Red River Rising: a Top-Ten Fargo Flood in 4 of the Past 5 Years

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:44 PM GMT on April 29, 2013

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The Red River at Fargo, North Dakota surpassed major flood level on Sunday and continues to rise, with a peak expected Wednesday at the 9th highest flood level observed since 1897. On Friday, the President an emergency declaration for North Dakota because of the flooding, and millions of sandbags have been filled in anticipation of the huge flood. This year will be the fourth time in the past five years that Fargo has experienced a top-ten flood in recorded history. Flood stage is eighteen feet, and the Red River has now reached flood stage at Fargo for an astounding nineteen of the past twenty years, according to the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. Prior to this remarkable stretch of flooding (which began in 1993), the river flooded in just 29 of 90 years. The Army Corps of Engineers calculates that in the last twenty years, the Red River has had ten 1-in-10 year floods--one every two years, on average. Two of these floods (1997 and 2011) were greater than 1-in-50 year floods, and one (2009) was a 1-in-100 year flood. That year, the Red River hit a record high-water mark of nearly 41 feet, or 23 feet above flood stage. Thousands of people had to leave home for higher ground, and about 100 homes were badly damaged or rendered unlivable. This year's flood will be somewhere between a 1-in-10 year to 1-in-50 year flood. Since a 1-in-10 year flood, historically, has a 10% chance of occurring in a given year, the incidence of flooding along the Red River over the past twenty years has clearly been extraordinarily abnormal.


Figure 1. View of the Red River of the North at the Fargo gauge taken on April 24, 2013 (top) and April 29, 2013 (bottom.) The river rose from 17' on the 24th (flood stage is 18') to 31' on the 29th. Image credit: USGS.

Reasons for this year's flood: unfavorable weather conditions
The USGS cites five weather factors that can act to increase flooding along the Red River. Four out of five of these factors occurred to a significant degree this year:

1) Above-normal amounts of precipitation in the fall of the year that produce high levels of soil moisture, particularly in flat surface areas, in the basin. North Dakota had its 9th wettest fall since 1895 during 2012.

2) Freezing of saturated ground in late fall or early winter, before significant snowfall occurs, that produces a hard, deep frost that limits infiltration of runoff during snowmelt. Fargo had temperatures that hit 50°F on December 2 - 3, 2012, followed by a sudden plunge to below-freezing temperatures that began on December 7. Temperatures remained below freezing the rest of December, and this froze the saturated ground to a great depth.

3) Above-normal winter snowfall in the basin. Fargo received 68.4" of snow during the winter, which is well above the city's average of 50".

4) Above-normal precipitation during snowmelt. Fargo has received 2.06" of precipitation so far this April, compared to the average of 1.23".

5) Above-normal temperatures during snowmelt. Fargo got lucky here. High temperatures in Fargo have been above average only two days during April, on the 26th and 27th.


Figure 2. Current and forecast flood stage for the Red River of the North at Fargo, ND. The river passed major flood stage on Sunday, and is headed for a crest near 35.5' (which is 17.5' above flood stage) on Wednesday. You can access images like these using our wundermap for Fargo with the "USGS River" layer turned on. Click on the icon for USGS station 05054000, then hit the "click for graph" link.

Reasons for flooding: increased urbanization
Urbanization has had a major impact on increasing flooding not only along the Red River, but in every river basin in the U.S. Many cities and developed areas are located in flood plains next to major rivers and their tributaries. Highways, streets, parking lots, sidewalks, and buildings now cover large areas of the ground that used to absorb excess rain water and slow the rate at which run-off from precipitation and melting snow reached rivers. By developing large portions of our flood plains, run-off now reaches rivers more quickly, generating higher floods.

Reasons for flooding: building more levees and flood defenses
Defending ourselves against floods has made floods worse. Every time a new levee is built, or an old flood wall raised in height to prevent overtopping, more and more water is forced into the river bed, which raises the height of the flood. Flood waters that used to be able to spread out over their natural flood plains are now forbidden from spilling out over newly developed land in flood plains. For example, a 2010 proposed improvement to the flood defense system in Fargo could cause a 4 - 10 inch rise in floods immediately downstream from the city, according to the Army Corps of Engineers.


