Where's spring? Third winter storm in a week hitting Northern U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:52 PM GMT on April 15, 2013

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Are we worthy of spring? That's the question residents of much of northern tier of states must be asking themselves this week. The winter of 2012 - 2013 refuses to give way to spring over the Northern Plains and Great Lakes, where snow will once again rule the skies this third week of April. Although the U.S. had an unusually warm winter during 2012 - 2013, ranking as the 20th warmest since 1895, March and the first half of April have been below average in temperature, with March 2013 ranking as the 43rd coldest March in the 119-year record. Two separate April snowstorms have set all time snowiest-day records at two major cities in the Northern Plains, with the latest record to fall the all-time snowiest day for Bismark, North Dakota. On Sunday, Winter Storm Xerxes walloped Bismark with 17.3" of snow, beating the city's previous all-time snowiest day record of 15.5" on March 3, 1966. Sunday's powerful blizzard brought heavy snow, gusty winds of 30 - 40 mph, and near-zero visibility to much of North Dakota, forcing the closure of the entire 350-mile stretch of I-94 through the state on Sunday and Monday morning. Heavy snow and white-out conditions on I-94 in Minnesota closed an additional portion of the freeway in that state, due to a semitrailer crash. Just last week, Winter Storm Walda brought Rapid City, South Dakota its snowiest day on record on April 9, when 20.0" fell at the airport. The 28.2" of snow during April 2013 is now the second snowiest April at the Rapid City Regional Airport, surpassed only by April 1970 when 30.6" of snow fell.


Figure 1. What a difference a year makes: snow was almost non-existent in the Upper Midwest on April 15 last year, but there is plenty this year. Image credit: NOAA.

Spring a slow-show
The cold weather this spring in the Upper Midwest has not been remarkably intense, but it has been unusually persistent, with few breaks from the colder than average conditions. In Fargo, North Dakota, the warmest day so far this year has been 43°F, and the city appears poised to record its latest 50°F on record. According to the NWS in Fargo, the latest day Fargo has hit 50°F was April 17, 1881. The current forecast calls for the temperature to remain below 50° through at least April 24. In Grand Forks, ND, the warmest it has been this year is a chilly 40°F (on January 10.) Spring has also been a slow-show in Michigan's Upper Peninsula, where the 2.3" of snow that fell on Marquette on Sunday brought the seasonal total snowfall over 200"--the first time since the winter of 2007 - 2008 the city has eclipsed that mark. The snow depth in the city is 38", the deepest snow this late in the year since 1980. Marquette's warmest temperature so far this year has been 47°F on March 29. Since Marquette usually records their first 50° reading by March 15, they are a month behind schedule. The latest 50° reading since record keeping began in 1961 was April 26, 1965. The latest forecast calls for the temperature to come close to 50° on Monday, then stay below 50° for the succeeding week, so Marquette may beat its record for latest 50° temperature.

Winter not done with the Upper Midwest yet
Winter isn't done with the region yet--a new slow-moving winter storm called "Yogi" is developing over the Rockies of Northern Colorado. The storm promises to bring up to a foot of snow to Cheyenne, Wyoming, and a swath of 6+ inches to portions Northern Colorado and Nebraska, South Dakota, and Minnesota by Thursday. This storm also has the potential to cause one of the year's largest severe weather outbreaks; NOAA's Storm Prediction Center is already calling for a "Moderate Risk" of severe weather for Oklahoma, Kansas, and Missouri on Wednesday.

Other interesting wunderblogs
It's also been a persistently cold April in Alaska, as weather historian Christopher C. Burt notes in his latest post.

Wunderblogging meteorologist Lee Grenci has an interesting post on why last week's severe weather outbreak had so few tornadoes, despite the presence of a strong cold front and plenty of moisture and thunderstorms.

