First EF-4 tornado of 2013 injures 82 near Hattiesburg, MS

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:10 AM GMT on February 12, 2013

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The strong tornado that swept through Hattiesburg and Oak Grove in Lamar County, Mississippi, on Sunday has been rated an EF-4 with 170 mph winds, making it the first violent EF-4 tornado of 2013. The tornado hit Hattiesburg at 5:12 pm CST February 10, injuring 82 people and causing widespread damage over a 20-mile-long path. Miraculously, there were no deaths.The only other violent EF-4 tornado ever to hit Lamar County occurred on April 24, 1908, according to NWS Jackson.


Figure 1. Oak Grove High School football field near Hattiesburg, MS after Sunday's tornado. Damage was rated EF-4 near the high school, and there was clear evidence of the tornado being multi-vortex over a portion of its path. Image credit: NWS Jackson Facebook page.

The 2013 tornado season is off to an unusually busy start--a pattern we also saw last year. The January 29 - 30, 2013 tornado outbreak now has 56 confirmed tornadoes, including the only EF-3 tornado of the year, which hit Adairsville, GA, on January 30, killing one person. The outbreak is now ranked as the second largest January tornado outbreak since records began in 1950 (the largest: 128 tornadoes on January 21 - 22, 1999 .) NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged twelve preliminary reports of tornadoes on Sunday, from Mississippi and Alabama. This brings the tally of preliminary tornado reports for the year to 100. On average, we've had just 72 preliminary tornado reports by February 10 during the previous seven years, 2005 - 2011.


Video 1. Hotel worker Rynal Grant caught this impressive video of the February 10, 2013 Hattiesburg, Mississippi tornado.

Portlight receives $125,000 grant for New Jersey relief efforts
On September 14, 2008, the devastation wrought by Hurricane Ike on Texas and Louisiana moved members of the wunderground community to put into action their own impromptu relief effort. From this humble beginning has grown a disaster-relief charity I have been proud to support--Portlight.org. Portlight has stood up to support the needs of thousands of people affected by natural disasters since Hurricane Ike. After Hurricane Sandy, Portlight became a clearinghouse for local, state and federal agencies, including the FEMA Functional Needs Task Force--New Jersey, meeting the needs of people with disabilities. This week, Portlight announced that they had received a grant of $125,000 to continue helping in New Jersey in a big way. Congratulations, Portlight!


Figure 2. Vince Sciacca was in a horrific car accident a few years ago, which put him in a coma for nine months and left him with a severe brain injury. Shortly before Superstorm Sandy struck, and after much struggle, he had finally straightened out his equipment needs. The storm came along and destroyed everything. Portlight's project manager, Steve Major, delivered this power chair to Vince on February 2, and will be working with him to replace other equipment, as well.

Visit the Portlight.org. Portlight.org website to find out more or Portlight blog to learn more. Donations are always welcome!

Jeff Masters

Hattiesburg, MS Tornado (apphotos)
This photo provided by Jordan Holliman shows a tornado moving through Hattiesburg, Miss., Sunday, Feb. 10, 2013. Major damage was reported in Hattiesburg and Petal, including on the campus of the University of Southern Mississippi. (AP Photo/Jordan Holliman)
Hattiesburg, MS Tornado
Hattiesburg, MS Tornado (apphotos)
A business at 5133 Lincoln Road Extension in Hattiesburg, Miss., is damaged after an apparent tornado Sunday, Feb. 10, 2013. (AP Photo/Chuck Cook)
Hattiesburg, MS Tornado
Hattiesburg, MS Tornado (apphotos)
A heavily damaged vehicle sits near the front of the University of Southern Mississippi on Hardy Street in Hattiesburg Miss., Feb 10, 2013 after a tornado passed through the city Sunday afternoon. (AP Photo/Hattiesburg American, Ryan Moore)
Hattiesburg, MS Tornado

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It's a bit early for this. SE Georgia

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Quoting aislinnpaps:


Banana cake sounds wonderful. How are the storms and rain down your way?

My wife made it and it was delicious. Today no rain but it was threatening. Maybe more storms on Friday or Saturday.
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Quoting KarenRei:


No. Scientific studies imply causation. And they exist out the wazoo, overwhelmingly implicating human activities.



