Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

First tornado death of 2013 ends record 219-day streak without a tornado death
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 7:50 PM GMT on January 30, 2013 +44
A powerful tornado ripped through Adairsville, Georgia, northwest of Atlanta, at 11:19 am EST this morning, killing at least one person in a mobile home park. The tornado caused major structural damage in the downtown district, and overturned approximately 100 cars on I-75 near Exit 306 (see eyewitness video here, with swear words.) Eight injuries, some serious, are also being reported from a tornado just southeast of Calhoun, GA around 11:30am EST. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed most of the Southeast in their "Slight Risk" region for severe weather for Wednesday, a step down from the "Moderate Risk" potential issued on Tuesday for the Midwest. Three other tornadoes have hit Georgia today, and there were 79 reports of wind damage due to high winds as of 2 pm EST along the cold front that triggered today's severe weather, from Alabama to Pennsylvania. Tornado watches continue for a wide swath of the Southeast this afternoon, from Alabama to North Carolina.


Figure 1. Car overturned by the tornado near Adairsville, Georgia, on January 30, 2013. Image courtesy of WSB-TV on http://pic.twitter.com/2lAL0Lmc.



Figure 2. Radar reflectivity (top) and Doppler velocity (bottom) images of the tornado that hit Adairsville, Georgia at 11:19 am EST Wednesday, January 30, 2013. Adairsville is under the circle with a "+" in it.


Figure 3. A wild weather day in the Southeast: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged four preliminary reports of tornadoes as of 2 pm Wednesday, along with 79 reports of damaging winds.


Video 1. View of the Adairsville, Georgia tornado of January 30, 2013. Note the blue power flashes as the tornado brings down power lines.

Record string of 219 days without a tornado death ends
Today's fatality ends the longest continuous stretch without a tornado death ever recorded in the U.S.--219 days. The last time the U.S. saw a tornado death was at Venus in Highlands County, Florida, from an EF-0 tornado associated with Tropical Storm Debby on June 24, 2012. The previous record was 197 straight days without a tornado death, which ended on February 28, 1987. Part of the reason for the long stretch without a tornado death during 2012 - 2013 was the relative lack of tornadoes. According to NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC), the total number of tornadoes during 2012 was just 936. This is the first time since 2002 that fewer than 1000 tornadoes have been recorded. The jet stream was positioned unusually far north in Canada during much of 2012, which brought drought to much of Tornado Alley. It's tough to get tornadoes when you're experiencing near-record drought conditions and very few thunderstorms. Saskatchewan, Canada saw as many tornadoes in July 2012 as all of the U.S., thanks to the more northward position of the jet stream.


Figure 4. June 24, 2012: A tornado spawned by Tropical Storm Debbie crosses Lake Winterset in Winter Haven, Florida. Another tornado from Debbie on this day caused the last tornado death in the U.S., at Venus in Highlands County, Florida. Image credit: wunderphotographer whgator3.

Record moisture and rains
Today's severe weather outbreak was helped by record levels of January moisture, as a flow of unusually moist air rode northwards from the Gulf of Mexico, where water temperatures were about 0.5°F above average. Meteorologists use a term called "precipitable water" to discuss how much water vapor is in the atmosphere. Precipitable water is defined as how much rain would fall on the ground if one took a vertical slice of the atmosphere above a given location and condensed all the water vapor into rain. Precipitable water levels tend to be highest in the summer, since warm air holds more waver vapor, and can exceed two inches in the Midwest U.S. In winter, though, it is rare to see precipitable water values higher than one inch. However, precipitable water was well over an inch well into Canada, and three upper air stations--Detroit, MI, Lincoln IL, and Caribou, Maine--set all-time records for January moisture, and four other stations had their 2nd highest January moisture on record. From the 00Z January 30 to 00Z January 31 upper air balloon soundings taken at the 73 radiosonde stations in the contiguous U.S., we observed these record or near-record precipitable water values for January:

Detroit, MI: New Record: 1.21" Old record: 1.20" 1/11/75
Lincoln, IL: New record: 1.46" Old Record: 1.35" 1/12/60
Caribou, Maine: New Record: 1.21" (Ties old record of 1.21" 1/14/2005)
Alpena, MI: 2nd place, 0.99". First place: 1.01", 1/5/97
Buffalo, NY: 2nd place, 1.21". First place: 1.34", 1/15/95
Wilmington, OH: 2nd place, 1.44" First place: 1.51", 1/12/2005
Gray, ME: 2nd place, 1.36" First place: 1.38" 1/20/96

Green Bay (4th), Albany, NY (4th), Sterling, VA (4th), Shreveport (6th), Little Rock (3rd), Nashville, TN (10th), Chatham, MA (10th), and Maniwawi, Quebec (4th) all had top-ten January precipitable water values. Radiosonde data goes back to 1948.

The exceptional moisture led to record rains in many regions of the Midwest, with numerous locations setting daily precipitation records. Two airports recorded their wettest January day on record, including Madison, WI (1.84", previous record 1.80" on January 1, 1892) and Houghton Lake, MI (1.21", old record 1.08" on in 1938.) Top-five wettest January days in recorded history were also set at Muskegon, MI (2.48"), Marquette, MI (1.21"), and South Bend, IN (1.94".) Here where I live, in Southeast Michigan, being outside yesterday was like walking through a surreal white soup. Rains like nothing I've ever seen in January fitfully poured from the sky throughout the day, ponding up on the frozen ground. Eerie white fog swirled over the sodden snow drifts as thunder rumbled overhead in temperatures 25°F above average. What planet was this? The heavy rains of 1.60" that fell in 26 hours at the nearby Flint airport made this month our wettest January in recorded history, with 3.66" of precipitation.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Tornado Severe Weather
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201. AussieStorm 1:53 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting Grothar:


What is being launched? I must have missed something.


NASA TDRS-K launch

NASA's TDRS-K mission represents the dawn of the next generation of spacecraft in NASA's Tracking and Data Relay Satellite (TDRS) System, which provides a critical communications link to Earth for the International Space Station, the Hubble Space Telescope and many satellites. Launching from Space Launch Complex 41 at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station in Florida, the TDRS-K spacecraft will be lofted into geosynchronous Earth orbit aboard a two-stage United Launch Alliance Atlas V rocket.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359
202. AussieStorm 1:56 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
DianneG Dianne Gallagher 1m
AppState student checking on his car as flash flood waters begin receding. Still raining, very cold #boone #ncwx @Wcnc pic.twitter.com/M3GCXhSr

Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359
203. bappit 1:57 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting Jedkins01:
>Hopefully I'll see something interesting!

May you live in interesting times.
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 3 Comments: 4387
204. ncstorm 1:58 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NCC007-123-153-167-310245-
/O.NEW.KRAH.SV.W.0002.130131T0145Z-130131T0245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
845 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ANSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
RICHMOND COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
STANLY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 945 PM EST

* AT 842 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF
RICHFIELD TO 27 MILES WEST OF WHITE STORE...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SALISBURY TO 15 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MONROE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58
MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LOCUST...FINGER...
STANFIELD...
RICHFIELD...PLYLER...
OAKBORO...NEW LONDON...
ALBEMARLE...
BADIN LAKE...BADIN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. BE PREPARED TO MOVE QUICKLY TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OF A SAFE
SHELTER IF YOU HEAR OR SEE A TORNADO.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EST THURSDAY MORNING
FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

&&

LAT...LON 3520 8051 3551 8029 3551 7977 3527 7971
3524 7967 3519 7965 3512 7957 3507 7958
3506 7952 3503 7951 3499 7958 3491 7956
3485 7963 3482 7962 3480 7969 3482 8033
3519 8029 3516 8035 3516 8046
TIME...MOT...LOC 0144Z 269DEG 30KT 3552 8038 3484 8071
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205. Skyepony (Mod) 1:58 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
There was about a two minute delay on that video. Beautiful launch.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29372
206. PedleyCA 1:59 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting Grothar:


What is being launched? I must have missed something.