Jeff Masters

Iron Belt WI April 13 (lilElla)
Bella & snow in Iron Belt WI and snow keeps coming.
Iron Belt WI April 13
Robins Return (martinmotor)
The robins have returned to Minnesota just in time for heavy snow.
Robins Return
April Snow in Wisconsin (pineaire)
Sandhills & geese trying to figure out how to handle the nasty weather in April
April Snow in Wisconsin

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Quoting auburn:


We have kids in here and some of the Photos are getting gruesome and also some of the reports of deaths are unconfirmed..just trying to not let this get out of control,Discuss it is fine..but please put the Photos and unconfirmed news in other blogs..


Okay..I didnt read back on the blog so I didnt know about any photos but yes I totally agree with that..

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15284
The Eastern & Central US sure looks wet.

Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2883
Quoting Tornado6042008X:

It is really sad that things like this have to happen in this world.Too early to tell whether it is an act of terrorism. I pray that its not. My heart goes out to all of the people affected by this.
 
I heard that there is now extra security at NYC now, Max.


yes... check my blog...
I'll answer your question there...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Man, these storm over me blew UP... I'm in the 55

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154. auburn (Mod)
Quoting ncstorm:


this is a national event and we cant talk about it?..


We have kids in here and some of the Photos are getting gruesome and also some of the reports of deaths are unconfirmed..just trying to not let this get out of control,Discuss it is fine..but please put the Photos and unconfirmed news in other blogs..
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:



a explosion...(apparently)



Seriously now...why would people do this???
come on...

It is really sad that things like this have to happen in this world.Too early to tell whether it is an act of terrorism. I pray that its not. My heart goes out to all of the people affected by this.
 
I heard that there is now extra security at NYC now, Max.
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Quoting auburn:
Please check your information before you post and also PLEASE POST info on The Boston Marathon in your own blog or one of the blogs set up for it..Thank you.

This is a national, major event on a day with no active, life-impacting weather. I'm sure Dr. Masters doesn't mind.
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trying to change topic...

Rapid City, SD ...another very hard snow-hit city...

1012 AM MDT MON APR 15 2013 /1112 AM CDT MON APR 15 2013/

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL WILL BEGIN TUESDAY EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

* MAIN HAZARD...SNOW AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE.

I expect much more than this...maybe 3x as more in nearby places, expect accumulation nearly two feet from Yogi
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
There were two explosions,people reported seeing two packages in front of the stores where the explosions occur,pretty sure this is not a gas explosion,the explosions occurred in front of the stores.Such a great day here in Boston,destroyed by unbalanced evil people.Prayers go out to the people hurt.Local tv reports have not reported deaths as yet.Not sure where that report of 12 people dead came from.
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Quoting auburn:
Please check your information before you post and also PLEASE POST info on The Boston Marathon in your own blog or one of the blogs set up for it..Thank you.


this is a national event and we cant talk about it here?..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15284
148. auburn (Mod)
Please check your information before you post and also PLEASE POST info on The Boston Marathon in your own blog or one of the blogs set up for it..Thank you.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
right now CNN is reporting 2 dead according to Boston police..there were no potential threats either before the race..

today was supposed to be the missile launch from North Korea..hope this is not tied to it..
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 15284
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


terrorists...??? Not sure
12 dead...I doubt it..


I'm hearing this was a terrorist attack on several channels.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2883
Ericka Miller %u200F@Ericka_Miller 35s
Breaking: Boston PD reporting 2 dead, 22 injured in explosions at Boston marathon.

*28 now
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
I only hear 2 confirmed and up-to-date fatalities so far. Multiple channels and Boston police just said this.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


it's not even safe to be outside the door anymore... My Goodness!
From everything I've read, that's part of a terrorist's goal - not just causing death and destruction but also making everyone else afraid.
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CNN) -- Two large explosions rocked an area near the finish line of the Boston Marathon on Monday, injuring at least six people and spewing wreckage in its wake.

Smoke billowed into the air at Copley Square, turning a site of celebration into a mess of destruction.

Crowds had gathered in the area to watch the runners.

At least four people were being treated at Massachusetts General Hospital.



Blasts near Boston Marathon finish line It was not immediately clear what caused the blasts. Authorities rushed to assist the injured and close off the scene.