It depends on what you mean by "proves". Science doesn't deal in absolute proofs, unless you're talking about mathematics. But if you want "overwhelming body of evidence" as a standard, then yes, there's not only thousands of studies, but a large number of metastudies as well, conducted by the most esteemed scientific bodies in the world.



EVERY IPCC report has covered solar activity. All agree that it has an effect. All agree that the effect is negligible compared to the human-induced impact.



Half correct. Yes, the Milankovitch cycles are due to changes in solar radiation levels caused by the precession of the Earth, and are the primary theorized cause of periodic ice ages. No, there is not in the least agreement that "carbon dioxide levels had no effect at all". Quite to the contrary, the primary criticism for the precession argument for the cause of periodic ice ages when it was proposed is that it's quite easy to calculate that the changes in solar radiation levels are not enough to change the climate that radically. Hence there has to be a "feedback mechanism" amplifying it. There is near universal agreement that this feedback mechanism is greenhouse gasses, primarily carbon dioxide.



Your cost figures are not in line with studies, and the predominance of the evidence suggests that it overwhelmingly is a significant long-term money saver due to the reduction in climate amelioration and disaster-cleanup costs.



Approximately 98% of the world's active publishing climate scientists are in agreement on this one. How much more do you need?

ok, I'm wrong. I withdraw my comment.
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Good Evening
I'm full from Banana cake and a hot cuppa milo.


Banana cake sounds wonderful. How are the storms and rain down your way?
Member Since: August 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3139
Quoting AussieStorm:
Correlation does not imply causation.


No. Scientific studies imply causation. And they exist out the wazoo, overwhelmingly implicating human activities.

Quoting AussieStorm:
There is no study that proves greenhouse gases are the cause of global warming.


It depends on what you mean by "proves". Science doesn't deal in absolute proofs, unless you're talking about mathematics. But if you want "overwhelming body of evidence" as a standard, then yes, there's not only thousands of studies, but a large number of metastudies as well, conducted by the most esteemed scientific bodies in the world.

Quoting AussieStorm:
A recently leaked UN draft mentions that solar activity, of which very little is known about, could actually be the cause.


EVERY IPCC report has covered solar activity. All agree that it has an effect. All agree that the effect is negligible compared to the human-induced impact.

Quoting AussieStorm:
There is consensus among scientists that changing solar radiation levels, which were the result of changes in the earth's axis, both caused and ended the ice age, and that carbon dioxide levels had no effect at all.


Half correct. Yes, the Milankovitch cycles are due to changes in solar radiation levels caused by the precession of the Earth, and are the primary theorized cause of periodic ice ages. No, there is not in the least agreement that "carbon dioxide levels had no effect at all". Quite to the contrary, the primary criticism for the precession argument for the cause of periodic ice ages when it was proposed is that it's quite easy to calculate that the changes in solar radiation levels are not enough to change the climate that radically. Hence there has to be a "feedback mechanism" amplifying it. There is near universal agreement that this feedback mechanism is greenhouse gasses, primarily carbon dioxide.

Quoting AussieStorm:
Before the U.S. embarks on a multitrillion dollar spending spree on inefficient and expensive green energy


Your cost figures are not in line with studies, and the predominance of the evidence suggests that it overwhelmingly is a significant long-term money saver due to the reduction in climate amelioration and disaster-cleanup costs.

Quoting AussieStorm:
we should have more certainty that it will actually have a measurable effect on the temperature and not a speculative guess.


Approximately 98% of the world's active publishing climate scientists are in agreement on this one. How much more do you need?
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Quoting aislinnpaps:
Good morning, all. Evening, Aussie. 47 degrees here with a wind chill of 41. But NO rain! Today or tonight the cold front moves in and we'll be in the upper 30's this time tomorrow morning. Highs in the upper 50's today.

There's an egg and sausage cassarole, biscuits and gravy and Canadian bacon on the sideboard. Help yourselves.

Good Evening
I'm full from Banana cake and a hot cuppa milo.
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Good morning, all. Evening, Aussie. 47 degrees here with a wind chill of 41. But NO rain! Today or tonight the cold front moves in and we'll be in the upper 30's this time tomorrow morning. Highs in the upper 50's today.

There's an egg and sausage cassarole, biscuits and gravy and Canadian bacon on the sideboard. Help yourselves.
Member Since: August 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3139
4 hLevi Cowan‏@TropicalTidbits

GEM solution is no picnic for northern New England:
Link
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026
Quoting Luisport:
yes of course but nemo signify "nothing"...


