April in January: spring-like severe weather and record warmth in the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:19 PM GMT on January 29, 2013

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The calendar says its January, but the atmosphere looks more like April over the Midwest U.S., where a spring-like surge of warm air is interacting with a strong low pressure system to create a dangerous severe weather situation. The warm air surging northwards has already broken high temperature records for the date in Chicago, where the mercury hit 61°F at 7 am CST; a tornado watch is posted for portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Arkansas. Golf-ball sized hail fell at three locations in Oklahoma already this morning, and a wind gust of 75 mph was reported in a thunderstorm near Omega, Oklahoma. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas, Tennessee, Missouri, Alabama, Oklahoma, Illinois, Indiana, and Mississippi in their "Moderate Risk" region for severe weather on Tuesday. This is the first "Moderate Risk" forecast issued during 2013. The primary threat will be damaging thunderstorm winds, but we will also see tornadoes, with the potential for a few strong EF-2 and EF-3 twisters. The surge of warm moving northwards ahead of the cold front spawning today's severe weather is bringing in warmth unprecedented for January in some locations. Monday was the hottest January day on record in Topeka, Kansas, which hit 77°F. That's 36°F above average. and 3° warmer than their previous highest January temperature. Columbia, Missouri tied its all-time warmest January temperature, 77°. Kansas City (74°F) and Wichita (74°F) both fell 1° short of tying their all-time January hottest temperature records. Balloon soundings of the atmosphere taken last night showed moisture levels in the top 5% for a January day over much of the Midwest, and several stations may set all-time rainiest January day records today. One candidate is Flint Michigan, where a heavy thunderstorm moved in at 7:30 am, dumping 0.75" of rain. With another round of thunderstorms expected tonight, Flint is poised to break its record for rainiest January day in its history--the 1.34" that fell on January 18, 1949.


Figure 1. A crazy weather day for the U.S.: our severe weather map from 10 am EST Tuesday, January 29. Severe thunderstorms were occurring in Kansas and Oklahoma, flood watches were posted for Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, Ohio, and Wisconsin, and winter weather advisories, high wind advisories, and fire weather advisories were posted in other locations.


Figure 2. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas, Tennessee, Missouri, Alabama, Oklahoma, Illinois, Indiana, and Mississippi in their "Moderate Risk" region for severe weather on Tuesday. This is the first "Moderate Risk" forecast issued during 2013.

Chicago's wild January weather ride continues
Chicago's craziest January in memory got even stranger today, when a surge of warm air pushed the temperature to 61°F at 7 am, breaking the previous high temperature record of 59°F for the date. Spring-like thunderstorms, accompanied by temperatures in the mid-60s are expected this afternoon--just a week after the city recorded a high temperature of 11°F and a low of -1°F (on January 22nd.) Chicago has been above 65°F in January just once in its history--on January 25, 1950, when the mercury hit 67°F. The average January high in the Windy City is 30°F, and today will be the 4th day the city has been 20 or more degrees warmer than that during January 2013. The roller coaster goes back downhill after the cold front moves through early on Wednesday, though--Chicago's high on Friday is expected to be near 15°F, with a morning low around 5°F. Chicago has also experienced record low snowfall this winter; the city got it's first 1-inch snowstorm of the season on Friday, when 1.1" fell at O'Hare Airport. This was the latest first 1-inch snow in city history, and ended a 335-day streak without a 1-inch snowstorm, the longest such streak since records began in 1872. Chicago has managed just 2.9" of snow during the winter of 2012 - 2013, which is 16" below average.

Chicago's roller coaster of temperatures doesn't compare, though, to what happened in Nowata, Oklahoma during the period February 10 - 17, 2011. A cold air mass combined with a fresh snow pack and calm winds allowed Nowata to hit a low of -31°F on February 10, 2011--the all-time coldest temperature ever recorded in Oklahoma. Gradual warming accelerated over the next week, and temperatures peaked at a record high of 79 degrees on February 17. According to the National Weather Service in Tulsa, Okla., this 110-degree temperature rise was the greatest change within seven days in Oklahoma history.


Video 1. In this video done by Peter Sinclair for the Yale Forum on Climate Change, I offer my thoughts on the roller coaster ride of temperatures in Michigan this winter, look back at the remarkable weather of 2012, and discuss what 2013 might bring. My main concern: drought.

Jeff Masters

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766. GeorgiaStormz
4:11 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
3D imagry looks very much like a tornado in N GA

we'll have to see if one touches/touched down.
one of their dual pol products suggests there may be a tornado

maybe even part of a hail core as well.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9720
765. GeorgiaStormz
4:09 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
strengthening south of rome.
funnel cloud reports
very heavy rain/ small hail
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9720
764. GeorgiaStormz
4:07 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
got 115mph shear and bti of 4.3 passing to my north.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9720
763. GeoffreyWPB
3:48 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
For West Palm Beach...Temps returning to normal / slightly below norms, beginning tomorrow...

Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10986
762. PedleyCA
3:46 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Quoting VR46L:


I drop by occasionally Chaser, Kinda busy yesterday..I saw Wash has said she wont be around until till May . The others I honestly Dont Know but I do miss Tomball


Didn't she say she was going to on a 2nd Ski trip. Thought she said Wash. state.
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 5685
761. LargoFl
3:43 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
be careful by Rome georgia..your in that cone for the severe storm and possible tornado....
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
759. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
3:42 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
758. ILwthrfan
3:39 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Widespread beneficial rains fell last night over the entire state of Illinois ranging anywhere from 1 to 3 inches. I personally dumped 1.5" in both gauges. Not too shabby.

My attention is now turning to February 14th, this is when I am going on my ski trip in Wisconsin The CPC is making want to smash things. #*&$!

6-10 Feb 4th-8th



8-14 Feb 6th-12th.



I hope there isn't too much in the way of confidence in this outlook or I may have to wait to next year. It does seem to have the appearance that maybe another shot of arctic air may be hinting around the Canadian border at the end of the forecast?


Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1457
757. LargoFl
3:36 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Quoting stormchaser43:
Largo, can you post the weather map for Queens, NY today. I need to know if I need to go out with mi paraguas...
wow i used to have a house in Astoria ages ago...here is the Queens forecast..good luck up there.......
Day: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs around 55°F. South wind to 23 MPH, gusting to 35 MPH. Chance of precipitation near 75%. Precipitation amounts less than one tenth of an inch possible.




Night: Windy with rain showers likely. Lows around 50°F. South wind 24 to 34 MPH, gusting to 57 MPH. Chance of precipitation near 100%. Precipitation amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
756. LargoFl
3:32 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1028 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...
WITH DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

.A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH THROUGH GEORGIA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND THEN INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS ON WEDNESDAY... BUT IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THAT VERY STRONG WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OUTSIDE OF
ANY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS WELL. RECENT RAINS AND THE
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL ANTICIPATED FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW
FOR TREES TO BE UPROOTED WITH GREATER EASE.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
754. LargoFl
3:30 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
921 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ALC015-301600-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-130130T1600Z/
CALHOUN AL-
921 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN CALHOUN
COUNTY UNTIL 1000 AM CST...

AT 921 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR JACKSONVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PIEDMONT.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
751. LargoFl
3:28 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
TORNADO WARNING
GAC015-115-143-233-301600-
/O.NEW.KFFC.TO.W.0002.130130T1521Z-130130T1600Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1021 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN BARTOW COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA
SOUTHEASTERN FLOYD COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA
NORTHWESTERN HARALSON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA
POLK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA

* UNTIL 1100 AM EST

* AT 1018 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 30 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CEDARTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CAVE
SPRING...ARAGON...TAYLORSVILLE...EUHARLEE...KINGST ON...ROME AND
SHANNON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO A
BASEMENT OR INTERIOR ROOM ON THE GROUND FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...HAIL OR FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8
6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. YOU CAN ALSO TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG GAWX.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHERN GEORGIA.

&&
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
749. LargoFl
3:26 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Tornado Watch..Georgia...................GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CARROLL CATOOSA
CHATTAHOOCHEE CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA CRAWFORD DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOOLY
DOUGLAS ELBERT FANNIN
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HABERSHAM HALL HANCOCK
HARALSON HARRIS HART
HEARD HENRY HOUSTON
JACKSON JASPER JONES
LAMAR LUMPKIN MACON
MADISON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MORGAN MURRAY
MUSCOGEE NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PEACH
PICKENS PIKE POLK
PULASKI PUTNAM RABUN
ROCKDALE SCHLEY SPALDING
STEPHENS STEWART SUMTER
TALBOT TALIAFERRO TAYLOR
TOWNS TROUP TWIGGS
UNION UPSON WALKER
WALTON WEBSTER WHITE
WHITFIELD WILKES WILKINSON
$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
748. LargoFl
3:24 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Quoting gaweatherboi:
The sun is really starting to peak out in Southeast GA. Is that any indication that the weather will go downhill this afternoon in this area?

Millen, GA
Temp: 71
Humidity: 89%
Wind SpeedS 6 G 16 mph
Barometer: 29.96 in
Dewpoint: 68°F (20°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi
storm front is still a bit aways from you yet..going to be a long day and night for sure..stay safe up there.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
747. LargoFl
3:22 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
746. gaweatherboi
3:22 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
The sun is really starting to peak out in Southeast GA. Is that any indication that the weather will go downhill this afternoon in this area?

