TD 2-E a heavy rain threat to Mexico; 150th anniversary of only U.S. May hurricane

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:06 PM GMT on May 28, 2013

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Tropical depression Two-E has formed in the Eastern Pacific, centered about 200 miles west-southwest of the Mexico/Guatemala border. The storm will bring very heavy rains capable of causing dangerous flash floods and mudslides to Mexico's Bay of Tehuantepec area over the next 2 - 3 days. Radar out of Puerto Angel, Mexico shows that heavy rains have already pushed ashore along portions of the Mexican coast, and satellite loops show an impressive but moderately disorganized area of heavy thunderstorms associated with TD Two-E, with some spiral bands on the storm's south side. With wind shear a low 5 -10 knots and ocean temperatures a very warm 30°C, conditions are ripe for further development, and I expect TD Two-E will be a tropical storm when it makes landfall on Wednesday along the Mexican coast in the Bay of Tehuantepec. The storm is close enough to the coast that it is unlikely a hurricane can form before landfall.


Figure 1. Latest satellite image of TD Two-E.

Development unlikely in the Atlantic this week
If TD Two-E continues to push northwards late this week and cross into the Gulf of Mexico, conditions do not favor development of the disturbance into an Atlantic tropical depression, as wind shear is expected to be quite high over the Gulf late this week. None of the reliable computer models is calling for tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic during the next seven days. The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), a pattern of increased thunderstorm activity near the Equator that moves around the globe in 30 - 60 days, is currently located in the Eastern Pacific, but is weak and difficult to discern. According to NOAA's May 27 MJO discussion, there is an increased probability of tropical cyclone formation over both the Eastern Pacific and Caribbean this week, and over the Caribbean next week. The GFS model has been trying to spin up a tropical depression in the Western Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico next week in a number of its runs over the past few days, but these runs have been very inconsistent on the timing and location of such a development. Tropical cyclone genesis forecasts more than four days out are highly unreliable, and we should just view the GFS model's predictions of a tropical depression next week as a sign that we have an above-average chance of an Atlantic tropical cyclone forming then. The European (ECMWF) model has been much less enthusiastic about a tropical depression forming in the Atlantic next week.


Figure 2. Track of the May 28, 1863 hurricane--the only hurricane on record to hit the U.S. in May. Image credit: Mike Chenoweth and the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

150th anniversary of the only U.S. hurricane to make landfall in May
May 28 is the 150th anniversary of the only U.S. hurricane to make landfall in May--the May 28, 1863 hurricane that struck northwest Florida, killing at least 72 people. The hurricane hit nearly two weeks earlier than the next earliest U.S. landfalling hurricane, Hurricane Alma of June 9, 1966. (Tropical Storm Beryl of May 28, 2012 came close to being a May hurricane, bringing 70 mph winds to the coast near Jacksonville Beach, Florida.) According to a new paper by hurricane historians Mike Chenoweth and C. J. Mock, accepted for publication in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, "Among the most unusual and unexpected hurricanes in United States history is the only hurricane to make landfall in the month of May. This recently re-discovered storm that struck northwest Florida on 28 May 1863 created a natural disaster in the area that became lost to history because it was embedded in a much larger and important manmade event, in this case the U.S. Civil War. We document the arrival of this storm both historically and meteorologically and anachronistically name it Hurricane “Amanda” in honor of the Union ship driven ashore by the hurricane. The hurricane revealed deficiencies and strengths in combat readiness by both sides. Meteorologically, the storm nearly achieved major hurricane status at landfall and its absence from modern data bases of tropical cyclone activity is a useful reminder to users of important gaps in our knowledge of tropical cyclones even in the best-sampled storm basins."


Figure 3. Severe weather outlook for Tuesday, May 28, calls for a "Slight Risk" of severe weather over portions of the Midwest. You can follow today's severe weather outbreak from our Severe Weather page.

Multi-day severe weather outbreak in the Midwest continues today
It was an active day for tornadoes in the Midwest on Monday, with NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) logging fourteen preliminary tornado reports, mostly in Nebraska and Kansas. No damage or injuries were reported from these tornadoes, as they stayed over unpopulated rural areas. One tornado in North Central Nebraska was intercepted by the Tornado Intercept Vehicle 2 (TIV2), which reported EF-3 to EF-4 winds before the tornado ripped off their weather instruments (Video 1.) The latest forecasts from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center call for an active severe weather period all week in the Midwest, with a "Slight Risk" of severe weather Tuesday and Thursday, and a "Moderate Risk" on Wednesday.