Nemo is a Latin word meaning "no man" or "no one". Nemo is also a Boy's name in latin
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Oh, I wouldn't say it was a nothing storm. We saw the damage it did to the CT/MA coast. also 38" in nothing to sneeze about.
yes of course but nemo signify "nothing"...
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026
Quoting Luisport:
for a "nothing" storm this is really huge!

Oh, I wouldn't say it was a nothing storm. We saw the damage it did to the CT/MA coast. also 38" in nothing to sneeze about.
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Quoting AussieStorm:


Thanks and wow. that is bad. If this was my house, I would be clearing it out asap before it falls.

for a "nothing" storm this is really huge!
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026
Quoting Luisport:
Eric Fisher‏@EricFisherTWC

Winter Storm #Nemo really beat up the Cape Cod coastline. Some of the damage/pictures still coming in: Link


Thanks and wow. that is bad. If this was my house, I would be clearing it out asap before it falls.

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Quoting LargoFl:
In winter here by me aussie, im glad my county is surrounded by water..it keeps us a bit warmer than inland..sometimes keeps us above freezing..

Well, it helps that your in the sub-tropics.
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Eric Fisher‏@EricFisherTWC

Winter Storm #Nemo really beat up the Cape Cod coastline. Some of the damage/pictures still coming in: Link
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39055
SNOW FLAKES for DC?...............THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN
CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF
COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE WASHINGTON-
BALTIMORE METRO AREA THIS EVENING. LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS
ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING ACROSS CENTRAL MARYLAND...PARTICULARLY NEAR
THE MASON DIXON LINE.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39055
In winter here by me aussie, im glad my county is surrounded by water..it keeps us a bit warmer than inland..sometimes keeps us above freezing..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39055
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH FLORIDA ON THURSDAY AND STALL
THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
BOTH DAYS WITH AN OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKE AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL. A SECOND AND STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTH
FLORIDA ON SATURDAY WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED SUNDAY
AND MONDAY MORNINGS. TEMPERATURES MAY FALL INTO THE 30S OVER THE
LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION AND 40S ELSEWHERE.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39055

Report
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39055
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...
APALACHICOLA RIVER NEAR BLOUNTSTOWN AFFECTING CALHOUN...FRANKLIN...GULF AND
LIBERTY COUNTIES

DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL THIS EVENING UPSTREAM AND DOWNSTREAM IS CAUSING FLOODING
IN THE APALACHICOLA RIVER BASIN.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39055
those with Citrus tree's..rejoice...........
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39055
Quoting LargoFl:
Good Morning folks, still warm and humid and breezy here but we know a change is coming....well the Blogs Coffee is perked for when you get here..enjoy...have a great day everyone and stay safe out there.

I'm just tucking into a cuppa Milo and a freshly baked Banana cake.
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"We can choose to believe that Superstorm Sandy, and the most severe drought in decades, and the worst wildfires some states have ever seen were all just a freak coincidence," he said. "Or we can choose to believe in the overwhelming judgement of science - and act before it" too late.

President Obama

My response. (Has now been withdraw as it has been pointed out I am wrong)

Correlation does not imply causation. There is no study that proves greenhouse gases are the cause of global warming. A recently leaked UN draft mentions that solar activity, of which very little is known about, could actually be the cause. There is consensus among scientists that changing solar radiation levels, which were the result of changes in the earth's axis, both caused and ended the ice age, and that carbon dioxide levels had no effect at all. Before the U.S. embarks on a multitrillion dollar spending spree on inefficient and expensive green energy we should have more certainty that it will actually have a measurable effect on the temperature and not a speculative guess. I have no problem with higher taxes on oil companies, but to use that revenue on worthless pet projects for democrats is a theft from the public. Spend it on unemployment insurance or anything that we know will actually help people.
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Good Morning folks, still warm and humid and breezy here but we know a change is coming....well the Blogs Coffee is perked for when you get here..enjoy...have a great day everyone and stay safe out there.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39055
Notice the freeze North of Tampa Bay warning....
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39055
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39055
656. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
CYCLONE TROPICAL GINO (08-20122013)
10:00 AM RET February 13 2013
=======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Gino (960 hPa) located at 19.1S 79.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 75 knots with gusts of 105 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving south southeast at 8 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
======================
55 NM radius from the center

Storm Force Winds
=================
85 NM radius from the center, extending up to 90 NM in the southern semi-circle

Gale Force Winds
==================
120 NM radius from the center, extending up to 140 NM in the northeastern quadrant, and up to 170 NM in the southern semi-circle

Near Gale Force Winds
======================
150 NM radius from the center, extending up to 220 NM in the northeastern quadrant, and up to 230 NM in the southern semi-circle

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
========================
12 HRS: 21.1S 80.0E - 80 knots (CYCLONE Tropical)
24 HRS: 22.9S 80.8E - 75 knots (CYCLONE Tropical)
48 HRS: 26.0S 83.6E - 55 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
72 HRS: 26.6S 87.1E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)

Additional Information
======================
All latest available guidance for intensity estimates (manual Dvorak, SATCON, AMSU) suggest a current intensity in the 70-80 knots range. Consequently, vmax is set at 75 knots again for this advisory.

During the last 6 hours, a ragged eye has appeared within the central dense overcast

Gino is moving now south southeastwards on the western edge of the low to mid level ridge. Within the next 2 to 3 days, the system should round this ridge on a gradual southeastwards to eastwards track. Available numerical weather prediction models are in good agreement to this scenario.

Over this forecast track, conditions are still slightly favorable for intensification as a strong outflow channel is building poleward. System should then reach its maximum intensity today. On and after Tuesday, beyond 21.0S, a westerly to northwesterly vertical wind shear should rapidly strengthen, and system is shifting over marginal heat oceanic content.

System is therefore expected to quickly weaken and decelerating. Extratropical transition could begin Saturday.

Next residual low should track westwards as it undergoes the steering easterly trade winds influence.
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655. flsky
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Love my cats... I had the most wonderful cat a few years ago... He was a Maine Coon Cat... I miss him dearly... His name was "Pretty Boy" So sad... He got attacked by a wild animal here in south Florida.... He was my best friend...Sorry for crying.


So sorry to hear about your cat. Although I have yet to own one, this is my favorite breed.
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Quoting Jedkins01:



Nope! I'm a single young man and a junior at FSU, not exactly married with kids, but you know, I have other reasons. The club is definitely not a wise place to go. We are supposed to be growing as young people and using our young live wisely while we still have it, not going backwards, backwards is what the club does to you.


Day-um, ya don't know how refreshing and encouraging that sounds!!!
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Quoting wxchaser97:

Actually things have went downhill really fast, I went from a normal temp to 102F fever in about 2-3hrs.

I love how the GFS can give you an all snow system and drop several inches of snow to giving you an all rain until the very end event with a good amount of rain in just 2 runs.

00Z GFS:


12Z GFS:


I hated to tell you this but rapid onset of acute respiratory (and other) symptoms in combination with a rapid development of fever is usually indicative of influenza.
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Quoting allancalderini:
Hope you get well soon:).Once Cupid strike you there will be no turning back.

Actually things have went downhill really fast, I went from a normal temp to 102F fever in about 2-3hrs.

I love how the GFS can give you an all snow system and drop several inches of snow to giving you an all rain until the very end event with a good amount of rain in just 2 runs.

00Z GFS:


12Z GFS:
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Quoting Astrometeor:


LOL, nice comeback, read a week or so ago a poem from Ovid where he was insulting Cupid until Cupid struck him dumb with love.
Thanks.I read a similar story actually.
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Quoting Astrometeor:


LOL, nice comeback, read a week or so ago a poem from Ovid where he was insulting Cupid until Cupid struck him dumb with love.


read it too. LOL
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Quoting allancalderini:
Once Cupid strike you there will be no turning back.


LOL, nice comeback, read a week or so ago a poem from Ovid where he was insulting Cupid until Cupid struck him dumb with love.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


totally agree with you man!
;) yeah.
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Quoting allancalderini:
Hope you get well soon:).Once Cupid strike you there will be no turning back.


totally agree with you man!
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Quoting wxchaser97:

Actually, definitely not going tomorrow.

Thanks for those encouraging words -_-
Hope you get well soon:).
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I have better things to do than put up with extra people. I think I'll stay single.


I didn't want your stupid e-chocolate anyways.