Out of an abundance of caution, the Lenox Hotel was evacuated, the Boston Globe reported, as authorities looked into possible security concerns.

Video from the moment of one of the blasts showed some people who appeared to be knocked over and then got up, but the video did not clearly show spectators who may have been closer to the site of the blast.

Mike Baingon, who works at the Atlantic Fish Company, said an explosion took place in front of the restaurant and that he was right by the front door at the time.

The explosions occurred at about 2:45 p.m., more than two hours after the first of the race's nearly 27,000 runners had crossed the finish line, CNN Producer Matt Frucci reported.

The race was halted after the explosions as was subway service into the area.

Troops from the Massachusetts National Guard were assisting police as well.

In New York City, authorities stepped up security as well "until more about the explosion is learned," Deputy Police Commissioner Paul Browne said.

Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2883
Quoting StormTrackerScott:
Terrorist attack in Boston.


terrorists...??? Not sure
12 dead...I doubt it..
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Terrorist attack in Boston.
Member Since: February 28, 2013 Posts: 6 Comments: 2883
Definitely sending my thoughts and prayers to everyone in Boston today. I'm quite a ways SW of the city but still pretty scary seeing such an awful event so close to home. I haven't heard of any fatalities yet, but unfortunately some really gruesome injuries.

Edit: If post 137 is accurate than unfortunately there are fatalities.
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Fox News %u200F@FoxNews 1m
WATCH: At least 3 killed, dozens injured including 10 amputations as blasts rip Boston Marathon finish

:(...

CNN Breaking News %u200F@cnnbrk 1m
19 people treated at Massachusetts General Hospital; conditions unknown.

Obama has been notified..."Whatever assistance in necessary"
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting FLwolverine:
There's a lot of hate in this world.


it's not even safe to be outside the door anymore... My Goodness!
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
135. VR46L
Quoting LargoFl:
I wonder, could those be gas line explosions?..


I hope so ! Its easier to deal with it being an accident than bombs ... trust me on that ...
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6898
*Sigh*

The public really doesn't need another reason to be afraid of going outside. This is terrible. Hope all is okay.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Seriously now...why would people do this???
come on...
There's a lot of hate in this world.
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I wonder, could those be gas line explosions?..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38424
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38424
130. VR46L
Quoting LargoFl:
The snails are isolated to the Miami-Dade County area, says Feiber. Experts don't know exactly how they were first introduced to the United States. It's thought they may have hitched rides aboard incoming travelers' luggage. Or some of them may have been intentionally carried into the country as pets -- and then released.


Hope it stays that way vermin and pests have a habit of multiplying and spreading !
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6898
My prayers to all...


Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
looks like south florida is getting some good rains today..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38424
Just saw video of the explosion on CNN. So messed up... My thoughts and prayers are to the people affected by the explosion.
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The snails are isolated to the Miami-Dade County area, says Feiber. Experts don't know exactly how they were first introduced to the United States. It's thought they may have hitched rides aboard incoming travelers' luggage. Or some of them may have been intentionally carried into the country as pets -- and then released.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38424
Quoting PedleyCA:
(CNN) -- Florida, already threatened with sinkholes, now has a new terror: rat-sized, tire-puncturing snails.

African Snails in Florida
Gators gonna love'em...real tasty
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 38424
Bad, bad injuries...people with no legs...at the Boston marathon. No doubt many fatalities.
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very preliminary... Storms possible in the plains
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
121. VR46L
Quoting PedleyCA:


They carry nasty diseases or so that article said. I have one word, ewwww.


Yeah I know .. Disgusting idea !
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6898
Boston Marathon explosions: Police confirm explosion near finish line



BOSTON At least one explosion struck near the finish line of the Boston Marathon on Monday, police and witnesses said.

The explosion occurred as thousands of runners finished the 117th running of the Boston Marathon, with crowds watching and cheering at the finish.

Reporters in the media center heard a blast.

