next week when we have a new invest.
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Here is the webcam link for those who want to follow the weather in the N Lesser Antilles :-)

weather cam 1 - Looking NORTH

Cam 2 - looking SOUTH

Cam 3 real time - looking North

COULD BE USEFUL LATER IN THE SEAON LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1578. sar2401
Quoting CaribBoy:


That was a little rain shower... St Martin got some too. I like this cam, it is refreshed several times in a minute. So it's great for watching the weather.

As for the SAL, it is present but by far weaker than a few days ago.

I'm patiently waiting for the next trop wave, but the GFS is no longer very enthusiast.

I actually lucked out...sort of. I washed my car, and then came inside to check the radar. Had a bunch of thunderstorms headed right for me, so my clean car would be all messed up again. I apparently have the Alabama version of the Tampa Shield, since the storms literally vanished as they got within about five miles of me, only to reform we they got north of me. We have some really strange weather here sometimes.
Member Since: October 2, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 9957
I have a very interesting question for those who may have not gone to by blog and answer it. Go to link to my blog below.

Will a Hurricane be classified east of 60W before July 20?
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Thanks GT
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1575. Grothar
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 64 Comments: 23749
Quoting sar2401:

I remember that is from St Bart's. Is what's being shown rain, or is that the dust you hate?


That was a little rain shower... St Martin got some too. I like this cam, it is refreshed several times in a minute. So it's great for watching the weather.

As for the SAL, it is present but by far weaker than a few days ago.

I'm patiently waiting for the next trop wave, but the GFS is no longer very enthusiast.
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Quoting Hurricanes305:

Yea you are right. The guy just got on my nerves!


Totally understand, but attention is what trolls want - and quoting them is only rewarding their behavior.
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Quoting pottery:

Wave at 60W is losing convection, big time, right now.
Was expecting some heavy rain but now thinking showers overnight.
Then again, what do I know....
Just want to let u know... I plussed the last statement... lol
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1571. sar2401
Don't quote things that are clearly in violation of the standards here. You make life tougher on a mod who's trying to chase a troll by repeating what he said, especially when it's really offensive.
Member Since: October 2, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 9957

Quoting daddyjames:


The last thing we should do is quote something like that - only so it does not remain on the blog post removal.
Yea you are right. The guy just got on my nerves!
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Quoting CaribBoy:
Post 1559. Beautiful

Quoting pottery:

Wave at 60W is losing convection, big time, right now.
Was expecting some heavy rain but now thinking showers overnight.
Then again, what do I know....
How is the weather in Trinidad, Pottery?
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Quoting Hurricanes305:


Dude get a life you have three accounts. Lmao Reported
Quoting yoboi:



you should be banned......


The last thing we should do is quote something like that - only so it does not remain on the blog post removal.

Could you modify your posts, and remove that ridiculous comment?
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1567. pottery
Quoting yoboi:



you should be banned......
Please delete the quote.
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1564. pottery
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Let's see what's going on...


Wave at 60W is losing convection, big time, right now.
Was expecting some heavy rain but now thinking showers overnight.
Then again, what do I know....
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Quoting Hurricanes305:
Here is the proof.Its been posted couple times now though you would of seen it.  I can back it when I say it. Now show me yours. Lmao


Although the GFS is bullish with the upward motion in the EPAC. We could see at least two decent storms out this pattern. Although, the GFS backed off on development in the West Caribbean/Gulf it has a habit of picking it back up just before the system develops
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1561. sar2401
Quoting CaribBoy:

I remember that is from St Bart's. Is what's being shown rain, or is that the dust you hate?
Member Since: October 2, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 9957
1560. sar2401
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Beware the weather spider!

Now that was funny! It scared my fiance just watching it. :-)
Member Since: October 2, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 9957
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Beware the weather spider!
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.