Invest 91L Bringing Heavy Rains to Florida, Cuba, and Mexico

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:44 PM GMT on June 03, 2013

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The Atlantic hurricane season began on June 1, and we already have a threat to discuss. A trough of low pressure has developed over the Western Caribbean, Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, and Southeast Gulf of Mexico, and is dumping heavy rains over the area. Hurricane Barbara, which died on Thursday as it attempted to cross Mexico's Isthmus of Tehuantepec into the southernmost Gulf of Mexico, has contributed moisture to this disturbance, which has been designated 91L by NHC. Satellite loops show a large area of heavy thunderstorms with poor organization, and there is no evidence of an organized surface circulation trying to form. Wind shear is a high 30 knots, and is forecast to remain high, 20 - 30 knots, over the next five days, so any development should be slow to occur. NHC is giving the disturbance a 20% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone by Wednesday. The Hurricane Hunters are on call to fly into 91L on Tuesday afternoon, if necessary. Regardless of whether or not 91L develops into a tropical depression, heavy rains will be the storm's main threat. Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula, Western Cuba, and South Florida can expect 5 - 8" of rain from the disturbance over the next four days. Heavy rains from 91L may spread up the U.S. East Cost late this week. The computer models predict that 91L should stay large and poorly organized, and if it does develop, it will be difficult for it to get any stronger than a 45 mph tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico.


Figure 1. Latest satellite image of Invest 91L.

Jeff Masters

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647. SFLWeatherman
11:58 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4984
646. GeoffreyWPB
11:58 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
422 AM EDT SUN JUN 2 2013

.DISCUSSION...
A MONSOON TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE YUCATAN COMBINED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF BARBARA ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO EARLY THIS WEEK...WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
TOWARDS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTLINE LATE IN THE WEEK. THE GFS
STILL HAS SOME CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK ISSUES...SPINNING OFF A LOW OFF
THE COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM THE MAIN SYSTEM. HOWEVER...IT
HAS COME MORE IN LINE WITH THE TIMING OF THE ECMWF. THE 12Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN HAS A LITTLE WEAKER LOW AND IS ABOUT 6-HOURS FASTER
THAN THE 00Z OPERATIONAL RUN. THIS IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE 12Z/00Z
ECMWF...SO WENT WITH A BLEND OF THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN AND THE
ECMWF. MODELS ARE COMING INTO MORE OF AN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM
MAY TRY TO DEVELOP AS IT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER LATER IN THE WEEK.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND HIGH RAINFALL RATES THROUGH THE
WEEK.
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND NORTHERN
FLORIDA ON MONDAY...AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN PULLING THE
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND THE VERY DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TO THE
NORTHEAST OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND TOWARDS THE NAPLES REGION. A
500MB TROUGH IS ALSO EXPECTED TO EXTEND TO THE NORTHEAST OFF THE
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE LAKE REGION...ADDING TO THE LIFT
OVER THE REGION. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY
PUSH TO THE NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF AND POSSIBLY SLOWLY
DEVELOP AS IT DOES SO IN THE MID WEEK PERIOD. STEADIER AREA-WIDE
HEAVY RAIN IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW
STRENGTHENS...AND EXCELLENT DIVERGENCE CONTINUES ALOFT. GUIDANCE
IS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN
TO 30-40 KNOTS ON THURSDAY WITH PWATS INCREASING TO NEAR 2.5
INCHES. THIS COULD LEAD TO TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND EVEN EMBEDDED
TROPICAL MINI SUPERCELLS RACING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE
REGION. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO CENTRAL
FLORIDA THURSDAY EVENING OR OVERNIGHT...WITH DRIER AIR MID LEVEL
AIR WRAPPING INTO THE REGION. HOWEVER...MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO TAIL BACK TO
THE SOUTHWEST FROM THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA ON
FRIDAY. A MORE TYPICAL WET SEASON PATTERN MAY THEN FINALLY PREVAIL
ON SATURDAY.
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11540
645. Eyewall07
11:51 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting sar2401:

I was joking. However, Perdido is 230 miles from Eufaula and is in SW AL, so the weather there is often quite different than the weather here.
.


