Top Ten Global Weather Events of 2012

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:34 PM GMT on January 11, 2013

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It was another year of incredible weather extremes globally during 2012. The year featured two of the most expensive weather disasters in world history--Hurricane Sandy and the Great U.S. Drought of 2012, which will both cost more than $50 billion. Thankfully, no disasters had a death toll in excess of 2,000, though the 1,901 people dead or missing due to Super Typhoon Bopha in the Philippines may rank as that nation's 2nd deadliest typhoon ever. Twenty-six weather disasters costing at least $1 billion occurred globally, according to insurance broker AON Benfield. Eleven billion-dollar weather disasters hit the U.S., a figure exceeded only by the fourteen such disasters in 2011. Nine billion-dollar weather disasters hit China, their highest total in a decade of record-keeping. I present for you, now, the top ten global weather stories of 2012, chosen for their meteorological significance and human and economic impact:



1) New Record Minimum for Arctic Sea Ice (September 16)
Sea ice extent in the Arctic fell to 3.41 million square kilometers on September 16, breaking the previous all-time low set in 2007 by 18%--despite the fact that 2012's Arctic weather was much cloudier and cooler than in 2007. Nearly half (49%) of the icecap was gone during 2012s minimum, compared to the average minimum for the years 1979 - 2000. This is an area approximately 43% of the size of the contiguous United States. And, for the fifth consecutive year--and fifth time in recorded history--ice-free navigation was possible in the Arctic along the coast of Canada (the Northwest Passage), and along the coast of Russia (the Northeast Passage or Northern Sea Route.) "We are now in uncharted territory," said NSIDC Director Mark Serreze. "While we've long known that as the planet warms up, changes would be seen first and be most pronounced in the Arctic, few of us were prepared for how rapidly the changes would actually occur. While lots of people talk about opening of the Northwest Passage through the Canadian Arctic islands and the Northern Sea Route along the Russian coast, twenty years from now from now in August you might be able to take a ship right across the Arctic Ocean." Arctic sea ice is an important component of the global climate system. The polar ice caps help to regulate global temperature by reflecting sunlight back into space. White snow and ice at the poles reflects sunlight, but dark ocean absorbs it. Replacing bright sea ice with dark ocean is a recipe for more and faster global warming. The fall air temperature over the Arctic has increased by 4 - 6°F in the past decade, and we could already be seeing the impacts of this warming in the mid-latitudes, by an increase in extreme weather events. Another non-trivial impact of the absence of sea ice is that is causes increased melting in Greenland, contributing to sea level rise.


Figure 1. A sunny, slushy day near the North Pole on September 1, 2012. Webcam image courtesy of the North Pole Environmental Observatory. It won't be many years before Santa's workshop needs pontoons in the summer to stay afloat.

2) Agricultural Drought in the U.S., Europe, and Asia (Summer)
Drought is civilization's great enemy, and the most dangerous threat from global warming. Drought impacts the two things we need to live--food and water. When the rains stop and the soil dries up, cities die and civilizations collapse, as people abandon lands no longer able to supply them with the food and water they need to live. In a harbinger of things to come, severe droughts affected important agricultural regions across the globe during summer 2012, including eastern Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and central North America. Wheat, corn, and soybean crops were among those heavily impacted; global food prices rose by 10 percent during July. While it will be several months before the costs of America's worst drought since the 1930s Dust Bowl are known, the 2012 drought is expected to cut America's GDP by 0.5 - 1 percentage points, said Deutsche Bank Securities. Since the U.S. GDP is approximately $15 trillion, the drought of 2012 represents a $75 - $150 billion hit to the U.S. economy. This is in the same range as the estimate of $77 billion in costs for the drought, made by Purdue University economist Chris Hurt in August, and the Great U.S. Drought of 2012 is going to be one of the top-five most expensive weather disasters in world history.


Figure 2. Corn in Colby, Kansas withers in the Great Drought of 2012 on May 27. Image credit: Wunderphotographer treeman.

