NOAA report unable to pinpoint causes of the historic 2012 U.S. drought

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 7:27 PM GMT on April 12, 2013

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The extreme 2012 drought in the Central Great Plains of the U.S. was more intense than any drought since record keeping began in 1895, says a new NOAA assessment of the historic drought, released Thursday. However, the study was unable to pinpoint the cause of the drought. Other major global droughts in recent years have been linked to global warming and/or natural variation in patterns of sea surface temperatures, but these factors were seemingly not important in causing the drought of 2012, said the team of 19 atmospheric scientists, led by Martin Hoerling of the NOAA Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections Program (MAPP). Their study attributed the drought to a random natural variation in the jet stream, which caused it to become "stuck" far to the north in Canada. Since rain-bearing low pressure systems travel along the jet stream, the northwards displacement of the jet stream resulted in abnormally dry conditions over the Central U.S. "This is one of those events that comes along once every couple hundreds of years," said Hoerling.



Key findings of the report
The researchers focused on a six-state region--Wyoming, Kansas, Nebraska, Colorado, Missouri and Iowa, and found that the amount of precipitation in 2012 was only 53% of the long-term average. This was the driest year since record keeping began in 1895, surpassing the previous record driest years of 1934 and 1936, during the great Dust Bowl drought.

The researchers called the 2012 drought a "flash drought"--it developed suddenly in May, and was unrelated to the 2011 drought over Texas and surrounding states. The 2011 drought had a separate and well-understood trigger (a change in the jet stream and storm tracks, due to a La Niña event in the Eastern Pacific.)

The 2012 drought was not predicted by long-range weather forecast models. The new report concluded that our ability to predict drought is limited, but some new experimental techniques could improve future drought forecasts. For example, NOAA's long-range GFDL forecast model and the European EUROSIP model correctly anticipated the summer 2012 heat and dryness over the Central U.S. in projections made as early as January 2012.


Figure 1. Drought-damaged corn in a field near Nickerson, Nebraska, Aug. 16, 2012. The great U.S. drought of 2012 was the most extensive U.S. drought since the 1930s Dust Bowl. Over a six-state region--Wyoming, Kansas, Nebraska, Colorado, Missouri and Iowa--precipitation during 2012 was only 53% of the long-term average., making it the driest year since record keeping began in 1895. Damage from the 2012 drought is at least $35 billion, and probably much higher. The associated heat wave killed 123 people, and brought the U.S. its second hottest summer on record. (AP Photo/Nati Harnik)

Criticism of the report
Dr. Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research was critical of the report's conclusions. In comments posted in Joe Romm's blog at climateprogress.org, Dr. Trenberth said that the study failed to "say anything about the observed soil moisture conditions, snow cover, and snow pack during the winter prior to the event in spite of the fact that snow pack was at record low levels in the winter and spring" and "no attempt was made to include soil moisture, snow cover anomalies, or vegetation health" in the climate model runs performed.

I would have liked to have seen the paper mention the growing body of research that has linked unusually early May snow melt in the Northern Hemisphere and Arctic sea ice loss in recent years to unusual summertime jet stream patterns, like the jet stream pattern observed during 2012. A March 2013 paper by scientists at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) in Germany found that under special conditions, the atmosphere can start to resonate like a bell. This causes the jet stream pattern to freeze in place and amplify, leading to months-long periods of weather extremes. They showed that warming of the Arctic due to human-caused climate change might be responsible for this resonance phenomenon, which became twice as common during 2001 - 2012 compared to the previous 22 years. One of the more extreme examples of this resonance occurred during the summer of 2012, and could have been the cause of the 2012 drought.

Other blogs on the report
Yes, Climate Change Is Worsening U.S. Drought — NOAA Report Needlessly Confuses The Issue by Joe Romm at climateprogress.org

Global Warming Not Significant in 2012 Drought: Report by Andrew Freedman of climatecentral.org

Have a great weekend, everyone!

Jeff Masters

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AWCN11 CWTO 122001

weather summary for all of Southern Ontario and the
National Capital Region issued by Environment Canada
==weather event discussion==

An active weather pattern has affected much of Southern Ontario the
past several days.

Southwestern Ontario received significant rainfall this week.

