Barbara Nearing Mexico at Hurricane Strength; Midwest Tornado Outbreak Today

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:02 PM GMT on May 29, 2013

Share this Blog
45
+

Hurricane warnings are flying for the Pacific coast of Mexico, where Tropical Storm Barbara is rapidly intensifying as it makes landfall. Barbara should be ashore by 2 pm EDT (11 am PDT), and is expected to intensify to a Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds before landfall. Barbara formed on Tuesday night (May 28), an unusually early date for the formation of the Eastern Pacific's second storm of the year. The record earliest second storm of the year occurred just last year, on May 21 (Tropical Storm Bud.) The previous record was set in 1984, when the second named storm (Boris) formed on May 29. Reliable records of Eastern Pacific hurricanes go back to 1949. Barbara wasted no time getting organized, and is gathering strength in impressive fashion as it nears landfall in Mexico's Bay of Tehuantepec area. The storm's main threat is very heavy rains of up to a foot, which will be capable of causing dangerous flash floods and mudslides over the next 2 - 3 days. However, wind damage and the expected 3 - 5 foot storm surge are also a concern, since the area of the coast it is hitting, though not heavily populated, has very little hurricane experience. According to NOAA's Historical Hurricane Tracks website, only one Eastern Pacific hurricane has ever hit the Bay of Tehuantepec--Category 1 Hurricane Rick of 1997. Radar out of Puerto Angel, Mexico shows that Barbara has built a partial eyewall, and the storm has already spread heavy rains ashore along portions of the Mexican coast. Satellite loops show that Barbara is a relatively small storm, with a modest area of heavy thunderstorms.


Figure 1. Radar image of Barbara from Puerto Angel, Mexico, taken at 9:30 am EDT (6:30 am PDT) May 29, 2013. Image credit: CONAGUA.

May tropical storm landfalls are rare in the Eastern Pacific
Only eight named storms that formed in May have hit land in the Eastern Pacific since accurate hurricane records began in 1949--an average of one storm every eight years, according to NOAA's Historical Hurricane Tracks website. Just one of these May storms made landfall as a hurricane--Category 1 Hurricane Agatha of 1971, which hit Mexico west of Acapulco. But one of the deadliest and most destructive Eastern Pacific tropical cyclones of all-time was a May storm that never reached hurricane strength--Tropical Storm Agatha of May 29, 2010, which had top winds of only 45 mph at landfall. Agatha dissipated just one day after making landfall, but its remnants lingered over Central America for six days, dumping torrential rains that triggered deadly flash floods and landslides; Mazatenango, Guatemala, reported 22.27 inches of rain from May 25 - 30, 2010. At least 190 people died, mostly in Guatemala, making Agatha the 7th deadliest Eastern Pacific tropical cyclone in history. Agatha's $1.2 billion in damage made it the 6th most expensive Eastern Pacific tropical cyclone on record. Fortunately, Barbara is hitting a region of the coast that is relatively sparsely populated compared to where Agatha hit, and Barbara is not likely to cause anywhere close to the devastation that Agatha wrought.


Figure 2. Journey to the center of the Earth: a massive sinkhole 66 feet (20 m) across and 100 ft (30 m) deep opened up on May 29, 2010 in Guatemala City after heavy rains from Tropical Storm Agatha. The sinkhole collapsed suddenly, taking a three-story house that was used as factory, claiming fifteen lives. The sinkhole formed because Guatemala City is built upon volcanic pumice deposits, which are unconsolidated and of low density, allowing easy erosion. According to Sam Bonis, a geologist at Dartmouth College, because of lax city zoning regulations and building codes, leaking pipes went unfixed long enough to create the conditions necessary for this hole to form (it technically wasn't a sinkhole, since sinkholes form in limestone rock.) How do you patch something like this?

Tropical cyclone development unlikely in the Atlantic during the coming seven days
Barbara is expected to push northwards and cross into the Gulf of Mexico by Friday, but the storm is small enough and moving slowly enough that Barbara will likely dissipate before reaching the Gulf. If the storm were able to maintain at least tropical depression status and cross into the Gulf, it would keep the name Barbara. If Barbara were to dissipate before reaching the Gulf, then regenerate into a tropical storm in the Gulf, it would be named Andrea. However, conditions do not favor redevelopment of Barbara's remnants into an Atlantic tropical depression, since wind shear is expected to be quite high over the Gulf late this week. None of the reliable computer models is calling for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic during the next seven days.

AP will be doing a hurricane twitter chat on Thursday at 1 p.m. EDT: #APStormChat

The National Hurricane Center is doing a hurricane chat on Thursday at 2 pm EDT: #HurriChat


Figure 3. Large tornado on the ground near Corning, Kansas, at 4:32 CDT May 28, 2013. Image credit: Ron Heinen, via twitter.


