Historic Nor'easter poised to slam Boston and the Northeast U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:43 PM GMT on February 07, 2013

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A potentially historic Nor'easter is brewing for the Northeast U.S., where blizzard watches are up for much of eastern Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut. The storm, dubbed "Nemo" by the Weather Channel, is expected to bring heavy snows of 1 - 2 feet, coastal wind gusts over hurricane force, and moderate to major coastal flooding. During the peak of the storm, Friday night into Saturday morning, snowfall rates of 2 - 3" per hour can be expected. These intense bursts of snow may be accompanied by lightning and thunder. The cites of Boston, Hartford, Providence, Portland, and Burlington are all likely to get more than a foot of snow, and two feet of snow will probably fall along a swath from the western suburbs of Boston to Southwest Maine. With the Nor'easter generating these heavy snows expected to bomb out with a central pressure of 972 - 976 mb, the rapid flow of air around this low pressure center will generate ferocious sustained winds near 50 mph at the coast, with wind gusts in excess of hurricane force--74 mph. The combination of heavy snow and high winds will make travel extremely dangerous or impossible, with near-zero visibility in white-out conditions. Total snowfall from the storm is likely to rank in the top ten for Boston since weather observations began at Logan Airport in 1936. According to NWS, here are the top snowstorms since 1936 for Logan Airport:

1. February 17-18, 2003 27.5"
2. February 6-7, 1978 27.1"
3. February 24-27, 1969 26.3"
4. March 31-April 1, 1997 25.4"
5. January 22-24, 1945 22.8"
6. January 22-23, 2005 22.5"
7. January 20-21, 1978 21.4"
8. March 3-5, 1960 19.8"
9. February 16-17, 1958 19.4"
10. February 8-10, 1994 18.7"
11. January 7-8, 1996 18.2"
11. December 20-22, 1975 18.2"
11. December 26-27, 2010 18.2"


Figure 1. Predicted wind speeds in knots at 7 am EST Saturday, February 9, 2013, from the 00Z February 7, 2013 run of the European (ECMWF) model. The model is predicting sustained winds of 50 knots (57.5 mph) will affect Cape Cod and Nantucket Island, Massachusetts. Multiply by 1.15 to convert knots to mph.

Serious coastal flooding expected in Massachusetts
The high winds from the storm will drive a damaging storm surge of 2 - 4' along the coast of Eastern Massachusetts Friday night and Saturday morning. Of particular concern is the flooding that will occur during the Saturday morning high tide cycle, as that is the time of the new moon, which will bring the highest tide of the month. The ocean's height in Boston varies naturally by about ten feet between low tide and high tide, so it matters greatly when the storm surge arrives, relative to the tidal cycle. Thus we speak of the "storm tide"--how how the water gets above the high tide mark, due to the combination of the storm surge and the tide. During Hurricane Sandy, on October 29, 2012, a potentially very damaging storm surge of 4.57' hit Boston, but arrived near low tide, so the water level during the peak surge did not rise above the normal high tide mark. As of noon EST on February 7, 2013, the latest storm surge forecast from the GFS model is calling for a storm tide of about 3.4' above high tide (MHHW, Mean Higher High Water) on Saturday morning, which would cause only minor flooding in Boston. This would be the 10th highest water level on record in Boston since tide gauge records began in 1921. According to former NHC storm surge expert Mike Lowry, who now works for TWC, the official top 5 storm tides at the Boston tide gauge, relative to MHHW, are:

1. 4.82' - February 7, 1978 (Blizzard of 1978)
2. 3.92' - January 2, 1987
3. 3.86' - October 30, 1991 (Perfect Storm)
4. 3.76' - January 28, 1979
5. 3.75' - December 12, 1992

More serious flooding is expected in Cape Cod Bay to the southeast of Boston, where the northeast winds from the storm will pile up a higher storm surge. A storm surge of 3 - 4' is predicted from Scituate to Sandwich Harbor Saturday morning. The surge will be accompanied by battering waves 20' feet high, and major flooding and coastal erosion is expected. Major coastal flooding is also expected on the east end of Nantucket Island.


Figure 2. Coastal flooding hazards during the high tide cycle on Saturday morning, February 9, 2013, as predicted at 12 pm EDT Thursday, February 7, 2013, by the NWS Boston.

Links:

Our news page
http://www.wunderground.com/news/

Our winter Storm page:
http://www.wunderground.com/winter-storm/nemo-2013.asp

Jeff Masters

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539. Ameister12
1:46 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
People better take this storm seriously!
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 5082
538. BahaHurican
1:44 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting Luisport:
The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel

Boston's transit authority will suspend all modes of transportation Friday-- including the T - starting at 3:30pm. #Nemo
This has got to be pretty bad... last time I was in Boston it was snowing and 23 degrees... and business as usual... They must be anticipating some speedy buildup.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22728
537. 1900hurricane
1:42 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
I just got off work, so I'm not sure if it has been posted, but NWS Taunton wrote an epic this afternoon!