Below are total precipitation amounts since Tuesday that have been
reported as of 2 PM today. Some of the values below include
precipitation in the form of freezing rain, ice pellets and snow on
Thursday and Friday morning.


------------------------------------------------- ------------
Location rain amount (mm)
------------------------------------------------- ------------

Windsor 60
Sarnia Airport 85
London 67
Vineland 73
Ridgetown 65
Goderich 56
Kitchener 71
Elora 61
Hamilton Airport 66
Buttonville Airport 51
Pearson international airport 58
Toronto city 58

Many areas also received significant freezing rain on Thursday and
Friday. Several locales reported greater than 10 mm of freezing
Rain. Widespread power outages occured across much of Southern
Ontario due to the combination of ice accumulation and strong winds.

Below are freezing rainfall amounts from Thursday, most of it
occurring Thursday night and Friday, as of 2 PM today. These
Numbers are estimates, as freezing rain was mixed with or changed to
ice pellets, snow or rain at times.


------------------------------------------------- ------------
Location freezing rain amount (mm)
------------------------------------------------- ------------

London 7
Goderich 12
Kitchener 10
Hamilton 3
Toronto Pearson 10
Markham (Buttonville) 10
Wiarton 14
Collingwood 9
Barrie 10
Oshawa 10
Peterborough 16
Trenton 10
Beatrice 14
Petawawa 6
Bancroft 14
Brockville 12
Ottawa 4

This weather summary contains preliminary information and may not
constitute an official or final report.

END/OSPC
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
GFS fluctuates between showing a strong and a week surface low.... a week to figure this out and see how the ecmwf and cmc match up...may be more instability and definitely more shear last time.
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ouch




a shortwave in a trough with a strong llj per gfs...
classic.
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4 names retired so far in the 2010s decade... expensive too

click for larger pic
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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
How ironic that the two most interesting features on this image aren't expected to create much of a dent in water wishes...

We actually have two "blobs".....


BTW, here is a pic I took yesterday with my little Android phone:



For size and price of phone, I think this is not bad, especially when one considers I was sitting in traffic and just stuck the phone out the window...
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... A significant weather advisory is in effect for eastern Palm Beach
County... for frequent to excessive lightning... gusty winds from 45 to
55 mph... up to nickel-sized hail...

The development of funnel clouds...

* until 830 PM EDT

* at 737 PM EDT... National Weather Service meteorologists detected a
line of strong thunderstorms along a line extending from Jupiter to
5 miles northwest of Mission Bay... and moving east at 10 mph.

* The line of storms will affect...
Jupiter...
Tequesta...
Florida Gardens...
Aberdeen...
Boca Raton equestrian center...
and surrounding communities.

Frequent to excessive lightning... gusty winds from 45 to 55 mph... up
to nickel-sized hail... torrential downpours... or a combination of
these are possible. Lightning is the number one weather related
killer in Florida. Trees and open shelters offer no protection. These
winds can down small tree limbs and branches... and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

Residents near the path of should remain on the alert for additional
statements and possible warnings.
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Quoting CaribBoy:


The boring dry season is slowly going away! Good :-)


I'm with you, Carib ... if I had my druthers, I'd live someplace where tropical rains fall regularly for more than 4-5 months per year. (BTW, is the dry season in the Caribbean growing longer as a rule? My longtime local contacts here in coastal SW FL tell me our dry season is growing in both length AND severity.)

I sure don't want to get clobbered by hurricanes, but if the South Florida rainy season were to start a month early this year, I'd just have to find a great way to celebrate!
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Quoting CaribBoy:


The boring dry season is slowly going away! Good :-)
I have just learned to accept that wx has to be replaced by other, lesser activities during the dry season... lol...
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Quoting Jedkins01:


Check the radar buddy, unfortunately none of this is or will be reaching Florida.
I see what you are saying looked at the radar ... disapointing then I look at the wv loop and get courage for if again but is losing its deep precipation









Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
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Quoting BahaHurican:
This looks like it may be headed our way... an easterly perturbation in the Bahamas by 15/4 !


The boring dry season is slowly going away! Good :-)
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Quoting VR46L:
That Blob in the Gulf is sure expanding ... I can Imagine the cheers ! As its going to an area that needs it .



