Tornado Scientist Tim Samaras and Team Killed in Friday's El Reno, OK Tornado

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:43 PM GMT on June 02, 2013

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Veteran tornado scientist Tim Samaras, his son, environmental photographer Paul Samaras, 24, and meteorologist Carl Young, 45, died while chasing Friday's EF-3 tornado in El Reno, Oklahoma. The tornado killed at least nine people, in total. "Thank you to everyone for the condolences. It truly is sad that we lost my great brother Tim and his great son, Paul," said the brother of Tim Samaras, Jim Samaras, on Tim's Facebook page. "They all unfortunately passed away but doing what they LOVED." Tim, his son Paul, and Carl Young were all featured chasers on the Discovery Channel’s series, Storm Chasers, and Tim was known throughout the chase community as a conscientious and safety-minded chaser. Carl Young, who holds a Masters degree in meteorology from the University of Nevada, joined Samaras in the field in 2003. According to his Discovery Channel biography, Young and Samaras chased over 125 tornadoes together: "Carl's finest moment came on June 11, 2004 near Storm Lake, Iowa. Working with Tim, they defied the odds and deployed their probes right in the path of a tornado. The six-camera video probe captured amazing footage from multiple angles while the sensor probe recorded data that revealed just how fast wind speeds are close to the ground."


Figure 1. TWC's Mike ‪Bettes‬ crew caught this image of the El Reno, Oklahoma tornado of May 31, 2013 before the tornado caught them and rolled their vehicle. The tornado killed tornado scientists/storm chasers Tim Samaras, Paul Samaras, and Carl Young.


Figure 2. Storm chasers in North Dakota aligned themselves to spell out "T S" in honor of Tim Samaras today. Image credit: spotternetwork.org.

Tornado science loses a pioneer
Tim Samaras had been a tornado scientist for over 25 years. He was the founder of TWISTEX, the Tactical Weather Instrumented Sampling in Tornadoes Experiment, a 2011 field experiment designed to help learn more about tornadoes and increase lead time for warnings, which resulted in many peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations. One of Tim Samaras' most widely recognized contributions to tornado science is his placement of an aerodynamically-designed probe in the path of an EF-4 tornado near Manchester, South Dakota on June 24, 2003. The probe measured a world-record pressure fall of 100 mb over a 40 second period.

One of the publications from the TWISTEX program, "Near-Ground Pressure and Wind Measurements in Tornadoes" recounts this close call Tim had in a tornado in 2011: "As the storm approached, the crew noted that the supercell was moving more sharply to the right of its former course, placing them near the projected path of the low-level mesocyclone. The crew drove south on Highway 259, attempting to position south of the low-level mesocyclone before it crossed the highway. With considerable tree cover in this region hampering the visual observation of the storm's features, TWISTEX crews could not position south of the mesocyclone on Highway 259 before the mesocyclone reached this road. Thus, the two mobile mesonet stations, M2 and M3, had an unplanned tornado encounter with a developing tornadic circulation while the mesonet was traveling south on Highway 259."


Figure 3. One of Tim Samaras' most widely recognized contributions to tornado science is his placement of an aerodynamically-designed probe in the path of an EF-4 tornado near Manchester, South Dakota on June 24, 2003. The probe measured a world-record pressure fall of 100 mb over a 40 second period. See the NWS article and conference paper on the event. Thanks to wunderground member Scott Lincoln for this link.