My bad I thought you were on Pensacola Bch
Member Since: August 17, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 93
644. TylerStanfield
11:50 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Too much so, it needs to go away.

Hey At least this isn't making all the Forecasters brains explode. The disagreement with the SHORT-TERM forecast with Debby was remarkable.
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 1405
643. GeoffreyWPB
11:49 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11540
642. PedleyCA
11:49 PM GMT on June 03, 2013


Link
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6240
641. TylerStanfield
11:48 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Too much so, it needs to go away.

Invest 91L


Early Stages of Debby(2012)
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 1405
640. RyanSperrey
11:47 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting lobdelse81:
Why can't we get nice looking systems in the Atlantic Basin like in the one on the other side of the Americas? Don't they get wind shear there too once in a while like in the Atlantic? We usually have to wait till at least August in this neck of the woods to start seeing nice symmetric systems, and even then, many times they still have problems organizing.


There is a lot of land interaction in the Tropical Atlantic in comparison to other storm basin's around the world, which means #1 the storms have to fight a lot harder to stay alive and 2, there is considerably more high pressure, shear, and dust flying around the atmosphere.

That being said, when conditions are right and a big storm does make it through all of that, Atlantic Hurricanes are the single most impressive around the world, and the biggest in size. Take a look at Hurricane Wilma, most impressive looking storm I have ever seen, and changes wildly throughout it's lifespan.
Member Since: October 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 284
639. CaribBoy
11:45 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


But after the wave moves thru the Eastern Caribbean tonight look what is behind. A dense area of dust will dry things.



Unfortunately :( Ok, 2 days of dusty weather isn't bad... but one week and more is definitely depressing lol.
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6455
638. Portlight
11:44 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
637. TylerStanfield
11:43 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting lobdelse81:
Why can't we get nice looking systems in the Atlantic Basin like in the one on the other side of the Americas? Don't they get wind shear there too once in a while like in the Atlantic? We usually have to wait till at least August in this neck of the woods to start seeing nice symmetric systems, and even then, many times they still have problems organizing.

The Eastern Pacific Basin is mostly placed in a lower latitudinal area compared to the Atlantic Basin, and also tend to have warmer waters and less shear due to the Sub-tropical Jetstream lifting out of the basin. This is why the Eastern Pacific season also starts 16 days earlier than the Atlantic, and also why the Pacific tends to average more Tropical Cyclones.
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 1405
636. HurricaneHunterJoe
11:43 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting hydrus:
I find this interesting. Look at the strength and position of the low over the U.S.


What the heck is that big thing off Soooo Cal?
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5248
635. CybrTeddy
11:41 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting TylerStanfield:

Very Similar to 2012's Debby. Eerily Similar in-fact. :/


Too much so, it needs to go away.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24575
634. Bluestorm5
11:41 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
I'm not making blog tonight since there isn't much happening since yesterday. Storm is looking little better and bigger however. I'm increasing the chance of ever developing 40% (note, this is only 5% increase from last forecast).
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8075
633. TylerStanfield
11:41 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting FSUCOOPman:


lookin' ugly at Dmin.

Most weak and disorganized lows do. Diurnal Minimum a Maximum are the reason these invests cycle until they can gather and consolidate enough strength to sustain themselves. Just apart of the Porcess. :) Going to be a rough 6 hours for the little invest.
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 1405
632. lobdelse81
11:39 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Why can't we get nice looking systems in the Atlantic Basin like in the one on the other side of the Americas? Don't they get wind shear there too once in a while like in the Atlantic? We usually have to wait till at least August in this neck of the woods to start seeing nice symmetric systems, and even then, many times they still have problems organizing.
Member Since: September 9, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 440
631. TylerStanfield
11:38 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting Tazmanian:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE
CIRCULATION OF THE LOW HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER DEFINED TODAY.
ADDITIONAL GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS DESPITE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS GENERALLY
NORTHWARD. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.



note in this two they said it could be come a SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE

Nice Catch taz, was about to say the same, before I read your post.
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 1405
630. FSUCOOPman
11:38 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
91L Water Vapor...



lookin' ugly at Dmin.
Member Since: August 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 376
629. Tazmanian
11:37 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE
CIRCULATION OF THE LOW HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER DEFINED TODAY.
ADDITIONAL GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS DESPITE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS GENERALLY
NORTHWARD. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.



note in this two they said it could be come a SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115454
628. TylerStanfield
11:37 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
First Orange Crayon used by the NHC.

Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 1405
627. GeoffreyWPB
11:36 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
91L Water Vapor...

Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11540
626. TylerStanfield
11:36 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting SLU:
91L has certainly become better organised today. Latest satellite pictures indicate that a new low is trying to form near the deep convection somewhere between north-eastern Yucatan and the western tip of Cuba. I'd say the probability of development could increase to 30% tonight.


Very Similar to 2012's Debby. Eerily Similar in-fact. :/
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 1405
625. VR46L
11:35 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting CaribBoy:
Weak wave is bringing some showers... BUT I want more always more :-)


You always do !!!!:)
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
624. Andrebrooks
11:34 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Upgraded to 30%,national weather service national hurricane center.
Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1370
623. wxchaser97
11:34 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
I'm not surprised it is at 30% now. It has gotten slightly better organized. I still give it a 40% chance overall of developing.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
622. hydrus
11:34 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting Hurricane1956:
Thank you!
It is my opinion that this system will be a bit stronger than forecast.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22640
621. SFLWeatherman
11:33 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Up to 30%
Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4984
620. TylerStanfield
11:32 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
I think the NHC may upgrade it to 30% at the next TWO, though if it stays at 20%, I wouldn't be Surprised.
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 1405
619. TropicalAnalystwx13
11:32 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Got a tangerine! :)

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT THE
CIRCULATION OF THE LOW HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER DEFINED TODAY.
ADDITIONAL GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS DESPITE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS GENERALLY
NORTHWARD. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32830
618. TylerStanfield
11:30 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:



Hey,I see you're new!

welcome!

Oh yeah... Its HurricaneDean07 -_-
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 9 Comments: 1405
617. sar2401
11:29 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting Eyewall07:



I beg to differ, but last year we did get that nasty little disturbance that brought 15" of rain to Perdido

I was joking. However, Perdido is 230 miles from Eufaula and is in SW AL, so the weather there is often quite different than the weather here.
Member Since: October 2, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 17364
616. Dakster
11:28 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting HurricaneHunterJoe:


You are going to tick off the wishcasters and doomcasters with relevant statements like that!


Cut it out - quit making sense. That has no place on a tropical meteorology blog.
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10792
615. HurricaneHunterJoe
11:26 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting bayoubug:
Until they get a fix on the true center,the models will be all over the place.That short wave that is suppose to pick it up seems to be flatting out.


You are going to tick off the wishcasters and doomcasters with relevant statements like that!
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5248
614. Tropicsweatherpr
11:23 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting CaribBoy:
Weak wave is bringing some showers... BUT I want more always more :-)


But after the wave moves thru the Eastern Caribbean tonight look what is behind. A dense area of dust will dry things.

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14896
613. VR46L
11:19 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting Jedkins01:


Actually, that type of movement would just prolong heavy tropical banding off the gulf into the West Coast of Florida. Remember that this will be disorganized with the majority of moisture and heavy rains east of the center like with Debby.

The earlier model runs taking it more quickly across south Florida looked less impressive for rain totals especially for the northern half of Florida. However low pressure crawling across the gulf and curving into the nature coast or the big bend would be ideal for torrential rains on the west coast of FL like it was with Debby.


I have no doubt it will be a horrible rain maker ... but I don't see a TS on that run . just a broad low that will dump alot of rain .
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
612. CaribBoy
11:19 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Weak wave is bringing some showers... BUT I want more always more :-)
Member Since: October 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6455
611. GeoffreyWPB
11:17 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11540
610. Jedkins01
11:16 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting VR46L:
Navgem Its a Northern Gulf "event" I use the term loosely...:)











Actually, that type of movement would just prolong heavy tropical banding off the gulf into the West Coast of Florida. Remember that this will be disorganized with the majority of moisture and heavy rains east of the center like with Debby.

