Extreme Drought to Extreme Flood: Weather Whiplash Hits the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:42 PM GMT on April 19, 2013

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It seems like just a few months ago barges were scraping bottom on the Mississippi River, and the Army Corps of Engineers was blowing up rocks on the bottom of the river to allow shipping to continue. Wait, it was just a few months ago--less than four months ago! Water levels on the Mississippi River at St. Louis bottomed out at -4.57' on January 1 of 2013, the 9th lowest water level since record keeping began in 1861, and just 1.6' above the all-time low-water record set in 1940 (after the great Dust Bowl drought of the 1930s.) But according to National Weather Service, the exceptional April rains and snows over the Upper Mississippi River watershed will drive the river by Tuesday to a height 45 feet higher than on January 1. The latest forecast calls for the river to hit 39.4' on Tuesday, which would be the 8th greatest flood in history at St. Louis, where flood records date back to 1861. Damaging major flooding is expected along a 250-mile stretch of the Mississippi from Quincy, Illinois to Thebes, Illinois next week. At the Alton, Illinois gauge, upstream from St.Louis, a flood height of 34' is expected on Tuesday. This would be the 6th highest flood in Alton since 1844, and damages to commercial property in the town of Alton occur at this water level. In addition, record flooding is expected on at least five rivers in Illinois and Michigan over the next few days. A crest 1.5' above the all-time record has already occurred on the Des Plaines River in Chicago. This river has invasive Asian Carp that could make their way into Lake Michigan if a 13-mile barrier along the river fails during an extreme flood. Fortunately, NPR in Michigan is reporting today that U.S. Army Corps of Engineers crews stationed along the 13-mile Asian carp barrier have seen no evidence of the fish breaching the structure, and it would have taken a flood much larger than today's record flood to breach the structure. A crest on the Grand River in Grand Rapids, Michigan nearly 4' above the previous record (period of record: at least 113 years) is expected this weekend. At this flood level, major flooding of residential areas is expected, though the flood wall protecting downtown Grand Rapids will keep the commercial center of the city from flooding.


Figure 1. The rains that fell in a 24-hour period ending at 7 am EDT Thursday, April 18, 2013 over Northern Illinois were the type of rains one would expect see fall only once every 40 years (yellow colors), according to METSTAT, Inc. (http://www.metstat.com.) METSTAT computed the recurrence interval statistics based on gauge-adjusted radar precipitation and frequency estimates from NOAA Atlas 14 Volume 2, published in 2004 (http://dipper.nws.noaa.gov/hdsc/pfds/.) METSTAT does not supply their precipitation recurrence interval forecasts or premium analysis products for free, but anyone can monitor the real-time analysis (observed) at: http://metstat.com/solutions/extreme-precipitation-index-analysis/

Damages from the April 2013 Midwest U.S. flood in Illinois, Michigan, and Missouri are likely to run into the hundreds of millions of dollars. Some of the impacts at the flood levels predicted include:

St. Louis, MO:
Major flooding begins. At this level the Choteau Island Levee, protecting 2400 acres, is overtopped. Also, Lemay Park just south of Lemay Ferry Road will begin flood

Cape Girardeau, MO:
Many homes in the Cape Girardeau area are affected and evacuations may be required. Over 100,000 acres is flooded. Numerous roads are closed.

Hannibal, MO:
The Sny Island and South Quincy levees are overtopped between River Mile 315.4 and 264.3, flooding 110,000 acres. The South River levee is overtopped between River Mile 320.5 and 312.1, flooding 10,000 acres.

Quincy, IL:
Missouri Highway 168 east of Palmyra near the BASF plant closes; Quincy Waterworks inundated.

Note that sandbagging efforts may be able to prevent some of these flooding impacts from occurring. Wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt discusses the latest rainfall and flooding records from this week's epic storm in his latest post. He plans on an update Friday afternoon.