A storm chasers' nightmare
Cars and tornadoes can prove a dangerous mix even for the world's most experienced storm chasers. Driving at high speeds though heavy rain, large hail, and high winds is hazardous. If one is lucky enough to chase down a tornado, even the most experienced chasers can find themselves in a serious life-threatening situation when unexpected events occur. The exact circumstances of the deaths of Tim Samaras and his team are not clear, but the El Reno tornado was an extremely dangerous one to chase. Tornadoes by their nature are unpredictable, and can change course unexpectedly, or pop up suddenly. It's particularly dangerous when a tornado is wrapped in rain, making it hard to see, or if a chaser is operating in a heavily populated area, where roads may suddenly become congested. All four of these conditions occurred Friday during the El Reno tornado. The El Reno tornado was wrapped in rain and difficult to see as it headed west towards Oklahoma City, and suddenly made a jog to the southeast as a Weather Channel team led by Mike Bettes was attempting to get in front of the storm, and the tornado lifted their vehicle off the ground, rolled it multiple times, and hurled it 200 yards into a nearby field. Austin Anderson was driving the Tornado Hunt vehicle, and suffered several broken bones and was hospitalized. Although Austin will have to undergo surgery in the next few days, doctors say he is expected to make a full recovery. StormChasingVideo.com storm chaser Brandon Sullivan and his chase partner Brett Wright got caught in the tornado northwest of Union City, OK and slammed with debris as the tornado hit a barn that exploded in front of them. Meteorologist Emily Sutton and storm chaser Kevin Josefy of local Oklahoma City TV station KFOR also had a very close call with the El Reno tornado Friday afternoon. They got too close to the tornado, and were forced to floor the car in reverse to escape flying debris. With branches of trees crashing around them, Sutton began feeling debris hitting her back, and realized that the rear windshield of the car must have gotten destroyed. Both were uninjured. Reed Timmer's armor-plated "Dominator" chase vehicle had its hood torn off by the tornado. Wunderground member Levi32 was out storm chasing during the El Reno Tornado, and got stuck in traffic on Highway 4 and couldn't move. "We looked up above the car and saw the wall cloud over top of us, with very quick rotation and rising scud indicating the updraft. We were definitely too close."


Video 1. Severe storm researcher and engineer Tim Samaras talks about his view on tornadoes and what remains to be understood in this interview posted on May 21, 2013.


Video 2. A tornado passes over one of Tim Samaras' specially designed six-camera video probes on June 11, 2004 near Storm Lake, Iowa.

Tornadoes and cars: a dangerous mix
A vehicle is about the worst place you can be in a tornado, as the tornado's winds can easily roll a car. (The only place less safe is probably a mobile home, as a tornado's winds can roll mobile homes almost as readily, and mobile homes don't come with seat belts and air bags.) At least five of the deaths in Friday's El Reno tornado occurred in vehicles. There was one local TV station that urged residents without underground shelters to get in their cars and "get south" in advance of the tornado that was approaching Oklahoma City, since chasers were reporting that the El Reno tornado may have been so strong that only an underground shelter would have provided adequate protection. This terrible piece of advice likely contributed to the incredible traffic jams that we saw on I-35, I-40, I-44, and other local roads Friday night. Thousands of cars were bumper-to-bumper on the roads as a dangerous tornado approached them. Had the El Reno tornado plowed directly down one of these car-choked interstates, the death toll could have easily exceeded 500. If you are located in a metro area and don't have an underground shelter, the best thing to do it to take shelter in an interior windowless room or hallway, with protective furniture over your body. Getting in a car and attempting to flee the tornado is the worst thing you can do in an urban area. You may not be able to see the tornado if it is dark or the tornado is wrapped in rain. You are likely to encounter hazardous winds, rain, and hail, run into unexpected traffic, or flooded or debris-blocked roads that will put you directly in the path of the tornado. Even without an underground shelter, most people will be able to survive a dangerous EF-4 tornado. Case in point: during the Mannsford, Oklahoma EF- 4 tornado of 1984, a packed church received a direct hit, and everyone in the church survived. The only fatality was a man who drove to the church to get his wife. It is often better to abandon your vehicle and take shelter in a ditch, if you are caught in a car during a tornado. However, if there is already flying debris in the air, leaving your car and exposing yourself to the debris in order to get to a ditch may be more hazardous than staying in your car. Furthermore, ditches are prone to flash floods. Four deaths during the El Reno tornado were from a family of seven that sheltered in a drainage ditch, and were washed into the Deep Fork River by a flash flood. Searchers are still looking for the other three bodies. A 2002 research paper, "UNSAFE AT ANY (WIND) SPEED? Testing the Stability of Motor Vehicles in Severe Winds" found that: "The stability and superior safety of being in a vehicle in severe winds, relative to occupying a mobile home or being outdoors, should be considered." Also, TWC's severe weather expert, Dr. Greg Forbes, commented on the pros and cons of abandoning one's vehicle for a ditch in a 2009 blog post, "Tornado Safety - Cars Versus Ditches: A Controversy." His personal take on what he would do if his car was being overtaken by a tornado, and no sturdy buildings were nearby to take shelter in: "I can't see myself getting out of the vehicle. I'd try first to drive away from the tornado. Both the NWS and the American Red Cross actually also advocate this. If you can determine which way the tornado is moving toward, face your body toward that direction and then go to the right, as shown in the diagram below. That is usually toward the south or southeast. The reason that it's best to head this way is that if you went to the left you would normally get into the region where largest hail and blinding rain occur in the kind of supercell, rotating thunderstorms that often spawn tornadoes. If I had no such driving option and I did feel the urge to get out of my car, I'd try to get into a building, and into a ditch well away from the car as the last resort."

