Category 1 Rusty hits Australia; Chicago gets its biggest snow of the winter

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:53 PM GMT on February 27, 2013

Share this Blog
30
+

Tropical Cyclone Rusty rumbled ashore over the coast of northwest Australia near 06 UTC (1 am EST) on Wednesday near the small town of Pardoo, about 110 km east of the largest city in the region, Port Hedland. Rusty peaked at Category 2 strength with 110 mph winds about 12 hours before landfall, but weakened to a Category 1 storm with 90 mph winds as it approached the coast, due to interaction with land. Sustained winds as high as 55 mph, gusting to 74 mph, were observed observed at the Port Hedland airport as Rusty made its approach. Rusty has dumped over 7" of rain on the coast, and major flooding is expected on area rivers. No casualties and only minor damage have been reported thus far, and I expect total damage from the storm will be less than $100 million. Rusty is the strongest tropical cyclone to affect Australia so far in the 2012 - 2013 tropical cyclone season.


Figure 1. Tropical Cyclone Rusty at 03:40 UTC on February 27, 2013 as seen by NASA's Terra satellite. At the time, Rusty was two hours from making landfall on the northwest Australian coast near Pardoo as a Category 1 storm with sustained 90 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.


Figure 2. Radar image of Rusty showing the large cloud-free eye bumping up against the coast of Australia near Pardoo at 05:40 UTC (12:40 am EST) on Wednesday, February 27. image credit: Bureau of Meteorology.

Significant snowstorm continues over Midwest U.S.
Meanwhile, back in the U.S., the second major winter storm in a week continues to blanket the Midwest with significant snows. The snowstorm, dubbed "Rocky", gave Chicago 5.4" of snow, its heaviest snowfall of what has been a quiet winter. According to the latest NOAA Storm Summary, the heaviest snow in the Midwest from Rocky fell in the Texas Panhandle, where 21" was measured in Follett. While the precipitation from the two major winter storms during the past week will not come anywhere close to busting the Midwest drought, the moisture they dropped is probably worth billions to agriculture.


Figure 3. Two-day snowfall amounts from Winter Storm Rocky.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 272 - 222

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7Blog Index

Quoting washingtonian115:
Ah the admin.Trying to find each and every excuss to try and stop me from uploading new avatars.They have won!.For now! but I'll be back with more..


Why dont they like your avatars?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting washingtonian115:
Ah the admin.Trying to find each and every excuss to try and stop me from uploading new avatars.They have won!.For now! but I'll be back with more..


Why don't they like your avatars? You've always had good ones.

sheri
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Ah the admin.Trying to find each and every excuss to try and stop me from uploading new avatars.They have won!.For now! but I'll be back with more..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Flurries to I-10 Sat morn!

Mobbile NWS this Morning.


THIS REMAINS A FAIRLY DRY SYSTEM...AND ANY MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL NEED TO ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM. STRONG FORCING
ASSOCIATED WILL THIS SHORTWAVE WILL HELP TO A SQUEEZE OUT ALL
AVAILABLE MOISTURE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY. IT
APPEARS THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE WORKING ITS WAY SOUTH FOR
MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES AND
FLURRIES. INTRODUCED THE FLURRIES FOR THE SATURDAY MORNING TIME
FRAME AS FAR SOUTH AS I-10...AS TEMPERATURES START OUT IN THE LOWER
30S AND STRUGGLE TO WARM INTO THE MID 40S BY NOON. NOT EXPECTING ANY
PROBLEMS WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION. HISTORICALLY THE MAV AND MET
GUIDANCE ARE TOO WARM WHEN WE HAVE A COMBINATION OF COLD AIR
ADVECTION UNDER A CLOUD DECK...SO WENT 4 TO 7 DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE
FOR A HIGH TEMPERATURE ON SATURDAY.


Wonder if we might see some near Satsuma,Al about 16 miles out of Mobile? I would love it.

Sheri
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting SFLWeatherman:
59 in WPB at 9:30 and no sun!


It's 58° here in Fort Myers and overcast. No sun here either
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
59 in WPB at 9:30 and no sun!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Drought Monitor Analysis Map released this morning..
Definite improvement for specific areas..



Last weeks Analysis Map for comparison..

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Where is hurricane season when you need it?.I hope we won't have to be tracking a major or storm this year running into a huge metropolitan area like Sandy did.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
262. VR46L
Bit of a mixed bag for the US today but nothing considered severe but I guess people where heavy snow is falling would disagree

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6950
261. VR46L
Quoting pcola57:


TY VR46L..

