Wild weather week ends; Mississippi River rises out of danger zone

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:44 PM GMT on February 01, 2013

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One of the most unusual weeks of January weather in U.S. history has drawn to a close, and residents of the Southeast are cleaning up after a ferocious 2-day outbreak of severe weather. NWS damage surveys have found that at least 42 tornadoes touched down on January 29 - 30, making it the 3rd largest January tornado outbreak since records began in 1950. Here are the largest January tornado outbreaks since 1950:

129 1/21 - 1/22 1999
50 1/7 - 1/8 2008
42 1/29 - 1/30 2013
40 1/9 1/10 1975

As wunderground's Angela Fritz wrote in her blog today, the powerful tornado that ripped through Adairsville, Georgia, northwest of Atlanta, at 11:19 am EST Thursday morning, killing one person, has been rated a high-end EF-3 with 160 mph winds. At least seven other tornadoes in the outbreak were EF-2s. Damaging winds reports for the 2-day period numbered 597, the highest 2-day January total since NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) began tabulating these in 2000. The severe weather outbreak was fueled an air mass that set many all-time January records for warmth and moisture, as detailed by our weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, in his latest post, A Wild Ride Weather-wise for the Eastern Half of the U.S. the past Four Days.


Figure 1. Damage to the Daiki Corporation factory in Adairsville, GA, after the January 30, 2013 EF-3 tornado. Image credit: Dr. Greg Forbes, TWC.


Figure 2. Severe weather reports for the month of January; 597 reports of damaging winds were recorded January 29 - 30. Image credit: NOAA/SPC.

Mississippi River rising
This week's storm brought widespread rains of 1 - 2" to Missouri and Illinois, along the drainage basin of the stretch of the Mississippi River that was so low as to threaten to stop barge traffic. Happily, the rains have caused the river to rise by more than seven feet over the past week, along the stretch from St. Louis to Thebes, Illinois. Thanks to this much-needed bump in river levels, plus the future run-off that will occur from the snows that have accumulated in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Iowa, I expect no potential low water closures of the Mississippi until June at the earliest. According to today's newly-released Drought Monitor, though, the area of the contiguous U.S. in moderate or greater drought remained unchanged at 58% this week. It will be dry across the core of the drought region for at least the next week; the GFS model is predicting that the next chance of significant precipitation for the drought region will be Saturday, February 9. Don't bet on this happening, though, since the model has been inconsistent with its handling of the storm. The drought has killed hundreds of thousands of trees across the Midwest, and many more will succumb during the next few years. According to Brian Fuchs, a climatologist with the National Drought Mitigation Center, drought was present in at least isolated spots in all 50 states of the U.S. for the first time in history during 2012.


Figure 3. The water level in the Mississippi River at St. Louis was at -4' early this week, just above the all-time record low of -6.2' set in 1940. However, rains from this week's storm have raised water levels by seven feet. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.


Figure 4. The liquid equivalent of melting all the snow on the ground present on February 1, 2013. Widespread amounts of water equivalent to 0.39" - 2" of rain are present over Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Iowa, which is near average for this time of year. When this snow melts, it will raise the level of the Mississippi River and aid barge navigation. Image credit: NOAA/National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center.

Links
Adairsville Tornado Recap, Photos, and Video from Angela Fritz

A Wild Ride Weather-wise for the Eastern Half of the U.S. the past Four Days by wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt.

Tornado Expert Sees "Staggering" Damage in Georgia



Have a great Groundhog's Day and Super Sunday, everyone!

Jeff Masters

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Quoting Astrometeor:
My NWS is still doing storm surveying. They had initially planned two days, now are up to their fourth day. We are at 14 tornadoes, and they have two spots left according to them, that they want to check out.

One EF0 passed just a 1/4 mile from my friend's house. I am going to ask him tomorrow if he heard anything.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32811
My NWS is still doing storm surveying. They had initially planned two days, now are up to their fourth day. We are at 14 tornadoes, and they have two spots left according to them, that they want to check out.

One EF0 passed just a 1/4 mile from my friend's house. I am going to ask him tomorrow if he heard anything.
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Good morning and happy Groundhog Day everyone.

