Hurricane Barbara Hits Mexico; Severe Weather Outbreak Continues in Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:29 PM GMT on May 30, 2013

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The Eastern Pacific's Hurricane Barbara is still alive as a tropical depression at the edge of the Atlantic's Gulf of Mexico, and has the potential to gain new life as an Atlantic tropical cyclone later today. Barbara made landfall near 4 pm EDT (1 pm PDT) May 29, 2013, on Mexico's Bay of Tehuantepec coast, as a Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds. The storm killed two people, and brought heavy rains of 16.02" (407mm) to Arriaga in the state of Chiapas in an 18-hour period. Barbara remains a serious rainfall threat today. The storm intensified remarkably rapidly, becoming a hurricane just 21 hours after it became a tropical depression. According to NOAA's Historical Hurricane Tracks website, only one other Eastern Pacific hurricane has ever made landfall in May--Category 1 Hurricane Agatha of 1971, which hit Mexico west of Acapulco. Barbara is just the 2nd hurricane ever to make landfall in the Bay of Tehuantepec (the other: Category 1 Hurricane Rick of 1997.) Barbara's formation date of May 28 was the 2nd earliest appearance of the Eastern Pacific's 2nd named storm of the year; the record earliest second storm of the year occurred just last year, on May 21, 2012 (Tropical Storm Bud.) The average date for the formation of the Eastern Pacific's 2nd storm is June 25. Barbara's landfall location was the most easterly on record for an East Pacific hurricane. Records of Eastern Pacific hurricanes go back to 1949, but aren't really reliable until 1966.


Figure 1. MODIS satellite image of Hurricane Barbara taken at 4:30 pm EDT on May 29, 2013. At the time, Barbara was making landfall as a Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Barbara survived its overnight crossing of Mexico's Isthmus of Tehuantepec with its circulation intact, but lost nearly all of its heavy thunderstorm activity. This morning, the center of Barbara was located just inland from the southernmost waters of the Gulf of Mexico's Bay of Campeche. Barbara was drifting northwest, towards open water, at 3 mph. With wind shear a moderate 10 - 20 knots over Barbara, the storm has the potential to be classified as an Atlantic tropical depression later today if its center emerges over water. However, latest satellite loops have shown a steady reduction in the storm's heavy thunderstorms this morning, and Barbara may lose its circulation before it has time take advantage of the Gulf of Mexico's warm waters. Since Barbara is a small storm, the moderate wind shear may be too great for it to withstand. None of the reliable computer models predict that Barbara will survive into Friday. If Barbara is able to re-intensify to a tropical storm, it would keep the name Barbara, becoming the first Atlantic storm ever to have an Eastern Pacific name. Formerly, Eastern Pacific storms crossing into the Atlantic would be given a new name, but a recent NHC policy change allows storms to keep their names when they cross from one ocean basin to another. If Barbara were to dissipate before reaching the Gulf, then its remnants regenerate into a tropical storm in the Gulf, it would be named Andrea. If you want to discuss this year's hurricane season via Twitter, AP will be doing a hurricane twitter chat today (Thursday) at 1 p.m. EDT: #APStormChat; the National Hurricane Center is doing a hurricane chat at 2 pm EDT: #HurriChat.

Double ocean tropical cyclones: a rare breed
According to the Hurricane FAQ, since 1923 there have been four East Pacific tropical storms or hurricanes that have maintained their circulations while crossing into the Atlantic Ocean, becoming tropical storms in the Atlantic Ocean:

Northeast Pacific Tropical Storm Alma (May 2008) became a remnant low in the Atlantic, where it merged with another tropical wave which generated Atlantic Tropical Storm Arthur. Arthur hit Belize as a tropical storm, killing nine and doing $78 million in damage.

Northeast Pacific Hurricane Cosme became Atlantic Tropical Storm Allison in June 1989. Allison hit Texas as a tropical storm, and heavy rains from Allison--up to 30" in some regions of Texas and Louisiana--triggered floods that killed eleven people and did $1 billion in damage. (A later incarnation of Tropical Storm Allison in 2001 also hit Texas, and caused such extensive flooding that its name was retired.)