NASA's TDRS-K mission... Sensei
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2163
207. ncstorm 2:01 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
849 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCC057-067-310215-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130131T0215Z/
DAVIDSON NC-FORSYTH NC-
849 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EST
FOR FORSYTH AND DAVIDSON COUNTIES...
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
208. Astrometeor 2:04 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
As of current data, there are 8 CONFIRMED tornadoes in Middle Tennessee, where I live. The NWS is still checking out the damage.

The worst was EF2 in Mt. Juliet, just east of Nashville, brought severe damage to Lebanon Road, major road here.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 28 Comments: 1298
209. ncstorm 2:06 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Active Outages: 105
Affected Customers: 4332
Last Updated: Jan 30, 8:47 PM

Number keeps going up..

Progress Energy (Electricity)

Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
210. TropicalAnalystwx13 2:10 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25347
211. ncstorm 2:11 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NCC081-151-310245-
/O.NEW.KRAH.SV.W.0003.130131T0148Z-130131T0245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
848 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
GUILFORD COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
RANDOLPH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 945 PM EST

* AT 845 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF
STOKESDALE TO 19 MILES WEST OF NEW HOPE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM BELEWS CREEK TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SALISBURY...MOVING EAST
AT 40 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
212. HadesGodWyvern 2:12 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #20
CYCLONE TROPICAL FELLENG (07-20122013)
4:00 AM RET January 31 2013
=====================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Felleng (960 hPa) located at 18.0S 51.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 80 knots with gusts of 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving south southwest at 10 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM radius from the center

Storm Force Winds
==================
65 NM radius from the center, extending up to 70 NM in the southwestern quadratn, and up to 75 NM in the eastern semi-circle

Gale Force Winds
=================
100 NM radius from the center, extending up to 110 NM in the southwestern quadrant, up to 130 NM in the southeastern quadrant, and up to 140 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Near Gale Force Winds
======================
120 NM radius from the center, extending up to 140 NM in the southwestern quadrant, up to 200 NM in the southeastern quadrant, and up to 220 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0/5.0/W0.5/12 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 19.4S 51.5E - 80 knots (CYCLONE Tropical)
24 HRS: 21.1S 51.5E - 75 knots (CYCLONE Tropical)
48 HRS: 25.0S 52.2E - 70 knots (CYCLONE Tropical)
72 HRS: 28.7S 53.2E - 60 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)

Additional Information
==========================
Overall presentation has not improved over the past 6 hours with a system that still present an embedded center pattern over enhanced infrared imagery that tends to be less and less defined. Water vapor imagery and the ragged aspect of the southwestern edge of the convective mass suggest that the moderate but increasing southwesterly shear is impacting the system.

At 1721z, an AMSU pass with a good fov gave a 85 knots (10 min winds) estimate. As the overall pattern has degraded somewhat since that time, current intensity is assessed at 80 knots.

Felleng current motion is now south southwestward under the steering influence of mid-level ridge existing east of the system and extending southward.The ridge is moving north-east of the system, the track should recurve somewhat south southeastward. Numerical weather prediction models are in good agreement for the forecast track. The present forecast track is a consensus of the last available models.

The ongoing weakening trend involves a major shift in the intensity forecast philosophy... even if the system should be under the upper level ridge today, the probability of restrengthening appears lower ... as numerical weather prediction fields suggest now that westerly shear should strengthen south of 20S.

Sunday, the system should start its extratropical transition with still some strong winds associated.

Given all the above, a direct threat seems rejected for the eastern coast of Madagascar and for the Mascaregnes islands. However inhabitants of that area should continue to closely monitor the progress of this system as peripharical influence could be significant over portions of those regions within the next few days.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 36689
213. ncstorm 2:12 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
902 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

NCC057-067-310215-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130131T0215Z/
DAVIDSON NC-FORSYTH NC-
902 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FORSYTH AND DAVIDSON COUNTIES...