If the current CPC forecasts are correct, then we may actually get an early spring. Both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day have good chances for above average temperatures in the eastern half of the country. Of course, those forecasts are likely to change. No matter what the temperatures turn out to be, it looks like precipitation should remain above average, to some degree, in the eastern half to 2/3rds of the country.

Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7972
The Best Track for Hurricane Chris has been finalized by the NHC, meaning we should see its Tropical Cyclone Report sometime this upcoming week.

Looks like a peak intensity of 75 knots (85 mph):

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32811
Quoting CybrTeddy:


This year is already starting to remind me of 2012's severe weather setup, active and insane through March, but below average once we get to the thick of it.

Yeah, but I doubt we stay on the same course as 2012. It was the least active season in a decade. My forecast for this year is average to slightly above average tornado activity, especially across...*bites tongue*...the Southern Plains and Southeast, mainly due to an unusually intense jet stream and much warmer than average sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32811
256. Skyepony (Mod)

For just the 16th time in his 127 years of predicting whether winter will end soon or linger on, renowned rodent prognosticator Punxsutawney Phil failed to see his shadow. It happened just before 7:30 a.m., eliciting frenzied cheers from the otherwise frozen crowd. Because, as the folklore goes, spring should be right around the corner.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
wow...getting closer to Jolle... the 930 mb beast storm


939 mb is probably the lowest pressure it'll attain since it has risen to 949 mb at 12z today. Still a massive storm, though!
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Quoting VR46L:


Hi P'cola , Yeah it going to be like that for a few days over the next week . Noticed its clear by you at the moment too . Anyway going to makethe most of the afternoon and get a good walk in .:)


I bet your happier with todays weather..
Yeah it's clear around here..
Just a bit chilly at 37 degrees..
Enjoy your walk.. :)




A couple of Webcams from my area..



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252. VR46L
Quoting pcola57:


Good Morning VR46L and All..

GOES 13 East has a few Image issues this am..




Not as cloudy as yesterday so far for you VRL..





Hi P'cola , Yeah it going to be like that for a few days over the next week . Noticed its clear by you at the moment too . Anyway going to makethe most of the afternoon and get a good walk in .:)
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
Quoting VR46L:
Morning Folks...Not alot going on weatherwize..Have a great day



Good Morning VR46L and All..

GOES 13 East has a few Image issues this am..




Not as cloudy as yesterday so far for you VR46L..



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I won't be around much the next few days as I have ran out of internet allowance and it's now being curtailed to being very slow. So slow it takes 5mins for 1 page here to load.

I will leave you with a few Photo's and a video of Bundaberg in Queensland. The people there have been able to return home only to find heart break and everything covered in mud. Take care and I'll see you soon.


Bundaberg Netball courts.


A peek of sunshine over the Burnett River highlights flood ravaged banks.


Damage in North Bundaberg following the floods.



Simone Dench returns to her ruined home in North Bundaberg.

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249. VR46L
Morning Folks...Not alot going on weatherwize..Have a great day

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312hr
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Punxstawney Phill has spoken: No Shadow=Early Spring
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Quoting Jedkins01:


See, here's the problem. Even if it was proven entirely true that the sun is playing a role in Climate Change. It doesn't change the fact that adding massive amounts of CO2 into the air is a serious problem.

There is plenty of evidence for that. While I completely stand by the fact that we don't know how much warming is natural or man made. Certainly there's nothing wrong with doing research on potential natural causes vs. human causes. Any person who calls themselves a scientists should be open to possible new discovery. However, it still does not change what is know about pollution.


If scientists came to a conclusion that change in solar activity accounts for some of the warming, it wouldn't for an instant mean it's ok for us to continue to pollute the atmosphere with burning oil. We know what constantly adding CO2 to the atmosphere does, its not fresh news.