000
FXUS61 KBOX 072351
AFDBOX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
651 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
A HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD IS ANTICIPATED FOR FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY
...WITH AROUND 2 FEET OF SNOW POSSIBLE. THIS STORM
SHOULD COME TO AN END LATER SATURDAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS BY
SUNDAY. A GREAT LAKES STORM WILL SWING A COLD FRONT THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND ON MONDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY DRY WEATHER TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...

630 PM UPDATE...
1038 MB HIGH CENTERED OVER QUEBEC AND EXTENDS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND.
PLENTY OF COLD DRY AIR WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS
ABOVE/BELOW ZERO. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT EAST A LITTLE
OVERNIGHT...EXTENDING ALONG AN ARC FROM QUEBEC TO THE MARITIMES.
THIS WILL BE A CLASSIC SETUP FOR THE WEATHER TO FOLLOW ON FRIDAY.

THE COLD AIR WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE
NIGHT. CLOUDS HAVE MOVED ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL SLOWLY THICKEN
AND LOWER THROUGH THE NIGHT AS WARM ADVECTION ALOFT INCREASES.

ONLY SMALL AJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HEADLINES /HIGH CONFIDENCE/...

* A POTENTIAL HISTORIC WINTER STORM/BLIZZARD WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...WHICH WILL POSE THREATS
TOWARDS LIFE AND PROPERTY.

* BLIZZARD WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CT...RI...AND E/SE MA.
WINTER STORM WARNINGS FOR ALL OTHER LOCALES.

* FOR THOSE AREAS WITHIN THE BLIZZARD WARNING...HIGH WIND WARNING
CRITERIA IS INCLUSIVE. HIGH WINDS SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED WITH GUSTS
OF AROUND 60 MPH.

* STORM SNOWFALL TOTALS BY STORMS END MAY BE IN THE ALL-TIME TOP
10 FOR VARIOUS CITIES...UP TO AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET POSSIBLE.
BLOWING AND DRIFTING ANTICIPATED RESULTING IN DRIFTS UP TO
AROUND 5 FEET.


* TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE QUICKLY THROUGH THE DAY
FRIDAY...BECOMING NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE BY THE FRIDAY EVENING COMMUTE
INTO SATURDAY.

*/MODEL CONSENSUS...

DETERMINISTIC MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE ALL IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THE CONSISTENT ECMWF. WILL LEAN WITH THE ECMWF CONSIDERING NOT ONLY
THE LOCATION OF THE SURFACE LOW...BUT ALSO THE H85-7 LOW WITH
REGARDS TO THE CONVEYOR BELT PROCESSES /WARM...COLD...DRY/. BOTH THE
ECMWF/GFS LINE UP WELL WITH THE MID-LVL LOW WHEREAS THE NAM IS
DISPLACED SLIGHTLY TO THE WEST.

*/SYNOPSIS...

SPLIT FLOW DISTURBANCES TRANSLATE INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CONUS DURING
THE DAY FRIDAY...PHASING ACROSS THE S/E SHORELINES OF NEW ENGLAND
AND OFFSHORE. THE NORTHERN STREAM IS USURPED INTO THE SOUTHERN
STREAM DISTURBANCE INTO AN EXPLOSIVE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER THE
40N/70W BENCHMARK. THE DEEPENING SYSTEM DRAWS DEEP MOIST FLOW FROM
THE SOUTH PER STRONG /HURRICANE FORCE/ LOW-LVL FLOW. THE EXPECTATION
IS FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO IMPACT MUCH OF EASTERN AND ALL OF
SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY PRIOR TO THE
STORM TAPERING OFF INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

MESOSCALE DETAILS STILL REMAIN DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN...BUT FEEL THE
DETAILS BELOW CONVEY OUR BEST THINKING.

*/PRECIPITATION...

PRIOR TO THE PHASING AND BOMBING OF THE SURFACE LOW /DURING THE DAY
FRIDAY/...ANTICIPATE WIDESPREAD AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO FALL
ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND MAINLY IN THE FORM OF LIGHT SNOW
INCREASING IN INTENSITY INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A MIX OF RAIN AND
SNOW IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE S/SE COASTAL REGIONS OF NEW
ENGLAND...WITH RAIN ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE CAPE AND NANTUCKET.

