April in January: spring-like severe weather and record warmth in the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:19 PM GMT on January 29, 2013

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The calendar says its January, but the atmosphere looks more like April over the Midwest U.S., where a spring-like surge of warm air is interacting with a strong low pressure system to create a dangerous severe weather situation. The warm air surging northwards has already broken high temperature records for the date in Chicago, where the mercury hit 61°F at 7 am CST; a tornado watch is posted for portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, and Arkansas. Golf-ball sized hail fell at three locations in Oklahoma already this morning, and a wind gust of 75 mph was reported in a thunderstorm near Omega, Oklahoma. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas, Tennessee, Missouri, Alabama, Oklahoma, Illinois, Indiana, and Mississippi in their "Moderate Risk" region for severe weather on Tuesday. This is the first "Moderate Risk" forecast issued during 2013. The primary threat will be damaging thunderstorm winds, but we will also see tornadoes, with the potential for a few strong EF-2 and EF-3 twisters. The surge of warm moving northwards ahead of the cold front spawning today's severe weather is bringing in warmth unprecedented for January in some locations. Monday was the hottest January day on record in Topeka, Kansas, which hit 77°F. That's 36°F above average. and 3° warmer than their previous highest January temperature. Columbia, Missouri tied its all-time warmest January temperature, 77°. Kansas City (74°F) and Wichita (74°F) both fell 1° short of tying their all-time January hottest temperature records. Balloon soundings of the atmosphere taken last night showed moisture levels in the top 5% for a January day over much of the Midwest, and several stations may set all-time rainiest January day records today. One candidate is Flint Michigan, where a heavy thunderstorm moved in at 7:30 am, dumping 0.75" of rain. With another round of thunderstorms expected tonight, Flint is poised to break its record for rainiest January day in its history--the 1.34" that fell on January 18, 1949.


Figure 1. A crazy weather day for the U.S.: our severe weather map from 10 am EST Tuesday, January 29. Severe thunderstorms were occurring in Kansas and Oklahoma, flood watches were posted for Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, Ohio, and Wisconsin, and winter weather advisories, high wind advisories, and fire weather advisories were posted in other locations.


Figure 2. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas, Tennessee, Missouri, Alabama, Oklahoma, Illinois, Indiana, and Mississippi in their "Moderate Risk" region for severe weather on Tuesday. This is the first "Moderate Risk" forecast issued during 2013.

Chicago's wild January weather ride continues
Chicago's craziest January in memory got even stranger today, when a surge of warm air pushed the temperature to 61°F at 7 am, breaking the previous high temperature record of 59°F for the date. Spring-like thunderstorms, accompanied by temperatures in the mid-60s are expected this afternoon--just a week after the city recorded a high temperature of 11°F and a low of -1°F (on January 22nd.) Chicago has been above 65°F in January just once in its history--on January 25, 1950, when the mercury hit 67°F. The average January high in the Windy City is 30°F, and today will be the 4th day the city has been 20 or more degrees warmer than that during January 2013. The roller coaster goes back downhill after the cold front moves through early on Wednesday, though--Chicago's high on Friday is expected to be near 15°F, with a morning low around 5°F. Chicago has also experienced record low snowfall this winter; the city got it's first 1-inch snowstorm of the season on Friday, when 1.1" fell at O'Hare Airport. This was the latest first 1-inch snow in city history, and ended a 335-day streak without a 1-inch snowstorm, the longest such streak since records began in 1872. Chicago has managed just 2.9" of snow during the winter of 2012 - 2013, which is 16" below average.

Chicago's roller coaster of temperatures doesn't compare, though, to what happened in Nowata, Oklahoma during the period February 10 - 17, 2011. A cold air mass combined with a fresh snow pack and calm winds allowed Nowata to hit a low of -31°F on February 10, 2011--the all-time coldest temperature ever recorded in Oklahoma. Gradual warming accelerated over the next week, and temperatures peaked at a record high of 79 degrees on February 17. According to the National Weather Service in Tulsa, Okla., this 110-degree temperature rise was the greatest change within seven days in Oklahoma history.