Figure 2. Water levels on the Mississippi River at St. Louis are predicted to crest at 39.5', near major flood stage, on Tuesday. This would be the 8th greatest flood in history at St. Louis. Records at the St. Louis gauge to back to 1861. Image credit: National Weather Service.


Figure 3. Water levels on the Mississippi River at St. Louis bottomed out at -4.57' on 01/01/2013, the 9th lowest water level since record keeping began in 1861, and just 1.6' above the all-time low-water record set in 1940, after the great Dust Bowl drought of the 1930s. Image credit: National Weather Service.

Flood-Drought-Flood Weather Whiplash
Residents along the Mississippi River have experienced a severe case of flood-drought-flood weather whiplash over the past two years. The Mississippi reached its highest level on record at New Madrid, Missouri on May 6, 2011, when the river crested at 48.35'. Flooding on the Mississippi and Missouri rivers that year cost an estimated $5 billion. The next year, after the great drought of 2012, the river had fallen by over 53' to an all time record low of -5.32' on August 30, 2012. Damage from the great drought is conservatively estimated at $35 billion. Next Tuesday, the river is expected to be at flood stage again in New Madrid, 40' higher than the August 2012 record low. Now, that is some serious weather whiplash. I'm often asked about the seemingly contradictory predictions from climate models that the world will see both worse floods and worse droughts due to global warming. Well, we have seen a classic example in the Midwest U.S. over the past two years of just how this kind of weather whiplash is possible. A warmer atmosphere is capable of bringing heavier downpours, since warmer air can hold more water vapor. We saw an example of this on Thursday morning, when an upper air balloon sounding over Lincoln, Illinois revealed near-record amounts of moisture for this time of year. The precipitable water--how much rain could fall if one condensed all the water vapor in a column above the ground into rain--was 1.62", just barely short of the Illinois April record for precipitable water of 1.64" set on April 20, 2000 (upper air records go back to 1948.) Thursday's powerful low pressure system was able to lift that copious moisture, cool it, and condense it into record rains. So how can you have worse droughts with more moisture in the air? Well, you still need a low pressure system to come along and wring that moisture out of the air to get rain. When natural fluctuations in jet stream patterns take storms away from a region, creating a drought, the extra water vapor in the air won't do you any good. There will be no mechanism to lift the moisture, condense it, and generate drought-busting rains. The drought that ensues will be more intense, since temperatures will be hotter and the soil will dry out more.

The new normal in the coming decades is going to be more and more extreme flood-drought-flood cycles like we are seeing now in the Midwest, and this sort of weather whiplash is going to be an increasingly severe pain in the neck for society. We'd better prepare for it, by building a more flood-resistant infrastructure and developing more drought-resistant grains, for example. And if we continue to allow heat-trapping gases like carbon dioxide continue to build up in the atmosphere at the current near-record pace, no amount of adaptation can prevent increasingly more violent cases of weather whiplash from being a serious threat to the global economy and the well-being of billions of people.


Video 1. One person was hospitalized after a sinkhole swallowed three cars in the South Deering neighborhood on the Southeast Side of Chicago on Thursday, April 18, 2013. Witnesses said the hole opened up around 5 a.m. at 9600 South Houston Avenue, quickly growing from about 20 feet to about 40 feet. First two cars slid in, then a third as the hole widened, witnesses said. A fourth vehicle was towed from the edge as it was about to fall inside. The sinkhole was due to heavy flooding that broke a water main built in 1915.

Related Science
A 2010 study by Duke University scientists suggests that global warming is the main cause of a significant intensification in the Bermuda High that in recent decades has more than doubled the frequency of abnormally wet or dry summer weather in the Southeast United States. Thus, the Southeast U.S. may see greater than its share of "Weather Whiplash"--extreme droughts followed by extreme floods--in coming decades. Joe Romm at climateporgress.org has a post discussing the paper, with links to examples of how the Southeast U.S. has seen both extreme droughts and extreme floods since 2005.