My condolences and prayers go to all of the family and friends of Tim Samaras, Paul Samaras, and Carl Young. Their deaths are a terrible shock to the meteorological community, and a great loss for tornado science. I hope that their deaths will lead towards safer tornado chasing, and help spur efforts to use emerging drone technology to take measurements in dangerous storms such as tornadoes and hurricanes.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting islander101010:
lack of sea grass up here in the mosquito lagoon manatees are suspects too


nonsense, you have receive erroneous information.. the algae blooms of the last two summers wiped out the grasses....over 100 manatees have died in 8 months for LACK of seagrass.. they were forced to eat algae, and it killed them.. more than 30 dolphins, over 300 brown pelicans and hundreds of other birds, all dead. A nutrient driven collapse in all three northern lagoons is underway.
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801. VR46L
Good Morning Folks!

NorthAmerica-CONUS-East/vap_images/goes

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6834
Quoting Luisport:
Hochwasser Passau 2013 drei Tage im Zeitraffer video Link


The very short version (previous - now)

Edit: Gauge readings in Bavaria
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The MDR has rebounded and now is a good deal above average.

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14014
Quoting barbamz:

Areal view from Passau from today.


That's in lower or southern Bavaria, isn't it? Though there isn't a 'state' of Bavaria anymore...
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Good morning, everyone. Evening, Aussie, if you're still on. A pleasant 69 degrees and sunny here in my part of Louisiana. Just got back from Navarre, FL., visiting my son after my dog show in Kentucky. With all the rain they had here last week my garden isn't a garden anymore, looks more like a runaway hayfield! I can see a sore back in my near future.

Breakfast's on the sideboard: bacon and eggs, French toast with maple syrup, blueberry muffins, fresh fruit and orange juice. Enjoy!
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Aerial view from Passau from today.
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Quoting SLU:
8n 33w

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

that tropical wave lookin good for a early June trop wave
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 11033
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
12z Best Track.

AL, 91, 2013060312, , BEST, 0, 217N, 892W, 20, 1009, DB
Quoting Tazmanian:



looks like 91L has weak in i think 91L could be drop by the end of the day

I am very sorry I have to do this "Another one bites the dust!!" and yes I know there is no dust but still just saying

I did say NHC called 91L too early and that this is not the system they are looking for
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 11033
Quoting flcanes:

I have to agree. Anyways, from our current model runs, CMC still wants to make this into a high end cat or a low end cat 2 before the week is out. GFS wants to make it into a weak TD, and ECMWF does not seem to show anything at all

as I expected models are down the drains because there is not a good starting point to work from and some see conditions to be good in the gulf of mex and some see it bad

my take on this is the models are forecasting this storm too early and moving it too quickly and forming in different areas

what I see happening is it starts with the system in the gulf of honduras move NNE-NE and develops while doing so makes its first landfall in Cuba then into Florida then the SE US Coastline the system will develop better in the lower shear in the GOH and the lower shear will eventually move with the system as it makes it way across Fl I think Fl could have a moderate-Strong TS and strong TS max (CMC is over doing intensity by a lot) all of this at a later time frame
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 11033
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
12z Best Track.

