One-inch hail at 18°F in NE; record snows in SD

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:54 PM GMT on April 10, 2013

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It's crazy spring weather at its finest in the Midwest U.S., where a powerful April storm system is bringing heavy snow, large hail, strong winds, freezing rain, heavy rain, and a remarkable temperature contrast on either side of its cold front. Abilene, Texas reached 93° Tuesday between 4 - 5 pm, and by 12:30 a.m Wednesday, it was snowing and 37°. Texas had an extreme temperature range state-wide on Tuesday of at least 86°: from 108° in Laredo, to 22° in Dalhart. A damaging hail storm moved though the west side of Omaha, Nebraska on Tuesday night, bringing hail up to 2" inches in diameter with damage to cars, skylights, roofs and windshields, according to the Omaha World-Herald. The Grand Island, NE airport had hail up to nickel size while the temperature was 27°F, and one location nearby had 1" sized hail with a surface temperature of just 18°F. It is very rare to see large hail with surface temperatures this cold; the unusual weather was made possible by elevated thunderstorms along a front aloft, above a shallow surface-based cold layer. Wunderground weather historian Christopher C. Burt has a post, Incredible Temperature Gradient in Southern/Central Plains, discussing the remarkable contrast between the weather on either side of the cold front. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center is predicting a "Slight" chance of severe weather today through Friday along the storm's cold front, as it sweeps eastwards towards the East Coast.

A remarkable 20" of snow piled up in Rapid City, SD on Tuesday--the city's snowiest day of all-time. The previous one-day record was 18", set on April 22, 2001. The snow continues to fall in the city, with a storm-total accumulation of 25" as of 8 am CDT. The storm has knocked out power to thousands in the Sioux Fall, SD area, and I-90 is closed between Rapid City and Mitchell this morning. However, the Rapid City area is under the highest level of drought, exceptional, so the record snow storm is not entirely unwelcome. Widespread areas of one to two inches of precipitation have fallen over some of the hardest-hit drought areas of South Dakota, Oklahoma, and Nebraska this week, making the week one of the biggest for Midwest drought reduction experienced in the past year.

I'll have a new post late this morning on the latest hurricane season forecasts.

Jeff Masters

Ice Storm (chisox)
Unhappy grass
Ice Storm
Hail (hodgesmark)
Rain earlier in the day, then snow and large hail similar to a thunderstorm. Larger stones are a little over 1 inch.
Hail

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116. aislinnpaps
10:21 AM GMT on April 11, 2013
Good morning, everyone. Evening, Aussie. A much cooler morning this morning, 46 degrees, it was 71 yesterday at this time. And along with that drop some good storms. We've had almost an inch and a half of rain since midnight so far. No recess for the kids today.

Breakfast's on the sideboard: Belgium waffles, fruit in syrup, whipped cream, oatmeal with brown sugar, yogurt and fresh orange juice. Enjoy.
Member Since: August 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3166
115. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
4:53 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
red rainfall warnings

yellow winter storm watch

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55437
114. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
4:35 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Winter storm watch for
City of Toronto continued

Significant freezing rain and ice pellets likely Thursday into Friday.

A series of low pressure systems will give periods of rain to many regions into tonight. On Thursday, a stronger low will approach from the southwest and combine with a colder airmass from the north. As a result, rain is expected to change to freezing rain and ice pellets late tonight or Thursday morning. Periods of freezing rain and ice pellets are expected to persist Thursday night into Friday and be heavy at times. Areas from Georgian Bay through Eastern Ontario will see this wintery mix arrive Thursday night, thus the watch has been extended to include these regions.

Poor travel conditions are expected over the duration of this event. In particular, the Thursday morning commute may be challenging with icy conditions on untreated roads for areas from the Greater Toronto area westwards to Lake Huron. And it may be even more problematic for the evening rush hour. Of greater concern is the risk of widepsread power outages due to downed tree limbs and power lines due to significant ice accumulation combined with northeast winds gusting to 60 km/h. There is a risk that this could be a major ice storm for an appreciable swath of Southern Ontario. Mixed precipitation is expected to persist into Friday (especially for Eastern Ontario) followed by a gradual improvement.