Millen, GA
Temp: 71
Humidity: 89%
Wind SpeedS 6 G 16 mph
Barometer: 29.96 in
Dewpoint: 68°F (20°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi
Member Since: August 12, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 108
745. LargoFl
3:21 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
903 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
NORTHERN CLARKE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
NORTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 945 AM CST

* AT 900 AM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS OVER 60 MPH WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHATOM...OR 9
MILES SOUTH OF MILLRY...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SILAS... WHATLEY... THOMASVILLE...
JACKSON... GROVE HILL... FULTON...
COFFEEVILLE... TIBBIE... SAINT STEPHENS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. PREPARE FOR DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
744. LargoFl
3:19 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Quoting FlyingScotsman:
NWS Nashville confirms that a EF2 Tornado went through Mount Juliet, TN early this morning.

Like I said, let's not call this "a bust" or "just a straight-line wind event" until the dust settles.
your so right, its a powerful storm system and its not over yet, still a very long day and night ahead..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
743. LargoFl
3:18 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
48 hours its over.......
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
742. FlyingScotsman
3:17 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
NWS Nashville confirms that a EF2 Tornado went through Mount Juliet, TN early this morning.

Like I said, let's not call this "a bust" or "just a straight-line wind event" until the dust settles.
Member Since: September 1, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 215
741. LargoFl
3:16 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
TORNADO WARNING
ALC015-301600-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0005.130130T1508Z-130130T1600Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
908 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 1000 AM CST

* AT 908 AM CST...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR ANNISTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORT MCCLELLAN...JACKSONVILLE...PIEDMONT...WEAVER...CHO CCOLOCCO AND
WHITE PLAINS.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 185 THROUGH 191...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

&&
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
740. LargoFl
3:15 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Jedkins be careful up there today......................THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM EST /8 AM CST/
THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ THIS EVENING...

* TIMING...FROM MID MORNING INTO THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...FREQUENT GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...WINDS THIS STRONG CAN KNOCK DOWN SMALL TREES...SNAP
LARGE BRANCHES...MOVE GARBAGE CANS AND PATIO FURNITURE. THEY CAN
ALSO MAKE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR
HIGHER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
739. GeorgiaStormz
3:15 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Tornado heading for NE AL NW GA
looks good on velocities
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9720
738. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:14 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Quoting stormchaser43:



*Yawn*


what is that supposed to mean??
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14871
735. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:11 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
HURRICANE SEASON 2013
______________________

The Atlantic Namelist...same one used in 2007 and 2001



click on the pic for larger view...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14871
734. LargoFl
3:11 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
733. LargoFl
3:10 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
wind gusts up to 70 mph here nws is warning.......
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
732. LargoFl
3:03 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
breezes getting stronger here now............
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
731. LargoFl
3:02 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
...STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS TODAY ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

.STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS...BUT RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION COULD
CHANNEL STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AS
WELL. IN ADDITION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
APPROACHING FRONT WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE
RESULTANT WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL MAKE IT EASIER FOR THE WINDS TO
TOPPLE TREES AND PRODUCE POWER OUTAGES. THE WINDS WILL TURN
SHARPLY WEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATE TODAY...BUT WITH VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS LIKELY LASTING WELL INTO THE NIGHT.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
730. LargoFl
2:59 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
west virginia............WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST TONIGHT. A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS ALSO
BEEN ISSUED. THIS HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10
AM EST THURSDAY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST
THURSDAY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH THROUGH 1
AM THURSDAY...INCREASING 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...HIGHEST WINDS AND WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR FROM 1 TO 10 AM
THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...WITH SATURATED TERRAIN...SOME TREES...LIMBS OR
BRANCHES MAY FALL. POWER FLUCTUATIONS OR OUTAGES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE...BEING MOST LIKELY LATER TONIGHT. OUTDOOR FURNITURE OR
OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED OR MOVED INSIDE...TO BE PROTECTED
FROM THE WINDS. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
729. WunderGirl12
2:58 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Nice day for me today. 17mph winds, sunny, 20% chance of rain, 86*F, and slightly cloudy. With the winds, I'll go fly my kite, since I have nothing better to do that write my essay. :-)