Jeff Masters

Underpass flooding (aerojad)
Belmont St. at the Metra train station.
Underpass flooding

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Quoting Slamguitar:
Pure comedy.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 18873
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


What are the water temperatures there?


low 80's in florida bay ... little early for that
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Wait that was it?.No really.That was it and it was tornado warned this "server" thunderstorm was pathetic.And you wonder why people become complacent..
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 18873
So I understand a woman finds the bomber when a thousand men couldnt do it..typical..LOL
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16287
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Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Analyst there's been a lot of mistaken reporting on the Boston bombing from day 1. The worst so far was when the New York Post printed a large of the wrong guy (a 17 y/o high school student) on their front page.

Yeah. What we know for sure is that he's cornered and injured.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 33461
Analyst there's been a lot of mistaken reporting on the Boston bombing from day 1. The worst so far was when the New York Post printed a large of the wrong guy (a 17 y/o high school student) on their front page.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 9518
Im switching between both ABC and CNN and neither are saying that the boat is on fire??
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16287
279. etxwx
Sandstorms strike Northwest China

Residents brave sandstorms in Bohu county, Northwest China's Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region, April 18, 2013. The county was swept by sand and thunder storms Thursday. [Photo/Xinhua]

Bohu county in Xinjiang is shrouded in sandstorm on April 18, 2013. [Photo/Xinhua]
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So...

A neighbor in Watertown went to check on his boat in the backyard. He saw blood, climbed up the ladder to his boat cover and saw a body. He then called the police.

The SWAT and police raced to the scene and discovered that the second suspect was indeed wounded in the boat. He had a tank of gasoline. They threw flash grenades in order to disorient the suspect.

The boat is on fire. He's probably dead [or dying].
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 33461
Boston eerily like movies opening upon a city weeks after a nuclear war or a zombie apocalypse.
I would have never thought that it would be possible to keep a city-full of people off the streets.
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Quoting Jedkins01:


Where do you live? Looks like you are going to get hit pretty good.


I live in Wilmington..NWS is hoping convection wont be as strong when it gets here because of we being so close to the water but it doesnt look that way..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16287
Quoting ncstorm:
Convection is still holding strong on the squall line..

im in myrtle beach.looks like we are going to get wacked.
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
759 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
GREENSVILLE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
WEST CENTRAL SOUTHAMPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...
SOUTHWESTERN SUSSEX COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...
CITY OF EMPORIA IN SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 830 PM EDT

* AT 756 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
POSSIBLE TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
BARLEY...OR 9 MILES WEST OF DAHLIA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
EMPORIA AROUND 810 PM EDT.
GREEN PLAIN AROUND 815 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE DURAND...
EMPORIA RESERVOIR...EMPORIA AIRPORT...LANES CORNER...SLAGLES LAKE...
GRIZZARD...ADAMS GROVE...MASON...DREWRYVILLE AND GRAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE... OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3654 7771 3658 7774 3665 7770 3688 7735
3671 7722
TIME...MOT...LOC 2358Z 239DEG 45KT 3661 7767

$$

ZIMMERMAN
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 85 Comments: 8134
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
757 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CHENANGO COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...
NORTHWESTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...
SOUTHERN OTSEGO COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 830 PM EDT.

* AT 753 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
BAINBRIDGE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* THE STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
EAST SIDNEY...GILBERTSVILLE AND 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF FRANKLIN BY
805 PM EDT...
OTEGO BY 810 PM EDT...
WEST END AND ONEONTA BY 815 PM EDT...
LAURENS...6 MILES NORTHWEST OF EMMONS AND 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
COLLIERSVILLE BY 820 PM EDT...
MILFORD AND HARTWICK BY 825 PM EDT...

WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY...PLEASE REPORT HAIL...OR DAMAGING WINDS TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT
1-888-603-1402...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...SEEK SHELTER IN A BASEMENT
OR AN INTERIOR ROOM...AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 33461
Quoting ncstorm:
Convection is still holding strong on the squall line..