There is still some uncertainty as to the track of the storm and the extent of the cold air Thursday. This will have an impact on whether the regions in the winter storm watch receive predominantly ice pellets or freezing rain. Environment Canada will monitor this situation closely and will issue warnings as needed as the evolution of the storm becomes more certain.


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 176 Comments: 55437
113. PedleyCA
4:18 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting AussieStorm:


What direction is your camera facing?
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6080
112. kwgirl
4:17 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting RitaEvac:
If it aint that bad and no water can get in the house, I'd wait till the fall after hurricane season before putting down money on a new roof.
Good afternoon all. I hate to say this Rita, but you just put the mouth on yourself. You just tempted the Fates. I had a friend who had bought a home which needed the roof replaced. It was June. He asked my opinion. I said wait until after hurricane season. Sure enough, he was claiming on his windstorm to replace his damaged roof. But I appreciate your thinking it through. But doesn't you wind coverage have a higher deductible for windstorm than hail? And why do you think that you will need to replace the roof when a hurricane strikes, if it has been installed properly?
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111. AussieStorm
4:12 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
TC Victoria







TC Imelda







Goodnight all
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
110. evilpenguinshan
4:06 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
you were warned =p

"I'll have a new post late this morning on the latest hurricane season forecasts.

Jeff Masters"


Quoting 1900hurricane:

Well that was brief.
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109. 1900hurricane
4:04 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting WunderAlertBot:
JeffMasters has created a new entry.

Well that was brief.
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11690
108. ILwthrfan
4:02 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting dabirds:
ILwthr - SJ-R site must be slow, just went back & shows 55 now.

Thought that bend might not be a good thing.

Nice little storm moving up IL River valley at moment.

We're a bit brighter now, humidity and dew pt up, pressure around 29.8". Probably not a good combination for later.




I may take the afternoon off and go chase :D

The Visible loop as me concerned as it looks to be clearly rather efficiently out ahead of the front. Temps should have no problem rising into mid to upper 70's, maybe a few 80's in all areas south of I-70 today.
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1537
107. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
4:02 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
106. evilpenguinshan
4:01 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
eh...maybe. but they aren't calling for 18 hurricanes, they're calling for 18 named storms. even with shipping traffic, the ocean is a vast place, and it's not hard to miss a small/weak storm like a Helene, Kirk, Patty, Oscar, or Tony from last year. if you figure the 1952 year was 6 hurricanes, 3 majors (7 total named storms), i'd guess there were at least 14 qualifying storms, if not more. since the satellite era, with the exception of very low activity years, it seems like there are usually twice as many named storms as full on hurricanes in a given year - my assumption would be that you can extrapolate that back into pre-satellite years, but I'm sure someone out there can correct me and provide counter examples :)

Quoting hydrus:
Even if you double the number of storms listed you have 14, and they are calling for 18. The way they extrapolate data when determining analog years is complex, but even if some storms were missed ( and it is not likely at many were undetected due to high shipping traffic in those days ) That whatever number of storms occurred in 1952 was considerably less than 18..
Member Since: March 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 507
105. TropicalAnalystwx13
3:59 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting hydrus:
Even if you double the number of storms listed you have 14, and they are calling for 18. The way they extrapolate data when determining analog years is complex, but even if some storms were missed ( and it is not likely at many were undetected due to high shipping traffic in those days ) That whatever number of storms occurred in 1952 was considerably less than 18..

Dont forget we're in the active era.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32679
104. aquak9
3:57 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting AGWcreationists:
Here's funny:



Dude- I get it. I really, really get it. But ya still got put down the LOLCats.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 175 Comments: 26462
103. muddertracker
3:56 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting AussieStorm:

You just made JFV have an accident in his pants.


"...holy s**t dude..."