AS THE LOW BOMBS TOWARDS THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK...ANTICIPATING THE
LOW-MID LVL THERMAL FIELDS TO COLLAPSE...TIGHTENING WITH RESPECT TO
THE SURFACE LOW. N/NE FLOW SHOULD DRAW DOWN COLD AIR ACROSS ALL OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND OFFSHORE.

ANTICIPATING ANY AND ALL WET MIX TO CHANGE TO SNOW TOWARDS THE
FRIDAY EVENING COMMUTE...THE INTENSITY OF WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE DURING THIS TIME-FRAME. RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS
THE EASTERN CAPE AND NANTUCKET...GRADUALLY TRANSITIONING TO SNOW
TOWARDS MIDNIGHT SATURDAY. COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO DRAW SOUTH
RESULTING IN SNOW ACROSS THE INTERIOR TOWARDS THE COAST BECOMING
FLUFFIER.

MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO MIDDAY SATURDAY...
BECOMING LIGHTER INTO LATE MORNING HOURS SATURDAY...GRADUALLY
TAPERING WEST TO EAST AS THE SURFACE LOW EXITS OUT INTO THE
ATLANTIC INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

*/SNOWFALL AMOUNTS...

SW-NE SNOW-BANDING IS ANTICIPATED ALONG AND PIVOTING WITH THE NW
QUADRANT OF THE MID-LVL LOW COINCIDENT WITH FAVORABLE ISENTROPIC
TROWALING OF THETAE...MID-LVL FRONTOGENESIS...AND DEEP-LAYER
ENHANCED ASCENT.

IT IS WITHIN THESE REGIONS THAT 3 INCH/HR SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE
QUITE POSSIBLE.
BANDS MAY BE ONLY 5 TO 10 MILES IN WIDTH...AND WITH
THE DYNAMICLY DEEP NATURE OF THE STORM IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION
WE MAY SEE THUNDER-SNOW. BUT THE KEY IS THE LOCATION OF THE H85-7
LOW AS THE PLACEMENT OF WHICH AND THE ATTENDANT DYNAMICS WILL
DETERMINE WHO SEES THE HEAVIEST OF SNOWS. THERE REMAINS AN
UNCERTAINTY AS DETERMINISTIC SOLNS VARY TO SLIGHT DEGREES IN
PLACEMENT OF THE H85-7 LOW.

ASIDE...WITH MORE FAVORABILITY TOWARDS THE ECMWF...A LOW-MID LVL
BAND SETUP IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS SE NEW ENGLAND COINCIDENT WITH
THE BETTER DEFORMATION ZONE OF THE LOW /PARALLEL AND LIKELY ALONG
THE I-95 CORRIDOR BETWEEN BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE
/. NO SURPRISE...AS
CLIMATOLOGICALLY WITH A SURFACE LOW CROSSING OVER THE 40N/70W
BENCHMARK THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE ORIENTED ALONG AND ACROSS THE
I-95 CORRIDOR. WILL SET MY SIGHTS OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN
THIS VICINITY.

A MORE MID-LVL BANDING SETUP APPEARS LIKELY FROM THE SOUTHERN HUDSON
RIVER VALLEY ACROSS W MA TOWARDS THE SHORELINE OF MAINE.

A MAJORITY OF THE BANDING WILL OCCUR BEGINNING AROUND THE FRIDAY
EVENING COMMUTE INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

WILL KEEP THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ACROSS E/SE NEW ENGLAND WITH THE
EXPECTATION OF WHITE OUT CONDITIONS UNDER HIGH WIND CRITERIA.
ANTICIPATING A LULL IN SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY
BETWEEN THE TWO AFOREMENTIONED BANDING SIGNATURES. LESSER AMOUNTS
OVER THE EASTERN CAPE AND TOWARDS THE ISLANDS DUE TO THE INITIAL
MIXING WITH RAIN.

HAVE GONE WITH BLIZZARD WARNINGS FOR CT/RI AND E/SE MA EXCLUDING
NANTUCKET. ALL OTHER LOCATIONS UNDER A WINTER STORM WARNING. WILL
SET THE TIMING FROM FRIDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY...WITH THE
EXPECTATION OF THE WORST OF THE CONDITIONS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

*/WINDS...

STRONGEST WINDS CENTER AROUND FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY OUT OF THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST. RULES OF THUMB...HALVING THE H85 FLOW NETS AN
ESTIMATE OF EXPECTED SURFACE WINDS OF AROUND 45 TO 50 MPH...WHILE AN
EVALUATION OF THE SURFACE PRESSURE DIFFERENTIAL NETS AN ESTIMATE OF
AROUND 60 MPH.