AT 900 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES NORTHEAST OF KERNERSVILLE TO
HIGH ROCK...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MADISON TO 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LINWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
214. nymore 2:13 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Has anyone been able to confirm the 100 cars overturned on I-75. I think someones excitement got the best of them. The freeway was only closed for about 2 hours or less.
Member Since: July 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2048
215. Astrometeor 2:13 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Damage Surveys Planned for Today and Tomorrow

...TWO NWS DAMAGE SURVEY TEAMS FOR TODAY...AND THREE PLANNED FOR
THURSDAY...

THE FIRST SURVEY TEAM WILL HEAD WESTWARD TO SURVEY DAMAGE ALONG A
PATH FROM SOUTHERN HUMPHREYS COUNTY...TO SOUTHERN DICKSON
COUNTY... AND TO SOUTHERN CHEATHAM COUNTY (FROM SOUTH OF WAVERLY
TO NEAR DICKSON AND TO KINGSTON SPRINGS). THIS SAME TEAM WILL
SURVEY ANOTHER PATH OF DAMAGE FROM HICKMAN COUNTY TO WILLIAMSON
COUNTY (FROM NEAR CENTERVILLE TO FRANKLIN AND BRENTWOOD).

THE SECOND SURVEY TEAM WILL HEAD NORTHWARD TO SURVEY DAMAGE ALONG
A PATH FROM ROBERTSON COUNTY INTO NORTHERN SUMNER COUNTY (SOUTH OF
SPRINGFIELD TO NEAR PORTLAND). THIS SAME TEAM WILL SURVEY ANOTHER
PATH OF DAMAGE FROM NORTHERN CHEATHAM COUNTY...ACROSS NORTHERN
DAVIDSON AND INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SUMNER COUNTY (ASHLAND CITY
TO GOODLETTSVILLE AND GALLATIN).

VIEW OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NASHVILLE FOR THE INITIAL SURVEY
ALREADY COMPLETED THIS MORNING ALONG LEBANON ROAD IN MT. JULIET.

SURVEYS ON WEDNESDAY WILL INCLUDE FINISHING ANY LEFTOVER SURVEYING
FROM TODAY...AS WELL AS SURVEYING DAMAGE IN CANNON COUNTY NORTHEAST
OF WOODBURY...RUTHERFORD COUNTY MAINLY FROM EAGLEVILLE TO
MURFREESBORO...AND ALONG THE WILSON/TROUSDALE COUNTY LINE. OTHER
POSSIBLE DAMAGE PATHS TO SURVEY TOMORROW INCLUDE DAMAGE IN CLAY
AND COFFEE COUNTIES AS WELL.

$$

NWS NASHVILLE
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 28 Comments: 1298
216. ncstorm 2:14 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Warnings are popping up everywhere.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NCC033-157-VAC019-031-083-089-143-590-310315-
/O.NEW.KRNK.SV.W.0007.130131T0211Z-130131T0315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
911 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL BEDFORD COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
SOUTHERN CAMPBELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
CASWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
CITY OF DANVILLE IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
NORTHWESTERN HALIFAX COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
EXTREME EASTERN HENRY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
EASTERN ROCKINGHAM COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 1015 PM EST
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
217. Grothar 2:15 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting PedleyCA:


NASA's TDRS-K mission... Sensei


Thanks, Grasshopper.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 57 Comments: 19553
218. ncstorm 2:17 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0107
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0806 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...SE PA...SRN NJ...DE...ERN MD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 310206Z - 310300Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED WIND GUST MAY ACCOMPANY CONVECTION TONIGHT.
HOWEVER...SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LIMITED AND A WATCH IS NOT
EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION APPROACHING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AREA HAS
SHOWN SIGNS OF WEAKENING RECENTLY. AS THIS BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO TRACK E/NE...AN ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST CAN NOT BE
RULED OUT GIVEN THE MAGNITUDE OF DEEP LAYER FLOW /75+ KT 0-6KM
SHEAR/. HOWEVER...MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.
WHILE THE AIRMASS ACROSS SE PA/SRN NJ INTO DE HAS STARTED TO RECOVER
SOME FROM EARLY SHOWERS/STORMS...FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY WEAKER FURTHER REMOVED FROM UPPER TROUGH.
ADDITIONALLY...00Z WAL RAOB SHOWED POORER LAPSE RATES COMPARED TO
THOSE AT IAD. THESE FACTORS WILL COMBINE TO LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL
LATE THIS EVENING. HENCE...A WW IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME
DOWNSTREAM OF WW 24.
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
219. Astrometeor 2:20 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
CNN has a good track of what is happening today with an eyewitness account from a teenager who lives JUST north of me. Check it out:

List of events for today
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 28 Comments: 1298
220. Civicane49 2:24 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 26
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
855 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA
COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 855 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SAVANNAH
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 23...WW 24...WW 25...

DISCUSSION...EXISTING SSW/NNE SQLN WILL CONTINUE ENE INTO MOIST BUT
GRADUALLY STABILIZING LOW-LVL ENVIRONMENT...SUPPORTED IN PART BY
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SRN FRINGE OF EJECTING TN VLY UPR TROUGH.
STRENGTH OF WIND FIELD AND LIKELIHOOD FOR ONLY SLOW WEAKENING OF
EXISTING CONVECTION SUGGESTS A CONTINUED RISK FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND
AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO FROM THE LWR SAVANNAH RVR VLY OF GA/SC E/NE
ACROSS THE SC CSTL PLN.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.


...CORFIDI
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 62 Comments: 3926
221. Grothar 2:28 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
The systems still looks like it has a lot of energy left in it.

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 57 Comments: 19553
222. Astrometeor 2:28 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting nymore:
Has anyone been able to confirm the 100 cars overturned on I-75. I think someones excitement got the best of them. The freeway was only closed for about 2 hours or less.


I can't find anything either. I googled several things and no one has a count, GADOT, NWS, local news, nobody that I can find has a count.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 28 Comments: 1298
223. Civicane49 2:28 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 62 Comments: 3926
224. ncstorm 2:32 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
this system is really not moving as fast as thought..it still has a way to go to get to Robeson County (Lumberton)

STORMTRACK 3 Update (8:45 PM)- Line of severe thunderstorms still west of the WWAY viewing area. The line will approach Robeson county after 10 PM, and push toward the coast after midnight. Follow any warnings with us on facebook, and see up-to-the-minute radar displays for any location of your choice at wwaytv3.com



Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
225. Walshy 2:33 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
State of emergency in Ashe County, NC. Here are some pictures from my aunt. Lost contact for now things probably got much worse than this. Here in Wilkes County I am doing okay for now...nothing major to whine about compared to that. Still a wind driven rain here and the mountains may end in some light snow.

(nevermind, Facebook pics are not allowed I guess)
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 618
226. AussieStorm 2:35 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting nymore:
Has anyone been able to confirm the 100 cars overturned on I-75. I think someones excitement got the best of them. The freeway was only closed for about 2 hours or less.

I found these 2 stories on the cars flipped by Tornado.


Storm Flips 100 Cars in Georgia, I-75 Closed near Adairsville




1:50 p.m. EST Wednesday: More details have been released by the NWS about the Adairsville, Ga., tornado. A man was killed in a mobile home near Adairsville. An emergency manager confirms that approximately 100 cars were overturned by the twister near exit 306 on Interstate 75.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359
227. MZT 2:36 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
It is a somewhat strange airmass. The rain had passed an hour ago, it has been quiet - and for some reason now, a large gust blew through here. I suppose there must be some tangents of the jet mixing down in places.
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 775
228. TropicalAnalystwx13 2:38 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting Walshy:
State of emergency in Ashe County, NC. Here are some pictures from my aunt. Lost contact for now things probably got much worse than this. Here in Wilkes County I am doing okay for now...nothing major to whine about compared to that. Still a wind driven rain here and the mountains may end in some light snow.