Video 1. In this video done by Peter Sinclair for the Yale Forum on Climate Change, I offer my thoughts on the roller coaster ride of temperatures in Michigan this winter, look back at the remarkable weather of 2012, and discuss what 2013 might bring. My main concern: drought.

Jeff Masters

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Good Morning from Tallahassee. As noted in the post below from Tally NWS, we continue to have this "shield" in the Big Bend region of Florida......These squall lines pound the Panhandle then weaken considerably before reaching the Big Bend; I only know of one damaging tornado touchdown (my friend's house was lifted off the foundation and dropped back down with her in it) in the Tallahassee area in the last 10 years. Same thing with hurricanes, they pass us to the West headed towards the Panhandle.

Yall Stay Safe in the Panhandle today and keep posted to media and your NOAA weather radios.
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OVER THE GULF COAST STATES...MULTIPLE BANDS OF MORE DISCRETE
STORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED ACROSS AL
WITHIN A CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME DOWNSTREAM FROM THE PRIMARY
QLCS. THE 12Z BHM SOUNDING SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF A MOIST AND
RATHER DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER...YIELDING MLCAPE OF AROUND 1000 J/KG.
WHEN COUPLED WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 60 KT AND EFFECTIVE SRH
VALUES OF 300-350 M2/S2...THE CORRIDOR OVER CNTRL/ERN AL INTO WRN GA
WILL HAVE A HEIGHTENED RISK FOR TORNADOES IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANY
LONGER-LIVED SUPERCELLS THAT PERSIST AHEAD OF THE QLCS.


Tornado Sirens everywhere now.


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Quoting pcola57:
Good Morning All..
Slowly but surely heading my way..



Lots of warnings out this am..





pcola, is that a front I see? Cold weather? (I havent checked my radar maps yet this morning, btw)

WunderGirl12
Member Since: January 9, 2011 Posts: 24 Comments: 812
Quoting VR46L:


Take care Pcola and all in the Panhandle area !


Will do VR46L..
Lots of lightening in this mess for me..
We have a great safe place in the home here so not too worried..
My problem is other folks not preparing and their stuff blows around..
Hows your weather today my friend?
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got a donut hole heading in my general direction.
weak storm though
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661. VR46L
Quoting pcola57:
Good Morning All..
Slowly but surely heading my way..



Lots of warnings out this am..





Take care Pcola and all in the Panhandle area !
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6966


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Good Morning All..
Slowly but surely heading my way..



Lots of warnings out this am..



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Going to pass JUST north of Atlanta.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
808 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN COBB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
DOUGLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHWESTERN FULTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA
SOUTHEASTERN PAULDING COUNTY IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA
NORTHWESTERN COWETA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA
NORTHEASTERN HEARD COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA

* UNTIL 900 AM EST

* AT 802 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF WHITESBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
DOUGLASVILLE...LITHIA SPRINGS...HIRAM...AUSTELL...POWDER SPRINGS
AND SMYRNA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...HAIL OR FLOODING...WAIT UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8
6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6. YOU CAN ALSO TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG GAWX.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM EST WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3403 8467 3379 8439 3338 8504 3345 8513
TIME...MOT...LOC 1308Z 218DEG 47KT 3348 8500

$$
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657. VR46L
Quoting stormchaser43:
Appears that moderate risk 15% hatched area was overdone. The event seemed like a bust. TA13 was right.

Hey, anyone seen some of the regulars....StormTracker2K, VR46L, TomballTXPride, clamshell, washingtonian115. Where have they been hiding out??


I drop by occasionally Chaser, Kinda busy yesterday..I saw Wash has said she wont be around until till May . The others I honestly Dont Know but I do miss Tomball
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656. beell
.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I have to go to school in just a minute. Everybody stay safe today.

It is disconcerting to see this many discrete cells ahead of the squall line. Many of them are showing rotation, at that. Watch them all as we progress through the morning. Today may be a bigger day for tornadoes than yesterday was, in my opinion.