Video 1. Stormchasers Brandon Ivey and Sean Casey drove the Tornado Intercept Vehicle 2 (TIV2) into a violent EF-3 or EF-4 wedge tornado northeast of Smith Center, Kansas on Monday, May 27, 2013. They estimated that wind speeds were 150 - 175 mph before the tornado ripped the instruments off the top of the TIV2. This video captures the intensity of the storm as it moves over the TIV2. Since the storm occurred near sunset and the thick clouds blocked out much of the sun, it's tough to see much except thick debris. To license this footage, contact ‪http://www.StormChasingVideo.com‬.

Wunderblogger Lee Grenci has a new post this morning, The Moore Tornado, describing how the rapid intensification of the May 20, 2013 Moore, Oklahoma tornado occurred.

Jeff Masters

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500. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:28 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting washingtonian115.
hmmm
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53446
499. Bluestorm5
1:28 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Ricki13th:
Hello Wunderbloggers, its my first time on here, hope everyone is safe in the Midwest. Tonight looks to be a long one. And we now have Barbara in the EPAC; which regardless of strength is going to create mudslides for Mexico and Central America. Certainly Mother Nature showing its force.
You seem to be knowledgeable person! We're glad to have you aboard for the hurricane season! Welcome to the blog!
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7961
498. all4hurricanes
1:28 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Ricki13th:
Hello Wunderbloggers, its my first time on here, hope everyone is safe in the Midwest. Tonight looks to be a long one. And we now have Barbara in the EPAC; which regardless of strength is going to create mudslides for Mexico and Central America. Certainly Mother Nature showing its force.

Welcome aboard!
Member Since: March 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2369
497. belizeit
1:26 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting barbamz:


An eye! But I - Barbara - make an immediate bedfall again now, lol. Greetings, yaaawn, from nightly Germany.
Sie mueszen schlafen gehen sonst sind sie morgen zu muede
Member Since: January 10, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 918
496. MAweatherboy1
1:26 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
There are also some strong storms south/SW of Chicago, including a new tornado warning.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7724
495. allancalderini
1:25 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting stormchaser19:
cat1 intensity is not out of the question.
Member Since: October 15, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 4204
494. washingtonian115
1:24 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Barbra is going to be the Katrina of Mexico like I'm so rolling my eyes right now >.> I'm done for tonight..and I'am still waiting on that ghost storm the models keep showing to come to fruition..let me guess we're gonna have to wait another ten days.lol.Remember Florida was suppose to have a cat 2 about to make landfall by now according to the GFS TEN days ago.lol.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16679
493. barbamz
1:24 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
An eye! But I - Barbara - make an immediate bedfall again now, lol. Greetings, yaaawn, from nightly Germany.


Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 53 Comments: 5904
492. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:23 AM GMT on May 29, 2013


heading due east towards Ontario with one cell already over ontario
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53446
491. wxchaser97
1:21 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
PDS tornado warning in MI, storm is impressive on radar.

I wish I was on that cell, not too far away from me. If my dad wasn't on a business trip I would probably be on that cell.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7940
490. hurricaneben
1:20 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Bluestorm5:
Not going to bother blogging or making forecasts for TS Barbara. Not going to live much longer. However, I'm predicting max of 50 mph winds. Not going to be surprised if 60 mph winds.


Wait--sorry if I'm confused but when you say 'live much longer', are you referring to Barbara or yourself?
Member Since: May 15, 2009 Posts: 416 Comments: 679
489. MAweatherboy1
1:18 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
PDS tornado warning in MI, storm is impressive on radar.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7724
488. Ricki13th
1:18 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
RI with Barbara is possible however some dry air over Mexico and proximity to land will impede development and slow it down some. I see a 60-65 mph storm tops. If its going to strengthen it needs to do it now as it might make landfall in the next 24 hours.
Member Since: May 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 349
487. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:18 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53446
486. Stormchaser2007
1:17 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
VERY impressive for MI

432
WFUS53 KDTX 290113
TORDTX
MIC049-290215-
/O.NEW.KDTX.TO.W.0004.130529T0113Z-130529T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
913 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2013


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN GENESEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...

* UNTIL 1015 PM EDT

* AT 909 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A LARGE
AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BYRON...AND MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.


THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. MOBILE HOMES WILL
BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES...BUSINESSES
AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE DESTRUCTION POSSIBLE.
FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXPECT
TREES TO BE UPROOTED OR SNAPPED.
Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15864
485. TomTaylor
1:16 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Levi32:


I think it's the suppression by the upper-level flow to the north.

Well yeah, that too. Combination of the two :)
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
484. Levi32
1:16 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting TomTaylor:
Shape may be helping slightly but it's not in the best position to take advantage of the curvature of the coastline. In fact, I think the proximity to land is probably inhibiting more than helping. Look at the large swath of no convection in the NW quad. Likely a result of downsloping winds coming off central America = dry intrusion.



I think it's the suppression by the upper-level flow to the north.

Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26585
483. jamesrainier
1:15 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
482. TropicalAnalystwx13
1:15 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
A mile and a half? Mile and three quarters?

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31858
481. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
1:14 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Tazmanian:




looks like a eye is tyring too fourm
could be taz

maybe RI watching close
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53446
480. stormchaser19
1:14 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Member Since: June 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2152
479. jamesrainier
1:12 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Member Since: June 1, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 159
478. Tazmanian
1:11 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Developing quickly





looks like a eye is tyring too fourm
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114910
477. Hurricane1956
1:11 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Hello everybody!!,as usually our Local Met's were wrong today when they said last night that today was going to be a very rainy day here is South Florida,not much of any rain since early this morning?.
Any thoughts about the 20 some inches that we are supposed to get here in the next few days,from the Satellite presentation it looks to me that the convention is winding down?,I though that we might experience a weak tropical low with a lot of rain before the end of the week,(some models were suggesting this scenario).Any expert opinion of what we can really expect here in South Florida in the next few days will be greatly appreciated.
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 608
476. washingtonian115
1:10 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Yes Barbra is going to ramp up into a cat 5 a tear up the coast -_-.It doesn't have much time anyway over water..oh the horror! the doom! oh everyone is gonna die!.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 16679
475. Ricki13th
1:09 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Hello Wunderbloggers, its my first time on here, hope everyone is safe in the Midwest. Tonight looks to be a long one. And we now have Barbara in the EPAC; which regardless of strength is going to create mudslides for Mexico and Central America. Certainly Mother Nature showing its force.
Member Since: May 28, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 349
474. Stormchaser2007
1:09 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Developing quickly

Member Since: June 9, 2007 Posts: 4 Comments: 15864
473. belizeit
1:09 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
A TD blowing up at Dmin that is surly a sign of strenghtning wander what will happen at Dmax this thing has a chance at Rapid Intensification.
Member Since: January 10, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 918
472. FutureWx6221
1:04 AM GMT on May 29, 2013


Oh boy...this sort of storm structure makes me nervous..at this point, I think we can all agree we're thrilled this thing has less than 24 more hours over water.
Member Since: June 26, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 188
471. TomTaylor
1:04 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Barbara has the look of a system that is really about to ramp up. The cyclonic shape of the GoT is really aiding the intensification tonight, as well as the fact it's sitting over warm SSTs and a low shear environment.

Shape may be helping slightly but it's not in the best position to take advantage of the curvature of the coastline. In fact, I think the proximity to land is probably inhibiting more than helping. Look at the large swath of no convection in the NW quad. Likely a result of downsloping winds coming off central America = dry intrusion.



EDIT: can't get the Navy image to upload. Here's a low res MW image from RAMMB.

Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
470. Tazmanian
1:04 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting TomTaylor:
Yeah, 4 TCs in the Atlantic on the 12z CMC lol.



even no the CMC can be a little nuts some time but you nevere no what could happen we could end up seeing 4 TC a little early but evere thing has too set up this right for that too happen
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114910
469. TomTaylor
1:01 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
72HR SFL??
Yeah, 4 TCs in the Atlantic on the 12z CMC lol.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
468. wunderkidcayman
1:00 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Barbara has the look of a system that is really about to ramp up. The cyclonic shape of the GoT is really aiding the intensification tonight, as well as the fact it's sitting over warm SSTs and a low shear environment.


so very true
interestingly enough look on satellite its moving E or just N of E very slowly
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 11643
467. Tazmanian
12:58 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Barbara has the look of a system that is really about to ramp up. The cyclonic shape of the GoT is really aiding the intensification tonight, as well as the fact it's sitting over warm SSTs and a low shear environment.




looks like a eye wall is tyring too fourm
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114910
466. Tazmanian
12:57 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
EP, 91, 2013052900, , BEST, 0, 114N, 1142W, 30, 1007, DB
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 114910
465. CybrTeddy
12:56 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Barbara has the look of a system that is really about to ramp up. The cyclonic shape of the GoT is really aiding the intensification tonight, as well as the fact it's sitting over warm SSTs and a low shear environment.

Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 23849
464. SFLWeatherman
12:54 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
72HR SFL??

Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4446
463. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
12:53 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
T.C.F.W.
R.I.FLAG OFF
02E/TS/B/CX
MARK
14.25N/95.95W
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53446
462. Bluestorm5
12:44 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Not going to bother blogging or making forecasts for TS Barbara. Not going to live much longer. However, I'm predicting max of 50 mph winds. Not going to be surprised if 60 mph winds.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7961
461. SFLWeatherman
12:40 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
I did a new Forecast for Tropical Storm BARBARA how do you like it?
Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4446
460. Hurricane1216
12:38 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Perhaps one of the most drunk tornadoes I've ever seen. Go home tornado. You're drunk.