(nevermind, Facebook pics are not allowed I guess)

Take off the "s" in "https" and the picture should show.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25347
229. AussieStorm 2:39 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting Walshy:
State of emergency in Ashe County, NC. Here are some pictures from my aunt. Lost contact for now things probably got much worse than this. Here in Wilkes County I am doing okay for now...nothing major to whine about compared to that. Still a wind driven rain here and the mountains may end in some light snow.

(nevermind, Facebook pics are not allowed I guess)

To post facebook pics, open the pic in it's own tab/window, then copy the image address, when you post it, take out the "s" in the address for example, https:// take out the s to make it http:// Same goes for twitter photo's

The "s" means it's secure, which is stopping it from being displayed here.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359
230. ncstorm 2:41 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
still 70 degrees in Raleigh

Mostly Cloudy
Temperature
70.2 °F
Feels Like 72 °F
Wind(mph)
3.0
Sunrise / Set
7:16 AM
5:40 PM
Moon
Waning Gibbous
More Astronomy
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
231. ncstorm 2:44 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NCC001-037-081-135-151-310400-
/O.NEW.KRAH.SV.W.0004.130131T0240Z-130131T0400Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
940 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ALAMANCE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
CHATHAM COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN GUILFORD COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
ORANGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 1100 PM EST
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
232. Astrometeor 2:45 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    




MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0838 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VA/MD...WASHINGTON D.C.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 24...

VALID 310238Z - 310345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 24 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT DIMINISHING THIS EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF WW
24. SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA MAY SEE A BETTER CHANCE
FOR ISOLATED STRONG WINDS OR A WEAK TORNADO AFTER 03Z.

DISCUSSION...SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE ACROSS MUCH
OF THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT. THE EXCEPTION MAY BE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE WATCH WHERE THE AIRMASS HAS REMAINED UNAFFECTED BY
EARLIER CONVECTION. A LINE OF CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA
ACROSS N-CNTRL NC INTO S-CNTRL VA WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK E/NE.
SHOULD THE LINE DEVELOP FAR ENOUGH NWD...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF WW
24 MAY SEE AN ISOLATED SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT. OTHERWISE...MUCH OF WW
24 MAY BE ABLE TO BE CANCELLED BEFORE 07Z EXPIRATION TIME.

..LEITMAN/CORFIDI.. 01/31/2013


ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

LAT...LON 39697762 39687573 37527721 37507904 39697762
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 28 Comments: 1298
233. Civicane49 2:45 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 62 Comments: 3926
234. Walshy 2:46 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
This was from earlier today...probably before the heaviest rains hit there. Schools are opening up as emergency shelters. My aunt lives above 2,500ft.





Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 618
235. ncstorm 2:46 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
US National Weather Service Wilmington NC
ILM issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Darlington, Florence, Marlboro [SC] till 10:45 PM EST
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
236. MAweatherboy1 2:47 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
About 60F up here now, really windy too, high wind warning is up for tonight. What a weather system, this is so weird for January.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6378
237. nymore 2:49 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting AussieStorm:

I found these 2 stories on the cars flipped by Tornado.