I like your point of view. I think the most positive message on taking care of the planet I've personally ever heard was actually at Sea World. They have a show called One Ocean. It wasn't preachy and they didn't shove it down your throat. But they talk about the diversity of life here on the planet and how we should take care of it so we can pass it on to future generations. I mean really it's common sense, but they present it in a manner that actually makes me want to do something about it. That's my only gripe about all the AGW talk is that there is a lot of bickering and negativity. None of that fixes anything. If people really want to change how things are, lead by example. I'll leave you guys with this:


"Be the change you want to see in the world." Mahatma Gandhi

Perfect weather for mountain biking today. Getting ready to hit the trails...
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Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
GFS has snow still around the great lakes next 2 days..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
505 AM CST SAT FEB 2 2013

...LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH...

.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID SOUTH THIS
MORNING AND SPREAD A LIGHT MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
REGION. LIGHT PRECIPITATION SHOULD COME TO AN END ACROSS THE
REGION BY LATER THIS MORNING.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
Good Morning Folks!...the blogs Coffee is perked for when you get here..enjoy..have a great day everyone!
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
IRG.... Me and bf are going out in a bit...Never know what marine forecast to believe... One says 2 to 4, another says 3 to 5'. Bottom fishing hasn't been too bad... Lot's of small Lane snapper and some porgies and triggerfish.
I' ve heard about the problems around Vero... St. Lucie had some problems in the past by releasing water from Lake Okeechobee


It is very far reaching and most simply do not get it. I try as hard as I can to educate folks, and help make them aware of the problems but the bottom line is, most simply don't care until it hurts their pocketbook. Very few folks realize that not only does the health of the lagoon impact those along its shores, but the offshore fishery is also dependent upon the Indian River lagoon.

The reason Stuart is the sailfish capitol of the world, and why we have a great king mackerel, dolphin and wahoo fishery is the lagoon. Our pinfish, pigfish and mullet go offshore to the inside edge of the Gulfstream and spawn. That spawn is the food magnet for all the other fisheries. It is speculated that the large number of sharks close aboard our shores and in the inlets are because they are hunting for the expected food that did not arrive, so they are hunting it. They are taste testing surfers and tourists.

This coming week is filled with three days of symposiums at Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institute. We will be getting the results of the latest investigations and studies from the best scientists studying the lagoon. The word is that there is no good news. The most diverse estuary in all of north America is collapsing from nutrient loads from storm water runoff... green lawns. We have begun to lose millions of the 3.72 Billion the lagoons inject into our economies, and it will likely just get worse.

The city of Rockledge is voting on a fertilizer ordinance that would help on Wednesday but with only 7 days notice, it is hard to generate a presence. Almost everyone that matters on the advocacy side are already committed to the symposiums. That includes me.
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Quoting stormchaser43:
Interesting. Turns out I may need smaller thongs afterall. Hell, at the rate we're going, I won't be wearing anything...

Link

Report shows UN admitting solar activity may play significant role in global warming?

The Earth has been getting warmer -- but how much of that heat is due to greenhouse gas emissions and how much is due to natural causes?

A leaked report by a United Nations%u2019 group dedicated to climate studies says that heat from the sun may play a larger role than previously thought.

%u201C[Results] do suggest the possibility of a much larger impact of solar variations on the stratosphere than previously thought, and some studies have suggested that this may lead to significant regional impacts on climate,%u201D reads a draft copy of a major, upcoming report from the U.N.%u2019s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPC


Read more: Link


A possible explanation for why solar variation may have a greater influence on temperatures on the ground than the physics predicts, could involve what happens to the troposphere when the stratosphere warms.

The troposphere is colder the higher up you go. However, a point is reached when temperature begins to increase with altitude. This is the lower stratosphere, where the warming results from high energy UV interacting with molecules, causing chemical reactions.

The boundary where this occurs is called the 'tropopause'. It's a real boundary layer, which prevents air from the troposphere and stratosphere from mixing, although hurricanes often overshoot it. It's responsible for the 'anvil' shape of high cumulus clouds. The tops of the clouds spread out when they encounter the boundary.