3) Superstorm Sandy (October 29)
Hurricane Sandy was the most powerful and second most destructive Atlantic hurricane in recorded history. Ten hours before landfall, at 9:30 am EDT October 29, the total energy of Sandy's winds of tropical storm-force and higher peaked at 329 terajoules--the highest value for any Atlantic hurricane since at least 1969, and equivalent to more than five Hiroshima-sized atomic bombs. At landfall, Sandy's tropical storm-force winds spanned 943 miles of the the U.S. coast. No hurricane on record has been larger. Sandy's huge size prompted high wind warnings to be posted from Chicago to Eastern Maine, and from Michigan's Upper Peninsula to Florida's Lake Okeechobee--an area home to 120 million people. Sandy's winds simultaneously caused damage to buildings on the shores of Lake Michigan at Indiana Dunes National Lake Shore, and toppled power lines in Nova Scotia, Canada--locations 1200 miles apart! Sandy made landfall near Atlantic City, NJ on October 29, with sustained winds of 80 mph and a central minimum pressure of 946 mb--the lowest pressure on record along the Northeast coast. The Battery, in New York City Harbor, had an observed water level of 13.88 feet, besting the previous record set by Hurricane Donna in 1960 by 3 feet. Sandy's catastrophic storm surge was responsible for the majority of the 131 deaths and $62 billion in damage in the U.S. Sandy also brought torrential rainfall in excess of 12 inches to the mid-Atlantic, and blizzard conditions to the central and southern Appalachians. Sandy's late-season show of unprecedented strength, unusual track, and exceptionally damaging storm surge were made more likely due to climate change, and the storm helped bring more awareness and debate about the threat of climate change to the U.S. than any event since Hurricane Katrina in 2005.


Figure 3. Hurricane Sandy at 10:10 am EDT October 28, 2012. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

4) Greenland Ice Sheet melt and Glacier Calving (July)
Measurements from three satellites showed that on July 8, about 40 percent of the Greenland ice sheet had undergone thawing at or near the surface. But during four consecutive days July 11 - 14, temperatures rose above freezing at the top of the Greenland Ice Sheet, which is 10,551 feet (3216 meters) above sea level and 415 miles (670 km) north of the Arctic Circle. Melting of the ice sheet dramatically accelerated, and an estimated 97 percent of the ice sheet surface had thawed by July 12. This was the greatest melt since 1889, according to ice core records. On July 16, an iceberg twice the size of Manhattan calved from the Petermann Glacier in Northeast Greenland. This was the second huge ice island to calve from the glacier since 2010. The glacier's margins have now retreated to the farthest point in the last 150 years. The record melt in Greenland caused the highest loss of ice mass observed in the satellite era, and melting from Greenland is now thought to cause about 0.7 mm/year of global sea level rise, which is about 20 - 25% of the global total.


Figure 4. The massive 46 square-mile iceberg two times the size of Manhattan that calved from Greenland's Petermann Glacier on July 16, 2012, as seen on July 21, 2012, using MODIS satellite imagery. Image credit: NASA.

5) Super Typhoon Bopha (December 3 - 4)
The deadliest weather disaster of 2012 was Super Typhoon Bopha. Bopha was the strongest typhoon ever hit the southern Philippine island of Mindanao, making landfall as a Category 5 super typhoon with winds of 160 mph (260 km/h) on December 3. Bopha made two additional landfalls in the Philippines, on central Visayas and on Palawan, on December 4. The typhoon left 1901 people dead or missing, mostly on the island of Mindanao. If the missing people are presumed dead, this total would make Bopha the 2nd deadliest typhoon in Philippine history. Bopha affected over 5.4 million people and left over 700,000 people homeless. With damages estimated at $1.04 billion, Bopha is the most costly typhoon ever to hit the Philippines. The previous record was the $600 million price tag of 2009's Typhoon Parma.


Figure 5. December 7, 2012: rescuers and residents look for missing victims amongst toppled tree trunks and coconut shells after flash floods caused by Super Typhoon Bopha hit Compostela Valley on Mindanao Island in the Philippines on December 3 - 4, 2012. (AP Photo/Jay Morales, Malacanang Photo Bureau, HO)

6) Northern Hemisphere Warmth (throughout 2012)
Land areas in the Northern Hemisphere reached record warm monthly values for four consecutive months (April - July). Much of the unusual warmth occurred in North America; Canada was 3rd warmest on record for the period January- September, and the United States had its warmest year on record. Many European countries and Russia had record to near-record warm summer temperatures in 2012.


Figure 6. This young lady chose to cool her heels in the Fox River on June 28, 2012, as the temperature was topping 102 degrees in Carpentersville, IL imag credit: wunderphotographer pjpix.

7) Eurasian Continent Cold Wave (January 24 - February 17)
Europe's worst cold snap in at least 26 years hit central and eastern Europe hard during a 3-week period in late January and the first half of February. The 824 deaths being blamed on the cold wave made it 2012's second deadliest weather disaster. Parts of the Danube River froze over for the first time in 25 years, and Northeast China through eastern Inner Mongolia recorded extremely cold minimum temperatures ranging between -30°C to -40°C.


Figure 7. Snow falls in Trogir, Croatia on February 3, 2012. Image credit: wunderphotographer antoniomise.

8) China Floods (July 21 - 22)
Torrential downpours on July 21 - 22 affected Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei, with several stations recording their highest daily precipitation on record. Mentougou recorded an impressive 305.2 mm (12 inches) of precipitation in one day. The floods killed 129 people and did $4.8 billion in damage, one of a record nine billion-dollar weather disasters to affect China in 2012.