AL, 91, 2013060312, , BEST, 0, 217N, 892W, 20, 1009, DB



looks like 91L has weak in i think 91L could be drop by the end of the day
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114728
790. SLU
8n 33w

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Shear and Dry Air do not a happy tropical-gyre make!


Don't think today will see much development; It will have to sit-and-spin for a couple days IF anything is to develop, IMO...
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12z Best Track.

AL, 91, 2013060312, , BEST, 0, 217N, 892W, 20, 1009, DB
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14014
Quoting Luisport:
river donau psses the record of 12,20 meters rising....

highest flood since the year 1501.
mandatory evacuations in many towns and cities reported to begin today. Link
Hochwasser Passau 2013 drei Tage im Zeitraffer video Link
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026
going to mill around the e. gulf for a few days wait to wednesday
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91L rip
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Quoting wunderkidcayman:
morning guys
hmm got to tell yeah 91L look more crap than last night a matter of fact the only thing that is looking good is down in the gulf of honduras

I have to agree. Anyways, from our current model runs, CMC still wants to make this into a high end cat or a low end cat 2 before the week is out. GFS wants to make it into a weak TD, and ECMWF does not seem to show anything at all
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morning guys
hmm got to tell yeah 91L look more crap than last night a matter of fact the only thing that is looking good is down in the gulf of honduras
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 11033
One thing to note, most models dont have this develop into a system (with the exception of the CMC, which wants to put a high end cat 1 in somebody's backyard) until it reaches south carolina by sunday
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Quoting guygee:
While waiting for the continuation of the deluge here in Florida, with another 4"-8" expected this week, I was reading about the flooding that is ongoing in Central Europe from Germany through Austria and the Czech Republic. From Der Spiegel,


Articles:
Relentless Rain: Army Called in to Fight Worsening Floods (June 03)
Rain, Rain, Go Away: Germany Drowns in Endless Downpour (May 31)
Picture Gallery of Flooding in Bavaria and Saxony.
(Edit: I missed seeing Luisport's post on the same topic just a few posts above ... with added video)
river donau psses the record of 12,20 meters rising....

highest flood since the year 1501.
mandatory evacuations in many towns and cities reported to begin today. Link
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026
The west remains hot ..
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Upper Level Winds currently in the 30-40 knot range not conducive for development.

Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
Quoting WxLogic:
Morning
Morning.:)
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Hello from Longboat Key, Florida!

I had the pleasure of relocating here recently and it looks like the tropical weather is here to welcome me. Some of our roads are already flooding out and it's only the start of what looks to be a very wet week.

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Morning
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Also note that two of our Lower Keys buoys are not working so no direct pressure readings as the system approaches the lower keys. Pressures are currently rising at the nearest working one due North of the system and due west of Naples into the Eastern Gulf with gusts of only 11 knots. This is the best one to monitor over the next 24 hours for any significant changes:

Station 42003
NDBC
Location: 26.044N 85.612W
Date: Mon, 3 Jun 2013 10:50:00 UTC

Winds: SSE (160) at 9.7 kt gusting to 11.7 kt
Significant Wave Height: 3.0 ft
Dominant Wave Period: 6 sec
Mean Wave Direction: S (175)
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.89 in and rising
Air Temperature: 77.4 F
Water Temperature: 81.7 F