Check the radar buddy, unfortunately none of this is or will be reaching Florida.
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8016
Quoting AstroHurricane001:
We did have blocks of ice falling from the sky the size of large ice cubes today, but not in the way that you might expect. Rain turned to freezing rain last evening along with some ice pellets and snow, and this morning the trees were coated in a thin layer of ice, with liquid water flowing underneath, over the bark. As the day warmed above freezing, the ice started falling continuously from the trees, coating the ground in a layer of hail-like "precipitation". At one point, I estimate that the ice was falling at the rate of 700 pieces per tree per minute, peaking when the wind gusted. We've also had about three to four days of thunderstorms (including this morning) in the last five days!


Nahhh my ice rate equation says it was falling a rate of 711 pieces per tree per minute ;)
Member Since: August 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8016
Quoting AstroHurricane001:
We did have blocks of ice falling from the sky the size of large ice cubes today, but not in the way that you might expect. Rain turned to freezing rain last evening along with some ice pellets and snow, and this morning the trees were coated in a thin layer of ice, with liquid water flowing underneath, over the bark. As the day warmed above freezing, the ice started falling continuously from the trees, coating the ground in a layer of hail-like "precipitation". At one point, I estimate that the ice was falling at the rate of 700 pieces per tree per minute, peaking when the wind gusted. We've also had about three to four days of thunderstorms (including this morning) in the last five days!


had the same thing here maybe not as intense as north of the city but from 8am till about 10 am ice was falling off of everything i thing we had about four hrs of freezing rain overnight most was light then as the storm moved out it warmed up i know strange huh normally as a storm moves out it gets colder
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Quoting BahaHurican:
Ah... but is your 3-bedroom house portable, and does it match your diamond earrings and choker?


Nope The house would be concrete brick with a slate roof LOL ... Houses are very cheap since the Economy crashed in 2008 ...

Understandable about your cousins It will take time .
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
We did have blocks of ice falling from the sky the size of large ice cubes today, but not in the way that you might expect. Rain turned to freezing rain last evening along with some ice pellets and snow, and this morning the trees were coated in a thin layer of ice, with liquid water flowing underneath, over the bark. As the day warmed above freezing, the ice started falling continuously from the trees, coating the ground in a layer of hail-like "precipitation". At one point, I estimate that the ice was falling at the rate of 700 pieces per tree per minute, peaking when the wind gusted. We've also had about three to four days of thunderstorms (including this morning) in the last five days!
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Quoting VR46L:


Totally agree with ya !! Btw how are you coping with your family tradegy . I was sorry when I read about it .
Still hard to get used to. My cousins whose mom was killed are still stunned.
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Awesome view!



Exact same spot as in my avatar!

Be back later
Member Since: July 18, 2010 Posts: 50 Comments: 1909
Quoting BahaHurican:
Or paid the salary of 11 people who make 25,000 a year... That is a total waste... lol... and I bet it doesn't take much better pictures than SFLWxman's...


Totally agree with ya !! Btw how are you coping with your family tradegy . I was sorry when I read about it .
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
Quoting VR46L:


Or have no value for money and have too much cash and no sense ... I could have a brand new 3 bedroom house built for that !!
Ah... but is your 3-bedroom house portable, and does it match your diamond earrings and choker?
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Quoting VR46L:


Or have no value for money and have too much cash and no sense ... I could have a brand new 3 bedroom house built for that !!
Or paid the salary of 11 people who make 25,000 a year... That is a total waste... lol... and I bet it doesn't take much better pictures than SFLWxman's...
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Quoting BaltimoreBrian:
Grilled asparagus was tasty BahaHurican :)
Told ya... lol... wish I could be getting some this weekend... unfortunately have Other Commitments. And the weather is so great for grilling right now...
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Quoting BahaHurican:
I can't afford to lose an expensive phone.... I also keep all my chip data backed up on my computer hard drive... wonder why... lol...

I heard recently that $275,000 cell phones with diamonds on them have been selling like hotcakes.... guess the buyers never lose phones... lol


Or have no value for money and have too much cash and no sense ... I could have a brand new 3 bedroom house built for that !!
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
All warnings over the past week:

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32822
Quoting VR46L:


Dont be telling me that, 3 since Nov ... I was considering a blackberry but couldn't justify the cost as I lost my previous one last week . Of course I would love an Iphone But they cost €800 Which is just too much for someone who loses phones !LOL
I can't afford to lose an expensive phone.... I also keep all my chip data backed up on my computer hard drive... wonder why... lol...

