TD 2 Slowly Organizing, Headed Towards Veracruz, Mexico

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:50 PM GMT on June 19, 2013

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Tropical Depression Two is slowly spinning west-northwest across the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico--the Bay of Campeche--at 9 mph. The storm has a small area of heavy thunderstorms, as seen on Mexican radar and satellite loops. The thunderstorms are slowly showing more organization this morning, but the storm has little low-level spiral banding, poor upper-level outflow, and is fighting dry air on its west side. However, the Bay of Campeche is a region where the topography aids the spin-up of tropical cyclones, and I expect TD 2 will have enough time to become Tropical Storm Barry before making landfall late Thursday morning near Veracruz, Mexico. Wind shear was a moderate 15 - 20 knots on Wednesday morning, but is expected to fall to the light range, 5 - 10 knots, during the 12 hours before landfall. TD 2 is taking a very similar track Tropical Storm Marco of 2008. That storm spun up quickly in the Bay of Campeche and developed sustained winds of 65 mph before making landfall in Veracruz State of Mexico. Small storms like TD 2 and Marco (which was the smallest tropical storm ever recorded in the Atlantic) can experience very rapid fluctuations in intensity, and it would not surprise me if TD 2 intensified suddenly into a 60 mph tropical storm before making landfall. However, since the storm is so small, these winds would affect only a very small portion of the coast. Heavy rain will be the main threat from TD 2, regardless of whether or not it makes landfall as a tropical depression or as a strong tropical storm. A ridge of high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico should keep any of TD 2's rains from reaching the U.S. An Air Force hurricane hunter plane is scheduled to arrive in TD 2 near 2 pm EDT today. Elsewhere in the tropical Atlantic, none of the reliable computer models is showing tropical cyclone development in the next seven days.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of TD 2 at 8:12 am EDT June 19, 2013. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.


Figure 2. MODIS satellite image of Tropical Storm Marco on October 6, 2008. Marco was the smallest tropical storm ever recorded in the Atlantic. Image credit: NASA.

Portlight receives $25K grant to help victims of Oklahoma tornadoes
The disaster relief charity founded by members of the wunderground community, Portlight.org, announced this week that they had received a $25,000 grant from Americares.org to replace wheelchairs, scooters, ramps and other equipment lost or damaged in the May and June 2013 storms in Oklahoma. About 200 Oklahomans with mobility issues are expected to benefit over the next 45 days. The program is an extension of a partnership that began earlier this year to install ramps for New Jersey residents affected by Superstorm Sandy. It was also announced earlier this month that Portlight and the American Red Cross have signed a Letter of Agreement to work together in disaster response, in order to improve shelter accessibility and share resources and information.Visit Portlight's wunderground blog to learn more or to donate to this worthy cause.


Figure 3. Portlight volunteers hard at work in Moore, Oklahoma, after the devastating May 20, 2013 tornado.

Jeff Masters

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258. Thrawst
6:12 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
,
Member Since: July 18, 2010 Posts: 50 Comments: 1802
257. PedleyCA
5:42 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 5690
256. Skyepony (Mod)
5:32 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
AF308 is to the BOC & descending into 02L.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37433
255. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
5:21 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
254. islander101010
5:20 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
td2 looks like a td still on vis. image we will see shortly
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 4359
253. mikatnight
5:18 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
I hate it when you're working in an electrical panel and this happens...


Only kidding! Just another 'plug' (pun intended!) for my post on Surge Protection. Make sure you're protected, and as I discovered, not just from hurricanes or electrical storms...it's every day all day! Everyone should know this stuff.
Member Since: October 18, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
252. MiamiHurricanes09
5:15 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
As far as 02L, the satellite appearance is still somewhat ragged, and the presence of lower-level outflow boundaries in the northwestern quadrant isn't helping the situation. Nevertheless, upper-level conditions should slowly begin to improve with the development of an anticyclone aloft...so I could definitely see 02L becoming a 40-45kt tropical cyclone prior to landfall tomorrow.