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Interesting discussion out of Wilmington, NC NWS. System not expected to move out of the Gulf until Friday. That gives it a couple of days for it to develop, if shear allows.
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.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 3 AM MONDAY...LOW CONFIDENCE CONTINUES FOR THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. POTENTIAL TROPICAL OR SUB-TROPICAL SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF
MEXICO ADDS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY TO THE FORECAST LATE WEEK. THU
SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO WED...THOUGH WITH MORE CLOUDS. HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGING IN FROM THE NORTH SHIFTS EAST WITH LOW LEVEL NORTHEAST
FLOW BECOMING EASTERLY. WEAK COASTAL TROUGH IS PUSHED INLAND AND
DISSIPATES THU BUT IS LIKELY TO GENERATE SOME PRECIP. WILL
MAINTAIN INHERITED CHC POP WITH HIGHS NEAR TO BELOW CLIMO AND LOWS
NEAR TO ABOVE CLIMO.

FRI AND BEYOND THE PREVIOUS INCREASING AGREEMENT BETWEEN MEDIUM
RANGE GUIDANCE HAS EVAPORATED. NOW SEEING SIGNIFICANT RUN TO RUN
DIFFERENCES POPPING UP WITHIN THE GFS/ECMWF/CANADIAN. EVEN THE
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS OF BOTH GFS AND ECMWF ARE HAVING DIFFICULTY WITH
THIS SYSTEM. WHAT IS KNOWN IS THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL
BE WEAK AND ILL-DEFINED. LACK OF STEERING AND ENHANCING
FEATURES...ALONG WITH THE FACT THAT THE SYSTEM HAS YET TO TAKE
SHAPE...IS GIVING THE GUIDANCE FITS AND KEEPING CONFIDENCE LOW. IF
THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS IT IS LIKELY TO MEANDER AROUND THE GULF UNTIL
MID LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFYING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS FRI CAPTURES
IT. ONCE THE TROUGH PICKS IT UP THE GUIDANCE AGREES THE SYSTEM
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST BUT PATHS VARY FROM WEST OF THE ILM FORECAST
AREA TO OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST FRI INTO SAT. BEST PRECIP CHANCES
WILL BE AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM AS IT IS LIKELY TO BE TRANSITIONING
FROM TROPICAL TO BAROCLINIC AS IT REACHES THE CAROLINAS.

FROM NWS WILMINGTON NC
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Good Morning. Our Caribbean system not looking too good this am development wise; running out of time before it hits Florida as a copious tropical rainmaker with localized flooding to follow. No drought issues in Florida so far this year.
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While waiting for the continuation of the deluge here in Florida, with another 4"-8" expected this week, I was reading about the flooding that is ongoing in Central Europe from Germany through Austria and the Czech Republic. From Der Spiegel,
...For much of Europe, the weather hasn't been good this year. April showers were followed by more showers in May, when 178 percent more rain fell than the year before, according to estimates of Germany's National Meteorological Service (DWD).

The DWD says that, from Germany's northern coastlines to the Alps, the earth is wetter than it has been in 50 years. This broad swath of muddy soil is causing major problems for the agricultural industry, the DWD reports, making it impossible to drive on 40 percent of fields, use machinery or spray against pests, diseases, molds or weeds. ...


Articles:
Relentless Rain: Army Called in to Fight Worsening Floods (June 03)
Rain, Rain, Go Away: Germany Drowns in Endless Downpour (May 31)
Picture Gallery of Flooding in Bavaria and Saxony.
(Edit: I missed seeing Luisport's post on the same topic just a few posts above ... with added video)
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766. 7544
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
Look at all that rain!



morning looks like all that rain wants to go more east than north imo
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Quoting indianrivguy:


I'm hating this.. we currently have discharges from Okeechobee Lake coming into our St. Lucie estuary.. and this new rain will add to that... we still haven't recovered from Isaac.. 55 square miles of dead seagrasses in the northern lagoon, and now discharges wrecking the ecosystems in the southern end...


Same thing is happening here on the Caloosahatchee. It's killing seagrasses here too. Also contributing to algae blooms.
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Look at all that rain!