I heard recently that $275,000 cell phones with diamonds on them have been selling like hotcakes.... guess the buyers never lose phones... lol
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Quoting CaribBoy:
Well.... there is another nice spin near the Lesser Antilles and it has sustained convection this time! But I would really prefer to see it 3 degrees south lol... we still need rain in the NE Carib :-)



Link
This looks like it may be headed our way... an easterly perturbation in the Bahamas by 15/4 !
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Quoting BahaHurican:
LOL... I know the feeling... bought my first one back in November... now on my third phone since then... lol

I have a very cheap Blu model which despite its cheapness imo also takes amazing photos compared to my previous phones... I have been trying to find out for a while now if Wunderground has a wx app for Android; I've only seen something for I-phone mentioned on the site.



Dont be telling me that, 3 since Nov ... I was considering a blackberry but couldn't justify the cost as I lost my previous one last week . Of course I would love an Iphone But they cost €800 Which is just too much for someone who loses phones !LOL
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
Quoting PedleyCA:
Thanks for another blog Doctor, You are very busy lately. You trying to catch up.
blog excerise for the 21 to 24 named season coming up
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Another NOAA report was issued today


Arctic nearly free of summer sea ice during first half
of 21st century
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8884
Quoting VR46L:


I got a HTC yesterday ... was ready to throw it against a wall couldnt open the darn thing, until I rang Customer service ... thankfully its not one of those outsourced to India call centres instead it was local customer service !!

Now trying to get used to it ... my first android phone
LOL... I know the feeling... bought my first one back in November... now on my third phone since then... lol

I have a very cheap Blu model which despite its cheapness imo also takes amazing photos compared to my previous phones... I have been trying to find out for a while now if Wunderground has a wx app for Android; I've only seen something for I-phone mentioned on the site.

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Quoting weathermanwannabe:
My ridging theory as to the Gulf in drought years just went out the window; just answered my question as to the 1934 and 1936 hurricane seasons (from Wiki). Actually, several Gulf strikes in both these years but no hurricanes/storms traversing the Caribbean in the 36 season.

1934

The 1934 Atlantic hurricane season ran through the summer and the first half of fall in 1934. The 1934 season was fairly quiet. However, it was a continuation of deadly seasons that had been going on since 1928.

A Category 2 June hurricane, the 1934 Central America Hurricane, carved an erratic path across Central America and the Gulf of Mexico, causing catastrophic flooding in Central America that killed 1,000-3,000 people.

Elsewhere, a tropical storm formed and existed entirely during the month of May, striking Florida and South Carolina and causing $155,000 in damage. A Category 1 hurricane passed over north Florida as a tropical storm and made landfall in central Texas, causing 11 casualties and $1–2 million in damage. Another Category 1 grazed Galveston. The extratropical remnant of a hurricane moved up the US East Coast, bringing hurricane force winds.


1936

The 1936 Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June 12, 1936, and lasted until December 6, 1936. These dates conventionally delimit the period of each year when most tropical cyclones form in the Atlantic basin.

The 1936 season was fairly active, with 20 tropical cyclones including 3 tropical depressions. Seven storms became hurricanes, of which one became a major hurricane. In addition, the season was unusual in the fact that no storms moved across large portions of the Caribbean Sea.[1] Seven storms, including three hurricanes, struck the United States. The season also set many records for the earliest date for a numbered storm, though all were surpassed by the extreme activity of the 2005 season.


Back to lurking for me today................:)
What I'd like to see is the mean position of the Dust Bowl Era version of the "Death High". I am thinking some of that charting may have been posted in the monthly AMO journals which are generally available online...
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Severe thunderstorm heading for Goodland, KS:

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 84 Comments: 8035
Quoting BahaHurican:
Even the doc is getting in shape for the season... lol ...
Indeed...And it seems he will need to be in shape.
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Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2000
Grilled asparagus was tasty BahaHurican :)
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8884
That Blob in the Gulf is sure expanding ... I can Imagine the cheers ! As its going to an area that needs it .