If the stratosphere warms due to incresed UV from the sun, the altitude of the tropopause will become lower. This means that the overall volume of the troposphere decreases. The volume that is lost is the coldest part, just under the tropopause, so the troposphere would warm as a result, increasing temperatures on the ground by more than physicists calculate. It may be that they're not taking this effect into account.
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Good morning. Good weather is expected this weekend in Puerto Rico.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
510 AM AST SAT FEB 2 2013

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. DRY AND STABLE ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
HOLDS THROUGH AT LEAST MID NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CLEAR SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OVERNIGHT. VERY LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY WAS
NOTED...MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE LOCAL REGION NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL INDUCE MAINLY EAST TO EAST NORTHEAST TRADE
WINDS...WHICH WILL TRANSPORT SOME ISOLATED PASSING SHOWERS FROM
TIME TO TIME TO THE LOCAL AREA. OVERALL...LITTLE SHOWER ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED DURING THE WEEKEND AS A VERY DRY AIR MASS ENCOMPASS THE
REGION FROM THE EAST. LATEST SJU-GFS COMPUTER MODEL INDICATED PW
VALUES WILL REMAIN BELOW 1.0 INCH THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK...WITH
ONLY PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AFFECTING THE REGION FORM TIME TO TIME.
IN GENERAL...VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED...WHICH IS TYPICAL
FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. IN THE LONG TERM...NO SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER EVENTS ARE FORECAST TO AFFECT THE REGION AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY
EAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS AT COASTAL AREAS.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS WILL REMAIN AT 6 FEET OR LESS ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 83 72 82 72 / 0 0 0 10
STT 84 72 83 72 / 10 0 0 10
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Quoting indianrivguy:
''

No its not, its right there with recent earthquake activity. Two of those squares are right there at the Sundra straight.



Mz Chicklit. Fishing is awful to the north of me. The northern lagoon is in a full nutrient driven collapse. More than half of all seagrass meadows north of Vero are gone in two years. 32,000 acres. Sad part is that as nothing has changed, it is very likely come spring, the brown algae blooms will reignite and could could lose even more.
IRG.... Me and bf are going out in a bit...Never know what marine forecast to believe... One says 2 to 4, another says 3 to 5'. Bottom fishing hasn't been too bad... Lot's of small Lane snapper and some porgies and triggerfish.
I' ve heard about the problems around Vero... St. Lucie had some problems in the past by releasing water from Lake Okeechobee
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Quoting PedleyCA:



That's like 4,000 miles East of Krakatau
''

No its not, its right there with recent earthquake activity. Two of those squares are right there at the Sundra straight.



Mz Chicklit. Fishing is awful to the north of me. The northern lagoon is in a full nutrient driven collapse. More than half of all seagrass meadows north of Vero are gone in two years. 32,000 acres. Sad part is that as nothing has changed, it is very likely come spring, the brown algae blooms will reignite and could could lose even more.
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Quoting Neapolitan:
Since Fox ix so adept at cherry-picking via omission, let's add the surrounding for context:

"These new [UV] measurements...are unlikely to alter estimates of the maximum absolute magnitude of the solar contribution to [radiative forcing], which remains small... However, they do suggest the possibility of a much larger impact of solar variations on the stratosphere than previously thought, and some studies have suggested that this may lead to significant regional impacts on climate...that are not necessarily reflected by the RF metric..."

So, a pre-publication draft of a report contributed to by a large and disparate group of scientists and fossil fuel-friendly politicians--and "leaked" by someone who promised not to release anything until publication--contains a passage that states that solar forcing, which is small compared to anthropogenic forcing, may contribute more to regional climates than previously thought--and this is enough to make someone change their beachwear?

Wow. What's going to happen when the actual report is published? ;-)

At any rate, the linked-to Fox piece is especially funny in that the chosen rebuttal witness is himself a well known and thoroughly discredited denialist, Patrick Michaels. Which brings up the point: why do you suppose it is that Fox steadfastly refuses to give voice to even a single one of the many thousands of credible scientists who support climate change theory, choosing to focus instead on the same dozen or so hard-core, fossil-fuels-uber-alles denialists?

Anyone?

Anyone?
"Bueller, Bueller ?"
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230. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #29
FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE FELLENG (07-20122013)
10:00 AM RET February 2 2013
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Felleng (975 hPa) located at 25.9S 51.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving south at 10 knots.