CONSIDERING LOCAL CASE STUDIES AND CLIMATOLOGY BASED ON PRESSURE
DIFFERENTIALS AND H925/85 WINDS...WE WILL HIT HIGH WIND WARNING
CRITERIA FOR A MAJORITY OF EASTERN AND ALL OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW
ENGLAND.

CONSIDERING THE PROXIMITY OF THE SURFACE LOW...PRECIPITATION DRAG
PROCESSES...AND A MOIST-ADIABATIC VERTICAL PROFILE UP TO H925 WHERE
N/NE WINDS MAX UP TO AROUND 90 MPH...AM EXPECTING GUSTS AROUND 30
MPH FOR FAR NW MA...INCREASING SOUTH AND EAST WITH GUSTS ACROSS SE
MA INCLUDING THE CAPE/ISLANDS AND ADJACENT WATERS OF AROUND 80 MPH.
CLIMATOLOGICALLY...BASED ON THE LOW PASSING OVER THE 40N/70W BENCH-
MARK...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE I-95 CORRIDOR
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CAPE/ISLANDS AND ADJACENT WATERS.


AS MENTIONED EARLIER...DRAW DOWN OF COLDER AIR WILL MAKE THE SNOW
FLUFFIER IN NATURE. ANTICIPATING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RESULTING
IN DRIFTS OF AROUND 5 FEET.

IN AREAS WHERE THE BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN EFFECT...THE GENERAL
PUBLIC SHOULD BE AWARE THAT HIGH WIND CRITERIA ARE INCLUSIVE NOT
REQUIRING THE ISSUANCE OF A HIGH WIND WARNING. THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL OF HIGH WINDS WILL BE ACROSS E/SE MA INTO RI...THE
STRONGEST ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SHORES.

HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS FOR THE OUTER WATERS...WITH STORM
WARNINGS FOR THE INNER WATERS.


*/MARINE IMPACTS...

PLEASE SEE THE MARINE SECTION NEAR THE BOTTOM OF THE DISCUSSION.

*/COASTAL FLOODING...

PLESE SEE THE COASTAL FLOODING SECTION AT THE BOTTOM OF THE
DISCUSSION.

*/PREPAREDNESS...

PLEASE SEE THE SNOW BRIEFING PAGE ON WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON FOR
PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
BIG PICTURE... UPPER LOW OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST DIPS TO THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST BY FRIDAY...THEN TURNS THE CORNER AND LIFTS TO THE
GREAT LAKES MONDAY. PART OF THE UPPER LOW LINGERS OVER THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE WEEK...BUT THEN SWEEPS NORTHEAST TOWARD NEW
ENGLAND DURING MIDWEEK. GOOD AGREEMENT BETWEEN GFS AND EMCWF UPPER
FLOWS THROUGH TUESDAY FOLLOWED BY SMALL DIVERGENCE MIDWEEK.

THE DAILIES...

SATURDAY NIGHT... MAJOR STORM DEPARTS EAST SATURDAY NIGHT.
LINGERING EVENING SNOW ON THE CAPE BUT SHOULD END QUICKLY.
STRONGEST PRESSURE RISES SHOULD BE OFFSHORE...BUT STILL 2MB/HOUR
RISES ARE EXPECTED EARLY AT NIGHT AND 1 MB/HOUR LATE. SO SUSTAINED
WINDS WILL BE STRONG DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE NIGHT FOLLOWED BY
DIMINISHING SPEEDS OVERNIGHT. SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MIXING TO
SUPPORT 50 KNOT/60 MPH GUSTS EARLY...BUT THIS ALSO DIMINISHES
OVERNIGHT. TEMPS ARE A BLEND OF MOS.

THE COMBINATION OF WIND AND COLD AIR WILL BRING WIND CHILLS BELOW
ZERO ALMOST EVERYWHERE...AND BELOW -10F OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
OUR AREA. THERE MEANS A POTENTIAL FOR A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN
PARTS OF THE AREA.

SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. FAIR WEATHER WITH
DIMINISHING WIND. TEMPS ARE A BLEND OF MOS.

MONDAY... LOW PRESSURE SURFACE AND ALOFT MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES. THIS SWINGS A FRONT THROUGH NEW ENGLAND LATE MONDAY OR
MONDAY NIGHT. INCREASING MOISTURE ALOFT...SO EXPECT INCREASING
CLOUDS MONDAY MORNING. GOOD ISENTROPIC LIFT IS FORECAST TO REACH US
LATE MORNING WITH 25-30 MB/HOUR VALUES AT 850 MB MONDAY AFTERNOON.
MODEL CONSENSUS MATCHES WELL THIS THIS...ALL SHOW MEASUREABLE PCPN
WEST OF US AT 12Z MONDAY AND OVERSPREADING THIS AREA BY 18Z. OUR
FORECAST FEATURES CHANCE POPS ARRIVING MID TO LATE MORNING WITH
MAXIMUM VALUES TOWARD 00Z. DIMINISHING POPS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE
FRONT MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION...SO
EXPECT QUIET WEATHER. MIXING POTENTIAL FOR WINDS WOULD FAVOR 25 KNOT
GUSTS TUESDAY.