Where do you live? Looks like you are going to get hit pretty good.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8407

Quoting Jedkins01:


Honestly if there is one thing I noticed about cold front severe events, when severe cells do start breaking out, sometimes warnings are issued for cells that really are questionably severe. However, given the parameters in place, any storm that is even strong could suddenly produce severe weather and so for safety and rightfully so, the NWS will issue warnings in greater number.

It's better to be same than sorry.


*safe then sorry :) And I know its supposed to keep you safe and i'm sure at a different part of the storm, the conditions were ripe for a severe warning. However, I was just stating that I thought there would be worse storms this morning. No harm no foul :)
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Convection is still holding strong on the squall line..

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16287
Quoting Doppler22:
Breezy, very heavy rain and occasional Lightning strikes... Its strong-ish but I expected worse from today's storms


Honestly if there is one thing I noticed about cold front severe events, when severe cells do start breaking out, sometimes warnings are issued for cells that really are questionably severe. However, given the parameters in place, any storm that is even strong could suddenly produce severe weather and so for safety and rightfully so, the NWS will issue warnings in greater number.

It's better to be same than sorry, so it makes complete sense.

Also remember that convective severe events are always scattered about in isolated pockets even during the most widespread events. You could experience for example a squall line that can produce dangerous winds of 70 mph, however, your spot might only get 40, while literally down the street could experience a violent micro burst that knocks a tree on to a home or car.

The one exception is derechos, even then, you still don't have across the board sweeping severe winds, you just have a line of very strong winds with embedded regions of particularly violent and sustained down bursts.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8407
watch out new York city!!
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BTW, I must say I didn't see there being such a significant severe event for the mid atlantic and northeast this morning. Ironically, its like the SPC's outlooks from today and yesterday switched. Today has been closer to a moderate risk event, and yesterday verified to only be marginal slight risk.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8407
Breezy, very heavy rain and occasional Lightning strikes... Its strong-ish but I expected worse from today's storms
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Powerful squall line continues to work its way to the coast, lots of damaging wind reports:



In other news, the Boston bombing suspect is cornered, and hopefully very near being captured. I sure hope so, this state needs a break, it's been a tough week for people here, especially in the Boston area.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 85 Comments: 8134
Quoting DocNDswamp:
re: 145. 1900hurricane 2:43 PM CDT on April 19, 2013



Hiya 1900,
Thanks for your response and the sounding. Note also the SW / WSW winds aloft slowed the progression, the mid level moisture / saturation maintained the post-frontal precip a good 12 hrs or so after sfc front passed after midnight last night. Frequently in past have seen such events, probably most common type set up here that results in a changeover to sleet and/or dusting snow in Winter - rare as it usually is here - within the tailing end of slow moving precip shield... barring a 1989-type arctic blast offering more substantial snowfall. Otherwise, we'll need to be right place, under passing cold ULL to get the frozen precip (ala Christmas 2004, etc).

LOL! My temp last night was 76F at midnight (after an 81F high), dropped to 58F by 2 AM... Been holding near 50-52F since daybreak.. Also noted during the evap cooling / short-lived sleet event my thermo fell from 51 to 49F, rising again after back to 53F... Given the air mass settling in and where skies clear out, record lows for Apr 20th will likely be challenged across parts of TX-LA tomorrow.

I'd heard of another report late this morn of sleet/rain mix in Thibodaux just to my north, and saw some myself. But the last one was pretty neat to see as was ALL sleet, yet only lasted 2 minutes / melted quickly where landed on warmer surfaces - glad by chance I was outside to witness it, along with another astounded neighbor... I also reported it to KLIX NWS. Bet a few other locations had some of the novelty sleet too. This date is the latest in season I've ever observed sleet, trace or otherwise here - we're talking 6 decades! Go figure... ;)



I must say that is extremely weird, there must have been a very cold and dry layer not far above the surface, say at 950 mb or something like that, in order for you to have seen what you saw.