Storm Flips 100 Cars in Georgia, I-75 Closed near Adairsville




1:50 p.m. EST Wednesday: More details have been released by the NWS about the Adairsville, Ga., tornado. A man was killed in a mobile home near Adairsville. An emergency manager confirms that approximately 100 cars were overturned by the twister near exit 306 on Interstate 75.
The vehicle everyone has seen isn't even on I-75 it is on hwy 140. I have seen no pictures even though every news org from ATL would have to travel right through it or very close to it if it was north and easily witnessed from the bridge that crosses the interstate. I have been on 140 and 41 off of I-75 at least 50 times in Adairsville that is how I knew earlier today that it struck very close to the mobile home park right on the corner of 41 and Poplar Springs it used to be our cut a cross road to get from 140 to 41 to go south to work.
Member Since: July 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2048
238. ncstorm 2:49 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NCC007-123-125-153-167-310345-
/O.NEW.KRAH.SV.W.0005.130131T0246Z-130131T0345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
946 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ANSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
MOORE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
RICHMOND COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN STANLY COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 1045 PM EST
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
239. Civicane49 2:52 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 62 Comments: 3926
240. wxchaser97 2:54 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Corrected for date/time stamp

... Record high temperature set at Detroit...

A high temperature of 62 degrees was set at Detroit this morning.
This breaks the old record of 53 set in 1969.

Right now the temperature is 41F at my house and dropping. This has been one weird weather system for sure.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 88 Comments: 6818
241. TropicalAnalystwx13 2:57 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
A line of severe thunderstorm warnings stretches continuously from just north of Gladys, Virginia, all the way down to just north of Winokur, Georgia.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25347
242. ncstorm 2:59 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    

Active Outages: 155
Affected Customers: 8228
Last Updated: Jan 30, 9:47 PM

Progress Energy Outage Map
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
243. Neapolitan 3:00 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting wxchaser97:
Corrected for date/time stamp

... Record high temperature set at Detroit...

A high temperature of 62 degrees was set at Detroit this morning.
This breaks the old record of 53 set in 1969.

Right now the temperature is 41F at my house and dropping. This has been one weird weather system for sure.
Yeah, there have been many hundreds of daily record high and high minimum temperature records set or tied over the past several days (and not just here in the US, but across Europe, as well). For instance:

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE
0528 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...ALL-TIME JANUARY RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT JACKSONVILLE
TODAY...

A DAILY RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 85 DEGREES WAS SET AT
JACKSONVILLE TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 83 SET IN 1991.

THIS ALSO BROKE THE ALL-TIME JANUARY RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 84
DEGREES SET AT JACKSONVILLE ON JANUARY 31, 1982.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11169
244. Civicane49 3:01 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 62 Comments: 3926
245. ncstorm 3:01 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
SCC017-027-061-075-085-310400-
/O.NEW.KCAE.SV.W.0010.130131T0255Z-130131T0400Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
955 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN COLUMBIA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN LEE COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTHEASTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
SUMTER COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
CLARENDON COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA
EASTERN ORANGEBURG COUNTY IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 1100 PM EST
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479
246. Skyepony (Mod) 3:38 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
I think this maybe the same pick-up truck but from the other direction.

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29372
247. Astrometeor 3:38 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
If the NWS gets done tomorrow, I shall do a blog post on the severe weather in my area. Going to be quite long, didn't know that we would get this many tornadoes.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 28 Comments: 1298
248. Skyepony (Mod) 3:40 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 144 Comments: 29372
249. Astrometeor 3:45 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Quoting Skyepony:
I think this maybe the same pick-up truck but from the other direction.


That is the same one, but like nymore said there are no official reports of the 100 car pile-up that accuweather and TWC and other news stations were reporting. News Sensationalism, I guess.

That pick-up, which is now almost infamous for this tornado, is clearly on a main road in town, not the interstate as some of the headlines are trying to imply.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 28 Comments: 1298
250. Civicane49 3:47 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0109
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0942 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SC/NC/SOUTHEAST VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 25...26...

VALID 310342Z - 310515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 25...26...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TORNADO WATCHES 25/26 CONTINUE UNTIL 07Z/06Z...WITH
CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO ACROSS COASTAL
SC INTO THE PIEDMONT OF NC/SOUTHEAST VA. AN ADDITIONAL WATCH MAY BE
NEEDED FOR REMAINING PORTIONS OF COASTAL NC/SOUTHEAST VA WITHIN THE
HOUR.