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Quoting indianrivguy:


I'm hating this.. we currently have discharges from Okeechobee Lake coming into our St. Lucie estuary.. and this new rain will add to that... we still haven't recovered from Isaac.. 55 square miles of dead seagrasses in the northern lagoon, and now discharges wrecking the ecosystems in the southern end...
It's very sad indianrivguy ... my understanding is that the intercoastal waterways were once a great economic resource, a major source of clams and fish and potentially a great tourist attraction to compliment the nearby beaches. But foolish decisions to alter the natural course of water flow, draining the inland interior for housing development and agriculture have ruined our once great resource on the coast, with further opportunities such as fish farming and tourist attraction out of reach now and wasted. I think the canals need to be filled in and water diverted back south into the Everglades and north into the St. John's for there to be any hope of recovery. I'm not holding my breath ... still I wonder if the man-made drainage infrastructure will just silt over eventually from neglect as "austerity" kicks in and funding for infrastructure continues to decline. I think that nature will remediate our folly in her own time ... better to work with nature than continue to defy her.
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Remains at 20%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA TO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA
OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS GENERALLY NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
when is the aircraft recon going out.
Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 29 Comments: 991
Quoting barbamz:
Good morning abroad! Short drive by to tell you that the flooding situation in southeastern Germany and adjacent countries is unfortunately pretty much worsening:

Spiegel English (with photo gallery):
Relentless Rain: Army Called in to Fight Worsening Floods

The Local:
Two die as rain floods German regions
At least two people have died and thousands have been evacuated from their homes as widespread flooding ravages parts of Germany. Over 1,700 soldiers are helping those in particularly badly hit south and south-eastern areas.

The european picture (euronews with video):
Flooding in Czech Republic, Germany, Austria
03/06 04:26 CET


And it's still raining in those regions affected by floods. Source.
All-time high flooding in Germany and Central Europe!!! Martial law imposed in 3 German States!!! 10 people dead, 9 missing!!! HEAVY RAIN TO 72H!
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026
Remains at 20%.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHWESTERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA TO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA
OF CLOUDINESS AND DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR DUE TO MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS GENERALLY NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14014
Quoting Jwd41190:
What percentage at 0800 hrs you think guys?
30 to 40%.
Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 29 Comments: 991
What percentage at 0800 hrs you think guys?
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Good morning abroad! Short drive by to tell you that the flooding situation in southeastern Germany and adjacent countries is unfortunately pretty much worsening:

Spiegel English (with photo gallery):
Relentless Rain: Army Called in to Fight Worsening Floods

The Local:
Two die as rain floods German regions
At least two people have died and thousands have been evacuated from their homes as widespread flooding ravages parts of Germany. Over 1,700 soldiers are helping those in particularly badly hit south and south-eastern areas.

The european picture (euronews with video):
Flooding in Czech Republic, Germany, Austria
03/06 04:26 CET


And it's still raining in those regions affected by floods. Source.

Edit: BBC footage with video and map


Passau at the Danube River. From a german live blog about the situation. All time record is broken at this place.
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Good morning/afternoon/evening as the case may be.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
634 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830 -850-853-856-870-
873-876-032300-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
634 AM EDT MON JUN 3 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WITH
SOME MINOR URBAN FLOODING. ALL THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
THEN MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARD FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS CURRENTLY MONITORING THIS AREA FOR
POSSIBLE TROPICAL OR SUB-TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING MULTIPLE
HAZARDS TO THE REGION THIS WEEK. FLOODING RAINS WOULD APPEAR TO
BE THE MOST LIKELY HAZARD...BUT TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM. IF THE LOW DOES INTENSIFY AS A TROPICAL OR SUB-TROPICAL
SYSTEM...STRONG GUSTY WINDS WOULD ALSO BE POSSIBLE. EVEN WITHOUT
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING...CONDITIONS ON THE EASTERN GULF WATERS
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT AS WINDS INCREASE
TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS AND SEAS CLIMB TO 7 FEET OR MORE. THIS
WILL ALSO RESULT IN DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

JILLSON



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91L finally on floater page!




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1. WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA...HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW
TO OCCUR DUE TO MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS GENERALLY NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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