It's not on! :P


If you saw pictures run away you might want to go to the doctor. ;)

Just playing.
Once Cupid strike you there will be no turning back.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


Hey it's the short range severe weather king.
Nothing like checking the NAM the day before a tornado outbreak..



People forget its purpose, and what the capital M stands for, its "mesoscale".
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Quoting kwgirl:
PBW, that is good British ale or lager. I prefer a bitters. You get used to drinking it room temperature when it is cold outside. Love it!

Even when it's cold I can drink ice cold beer. Just need to keep your body warmer.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I have better things to do than put up with extra people. I think I'll stay single.


Party at Cody's house guys and girls!

I can learn something from Sandy's TCR. And other weather things, lol. It would be like a workshop lesson.

And Cody, if you need anything, just ask, I shall helps you!

;)
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
If you saw pictures run away you might want to go to the doctor. ;)

Just playing.


Now that you mention it, I am now in doubt...

But, after thinking through what happened to me earlier for about 5 minutes, I have come to the conclusion that it definitely was in fact the deer who ran away, not the pictures. ;)
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I have better things to do than put up with extra people. I think I'll stay single.


better things..stare at the computer all day? Doubt that when you see someone actually caring for you (in love) of the other way around.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


single people say that...it's normal

I have better things to do than put up with extra people. I think I'll stay single.

Quoting Astrometeor:


No e-chocolates for you then. Sheesh.

Although, I will do something for MY Valentine at school tomorrow since she won't be at school on Thursday.

I didn't want your stupid e-chocolate anyways.

Quoting AussieStorm:

Turn off your weather shield.

It's not on! :P

Quoting SteveDa1:
I just walked 12.17 km (more or less) (7.56 miles)

Accuracy thanks to Google Earth.

Saw some deer, I would've liked to post the pictures here.

But... I was unable to picture them; they ran away.

Better luck next time!

If you saw pictures run away you might want to go to the doctor. ;)

Just playing.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32255
I just walked 12.17 km (7.56 miles) (more or less).

Accuracy thanks to Google Earth.

Saw some deer. I definitely would've liked to post the pictures here.

But, I was unable to picture them; they ran away.

Better luck next time!
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Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Spent a few weeks in Edinburg Scotland last year... Went into the local pub on Princess Street... Asked for the local brew... This guy handed me this quart can of "WARM" beer called EXPORT... I learned to like it... Or die
PBW, that is good British ale or lager. I prefer a bitters. You get used to drinking it room temperature when it is cold outside. Love it!
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Quoting AussieStorm:

I don't mind going to the pub with my work mates on a Friday night after work but that's about it.



There is a huge difference between that and the club :)
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Quoting 2ifbyC:


Aha, you're married, right?



Nope! I'm a single young man and a junior at FSU, not exactly married with kids, but you know, I have other reasons. The club is definitely not a wise place to go. We are supposed to be growing as young people and using our young live wisely while we still have it, not going backwards, backwards is what the club does to you.
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635. skook
A look back at Early seasons f4.

First up, the 1967 St. Louis Tornado outbreak.

The 1967 St. Louis tornado outbreak was the rare winter outbreak that occurred on January 24, 1967. Thirty-two tornadoes broke out from Oklahoma to Wisconsin. Fourteen tornadoes struck Iowa, nine in Missouri, eight in Illinois, and one in Wisconsin.

This outbreak broke a major record. The lone F3 tornado reported in Wisconsin was the farthest north in the United States that a tornado had ever occurred in January at the time. This would later happen again on January 7, 2008 when several tornadoes hit southeastern Wisconsin with a similar system. This outbreak is also possibly the farthest north a tornado outbreak has occurred in the winter.

The tornadoes broke ahead of a deep storm system. Several temperature records were broken in the Midwest on this day. One of the most notable tornadoes struck St. Louis County, Missouri where three people were killed and 216 were injured. The tornado ranked at F4 on the Fujita scale.

Two more tornadoes were reported in Newton County and Jasper County in southwestern Missouri just after midnight on January 26.

The next day thunderstorms produced sleet, freezing rain, and snow in St. Louis. Three days later, on January 27, a blizzard crippled Chicago, dumping 23 inches (58 cm) of snow on the city.
Link
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Quoting AussieStorm:

I haven't been to a night club since. Just have no reason to, plus I am married with 2 kids.


Good choice!
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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.