Figure 8. A Chinese man uses a signboard to signal motorists driving through flooded street following a heavy rain in Beijing Saturday, July 21, 2012. China's government says these were the heaviest rains to hit Beijing in six decades. The torrential downpour left low-lying streets flooded and knocked down trees. (AP Photo)

9) Pakistan Floods (August 21 - September 30)
Torrential monsoon rains caused deadly floods in Pakistan, with Balochistan, Punjab, and Sindh provinces the hardest hit. Over 5 million people and over 400,000 hectares of crops were affected by the floods, with more than 460,000 houses and infrastructures damaged or destroyed. The death toll of 455 made it Earth's 3rd deadliest weather-related disaster of 2012.


Figure 9. A driver makes his way on a street flooded from heavy rain in Peshawar, Pakistan, Tuesday, Aug. 28, 2012. (AP Photo/Mohammad Sajjad)

10) African Floods (July - October)
Heavy rains in Nigeria killed at least 431, making it Earth's 4th deadliest weather disaster of 2012. Over 3 million people were affected by flooding across 15 countries in Africa, most notably Nigeria, Niger, Senegal, and Chad. The floods destroyed farmlands, homes, and schools, and caused outbreaks of cholera and other diseases.

Other Top Ten Weather Lists of 2012
My Top Ten U.S. Weather Events of 2012.

Wunderground's Angela Fritz's has a list of Top Climate Events of 2012.

A group of seventeen climate scientists and climate bloggers created a Climate Disruption: Critical 2012 Events and Stories list of 19 key climate change events that occurred in 2012.

TWC's Stu Ostro has his annual post showing his pick for top weather images of 2012.

Climate Central has a top-ten most striking images of 2012 post.

Have a great weekend, everyone!

Jeff Masters

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121
WFUS54 KLIX 132057
TORLIX
MSC147-132115-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0009.130113T2057Z-130113T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
257 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 315 PM CST

* AT 255 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
TYLERTOWN...OR 19 MILES NORTH OF FRANKLINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
SALEM BY 305 PM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE FOLLOW OUR OFFICE ON BOTH FACEBOOK AND TWITTER FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON SEVERE WEATHER AND TO RELAY WEATHER REPORTS AND
PHOTOS.



LAT...LON 3124 9004 3123 9002 3118 9002 3117 9000
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I really hope the Euro's right:



so do I.... I live just south of you...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting misanthrope:

So then, you don't have a clue about Fast Start Finance. You really should make an effort to inform yourself before entering into these discussions. You could start with the link I provided.

you have no clue what a subsidy is do you.

Please explain to us what a subsidy is.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
246
WGUS54 KMEG 132054
FFWMEG
TNC017-023-039-071-077-109-140000-
/O.NEW.KMEG.FF.W.0005.130113T2054Z-130114T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
254 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
DECATUR COUNTY IN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE...
EAST CENTRAL CHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
HARDIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
HENDERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...
MCNAIRY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 600 PM CST

* AT 254 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL
HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT 3 HOURS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
LEXINGTON...SAVANNAH...SELMER...NATCHEZ TRACE STATE FOREST...
NATCHEZ TRACE STATE PARK AND PICKWICK LANDING STATE PARK.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES AREAS NEAR BEECH LAKE...PIN OAK LAKE AND
PINE LAKE.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER CROSSINGS IN DECATUR
COUNTY BEAR CREEK AT OLD LEXINGTON ROAD...BLUNT ROAD AT RUSHING
CREEK...BUCKNER BRANCH AT BIBLE HILL ROAD...BUCKNER BRANCH AT
NORTHWOOD STREET...CHEROKEE HEIGHTS ROAD AT OAK PARK DRIVE...CONCORD
ROAD NEAR OLD 69...ELIZABETH STREET...FAIRGROUND ROAD...HOG CREEK AT
HAYNES ROAD AND HARTLEY CEMETERY ROAD...LARGO ROAD...LASTER BRANCH AT
CONCORD ROAD...MARTIN LANDING ROAD AT CAMPBELLS BRANCH...MT CARMEL
ROAD AT ELKINS BRANCH...RICKETTS CREEK AT CHEROKEE HEIGHTS ROAD...
ROBERT GURLEY ROAD AT STEWMAN CREEK...ROCKY BRANCH AT BIBLE HILL
ROAD...RUSHING CREEK AT LARGO ROAD...SCENIC LANE AT SELF SLOUGH...
SULFUR FORK AT BIBLE HILL ROAD AND W O BAKER ROAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

.MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE
USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS
POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING
FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.