THURSDAY...UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. THE ECMWF IS DRY WITH THIS
PASSAGE WHILE THE GFS GENERATES A MAJOR LOW PRESSURE AREA WITH WIND
AND RAIN. MUCH UNCERTAINTY AT THIS STAGE...WE FEATURE CHANCE POPS
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PART OF THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE A MAJOR
QUESTION. OUR BLEND OF GUIDENCE YIELDS A CHANCE OF FREEZING
RAIN...BUT WITH NO CONFIDENCE ON THE TRACK OF ANY DEVELOPING LOW
THERE IS NO CONFIDENCE IN ANY RESULTING PRECIP TYPE. AT THIS STAGE
PEOPLE SHOULD TAKE FROM THE FORECAST THAT THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME
KIND OF PCPN BUT NOT LOCK INTO ANY PCPN TYPES.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...
LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

OVERVIEW... HIGH CONFIDENCE TONIGHT. MODERATE CONFIDENCE
FRIDAY... MAINLY WITH REGARDS TO TIMING OF ONSET OF LOW
CONDITIONS. HIGH CONFIDENCE FRI NGT INTO SAT AM...THEN SLIGHTLY
LOWER CONFIDENCE SAT AFTN ON TIMING OF IMPROVING CONDITIONS.

TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...
DRY FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT WITH VFR CIGS AND NO VSBY RESTRICTIONS.
LOWER /MVFR/ CIGS ARRIVE TOWARD DAYBREAK WITH MVFR VSBYS TOWARD
MID MORNING.

FRI AFTN...CONDITIONS LOWER TO IFR DURING THE AFTN AND LIFR BY
EVENING AS THE SNOW INCREASES. SNOW ALL TERMINALS EXCEPT POSSIBLY
MIXING WITH RAIN AT ACK. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE WITH
SURFACE VALUES REACHING 25-40 KNOTS BY EVENING...EAST WINDS AT
2000 FEET WILL REACH 60 KNOTS ALONG THE SOUTH COAST BY
EVENING...BRINGING POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR.

FRI NIGHT...IFR/LIFR ALL TERMINALS AND VERY STRONG WINDS EASTERN
MA WITH NE WINDS G60KT ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. WINDS AT
2000 FEET AGL WILL GUST 60-80 KNOTS BOS-PVD-CAPE AND ISLANDS.
GUSTS 35-50 KT POSSIBLE FARTHER WEST. SNOWFALL RATES 1-2 IN PER
HOUR ALL TERMINALS.

SAT...IFR/LIFR ALL TERMINALS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OF 1-2 IN
PER HOUR IN THE AM FOR EASTERN MA AND RI. G60KT REMAIN POSSIBLE
CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. THEN IMPROVING FROM WEST TO EAST DURING
THE AFTERNOON WITH CONDITIONS POSSIBLY IMPROVING TO MVFR ALONG
WITH WINDS SLOWLY DIMINISHING.

KBOS TAF...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF

KBDL TAF...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

OUTLOOK...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

SATURDAY NIGHT...LINGERING STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS EARLY
ESPECIALLY AROUND BOSTON AND THE CAPE/ISLANDS WITH POTENTIAL GUSTS
40-50 KNOTS. WINDS DIMINISH DURING THE NIGHT.

SUNDAY...VFR WITH DIMINISHING WIND.

MONDAY...VFR EARLY BUT WITH LOWERING CIGS THROUGH THE DAY. MVFR
CIGS AND MVFR/IFR VSBYS IN RAIN AND SNOW LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT.

TUESDAY...
VFR WITH WEST WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE. SCA HEADLINES FOR MOST
WATERS FOR MARGINAL 25 KNOT WIND GUSTS TONIGHT IN THE COLD AIR
ADVECTION PATTERN. SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE BELOW SCA BY EARLY
MORNING THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILD ACROSS THE WATERS.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS STORM FOR MARINERS. WE BRING WINDS AND SEAS UP LATE FRI
THROUGH FRI NIGHT. THE 12Z WAVE WATCH DEPICTED 35 FT BY SAT
MORNING E OF CAPE COD...AND USUALLY IN WELL MIXED NE OR N FLOW WE
CONSIDER ADDING ANOTHER 20 PERCENT. HAVE A FAIRLY LARGE AREA OF
COASTAL WATERS EXPOSED TO A LONG FETCH IN THE 25 TO 35 FT
RANGE...WITH PEAK VALUES OF 37 FT E OF CAPE COD. THESE ARE RATHER
EXTREME BUT SUPPORTED BY 70 TO 80 KT LOW LEVEL JET IN ECMWF...GFS
AND NAM MODELS AND A FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL THERMAL PROFILE. SEAS
BEGIN TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE SAT AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