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000
FXUS62 KTAE 300932
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
432 AM EST Wed Jan 30 2013

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...
Active day is expected across the region today. Surface data from
early this morning show a frontal system moving eastward across the
Mid South with an organized squall line running out ahead of the
frontal zone. The airmass out ahead of this boundary is quite moist
and rather atypical for late January with dewpoints running in the
mid and upper 60s. But what is most impressive about this system is
the kinematic field. 500 mb analysis from 00 UTC shows a 110kt jet
moving through eastern Oklahoma. The lower level flow is equally
impressive with a 70kt measurement at 850mb from Little Rock at 00
UTC. Model guidance is in good agreement that this strong wind field
will translate eastward today as the strong trough shifts toward the
Atlantic Seaboard. Model guidance shows the low level 850 mb jet
ranging anywhere from 65kt to 75 kt just ahead of squall line this
afternoon across Southern Alabama and into Southwestern Georgia.
This strong wind field will easily support the potential for severe
weather. The only remaining question is how much instability this
system will have to work with as it moves eastward. Model guidance
shows a decent amount of instability (around 500 J/KG of SBCAPE) in
the afternoon, but this is maximized more across Southeast Alabama
and in the Florida Panhandle and diminishes considerably further
east into the Florida Big Bend and South Central Georgia. Thus it is
expected that the squall line will maintain itself as it moves into
the area later this afternoon but weaken with time while moving
eastward. Should the line remain well organized, the potential
exists for some significant wind damage across Southeast Alabama
where the combination of the strong wind field and instability is
likely to overlap. Even if the squall line weakens considerably,
with such a strong wind field in place, it will take very little to
bring severe-level winds to the surface. In fact, the environmental
flow out ahead of the line could produce winds gusting at times to
near 45kt this afternoon.


Good thing instability is lacking or t would probably be a dangerous outbreak around here. We should still get some much needed rain and an exciting line of storms though, both of which there have been too little of!

As is usual with these systems, the models overdue QPF to the north and show too little on the southern end of the front where the deepest moisture is even though there is less lift/dynamical support.

I'm pretty sure QPF will be higher around here than the 0.10 that some models are suggesting.
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Alabama cell weakened, new warning in Tennessee.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
653 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BLEDSOE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
MARION COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
SEQUATCHIE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 745 AM CST

* AT 654 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 5 MILES WEST OF
WHITWELL...OR 10 MILES NORTH OF JASPER. DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS
TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DUNLAP...PIKEVILLE...WHITWELL...MARTIN SPRINGS...POWELLS
CROSSROADS...GRIFFITH CREEK...CARTWRIGHT...PALIO AND BRAYTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY FOR EAST
TENNESSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3523 8571 3526 8571 3531 8564 3532 8557
3536 8552 3541 8551 3565 8519 3557 8510
3554 8510 3552 8513 3549 8514 3547 8512
3544 8518 3530 8526 3505 8567 3519 8581
TIME...MOT...LOC 1253Z 230DEG 38KT 3519 8562

$$

and Mississippi...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
658 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CLARKE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF QUITMAN...
SOUTHEASTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 745 AM CST

* AT 658 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR QUITMAN
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MIDDLETON...SABLE AND SYKES BY 705 AM CST...
INCREASE...SNELL AND ZERO BY 710 AM CST...
ALAMUCHA AND TOOMSUBA BY 720 AM CST...
KEWANEE BY 725 AM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. YOU
SHOULD ACTIVATE YOUR TORNADO ACTION PLAN AND TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION
NOW.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR EASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

&&

LAT...LON 3220 8843 3197 8874 3211 8889 3252 8840
3251 8839 3245 8839
TIME...MOT...LOC 1258Z 227DEG 54KT 3210 8873

$$
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Sean Breslin@Sean_Breslin

The Weather Channel has confirmed one death, in the Bordeaux area of Nashville, when a tree fell on a shed. #severe
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
There is very strong rotation indicated on radar in Alabama. The cell is situated south-southwest of Cullman, moving northeast at 70 mph. This area was devastated by an EF4 tornado on April 27, 2011, and has seen many close calls since that time.



Doesn't get much clearer that there is indeed a tornado on the ground. The BWER on radar aligns perfectly with the area of rotation.