Storm Force Winds
==================
50 NM radius from the center, extending up to 60 NM in the eastern semi-circle

Gale Force Winds
=================
90 NM radius from the center, extending up to 120 NM in the southwestern quadrant, and up to 160 NM in the eastern semi-circle

Near Gale Force Winds
======================
140 NM radius from the center, extending up to 180 NM in the southwestern quadrant, up to 240 NM in the northeastern quadrant, and up to 280 NM in the southeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5/4.0/W0.5/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 28.0S 51.9E - 55 knots (Forte Tempête Tropical)
24 HRS: 29.9S 53.1E - 50 knots (Forte Tempête Tropical)
48 HRS: 34.2S 55.1E - Depression Extratropicale
72 HRS: 39.8S 59.2E - Depression Extratropicale

Additional Information
=======================
Position has been relocated more westward thanks to last SSMIS data of 0422z and 0129z. General pattern is due to the increasing westerly vertical wind shear about 20-25 knots according to CIMMS data. The convective activity remains asymmetric. A peripheral band extends far away eastward .

Available numerical weather prediction models are in good agreement related to the forecast track. They still forecast a south southeastward track until Monday late under the steering influence of mid-level ridge existing northeast of the system. Beyond, it should undergo the mid-latitudes steering flow and track faster east southeastward.

Over this forecast track, environmental conditions should continue to degrade (strengthening westerly vertical wind shear but especially sea surface temperature more and more cool from this evening). However, weakening of the winds should be slow.

On Sunday late, the system should begin its extratropical transition but winds should remain strong.
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Large area of dry, stable air throughout much of the Central Pacific Basin:

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From 2-6" in the advisory area there for west PA, WV, OH and KY
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting SteveDa1:


What a storm system that was, huh?

From record January heat, to a massive outbreak of tornadoes, to widespread high winds associated with severe storms and frontal passages, to blinding snow squalls, to a sub-950 mb deepening low up in the Labrador Sea.

In fact, it's now at 939 mb and apparently, still deepening!



wow...getting closer to Jolle... the 930 mb beast storm


Quoting AussieStorm:

It's much better to have small quakes more often. It doesn't allow stress to build up which would result in a major quake.


Hi, yeah we don't want any 8.6 or 9.0 anytime soon anywhere there.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
226. emguy
LOL...maybe the Weather Channel will crap its pants and name the Central Atlantic Storm to hype it up, as they do stupid stuff like that.

I'm amazed...Here in Kentucky, we got nailed pretty good last night... First we got decent snow for a few hours...then we got thundersnow...okay...so be it...no big deal, but we then got intense snow with winds of up to 50 MPH and complete whiteout conditions...then the temps dropped from 27 to 5 with a -10 windchill. A flash freeze of everything. Salt did not work, plows could not break it up. In a real sense, this was a storm:con 9/10 for the area, but the Weather Channel never issued a stormCON and the storm was not named. Of all of them...This is the one that deserved a name for us...Mean time...the storms they named for us did crap. Point being, the naming of winter storms is still seriously flawed...and the Weather Channel dropped the ball yet again big time. The Weather Channel is NOT the Weather Authority.
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Over the south Indian Ocean, Cyclone Felleng is moving away from Madagascar and the Reunion and Mauritius Islands. The storm will move south-southeastward and weaken further in unfavorable conditions. Felleng would dissipate by 96 hours.

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ASCAT pass of the cold-core low over the central Atlantic:

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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The number of confirmed tornadoes from January 29-30 is up to 46. This includes 18 EF0, 19 EF1, 8 EF2, 1 EF3.

Four more tornado confirmations and the event will be considered the second most active tornado outbreak on record for the month of January.

Will we make it?


What a storm system that was, huh?

From record January heat, to a massive outbreak of tornadoes, to widespread high winds associated with severe storms and frontal passages, to blinding snow squalls, to a sub-950 mb deepening low up in the Labrador Sea.

In fact, it's now at 939 mb and apparently, still deepening!


Click for much larger resolution.