An unnamed Northeast Pacific Tropical Storm (September-October 1949) became Atlantic Hurricane (Storm #10) and hit Freeport, Texas as a Category 4 hurricane, killing two people.

An unnamed Northeast Pacific Tropical Storm (October 1923) became Atlantic Hurricane (Storm #6) and made landfall as a Category 1 hurricane in Louisiana.

There have been eight Atlantic tropical storms or hurricanes that have maintained their circulations while crossing into the East Pacific Ocean, and were then tropical storms in that ocean.


Figure 2. Severe weather outlook for Thursday, May 30, calls for a "Slight Risk" of severe weather over much of the Midwest. You can follow today's severe weather outbreak from our Severe Weather page.

Multi-day severe weather outbreak in the Midwest brings more tornadoes and flooding
It was an active day for tornadoes in the Midwest on Wednesday, with NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) logging 23 preliminary tornado reports. Twisters touched down in Nebraska, Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma, Iowa, and Wisconsin. The tornadoes missed heavily populated areas, and no injuries and only minor damage was reported. The latest forecast from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center call for a "Moderate Risk" of severe weather today (Thursday) over much of Oklahoma, with the potential for several strong EF-2 and EF-3 tornadoes.


Figure 3. Five-day rainfall forecast for the period ending at 7am EDT Tuesday, June 4, calls for very heavy rains of 3 - 5" over much of Missouri. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.

As discussed by wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt in his latest post, Some Phenomenal Rainfalls the Past Week in the U.S., the country has seen a lot of very heavy rainfall over the past week that has caused serious flooding. Of particular concern is Iowa, where Governor Terry Branstad issued a disaster proclamation on Tuesday for 13 Iowa counties, due to recent storms and flooding.The Iowa State Climatologist, Harry Hillaker, announced on May 29th that this has been the wettest spring (March-May) on record for the state since records began 141 years ago. A state average of 16.4” has been preliminarily reported. The previous wettest spring was 15.5” way back in 1892. He warned that “Iowa is at a tipping point for a major flood event”. Rains of 1 - 2" are expected over Eastern Iowa the remainder of the this week, which will keep most rivers above flood stage. Another round of rains of 1 - 2" are likely on Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, when the next storm system rolls through. That system also has the potential to bring a severe weather outbreak to the Midwest.

Jeff Masters

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1249. mikatnight
6:47 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
As further evidence that human beings are woefully inept at predicting the weather, the NWS has for the second day in a row, blown their forecast for my area. Admittedly, the day is not yet done, but no one in my forecast area has received so much as a drop of rain, and the radar doesn't seem to reflect much enthusiasm for a high probability. Predicting an 80% and 70% chance of precipitation for yesterday and today, one would expect to see a bit more activity on radar. I wonder if anyone has done any studies to see just how much better we are at predicting the weather than we were 20, or even a hundred years ago?
Member Since: October 18, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
1248. robj144
1:50 PM GMT on June 03, 2013
Quoting FLWeatherFreak91:
I live just north of Tampa and we received less than two inches for may, bringing our yearly total thus far to 8.5". Fail


When he said SE Florida, what are you saying fail? In an 8 hour period a few weeks ago, I received 10 inches of rain in my area. It might not be all of Florida, but DEFINITELY SE FLA cannot take much more rain.
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 825
1247. Jedkins01
8:14 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting hydrus:
Almost 25 inches of rain in the S.E.Gulf by the GFS..


Its starting to look like Debby round 2, it will be interesting to see what unfolds.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7958
1246. Levi32
2:53 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The SPC's reasoning for a 10% area instead of a 15% area is higher low-level shear across Indiana. Perhaps somebody more knowledgable can explain why the heck this matters?