I'd bet on Barry by this evening as long as the convection doesn't wane excessively.

Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21091
251. HurricaneAndre
5:14 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
2013JUN19 164500 2.4 1005.8/ +0.0 / 34.0 2.4 2.5 4.0 0.7T/6hr OFF OFF -66.26 -55.45 CRVBND N/A 19.57 94.61 FCST
Member Since: June 11, 2013 Posts: 19 Comments: 2565
250. TylerStanfield
5:13 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Easterly winds are evident as recon approaches.
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 8 Comments: 1145
249. HurricaneHunterJoe
5:12 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5151
248. Ricki13th
5:10 PM GMT on June 19, 2013

Quoting hurricanes2018:
Providing a lot of rain for the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico.
Member Since: May 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 348
247. trHUrrIXC5MMX
5:09 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Wow.great blog

Although I think Marco is the smallest storm ever on Earth.
Cyclone Tracy is no match to our Kung Fu...lol.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14871
246. Gearsts
5:09 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Is there a rapid scan loop for the TD?
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1553
245. stormchaser19
5:08 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Well, plenty of rain for my country the next week or so.
Member Since: June 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2150
244. TropicalAnalystwx13
5:08 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
243. AussieStorm
5:08 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
2nd mission in the GOM.

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 19th day of the month at 16:53Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Mission: Non-Tasked Mission, possibly not tropical (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Identifier: 130619144935306 (2 digit year/2 digit month/2 digit day/6 digit mission start time/Last 3 digits of aircraft tail number)
Date Mission Started: June 19th in '13
Time Mission Started: 14:49:35Z
Observation Number: 04

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 16Z on the 19th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 400mb
Coordinates: 28.0N 86.8W
Location: 165 miles (266 km) to the SSW (205°) from Panama City, FL, USA.
Marsden Square: 081 (About)

Level Geo. Height Air Temp. Dew Point Wind Direction Wind Speed
1017mb (30.03 inHg) Sea Level (Surface) 28.0°C (82.4°F) Approximately 23°C (73°F) 225° (from the SW) 5 knots (6 mph)
1000mb 151m (495 ft) 26.6°C (79.9°F) 22.9°C (73.2°F) 240° (from the WSW) 5 knots (6 mph)
925mb 836m (2,743 ft) 21.4°C (70.5°F) 18.4°C (65.1°F) 285° (from the WNW) 7 knots (8 mph)
850mb 1,566m (5,138 ft) 17.4°C (63.3°F) 12.8°C (55.0°F) 295° (from the WNW) 11 knots (13 mph)
700mb 3,201m (10,502 ft) 7.4°C (45.3°F) Approximately 0°C (32°F) 270° (from the W) 22 knots (25 mph)
500mb 5,890m (19,324 ft) -6.9°C (19.6°F) Approximately -26°C (-15°F) 260° (from the W) 12 knots (14 mph)
400mb 7,600m (24,934 ft) -17.7°C (0.1°F) -17.7°C (0.1°F) 230° (from the SW) 18 knots (21 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 16:16Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...

Location of Highest Altitude where wind was reported: 28.03N 86.85W
Time of Highest Altitude where wind was reported: 16:16:56Z

Location of Lowest Altitude where wind was reported: 28.04N 86.81W
Time of Lowest Altitude where wind was reported: 16:27:03Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 235° (from the SW)
- Wind Speed: 5 knots (6 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 265° (from the W)
- Wind Speed: 12 knots (14 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 398mb to 1017mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 159 gpm - 9 gpm (522 geo. feet - 30 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 240° (from the WSW)
- Wind Speed: 5 knots (6 mph)

Sounding Software Version: AEV 07520

Part B: Data For Significant Levels...

Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level Air Temperature Dew Point
1017mb (Surface) 28.0°C (82.4°F) Approximately 23°C (73°F)
966mb 23.8°C (74.8°F) 22.3°C (72.1°F)
850mb 17.4°C (63.3°F) 12.8°C (55.0°F)
810mb 15.4°C (59.7°F) Approximately 9°C (48°F)
794mb 15.2°C (59.4°F) Approximately 0°C (32°F)
781mb 14.2°C (57.6°F) Approximately 7°C (45°F)
768mb 13.6°C (56.5°F) Approximately 1°C (34°F)
745mb 11.6°C (52.9°F) Approximately 6°C (43°F)
703mb 7.6°C (45.7°F) Approximately 2°C (36°F)
696mb 7.2°C (45.0°F) Approximately -2°C (28°F)
688mb 6.4°C (43.5°F) 4.5°C (40.1°F)
593mb -1.9°C (28.6°F) -4.3°C (24.3°F)
578mb -2.3°C (27.9°F) Approximately -10°C (14°F)
574mb -2.5°C (27.5°F) Approximately -18°C (-0°F)
569mb -2.5°C (27.5°F) Approximately -14°C (7°F)
561mb -2.7°C (27.1°F) Approximately -28°C (-18°F)
552mb -3.3°C (26.1°F) Approximately -17°C (1°F)
547mb -3.7°C (25.3°F) Approximately -25°C (-13°F)
510mb -5.7°C (21.7°F) Approximately -26°C (-15°F)
473mb -10.3°C (13.5°F) Approximately -26°C (-15°F)
468mb -10.9°C (12.4°F) Approximately -20°C (-4°F)
461mb -11.3°C (11.7°F) Approximately -30°C (-22°F)
450mb -12.3°C (9.9°F) Approximately -35°C (-31°F)
416mb -11.3°C (11.7°F) Approximately -35°C (-31°F)
398mb Unavailable

Significant Wind Levels...
Level Wind Direction Wind Speed
1017mb (Surface) 225° (from the SW) 5 knots (6 mph)
886mb 290° (from the WNW) 7 knots (8 mph)
850mb 295° (from the WNW) 11 knots (13 mph)
776mb 295° (from the WNW) 21 knots (24 mph)
754mb 275° (from the W) 20 knots (23 mph)
677mb 255° (from the WSW) 17 knots (20 mph)
587mb 275° (from the W) 15 knots (17 mph)
573mb 255° (from the WSW) 10 knots (12 mph)
506mb 255° (from the WSW) 11 knots (13 mph)
472mb 275° (from the W) 10 knots (12 mph)
447mb 240° (from the WSW) 10 knots (12 mph)
417mb 250° (from the WSW) 16 knots (18 mph)
398mb 230° (from the SW) 18 knots (21 mph)



Goodnight
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
242. hurricanes2018
5:07 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 8 Comments: 13721
241. TylerStanfield
5:06 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
The only reason the tropical wave over the northern Lesser Antilles is firing any convective activity is the presence of a mid to upper-level low to the west providing for plenty of divergence aloft.


And there's a whole lot of nothing going on at the surface.
Link
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 8 Comments: 1145
240. HurricaneHunterJoe
5:05 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5151
239. MrMixon
5:04 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
A rare cloud-free view of Alaska:



On most days, relentless rivers of clouds wash over Alaska, obscuring most of the state's 6,640 miles (10,690 kilometers) of coastline and 586,000 square miles (1,518,000 square kilometers) of land. The south coast of Alaska even has the dubious distinction of being the cloudiest region of the United States, with some locations averaging more than 340 cloudy days per year.

That was certainly not the case on June 17, 2013, the date that the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA's Terra satellite acquired this rare, nearly cloud-free view of the state. The absence of clouds exposed a striking tapestry of water, ice, land, forests, and even wildfires.

The same ridge of high pressure that cleared Alaska's skies also brought stifling temperatures to many areas accustomed to chilly June days. Talkeetna, a town about 100 miles north of Anchorage, saw temperatures reach 96°F (36°C) on June 17. Other towns in southern Alaska set all-time record highs, including Cordova, Valez, and Seward. The high temperatures also helped fuel wildfires and hastened the breakup of sea ice in the Chukchi Sea.