LAT...LON 3538 8801 3531 8801 3529 8797 3501 8798
3500 8869 3519 8866 3577 8841 3605 8821
3585 8821 3585 8806 3581 8797 3571 8803
3568 8801 3560 8802 3551 8797 3544 8804
3541 8796
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
www.spc.noaa.gov
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512


SPC AC 131900

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

VALID 132000Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
RELATIVELY LIMITED CHANGES TO PRIOR OUTLOOK ASIDE FROM SPATIAL
ADJUSTMENTS/TRIMMING IN ACCORDANCE WITH EASTWARD-ADVANCING EFFECTIVE
FRONT. WHILE AN ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE TSTM OR TWO WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER/WEAK LAPSE RATES WITH THE WARM
SECTOR ARE STILL EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE OVERALL THREAT.

..GUYER.. 01/13/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1025 AM CST SUN JAN 13 2013/

AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TODAY OVER MOST OF THE UNITED
STATES...WITH THE PRIMARY BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM LA INTO
KY/OH. WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY IS PRECLUDING
SUBSTANTIAL DIURNAL HEATING/DESTABILIZATION. DESPITE DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID 60S...ONLY VERY MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT. MODEL
GUIDANCE ALSO SUGGESTS THAT THE MOST LIKELY REGION OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AS IT SHIFTS
EASTWARD TODAY. STRONG WIND FIELDS ABOVE THE SURFACE WOULD BE
FAVORABLE FOR A DAMAGING WIND THREAT...BUT THE RISK OF SURFACE-BASED
CONVECTION IS QUITE LOW. WHILE AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR DAMAGING WIND
GUST IS REMOTELY POSSIBLE...ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED TODAY. PLEASE REFER TO MESOSCALE DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
FOR FURTHER SHORT-TERM DETAILS.

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1946Z (1:46PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
Rotation is just west of Lexie, MS going toward Tylertown, MS. Take cover if you're in the area!

Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7896
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Real nasty complex of storms in NE LA/ S MS, multiple tornado warnings:



Did this activity today was expected as I dont see a Tornado Watch issued?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting wxmod:


How much do you hear about that in the USA?

Hi wxmod. Glad you are back.
Here's a few of your words from earlier:-
"I suppose. However, there are an extreme lack of photos of the China pollution event available online."

I checked, as I do and not only have quite a few people been posting photos of the China pollution syndrome, from Aussie early on to many others today but if you look at the world service of the BBC then they have an article with photos as well. The Spanish news had a story on it this morning and quite a lot of other services know whats going on.
Now, if you get a lot of deaths from this pollution then people will notice that the hospitals, and funeral houses are busy cemeteries etc. People notice things and tell stories, this is not the 16th century, it only takes a moment for news to cross the world.
Nobody can cover up mass deaths anymore and the eyes in the sky are watching as you know only too well.
All for now. Time for a bowl of gruel here and the news of course.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
New Orleans
NEXRAD Radar

Vertically Integrated Liquid ° Elevation
Range 124 NMI

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
New Orleans
NEXRAD Radar

Storm Relative Mean Radial Velocity 2.40° Elevation
Range 124 NMI

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
Real nasty complex of storms in NE LA/ S MS, multiple tornado warnings:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting nymore:
Maybe you should learn what a subsidy is. Call it fast start finance if you want but bottom line it is a subsidy.

So then, you don't have a clue about Fast Start Finance. You really should make an effort to inform yourself before entering into these discussions. You could start with the link I provided.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:

643
WFUS54 KLIX 132042
TORLIX
MSC113-147-132100-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0008.130113T2042Z-130113T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
242 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 300 PM CST

* AT 240 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF TYLERTOWN...OR 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF FRANKLINTON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
TYLERTOWN AND 9 MILES SOUTH OF SALEM BY 300 PM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE FOLLOW OUR OFFICE ON BOTH FACEBOOK AND TWITTER FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON SEVERE WEATHER AND TO RELAY WEATHER REPORTS AND
PHOTOS.



LAT...LON 3121 9002 3118 9002 3118 9000 3116 8999
3114 9000 3114 8998 3105 8994 3100 9030
3100 9032 3105 9036 3128 9005
TIME...MOT...LOC 2042Z 242DEG 27KT 3104 9030
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
907. wxmod
China self destructing. MODIS satellite photo today

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
New tornado warned storm...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
232 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL TANGIPAHOA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HAMMOND...

* UNTIL 300 PM CST

* AT 230 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES WEST OF
HAMMOND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
HAMMOND AND 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF INDEPENDENCE BY 240 PM CST...
6 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROBERT BY 250 PM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE FOLLOW OUR OFFICE ON BOTH FACEBOOK AND TWITTER FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON SEVERE WEATHER AND TO RELAY WEATHER REPORTS AND
PHOTOS.

&&

LAT...LON 3065 9024 3052 9025 3043 9054 3044 9055
3047 9055 3048 9056 3063 9056 3075 9026
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 247DEG 33KT 3052 9055

$$


24/RR
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
New Orleans
NEXRAD Radar

Base Reflectivity 0.50° Elevation
Range 248 NMI

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
Quoting aspectre:
Not even vaguely close, nymore. eg The lowest estimate for the financial cost of liberating Iraqi oil is $1.9trillion.
I did not know war was a subsidy. well you learn something new everyday or not.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

605
WGUS54 KJAN 132024
FFWJAN
ARC003-017-LAC035-067-083-123-132130-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FF.W.0016.000000T0000Z-130113T2130Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
224 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EAST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...TRANSYLVANIA...LAKE PROVIDENCE...
MOREHOUSE PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BASTROP...
RICHLAND PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...START...RAYVILLE...
WEST CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHERN ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 330 PM CST

* AT 222 PM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED SEVERAL
ROADS AROUND THE PARISHES REMAIN FLOODED FROM EARLIER RAINS.
ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO TWO
INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST THREE HOURS.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SHELBURN...MILLIKIN...GASSOWAY...JONES...BEEKMAN AND OAK GROVE

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.



LAT...LON 3304 9212 3303 9119 3290 9118 3299 9111
3290 9106 3275 9117 3272 9105 3264 9115
3256 9109 3254 9147 3240 9149 3239 9168
3233 9177 3218 9183 3216 9198 3229 9203
3252 9191 3265 9192 3270 9206 3301 9208
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
221 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN TANGIPAHOA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
WESTERN WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST

* AT 220 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR OSYKA...OR
16 MILES NORTHEAST OF GREENSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
7 MILES WEST OF TYLERTOWN BY 245 PM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE FOLLOW OUR OFFICE ON BOTH FACEBOOK AND TWITTER FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON SEVERE WEATHER AND TO RELAY WEATHER REPORTS AND
PHOTOS.

&&

LAT...LON 3116 9002 3100 9029 3100 9035 3092 9051
3100 9057 3100 9055 3107 9055 3134 9018
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 232DEG 35KT 3100 9047

$$


24/RR


Tornado warning near Osyka, MS.

Member Since: August 1, 2011 Posts: 28 Comments: 7896
859 nymore: What a fraud of a graph. The graph shows all fossil fuel subsidies...

Not even vaguely close. eg The lowest estimate for the financial cost of liberating Iraqi oil is $1.9trillion.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
900. Ighuc
Minneapolis is all the way up to 8 degrees! NWS has put out the first notice for the arctic blast in a week:

IT DOES APPEAR THAT IN THE WAKE OF NEXT WEEKENDS LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...THE FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL TURN NORTHERLY. THIS COULD
UNLEASH THE COLDEST AIR YET THIS WINTER. ITS POSSIBLE WE COULD SEE
A DAY OR TWO WHERE THE HIGH FAILS TO GET ABOVE ZERO...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTH WHERE A BETTER SNOWPACK STILL EXISTS
AND MORE COULD BE ADDED THIS WEEK. THIS COULD ALSO JEOPARDIZE THE
RECORD HERE AT MSP WHERE CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH HIGHS OF ZERO OR
GREATER HAVE OCCURRED FOR NEARLY 4 YEARS.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
221 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN TANGIPAHOA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...
WESTERN WALTHALL COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST

* AT 220 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR OSYKA...OR
16 MILES NORTHEAST OF GREENSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
7 MILES WEST OF TYLERTOWN BY 245 PM CST...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER
PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE FOLLOW OUR OFFICE ON BOTH FACEBOOK AND TWITTER FOR MORE
INFORMATION ON SEVERE WEATHER AND TO RELAY WEATHER REPORTS AND
PHOTOS.

&&

LAT...LON 3116 9002 3100 9029 3100 9035 3092 9051
3100 9057 3100 9055 3107 9055 3134 9018
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 232DEG 35KT 3100 9047

$$


24/RR
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I really hope the Euro's right:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting misanthrope:

Once again, you totally miss the point. The only one talking about subsidies for renewable is you. The graph you took exception to was comparing fossil fuel subsidies to support for Fast Start Finance. Really, try to focus.

Maybe you should learn what a subsidy is. Call it fast start finance if you want but bottom line it is a subsidy.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I'm, copying this out of context from Pats post at 890:-

"Observed weather extremes are on the rise, and the possible connection between at least some of these events and human-induced climate change is also more strongly supported by the science."

You just have to look at what a lot of people have been posting about China in the last few days to see how the climate in at least a certain area is modified by people and their activities.
I "Know" that some may say it is weather not climate but the thing is that whats weather today is going to become climate tomorrow, (or in 25 years,) if this goes on!
Take people out of the equation and in a few days all this smog/pollution etc would dissipate and the freezing cold, pristine conditions of China in January without people would return.
These conditions are not natural but they will become a kind of modified "natural," if this goes on and it will go on of course!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting interstatelover7165:
Do I see a slender in dat der fog?


I don't see anything
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting nymore:
Maybe this will help you for the usa.

If you figure them equally per energy unit produced renewables received more subsidies than fossil fuels.

Prove me wrong. Hint you can't but have fun trying.

Once again, you totally miss the point. The only one talking about subsidies for renewable is you. The graph you took exception to was comparing fossil fuel subsidies to support for Fast Start Finance. Really, try to focus.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
SOME DANGEROUSLY THICK FOG

I took these pictures today at 8:46 AM when going to buy groceries...





Do I see a slender in dat der fog?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Xandra:

From Oil Change International:

New Analysis: Fossil fuel subsidies five times greater than climate finance

by David Turnbull, 03 Dec 2012

[…] we’ve just released new analysis that shows that fossil fuel subsidies in rich countries are, on average, five times greater than those same countries’ pledges towards climate finance (support to developing countries to address climate change and its impacts). Sometimes pictures speak louder than words, so here’s a graphic that lays it out.

For more information, see a more detailed two-pager here.

"Data Sources: Average Yearly Fast Start Climate Finance Pledges and Commitments calculated from World Resources Institute, “Developed Country Fast-Start Climate Finance Pledges: A Summary of Self-Reported Information,” November 26, 2012, http://pdf.wri.org/climate_finance_pledges_2012-1 1-26.pdf with currency conversion completed by WRI. Fossil Fuel Subsidy Totals calculated from OECD and IEA, “Fossil Fuel Subsidies and Other Support,” http://www.oecd.org/site/tadffss/with currency conversion from http://www.x-rates.com calculated with exchange rate on last day of the year."
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:
The personal tags and insults just demean the owner's entry.

We are here at his invite.

Rise above it.
Absolutely right Pat
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
National Climate Assessment Details Stronger Evidence Of Global Warming And Its Impacts

Posted: 01/11/2013 4:43 pm EST | Updated: 01/11/2013 6:24 pm EST



A federal committee has published a draft of the nation's third climate assessment report, a comprehensive analysis of the latest and best peer-reviewed science on the extent and impacts of global warming on the United States.

None of the body's findings are entirely new, but the report suggests that evidence is now stronger and clearer than ever that the climate is rapidly changing -- primarily as a result of human activities, including the copious burning of fossil fuels. Observed weather extremes are on the rise, and the possible connection between at least some of these events and human-induced climate change is also more strongly supported by the science.

The nation can expect increased impacts on everything from crops to fresh water supplies, and better and broader national plans for adaptation are needed, the assessment noted.

The draft report, which was prepared by the so-called National Climate Assessment Development Advisory Committee and written and amassed by a group of 240 scientists, will be subject to a three-month period of review and public comment.

"Climate change presents a major challenge for society," the committee's leadership said in a letter addressed to the American people. "This report and the sustained assessment process that is being developed represent steps forward in advancing our understanding of that challenge and its far-reaching implications for our nation and the world."

In an emailed statement, Gene Karpinski, the president of the League of Conservation Voters, said the report confirms what many Americans already know. "Hurricane Sandy and the historic droughts, floods and heat waves happening across the country aren't a fluke, but the result of a climate warming much faster than previously thought," he said. "If we put off action on climate change, the costs of addressing its impacts will only rise and this extreme weather will be just the beginning. This report should serve as a wake-up call that it's time to act."

The committee's letter continues:

Summers are longer and hotter, and periods of extreme heat last longer than any living American has ever experienced. Winters are generally shorter and warmer. Rain comes in heavier downpours, though in many regions there are longer dry spells in between.
Other changes are even more dramatic. Residents of some coastal cities see their streets flood more regularly during storms and high tides. Inland cities near large rivers also experience more flooding, especially in the Midwest and Northeast. Hotter and drier weather and earlier snow melt mean that wildfires in the West start earlier in the year, last later into the fall, threaten more homes, cause more evacuations, and burn more acreage. In Alaska, the summer sea ice that once protected the coasts has receded, and fall storms now cause more erosion and damage that is severe enough that some communities are already facing relocation....


These and other observed climatic changes are having wide-ranging impacts in every region of our country and most sectors of our economy. Some of these changes can be beneficial, such as longer growing seasons in many regions and a longer shipping season on the Great Lakes. But many more have already proven to be detrimental, largely because society and its infrastructure were designed for the climate of the past, not for the rapidly changing climate of the present or the future.

The report's roots can be traced to the The Global Change Research Act of 1990, which required that a national climate assessment be conducted every four years, with a report issued to the president and Congress. The legislation led to the formation of the U.S. Global Change Research Program, an inter-governmental body involving 13 federal agencies and departments, including the Departments of Commerce, Defense and Energy, as well as the Environmental Protection Agency and the National Science Foundation, among others.

The first such assessment was not published until 2000, however, and it was subsequently attacked by conservative groups who claimed that it exaggerated the climate threat. One group, the free-market Competitive Enterprise Institute, filed multiple lawsuits arguing that the findings were not subjected to federal guidelines for scientific research.

CEI settled its legal challenges with the Bush administration, which subsequently suppressed use of the report by other branches of the federal government in their implementation of policies.

The next full climate assessment was not published until 2009, after President Barack Obama took office.

"This draft report sends a warning to all of us," said Sen. Barbara Boxer, the California Democrat and chairwoman of the Environment and Public Works Committee, in an emailed statement. "We must act in a comprehensive fashion to reduce carbon pollution or expose our people and communities to continuing devastation from extreme weather events and their aftermath."
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512


SPC AC 131900

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

VALID 132000Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
RELATIVELY LIMITED CHANGES TO PRIOR OUTLOOK ASIDE FROM SPATIAL
ADJUSTMENTS/TRIMMING IN ACCORDANCE WITH EASTWARD-ADVANCING EFFECTIVE
FRONT. WHILE AN ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE TSTM OR TWO WILL BE
POSSIBLE...WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER/WEAK LAPSE RATES WITH THE WARM
SECTOR ARE STILL EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE OVERALL THREAT.

..GUYER.. 01/13/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1025 AM CST SUN JAN 13 2013/

AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TODAY OVER MOST OF THE UNITED
STATES...WITH THE PRIMARY BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM LA INTO
KY/OH. WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY IS PRECLUDING
SUBSTANTIAL DIURNAL HEATING/DESTABILIZATION. DESPITE DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID 60S...ONLY VERY MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT. MODEL
GUIDANCE ALSO SUGGESTS THAT THE MOST LIKELY REGION OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE BOUNDARY AS IT SHIFTS
EASTWARD TODAY. STRONG WIND FIELDS ABOVE THE SURFACE WOULD BE
FAVORABLE FOR A DAMAGING WIND THREAT...BUT THE RISK OF SURFACE-BASED
CONVECTION IS QUITE LOW. WHILE AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR DAMAGING WIND
GUST IS REMOTELY POSSIBLE...ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED TODAY. PLEASE REFER TO MESOSCALE DISCUSSION NUMBER 25
FOR FURTHER SHORT-TERM DETAILS.

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1946Z (1:46PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
131 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0318 PM TORNADO HAMPTON 37.28N 88.37W
01/12/2013 F2 LIVINGSTON KY NWS STORM SURVEY

LATE REPORT. EF-2 TORNADO. BEGAN ON SW SIDE OF TOWN AND
TRAVELED NE ALONG HWY 838 ENDING 1.5 MILES NE OF TOWN. PK
WND 120 MPH. PATH LENGTH 1.75 MILES. PATH WIDTH 175
YARDS. SANCTUARY OF ONE CHURCH COLLASPED. SECOND CHURCH
HAD STEEPLE BLOWN OFF AND SOME SHINGLE DAMAGE. SEVERAL
TREES BLOWN DOWN/SNAPPED. FEW HOMES RECEIVED SHINGLE
DAMAGE.


&&

$$

SMITTY
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31409
The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel

123º range in temps so far today in Lower 48, from morning low of -39ºF in W. Yellowstone MT to +84ºF right now in Punta Gorda, FL.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The personal tags and insults just demean the owner's entry.

We are here at his invite.

Rise above it.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
Oh, we have TC 09S in the Indian Ocean...could reach (hurricane) status or 75 mph and higher afterwards...

_________________________________________________


About the map...Here ya go...I fixed it... hit the link




also, these are the colors I use for three years now as background for wind intensities...just like the purple color behind the TS there... I don't copy wikipedia's or any others'. I made that color scheme for 2011


*** The color above purple is for TD (since it says TD TS)***
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PlazaRed:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
883. Skyepony (Mod)
Impressive outflow boundary where 94W was..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37300

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0026
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1209 PM CST SUN JAN 13 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN-SERN IL / WRN IND

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 131809Z - 132145Z

SUMMARY...FROZEN PRECIP PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN WITH
RATES IN EXCESS OF 0.05 INCH PER 3 HOUR PERIOD WILL LIKELY SPREAD
NEWD FROM PARTS OF SRN IL INTO PORTIONS OF WRN IND THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN RADAR MOSAIC IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
SHOW AN INCREASING SHIELD OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION FROM SERN MO NNEWD
INTO THE LOWER WABASH RIVER VALLEY. A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF
SUSTAINED MID-LEVEL ASCENT CONCURRENT WITH A SATURATING COLUMN WILL
ACT TO PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIGHT PRECIP THRU THE MID
AFTERNOON ACROSS THIS REGION...ENDING SW TO NE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOW A SHALLOW SUB-FREEZING LAYER WITH A WARM NOSE AROUND 5 DEG C AT
H85 WHICH WILL FAVOR FREEZING RAIN AS THE PRIMARY P-TYPE FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS FREEZING RAIN RATES
WILL PROBABLY EXCEED 0.05 INCH PER 3 HOUR PERIOD. VEERING FLOW/COLD
ADVECTION IN THE H85-H7 LAYER WILL SUFFICIENTLY COOL THE COLUMN TO
EVENTUALLY AID IN THE TRANSITION TO SLEET/SNOW AS PRECIP RATES
DECREASE AND GRADUALLY SUBSIDE.

..SMITH.. 01/13/2013


ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...

LAT...LON 37358943 37708937 39918735 40058697 39808679 38538769
37308899 37358943
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7927
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Johny's in the basement
Mixing up the medicine
I'm on the pavement
Thinking about the government

When you ain't got nothing, You got nothing to lose.
Dylan of course.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Subterranean Homesick Blues

51.8F @11:24
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 5669
Johny's in the basement
Mixing up the medicine
I'm on the pavement
Thinking about the government
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

A woman wearing a mask crosses a road during severe pollution in Beijing on January 12, 2013

BEIJING (AP) Air pollution readings in China's notoriously polluted capital were at dangerously high levels for the second straight day Saturday, with hazy skies blocking visibility and authorities urging people to stay indoors.

Local officials warned that the severe pollution in Beijing reportedly the worst since the local government began collecting data a year ago was likely to continue until Tuesday.

The Beijing Municipal Environmental Monitoring Center said on its website that the density of PM2.5 particulates had reached 700 micrograms per cubic meter in many parts of the city, a level considered extremely hazardous.

By 5 p.m., the center's real-time reporting showed the air quality indexes at or approaching the maximum 500 from some monitoring stations. The index runs from zero to 500 and accounts for the level of airborne PM 2.5 particulates tiny particles considered the most harmful to health.

Generally, the air quality is considered good when the index is at 50 or below, and hazardous with an index between 301 and 500, when people are warned to avoid outdoor physical activities. Those with respiratory problems, the elderly and children are asked to stay indoors.

The air started to turn bad on Thursday, and monitors in Beijing reported air quality indexes above 300 by Friday. The monitoring center said Saturday that the pollution was expected to linger for the next three days and urged residents, especially the most vulnerable, to stay home as much as possible.

The air quality data are the worst in Beijing since the municipal government began to track PM2.5 early last year, said Zhou Rong of the environmental organization Green Peace.

Monitors at the U.S. Embassy in Beijing recorded an off-the-chart air-quality reading of 755 at 8 p.m. Saturday and said the PM2.5 density had reached 886 micrograms per cubic meter. It was unclear whether the embassy's data were the worst since it began collecting and sharing such information in 2008.

Readings are often different in different parts of Beijing. Chinese authorities and the United States also have different ways to calculate the air quality index, although their indexes are "highly similar" at the two ends of the spectrum, said Ma Jun, founder of the nongovernmental Institute of Public and Environmental Affairs in Beijing.

Air pollution is a major problem in China due to the country's rapid pace of industrialization, reliance on coal power, explosive growth in car ownership and disregard to environmental laws. It typically gets worse in the winter because of heating needs.

In Beijing, authorities have blamed foggy conditions and a lack of wind for the high concentration of air pollutants.

Several other cities, including Tianjin on the coast east of Beijing and southern China's Wuhan city, also reported severe pollution over the last several days.




Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 420 Comments: 127512
Based on my records for this day... the high temperature for today in my location SHOULD be around 38 F... last year was 46 and today is going to get near 50.

We have 9" of snow so far this season... when we should have nearly 17"... can't do anything anyway
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Neapolitan:
Uh, what? Renewables receive more subsidies than fossil fuels--when factored on a per-energy-unit bases?

Again: what?

That's some impeccable logic, I gotta tell you. In fact, that may be the most magnificent "arguments" I've ever seen anyone use to justify the many billions of dollars that go to Big Energy.

Oh, dear me...
I am not trying to justify them in fact I think they should get none. But if you are going to compare them you have to compare them equally don't you agree.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting help4u:
"Coldmeggedon" hitting Europe ,China,west coast of US.Next week brutal cold to hit central and southern part of US.Everyone stay safe.Deadly temps coming to many parts of the world.
The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel

Just in - this morning's low dropped to -20ºF at the Grand Canyon airport, tying their lowest temp of any day since records began in 1976.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
any other comments about the new map?
Hey Max.... I enjoy your posts... You seem to be a very intelligent young man... You give us older people that there is still hope....Thanks Max... Keep up the great work, and posts.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.