Figure 4. Radar reflectivity image of the tornado that hit Corning, Kansas at 4:32 pm CDT May 28, 2013.


Figure 5. Severe weather outlook for Wednesday, May 29, calls for a "Moderate Risk" of severe weather over much of Oklahoma and Kansas, plus portions of the Texas Panhandle. You can follow today's severe weather outbreak from our Severe Weather page.

Multi-day severe weather outbreak in the Midwest continues today
It was an active day for tornadoes in the Midwest on Tuesday, with NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) logging eighteen preliminary tornado reports, with twisters touching down in Nebraska, Kansas, Texas, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. No injuries were reported from these tornadoes, but damage was reported near Corning, Kansas, and Fenton, Michigan. The latest forecasts from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center call for a "Moderate Risk" of severe weather today (Wednesday), with the possibility of a significant tornado outbreak over much of Oklahoma and Kansas, plus portions of the Texas Panhandle.

Wunderblogger Lee Grenci has a post, The Moore Tornado, describing how the rapid intensification of the May 20, 2013 Moore, Oklahoma tornado occurred.

Jeff Masters

Overhead Clouds at Sunset (Nikongranny)
Overhead Clouds at Sunset

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 686 - 636

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27Blog Index

686. wunderkidcayman
11:18 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Barbara seem to be weakening its convection is dying fast and although its still spinning the rate that it is spinning at has decreased last few frames it kinda looks like Barbara is slowing down just IMO
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 11639
685. Civicane49
11:17 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
684. Patrap
11:16 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
683. FloodingDownInTexas
11:15 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

The bowing shape on that line is amazing, no doubt widespread 60-80+ mph winds all the way along it.
luckily the area is largely uninhabited. unfortunately though, that line approaching OKC has a pretty formidable bow to it as well.
Member Since: August 27, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 35
682. winter123
11:12 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Patrap:

416
WFUS51 KALY 292304
TORALY
NYC001-039-095-292330-
/O.NEW.KALY.TO.W.0004.130529T2304Z-130529T2330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
704 PM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN SCHOHARIE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
SOUTHWESTERN ALBANY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
NORTH CENTRAL GREENE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 730 PM EDT

* AT 702 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR NORTH
BLENHEIM...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF COBLESKILL...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
BREAKABEEN...LIVINGSTONVILLE...PRESTON HOLLOW AND WESTERLO

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND REPORTS OF TREES DOWN TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV...
ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.ALBANY. GOV
OR TWITTER @NWSALBANY.



LAT...LON 4256 7393 4234 7398 4243 7462 4261 7459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 278DEG 34KT 4251 7449


Freaking out a bit... We don't normally get Tornado warmings around here. I am not in the warning area but still pretty bad storm.
Member Since: July 29, 2006 Posts: 28 Comments: 1784
681. Patrap
11:10 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
La Crosse
NEXRAD Radar

Base Reflectivity 0.50° Elevation
Range 124 NMI

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
680. Patrap
11:09 PM GMT on May 29, 2013

583
WFUS53 KARX 292308
TORARX
WIC023-043-292330-
/O.NEW.KARX.TO.W.0009.130529T2308Z-130529T2330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
608 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...
NORTHERN GRANT COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 604 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF
BLOOMINGTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR JELLYSTONE
CAMPGROUND NEAR BAGLEY AT 557 PM CDT.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BOSCOBEL AROUND 625 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE WAUZEKA...MOUNT IDA...COUNTY
ROADS K AND T...WERLEY...HARRIS RIDGE...BOYDTOWN...WOODMAN...HIGHWAY
61 AND COUNTY T...MAPLE RIDGE AND EASTER ROCK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.



LAT...LON 4287 9097 4301 9111 4325 9067 4317 9066
4318 9061 4320 9058 4321 9054 4320 9042
4311 9042
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 236DEG 41KT 4300 9091

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...<.75IN



SCHMIDT
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
679. redwagon
11:08 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Torito:


I agree with you, and i wouldnt be suprised if this thing gets over the land with at least a TD status remaining. Models seem to be terrible at predicting things before about half way through the season, IMHO.


Earlier today GFDL and GFS were entirely diverged: GFDL ---> that way and GFS <---- that way. And over a short distance, not long track prediction. I wish I could find some 'footage' of 11-E/Hermine of 2010 to back me up.
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3222
678. Patrap
11:07 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
College of DuPage Meteorology
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.

Click on the station ID to bring up list of recent severe weather statements.