DISCUSSION...SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO STEADILY SPREAD
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL VA/NC PIEDMONT/COASTAL SC AS
OF 0315Z. WHILE OVERALL CAPE IS LOW...THE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS
RELATIVELY MILD/MOIST AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE...WITH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY REMAINING NEAR 70F AS OF 03Z IN THE PRESENCE
OF LOWER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS. EVEN WHILE LINE-EMBEDDED UPDRAFTS
ARE RELATIVELY SHALLOW WITH LITTLE/IF ANY CLOUD-GROUND LIGHTNING...A
MODEST INCREASE/SUSTENANCE OF MID-LEVEL REFLECTIVITIES HAVE BEEN
NOTED WITH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SQUALL LINE ACROSS NC
PIEDMONT/SOUTHERN VA...WITH SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS OTHERWISE
REMAINING COMMON WITHIN THE SQUALL LINE. EVEN WHILE NEAR-SURFACE
BUOYANCY APPEARS TO BE MINIMAL /A FEW HUNDRED J PER KG OR
LESS/...ROBUST NATURE OF THE FORCING/VERTICAL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO
PROMOTE A WELL-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE AND DAMAGING WIND/SOME TORNADO
POTENTIAL. LATEST WSR-88D VWP DATA FROM RALEIGH NC/WAKEFIELD VA ARE
INDICATIVE OF EXTREMELY STRONG 75-90 KT SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
WITHIN THE LOWEST 2-3 KM.

..GUYER.. 01/31/2013


ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...C AE...

LAT...LON 37337864 37817613 36087645 34217834 31728128 34278009
36037928 37337864
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 62 Comments: 3926
251. ncstorm 3:50 AM GMT on January 31, 2013    
Good Night Everyone and heed your warnings.



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0109
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0942 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SC/NC/SOUTHEAST VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 25...26...

VALID 310342Z - 310515Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 25...26...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TORNADO WATCHES 25/26 CONTINUE UNTIL 07Z/06Z...WITH
CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO ACROSS COASTAL
SC INTO THE PIEDMONT OF NC/SOUTHEAST VA. AN ADDITIONAL WATCH MAY BE
NEEDED FOR REMAINING PORTIONS OF COASTAL NC/SOUTHEAST VA WITHIN THE
HOUR.

DISCUSSION...SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO STEADILY SPREAD
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL VA/NC PIEDMONT/COASTAL SC AS
OF 0315Z. WHILE OVERALL CAPE IS LOW...THE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS
RELATIVELY MILD/MOIST AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE...WITH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY REMAINING NEAR 70F AS OF 03Z IN THE PRESENCE
OF LOWER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS. EVEN WHILE LINE-EMBEDDED UPDRAFTS
ARE RELATIVELY SHALLOW WITH LITTLE/IF ANY CLOUD-GROUND LIGHTNING...A
MODEST INCREASE/SUSTENANCE OF MID-LEVEL REFLECTIVITIES HAVE BEEN
NOTED WITH THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SQUALL LINE ACROSS NC
PIEDMONT/SOUTHERN VA...WITH SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS OTHERWISE
REMAINING COMMON WITHIN THE SQUALL LINE. EVEN WHILE NEAR-SURFACE
BUOYANCY APPEARS TO BE MINIMAL /A FEW HUNDRED J PER KG OR
LESS/...ROBUST NATURE OF THE FORCING/VERTICAL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO
PROMOTE A WELL-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE AND DAMAGING WIND/SOME TORNADO
POTENTIAL. LATEST WSR-88D VWP DATA FROM RALEIGH NC/WAKEFIELD VA ARE
INDICATIVE OF EXTREMELY STRONG 75-90 KT SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
WITHIN THE LOWEST 2-3 KM.

..GUYER.. 01/31/2013


ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...C AE...

LAT...LON 37337864 37817613 36087645 34217834 31728128 34278009
36037928 37337864
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8479

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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