Not only is seeing sleet in southern LA in mid/late April downright WEIRD, whats event stranger is the fact that you had temps near 50 when it happened. I've heard of sleet on rare occasions with temps in the lower 40's but not 50. I'm not saying this to suggest that you aren't telling the truth. I definitely believe you. That is just so unusual and odd I'm struggling to process it, lol.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8407
sounds like Tango Down
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Miami NWS Disco Update

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT INTO THE DAY ON SATURDAY...WITH
INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FOR SOUTH FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING ARE THE MAIN THREATS ON SATURDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCE
OF STORMS FOR THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION. STRONG STORMS MAY
BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AS TEMPERATURES ALOFT COOL...WITH
HAIL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS THE MAIN
THREATS.
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Quoting TheGreatHodag:
very unimpressive severe thunderstorm in upper northwest DC just a bit breezy and moderate rain with some thunder.
Exactly with annoying police sirens in the back ground..
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 18873
very unimpressive severe thunderstorm in upper northwest DC just a bit breezy and moderate rain with some thunder.
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So while I am sitting at a Pizza Hut enjoying my meal, I watch a bow echo roll in from the southeast..and when it arrives...I am then watching gutters torn from buildings, rain blown in sheets, treelimbs snapped and held aloft, and shingles fly through the air.

Tried calling it in to NWS, but didnt get through...was rough though. Power did go out breifly.
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252 etxwx:
Skyepony: "...Wind speeds hit 22.6 meters per second at Hengshan Mountain..."
Between 81km/h and 51mph

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Quoting aspectre:
238 trHUrrIXC5MMX: TWC says there could be a new winter storm next week... (??)
Could we get to Zeus...the last name of the list?


Or the blog topic go straight from a named WinterStorm to a named TropicalStorm?


It was almost like that in reverse from Sandy to Athena. Or Sandy and the great West Virginia blizzard.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 9518
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
@BostonGlobe
BREAKING: Source says bomb suspect pinned down in Watertown
thanks for the update!
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Figures, the first time in a l o n g time I don't check the link, and my copy&paste left out the http://
So here's a good link to Lee Grenci's blog about climbing weather for Mt.Everest

There really should be a permanent direct link from Dr.Masters' blog page to Dr.Grenci's.
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@BostonGlobe
BREAKING: Source says bomb suspect pinned down in Watertown
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 33461
252. etxwx
Quoting Skyepony:
Hailstorms have battered parts of central China's Hunan Province since Thursday, leaving three people dead, local authorities said Friday. According to Hunan's Provincial Department of Civil Affairs, the hailstorms have affected 105,000 residents and forced the evacuation of more than 9,400 people. Nearly 200 houses collapsed and 11,000 houses were damaged to varying degrees. The storms have also destroyed about 3,900 hectares of crops. Hailstones were as large as 1.8 cm in diameter in the city of Jishou. Wind speeds hit 22.6 meters per second at Hengshan Mountain, a renowned scenic area. Weather forecasts said heavy rain and hail will continue to hit parts of Hunan next week.


Photo from China Daily

A damaged house by the hailstorms is seen in Dongkou, Hunan province, April 18, 2013. [Photo by Teng Zhizhong/Asianewsphoto]
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More gunshots have just been heard in Watertown. Cops and SWAT are racing to the scene.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 33461
Man!!!!!A 19 years old boy ,cant be found by the most powerful police and federation of investigation of the world........I'm completely sure this kid is being helped by someone
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Welcome to Downtown Boston! (not my image)

Member Since: June 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2178


Clear as a bell here, currently 83.5 here, 53.1/84.1 were the extremes. Normal is 50/75 8% humidity ... lol
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6547
From what I understand Boston is stopped. So I don't know. I hope they get him alive so he can be questioned.
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 9518
Quoting aspectre:
238 trHUrrIXC5MMX: I find post 236 very disrespectful

The photo might be too off-topic, but nonetheless it's WEIRD enough to be interesting.
Maybe taken during very early morning hours?