SATURDAY NIGHT... DIMINISHING NORTH WINDS. WINDS AT STORM FORCE
EARLY AT NIGHT BUT DIMINISHING TO GALES OR LIGHTER BY SUNRISE.
DIMINISHING SEAS...BUT STILL HAZARDOUS ON THE EASTERN WATERS AND
SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE WIND AND COLD AIR WILL
GENERATE FREEZING SPRAY CONDITIONS OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

SUNDAY...
DIMINISHING WINDS AND SEAS AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE
WATERS. LINGERING FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING.

MONDAY... INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL GUST TO 25 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SEAS NEAR 5 FEET
TOWARD EVENING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS AT NIGHT WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS EARLY AND WEST WINDS LATE.

TUESDAY...WEST WINDS GUSTING TO 25 KT AND SEAS NEAR 5 FEET MUCH OF
THE DAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
*** COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM SALISBURY MA
SOUTHWARD TO MARTHAS VINEYARD FOR THE FRI EVENING AND SAT
MORNING HIGH TIDE ***

MASSACHUSETTS COASTLINE...

TWO HIGH TIDE CYCLES PRESENT CONCERN...FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY
MORNING. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL E...NE
AND N FACING SHORELINES ALONG THE MA COAST FOR BOTH THE FRI
EVENING AND SAT MORNING HIGH TIDES. FOR THE FRI EVENING HIGH
TIDE...ONSHORE WINDS...SURGE AND SEAS WILL BE RAMPING UP. WE THINK
THE SURGE WILL BE GETTING INTO THE 2 TO 3 FT RANGE AND SEAS A
LITTLE OFFSHORE IN THE 15 TO 20 FT RANGE BY THE TIME OF THE HIGH
TIDE...GENERALLY BETWEEN 930 PM AND 10 PM. THIS RESULTS IN A MINOR
TO MODERATE IMPACT.

THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE MAY BE THE MORE SERIOUS
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 47 Comments: 11709
536. BahaHurican
1:42 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting schwankmoe:
if rhode island was really worried about this storm, it could just stick itself on a postage stamp and mail itself to florida.

Wouldn't get delivered until Monday, though, so it'd still catch the storm.... in a mailbox somewhere, yet...
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22728
535. LargoFl
1:42 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
- WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
410 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

NYZ001-002-010-011-080515-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.130208T0600Z-130209T1000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
410 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO
5 AM EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW...MIXING WITH SLEET AT TIMES FRIDAY
MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL 6 TO 12 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE OR LESS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL RESULT IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL. SNOW WILL FALL
ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION...WITH THE WORST CONDITIONS EXPECTED
DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. IT IS DURING THIS TIME THAT THE BULK
OF THE SNOW WILL FALL.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
534. GTcooliebai
1:40 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
This would be epic for sure.

Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
533. LargoFl
1:39 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting aislinnpaps:
Be careful, Largo, and stay safe.

I'm hearing from friends who aren't able to fly into NY tomorrow for the Westminster Dog Show. They're hoping to be able to go Saturday, but I seriously doubt it.

Alot are talking about the storm there this weekend six years ago and trying to climb over snowbanks to get to the dog show. As Largo said, the drifts can be bad. In NYC there isn't anywhere for snow to go but to push up against things, making getting around difficult.
yes its going to be a bad storm up there..they may very well cancel the show, i heard alot of schools etc will be closed,most people will take tomorrow off work i bet
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
532. wxchaser97
1:38 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
HPC has me in the high chance of 4+" and slight chance of 8+". For some areas in the NE, they are in the high risk for 12+".

Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
531. Civicane49
1:37 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting AGWcreationists:
I'm very glad to see the some improvement forecast in the Four Corners region, I have a good friend who lives out there who is worried about the fire danger this coming fire season.


According to the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), the Four Corners area is forecast to have above normal precipitation by the end of this month. The drought should continue to slowly improve there.

Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
530. aislinnpaps
1:35 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Be careful, Largo, and stay safe.

I'm hearing from friends who aren't able to fly into NY tomorrow for the Westminster Dog Show. They're hoping to be able to go Saturday, but I seriously doubt it.