No I think you're reading it wrong. The issue is lower low-level shear in OK. It's not really that impressive. However, surface winds will be backing after 21z as the secondary heat low develops in northern TX, so that has me concerned personally.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26695
1245. AussieStorm
2:46 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Hey Everyone. It's after midnight here in Sydney So it's the 1st day of Winter and the 1st day of the 2013 Hurricane season here. Good luck all. Lets hope and pray it's all fishes.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
1244. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
2:46 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
1243. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
2:46 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
EXTREME HEAT ALERT
Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 10:00 AM EDT Friday 31 May 2013
Condition:Mainly Sunny
Pressure:30.0 inches
Tendency:rising
Visibility:15 miles
Temperature:78.8°F
Dewpoint:67.3°F
Humidity:68%
Wind:SSE 6 mph
Humidex: 92
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55517
1242. TropicalAnalystwx13
2:46 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting Thrawst:


I believe this is a big mistake.

I'd be inclined to agree. Not sure why more favourable wind shear to the northeast would do anything to the threat in Oklahloma. Bulk shear is AOA 50 knots in the Moderate risk already.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32689
1241. FLWeatherFreak91
2:45 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting gailstar:
SE Florida is already rain saturated with almost 16" of rain for the month of May. All canals and lakes are filled to the rim. I doubt we can handle any major rain event prior to a good drying out. Wettest May I remember since moving here in 1974.
I live just north of Tampa and we received less than two inches for may, bringing our yearly total thus far to 8.5". Fail
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
1240. CybrTeddy
2:45 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
This where the fun begins..
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24548
1239. Chicklit
2:43 PM GMT on May 31, 2013


Link NOAA Aviation Weather Center
Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11406
1238. redwagon
2:42 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting yonzabam:


Less dry air to weaken the hurricanes, then. It really is shaping up as a doozy of a season.


I guess the models calling for two feet of rain in FL have been expecting Barbara/90E to provide it, even before Barbara was named in the EPAC. No wonder they were so fast to rename her.. except now she looks like she might be-devil the models like Debby did.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3280
1237. superpete
2:41 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting wunderkidcayman:

sure is a wet morning so far

W'kid
I think we are stuck in this all day today !
Member Since: October 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 714
1236. Gearsts
2:40 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Oh wow ouch poor guy.
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1991
1235. GeoffreyWPB
2:40 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11512
1234. Luisport
2:40 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
Serial Number: 857
Issue Time: 2013 May 31 1217 UTC
ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2013 May 31 1122 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 1122 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.
Link
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2029
1233. 900MB
2:39 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Hey y'all! Long time! Happy hurricane season! I've been dormant since Sandy, what a doosy for us in NYC. Looks like another nutty year.

Is it me, or is that African blob a bit fearsome for this time of the season?
Member Since: June 11, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 684
1232. Thrawst
2:37 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The SPC's reasoning for a 10% area instead of a 15% area is higher low-level shear across Indiana. Perhaps somebody more knowledgable can explain why the heck this matters?


I believe this is a big mistake.
Member Since: July 18, 2010 Posts: 50 Comments: 1909
1231. Ameister12
2:30 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Best setup, at least localised all year. Strange how NWS Norman mentions several tornadoes, some of which may be violent, while SPC says an isolated strong tornado is possible.

I was surprised when the latest SPC outlook got rid of the 15% area. Perhaps we'll see them increase the risk again for the next outlook.
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 5080
1230. TropicalAnalystwx13
2:29 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
The SPC's reasoning for a 10% area instead of a 15% area is higher low-level shear across Indiana. Perhaps somebody more knowledgable can explain why the heck this matters?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32689
1229. VR46L
2:27 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting Andrebrooks:
Where did you find that.


On the Navy storm page for 90L .. Played around with the buttons 90l Navy STORM Page90l Navy STORM page

Edit tried to fix link
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6967
1228. Ameister12
2:25 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 5080
1226. stormchaser19
2:24 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Good morning everyone.....Good news,more Data from the Hurricane Hunters this year


During this year’s hurricane season NASA will “double-team” on research with two unmanned Global Hawk aircraft winging their way over storms that develop during the peak of the season. NASA's Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel, or HS3 airborne mission, will revisit the Atlantic Ocean to investigate storms using additional instruments and for the first time two Global Hawks.