Question for you this am VR46L..
Does that High pressure have a name?


I am checking now , Here in Ireland we dont really refer to them by name its more a Continental Europe thing .. Checked its name Fenne



Here I will enclose the link to the site too

adopt-a-vortex


Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6950
Quoting VR46L:
Good Morning Folks !!

Pcola Beautiful Images .... Included the Map of the glorious High Pressure over my neck of the woods LOL !!
Sure is making early spring wonderful here !!!





TY VR46L..

Question for you this am VR46L..
Does that High pressure have a name?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
259. VR46L
Good Morning Folks !!

Pcola Beautiful Images .... Included the Map of the glorious High Pressure over my neck of the woods LOL !!
Sure is making early spring wonderful here !!!



Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6950
Quoting FtMyersgal:
pcola57, thank you very much for posting those wonderful immages! I look forward to them every day :)


I also look forward to them FtMyersgal..
It's amazing and I love it..
TY.. :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
pcola57, thank you very much for posting those wonderful immages! I look forward to them every day :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Image of the day

A Whale Rises - February 28, 2013



On a 2012 research cruise in Antarctica, WHOI postdoctoral scientist Peter Kimball helped use the robotic vehicle Jaguar to map the underside of the ice. But the trip was memorable for more than just their success in a harsh environment: "We were stuck in heavy pack ice for nearly two weeks," recalls Kimball. "We couldn't see any open water around the ship, and the ice was just too thick for the ship to break. While we were stuck, this magnificent minke whale broke through a few centimeters of ice in a small lead and was breathing at the hole, right near our ship, for an entire day."
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Astronomy Picture of the Day

Snow Moon for a Snowy Planet - 2013 February 28



Explanation: The alarmingly tall inhabitants of this small, snowy planet cast long shadows in bright moonlight. Of course, the snowy planet is actually planet Earth and the wide-angle mosaic, shown as a little planet projection, was recorded on February 25 during the long northern night of the Full Snow Moon. The second brightest celestial beacon is Jupiter, on the right above the little planet's horizon. Lights near Östersund, Sweden glow along the horizon, surrounding the snow covered lake Storsjön. The photographer reports that the journey out onto the frozen lake by sled to capture the evocative Full Snow Moon scene was accompanied by ice sounds, biting cold, and a moonlit mist.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Earth Science Image of the day


Saturn and Five of its Moons - February 28, 2013



Photographer: John Chumack;
Summary Authors: John Chumack; Jim Foster

The image above showing softly colored Saturn and five of its moons was taken in the early hours of February 9, 2013, from my backyard in Dayton, Ohio. Despite the brutally cold conditions, I managed to get several shots of the Ringed Planet plus Titan, Tethys, Enceladus, Mimas, and Dione. To give a sense of Saturns immense size, Titan with a diameter of roughly 3,200 mi (5,150 km) is the second largest moon in the solar system and is even bigger than Mercury %u2013 having a diameter of approximately 3,032 mi or (4,878 km). Saturn has over 60 moons, 53 are named.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good Morning All..
Going to be a beautiful day..
Surf is rough though..

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:

That's true, and you always get the answer your wanting.


Except when you're terribly indecisive and come up with multiple answers all the time!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
249. MahFL
Quoting VR46L:


I imagine bison would be a tough version of beef...


Bison is not tough at all, and it has lower fat and colesterol than beef. It also tastes almost the same.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Everyone have a great Thursday. Aussie, have a great Friday.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
So on the 00Z is that snow in WPB???
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
@ Aussie

This is what I mean by recreating it...


my version...notice I use MPH instead of KT.
I had to intentionally make some errors converting some knot readings into mph in order to make them fit the scale... I was working on it earlier this afternoon.
Im also adding it into my blog...



click on it for larger size.


Seems to me it'd be best to list multiple systems of measurement. KT, MPH, KMH, and M/S should cover just about everyone.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Flurries to I-10 Sat morn!

Mobbile NWS this Morning.