Nope. It was taken less than two hours ago.

Not sure, Brian. Probably nothing too significant, though there will be some damage for sure.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 33461
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Welcome to Downtown Boston! (not my image)


What will the economic cost of all this be?
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 9518
Quoting docrod:
Baking in a steam bath here in the Florida Keys ...
I did not expect full blown summer this soon. I typically get a/c relief till late May.

From today's Key West NWS Discussion

.CLIMATE...
THE STREAK OF WARM APRIL NIGHTS CONTINUES INTO ITS 9TH CONSECUTIVE
DAY. THE LOW TEMPERATURE SO FAR TODAY AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT IS 80 DEGREES. THE DAILY RECORD FOR WARMEST MINIMUM
TEMPERATURE EVER MEASURED IN KEY WEST ON APRIL 19TH IS 78 DEGREES...
LAST SET IN 2011. THE DAILY RECORD FOR WARMEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
EVER RECORDED IN KEY WEST WILL LIKELY BE BROKEN OR TIED FOR THE 9TH
STRAIGHT DAY TODAY AS THE TEMPERATURE AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT IS NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 78 DEGREES BY MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURE RECORDS AT KEY WEST DATE BACK TO 1872.


What are the water temperatures there?
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 9518
Quoting Skyepony:


I'm thinking not very good. May see a strong thunderstorm though. Front should ruin the boating for east central FL & maybe bring a little rain.



Imelda was declared dead my the NAVY..NOAA showing it's likely last gasp. It's been sheared away since this morning.




Hi Skye - yep, no relief down here either. None of the Key West discussions I've read bring anything more than slightly enhanced rain chances here.
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238 trHUrrIXC5MMX: TWC says there could be a new winter storm next week... (??)
Could we get to Zeus...the last name of the list?


Or the blog topic go straight from a named WinterStorm to a named TropicalStorm?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Baking in a steam bath here in the Florida Keys ...
I did not expect full blown summer this soon. I typically get a/c relief till late May.

From today's Key West NWS Discussion

.CLIMATE...
THE STREAK OF WARM APRIL NIGHTS CONTINUES INTO ITS 9TH CONSECUTIVE
DAY. THE LOW TEMPERATURE SO FAR TODAY AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT IS 80 DEGREES. THE DAILY RECORD FOR WARMEST MINIMUM
TEMPERATURE EVER MEASURED IN KEY WEST ON APRIL 19TH IS 78 DEGREES...
LAST SET IN 2011. THE DAILY RECORD FOR WARMEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
EVER RECORDED IN KEY WEST WILL LIKELY BE BROKEN OR TIED FOR THE 9TH
STRAIGHT DAY TODAY AS THE TEMPERATURE AT KEY WEST INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT IS NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 78 DEGREES BY MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURE RECORDS AT KEY WEST DATE BACK TO 1872.
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238 trHUrrIXC5MMX: I find post 236 very disrespectful

The photo might be too off-topic, but nonetheless it's WEIRD enough to be interesting.
Maybe taken during very early morning hours?
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.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 16287
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


just outside the DC area you are at right?



Pasadena Maryland that is.
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TWC says there could be a new winter storm next week... (??)
Could we get to Zeus...the last name of the list?



bbl.

one other thing... I find post 236 very disrespectful IMO
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237. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting psetas23:
whats the chance of seeing a tornado in tampa fl tomorrow


I'm thinking not very good. May see a strong thunderstorm though. Front should ruin the boating for east central FL & maybe bring a little rain.



Imelda was declared dead my the NAVY..NOAA showing it's likely last gasp. It's been sheared away since this morning.

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