"The advantage this year over 2012 is that the second aircraft will measure eyewall and rainband winds and precipitation, something we didn't get to do last year," said Scott Braun, HS3 mission principal investigator and research meteorologist at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. "In addition, just as we did in 2012, the first aircraft will examine the large-scale environment that tropical storms form in and move through and how that environment affects the inner workings of the storms."



Full story here---->Link
Member Since: June 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2169
1225. hydrus
2:22 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Almost 25 inches of rain in the S.E.Gulf by the GFS..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22254
1224. MrstormX
2:21 PM GMT on May 31, 2013






Member Since: May 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 4438
1223. TropicalAnalystwx13
2:21 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


40.4 supercell, 500-600 SRH, 10STP....50kt shear,

ouch.....we'll see what happens 3500j/kg CAPE surface and midlevels.

Best setup, at least localised all year. Strange how NWS Norman mentions several tornadoes, some of which may be violent, while SPC says an isolated strong tornado is possible.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32689
1222. yonzabam
2:20 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting gailstar:
SE Florida is already rain saturated with almost 16" of rain for the month of May. All canals and lakes are filled to the rim. I doubt we can handle any major rain event prior to a good drying out. Wettest May I remember since moving here in 1974.


Less dry air to weaken the hurricanes, then. It really is shaping up as a doozy of a season.
Member Since: July 20, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2992
1221. Andrebrooks
2:17 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting VR46L:
Hiya Folks !

SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc13/ATL/90L.INVEST/tc_ssmis/compo site

Click to enlarge
Where did you find that.
Member Since: March 25, 2013 Posts: 30 Comments: 1339
1220. Chicklit
2:16 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Good morning, is the mass of convection in the Caribbean supposed to move northward to Florida?



...from 8 a.m. NHC Discussion
CARIBBEAN SEA...
MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN IS UNDER IN THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WITH ONE ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR 16N83W AND THE OTHER ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE SE CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N62W. THIS RESULTS IN AN OVERALL DIFFLUENT ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT. COUPLED WITH SUSTAINED MOIST E-SE LOW-LEVEL FLOW ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED IN THE SW NORTH ATLC...AREAS OF CONVECTION PERSIST THIS MORNING.
ONE SUCH AREA IS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 12N-23N BETWEEN 75W-84W.

OTHERWISE... OTHER AREAS REMAIN AS ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA...AS WELL AS THE SE CARIBBEAN S OF 13N E OF 64W. FINALLY...THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 10N/11N FROM NORTHERN COLOMBIA TO NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING OVER THE AREA S OF 13N BETWEEN 72W-86W. THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN OF E-SE TRADES IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ANCHORED TO THE NORTH IN THE SW NORTH ATLC.
Member Since: July 11, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 11406
1219. FtMyersgal
2:16 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1219
1218. gailstar
2:15 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
SE Florida is already rain saturated with almost 16" of rain for the month of May. All canals and lakes are filled to the rim. I doubt we can handle any major rain event prior to a good drying out. Wettest May I remember since moving here in 1974.
Member Since: June 23, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4
1217. VR46L
2:15 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Hiya Folks !

SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc13/ATL/90L.INVEST/tc_ssmis/compo site

Click to enlarge
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6967
1216. MrstormX
2:12 PM GMT on May 31, 2013


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0902
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0845 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL...SWRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 311345Z - 311515Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...RENEWED INTENSIFICATION OF A SHORT-LINE SEGMENT EVOLVING
WITHIN A BROADER CONVECTIVE CLUSTER IS BEING MONITORED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF A SEVERE TSTM WATCH.