Link

warning: language (don't watch if you are easily offended)
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 2351
102. nrtiwlnvragn
3:55 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting hydrus:
I find it interesting that they use 52 as an analog season. There were not that many storms that year, but are predicting 18.


The weighing of the analog scheme this year must be low:

Statistical Scheme = 15.6
Analog Scheme = 10.4
Adjusted Final = 18


"Table 8 shows our final adjusted early April forecast for the 2013 season which is
a combination of our statistical scheme, our analog scheme and qualitative adjustments
for other factors not explicitly contained in any of these schemes."

Must be that qualitative adjustment :)
Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11298
101. AGWcreationists
3:54 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting aquak9:


no, we're not allowed to funny here anymore. No humor allowed.
Here's funny:

Member Since: November 25, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 492
100. FunnelVortex
3:53 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
I think we may see an isolated storm or two in the southern Alabma/Missisipi panhandle region this afternoon.

Member Since: October 20, 2012 Posts: 7 Comments: 2882
99. AussieStorm
3:50 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting stormchaser19:
CSU outlook
As an example we find that the probability of Florida being hit by a major (Cat 3-
4-5) hurricane this year is 34% which is well above the climatology average of 21%


Well, people of Florida have a high chance this year
seems to be

You just made JFV have an accident in his pants.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15962
98. FunnelVortex
3:47 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Nothing here yet...

Member Since: October 20, 2012 Posts: 7 Comments: 2882
97. RitaEvac
3:46 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
If it aint that bad and no water can get in the house, I'd wait till the fall after hurricane season before putting down money on a new roof.
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 9672
96. RitaEvac
3:43 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Some folks down here are debating whether or not to get their roofs replaced after the hail last week, now or in October. If you replace the roof and spend say $3,000-4,000 on a deductible, then a hurricane comes in August-September then now you have to spend another $3,000-4,000 deductible to replace it again.
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 9672
95. dabirds
3:43 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
ILwthr - SJ-R site must be slow, just went back & shows 55 now.

Thought that bend might not be a good thing.

Nice little storm moving up IL River valley at moment.

We're a bit brighter now, humidity and dew pt up, pressure around 29.8". Probably not a good combination for later.
Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 783
94. stormchaser19
3:39 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
CSU outlook
As an example we find that the probability of Florida being hit by a major (Cat 3-
4-5) hurricane this year is 34% which is well above the climatological average of 21%


Well, people of florida have a high chance this year seems to be
Member Since: June 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2169
93. hydrus
3:35 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting evilpenguinshan:
Well they do note that they are assuming there will be some weak/short-lived storms that could have been missed in the pre-satellite era...i mean, those tracks show 7 storms, all hurricanes, 4 of which are majors (if I'm reading the colors right). so I'd say that's not so far off from the numbers they're calling for.

Even if you double the number of storms listed you have 14, and they are calling for 18. The way they extrapolate data when determining analog years is complex, but even if some storms were missed ( and it is not likely at many were undetected due to high shipping traffic in those days ) That whatever number of storms occurred in 1952 was considerably less than 18..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22223
92. maxcrc
3:34 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Rapid City had 22 inches of snow in 24 hours between the 17th and the 18th April 1970.
Member Since: February 9, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 185
91. stoormfury
3:28 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
conditions in the MDR are continuing to get better and I expect these numbers to increase in th June forecast. it looks like it is going to be a very active season.
Member Since: August 22, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 2722
90. 1900hurricane
3:24 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Starting to get some elevated convection in North Texas again, although surface temps are generally warm enough to avoid icing issues. Still though, some areas in the NW portion of the rain areas could be of the frozen variety.









Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11690
89. hydrus
3:23 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting Thrawst:
Gonna be an active hurricane season I believe.
Too active. This could turn out bad for a lot of folks.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22223
88. evilpenguinshan
3:22 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Well they do note that they are assuming there will be some weak/short-lived storms that could have been missed in the pre-satellite era...i mean, those tracks show 7 storms, all hurricanes, 4 of which are majors (if I'm reading the colors right). so I'd say that's not so far off from the numbers they're calling for.

Quoting hydrus:
I find it interesting that they use 52 as an analog season. There were not that many storms that year, but are predicting 18.
Member Since: March 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 507
87. FunnelVortex
3:21 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting hydrus:
That would be scary in a lot of ways.


I'm still looking forward to it.

I think we might get our first storm in early June or late May.
Member Since: October 20, 2012 Posts: 7 Comments: 2882
86. ILwthrfan
3:20 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting dabirds:
Top of WU page tells me Spfld, IL only mid 50s? Their paper's site says 69, like the 70 for StL & me, should be in same (sticky/soupy) airmass as us. Guess someones PWS on the fritz.

Looking at a couple of maps, sure is a bend to the E in the front line just above me, does this increase/decrease our severe wthr chances?


No observation is correct. There has been a strong North wind this morning as outflow boundary pushed through. Flow from the south should overtake that boundary and push it back to the North today as low pressure pushes Northeast.



Lincoln NWS
.AVIATION...
ISSUED 659 AM CDT WED APR 10 2013

12Z TAF FORECAST FOR THE CENTRAL ILLINOIS WILL PROVE TO BE RATHER
COMPLICATED. A BROKEN BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
BEGINNING TO PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA...AND WOULD ONLY RESULT IN
A BRIEF REDUCTION BELOW VFR AS THEY MOVE THROUGH. HOWEVER...AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM A LARGER AREA OF CONVECTION OVER NORTHERN
ILLINOIS HAS RESULTED IN TEMPORARILY STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS IN ITS
WAKE...AS WELL AS IFR CIGS. SO FAR THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS ONLY
IMPACTED KPIA...BUT KBMI AND KSPI APPEAR LIKELY TO BE IMPACTED
SHORTLY. ONCE THE BROKEN BAND OF SHOWERS/STORMS MOVES THROUGH MUCH
OF THE DAY SHOULD BE DRY WITH VFR/MVFR CIGS. SHOWER/STORMS WILL
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AND THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD EVENTUALLY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD IFR
CONDITIONS. WIND DIRECTION MAY BE RATHER VARIABLE TODAY DUE TO THE
CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOWS. OUTSIDE OF STORMS...SOUTHERLY
FLOW AT KSPI/KDEC/KCMI AND EASTERLY FLOW AT KPIA/KBMI WILL TREND
SOUTHWESTERLY LATE AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA.


Severe weather will be highly dependent upon afternoon destabilization as always. There is a very strong Northward component to the storm vectors right now that are pushing across Missouri. Main low pressure is still hanging back in Southwest Missouri, the weaker low near Quincy is what has help push the boundary to the east and south a bit, but the low to it's southwest should become the dominate force and its pushing Northeast, so it should drag that boundary to the north as it does so.I would only expect the clearing to the south and southwest of you to overtake us as the day progresses.

Also that boundary could serve as a focus for a higher probability of tornadic development due increased helicities near the boundary.

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85. hydrus
3:20 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting bappit:

If they give several analog years, it is just evidence that the analogs don't mean that much. I'll bet that if you look closely, there are significant differences among all those analogs.
I looked closely and there are significant differences...:)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22223
84. hydrus
3:18 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting FunnelVortex:
I think we might make it through the list this hurricane season.
That would be scary in a lot of ways.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22223
83. bappit
3:17 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting hydrus:
I find it interesting that they use 52 as an analog season. There were not that many storms that year, but are predicting 18.

If they give several analog years, it is just evidence that the analogs don't mean that much. I'll bet that if you look closely, there are significant differences among all those analogs.
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 6139
82. hydrus
3:16 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting LargoFl:
Thurs Evening might get Rough mid south states......
I saw that..I do not like the way it looks. Wind damage is common here on the plateau, especially with a squall line. There are still signs of past storms all around me.
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81. LargoFl
3:16 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Saturday florida needs to be alert when this gets here..
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80. LargoFl
3:14 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41550
79. hydrus
3:14 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Three of Levi's four analogue years for this upcoming season were listed in CSU's report: 1952, 1966, and 1996.

He used 2005 as an analogue, CSU used 2004.

Good job.
I find it interesting that they use 52 as an analog season. There were not that many storms that year, but are predicting 18.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22223
78. 1900hurricane
3:12 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting bappit:
The cold front must be slowing down. To think people were mentioning a Pacific front and dry line a couple of days ago. The cold air out ran everything.


It cleared College Station about 45 minutes ago. Temps have dropped 19*F between now and then. I was actually out sampling the front north of here not long before that and the temp gradient is still pretty insane. Big Blue's (my car) thermometer shot down about 8*F in a matter of seconds and 15*F in two minutes of driving. Crossing back to the warm side was particularly interesting, with my windows completely fogging up as soon as I crossed the boundary, blinding me.
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77. LargoFl
3:12 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Thurs Evening might get Rough mid south states......
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76. FunnelVortex
3:11 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
I think we might make it through the list this hurricane season.
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75. LargoFl
3:10 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Nice to see the afternoon sea breezes return.......
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74. bappit
3:09 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
@65 I doubt it is the record but it is up there. From Chris Burt's blog:

"In Oklahoma, the front was just passing through the western portion of the state and, as of 1 p.m. CST, accompanied by a 50°F (28°C) drop of temperature over just an hour or two. It was 34°F (1°C) in Gage while just 100 miles to the southeast in Altus it was 82°F (28°C)."
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 6139
73. RitaEvac
3:09 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting muddertracker:


It's 45 in Austin right now. Muey Frio for April 10th.


75-78 in SE TX
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 2 Comments: 9672
72. FtMyersgal
3:08 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
532 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-102330 -
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
532 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
INCREASING MOISTURE COMBINED WITH ADEQUATE INSTABILITY AND DAYTIME
HEATING WILL ALLOW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE CIRCULATIONS TODAY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE FROM
HIGHLANDS COUNTY SOUTHWEST TO THE FORT MYERS AREA. STORMS THAT DEVELOP
TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY
WINDS...AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES AS THE STORMS MOVE TO THE
NORTHWEST AND NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. IF THUNDER IS HEARD OR LIGHTNING
IS OBSERVED...MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AMPLE MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE ON
FRIDAY WILL KEEP CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE FORECAST INTO
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS THE FRONT STALLS OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PENINSULA. LOWER RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

MCMICHAEL



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71. LargoFl
3:08 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
NWS Tampa Bay ‏@NWSTampaBay 5h
A slow increase in moisture will lead to isolated thunderstorms along the sea breeze this afternoon, mainly south of the bay area. #flwx
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41550
70. 1900hurricane
3:07 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting louisianaboy444:


From -5 C to 0 C or just below the freezing mark Ice is still very sticky and it makes it easy to Aggregate ice crystals together in the cloud along with super-cooled water to form larger hail

Correct, but that was supposed to be a bad joke. I usually keep my lacking sense of humor off Weather Underground, but things are very different in real life. :P
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11690
69. Thrawst
3:06 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Gonna be an active hurricane season I believe.
Member Since: July 18, 2010 Posts: 50 Comments: 1909
68. muddertracker
3:06 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Quoting FatPenguin:
Wow! on the temperature variance in Texas.

56 degree swing in Abilene in less than 12 hrs. That has to be close to a record without Chinook winds as a driving factor?


It's 45 in Austin right now. Muey Frio for April 10th.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 2351
67. LargoFl
3:05 PM GMT on April 10, 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THIS
EVENING AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL
BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THERE
IS A SECONDARY FOR AN ISOLATED SHORT- LIVED TORNADO. THE BEST
TIMING AND AREA FOR THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BE IN THE EVENING
HOURS AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EAST OF A UNION CITY
TENNESSEE TO COFFEEVILLE MISSISSIPPI LINE. SMALL HAIL AND
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

$$

JAB
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41550
66. LargoFl
3:03 PM GMT on April 10, 2013
Pcola and Jedkins..Stay Alert thursday.............
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41550

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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