Source: NASA
Member Since: March 26, 2006 Posts: 44 Comments: 1520
238. Stormchaser2007
5:04 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
The only reason the tropical wave over the northern Lesser Antilles is firing any convective activity is the presence of a mid to upper-level low to the west providing for plenty of divergence aloft.



There's also a pretty decent CCKW moving through that area as well. This Kelvin wave is also what helped 02L flare up in the Caribbean.

Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15790
237. AussieStorm
5:03 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
I can't keep my eyes open waiting for the @NOAA_HurrHunter to make their 1st pass I predict we'll have TS Barry after that 1st pass. g'night
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
236. MiamiHurricanes09
5:02 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
The only reason the tropical wave over the northern Lesser Antilles is firing any convective activity is the presence of a mid to upper-level low to the west providing for plenty of divergence aloft.

Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21091
235. Gearsts
5:01 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
LOL rain is trolling me!
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1553
234. CaribBoy
4:58 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting junie1:
Its not been that bad ever since may weve finally gotten some much needed rain on and off


Same for us... but I won't say NO to MORE RAIN :))
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5982
233. DocNDswamp
4:57 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
I'll give TD 2 a greater than 50% chance of becoming a 50 mph TS... and if it does, a less than 50% chance of Veracruz stations recording 50 mph sustained winds.
BUT - I think those stations will come closer matching those winds than did with H Karl which was rapidly in decline, no data at landfall supported it being a Cat 3...
Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4788
232. junie1
4:57 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting CaribBoy:


Have you been dry so far this month?
Its not been that bad ever since may weve finally gotten some much needed rain on and off
Member Since: July 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 93
231. CaribBoy
4:56 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1205 PM AST WED JUN 19 2013

VIC010-191800-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0147.130619T1605Z-130619T1800Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
SAINT CROIX VI-
1205 PM AST WED JUN 19 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLAND...

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 200 PM AST

* AT 1159 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE
ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IN
COMBINATION WITH THE RAINFALL FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING...THEREFORE
A FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT AT LEAST UNTIL 200 PM AST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND GUTS...
AND LOW SPOTS IN HIGHWAYS. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING. ALSO...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1774 6458 1768 6474 1769 6480 1767 6490
1767 6491 1770 6489 1776 6490 1778 6488
1777 6483 1779 6478 1779 6474 1776 6471
1778 6466 1776 6456

$$

AAS


The island will look greener after the rain..
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5982
230. Ricki13th
4:55 PM GMT on June 19, 2013

Quoting CaribBoy:
12Z GFS shows another wave for early next week and it looks pretty similar to the current one.

Looks like a pretty decent storm over the EPAC. 
Member Since: May 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 348
229. serialteg
4:55 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Hello everyone and welcome to the 2013 season

Pretty vigorous tropical wave here in Puerto Rico (Ponce)

Will go surfing this afternoon

Gusts of at least 30mph+
Member Since: August 22, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 1975
228. CaribBoy
4:53 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting junie1:
dont worry my friend here in st.thomas we havent gotten alot either your might be around the corner


Have you been dry so far this month?
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5982
227. CaribBoy
4:52 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
12Z GFS shows another wave for early next week and it looks pretty similar to the current one.

Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5982
226. Tropicsweatherpr
4:52 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting CaribBoy:
St Croix is lucky...

Link


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1205 PM AST WED JUN 19 2013

VIC010-191800-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0147.130619T1605Z-130619T1800Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
SAINT CROIX VI-
1205 PM AST WED JUN 19 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLAND...