Wish I'm tracking it on GRLevel3... hopefully everybody is safe!
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
555 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830 -850-853-856-870-
873-876-302300-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
555 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
RIP CURRENT RISK AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT. SEE
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN AND
OUTER WATERS...ALONG WITH TAMPA BAY. SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION
OVER THE REST OF THE WATERS. A PERSISTENT...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WIND
WILL RAISE SEAS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A HAZARD AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. SEE
BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
ELEVATED WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING FRONTAL
PASSAGE...SHOULD BEGIN TO LOWER INTO THE WEEKEND.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK ON THURSDAY. SEE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
MORE INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

GARCIA


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There is very strong rotation indicated on radar in Alabama. The cell is situated south-southwest of Cullman, moving northeast at 70 mph. This area was devastated by an EF4 tornado on April 27, 2011, and has seen many close calls since that time.



Doesn't get much clearer that there is indeed a tornado on the ground. The BWER on radar aligns perfectly with the area of rotation.

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Everyone have a wonderful Wednesday and Aussie, have a great Thursday.
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
613 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ALC043-301230-
/O.CON.KHUN.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130130T1230Z/
CULLMAN AL-
613 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM CST FOR NORTHERN
CULLMAN COUNTY...

AT 611 AM CST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR CULLMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CULLMAN...SOUTH VINEMONT AND WEST POINT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORNADOES ARE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO
NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
...THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXPANDED IN AREA AND TIME...AND IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA...AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND
FROM 9 AM EST /8 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/
THIS EVENING...

.VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING OUT AHEAD
OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. WITH EXTREMELY STRONG WINDS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE...WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...EVEN OUTSIDE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE STRONGEST GUSTS (45 TO 50 MPH)
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION...WITH GUSTS OF
40 TO 45 MPH ANTICIPATED FURTHER TO THE EAST,
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
folks, lets not forget..this is a HUGE storm front, reaching from the great lakes all the way down to the gulf and its moving eastward..every state in the east is going to get some of this..if its clear by you now..its time to prepare huh..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
646 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

KYC135-161-201-OHC001-015-071-131-141-145-301700-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.A.0015.000000T0000Z-130130T1700Z/

TORNADO WATCH 15 REMAINS VALID UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN KENTUCKY THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES

IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY

LEWIS MASON

IN NORTHERN KENTUCKY

ROBERTSON

IN OHIO THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL OHIO

ROSS

IN SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO

ADAMS BROWN HIGHLAND
PIKE SCIOTO

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CHILLICOTHE...GEORGETOWN...
HILLSBORO...MAYSVILLE...MOUNT OLIVET...PIKETON...PORTSMOUTH...
VANCEBURG AND WEST UNION.

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS
ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH...ONLY ON
RIDGES ABOVE 1000 FEET ELEVATION. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...THE STRONG WINDS COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. UNSECURED OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN
ABOUT...AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES MAY BECOME DIFFICULT TO
MANEUVER.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582

Jonathan Erdman@wxjerdman

Possible #tornado in southern Walker Co., AL. Take cover in Gorgas, Goodsprings. http://twitter.com/wxjerdman/status/29658771592591 3600/photo/1
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Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
638 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

KYC125-199-203-301200-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130130T1200Z/
PULASKI KY-ROCKCASTLE KY-LAUREL KY-
638 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL LAUREL...
SOUTH CENTRAL ROCKCASTLE AND NORTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 700
AM EST...

AT 636 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
AND BRIEF RAIN-WRAPPED TORNADOES. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR RUTH...OR NEAR SOMERSET...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BENT AND VALLEY OAK AROUND 645 AM EST.
LEVEL GREEN AND BROMO AROUND 650 AM EST.
BILLOWS...CEDARVILLE...PONGO AND BLOSS AROUND 655 AM EST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582

TWC Breaking@TWCBreaking

Cell with strong rotation just NW of Decatur, AL. Folks in #Huntsville monitor closely. Radar/alerts: wxch.nl/XJvOnX #severe
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Edit: Link to real time satellite live stream was cancelled. At least, we survived :-)

Good morning from Germany. Very stormy weather today and the next two days. Quite warm (around 53%uFFFDF), but a colder frontal system (maybe with a sort of squall line) is moving in.
All the best for everyone; have a nice and safe day. Barb
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TNC007-115-153-301245-
/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0002.130130T1141Z-130130T1245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
541 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BLEDSOE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
MARION COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...
SEQUATCHIE COUNTY IN EAST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 645 AM CST

* AT 538 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM MCMINNVILLE TO 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF SEWANEE TO 37
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SEWANEE...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
PIKEVILLE...DUNLAP...JASPER...MONTEAGLE...WHITWELL ...SOUTH
PITTSBURG...CAGLE...OLD CUMBERLAND...MOUNT CREST...GRIFFITH
CREEK...MELVINE...PALIO...ORME...CARTWRIGHT...MART IN SPRINGS...
BRAYTON...POWELLS CROSSROADS...LONE OAK AND HALETOWN (GUILD).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

&&
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
530 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL CANNON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
EASTERN COFFEE COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN GRUNDY COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHWESTERN VAN BUREN COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
WARREN COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 615 AM CST

* AT 529 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTH OF MANCHESTER...AND MOVING EAST AT
50 MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EASTERN
COFFEE...NORTHERN GRUNDY...SOUTH CENTRAL CANNON...SOUTHWESTERN VAN
BUREN AND WARREN COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
MORRISON AND VIOLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES ARE DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
Quoting hydrus:
I noticed that. The storm is in our county now.


Keep close watch, Hydrus, and stay safe!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hydrus:
I noticed that. The storm is in our county now.
good thing you still have power Hydrus..last night those storms stayed in hmm arkansas in what seemed like forever..not a fast moving system at all,stay safe up there,probably an all day event..my turn tonight and tomorrow local met says, me i'll catch whatever is coming in from the gulf and also what comes downstate..going to be interesting around here when it arrives.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582

TWC Breaking@TWCBreaking

HT @NWSNashville Near White House, TN earlier this AM: 4 homes w/ roof, window #damage. 1 home had its garage blown into the road. #severe
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
523 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

ALC021-301145-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130130T1145Z/
CHILTON AL-
523 AM CST WED JAN 30 2013

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL CHILTON
COUNTY UNTIL 545 AM CST...

AT 523 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR THORSBY...OR NEAR JEMISON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
UNION GROVE.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBER 219...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3288 8680 3307 8669 3307 8662 3305 8662
3306 8660 3302 8656 3302 8652 3298 8651
3285 8672
TIME...MOT...LOC 1123Z 215DEG 48KT 3293 8669

$$

17/KLAWS

Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
Quoting LargoFl:
this system isnt moving fast at all,long lasting severe storms..
I noticed that. The storm is in our county now.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
I wonder if those 60mph+ winds will reach down here to my area..guess i'd better clean the gutters and take in all the loose stuff outside..just in case..local met is sort of concerned about tonight..but still too early yet for any warnings etc
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582

Jonathan Erdman@wxjerdman

#Damage in Sheffield, AL, per Emerg. Mgr. via NWS: #Severe http://twitter.com/wxjerdman/status/29658170196506 6240/photo/1
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Quoting aislinnpaps:
Good morning, everyone. Evening, Aussie

Breakfast is simple this morning, muffins and donuts. I just got home from the hospital. My daughter's fiance's mother died suddenly from a heart attack. I've been with my daughter and Riley's family all night. It's going to be a long day at school today.

Weatherwise, there was a tornado north of me. No damage that I've heard of. But the weather's now east of me. Under a wind advisory for the rest of the day.


Good Evening. Very humid here tonight, I'm sitting watching tv, GRL3 and Twitter sweating.

Condolences to your daughters fiancee and his family.
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this system isnt moving fast at all,long lasting severe storms..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
353 AM EST WED JAN 30 2013

...STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS TODAY ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

.STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SET UP ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS...BUT RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION COULD
CHANNEL STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS AS
WELL. IN ADDITION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
APPROACHING FRONT WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA. THE
RESULTANT WET SOIL CONDITIONS WILL MAKE IT EASIER FOR THE WINDS TO
TOPPLE TREES AND PRODUCE POWER OUTAGES. THE WINDS WILL TURN
SHARPLY WEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT LATE TODAY...BUT WITH VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS LIKELY LASTING WELL INTO THE NIGHT.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582
eastern states, this morning is Time to prepare......
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41582

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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