Top Ten Global Weather Events of 2012

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:34 PM GMT on January 11, 2013

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It was another year of incredible weather extremes globally during 2012. The year featured two of the most expensive weather disasters in world history--Hurricane Sandy and the Great U.S. Drought of 2012, which will both cost more than $50 billion. Thankfully, no disasters had a death toll in excess of 2,000, though the 1,901 people dead or missing due to Super Typhoon Bopha in the Philippines may rank as that nation's 2nd deadliest typhoon ever. Twenty-six weather disasters costing at least $1 billion occurred globally, according to insurance broker AON Benfield. Eleven billion-dollar weather disasters hit the U.S., a figure exceeded only by the fourteen such disasters in 2011. Nine billion-dollar weather disasters hit China, their highest total in a decade of record-keeping. I present for you, now, the top ten global weather stories of 2012, chosen for their meteorological significance and human and economic impact:



1) New Record Minimum for Arctic Sea Ice (September 16)
Sea ice extent in the Arctic fell to 3.41 million square kilometers on September 16, breaking the previous all-time low set in 2007 by 18%--despite the fact that 2012's Arctic weather was much cloudier and cooler than in 2007. Nearly half (49%) of the icecap was gone during 2012s minimum, compared to the average minimum for the years 1979 - 2000. This is an area approximately 43% of the size of the contiguous United States. And, for the fifth consecutive year--and fifth time in recorded history--ice-free navigation was possible in the Arctic along the coast of Canada (the Northwest Passage), and along the coast of Russia (the Northeast Passage or Northern Sea Route.) "We are now in uncharted territory," said NSIDC Director Mark Serreze. "While we've long known that as the planet warms up, changes would be seen first and be most pronounced in the Arctic, few of us were prepared for how rapidly the changes would actually occur. While lots of people talk about opening of the Northwest Passage through the Canadian Arctic islands and the Northern Sea Route along the Russian coast, twenty years from now from now in August you might be able to take a ship right across the Arctic Ocean." Arctic sea ice is an important component of the global climate system. The polar ice caps help to regulate global temperature by reflecting sunlight back into space. White snow and ice at the poles reflects sunlight, but dark ocean absorbs it. Replacing bright sea ice with dark ocean is a recipe for more and faster global warming. The fall air temperature over the Arctic has increased by 4 - 6°F in the past decade, and we could already be seeing the impacts of this warming in the mid-latitudes, by an increase in extreme weather events. Another non-trivial impact of the absence of sea ice is that is causes increased melting in Greenland, contributing to sea level rise.


Figure 1. A sunny, slushy day near the North Pole on September 1, 2012. Webcam image courtesy of the North Pole Environmental Observatory. It won't be many years before Santa's workshop needs pontoons in the summer to stay afloat.

2) Agricultural Drought in the U.S., Europe, and Asia (Summer)
Drought is civilization's great enemy, and the most dangerous threat from global warming. Drought impacts the two things we need to live--food and water. When the rains stop and the soil dries up, cities die and civilizations collapse, as people abandon lands no longer able to supply them with the food and water they need to live. In a harbinger of things to come, severe droughts affected important agricultural regions across the globe during summer 2012, including eastern Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and central North America. Wheat, corn, and soybean crops were among those heavily impacted; global food prices rose by 10 percent during July. While it will be several months before the costs of America's worst drought since the 1930s Dust Bowl are known, the 2012 drought is expected to cut America's GDP by 0.5 - 1 percentage points, said Deutsche Bank Securities. Since the U.S. GDP is approximately $15 trillion, the drought of 2012 represents a $75 - $150 billion hit to the U.S. economy. This is in the same range as the estimate of $77 billion in costs for the drought, made by Purdue University economist Chris Hurt in August, and the Great U.S. Drought of 2012 is going to be one of the top-five most expensive weather disasters in world history.


Figure 2. Corn in Colby, Kansas withers in the Great Drought of 2012 on May 27. Image credit: Wunderphotographer treeman.

3) Superstorm Sandy (October 29)
Hurricane Sandy was the most powerful and second most destructive Atlantic hurricane in recorded history. Ten hours before landfall, at 9:30 am EDT October 29, the total energy of Sandy's winds of tropical storm-force and higher peaked at 329 terajoules--the highest value for any Atlantic hurricane since at least 1969, and equivalent to more than five Hiroshima-sized atomic bombs. At landfall, Sandy's tropical storm-force winds spanned 943 miles of the the U.S. coast. No hurricane on record has been larger. Sandy's huge size prompted high wind warnings to be posted from Chicago to Eastern Maine, and from Michigan's Upper Peninsula to Florida's Lake Okeechobee--an area home to 120 million people. Sandy's winds simultaneously caused damage to buildings on the shores of Lake Michigan at Indiana Dunes National Lake Shore, and toppled power lines in Nova Scotia, Canada--locations 1200 miles apart! Sandy made landfall near Atlantic City, NJ on October 29, with sustained winds of 80 mph and a central minimum pressure of 946 mb--the lowest pressure on record along the Northeast coast. The Battery, in New York City Harbor, had an observed water level of 13.88 feet, besting the previous record set by Hurricane Donna in 1960 by 3 feet. Sandy's catastrophic storm surge was responsible for the majority of the 131 deaths and $62 billion in damage in the U.S. Sandy also brought torrential rainfall in excess of 12 inches to the mid-Atlantic, and blizzard conditions to the central and southern Appalachians. Sandy's late-season show of unprecedented strength, unusual track, and exceptionally damaging storm surge were made more likely due to climate change, and the storm helped bring more awareness and debate about the threat of climate change to the U.S. than any event since Hurricane Katrina in 2005.


Figure 3. Hurricane Sandy at 10:10 am EDT October 28, 2012. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

4) Greenland Ice Sheet melt and Glacier Calving (July)
Measurements from three satellites showed that on July 8, about 40 percent of the Greenland ice sheet had undergone thawing at or near the surface. But during four consecutive days July 11 - 14, temperatures rose above freezing at the top of the Greenland Ice Sheet, which is 10,551 feet (3216 meters) above sea level and 415 miles (670 km) north of the Arctic Circle. Melting of the ice sheet dramatically accelerated, and an estimated 97 percent of the ice sheet surface had thawed by July 12. This was the greatest melt since 1889, according to ice core records. On July 16, an iceberg twice the size of Manhattan calved from the Petermann Glacier in Northeast Greenland. This was the second huge ice island to calve from the glacier since 2010. The glacier's margins have now retreated to the farthest point in the last 150 years. The record melt in Greenland caused the highest loss of ice mass observed in the satellite era, and melting from Greenland is now thought to cause about 0.7 mm/year of global sea level rise, which is about 20 - 25% of the global total.


Figure 4. The massive 46 square-mile iceberg two times the size of Manhattan that calved from Greenland's Petermann Glacier on July 16, 2012, as seen on July 21, 2012, using MODIS satellite imagery. Image credit: NASA.

5) Super Typhoon Bopha (December 3 - 4)
The deadliest weather disaster of 2012 was Super Typhoon Bopha. Bopha was the strongest typhoon ever hit the southern Philippine island of Mindanao, making landfall as a Category 5 super typhoon with winds of 160 mph (260 km/h) on December 3. Bopha made two additional landfalls in the Philippines, on central Visayas and on Palawan, on December 4. The typhoon left 1901 people dead or missing, mostly on the island of Mindanao. If the missing people are presumed dead, this total would make Bopha the 2nd deadliest typhoon in Philippine history. Bopha affected over 5.4 million people and left over 700,000 people homeless. With damages estimated at $1.04 billion, Bopha is the most costly typhoon ever to hit the Philippines. The previous record was the $600 million price tag of 2009's Typhoon Parma.


Figure 5. December 7, 2012: rescuers and residents look for missing victims amongst toppled tree trunks and coconut shells after flash floods caused by Super Typhoon Bopha hit Compostela Valley on Mindanao Island in the Philippines on December 3 - 4, 2012. (AP Photo/Jay Morales, Malacanang Photo Bureau, HO)

6) Northern Hemisphere Warmth (throughout 2012)
Land areas in the Northern Hemisphere reached record warm monthly values for four consecutive months (April - July). Much of the unusual warmth occurred in North America; Canada was 3rd warmest on record for the period January- September, and the United States had its warmest year on record. Many European countries and Russia had record to near-record warm summer temperatures in 2012.


Figure 6. This young lady chose to cool her heels in the Fox River on June 28, 2012, as the temperature was topping 102 degrees in Carpentersville, IL imag credit: wunderphotographer pjpix.

7) Eurasian Continent Cold Wave (January 24 - February 17)
Europe's worst cold snap in at least 26 years hit central and eastern Europe hard during a 3-week period in late January and the first half of February. The 824 deaths being blamed on the cold wave made it 2012's second deadliest weather disaster. Parts of the Danube River froze over for the first time in 25 years, and Northeast China through eastern Inner Mongolia recorded extremely cold minimum temperatures ranging between -30°C to -40°C.


Figure 7. Snow falls in Trogir, Croatia on February 3, 2012. Image credit: wunderphotographer antoniomise.

8) China Floods (July 21 - 22)
Torrential downpours on July 21 - 22 affected Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei, with several stations recording their highest daily precipitation on record. Mentougou recorded an impressive 305.2 mm (12 inches) of precipitation in one day. The floods killed 129 people and did $4.8 billion in damage, one of a record nine billion-dollar weather disasters to affect China in 2012.


Figure 8. A Chinese man uses a signboard to signal motorists driving through flooded street following a heavy rain in Beijing Saturday, July 21, 2012. China's government says these were the heaviest rains to hit Beijing in six decades. The torrential downpour left low-lying streets flooded and knocked down trees. (AP Photo)

9) Pakistan Floods (August 21 - September 30)
Torrential monsoon rains caused deadly floods in Pakistan, with Balochistan, Punjab, and Sindh provinces the hardest hit. Over 5 million people and over 400,000 hectares of crops were affected by the floods, with more than 460,000 houses and infrastructures damaged or destroyed. The death toll of 455 made it Earth's 3rd deadliest weather-related disaster of 2012.


Figure 9. A driver makes his way on a street flooded from heavy rain in Peshawar, Pakistan, Tuesday, Aug. 28, 2012. (AP Photo/Mohammad Sajjad)

10) African Floods (July - October)
Heavy rains in Nigeria killed at least 431, making it Earth's 4th deadliest weather disaster of 2012. Over 3 million people were affected by flooding across 15 countries in Africa, most notably Nigeria, Niger, Senegal, and Chad. The floods destroyed farmlands, homes, and schools, and caused outbreaks of cholera and other diseases.

Other Top Ten Weather Lists of 2012
My Top Ten U.S. Weather Events of 2012.

Wunderground's Angela Fritz's has a list of Top Climate Events of 2012.

A group of seventeen climate scientists and climate bloggers created a Climate Disruption: Critical 2012 Events and Stories list of 19 key climate change events that occurred in 2012.

TWC's Stu Ostro has his annual post showing his pick for top weather images of 2012.

Climate Central has a top-ten most striking images of 2012 post.

Have a great weekend, everyone!

Jeff Masters

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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
any other comments about the new map?
Hey Max.... I enjoy your posts... You seem to be a very intelligent young man... You give us older people that there is still hope....Thanks Max... Keep up the great work, and posts.
Member Since: October 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 6000
"Coldmeggedon" hitting Europe ,China,west coast of US.Next week brutal cold to hit central and southern part of US.Everyone stay safe.Deadly temps coming to many parts of the world.
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Quoting nymore:
Maybe this will help you for the usa.

If you figure them equally per energy unit produced renewables received more subsidies than fossil fuels.

Prove me wrong. Hint you can't but have fun trying.
Uh, what? Renewables receive more subsidies than fossil fuels--but only when factored on a per-energy-unit basis?

Again: what?

That's some impeccable logic, I gotta tell you. In fact, that may be the most magnificent "argument" I've ever seen anyone use to justify the many billions of dollars that go to Big Energy.

Oh, dear me...
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13797
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


yes, I know... I wasn't sure about leaving it as TS...

And the one t it's left, I don't know what to do with it... the mph wind speed is there and i don't really need the kt reading... i just didn't want that empty space


The KT. reading is good for the rest of the World.....
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6224
any other comments about the new map?
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Let the Games Begin

The Rain Song
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6224
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Cool.

Instead of TR ST for tropical storm, you could just use "TS" though. That's the official abbreviation and most used.


yes, I know... I wasn't sure about leaving it as TS...

And the one t it's left, I don't know what to do with it... the mph wind speed is there and i don't really need the kt reading... i just didn't want that empty space
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New Orleans
NEXRAD Radar

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A slow moving but strong cold front is expected to stall within the region, causing light to moderate rainfall to persist for days across the region
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LoL
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Quoting misanthrope:

Maybe if you took the time to read and understand before commenting, you wouldn't appear so foolish. Fast Start Finance isn't really about subsidies for renewable energy sources.

"The Copenhagen Accord notes developed countries’ commitment to providing developing countries with fast start finance approaching USD 30 billion for the 2010-2012 period, for enhanced action on mitigation (including Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation, REDD), adaptation, technology development and transfer and capacity building."



Fast Start Finance
Maybe this will help you for the usa.

If you figure them equally per energy unit produced renewables received more subsidies than fossil fuels.

Prove me wrong. Hint you can't but have fun trying.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Andrea should be... AL 012013.... someone told me about such error...thanks
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Hey guys.... I just want to show you my new map for the upcoming hurricane season

let's start by looking at old one


THE NEW ONE FOR 2013!!!...
that is Typhoon Bopha fyi (not an Atl storm I know but looks cool)


click on both for larger view...

Cool.

Instead of TR ST for tropical storm, you could just use "TS" though. That's the official abbreviation and most used.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32810
Quoting nymore:


What a fraud of a graph. The graph shows all fossil fuel subsidies vs only Fast start financing for renewable while leaving out all other subsidies they receive.

Maybe if you took the time to read and understand before commenting, you wouldn't appear so foolish. Fast Start Finance isn't really about subsidies for renewable energy sources.

"The Copenhagen Accord notes developed countries’ commitment to providing developing countries with fast start finance approaching USD 30 billion for the 2010-2012 period, for enhanced action on mitigation (including Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation, REDD), adaptation, technology development and transfer and capacity building."



Fast Start Finance
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
SOME DANGEROUSLY THICK FOG

I took these pictures today at 8:46 AM when going to buy groceries...







Nice photos. Thanks
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Quoting Xandra:
From Oil Change International:

New Analysis: Fossil fuel subsidies five times greater than climate finance

by David Turnbull, 03 Dec 2012

[%u2026] we%u2019ve just released new analysis that shows that fossil fuel subsidies in rich countries are, on average, five times greater than those same countries%u2019 pledges towards climate finance (support to developing countries to address climate change and its impacts). Sometimes pictures speak louder than words, so here%u2019s a graphic that lays it out.


What a fraud of a graph. The graph shows all fossil fuel subsidies vs only Fast start financing for renewable while leaving out all other subsidies they receive.
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SOME DANGEROUSLY THICK FOG

I took these pictures today at 8:46 AM when going to buy groceries...





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Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56009
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
SO MUCH FOG ACROSS MY AREA, all NYC, Boston, Philly and DC are under fog.

I have some cool pics, you guys want to see them?


Sure
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It's pretty warm and relaxing here in Raleigh, NC. It's currently 75 degrees right now.
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Hey guys.... I just want to show you my new map for the upcoming hurricane season

let's start by looking at old one


THE NEW ONE FOR 2013!!!...
that is Typhoon Bopha fyi (not an Atl storm I know but looks cool)


click on both for larger view...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
853. txjac
Quoting PedleyCA:
Much better this morning, as it is 47.9F @(10:09) Toronto is 50.0F and Mexico City is 68.0F. I saw someone mention earlier that Toronto was warmer than Mexico City. Not now. The morning low was 36.4F@ (7:10)

It appears we have until Wednesday before we see 70F again, lol 15 day


Houston is at 46F @ 12:26
Overcast and breezy.
Member Since: April 24, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 2617
Much better this morning, as it is 47.9F @(10:09) Toronto is 50.0F and Mexico City is 68.0F. I saw someone mention earlier that Toronto was warmer than Mexico City. Not now. The morning low was 36.4F@ (7:10)

It appears we have until Wednesday before we see 70F again, lol 15 day
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6224
SO MUCH FOG ACROSS MY AREA, all NYC, Boston, Philly and DC are under fog.

I have some cool pics, you guys want to see them?
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Quoting hydrus:
Hopefully we get enough rain from this system to put a dent in drought here in NC.
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we have to wait til next weekend for cooling down..
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
Meanwhile..by my house...............
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF CENTRAL INDIANA LATER
THIS MORNING ALLOWING FOR COLDER AIR TO FILTER IN ACROSS CENTRAL
INDIANA FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL
OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN PARTS OF CENTRAL INDIANA TODAY AS A WAVE
OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT TO KENTUCKY BY
THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE CHANGING TO A WINTRY MIX
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST TODAY BEFORE BECOMING ALL SNOW BY THIS
EVENING. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN INCH AND ICE
ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY
NORTH AND WEST OF INDIANAPOLIS.

THE MIX MAY MAKE ROADS SLICK TODAY.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
this should be helping the drought somewhat huh.....
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42064
From Oil Change International:

New Analysis: Fossil fuel subsidies five times greater than climate finance

by David Turnbull, 03 Dec 2012

[…] we’ve just released new analysis that shows that fossil fuel subsidies in rich countries are, on average, five times greater than those same countries’ pledges towards climate finance (support to developing countries to address climate change and its impacts). Sometimes pictures speak louder than words, so here’s a graphic that lays it out.
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


Look at that wave in the Rincon surf place. Even the surfers dont venture out there except for a few brave ones. That place is always packed.


Going to get bigger in the next 24/36 hrs
Rincon is a famous surfbreak.
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Quoting pottery:


Nice !

for the surfers, not so for the rest.


Look at that wave in the Rincon surf place. Even the surfers dont venture out there except for a few brave ones. That place is always packed.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Hi pottery. Here we have a High Surf Warning as you said the waves are arriving very high on the north coast. Only 138 days left until June 1rst.


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1221 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2013

...LIFE THREATENING SURF CONDITIONS AND COASTAL FLOODING ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY...

.LARGE...LONG PERIOD NORTH NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES
THROUGH MONDAY...AND THEN CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WATERS MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WHILE SLOWLY SUBSIDING. THESE SWELLS
WILL GENERATE VERY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WITH VERY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES AND FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS...AND WILL ALSO RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT WATER LEVEL RISES THAT WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED COASTAL
FLOODING.

PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-140900-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.CF.A.0001.130113T2200Z-130115T0400Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.CF.Y.0001.130113T1621Z-130115T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130115T2100Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-CULEBRA-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
1221 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2013

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST MONDAY. THE
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WAVES AND SURF: 8 TO 11 FOOT SWELLS WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 16 TO
20 FEET AND LOCALLY HIGHER.


* TIMING: BUILDING THROUGH MONDAY...WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF
COASTAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING OF IMMEDIATE SHORE FRONT
PROPERTY AND CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO BOATS AND PIERS ARE
POSSIBLE. VERY LARGE BREAKING WAVE ACTION AND FREQUENT RIP
CURRENTS WILL RESULT IN A HEIGHTENED THREAT OF LIFE AND
PROPERTY WITHIN THE SURF ZONE. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND
INUNDATION MAY CAUSE WATERFRONT AND SHORELINE ACCESS ROADS TO
CLOSE.

* COASTAL FLOODING: TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE.

THE TIMES OF SOME HIGH TIDES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:

SAN JUAN HARBOR: TONIGHT 10:17 PM AT 1.09 FEET.
MONDAY 11:13 AM AT 1.63 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT 11:18 PM AT 1.13 FEET.

ARECIBO: TONIGHT 9:54 PM AT 1.29 FEET.
MONDAY 10:28 AM AT 1.88 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT 10:51 PM AT 1.36 FEET.

AGUADILLA: TONIGHT 9:38 PM AT 1.06 FEET.
MONDAY 10:17 AM AT 1.53 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT 10:30 PM AT 1.11 FEET.

FAJARDO: TONIGHT 10:05 PM AT 1.21 FEET.
MONDAY 10:47 AM AT 1.62 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT 11:03 PM AT 1.24 FEET.

MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: MONDAY 11:12 AM AT 1.1 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT 09:58 PM AT 0.32 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOCAL BEACH GOERS...SWIMMERS AND SURFERS SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE
WATER UNTIL THESE VERY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS SUBSIDE. PERSONS
ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR VERY LARGE BREAKING WAVES
SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF ALL SIZES INTO
THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE LINE AND STAY
OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVE
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$ Link


Nice !

for the surfers, not so for the rest.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hi pottery. Here we have a High Surf Warning as you said the waves are arriving very high on the north coast. Only 138 days left until June 1rst.


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1221 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2013

...LIFE THREATENING SURF CONDITIONS AND COASTAL FLOODING ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY...

.LARGE...LONG PERIOD NORTH NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND THE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES
THROUGH MONDAY...AND THEN CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WATERS MONDAY
NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WHILE SLOWLY SUBSIDING. THESE SWELLS
WILL GENERATE VERY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WITH VERY LARGE
BREAKING WAVES AND FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS...AND WILL ALSO RESULT IN
SIGNIFICANT WATER LEVEL RISES THAT WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED COASTAL
FLOODING.

PRZ001-002-005-008-012-VIZ001-140900-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.CF.A.0001.130113T2200Z-130115T0400Z/
/O.NEW.TJSJ.CF.Y.0001.130113T1621Z-130115T0000Z/
/O.CON.TJSJ.SU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-130115T2100Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-NORTH CENTRAL-NORTHWEST-CULEBRA-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-
1221 PM AST SUN JAN 13 2013

...HIGH SURF WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST MONDAY. THE
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WAVES AND SURF: 8 TO 11 FOOT SWELLS WITH BREAKING WAVES OF 16 TO
20 FEET AND LOCALLY HIGHER.

* TIMING: BUILDING THROUGH MONDAY...WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF
COASTAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS: SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING OF IMMEDIATE SHORE FRONT
PROPERTY AND CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO BOATS AND PIERS ARE
POSSIBLE. VERY LARGE BREAKING WAVE ACTION AND FREQUENT RIP
CURRENTS WILL RESULT IN A HEIGHTENED THREAT OF LIFE AND
PROPERTY WITHIN THE SURF ZONE. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND
INUNDATION MAY CAUSE WATERFRONT AND SHORELINE ACCESS ROADS TO
CLOSE.

* COASTAL FLOODING: TOTAL WATER RISES OF 2 TO 4 ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE.

THE TIMES OF SOME HIGH TIDES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:

SAN JUAN HARBOR: TONIGHT 10:17 PM AT 1.09 FEET.
MONDAY 11:13 AM AT 1.63 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT 11:18 PM AT 1.13 FEET.

ARECIBO: TONIGHT 9:54 PM AT 1.29 FEET.
MONDAY 10:28 AM AT 1.88 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT 10:51 PM AT 1.36 FEET.

AGUADILLA: TONIGHT 9:38 PM AT 1.06 FEET.
MONDAY 10:17 AM AT 1.53 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT 10:30 PM AT 1.11 FEET.

FAJARDO: TONIGHT 10:05 PM AT 1.21 FEET.
MONDAY 10:47 AM AT 1.62 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT 11:03 PM AT 1.24 FEET.

MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: MONDAY 11:12 AM AT 1.1 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT 09:58 PM AT 0.32 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOCAL BEACH GOERS...SWIMMERS AND SURFERS SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE
WATER UNTIL THESE VERY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS SUBSIDE. PERSONS
ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR VERY LARGE BREAKING WAVES
SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF ALL SIZES INTO
THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE LINE AND STAY
OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS.

A HIGH SURF WARNING INDICATES THAT DANGEROUS...BATTERING WAVE
WILL POUND THE SHORELINE. THIS WILL RESULT IN VERY DANGEROUS
SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND DEADLY RIP CURRENTS.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$ Link
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Some hypothesized effects of variability in the Sun's output on Earth's climate
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Quoting pottery:


Hey, good going, Keep !
been near full for a while now think there is 3 leaving at end of the month so be back to 5 they will be for march and the spring
rent them out the first week of feb for march


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56009
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
What precip look like during that extreme period, Keep?
follow 1000mb thats yer surface conditions red line is freeze line north of that frozen precip south of it un-frozen precip if there is any precip
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56009
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
just got back foggy mild day here had floor guys show up got 3 apartments getting ready for feb 1st did good this month 5 rented units 2 remain out of 140


Hey, good going, Keep !
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Quoting pottery:

That's totally weird in January.
just got back foggy mild day here had floor guys show up got 3 apartments getting ready for feb 1st did good this month 5 rented units 2 remain out of 140
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56009
834. wxmod
Off the coast of California today, cloud whitening. Ships making hundred mile wide pollution trails.


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Quoting Luisport:
The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel

One more - Canada's largest city, Toronto (48ºF/9ºC) is currently warmer than Mexico's largest city, Mexico City (46ºF/8ºC).

That's totally weird in January.
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Quoting aspectre:
Deleted... Sheesh, ya gotta be quick to outdraw pottery

Ah, but it showed up anyway !
Thanks Doug.

:):))
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Quoting aspectre:
816 CaicosRetiredSailor: Pottery... Dem "mainlanders" don't realize that here in da Islands, water freezes at 62 degrees.

Hence the liberal addition of ethanol to prevent drinks from freezing



LOL!
Good one!
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0025
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1011 AM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 131611Z - 131745Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...WHILE STRONG/SEVERE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON A LOCALIZED
BASIS ACROSS PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TN THROUGH MID/LATE MORNING...ANY
SUCH POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE MARGINAL. NO WATCH IS CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...A SMALL/NORTHEASTWARD-MOVING BOW ECHO HAS RECENTLY
EVOLVED ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL TN...ROUGHLY 50 MILES WSW OF
NASHVILLE/BNA AS OF 16Z. THIS STORM IS OCCURRING IN VICINITY OF SLOW
EASTWARD-MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY...FAVORING THE INTERSECTION OF A
EARLIER /ROUGHLY WSW-ENE ORIENTED/ CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW. THIS STORM
WILL LIKELY REMAIN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ATOP A RELATIVELY COOL/STABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER AS PER A MODIFIED 12Z OBSERVED SOUNDING FROM
NASHVILLE. WHILE STRONG/POTENTIALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
GIVEN THE RELATIVE STRENGTH OF LOW-MID TROPOSPHERIC FLOW /30-50 KT
1-3 KM PER KOHX WSR-88D VWP/...ANY SUCH POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LOCALIZED/MARGINAL IN NATURE GIVEN THE COOL/STABLE NATURE OF
THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND WEAK LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT.

..GUYER/HART.. 01/13/2013

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Deleted... Sheesh, ya gotta be quick to outdraw pottery
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What precip look like during that extreme period, Keep?
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Good Morning All..



Quote from one of my personal hero's..
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Quoting CaicosRetiredSailor:
Pottery...

Dem "mainlanders" don't realize that here in da Islands, water freezes at 62 degrees.

: )

Ice-nine?

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The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel

One more - Canada's largest city, Toronto (48ºF/9ºC) is currently warmer than Mexico's largest city, Mexico City (46ºF/8ºC).
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AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

Lowest temps this morning: -36 degrees in West Yellowstone, WY.; -32 in Alamosa, CO. and -29 in Driggs, ID.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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