"There was an explosion, police, fire and EMS are on the scene. We have no indication of how many people are injured," a spokeswoman for the Boston Police Department said.

A spokesman for the Boston Marathon told reporters that no one would be allowed in or out of the hotel that was serving as headquarters for the event.

Mike Mitchell of Vancouver, Canada, a runner who had finished the race said he was looking back at the finish line and saw a "massive explosion."

Smoke rose 50 feet in the air, Mitchell said. People began running and screaming after hearing the noise, Mitchell said.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting VR46L:


Yikes !! Scary stuff ... wonder could they be used the way the french use l'escargot ...



They carry nasty diseases or so that article said. I have one word, ewwww.
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 5801
118. Skyepony (Mod)
Wunderblogger masshysteria Is hosting & posting about the Boston explosions..if anyone is looking to discuss that.



Someone in Melbourne put this up from lastnight's storm. It was a show..
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117. VR46L
Quoting PedleyCA:
(CNN) -- Florida, already threatened with sinkholes, now has a new terror: rat-sized, tire-puncturing snails.

African Snails in Florida


Yikes !! Scary stuff ... wonder could they be used the way the french use l'escargot ...

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6898
Boston explosions result in injuries

Marathon
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 5801
(CNN) -- Florida, already threatened with sinkholes, now has a new terror: rat-sized, tire-puncturing snails.

African Snails in Florida
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 5801
Quoting MississippiWx:


While they may not be totally accurate, the ECMWF forecasts have shown some skill this far out. However, the ECMWF did show something similar to this last year and we ended up with 19 named storms. Of course, the ACE did not reflect what you would typically expect from 19 tropical systems (because of our weak/subtropical systems). Part of the reason for the ECMWF's blown forecast last year was its forecast of El Nino conditions. Since that never panned out, the above average MSLP forecasts were blown. It is interesting that the ECMWF is forecasting above average MSLP for this season without forecasting an El Nino.


Plus 1, A very accurate and well thought out post.

That is why I am holding strong at 18/9/2 for my forecast. I believe that vertical stability will again be an issue, however it may not be as much an issue as we saw in 2012. I should add to my forecast an error of margin of error for the major hurricanes in my forecast of plus or minus 1 to 2 major hurricanes.
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My thoughts go to the scared people in Boston
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Well, this is part of the Euro's issue with placing above average MSLP:





Since we haven't had an El Nino since 2009, odds are favoring an El Nino sometime soon. However, the cold phase of the PDO will continue to make that transition to Nino conditions difficult.

I personally believe neutral conditions will be in place during the heart of the season, with a possible transition to weak El Nino during the winter. Again, I just have a difficult time believing that a significant El Nino could develop between now and hurricane season with the PDO bearing down on the Nino regions.
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Two explosions! Boston marathon finish line. Dear god not again.
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Levi Cowan‏@TropicalTidbits1m
Also worth noting that qualitatively at least, seasonal models suck when amplitude of ENSO is weak (near neutral, neither big Nino nor Nina)Levi Cowan‏ @TropicalTidbits9m
The forecast situation is getting more interesting now, as some models disagree with the Euro, but the Euro tends 2 be skillful with tropics
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1741
Quoting Gearsts:
Levi has some interesting post on his twitter.Link


Very good tweets there. I wonder where will Levi go with the models when he does his next Tropical Tidbit.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14246
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Always in motion, the future is

MSLP forecasts, or any forecast beyond a few months out that look into the "heart of the season" often hold little bearing to what we may actually see. It can and will change.


While they may not be totally accurate, the ECMWF forecasts have shown some skill this far out. However, the ECMWF did show something similar to this last year and we ended up with 19 named storms. Of course, the ACE did not reflect what you would typically expect from 19 tropical systems (because of our weak/subtropical systems). Part of the reason for the ECMWF's blown forecast last year was its forecast of El Nino conditions. Since that never panned out, the above average MSLP forecasts were blown. It is interesting that the ECMWF is forecasting above average MSLP for this season without forecasting an El Nino.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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