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 200 PM AST

* AT 1159 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE
ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IN
COMBINATION WITH THE RAINFALL FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING...THEREFORE
A FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT AT LEAST UNTIL 200 PM AST.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND GUTS...
AND LOW SPOTS IN HIGHWAYS. ADDITIONALLY...ROADS AND LAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING. ALSO...MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1774 6458 1768 6474 1769 6480 1767 6490
1767 6491 1770 6489 1776 6490 1778 6488
1777 6483 1779 6478 1779 6474 1776 6471
1778 6466 1776 6456

$$

AAS
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14065
225. Ricki13th
4:50 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting Ricki13th:
MJO Forecast June 18 to July 3:


Notice the the the concentration of it over the EPAC and Caribbean and some upward motion over Africa. Waves getting more support as they enter the Atlantic this will also cut down the SAL dust over the Eastern Atlantic.
Member Since: May 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 348
224. AussieStorm
4:50 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Many Coastal Residents Still Unprepared for Hurricanes
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
223. junie1
4:50 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting CaribBoy:
St Croix is lucky...

Link
dont worry my friend here in st.thomas we havent gotten alot either your might be around the corner
Member Since: July 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 93
222. Tropicsweatherpr
4:49 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
12z GFS doesn't have anything important that develops in North Atlantic basin on medium to long range.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14065
221. Tropicsweatherpr
4:48 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting Gearsts:
Not even a drop for me yet.


I think later this afternoon and evening it will reach you.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14065
220. CaribBoy
4:46 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
St Croix is lucky...

Link
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5982
219. Ricki13th
4:46 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
MJO Forecast June 18 to July 3:

Member Since: May 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 348
218. DocNDswamp
4:45 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
NDBC latest observations near TD 2, including nearby Veracruz stations - Sacrifice Island (SACV4) and Veracruz Harbor (VERV4)... and La Mancha Beach (LMBV4) just above Veracruz...

Member Since: September 21, 2005 Posts: 94 Comments: 4788
217. Gearsts
4:45 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Not even a drop for me yet.
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1553
216. Bluestorm5
4:45 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
I'll say it'll be about 45 minutes to a hour before we find out the result of the first pass.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7912
215. AussieStorm
4:45 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting Gearsts:
Wave:

wave:

Nice plain looking wave here
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
214. CaribBoy
4:42 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


The TUTT is well defined.


It reminds me of 2011... when many T waves turned NW in response to the persistent TUTT north of Lesser Antilles. That pattern brought us above average rainfall that year.
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5982
213. Ricki13th
4:42 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
The MJO pulse is looking rather strong this time around; 2 storms possibly could form out of this. Leading to an active July.



Member Since: May 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 348
212. Gearsts
4:42 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting hurricanes2018:
nice tropical wave
Wave:

wave:
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1553
211. AussieStorm
4:40 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting stormchaser19:


EPA & Mexican Government Cooperative Program
Location: 19.202N 96.113W
06/19/2013 1600 UTC
Winds: N (350°) at 27.0 kts gusting to 29.9
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.79 in and falling
Air Temperature: 81.0 °F
Station VERV4
EPA & Mexican Government Cooperative Program
Location: 19.202N 96.113W
06/19/2013 1600 UTC
Winds: N (350°) at 27.0 kts gusting to 29.9
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.79 in and falling
Air Temperature: 81.0 °F


Conditions at SACV4 as of
(11:00 am CDT)
1600 GMT on 06/19/2013:

Wind Direction (WDIR): N ( 360 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 29.9 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 33.0 kts
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.80 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.01 in ( Falling )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 80.8 °F
Dew Point (DEWP): 74.7 °F
Heat Index (HEAT): 86.2 °F
Wind Speed at 10 meters (WSPD10M): 31.1 kts
Wind Speed at 20 meters (WSPD20M): 33.0 kts
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
210. hurricanes2018
4:38 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
nice tropical wave
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 8 Comments: 13721
209. TropicalAnalystwx13
4:38 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting bappit:

What buoy? Those could be local winds from thunderstorm down drafts. Dunno without a link.

Link

Sustained at 35 mph now.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31537
208. AussieStorm
4:38 PM GMT on June 19, 2013
Quoting bappit:

What buoy? Those could be local winds from thunderstorm down drafts. Dunno without a link.

3 Buoys in the area.

Link

Link

Link
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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