THIS REMAINS A FAIRLY DRY SYSTEM...AND ANY MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL NEED TO ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM. STRONG FORCING
ASSOCIATED WILL THIS SHORTWAVE WILL HELP TO A SQUEEZE OUT ALL
AVAILABLE MOISTURE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY. IT
APPEARS THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE WORKING ITS WAY SOUTH FOR
MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES AND
FLURRIES. INTRODUCED THE FLURRIES FOR THE SATURDAY MORNING TIME
FRAME AS FAR SOUTH AS I-10...AS TEMPERATURES START OUT IN THE LOWER
30S AND STRUGGLE TO WARM INTO THE MID 40S BY NOON. NOT EXPECTING ANY
PROBLEMS WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION. HISTORICALLY THE MAV AND MET
GUIDANCE ARE TOO WARM WHEN WE HAVE A COMBINATION OF COLD AIR
ADVECTION UNDER A CLOUD DECK...SO WENT 4 TO 7 DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE
FOR A HIGH TEMPERATURE ON SATURDAY.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Good Morning Folks!.. the Blogs COFFEE IS PERKED FOR WHEN YOU GET HERE..ENJOY,HAVE A GREAT DAY EVERYOEN
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Good morning, everyone. Evening, Aussie. 40 degrees here and should warm up to 58. But, no rain in the forecast! Maybe we'll get to dry up a little. Love the rain, but would love to get the kids out at recess.

Breakfast's on the sideboard: yogurt, French toast, bacon and fresh fruit. Enjoy.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good morning. The dry weather that the NE Caribbean islands have been thru for the past weeks will end starting on Monday as a cold front arrives.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
519 AM AST THU FEB 28 2013

.SYNOPSIS...MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND ACROSS
MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY
DRY AND STABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. UPPER RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A DEEP TROUGH ESTABLISHES OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE CLOSE TO THE AREA LATE MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID-UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
DOMINATING MOST OF THE CARIBBEAN BASIN. THIS RIDGE ALOFT IS
SUSTAINING A DRY AIR MASS AND SYNOPTIC SCALE SUBSIDENCE ACROSS THE
GREATER ANTILLES AND THE CARIBBEAN SEA. GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THAT THE SUBSIDENCE CAP WILL PERSIST NEAR 850 MB THROUGH
AT LEAST LATE SUNDAY. THERE ARE ALSO BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES EXPECTED ACROSS USVI AND PUERTO RICO THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEKEND BASED ON THE 28/06Z GFS-SJU FORECAST. LLVL WINDS WILL
REMAIN FROM THE EAST-SOUTHEAST UNTIL SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY A MORE
PRONOUNCED SOUTHERLY FLOW TO ESTABLISH ON MONDAY. UNSETTLED WEATHER
PATTERN WITH PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS IS FORECAST
FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES OVER THE LOCAL AREA.
OPERATIONAL MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL
PEAK AROUND 2 INCHES BY MID-WEEK AS MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS OVER THE ISLANDS. OVERALL...EXPECT WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO DETERIORATE AND BECOME MORE ACTIVE LATE MONDAY THROUGH
AT LEAST WEDNESDAY UNDER INFLUENCE OF A COLD FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT ALL LOCAL TAF
SITES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TJSJ 28/00Z INDICATED AN EAST TO EAST
SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW UP TO 15 KNOTS ALL THE WAY FROM THE SURFACE TO
2OK FEET...BECOMING WESTERLY AND STRONGER ABOVE 20K FEET.

&&

.MARINE...LINGERING NORTH-NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE
HAZARDOUS SEAS ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
SEAS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH TONIGHT AS THE SWELLS SUBSIDE. MARINE
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A MODERATE NNW SWELL FOR NEXT WEDNESDAY...MAINLY
AFFECTING THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH FIRE DANGER CONTINUES TODAY DUE TO DRY FUELS
AND LOW HUMIDITIES. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY LESSENING THE FIRE RISK SOMEWHAT BUT STILL PRETTY DRY.
A SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 89 73 88 73 / 0 0 0 0
STT 84 72 84 71 / 0 10 10 0
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14574
Tracy Vo ‏@Tracy_Vo
Pardoo after #TCRusty

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting indianrivguy:


Sometimes, that's the only way to have an intelligent conversation...

Mornin' Kori!

Good to see you mate, hope you are rested, I'm off to pick some shrimp for a few hours, y'all have a great morning/evening!

That's true, and you always get the answer your wanting.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:


I talk to myself all the time. Am I insane?

No comment. LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KoritheMan:


I talk to myself all the time. Am I insane?


Sometimes, that's the only way to have an intelligent conversation...

Mornin' Kori!