Alot are talking about the storm there this weekend six years ago and trying to climb over snowbanks to get to the dog show. As Largo said, the drifts can be bad. In NYC there isn't anywhere for snow to go but to push up against things, making getting around difficult.
Member Since: August 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 3167
529. LargoFl
1:35 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
guess there will be alot of coastal flooding with this storm huh..........COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
716 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ350-081145-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
716 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY EVENING...
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
528. LargoFl
1:29 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting Bluestorm5:
For those in Florida, here's what the radar's like on GRLevel3. Strong thunderstorm coming across the state tonight.



..thanks we really need this rain, been so dry lately
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
527. oldnewmex
1:28 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Impressive predictions for wind-driven snow. This (almost) rivals our mountain storms over Donner Pass, but IN THE CITY. What a mess.
Member Since: January 28, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 196
526. LargoFl
1:27 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
remember NYC..there is a Hurricane force wind warning that goes INTO NY harbor..having grown up in manhattan i know what that means..Blowing snow and drifts big time..doesnt matter if it IS only 18 inches or so..with that wind its not going to be much fun
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
525. Bluestorm5
1:25 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
For those in Florida, here's what the radar's like on GRLevel3. Strong thunderstorm coming across the state tonight.



Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8075
524. LargoFl
1:24 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
4 hours old but..........URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
355 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...MAJOR WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE TRI-STATE AREA FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY...

NJZ006-104-106-108-NYZ071>075-176-178-080500-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0001.130208T1800Z-130209T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.130208T1100Z-130209T1800Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN QUEENS-
355 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST
SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY...AND
COASTAL PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 10 TO 14 INCHES...WITH
LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS WITHIN DEVELOPING SNOW BANDS.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE 20S BY FRIDAY EVENING.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR FRIDAY
EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW AND WINDS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO IN WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS.
IN ADDITION...SOME TREE LIMBS WILL BE DOWNED...CAUSING SCATTERED
POWER OUTAGES.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
523. AGWcreationists
1:21 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Excuse me, but we have traffic jams bigger than Rhode Island in Texas. :)
I think a few states have parking lots bigger than Rhode Island.
Member Since: November 25, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 492
522. AGWcreationists
1:20 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting Civicane49:
Drought monitor and outlook are released:



I'm very glad to see the some improvement forecast in the Four Corners region, I have a good friend who lives out there who is worried about the fire danger this coming fire season.
Member Since: November 25, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 492
521. Some1Has2BtheRookie
1:19 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
THE ENTIRE STATES OF CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND ARE UNDER A BLIZZARD WARNING...not all the time an entire US state is under such conditions


Excuse me, but we have traffic jams bigger than Rhode Island in Texas. :)
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4772
520. LargoFl
1:18 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting 900MB:


is that a salmon color, 30-40 inches NYC on the Nam model?
someone said earlier, that the Nam was going overboard on amounts, then again, the NWS IS saying amounts Over 2 feet are not out of the question..they did mention 5 ft drifts..we'll see when this is over how well the nam did against models like the GFS etc.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
519. goalexgo
1:17 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
winter storm nemo spelled backwards is:

RETNIW MROTS OMEN!!!!!!!!

Coincidence.....or, an Omen?
Member Since: June 28, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 127
518. VR46L
1:15 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting LargoFl:
the booming is shaking my windows lol..this dont usually happen in winter here, its our dry season


Be careful! but you will be grateful of the rain tomorrow
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
517. LargoFl
1:15 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
516. 900MB
1:15 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting LargoFl:


is that a salmon color, 30-40 inches NYC on the Nam model?
Member Since: June 11, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 684
515. VR46L
1:14 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Its all about where one low will catch the other

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
514. LargoFl
1:13 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
the booming is shaking my windows lol..this dont usually happen in winter here, its our dry season
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
513. Civicane49
1:12 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
512. LargoFl
1:11 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
511. Civicane49
1:11 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
510. VR46L
1:11 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quite a bit of convection in the two lows everyone is watching

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
509. etxwx
1:10 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Dang, this storm has the wind, surge, and damage potential of tropical type weather with the added danger of hypothermia. Not good. Be smart and be safe folks. Get ready for it. Here's a repost of preparedness links:

Ready.gov Winter Storms

WU Winter Preparedness
Member Since: September 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1528
508. Civicane49
1:09 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Drought monitor and outlook are released:



Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
507. LargoFl
1:09 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
I guess tonight is My storm night lol..man we really needed this rain
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
506. LargoFl
1:08 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
looks like Ft Meyers WILL get this later tonight...
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
505. VR46L
1:07 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quite a bit still to come to the tampa area

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
504. AGWcreationists
1:07 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Winter Storm #1 (Nemo):



Winter Storm #2:



Winter Storm #3:



Winter Storm #4:



Welcome back, Winter.
Me no like. Me REALLY no like. I like 2 inch snowstorms on Saturdays that give my cousin snow removal work while not causing me problems with my walking commute on nether regions of the Philly burbs where pedestrians are an endangered species.
Member Since: November 25, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 492
503. LargoFl
1:05 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
some heavy stuff heading into sarasota now.....
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
502. wxchaser97
1:04 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
I made these earlier in the afternoon, they still mostly reflect my thinking.

Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
501. LargoFl
1:03 AM GMT on February 08, 2013
wow..check out the Lightning on radar...........
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
Quoting AGWcreationists:
Here in far Eastern Montgomery County, PA, I have watched us go from no warnings to a Winter Weather Advisory to a Winter Storm Warning in a few hours time.

Bad trend for someone who walks five miles a day as part of his commute. Good thing I can work from home via VPN.

Just as a hat tip to the bloggers here, my cousin does snow removal in far west Montco. From the models and discussions posted here, I told him to expect more (and longer) snow than what was currently forecast. An hour later, he called me back to say there had been a Winter Storm Warning posted.

I am also the weather source at work. I had over a dozen co-workers IM me as to what to expect tomorrow.

I may disagree with a lot of y'all on AGW, but this place rocks when it comes to weather.
im sure the folks here appreciate that..when a bad storm occurs we do try to cover it from all angles..especially in hurricane season..stay safe up there
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
Quoting LargoFl:


Day-um, unless that northern cluster drops real quick upon Bradenton, I'm just getting a vehicle pollen 'spotter'... It's just spittin' outside now. Can hear the 'boomers off to the north. Drats!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Here in far Eastern Montgomery County, PA, I have watched us go from no warnings to a Winter Weather Advisory to a Winter Storm Warning in a few hours time.

Bad trend for someone who walks five miles a day as part of his commute. Good thing I can work from home via VPN.

Just as a hat tip to the bloggers here, my cousin does snow removal in far west Montco. From the models and discussions posted here, I told him to expect more (and longer) snow than what was currently forecast. An hour later, he called me back to say there had been a Winter Storm Warning posted.

I am also the weather source at work. I had over a dozen co-workers IM me as to what to expect tomorrow.

I may disagree with a lot of y'all on AGW, but this place rocks when it comes to weather.
Member Since: November 25, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 492
gusting over 40 mph whew........
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
Here's my forecast for Winter Storm Nemo:



Click on image for clearer picture.
Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 8075
...A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES
FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING NEAR THE COASTAL CAROLINA`S LATE TODAY...
WILL RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO A POSITION 100 TO 150 MILES
EAST OF ATLANTIC CITY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THEN TO NEAR NANTUCKET
EARLY SATURDAY.

THE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS PORTION OF THIS STORM IS FOR THE FRIDAY
EVENING RUSH HOUR INTO THE WEE HOURS OF SATURDAY MORNING WHEN
TREACHEROUS ROAD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP.

BE PREPARED FOR MAJOR TRAVEL DELAYS LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
Quoting VR46L:


You Take Care Largo.

I know one lady will be praying it makes it as far as Fortmyers

thanks booming like crazy outside..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
493. VR46L
Quoting LargoFl:
getting some good rains here..along with plenty of Lightning and Thunder..cable went out on me


You Take Care Largo.

I know one lady will be praying it makes it as far as Fortmyers

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
Moisture made it onto Delaware radar already............
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
This is going to be one Serious storm especially for the northeast coastline..Hurricane force winds..................COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
716 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY OUT 20 NM OFFSHORE
INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND...LONG ISLAND BAYS AND NEW YORK HARBOR

ANZ350-081145-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
716 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EST FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...INCREASING
TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...
BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER
MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF SNOW LATE. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...E WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT...BECOMING NE
35 TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT...BUILDING TO 13 TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN
THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 40 TO 50 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 KT...BECOMING
NW 40 TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 KT LATE. SEAS 19 TO 24 FT...
SUBSIDING TO 15 TO 20 FT LATE. SNOW...MIXED WITH RAIN IN THE
EVENING. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.SAT...NW WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 TO
18 FT...SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 11 FT. SNOW...SLOWLY TAPERING OFF IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT...BECOMING
NW 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 TO
10 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING TO
10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...SUBSIDING
TO 2 TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS AROUND 10 KT...BECOMING SW IN THE LATE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
.MON...S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...BUILDING
TO 5 TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. VSBY 1 TO 3 NM.
.TUE...W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NW 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO
7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT.

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42090
XX/XX/XXL
WINTER STORM WARNING BLIZZARD WATCH
HIGH WIND ADV HEAVY SNOW WARNING
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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