Member Since: March 3, 2012 Posts: 14 Comments: 282
459. wunderkidcayman
12:33 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
convection increasing over Barbara
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 11643
458. nigel20
12:32 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 11 Comments: 7967
457. Astrometeor
12:31 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Good evening blog.



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0844
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 PM CDT TUE MAY 28 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...BIG BEND/MIDDLE RIO GRAND VALLEY OF TX INTO THE
EDWARDS PLATEAU

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 290026Z - 290230Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS NOW MAINLY CONFINED TO AREAS S/W OF THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY MAY EXPAND/SPREAD INTO ADJACENT AREAS OF TX. WW WOULD BE
POSSIBLE IN THIS SCENARIO -- THOUGH POTENTIAL REMAINS UNCERTAIN
ATTM.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CLUSTER OF
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS JUST E OF THE TX BIG BEND -- OVER NRN MEXICO
ATTM. DOWNSTREAM...A RELATIVELY MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS
IS IN PLACE ACROSS ADJACENT PORTIONS OF TX...BUT EVENING DRT RAOB
OBSERVED A SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING INVERSION AROUND 800 MB -- WHICH HAS
THUS FAR SUPPRESSED ANY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AWAY FROM THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF NRN MEXICO.

HIGH-RES MODELS FORECAST STORMS TO EVENTUALLY SPREAD EWD INTO TX
THIS EVENING...AS WARM ADVECTION INCREASES SUBSTANTIALLY IN
CONJUNCTION WITH NOCTURNAL LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPMENT. AS THE JET
INCREASES BENEATH MID-LEVEL SWLYS AROUND 30 KT...SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT
ORGANIZED/ROTATING UPDRAFTS -- AND THUS SEVERE POTENTIAL AND
POSSIBLY A TORNADO. HOWEVER...GIVEN CAPPING...THIS THREAT REMAINS
CONDITIONAL -- AND THUS WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONVECTIVE
EVOLUTION/SEVERE POTENTIAL ACROSS THIS AREA.

..GOSS/THOMPSON.. 05/29/2013
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 100 Comments: 10217
456. Bluestorm5
12:31 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
This is from TVN crew. North of Salina, KS.

Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7961
455. hurricanehunter27
12:30 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting ScottLincoln:

Certainly a good thing that it isn't sitting over a town doing that. We don't need a repeat of Grand Island.
Just googled Grand Island and that is just bizarre.
Member Since: July 22, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 3842
454. wunderkidcayman
12:26 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Civicane49:

Barbara starting to look really good

Quoting Newswatcher:
http://icons-ak.wxug.com/data/images/blogs/carib_ ir 4_sat_tropicalindex_0.gif?20135282016


Is there something brewing in the Caribbean?

no, not yet soon maybe. after Barbara makes landfall
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 11643
453. ScottLincoln
12:25 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Wedge tornado doing a cyclonic loop


Certainly a good thing that it isn't sitting over a town doing that. We don't need a repeat of Grand Island.
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 5 Comments: 3190
452. wxchaser97
12:24 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
I get the feeling that Dominator 2 has just been sitting in a tornado for the last 5 minutes. Either that or incredibly heavy rain and wind.

What happened to the Dominator feed? I had it up and now it's gone.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7940
451. hydrus
12:24 AM GMT on May 29, 2013
Quoting Dakster:


You can have mine then...
We did not need it in 1992. The 18 wheelers were have a blast speeding down flooded streets and sucking up the water to prevent houses from be in undated...What a sight to see late at night...WIKI..The depression dropped heavy rainfall in Cuba, peaking at 33.43 inches (849 mm).[29] Large amounts of precipitation resulted in flooding, which damaged or destroyed hundreds of homes and caused two fatalities in provinces of Pinar del Ro and La Habana. As the system was only a tropical depression, light winds were reported, however, a peak gust of 56 mph (90 km/h) was reported at MacDill Air Force Base. Heavy rainfall fell on the west coast of Florida, with local amounts exceeded 20 inches (510 mm). Precipitation throughout the state peaked at 25 inches (640 mm) in Arcadia Tower. Heavy rainfall caused flooding in portions of Florida, which in turn, damaged 4,000 houses and destroyed 70 houses. In addition, five homes destroyed and twelve were damage by a tornado spawned in Nokomis.Severe crop damage to orange trees was also reported. The depression caused two fatalities in Florida and damage totaled to $2.6 million (1992 USD).
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20896
With the development of Tropical Storm Barbara, this year is the second consecutive year for the eastern Pacific to feature two named storms in the month of May. In addition, this year is tied with 2012, 2007, 1984, and 1956 for featuring the most named storms in the eastern Pacific on May.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.