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Quoting hydrus:
Blogapalooza...:)
Even the doc is getting in shape for the season... lol ...
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Afternoon everybody...
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Quoting Wiiilbur:
I'm kind of surprised that no one has mentioned the government report about last year's drought and it's (non)relationship to Global Warming. I'm willing to bet your next paycheck that if the report had stated that the drought was GW-related, that tornadoes would have been set aside and it would have been the topic of the doc's blog today.
The doc talks [has talked] about the drought situation on a regular basis.

Oh.... new blog....
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Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
Quoting yonzabam:


True, but how much of a trend does the NOAA need before it says the drought is causd by global warming?

They've ignored the research which ascribes changes in the jet stream to reduced temperature contrast between polar and temperate latitude air masses, due to increased meling of Arctic snowfields and sea ice.

I think they're going to be embarrassed by this report in years to come.


I'm leaning in the dierction of agreeing with you. All the report really said was "We didn't find a known cause for this "flash drought". They really didn't address the ongoing drought in TX and OK from 2011, and could not link the two.
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FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
604 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

FLC011-099-122230-
/O.CON.KMFL.FA.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-130412T2230Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
BROWARD FL-PALM BEACH FL-
604 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...THE URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT FOR
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL PALM BEACH AND NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTIES...

AT 602 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT THE SHOWERS HAVE
DISSIPATED OVER AND NEAR THE FLOOD ADVISORY AREA. HOWEVER...DOPPLER
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT 2.5 TO 3 INCHES HAVE FALLEN OVER THIS AREA FROM
THE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS RAINFALL WILL TAKE SOMETIME
TO DRAIN AWAY. THEREFORE...THE URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN
EFFECT FOR THE PARKLAND AND CORAL SPRINGS AREAS OF NORTHEAST BROWARD
COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE
SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN OR OTHER AREAS IS
OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. RIVER OR STREAM FLOWS MAY ALSO BE ELEVATED.

TO REPORT FLOODING...HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY RELAY
YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

LAT...LON 2631 8020 2626 8022 2626 8031 2636 8032
2636 8020

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
SOUTH FLORIDA PAY ATTENTION!!!!!!!!!!............SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
525 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

FLZ067-068-168-122215-
COASTAL PALM BEACH COUNTY FL INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL METRO PALM
BEACH COUNTY FL
525 PM EDT FRI APR 12 2013

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN PALM
BEACH COUNTY...FOR FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM
45 TO 55 MPH...UP TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...

THE DEVELOPMENT OF FUNNEL CLOUDS...

* UNTIL 615 PM EDT

* AT 521 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORTH COUNTY AIRPORT
EXTENDING NORTHEAST TO NEAR HOBE SOUND MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE STORMS WILL AFFECT...
CALOOSA...
JUPITER FARMS...
PHILO FARMS...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH...UP
TO NICKEL-SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF
THESE ARE POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED
KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE
WINDS CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND
UNSECURED SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

FUNNEL CLOUDS OCCASIONALLY TOUCH DOWN AND PRODUCE TORNADOES. MOVE
INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF SHOULD REMAIN ON THE ALERT FOR ADDITIONAL
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

LAT...LON 2685 8033 2695 8043 2697 8039 2696 8015
2698 8014 2698 8008 2691 8006
TIME...MOT...LOC 2124Z 249DEG 11KT 2691 8034

$$

BAXTER
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
That what i have and i love it!:) I got it 2 days ago
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
That what i have and i love it!:) I got it 2 days ago
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
That what i have and i love it!:) I got it 2 days ago
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
That what i have and i love it!:) I got it 2 days ago


Thanks!
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very windy here, just a sprinkle of rain earlier........
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
Quoting BaltimoreBrian:


Will Xerxes conquer or fall flat?
We will know in a few days....And it will no doubt be interesting...There is a chance that moisture levels will not be that high due to a system to the south.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


where are you driving this at?


Westward, but the GFS kills the associated moisture...
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Quoting hydrus:
The latest EURO run has more winter weather....and severe...


Will Xerxes conquer or fall flat?
Member Since: August 9, 2011 Posts: 26 Comments: 8884

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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