Good to see you mate, hope you are rested, I'm off to pick some shrimp for a few hours, y'all have a great morning/evening!
Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 2587
Quoting AussieStorm:

Well, I wasn't going to stay here and talk to myself, That's the 1st sign of insanity.

Good Evening mate!


I talk to myself all the time. Am I insane?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting geepy86:
dead blog

Well, I wasn't going to stay here and talk to myself, That's the 1st sign of insanity.
Quoting indianrivguy:
Morning everyone!

Evening Aussie!


Good Evening mate!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


Quoting Skyepony:

NASA has released the first full year of validated ocean surface salinity data from the agency's Aquarius instrument aboard the Aquarius/SAC-D spacecraft. The data cover the period from Dec. 2011 through Dec. 2012. Red colors represent areas of high salinity, while blue shades represent areas of low salinity. Among the prominent salinity features visible in this view are the large area of highly saline water across the North Atlantic. This area, the saltiest anywhere in the open ocean, is analogous to deserts on land, where little rainfall and much evaporation occur. Aquarius is a focused effort to measure ocean surface salinity and will provide the global view of salinity variability needed for climate studies. The mission is a collaboration between NASA and the Space Agency of Argentina (Comision Nacional de Actividades Espaciales). Image credit: NASA/GSFC/JPL-Caltech - See more at:


How interesting.. notice the dark red spot just north of Cuba? Seems to me, someone has this very salty water figured out, this is near where Morton Salt has salt works on Inagua Island.
Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 2587
Morning everyone!

Evening Aussie!
Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 2587
231. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Perth
Tropical Cyclone Advice #41
TROPICAL LOW, FORMER RUSTY (10U)
2:09 PM WST February 28 2013
=======================================

At 2:00 PM WST, Tropical Low, Former Rusty (991 hPa) located at 22.0S 120.6E or 125 km southeast of Marble Bar and 175 km north northeast of Newman has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The low is reported as moving south southeast at 9 knots.

Ex Tropical Cyclone Rusty has weakened below cyclone strength.

No Further Cyclone Advices are expected to be issued for this system.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
dead blog
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:


Ok, Lets wait till the next one.


alright... I'm out. Gnight people
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


I can hardly see that through... It would look different when I zoom out the map for the whole world


Ok, Lets wait till the next one.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Jedkins01:
We are expected to have highs struggling to hit 50 this weekend with nights well into the 20's with a hard freeze possible, Spring Break can't come soon enough! I'm done with that kind of cold, lol.
I wouldn't be surprised to see it a bit colder than that in Tally, especially by Monday morning.

The official NWS forecast for the Tampa Bay area for Saturday, Sunday and Monday is still annoyingly too warm, predicting low 60s for highs each day and low 40s for lows. I would not be surprised if it did not even hit 50F around here on at least one of those days.
Member Since: October 15, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 753
I'll be posting this again tomorrow, but if anyone's still up, here's my initial report on Hurricane Michael. If I'm gonna do this by May best track and all, I'm gonna have to seriously get busy. I don't quit, though!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Jedkins01:



If any precip manages to reach your region the Brooksville area would have the highest shot at seeing snow. Not just because of colder lows but also higher elevation and not much marine influence.
Most of Pinellas is influenced by the water and ranges from a few feet in elevation to near 20 ft at the greatest. Much of the Brooksville area rises 200 to 250 ft in elevation.


Even as small as it is (second smallest county in Florida in land area) and in spite of being a peninsula surrounded by water.. The highest elevation in Pinellas County is around 110' ASL, near the intersection of State Road 580 and Countryside Boulevard in the Palm Harbor area. It is also surprisingly hilly in that North Pinellas County region.

Brooksville on the other hand looks very un-Florida like, at least in terms of commonly held stereotypes of what Florida is supposed to look like. It is heavily forested with huge pine trees and deciduous trees and yes, it is very hilly. It is also mostly a rural area with nary a tall, stucco-sided condominium building in sight!
Member Since: October 15, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 753
We are expected to have highs struggling to hit 50 this weekend with nights well into the 20's with a hard freeze possible, Spring Break can't come soon enough! I'm done with that kind of cold, lol.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:

you have lat and long of the map in the background, makes it confusing.


I can hardly see that through... It would look different when I zoom out the map for the whole world
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


what do you mean by faint line?

True, I can change that map..

you have lat and long of the map in the background, makes it confusing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 272 - 222

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.