Quite a storm...
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Quoting stormchaser43:
Interesting. Turns out I may need smaller thongs afterall. Hell, at the rate we're going, I won't be wearing anything...

Link

Report shows UN admitting solar activity may play significant role in global warming?

The Earth has been getting warmer -- but how much of that heat is due to greenhouse gas emissions and how much is due to natural causes?

A leaked report by a United Nations%u2019 group dedicated to climate studies says that heat from the sun may play a larger role than previously thought.

%u201C[Results] do suggest the possibility of a much larger impact of solar variations on the stratosphere than previously thought, and some studies have suggested that this may lead to significant regional impacts on climate,%u201D reads a draft copy of a major, upcoming report from the U.N.%u2019s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPC


Read more: Link


See, here's the problem. Even if it was proven entirely true that the sun is playing a role in Climate Change. It doesn't change the fact that adding massive amounts of CO2 into the air is a serious problem.

There is plenty of evidence for that. While I completely stand by the fact that we don't know how much warming is natural or man made. Certainly there's nothing wrong with doing research on potential natural causes vs. human causes. Any person who calls themselves a scientists should be open to possible new discovery. However, it still does not change what is know about pollution.


If scientists came to a conclusion that change in solar activity accounts for some of the warming, it wouldn't for an instant mean it's ok for us to continue to pollute the atmosphere with burning oil. We know what constantly adding CO2 to the atmosphere does, its not fresh news.


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221. Skyepony (Mod)
Cloudsat right through the middle of the Atlantic low..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Still shaking over here in the Pacific

Could a major quake hit this area...as a result?





It's much better to have small quakes more often. It doesn't allow stress to build up which would result in a major quake.
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.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The number of confirmed tornadoes from January 29-30 is up to 46. This includes 18 EF0, 19 EF1, 8 EF2, 1 EF3.

Four more tornado confirmations and the event will be considered the second most active tornado outbreak on record for the month of January.

Will we make it?


This year is already starting to remind me of 2012's severe weather setup, active and insane through March, but below average once we get to the thick of it.
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217. Skyepony (Mod)
At least 1,386 families were left homeless in Mbanza Kongo, Northern Zaire Province, following the heavy rains that hit the city on Tuesday night, says the civil protection and fire department. The rains destroyed 231 residences, being 122 in 11 de Novembro and 109 in SagradaEsperanca wards, surroundings of Mbanza Kongo city, adds the source. The rains also injured seven people that are receiving medical treatment in the local provincial hospital, says the department
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
216. Skyepony (Mod)
Despite controversy surrounding international sanctions, Iran has called on foreign aid to recover a $40 million natural gas platform after it sunk to the seabed in the Persian Gulf. Divers have been deployed to see how the 1,300-metric-ton platform can be pulled up, in the giant South Pars field, according to the state-owned Pars Oil and Gas Co. (POGC) Ltd. However, due to extreme weather conditions in the area, a recovery operation has not yet began. The platform sunk to the bottom of the Gulf on Monday night as it was being installed by POGC and its builder, Iranian Marine Industrial Co. (Sadra), which is controlled by Iran’s Revolutionary Guards. It took 2.5 years to build. An investigation into the cause of the sinking has been launched. No casualties have been reported in this incident.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
The number of confirmed tornadoes from January 29-30 is up to 46. This includes 18 EF0, 19 EF1, 8 EF2, 1 EF3.

Four more tornado confirmations and the event will be considered the second most active tornado outbreak on record for the month of January.

Will we make it?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32811
Quoting PedleyCA:


This explains why he is in Pennsylvania.


Well, someone had to teach the groundhog his lines.

Grothar, coaching the groundhog
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Time for a Nap - Stay Safe - Sleep Well - Stay Warm - Hang Loose
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6224
Quoting BtnTx:
Hopefully we will hear from Grothar on Groundhog Day to get his take on what's up!


This explains why he is in Pennsylvania.
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6224
Quoting indianrivguy:


The red and yellow side by side to the left of center look like they are very close to Krakatau.



That's like 4,000 miles East of Krakatau
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6224

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron