Category 1 Rusty hits Australia; Chicago gets its biggest snow of the winter

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:53 PM GMT on February 27, 2013

Share this Blog
30
+

Tropical Cyclone Rusty rumbled ashore over the coast of northwest Australia near 06 UTC (1 am EST) on Wednesday near the small town of Pardoo, about 110 km east of the largest city in the region, Port Hedland. Rusty peaked at Category 2 strength with 110 mph winds about 12 hours before landfall, but weakened to a Category 1 storm with 90 mph winds as it approached the coast, due to interaction with land. Sustained winds as high as 55 mph, gusting to 74 mph, were observed observed at the Port Hedland airport as Rusty made its approach. Rusty has dumped over 7" of rain on the coast, and major flooding is expected on area rivers. No casualties and only minor damage have been reported thus far, and I expect total damage from the storm will be less than $100 million. Rusty is the strongest tropical cyclone to affect Australia so far in the 2012 - 2013 tropical cyclone season.


Figure 1. Tropical Cyclone Rusty at 03:40 UTC on February 27, 2013 as seen by NASA's Terra satellite. At the time, Rusty was two hours from making landfall on the northwest Australian coast near Pardoo as a Category 1 storm with sustained 90 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.


Figure 2. Radar image of Rusty showing the large cloud-free eye bumping up against the coast of Australia near Pardoo at 05:40 UTC (12:40 am EST) on Wednesday, February 27. image credit: Bureau of Meteorology.

Significant snowstorm continues over Midwest U.S.
Meanwhile, back in the U.S., the second major winter storm in a week continues to blanket the Midwest with significant snows. The snowstorm, dubbed "Rocky", gave Chicago 5.4" of snow, its heaviest snowfall of what has been a quiet winter. According to the latest NOAA Storm Summary, the heaviest snow in the Midwest from Rocky fell in the Texas Panhandle, where 21" was measured in Follett. While the precipitation from the two major winter storms during the past week will not come anywhere close to busting the Midwest drought, the moisture they dropped is probably worth billions to agriculture.


Figure 3. Two-day snowfall amounts from Winter Storm Rocky.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 72 - 22

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7Blog Index

It looks like the dry weather that Puerto Rico has been thru in the past few weeks will end by next Monday as a cold front arrives bringing scattered showers.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
239 PM AST WED FEB 27 2013

.SYNOPSIS...A FAIR WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL
ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH AT
LEAST THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...AS MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
DOMINATES THE LOCAL AREA. SURFACE FRONT WILL REACH THE LOCAL
ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK...BRINGING A BETTER CHANCE OF
SHOWER ACTIVITY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE
THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH AT LEAST THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...THEN
BREAK DOWN AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC LATE SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A FAIR AND STABLE
WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT
LEAST SUNDAY. HOWEVER...UNDER THE PREVAILING EAST TO EAST
SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW...STILL EXPECT A FEW ISOLATED PASSING SHOWERS
ACROSS THE EASTERN COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS DURING THE
MORNING HOURS...FOLLOWED BY AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWER OR TWO
WHICH WILL BE MAINLY FOCUSED ACROSS WEST AND NORTHWEST PUERTO
RICO EACH DAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO SOUTH SOUTHEAST ON
SUNDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
MEANDERS EASTWARD. A WETTER PATTERN IS STILL EXPECTED EARLY
NEXT WORK WEEK...AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC.
THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH WILL SUPPORT A SURFACE FRONT THAT WILL
REACH THE MONA PASSAGE MONDAY AND MOVE VERY SLOWLY SOUTHWEST
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY OF NEXT
WEEK...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT ALL LOCAL TAF
SITES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS FOR THE NEXT 6 HRS WILL REMAIN
FROM EAST SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 KTS ACROSS TAF SITES IN PR AND 10
TO 15 KTS FOR TIST...TISX...AND TKPK.

&&

.MARINE...TRANQUIL MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH SEAS UP TO 6 FEET AND A MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADE
WIND FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 72 85 72 83 / 0 0 0 10
STT 72 83 72 84 / 0 0 10 10
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RitaEvac:


I'm not buying anything from them, just reading what they say
Thanks... wish more people would pay attention to what is being sold and thrown down our throats!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JustPlantIt:
Wake up Rita... They are selling you there line of crap!


I'm not buying anything from them, just reading what they say
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RitaEvac:
Why this economy WILL NOT LAST, and weather changes all play a role

This thing is what woke me up and realized exactly where we're going

http://moneymappress.com/pro/HPyramid0712MMRClick .php?code=EPYRN718&n=PYRAMIDMMR49EADMMP
Wake up Rita... They are selling you there line of crap!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Remember "The Three Es"



Knock one leg out from the bottom for example such as weather changing the environment and the economy at top topples to the ground. Mother Nature is working on that right now
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting pottery:
US $150,000,000 for Parks and Reserves. (150 million)
US $ 8,000,000,000,000 for Oil Subsidies. (8 Billion)
Ass backwards.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Why this economy WILL NOT LAST, and weather changes all play a role

This thing is what woke me up and realized exactly where we're going

http://moneymappress.com/pro/HPyramid0712MMRClick .php?code=EPYRN718&n=PYRAMIDMMR49EADMMP
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PTXer:
Very interesting how the "center of circulation" on this midwest storm keeps changing. This morning it was over Ohio, now its back over Wisconsin...
Believe there are three separate circulations associated w/ this storm, OH would be middle one, WI would be western one.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RitaEvac:


This is a nice feature, notice the outflow on the east side arcing clockwise from the Upper level High creating the fanning affect




LOL! Ya gotta love it! Excellent post, RE!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RitaEvac:
Global Surveys Show Environment Ranks Low Among Public Concerns

Feb. 25, 2013 — A newly released international study reveals that the issue of climate change is not a priority for people in the United States and around the world.

The surveys showed that when asked to rank priority worries, people were five times more likely to point to the economy over the environment. Additionally, when asked about climate change, people identified the issue as more as a national problem than a personal concern.



Shows how stupid the American society really is, there won't be an economy when the rains don't fall, the water doesn't flow, the food supply is cut off, I can go on and on.


The bottom line here is that the human species is temporary on this planet, just like all the others. Whether that happens sooner or later remains to be seen.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
US $150,000,000 for Parks and Reserves. (150 million)
US $ 8,000,000,000,000 for Oil Subsidies. (8 Billion)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JustPlantIt:
AND the bees that pollinate.


Save the Bee's
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Riverside, California (Airport)
Updated: 10:53 AM PST on February 27, 2013
Clear
69 °F
Clear
Humidity: 10%
Dew Point: 9 °F
Wind: 13 mph from the NNE
Wind Gust: 25 mph
Pressure: 30.19 in (Falling)
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 6 out of 16
Pollen: 9.40 out of 12
Pollen Forecast new!
Clouds:
Clear -
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 817 ft

66.4 here right now. Forecast 72, should make it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JustPlantIt:
And really they WANT you to think it is 'All' over the world, when in fact it is right here in the USA.

True.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JustPlantIt:
AND the bees that pollinate.
And really they WANT you to think it is 'All' over the world, when in fact it is right here in the USA.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Anyone else watching the Inspiration Mars conference? Really exciting stuff. All over social media right now.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RitaEvac:
Global Surveys Show Environment Ranks Low Among Public Concerns

Feb. 25, 2013 — A newly released international study reveals that the issue of climate change is not a priority for people in the United States and around the world.

The surveys showed that when asked to rank priority worries, people were five times more likely to point to the economy over the environment. Additionally, when asked about climate change, people identified the issue as more as a national problem than a personal concern.



Shows how stupid the American society really is, there won't be an economy when the rains don't fall, the water doesn't flow, the food supply is cut off, I can go on and on.
AND the bees that pollinate.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Global Surveys Show Environment Ranks Low Among Public Concerns

Feb. 25, 2013 — A newly released international study reveals that the issue of climate change is not a priority for people in the United States and around the world.

The surveys showed that when asked to rank priority worries, people were five times more likely to point to the economy over the environment. Additionally, when asked about climate change, people identified the issue as more as a national problem than a personal concern.



Shows how stupid the American society really is, there won't be an economy when the rains don't fall, the water doesn't flow, the food supply is cut off, I can go on and on.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
We had some strong winds here...

1,292 customers without power as a result of this in Connecticut...

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting barbamz:
Some news on Science Daily:

Why Have White Storks Stopped Migrating?

Feb. 27, 2013 — A new project to find out why storks are changing their migratory patterns has been launched by the University of East Anglia. In folklore, storks' strong white wings would carry babies to parents around the world. But since the mid 1980s increasing numbers of storks have stopped their annual migration from Northern Europe to Africa for the winter.

Instead, many are living in Spain and Portugal the whole year round -- feeding on 'junk food' from rubbish dumps.

The project will track 15 adult white storks for a year using GPS loggers to investigate why they have changed their migratory behaviour. Researchers will investigate the link between climate change and feeding habits to predict future distribution of the species.

Source and whole article


Global Surveys Show Environment Ranks Low Among Public Concerns

Feb. 25, 2013 — A newly released international study reveals that the issue of climate change is not a priority for people in the United States and around the world.

The surveys showed that when asked to rank priority worries, people were five times more likely to point to the economy over the environment. Additionally, when asked about climate change, people identified the issue as more as a national problem than a personal concern.


Source and whole article


Have a nice evening, folks!
Pole shift
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


May I offer you in a nice cup of coffee? LOL



Good to see you RE. All the rain we were forecast to get this week has been revised to a lot of sunshine for the week. As long as that does not become too persistent it is nicer to see than clouds that do not provide rain.


This is a nice feature, notice the outflow on the east side arcing clockwise from the Upper level High creating the fanning affect


Member Since: Posts: Comments:

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER NEAR HAVANA (US 27).
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:31 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.7 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.2 FEET BY TOMORROW
MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 32.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD DAMAGE WILL OCCUR.

$$
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
weather chat time ppl
Member Since: August 12, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1272
Quoting PTXer:
Very interesting how the "center of circulation" on this midwest storm keeps changing. This morning it was over Ohio, now its back over Wisconsin...

Blame Europe (no, really)!



Rex Blocking over the continent is causing an atmospheric traffic jam behind it. Until that clears out, everything moving west to east across the country will be slow and erratic. Things are also amplifying more than normal due to the aforementioned blocking, which explains the possibility of snow across Texas and Florida this weekend.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I have no links to earthquakes here other than USGS. Just know that all these were shallow and horizontal. Try and look up and I do not find anything other than the very scary FEMA report. And yes... did find an article about BP incident in the Gulf that 'suggested' that it may have been caused by an earthquake. I don't know. I Just tell her to move east.... she tells me that it would be wiser to go north. She is close to a Nuke plant.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Some news on Science Daily:

Why Have White Storks Stopped Migrating?

Feb. 27, 2013 — A new project to find out why storks are changing their migratory patterns has been launched by the University of East Anglia. In folklore, storks' strong white wings would carry babies to parents around the world. But since the mid 1980s increasing numbers of storks have stopped their annual migration from Northern Europe to Africa for the winter.

Instead, many are living in Spain and Portugal the whole year round -- feeding on 'junk food' from rubbish dumps.

The project will track 15 adult white storks for a year using GPS loggers to investigate why they have changed their migratory behaviour. Researchers will investigate the link between climate change and feeding habits to predict future distribution of the species.

Source and whole article


Global Surveys Show Environment Ranks Low Among Public Concerns

Feb. 25, 2013 — A newly released international study reveals that the issue of climate change is not a priority for people in the United States and around the world.

The surveys showed that when asked to rank priority worries, people were five times more likely to point to the economy over the environment. Additionally, when asked about climate change, people identified the issue as more as a national problem than a personal concern.


Source and whole article


Have a nice evening, folks!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MrMixon:


I'm a geologist, but my focus is hydrology not seismology. In any case, I just checked the USGS earthquake hazards page and I'm not sure which earthquakes you're asking about.

This map shows all earthquakes over the past 30 days.



Looks like there have been a few trembles up in Arkansas, Tennessee, and Missouri that are almost certainly associated with the New Madrid fault system, but I believe this level of activity is normal. I also see a couple clusters in Texas that might be associated with oil development, but that's totally a guess.

Do you have a link to any info about quakes you are referring to?

If you want to check out the USGS earthquake hazards program page you can check that out here:

USGS Earthquake Hazards

Thanks... talk with my friend who lives in W. Tennessee. She felt numerous tremors. Yes, we know about fracking here but she said these quakes felt different. I look and try to learn more about that New Madrid Fault. No news in papers about these either. Thanks.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21183
Thank you, Dr. Masters, for all your nearly daily efforts.


Loop, watch the sudden decay of Rusty on land.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Thanks Dr. Masters! :-)
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 23 Comments: 810
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21183
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
Rain in S FL!!


They lowered the pops down here considerably but it looks like the lift is happening now . It's too bad it won't be enough . Something's better than nothing though .
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Very interesting how the "center of circulation" on this midwest storm keeps changing. This morning it was over Ohio, now its back over Wisconsin...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
There was one tornado yesterday in North Carolina.

"The National Weather Service confirmed Wednesday that a tornado touched down near Selma late Tuesday.

The EF0 tornado had wind speeds of 65 to 75 mph and caused damage along a quarter-mile path that was 75 yards wide, officials said.

A barn was destroyed by the tornado, and a couple of other buildings along Old Beulah Road sustained damage, officials said.

No injuries were reported."

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Thanks Doc..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21183
Quoting JustPlantIt:
Wondering if anyone has seismic knowlege on this site. A number of small quakes located close to Mississippi on USGS in the last week.


I'm a geologist, but my focus is hydrology not seismology. In any case, I just checked the USGS earthquake hazards page and I'm not sure which earthquakes you're asking about.

This map shows all earthquakes over the past 30 days.



Looks like there have been a few trembles up in Arkansas, Tennessee, and Missouri that are almost certainly associated with the New Madrid fault system, but I believe this level of activity is normal. I also see a couple clusters in Texas that might be associated with oil development, but that's totally a guess.

Do you have a link to any info about quakes you are referring to?

If you want to check out the USGS earthquake hazards program page you can check that out here:

USGS Earthquake Hazards

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting JustPlantIt:
Wondering if anyone has seismic knowlege on this site. A number of small quakes located close to Mississippi on USGS in the last week.


Had one that size here yesterday. Just a small one. Good stress relief for the fault. It was 12 miles away.

Loma Linda, CA 12 miles 3.6 12:18 PM PST 2013-02-26
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Thrawst:
Thanks Dr. Masters!

On a side note... I just got my first college acceptance. Planning to major in meteorology and also get a pilot's license.

Congrats :)

Thanks for the new post Doc.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Rain in S FL!!
Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4516
Quoting RitaEvac:
Hits as a 1, was a 3, would of been a 4 on US scale, hits as 1. Just give me the friggin wind speed and I'll figure it out myself


May I offer you in a nice cup of coffee? LOL



Good to see you RE. All the rain we were forecast to get this week has been revised to a lot of sunshine for the week. As long as that does not become too persistent it is nicer to see than clouds that do not provide rain.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting FLWaterFront:


If this were January instead of early March (this upcoming weekend) then there would be the possibility of a significant snow event with this setup.

Don't forget that you had sleet just three years ago in Brooksville and a few flurries thrown in for good measure. Further north from there, it was a bit heavier. We had sleet here in West Pasco County for a couple of hours or so one night in 2010. But again, that was in January or early February. It can happen even in March though, if everything comes together just right.


We will see, if it's going to happen anywhere in the peninsula of Florida, Brooksville would be one of the spots!
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 157
Quoting robintampabay:


It will be right around 30 sat night sun morning in Brooksville, i think we might just see some sleet possible flurries


If this were January instead of early March (this upcoming weekend) then there would be the possibility of a significant snow event with this setup.

Don't forget that you had sleet just three years ago in Brooksville and a few flurries thrown in for good measure. Further north from there, it was a bit heavier. We had sleet here in West Pasco County for a couple of hours or so one night in 2010. But again, that was in January or early February. It can happen even in March though, if everything comes together just right.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Seems to be with in the normal parameters.
Quoting JustPlantIt:
Wondering if anyone has seismic knowlege on this site. A number of small quakes located close to Mississippi on USGS in the last week.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Wondering if anyone has seismic knowlege on this site. A number of small quakes located close to Mississippi on USGS in the last week.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Where is everybody?
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 157
Quoting LargoFl:
sat/sunday snow comes close to FL panhandle........
Quoting LargoFl:
sat/sunday snow comes close to FL panhandle........


It will be right around 30 sat night sun morning in Brooksville, i think we might just see some sleet possible flurries
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 157
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hits as a 1, was a 3, would of been a 4 on US scale, hits as 1. Just give me the friggin wind speed and I'll figure it out myself
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 72 - 22

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.