WunderGirl12
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 23 Comments: 810
728. LargoFl
2:57 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Washi..this is only one of the warnings for Your area..stay safe up there..........FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
946 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-VAZ025>031-042- 053-054-
WVZ051>053-302300-
/O.EXA.KLWX.FF.A.0001.130130T2000Z-130131T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-
FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-LOUDOUN-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...HAGERSTOWN...FREDERICK...
WESTMINSTER...GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...BALTIMORE ...ANNAPOLIS...
STAUNTON...WAYNESBORO...HARRISONBURG...WINCHESTER ...FRONT ROYAL...
LEESBURG...FAIRFAX...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...MARTINSBURG...
CHARLES TOWN
946 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS EXPANDED
THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF MARYLAND...THE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN MARYLAND...ANNE ARUNDEL...
CARROLL...FREDERICK MD...HARFORD...HOWARD...MONTGOMERY...
NORTHERN BALTIMORE...PRINCE GEORGES...SOUTHERN BALTIMORE AND
WASHINGTON. THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA. IN VIRGINIA...
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA...AUGUSTA...CLARKE...
FAIRFAX...FREDERICK VA...LOUDOUN...PAGE...ROCKINGHAM...
SHENANDOAH AND WARREN. IN NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...BERKELEY...
JEFFERSON AND MORGAN.

* FROM 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH ACROSS
THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY...UPPER POTOMAC RIVER BASIN...AND THE
BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. TOTAL RAINFALL OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES IS
EXPECTED...BUT MOST OF THIS WILL FALL IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME...WHICH COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
727. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:55 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Accuweather released their spring outlook...


A couple of winter storms may impact the Northeast during February and March. The potential exists for snow along the I-95 corridor from Washington, D.C., to New York City and Boston. This is not unusual for the region, as Pastelok noted, "Typically, February to March is the season on the East Coast." Historically, some large winter storms such as the Blizzard of '93 have struck the East Coast during March.

late season winter storms for the Northeast???
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14871
726. LargoFl
2:54 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
folks in the northeast..prepare and stay safe.......URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
929 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A POWERFUL STORM DEVELOPING IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION THIS
AFTERNOON WILL CAUSE POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND IN PARTS OF OUR
AREA TONIGHT...

DEZ002>004-NJZ021>025-027-302230-
/O.CON.KPHI.HW.W.0001.130131T0000Z-130131T0900Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...
ATLANTIC CITY...WHARTON STATE FOREST
929 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 10 PM
TONIGHT 4 AM THURSDAY...JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT CROSSING
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. STRONGEST DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS MAY TEND TO OCCUR A FEW MILES INLAND...JUST AWAY FROM
THE WATERS EDGE.

* IMPACTS...SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINE DAMAGE IS EXPECTED.
THIS WOULD RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. SOME DAMAGE TO SMALL OR
COMPROMISED STRUCTURES COULD OCCUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
725. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:53 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Very foggy all over NYC today...wow
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14871
724. LargoFl
2:52 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
alot of damage in Tenn..hope Hydrus is ok..........
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
723. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:51 PM GMT on January 30, 2013

Tonight weather for my area

Showers, with thunderstorms also possible after midnight. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Patchy fog before midnight. Low around 47. Windy, with a south wind 16 to 21 mph increasing to 23 to 28 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14871
722. WunderGirl12
2:51 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Quoting AussieStorm:

Stay safe.

Goodnight all


Good Night Aussie! Thanks again! :-)

WunderGirl12
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 23 Comments: 810
721. LargoFl
2:50 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
720. AussieStorm
2:49 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


Nearly 2" of rain w/ 60 mph gusts for my area today

Stay safe.

Goodnight all
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
719. LargoFl
2:49 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
so far no severe,lets see if this changes tonight huh..HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
555 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830 -850-853-856-870-
873-876-302300-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
555 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
RIP CURRENT RISK AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT. SEE
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND
OUTER WATERS...ALONG WITH TAMPA BAY. SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION
OVER THE REST OF THE WATERS. A PERSISTENT...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RAISE SEAS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. SEE
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING FRONTAL
PASSAGE...SHOULD BEGIN TO LOWER INTO THE WEEKEND.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ON THURSDAY. SEE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
MORE INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

GARCIA
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 36933
718. ArkWeather
2:47 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Well it's looking more like the damage path I posted about last night was in fact a low end tornado. Video of a funnel has turned up on Facebook (don't have a link for you, sorry). Couple of houses had significant damage, but not nearly as bad as what some are posting here.
The biggest thing is rain locally in extreme drought area. One of the local TV mets posted that it's the heaviest rain event in 418 days. Looked like in the dark this morning, that the wetlands finally have water in them again, for the first time since April of last year.
Member Since: January 3, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 62
717. trHUrrIXC5MMX
2:47 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Quoting AussieStorm:

Your welcome. Once again, good luck with your report :-)


Hi Aussie... I wanted to ask you how's it been over there with the flooding going on.
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14871
716. etxwx
2:47 PM GMT on January 30, 2013
Good morning all. Hopefully everyone is safe and sound and will continue to be so during the rest of this stormy weather. We had gusty winds and a nice .25 inches of rain here in East Texas with much more seasonal temps this morning, currently at 56F.

Member Since: September 4, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1458

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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