Figure 3. Peak flow of the Red River at Fargo, North Dakota from 1901 - 2012. Three of the top five floods since 1901 have occurred since 2009. The projected crest for 2013 would be the seventh greatest flood since 1897. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers lists the 10-year flood level for the Red River at Fargo to be 10,300 cubic feet per second (cfs), and a 50-year flood to be 22,300 cfs. A 10-year flood, historically, has a 10% chance of occurring in a given year. In the last twenty years, the Red River has had ten 10-year floods--one every two years, on average. Two of these floods (1997 and 2011) were greater than 1-in-50 year floods, and one (2009) was a 1-in-100 year flood. This year will be the fourth year out of the past five with a greater than 1-in-20 year flood. Image credit: U.S. Geological Survey.

Reasons for flooding: precipitation is increasing
Over the past century, precipitation over the Red River of the North drainage basin in Eastern North Dakota and Western Minnesota has increased by about 15%--more than any other region of the country. This fits the pattern expected by climate change models, which predict that winter and spring precipitation will increase by another 15% by the year 2100 over the Red River of the North drainage basin. As the climate warms, evaporation of moisture from the oceans increases, resulting in more water vapor in the air. According to the 2007 IPCC report, water vapor in the global atmosphere has increased by about 5% over the 20th century, and 4% since 1970. Satellite measurements (Trenberth et al., 2005) have shown a 1.3% per decade increase in water vapor over the global oceans since 1988. Santer et al. (2007) used a climate model to study the relative contribution of natural and human-caused effects on increasing water vapor, and concluded that this increase was "primarily due to human-caused increases in greenhouse gases". This was also the conclusion of Willet et al. (2007).


Figure 4. The colors on the map show annual total precipitation changes (percent) for 1991-2011 compared to the 1901-1960 average, and show wetter conditions in most areas (McRoberts and Nielsen-Gammon 2011). The bars on the graphs show average precipitation differences by decade for 1901-2011 (relative to the 1901-1960 average) for each region. The far right bar is for 2001-2011. (Figure source: NOAA NCDC/CICS-NC. Data from NOAA NCDC.) Note that precipitation over the Red River of the North drainage basin in Eastern North Dakota and Western Minnesota (outlined in red) has increased by about 15%--more than any other region of the country. Image credit: National Climate Assessment Draft, 2013.


Figure 5. Projected seasonal precipitation change for winter and spring (percent) for 2071-2099 (compared to1901-1960) as projected by the climate models used to formulate the 2013 IPCC climate change report, assuming we keep emitting heat-trapping gases like carbon dioxide to the atmosphere at current rates. Teal indicates precipitation increases, and brown, decreases. Hatched areas indicate confidence that the projected changes are large and are consistently wetter or drier. In general, areas that are wet are expected to get wetter, and areas that are dry will get drier. White areas indicate confidence that the changes are small. The Red River Valley is expected to see a precipitation increase of at least 20%, which would lead to bigger and more frequent spring floods. (Figure source: NOAA NCDC / CICS-NC. Data from CMIP5; analyzed by Michael Wehner, LBNL.) Image credit: Preliminary draft of the 2013 U.S. National Climate Assessment report.

A permanent fix for Fargo's flooding problems: a $2 billion diversion canal?
As the population continues to expand, development in flood plains and construction of new levees and flood protection systems will continue to push floods to higher heights. With global warming expected to continue and drive ever higher precipitation amounts--falling preferentially in heavy precipitation events--it is highly probable that flooding in the Red River Valley--and over most of the northern 1/3 of the U.S. where precipitation increases are likely (Figure 5)--will see higher and more frequent spring floods. With these higher and more frequent floods comes the increased risk of multi-billion dollar disasters, when a record flood event overwhelms flood defenses and inundates huge areas of developed flood plains. Obviously, we need to make smart decisions to limit development in flood plains to reduce the cost and suffering of these future flooding disasters.

A permanent fix for Fargo's flooding woes may lie in the construction of a 36-mile long canal that would steer flood waters around Fargo and neighboring Moorhead, Minnesota, according to an April 28, 2013 Associated Press article. The proposed canal could cost $2 billion and take ten years to complete, but has drawn strong opposition from farmers, homeowners and businesses who lie in the path of the proposed diversion channel. The http://www.redriverbasincommission.org/ has the latest long-term options on new flood control options for the Red River.

References
Kunkel, K. E., D. R. Easterling, K. Redmond, and K. Hubbard, 2003, "Temporal variations of extreme precipitation events in the United States: 1895.2000", Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(17), 1900, doi:10.1029/2003GL018052.

Groisman, P.Y., R.W. Knight, T.R. Karl, D.R. Easterling, B. Sun, and J.H. Lawrimore, 2004, "Contemporary Changes of the Hydrological Cycle over the Contiguous United States: Trends Derived from In Situ Observations," J. Hydrometeor., 5, 64.85.

McRoberts, D. Brent, John W. Nielsen-Gammon, 2011, "A New Homogenized Climate Division Precipitation Dataset for Analysis of Climate Variability and Climate Change," J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 50, 1187–1199.
doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2010JAMC2626.1

Milly, P.C.D., R.T. Wetherald, K.A. Dunne, and T.L.Delworth, Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate", Nature 415, 514-517 (31 January 2002) | doi:10.1038/415514a.

Santer, B.D., C. Mears, F. J. Wentz, K. E. Taylor, P. J. Gleckler, T. M. L. Wigley, T. P. Barnett, J. S. Boyle, W. Brüggemann, N. P. Gillett, S. A. Klein, G. A. Meehl, T. Nozawa, D. W. Pierce, P. A. Stott, W. M. Washington, and M. F. Wehner, 2007, "Identification of human-induced changes in atmospheric moisture content", PNAS 2007 104: 15248-15253.

Trenberth, K.E., J. Fasullo, and L. Smith, 2005: "Trends and variability in column-integrated atmospheric water vapor", Climate Dynamics 24, 741-758.

Willett, K.M., N.P. Gillett, P.D. Jones, and P.W. Thorne, 2007, "Attribution of observed surface humidity changes to human influence", Nature 449, 710-712 (11 October 2007) | doi:10.1038/nature06207.

Links
A good way to track the flooding event is to use our wundermap for the Red River with the USGS River layer turned on.

The Fargo Flood webpage of North Dakota State University, Fargo, has some excellent links.

I'll have a new post on Wednesday at the latest.

Jeff Masters

Fargo Flood 2009 - Elm & 15th Ave. N. (tliebenow)
Picture says it all. Clay dike built to contain the Red River in North Fargo.
Fargo Flood 2009 - Elm & 15th Ave. N.

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Quoting CybrTeddy:


Interesting to see what looked light a classic seabreeze collision/daytime thunderstorm initiation happen early in the morning. Already starting to clear up as warm weather returns again.


Yup, we will do it all over again later this afternoon.
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558 AM EDT TUE APR 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...THE COMBINATION OF AN ABNORMALLY MOIST LATE
APRIL AIR MASS WITH THE PRESENCE OF MID TO UPPER LEVEL ENERGY AND
THE AFTERNOON SEA AND LAKE BREEZES WILL LEAD TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND LIGHTNING STORMS...MAINLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

EARLY MORNING RADAR SHOWS NUMEROUS STORMS OUT OVER THE ATLANTIC...'
AND A LARGE BUT WEAKENING CLUSTER OF STORMS OVER WESTERN FLORIDA.
WHILE SOME RAINFALL FROM THE WEST FLORIDA STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS
NEAR AND NORTH OF GREATER KISSIMMEE SAINT CLOUD AND ORLANDO...THE
BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS TODAY APPEARS AS IF IT WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...AFTER THE LOCAL AIR MASS HAS
BEEN ALLOWED TO DESTABILIZE DUE TO AFTERNOON HEATING.

THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF COOL AIR ALOFT MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW STORMS
TO BECOME STRONG. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...SMALL HAIL...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH
THE STRONGER STORMS TODAY. ACTIVITY WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TO EAST AT
AROUND 15 MPH.
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Quoting StormTrackerScott:


Right as the seabreezes collided at about 8pm last night my dewpoint rose from 57 to 71 in one hour.


Interesting to see what looked light a classic seabreeze collision/daytime thunderstorm initiation happen early in the morning. Already starting to clear up as warm weather returns again.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24018
Quoting CybrTeddy:
SST's look to be "roughly" onpair with 2007.

April 28th, 2013.


April 28th, 2007.


What I also find interesting is how the areas of highest concentration of TCHP in the Atlantic are virtually identical to 2007 at this point.

Now:


2007:


(Note, this was before the upgrade in resolution in the TCHP)

Besides having the same naming list as this year, 2007 also had two extremely powerful Category 5 hurricanes develop in the Caribbean. Given the fact we may see a closer concentration of hurricanes in the Caribbean this year, I believe 2007 might be somewhat of an analog to chose for 2013.

Here are the SST anomalies across Earth in 2013.


And then in April 2007.


Similarities: Warm pool of water sticking out towards the western United States (negative PDO), cool anomalies developing off the coast of South America, identical areas of cool anomalies across the Northern Atlantic, warm anomalies across the Bay of Guinea.

Differences: Warm pool of water or PDO is warmer and extends farther north, meaning a far stronger negative PDO signal (2007 was relatively neutral), cooler anomalies across the equatorial Pacific in 2007 than in 2013, warmer anomalies across the MDR and east coast of the United States in 2013.


You see Caribbean cruisers tracking from the Eastern Atlantic or it will be closer to the islands developments?
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14253
Good Morning All..
71 degrees 93%rh with a dew of 69..
Winds 10 from ESE..
Mostly cloudy..

Once again beach is hazy and foggy..

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Quoting Jedkins01:


LOL I'm with you on that, I was up light studying for final exams and I have a pretty bad flu, went to bed around 1:30 and woke up at 7, I have my first final at 10:00 so I'll have to drive to school soon.


I've been sick for 2 weeks now and wish it would just go away already!

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Quoting StormTrackerScott:


Well I'm glad I can bring a laugh to some this AM. I think I'm still half a sleep here at work.


LOL I'm with you on that, I was up light studying for final exams and I have a pretty bad flu, went to bed around 1:30 and woke up at 7, I have my first final at 10:00 so I'll have to drive to school soon.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7440
Quoting Jedkins01:

Well the surface triggers were from old boundaries that is correct, but the final trigger was a small piece of upper energy because the Tampa Bay area had some capping that was preventing thunderstorm growth. The piece of upper energy was small but the Tampa Bay area was not worked over yet and it provided upper divergence.

Also MUCH higher moisture moved in from the south overnight as well the PW was only 1.3 around the Tampa Bay area and the west side of Florida and it increased to 1.6 to 1.8 overnight along with much higher dew points that were in the upper 50's at one point yesterday to 70's over night.


Right as the seabreezes collided at about 8pm last night my dewpoint rose from 57 to 71 in one hour.
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SST's look to be "roughly" onpair with 2007.

April 28th, 2013.


April 28th, 2007.


What I also find interesting is how the areas of highest concentration of TCHP in the Atlantic are virtually identical to 2007 at this point.

Now:


2007:


(Note, this was before the upgrade in resolution in the TCHP)

Besides having the same naming list as this year, 2007 also had two extremely powerful Category 5 hurricanes develop in the Caribbean. Given the fact we may see a closer concentration of hurricanes in the Caribbean this year, I believe 2007 might be somewhat of an analog to chose for 2013.

Here are the SST anomalies across Earth in 2013.


And then in April 2007.


Similarities: Warm pool of water sticking out towards the western United States (negative PDO), cool anomalies developing off the coast of South America, identical areas of cool anomalies across the Northern Atlantic, warm anomalies across the Bay of Guinea.

Differences: Warm pool of water or PDO is warmer and extends farther north, meaning a far stronger negative PDO signal (2007 was relatively neutral), cooler anomalies across the equatorial Pacific in 2007 than in 2013, warmer anomalies across the MDR and east coast of the United States in 2013.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24018
Quoting StormTrackerScott:


Those storms in Tampa were more of a result of a strong outflow boundry that pushed west from strong thunderstorms that erupted over Orlando last evening. Once the boundry interacted with SW winds coming in out of the Gulf the thunderstorms erupted over coastal areas around Tampa.

Well the surface triggers were from old boundaries that is correct, but the final trigger was a small piece of upper energy because the Tampa Bay area had some capping that was preventing thunderstorm growth. The piece of upper energy was small but the Tampa Bay area was not worked over yet and it provided upper divergence.

Also MUCH higher moisture moved in from the south overnight as well the PW was only 1.3 around the Tampa Bay area and the west side of Florida and it increased to 1.6 to 1.8 overnight along with much higher dew points that were in the upper 50's at one point yesterday to 70's over night.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7440
Quoting goosegirl1:


If you're from WV you call them both "hail":) We used to tease a co-worker when she started to swear and ask her "what size "hail" and "did it rain too?" (it didn't improve her mood any)


Well I'm glad I can bring a laugh to some this AM. I think I'm still half a sleep here at work.
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Quoting Jedkins01:


Well we know AGW means business of thunderstorms are dropping hell now ;)


If you're from WV you call them both "hail":) We used to tease a co-worker when she started to swear and ask her "what size "hail" and "did it rain too?" (it didn't improve her mood any)
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Quoting Jedkins01:


Well we know AGW means business of thunderstorms are dropping hell now ;)


LOL (hail)
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Quoting beell:
TBW Sounding-Valid last night at 8PM EDT



That is a very odd sounding between 800 and 600 mb, you don't typically see lapse rates that look like that.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7440
Quoting Jedkins01:
Great to see the surprise breakout of thunderstorms down there in the Tampa Bay area last night, I live on the east side of northern Pinellas on the bay, my mom says my rain gauge there back home got over 2 inches. Some places actually had over 3 inches with over 2 at Tampa International and over 1 inch at Clearwater.

Apparently the thunderstorms also brought power outages in excess of a few thousand due to hail and strong winds...

I had a feeling that there may have been a chance of a few storms in the Tampa Bay area over night as a small piece of upper energy providing upper divergence moved across early this morning. I didn't mention it last night simply because there have been so many gulf convective system fail. The problem yesterday is that there was more than 1 cap in the atmosphere so lapse rates were terrible. The upper energy broke those caps providing plenty of upper divergence, this combined with still potent surface CAPE from earlier daytime heating and and outflow and sea breeze boundaries to trigger the local soaking.

There will be a lot more on the way as a much more potent piece of energy arrives from the western gulf by early tomorrow:



Those storms in Tampa were more of a result of a strong outflow boundry that pushed west from strong thunderstorms that erupted over Orlando last evening. Once the boundry interacted with SW winds coming in out of the Gulf the thunderstorms erupted over coastal areas around Tampa.
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Quoting StormTrackerScott:


Over in Wekiva Springs last evening we had a severe storm roll thru and even dropped some dime sized hell. Did you get any hell as that storm was intense on the Orange/Seminole county line at about 8:30pm?


Well we know AGW means business of thunderstorms are dropping hell now ;)
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453. beell
TBW Sounding-Valid last night at 8PM EDT

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Quoting WxLogic:
Good Morning... well already 1.26 in. of rain since yesterday (CFL). We shall see if how those totals will end up as by the end of the week.


Over in Wekiva Springs last evening we had a severe storm roll thru and even dropped some dime sized hail. Did you get any hell as that storm was intense on the Orange/Seminole county line at about 8:30pm?
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Quoting AtHomeInTX:
The blob looks like it wants to spin. :) Good morning all.



There is a pretty strong meso low embedded in that MCS is what it looks like, the spin you see is real :)
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7440
The blob looks like it wants to spin. :) Good morning all.

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Great to see the surprise breakout of thunderstorms down there in the Tampa Bay area last night, I live on the east side of northern Pinellas on the bay, my mom says my rain gauge there back home got over 2 inches. Some places actually had over 3 inches with over 2 at Tampa International and over 1 inch at Clearwater.

Apparently the thunderstorms also brought power outages in excess of a few thousand due to hail and strong winds...

I had a feeling that there may have been a chance of a few storms in the Tampa Bay area over night as a small piece of upper energy providing upper divergence moved across early this morning. I didn't mention it last night simply because there have been so many gulf convective system fail. The problem yesterday is that there was more than 1 cap in the atmosphere so lapse rates were terrible. The upper energy broke those caps providing plenty of upper divergence, this combined with still potent surface CAPE from earlier daytime heating and and outflow and sea breeze boundaries to trigger the local soaking.

There will be a lot more on the way as a much more potent piece of energy arrives from the western gulf by early tomorrow:

Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7440

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Good Morning... well already 1.26 in. of rain since yesterday (CFL). We shall see if how those totals will end up as by the end of the week.
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Quoting wxchaser97:

1 closed isobar with a 1008mb low is not a (sub)tropical storm. Besides, it is expected to stay cold core. It will be at least a few weeks until we get our first TS/STS(at least imo).


you are correct... one isobar does not do it for cyclone genesis.
Not expecting development out of it...
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Quoting SouthernIllinois:

Surprised they survived the trek over the cold waters of Lake Michigan...

I think they were expected to, but yeah usually the lakes don't do good things for thunderstorms crossing over them.
Once those storms move through, a warm front will pass and my temp will go up to the mid 70s today, near 80 tomorrow.
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Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11151
The Tampa area sure got whacked this morning.

Also, great to see some of the "season" crew coming out of their caves now.
Quoting wxchaser97:

1 closed isobar with a 1008mb low is not a (sub)tropical storm. Besides, it is expected to stay cold core. It will be at least a few weeks until we get our first TS/STS(at least imo).


Correct, none of the models are no longer indicating tropical or subtropical cyclone development. A non-tropical area of low pressure is more than likely to be the end result with some rain for the east coast of Florida. I don't see a threat for Andrea through the next few weeks.

TCHP sure has spiked since I last made my video update. Now:


11 days ago.


April 27th, 2012.


2011.


2010.


The Caribbean looks like it might be a hotspot for tropical cyclone development the first part of hurricane season.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24018
Good morning folks. Yesterday's rain was north, south and east of me. Nothing in my rain guage. I think Wednesday will be my best shot for rain
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Quoting StormTrackerScott:


That almost looks like it wants to rotate there...

There was a brief signal, but there is a lot of ground clutter in and around the area.


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Good Morning. Very high shear, as usual this time of the year, in all of the MDR. Also note 50 knots of sheer over the Gulf in case anyone was wondering.....

Link
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Decent storms on the west side of the state this morning. They are moving toward me and I am expected to get some showers/storms in a couple hours. Hopefully they'll still have hail, but I don't know.
The far southern storm just got severe warned.
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I am near the Mermaid park. No rain yet.
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NAM for Today..........
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Quoting StormTrackerScott:
GFS is showing our first named STS of the season in the eastern Gulf. I'm surprised nobody has noticed this.





1 closed isobar with a 1008mb low is not a (sub)tropical storm. Besides, it is expected to stay cold core. It will be at least a few weeks until we get our first TS/STS(at least imo).
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My friend lives in Sterling Hills and his son lives in Pristine Place and for some reason they always get the rain, but a mile west we stay dry.



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Nam at 48 hours, there's the snow line gee..its almost may..
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Quoting robintampabay:



I also live in Spring Hill. I woke up to rain at 5:30 this morning. Had to have at least a half inch of rain.
Quoting robintampabay:



I also live in Spring Hill. I woke up to rain at 5:30 this morning. Had to have at least a half inch of rain.
Quoting robintampabay:



I also live in Spring Hill. I woke up to rain at 5:30 this morning. Had to have at least a half inch of rain.


I'm in the Mariner/Northcliffe area and we are dry as can be here. Glad someone is getting wet.
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Quoting mermaidlaw:
Good morning. Not one drop of rain at my house in Spring Hill, FL. I would love some rain! LOL


Where in Spring Hill do you live in. I live in Pristine Place off Spring Hill Rd and Barclay. Got .43 in my rain gauge.
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Quoting mermaidlaw:
Good morning. Not one drop of rain at my house in Spring Hill, FL. I would love some rain! LOL
good morning, just hang on, supposed to be showers and storms over florida all week long looks like.
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Quoting SouthernIllinois:
06Z GFS out to 120 hours. Southern Illinois and Florida get it. YES!!!!

this is wonderful..local met said next week there will be a really strong cold front coming all the way down to the gulf..might drop our temps a few degree's here but ups the rain chances possibly..we'll see what happens..he also said texas might break some cold temp records next week..gee..old man winter is really wanting to hang around huh.
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Quoting StormTrackerScott:
GFS is showing our first named STS of the season in the eastern Gulf. I'm surprised nobody has noticed this.






Not even close


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Good morning. Not one drop of rain at my house in Spring Hill, FL. I would love some rain! LOL
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Quoting Hernando44:
Here in Spring Hill, about 50 miles N. of Tampa, my rain gauge display is still showing 0.00 inches of rain. This is getting a little rediculous. LOL



I also live in Spring Hill. I woke up to rain at 5:30 this morning. Had to have at least a half inch of rain.
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I hope this verifies,we really need this rain....
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.