The earlier model runs taking it more quickly across south Florida looked less impressive for rain totals especially for the northern half of Florida. However low pressure crawling across the gulf and curving into the nature coast or the big bend would be ideal for torrential rains on the west coast of FL like it was with Debby.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8018
609. MrMixon
11:16 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting PedleyCA:


The Helicopter just bailed and went away from the Fire.... That is a good sign.


Indeed. Looked to me like the smoke plume had not expanded much over the past hour. Things are relatively green in the foothills right now. If this was August a fire in the Evergreen area could turn ugly fast.
Member Since: March 26, 2006 Posts: 44 Comments: 1520
608. GTcooliebai
11:14 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
It seems as though all the major global computer models are calling for some kind of development with the CMC being the most bullish. NOGAPS, UKMET, GFS, ECMWF, and CMC all on board.
Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
607. WxLogic
11:12 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting SLU:
91L has certainly become better organised today. Latest satellite pictures indicate that a new low is trying to form near the deep convection somewhere between north-eastern Yucatan and the western tip of Cuba. I'd say the probability of development could increase to 30% tonight.



I agree... was about to mentioned it too, but decided to look on past entries just in case someone mentioned it.
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
606. Hurricanes101
11:10 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting anotherwrongyear:
dave cocheralla from channel 13 weather out of orlando just said minutes ago that this will not be a tropical storm but possibly a big rain maker for northern florida with local ammounts of rain in central florida 1 to 3 inches possible in a few locations. hell we get that kinda rain almost everyday with our afternoon t storms


he obviously disagrees with his own website than, which calls for 4 to 8 inches. Here is an excerpt from this:

"Many showers and thunderstorms will move through Central Florida this week, and periods of very heavy rainfall are expected. Widespread rain totals of 4 to 8 inches of rain will be possible through the workweek. Flood watches may be issued by the end of the week. By this weekend, the area of low pressure begins moving away from the area. Slowly drier air moves into Central Florida, which will lower rain chances back to normal. The rest of the tropics remain quiet and no tropical formation is expected at this time."

CF News 13
Member Since: March 10, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 7874
605. VR46L
11:10 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Navgem Its a Northern Gulf "event" I use the term loosely...:)









Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
604. PedleyCA
11:10 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting MrMixon:


Luckily the winds aren't strong enough to hamper efforts to control it from the air. Just snapped this from the live stream:



It's supposed to be cooler tomorrow with a greater chance for afternoon showers.


The Helicopter just bailed and went away from the Fire.... That is a good sign.
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6240
603. Andrebrooks
11:06 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Come on 30% Come on 30% or even higher %.
Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1370
602. MrMixon
11:06 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting PedleyCA:


I hope that is taken care of quickly. We don't need another large fire so soon. The one here is 30,000 acres and last I heard was 40% contained.


Luckily the winds aren't strong enough to hamper efforts to control it from the air. Just snapped this from the live stream:



It's supposed to be cooler tomorrow with a greater chance for afternoon showers.
Member Since: March 26, 2006 Posts: 44 Comments: 1520
Quoting anotherwrongyear:
THATS what ive been saying since yesterday morning when all the models were pointing right at tampa. i said they models will change and point north towards the panhandle and daytona wont get as much as they are saying
LOL you have me giggling over here at your posts man. But in terms of the models 1) they will do the windshield wiper effect and 2) Until there is a well defined center the models are useless in terms of exact track and intensity.
Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
Quoting washingtonian115:
That is awfulterribad Danny from 2009..a look that is not to be confused with any other T.C..

Danny is my least favorite tropical cyclone
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting barbamz:

Yes, I'm following multiple threads on a german weatherblog,
barbamz - do you have any information on the town of Bamberg? I believe you are close to this cute little town. I was lucky enough to live there for 3 years in the '80s thanks to Uncle Sam. I know the town is bisected by a river, and hope all is well there.

Thanks,

Cynyc2
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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