Mighty North Atlantic low bombs to 930 mb

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 6:04 PM GMT on January 26, 2013

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In the Northern Atlantic south of Iceland, an extratropical storm that brought up to 6" of snow to Maryland on Thursday has put on a remarkable burst of rapid intensification over the past 24 hours, with the center pressure dropping 58 mb in 24 hours. The Free University of Berlin, which names all major high and low pressure systems that affect Europe, has named the storm "Jolle." This meteorological "bomb" was analyzed with a central pressure of 988 mb at 12Z (7 am EST) Friday morning by NOAA's Ocean Prediction Center, and hit 930 mb by 7 am EST Saturday morning. The storm may deepen a few more millibars today, but it is close to maximum intensity. A 930 mb central pressure is what one commonly sees in Category 4 hurricanes, and is one of the lowest pressures attained by an Atlantic extratropical storm in recent decades. Since extratropical storms do not form eyewalls, the winds of the massive Atlantic low are predicted to peak at 90 mph (Category 1 hurricane strength), with significant wave heights reaching 52 feet (16 meters.) The powerful storm brought sustained winds of 52 mph, gusting to 72 mph, to Vestmannaeyjar, Iceland at 6 pm local time Saturday. Fortunately, the storm is expected to weaken dramatically before Jolle's core hurricane-force winds affect any land areas.


Figure 1. Winter Storm Jolle, as seen at 10 am EST January 26, 2013. Three hours prior to this image, Jolle was analyzed with a central pressure of 930 mb--one of the lowest pressures in recent decades for an Atlantic extratropical storm. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

According to wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt's post on
Super Extratropical Storms, the all-time record lowest pressure for a North Atlantic extratropical storm is 913 mb, set on January 11, 1993, near Scotland's Shetland Islands. The mighty 1993 storm broke apart the super oil tanker Braer on a rocky shoal in the Shetland Islands, causing a massive oil spill.

Other notable Atlantic extratropical storms, as catalogued by British weather historian, Stephen Burt:

920.2 mb (27.17”) measured by the ship Uyir while she sailed southeast of Greenland on December 15, 1986. The British Met. Office calculated that the central pressure of the storm, which was centered some distance southeast of the ship, was 916 mb (27.05”).

921.1 mb (27.20”) on Feb. 5, 1870 measured by the ship Neier at 49°N 26°W (another ship in the area measured 925.5 mb)

924 mb (27.28”) on Feb. 4, 1824 at Reykjavik, Iceland (the lowest on land measured pressure in the North Atlantic)

925.5 mb (27.33”) on Dec. 4, 1929 by the SS Westpool somewhere in the Atlantic (exact location unknown)

925.6 mb (27.33”) on Jan. 26, 1884 at Ochtertyre, Perthshire, U.K. (the lowest pressure recorded on land in the U.K.)

For comparison’s sake, the lowest pressure measured on land during an extra-tropical storm in the United States (aside from Alaska) was 952 mb 28.10” at Bridgehampton, New York (Long Island) on March 1 during, the Great Billy Sunday Snowstorm.


Figure 2. Infrared satellite image of the North Atlantic Storm of January 11, 1993 at 0600Z when it deepened into the strongest extra-tropical cyclone ever observed on earth, with a central pressure of 913 mb (26.96”). Satellite image from EUMETSAT Meteosat-4.

Links
You can see a nice AVHRR image of the east side of the storm at the University of Bern. The raw MODIS pass is here.

The Meteorological Institute of Norway has a nice satellite animation of Jolle.

Wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt's posts on Super Extratropical Storms and World and U.S. Lowest Barometric Pressure Records

Claudio Cassardo's January 23, 2013 post,
Very low minima of extratropical cyclones in North Atlantic

Read my story of what it was like to fly though a 936 mb Atlantic low pressure system on January 4, 1989.

Intense winter storms are expected to increase in number due to climate change
In my 2010 blog post, The future of intense winter storms, I discuss how evidence for an observed increase in intense wintertime cyclones in the North Atlantic is uncertain. In particular, intense Nor'easters affecting the Northeast U.S. showed no increase in number over the latter part of the 20th century. This analysis is supported by the fact that wintertime wave heights recorded since the mid-1970s by the three buoys along the central U.S. Atlantic coast have shown little change (Komar and Allan, 2007a,b, 2008). However, even though Nor'easters have not been getting stronger, they have been dropping more precipitation, in the form of both rain and snow. Several studies (Geng and Sugi, 2001, and Paciorek et al., 2002) found an increase in intense winter storms over both the North Atlantic, but Benestad and Chen (2006) found no trend in the western parts of the North Atlantic, and Gulev et al. (2001) found a small small decrease of intense winter storms in the Atlantic.

The U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP), a scientific advisory board created by the President and Congress, concluded this in their 2009 U.S. Climate Impacts Report: "Cold-season storm tracks are shifting northward and the strongest storms are likely to become stronger and more frequent". The USGRP concluded that an increase of between four and twelve intense wintertime extratropical storms per year could be expected over the Northern Hemisphere by 2100, depending upon the amount of greenhouse gases put into the air (Figure 3). If we assume that the current climate is producing the same number of intense winter storms as it did over the period 1961-2000--about 53--this represents an increase of between 8% and 23% in intense wintertime extratropical storms. Two studies--Pinto et al. (2007) and Bengtsson et al. 2006--suggest that the more intense winter cyclones will affect only certain preferred regions, namely northwestern Europe and Alaska's Aleutian Islands. At least three other studies also find that northwestern Europe--including the British Isles, the Netherlands, northern France, northern Germany, Denmark and Norway--can expect a significant increase in intense wintertime cyclones in a future warmer world (Lionello et al., 2008; Leckebusch and Ulbrich 2004; and Leckebusch et al., 2006). None of these studies showed a significant increase in the number of intense Nor'easters affecting the Northeast U.S.


Figure 3. The projected change in intense wintertime extratropical storms with central pressures < 970 mb for the Northern Hemisphere under various emission scenarios. Storms counted occur poleward of 30°N during the 120-day season beginning November 15. A future with relatively low emissions of greenhouse gases (B1 scenario, blue line) is expected to result in an additional four intense extratropical storms per year, while up to twelve additional intense storms per year can be expected in a future with high emissions (red and black lines). Humanity is currently on a high emissions track. Figure was adapted from Lambert and Fyfe (2006), and was taken from Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate, a 2009 report from the the U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP). The USGRP began as a presidential initiative in 1989 and was mandated by Congress in the Global Change Research Act of 1990, which called for "a comprehensive and integrated United States research program which will assist the Nation and the world to understand, assess, predict, and respond to human-induced and natural processes of global change".

Jeff Masters

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NAM at 72 hours,hunker down and heed your local warnings..
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Can you check this link please... Late news via online stream. Link
thats a cool site aussie..wow hundreds of homes flooded in Queensland huh...
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Quoting LargoFl:
aussie, hope you come thru that stormy weather ok down there..hope no flooding by your place..thats alot of rain there for sure.


Can you check this link please... Late news via online stream. Link
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
Quoting AussieStorm:

Good Evening, I have added a bottle of Jim Beam Black beside these if anyone needs something a bit stronger.


Hmmm, a little of that in my coffee sounds interesting, Aussie coffee vs Irish coffee. Must try it. Hope all the rains are not affecting you.

Time to start another week. Everyone have a great Monday. Aussie, enjoy your Tuesday!
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A 3-year-old boy has died in Royal Brisbane Hospital tonight after he was critically
injured in an incident earlier this morning at Gordon Park.

Initial information suggests that at around 8.30am a 34-year-old woman and the
3-year-old boy were standing on Kedron Brook bikeway watching floodwater when they were struck by a falling tree.

They were both taken to hospital in a critical condition.

Police will prepare a report for the coroner.

State of Queensland (Queensland Police Service) 2013
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
aussie, hope you come thru that stormy weather ok down there..hope no flooding by your place..thats alot of rain there for sure.
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Quoting wxchaser97:

Yeah everything is covered in a layer of ice making travel unsafe. Besides, I really wanted this day to have no school, one more rest day after mid-terms.
I remember way back, i was walking to school on one of those ice covered sidewalks, was late so i was rushing a bit, slipped on the ice and almost fractured my head..man it hurt but made it to school ok..from then on all thru my life I was wary of ice..lesson learned huh.
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Quoting LargoFl:
GOOD MORNING..That was a smart move closing the schools,less traffic on those ice covered roadways and the kids are home safe

Yeah everything is covered in a layer of ice making travel unsafe. Besides, I really wanted this day to have no school, one more rest day after mid-terms.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7958
I guess this could be a bad middle of the week weather wise for the whole gulf coast states huh, im wondering here in florida what is going to happen when this cold front crashes into our humid 80's temps..hopefully some rain
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wow look at that front............
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Quoting aislinnpaps:
Good morning, all. Evening, Aussie.

A balmy 66 degrees this morning with a high expected around 75 later.

I've added muffins and bagals with honey butter, cream cheese and jelly alongside Largo's coffee. Enjoy.

Good Evening, I have added a bottle of Jim Beam Black beside these if anyone needs something a bit stronger.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
looks like a stormy day up in the northeast....
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Quoting wxchaser97:
Good morning everyone.

This morning I woke to a couple inches of snow on the ground, a couple tenths of an inch of ice, and no school. My first weather related school closing in 2 winters. So far, there are about 600 school closing in the Metro Detroit area. There are also numerous accidents on the roads this morning.
GOOD MORNING..That was a smart move closing the schools,less traffic on those ice covered roadways and the kids are home safe
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Good morning everyone.

This morning I woke to a couple inches of snow on the ground, a couple tenths of an inch of ice, and no school. My first weather related school closing in 2 winters. So far, there are about 600 school closing in the Metro Detroit area. There are also numerous accidents on the roads this morning.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7958
Good morning. Here's the SPC's latest outlook for tomorrow:



It doesn't look like a huge event, but scattered damaging winds will definitely be a threat as we should see a pretty big squall line form. A few isolated tornadoes are possible as well, but wind is definitely the bigger threat.
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Good morning, all. Evening, Aussie.

A balmy 66 degrees this morning with a high expected around 75 later.

I've added muffins and bagals with honey butter, cream cheese and jelly alongside Largo's coffee. Enjoy.
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7 day for Tampa Bay..hope I get a few showers......
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Good Morning folks..evening Aussie...well the blogs coffee is perked grab a cup and Have a wonderful day everyone!
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Quoting AussieStorm:
Good Evening all.
It's been a very wet but not very windy day here in the burbs of Sydney. As you can see from the below image, Sydney is starting to get the big effects of Ex-Oswald.



The wind is starting to pick up and will only get worse. Sydney is being forecast to get 120km/h wind gusts on the coast 100km/h wind gusts in the burbs, sustained will be around 80km/h. As you can see from the image below it's not looking good.



Below is rainfall map for the last 24hrs. This time tomorrow night it's predicted anywhere between 100-200mm of rain is to fall, and mostly after midnight tonight.



I will try and stay awake as long as I can to report on local conditions.

I'll be back later. This is far from over for SE Queensland and very much so for New South Wales(my state).


Evening Aussie.

It looks like both of us are getting wet weather. I am currently getting heavy rain from the cold front on the island of Oahu in Hawaii. The rain should end on my area by tomorrow afternoon. Stay dry and safe.
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Monday 28th January

YELLOW EARLY WARNING of RAIN
Another spell of heavy rain, accompanied by strong to gale force winds, will quickly spread northeastwards across the UK early on Tuesday.
Given saturated ground, the public should be aware that localised flooding and disruption to travel is likely across south and west Wales and southwest England.
Valid on Tuesday from 0005 until 2355.

YELLOW EARLY WARNING of WIND
A spell of very windy weather with gales and severe gales in places, will spread across Scotland during Tuesday night and early Wednesday.
Winds inland will be strongest through the Central Lowlands (80 mph) during the early morning, then will gradually ease from the west.
The public should be aware of the need to take extra care and of the potential for disruption, particularly to travel.

Thank you JOLLE - as if we are not wet enough here!!
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Good Evening all.
It's been a very wet but not very windy day here in the burbs of Sydney. As you can see from the below image, Sydney is starting to get the big effects of Ex-Oswald.



The wind is starting to pick up and will only get worse. Sydney is being forecast to get 120km/h wind gusts on the coast 100km/h wind gusts in the burbs, sustained will be around 80km/h. As you can see from the image below it's not looking good.



Below is rainfall map for the last 24hrs. This time tomorrow night it's predicted anywhere between 100-200mm of rain is to fall, and mostly after midnight tonight.



I will try and stay awake as long as I can to report on local conditions.

I'll be back later. This is far from over for SE Queensland and very much so for New South Wales(my state).
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
906 PM HST SUN JAN 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR OAHU AND MAUI COUNTY...

.A COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE HEAVY SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS TO CENTRAL MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...BRINGING A
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING THROUGH LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

HIZ005>011-282015-
/O.CON.PHFO.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-130129T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
OAHU SOUTH SHORE-WAIANAE COAST-OAHU NORTH SHORE-OAHU KOOLAU-
OLOMANA-CENTRAL OAHU-WAIANAE MOUNTAINS-
906 PM HST SUN JAN 27 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* OAHU.

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER OAHU WILL BRING THE THREAT OF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS.

* AVOID GOING NEAR STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS VERY DANGEROUS. REMEMBER
THAT IT DOES NOT HAVE TO BE RAINING HEAVILY WHERE YOU ARE FOR
FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR.

MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE
ACTION IF FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FOSTER
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Tropical Cyclone Thirteen becomes Felleng.

Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
393. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE FELLENG (07-20122013)
10:00 AM RET January 28 2013
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Felleng (998 hPa) located at 13.0S 59.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots

Gale Force Winds
=================
30 NM from the center in northwest quadrant and up to 40 NM in the eastern semi-circle

Near Gale Force Winds
======================
50 NM radius from the center, extending up to 70 NM in the northwestern quadrant, up to 150 NM in the southeastern quadrant, and up to 170 NM in the northeastern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 13.4S 57.1E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
24 HRS: 13.8S 55.1E - 45 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
48 HRS: 15.4S 52.4E - 55 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
72 HRS: 18.5S 51.0E - 75 knots (CYCLONE Tropical)

Additional Information
==========================
System keeps on moving generally westwards on the northwestern edge of the low level subtropical high pressures. This night available scatterometry data are very partial but 0442z ASCAT swath suggest however that gale force winds exist in the eastern semi-circle. Low level circulation has improve on last TRMM data 0224z. So the system has been named.

Available numerical weather prediction models models are in rather good agreement about the forecast track at short range. System is expected to keep a west southwestwards track over the next 36-48 hours.

On this forecast track, the moderate east southeasterly vertical wind shear is expected to limit intensification within the next 12 hours. Then, environmental conditions improve progressively in relationship with the weakening vertical wind-shear and with a second upper level outflow building poleward on and after Thursday. Low level convergence remains very good within the same period, on the both sides.

Environmental conditions are then very favorable for further intensification. However, the vicinity of the Malagasy coastline should be a limited factor.

On and after Wednesday, system is then expected to undergo the northerly steering influence of the mid-level ridge in its east and to track southwards.

Given all the above, unhabitants of eastern Malagasy coastline should closely monitor the progress of this system.
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Quoting Jedkins01:
The value of inductive reasoning is underrated. Deductive reasoning is upheld as superior but both must be used effectively to have clear and accurate perception.


Is this in response to something? Or were you just musing?
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391. Skyepony (Mod)
Three people have died and hundreds of homes are under water after heavy rain brought flooding to parts of the Australian state of Queensland. The town of Bundaberg, where rescuers have been trying to airlift some residents to safety, is expecting its worst floods on record. In Brisbane, the state capital, almost 5,000 homes and properties are at risk. The rain was brought by Tropical Cyclone Oswald, which is now affecting the northern part of New South Wales. Two years ago, flooding in Queensland left 35 people dead, with Bundaberg among the towns affected. Bundaberg Mayor Mal Foreman said the floods would be "far worse" than 2011. Residents have been told to evacuate in some areas after the Burnett River burst its banks. At least 1,200 properties have flooded and some 30 people are trapped on the roofs of their houses in the north of the city. In Brisbane, which was paralysed by flooding two years ago, water has been creeping into low-lying parts of the central business district. Residents of the Lockyer Valley, which was the scene of deadly flash floods in 2011, have also been told to evacuate as creeks and rivers rise. In Ipswich, the Bremer River is expected to peak later in the day, prompting flood warnings. Police said the body of an elderly man who went to check on a yacht north of Bundaberg had been recovered on Sunday. Two men swept away by flooding in separate incidents in Queensland were also found dead on Monday.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 191 Comments: 38627
The value of inductive reasoning is underrated. Deductive reasoning is upheld as superior but both must be used effectively to have clear and accurate perception.
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389. Skyepony (Mod)
MS river is closed near Vicksburg.

A barge carrying 80,000 gallons of oil hit a railroad bridge in Vicksburg, Miss., on Sunday, spilling light crude into the Mississippi River and closing the waterway for eight miles in each direction, the Coast Guard said. A second barge was damaged. Investigators did not know how much had spilled, but an oily sheen was reported as far as three miles downriver of Vicksburg after the 1:12 a.m. incident, said Lt. Ryan Gomez of the Coast Guard's office in Memphis, Tenn. Authorities were still trying to determine the source of the leak, but it appeared to be coming from one or two tanks located at the stern of the first barge, Gomez said. He said there was no indication that any oil was leaking from the second vessel, and said it was still unclear whether the second barge also hit the bridge or was damaged through a collision with the first. "Investigators are still trying to figure out what happened," he said. The privately owned response-and-remediation company United States Environmental Services was working to contain the oil with booms before collecting it and transferring it to one of the barge's undamaged tanks, then ultimately to a separate barge, Gomez said.
More here
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 191 Comments: 38627
Heavy rain falling over Central Oahu.

Flash flood warning has been extended till 10:15 pm HST.
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Quoting Skyepony:
Fairbanks scientists stunned to find intact 40,000-year-old steppe bison in the melting permafrost.

Wow, very cool ...
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
703 PM HST SUN JAN 27 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE ISLAND OF OAHU IN HONOLULU COUNTY

* UNTIL 1000 PM HST

* AT 656 PM HST...RADAR SHOWED HEAVY RAIN WITH RATES OF 2 TO 3
INCHES AN HOUR ACROSS CENTRAL AND WINDWARD OAHU.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WAHIAWA...MILILANI...SCHOFIELD BARRACKS...HAUULA AND LAIE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS FLASH FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING
IN STREAMS...ROADS AND LOW LYING AREAS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW.

DO NOT CROSS FAST FLOWING OR RISING WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE OR ON FOOT.
TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

&&

THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING REPLACES THE FLOOD ADVISORY THAT WAS IN
EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU IN HONOLULU COUNTY.

THIS WARNING MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND 1000 PM HST IF FLASH
FLOODING PERSISTS.

LAT...LON 2153 15811 2175 15796 2152 15781 2135 15809

$$

REYNES/WROE
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
632 PM HST SUN JAN 27 2013

HIC003-280730-
/O.NEW.PHFO.FA.Y.0014.130128T0432Z-130128T0730Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
HONOLULU HI-
632 PM HST SUN JAN 27 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HONOLULU HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU IN HONOLULU COUNTY

* UNTIL 930 PM HST

* AT 624 PM HST...RADAR SHOWED A LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING RAIN RATES OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR SLOWLY MOVING ACROSS
NORTHERN OAHU FROM HAUULA TO WAIALUA TO WAIANAE. THE LINE WILL
MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWEST OVER THE ENTIRE ISLAND THROUGH THE EVENING.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
THE ENTIRE ISLAND OF OAHU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY AWAY FROM STREAMS...DRAINAGE DITCHES AND LOW LYING AREAS PRONE
TO FLOODING.

RAINFALL AND RUNOFF WILL ALSO CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE
TO PONDING...REDUCED VISIBILITY AND POOR BRAKING ACTION.

DO NOT CROSS FAST FLOWING OR RISING WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE OR ON FOOT.
TURN AROUND...DON/T DROWN.

&&

THIS FLOOD ADVISORY REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED ADVISORY THAT WAS
IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND OF OAHU IN HONOLULU COUNTY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT.

THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND 930 PM HST IF HEAVY RAIN
PERSISTS.

LAT...LON 2162 15835 2177 15793 2121 15755 2124 15816

$$
WROE
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


would there be severe weather?


Yes
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Quoting Civicane49:
It's now raining in my area on the island of Oahu:



would there be severe weather?
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


but Sparing it


That too.
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Quoting Civicane49:
Tropical Cyclone Thirteen is forecast to slowly strengthen and is also anticipated to move westward and make a sharp turn towards the south, avoiding landfall on Madagascar.





but Sparing it
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379. Skyepony (Mod)
13S..the 00Z is in better agreement about staying just off shore & stronger than the 18Z.

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 191 Comments: 38627
Well, It is time to close up for the night. Stay Safe out there. Stay Warm and Dry. Sleep Well.
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6000
Quoting PedleyCA:


Right, I was watching the storm on radar. I figured they would get it in before the rain got there. Never saw any clouds, Just sunshine. Stay safe over there and dry if you can.


Don't worry. I'll stay indoors through the night.
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Quoting Civicane49:


Yep. There wasn't much rain this afternoon. But, it isn't over yet; more rain is coming.


Right, I was watching the storm on radar. I figured they would get it in before the rain got there. Never saw any clouds, Just sunshine. Stay safe over there and dry if you can.
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6000
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Quoting PedleyCA:


Didn't see any rain during the Pro Bowl. They got that in just in time.


Yep. There wasn't much rain this afternoon. But, it isn't over yet; more rain is coming.
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Tropical Cyclone Thirteen is forecast to slowly strengthen and is also anticipated to move westward and make a sharp turn towards the south, avoiding landfall on Madagascar.



Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
The Rain Song
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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