TORNADO WARNING ALBANY NY - KALY 704 PM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

TORNADO WARNING OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA - KOAX 603 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

SVR T-STORM WARNING ALBANY NY - KALY 702 PM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

TORNADO WARNING GOODLAND KS - KGLD 559 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

SVR T-STORM WARNING OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA - KOAX 559 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013
SVR T-STORM WARNING HASTINGS NE - KGID 556 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

TORNADO WARNING GOODLAND KS - KGLD 555 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

FLASH FLOOD WARNING NORTH PLATTE NE - KLBF 555 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013
SVR T-STORM WARNING BINGHAMTON NY - KBGM 654 PM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

TORNADO WARNING OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA - KOAX 553 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

SVR T-STORM WARNING NORMAN OK - KOUN 552 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013
FLASH FLOOD WARNING NORTH PLATTE NE - KLBF 551 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013
SVR T-STORM WARNING GOODLAND KS - KGLD 549 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013
SVR T-STORM WARNING NORTH PLATTE NE - KLBF 549 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

TORNADO WARNING GOODLAND KS - KGLD 545 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

TORNADO WARNING ALBANY NY - KALY 645 PM EDT WED MAY 29 2013
SVR T-STORM WARNING GOODLAND KS - KGLD 543 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
677. jamesrainier
11:06 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
676. Patrap
11:05 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Albany
NEXRAD Radar

Base Reflectivity 0.50 Elevation
Range 124 NMI

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
675. Patrap
11:04 PM GMT on May 29, 2013

416
WFUS51 KALY 292304
TORALY
NYC001-039-095-292330-
/O.NEW.KALY.TO.W.0004.130529T2304Z-130529T2330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
704 PM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN SCHOHARIE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
SOUTHWESTERN ALBANY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...
NORTH CENTRAL GREENE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 730 PM EDT

* AT 702 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR NORTH
BLENHEIM...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF COBLESKILL...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
BREAKABEEN...LIVINGSTONVILLE...PRESTON HOLLOW AND WESTERLO

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL SIZE...DAMAGING WINDS AND REPORTS OF TREES DOWN TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV...
ON FACEBOOK AT WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.ALBANY. GOV
OR TWITTER @NWSALBANY.



LAT...LON 4256 7393 4234 7398 4243 7462 4261 7459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 278DEG 34KT 4251 7449
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
674. hydrus
11:04 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Patrap:
Beware the anti-post.
If it makes contact with a post it will detonate.?
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20896
673. jamesrainier
11:04 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
672. Patrap
11:03 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Goodland
NEXRAD Radar

Base Reflectivity 0.50° Elevation
Range 124 NMI

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
671. hydrus
11:02 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
This is getting more and more interesting each run now..That is a lot of rain in the gulf.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20896
670. BaltimoreBrian
11:02 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
An example of a storm that reformed after crossing from Pacific to the Gulf of Mexico. Not saying it will happen. Just saying.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8558
669. Patrap
11:01 PM GMT on May 29, 2013

319
WFUS53 KGLD 292259
TORGLD
KSC109-292345-
/O.NEW.KGLD.TO.W.0018.130529T2259Z-130529T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
559 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 557 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF RUSSELL SPRINGS...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSSELL SPRINGS AND WINONA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.



LAT...LON 3894 10140 3914 10117 3913 10111 3901 10094
3883 10133
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 230DEG 20KT 3892 10131

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.50IN



HUSTED
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
668. Patrap
11:00 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Beware the anti-post.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
667. Ricki13th
11:00 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Torito:
barbara defying every model out there right now..... it strengthened when it was almost completely on land, and it isnt really losing strength quickly at all.


The curvature of the coastline is still keeping her circulation intact however once its fully over land it should weaken and is shear has decrease slightly over the extreme Southern BOC due to the heat from Barb.
Member Since: May 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 349
666. MAweatherboy1
10:59 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting FloodingDownInTexas:
looks absolutely insane in terms of straight line wind damage... (western oklahoma) Link

The bowing shape on that line is amazing, no doubt widespread 60-80+ mph winds all the way along it.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7724
665. VR46L
10:58 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Well worth a look . Babs is losing her Convection very fast at the moment

Imagery from RAMMB


Loop Embedded



Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6877
664. CaicosRetiredSailor
10:58 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
By Mark Schone
NBC News investigative editor

As America's "Tornado Alley" braces for more storms this week, one of the nation's top meteorologists says that changing habitation patterns have made living in the region like playing an increasingly deadly game of Battleship -- where hits on densely populated targets like Moore, Okla., will only grow more common.

In the Great Plains states of Oklahoma, Texas, Kansas and Nebraska, which combined are hit by an average of more than 250 tornadoes per year, cities and suburbs have grown as much as 20 percent in the past decade, while rural counties have lost population.


...

http://openchannel.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/05/29/1 8584560-midwest-tornadoes-increasingly-resemble-a- giant-game-of-battleship?lite
Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6004
663. FloodingDownInTexas
10:57 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
looks absolutely insane in terms of straight line wind damage... (western oklahoma) Link
Member Since: August 27, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 35
662. Patrap
10:55 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Tropical Cyclone Imagery - Storm Floaters
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
661. all4hurricanes
10:55 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting anotherwrongyear:
if barbara goes down to a td and then regains into a t storm she will get an atlantic name the first atlantic name of the season


Actually if Barbara retains tropical characteristics it will keep the name. If the circulation dissipates then reforms than we would get TS Andrea.
Member Since: March 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2369
660. Patrap
10:54 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
659. hydrus
10:52 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
She was intensifying rapidly when she made landfall. So the circulation may hang on a bit longer than usual.,,Like my friend Charley a few years ago.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20896
658. Patrap
10:51 PM GMT on May 29, 2013


One to bookmark

csc.noaa.gov/hurricanes Historical Hurricane Tracks
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
657. HurricaneHunterJoe
10:49 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting wunderkidcayman:
hey guys any of you have surface obs in the area where Barbara is since she moved inland and kinda out of radar reach so we need to use surface obs in the area to track the center or microwave data if anyone got that please post it thanks
Not too much detail.
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5219
656. Torito
10:49 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting redwagon:


All the models have been acting almost bored when it comes to Barbara. I have every reason to analog her to Hermine (saved centex) while Pasch himself is already calling her a remnant low! Look at how she's holding up over the isthmus, does that look like future remnant low behavior to you?


I agree with you, and i wouldnt be suprised if this thing gets over the land with at least a TD status remaining. Models seem to be terrible at predicting things before about half way through the season, IMHO.
Member Since: April 30, 2013 Posts: 5 Comments: 4316
655. hurricanehunter27
10:49 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Tornado?
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3842
654. hydrus
10:48 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting redwagon:


All the models have been acting almost bored when it comes to Barbara. I have every reason to analog her to Hermine (saved centex) while Pasch himself is already calling her a remnant low! Look at how she's holding up over the isthmus, does that look like future remnant low behavior to you?
I think she might even be enjoying herself..Mexico is nice.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20896
653. Tropicsweatherpr
10:48 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting hydrus:
Yep.


But as barbamz said a bit south but neverless is moisture that helps to not have big sal outbreaks as in past years at this time were occurring..
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14206
652. barbamz
10:47 PM GMT on May 29, 2013

Barbara: a lot of wind and noise
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 53 Comments: 5904
651. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
10:46 PM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting JeffMasters:
Barbara via MODIS near landfall

http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/imagery/subset s/?project=fas&subset=CAmerica_2_03




Jeff Masters
also one for the books with landfall point in the epac according too the NWS
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53446
Thanks for posting the landfall picture Dr. Masters. Barbara was a very healthy looking hurricane.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8558
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


And also a fairly big plume of moisture emerging Africa.
Yep.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20896
Quoting Dakster:


Wow. it cooled off for you.


On the way back up. Was 80ish for a whole week. About to be HOT..

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
647. JeffMasters (Admin)
Barbara via MODIS near landfall

http://lance-modis.eosdis.nasa.gov/imagery/subset s/?project=fas&subset=CAmerica_2_03




Jeff Masters
Quoting Torito:
barbara defying every model out there right now..... it strengthened when it was almost completely on land, and it isnt really losing strength quickly at all.


All the models have been acting almost bored when it comes to Barbara. I have every reason to analog her to Hermine (saved centex) while Pasch himself is already calling her a remnant low! Look at how she's holding up over the isthmus, does that look like future remnant low behavior to you?
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 3222

Barbara
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 53 Comments: 5904
Quoting seminolesfan:


1)Maybe you should.

2)Who is talking about prices?

3)If you are going to change the subject from the general topic of the conversation it is generally a good idea to mention it.


Wahahahah that made my day right there. xD
Member Since: April 30, 2013 Posts: 5 Comments: 4316
02E OVERLAND CYCLONE

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53446
Quoting 12george1:

It has been raining almost all day here in Palm Springs.
California? Not!
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5219

Barbara


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127803
Quoting Tazmanian:



1 i dont even go by that map

2 i was not talking about the costline


3 i was talking about the hole Atlantic


a few days a go this wind shear map was showing 70 too 80kt of wind shear this about evere where but wind shear has really lower a lot from 50 to80kt too 30kt too 50kt in most place i no its still high for any thing too even fourm right now but we are geting closer too that time of year too where we neeed too start watching



1)Maybe you should.

2)Who is talking about prices?

3)If you are going to change the subject from the general topic of the conversation it is generally a good idea to mention it.

(No, Taz. This is not a 'personal attack' just because I disagree with your analysis.)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Models are useless at this point with Barbara. Look at the initialization on the 18z GFS- hardly even a closed low.



We'll just have to wait and see.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7724
Walking the path of a tornado: A journey into the heart of a 17-mile storm
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8558
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


And also a fairly big plume of moisture emerging Africa.

Quite (too) low in my eyes, but who knows?
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 53 Comments: 5904
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167

Viewing: 686 - 636

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.