DISCUSSION...SRN PORTION OF LONG-LIVED CONVECTIVE CLUSTER HAD TAKEN
ON A BOWING/BULGING SHAPE OVER THE PAST HOUR CONTRIBUTING TO AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD PROPAGATION TO AROUND 30-35 KT AND MEASURED WIND
GUSTS TO 48 KT AT KDMO PRIOR TO 13Z. THIS CLUSTER HAS BEEN DRIVEN BY
ROBUST LOW-LEVEL WAA ALONG THE MUCAPE GRADIENT...AND STRONG TO
ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY PERSIST NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS UNTIL
THE LLJ WEAKENS. THERE IS CONCERN THAT WITH DOWNSTREAM INSOLATION
EVIDENT INTO THE STL METRO AREA...THAT AT LEAST A MARGINAL RISK FOR
DAMAGING WINDS COULD PERSIST INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. BUT WITH NEUTRAL
TO WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT RISES AND SLIGHT WARMING EXPECTED AT 700
MB...CONVECTION MIGHT STRUGGLE TO FURTHER INTENSIFY...WHICH SEEMS TO
BE THE SIGNAL PROVIDED BY MOST CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE.

..GRAMS/HART.. 05/31/2013


ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...

LAT...LON 39019220 39289157 39469073 39558996 39438956 39158933
38708938 37828962 37499035 37429157 37499215 37819272
38159297 39019220
Member Since: May 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 4438
1215. StormPro
2:05 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
.
Member Since: August 4, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 606
1214. Thrawst
2:02 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
.
Member Since: July 18, 2010 Posts: 50 Comments: 1909
1213. wunderkidcayman
2:02 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
though it seem to be just on the boarder to be enough
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12710
1212. washingtonian115
2:01 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
That wave may trigger the second storm the GFS and Euro are showing? But what do I know I'm the dumb one here.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17599
1211. Levi32
2:01 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting AussieStorm:


I get product not found when I go to your site. Mistake by NOAA or bad link?


For a newly-declared invest, the satellite floater won't be up yet, so you'll get a missing image/link. Same for dissipated storms like Barbara, which is still on the page and won't disappear until later today. When I get time I might try to make it less confusing by removing the images if they don't yet exist for a particular invest.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26695
1210. wunderkidcayman
2:01 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting scott39:
Is the water warm enough in the north part of the GOM, for a developed TC to gain strength?

its warmer in the BOC and W Caribbean than it is in the GOM more so the N GOM
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12710
1209. hydrus
2:01 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting scott39:
Is the water warm enough in the north part of the GOM, for a developed TC to gain strength?
Some spots are still cool, but mostly yes.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22254
1208. ncstorm
2:00 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
the CMC Ensembles take it to Florida..

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16208
1207. redwagon
1:59 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting AussieStorm:

Same....
02E


90L


Now that the collision 'dust' has settled, 90E is a lot further East than I expected.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3280
1206. hydrus
1:58 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Rain has gone beyond the graph in the gulf.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22254
1205. scott39
1:56 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Is the water warm enough in the north part of the GOM, for a developed TC to gain strength?
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 6912
1204. shy9
1:54 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
The NHC FAQ is incomplete in documenting cross-basin storms. A careful reading of the Annual summaries for 1967 state that a Atlantic hurricane crossed central America and formed a Pacific storm. Also, I think it was the late 1990's or early 2000's that an Atlantic Hurricane crossed central Mexico and was designated a E. Pacific depression, although this one did not develop past a depression.
Member Since: July 26, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
1203. islander101010
1:53 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
1142# looking at the models there might be a few surprises
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 4987
1202. mikatnight
1:53 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting AussieStorm:
Get as low as you can and put as many walls as you can between you and the tornado.


Good post. Bares repeating.
Off to work. Luck all.
'night Aussie.
Member Since: October 18, 2005 Posts: 4 Comments: 3052
1201. RitaEvac
1:52 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Giant asteroid to sail past earth today
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 9676
1200. wunderkidcayman
1:50 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Quoting MrstormX:
Shear is dropping in the GOM, most likely this is a factor that will influence 90L.


how ever true that may be right now on that same map shear in increasing right on top of 90L



anyway new models its truly a big joke

Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12710
1199. weathermanwannabe
1:47 PM GMT on May 31, 2013
Won't have a good picture of the short-term fate of 90L until tomorrow or Sunday to see what sheer does over the next 48 whether for the better or worse.........Pretty disorganized mess at the moment but an invest nonetheless to keep an eye on.
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9372

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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