Top Ten Global Weather Events of 2012

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:34 PM GMT on January 11, 2013

Share this Blog
45
+

It was another year of incredible weather extremes globally during 2012. The year featured two of the most expensive weather disasters in world history--Hurricane Sandy and the Great U.S. Drought of 2012, which will both cost more than $50 billion. Thankfully, no disasters had a death toll in excess of 2,000, though the 1,901 people dead or missing due to Super Typhoon Bopha in the Philippines may rank as that nation's 2nd deadliest typhoon ever. Twenty-six weather disasters costing at least $1 billion occurred globally, according to insurance broker AON Benfield. Eleven billion-dollar weather disasters hit the U.S., a figure exceeded only by the fourteen such disasters in 2011. Nine billion-dollar weather disasters hit China, their highest total in a decade of record-keeping. I present for you, now, the top ten global weather stories of 2012, chosen for their meteorological significance and human and economic impact:



1) New Record Minimum for Arctic Sea Ice (September 16)
Sea ice extent in the Arctic fell to 3.41 million square kilometers on September 16, breaking the previous all-time low set in 2007 by 18%--despite the fact that 2012's Arctic weather was much cloudier and cooler than in 2007. Nearly half (49%) of the icecap was gone during 2012s minimum, compared to the average minimum for the years 1979 - 2000. This is an area approximately 43% of the size of the contiguous United States. And, for the fifth consecutive year--and fifth time in recorded history--ice-free navigation was possible in the Arctic along the coast of Canada (the Northwest Passage), and along the coast of Russia (the Northeast Passage or Northern Sea Route.) "We are now in uncharted territory," said NSIDC Director Mark Serreze. "While we've long known that as the planet warms up, changes would be seen first and be most pronounced in the Arctic, few of us were prepared for how rapidly the changes would actually occur. While lots of people talk about opening of the Northwest Passage through the Canadian Arctic islands and the Northern Sea Route along the Russian coast, twenty years from now from now in August you might be able to take a ship right across the Arctic Ocean." Arctic sea ice is an important component of the global climate system. The polar ice caps help to regulate global temperature by reflecting sunlight back into space. White snow and ice at the poles reflects sunlight, but dark ocean absorbs it. Replacing bright sea ice with dark ocean is a recipe for more and faster global warming. The fall air temperature over the Arctic has increased by 4 - 6°F in the past decade, and we could already be seeing the impacts of this warming in the mid-latitudes, by an increase in extreme weather events. Another non-trivial impact of the absence of sea ice is that is causes increased melting in Greenland, contributing to sea level rise.


Figure 1. A sunny, slushy day near the North Pole on September 1, 2012. Webcam image courtesy of the North Pole Environmental Observatory. It won't be many years before Santa's workshop needs pontoons in the summer to stay afloat.

2) Agricultural Drought in the U.S., Europe, and Asia (Summer)
Drought is civilization's great enemy, and the most dangerous threat from global warming. Drought impacts the two things we need to live--food and water. When the rains stop and the soil dries up, cities die and civilizations collapse, as people abandon lands no longer able to supply them with the food and water they need to live. In a harbinger of things to come, severe droughts affected important agricultural regions across the globe during summer 2012, including eastern Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and central North America. Wheat, corn, and soybean crops were among those heavily impacted; global food prices rose by 10 percent during July. While it will be several months before the costs of America's worst drought since the 1930s Dust Bowl are known, the 2012 drought is expected to cut America's GDP by 0.5 - 1 percentage points, said Deutsche Bank Securities. Since the U.S. GDP is approximately $15 trillion, the drought of 2012 represents a $75 - $150 billion hit to the U.S. economy. This is in the same range as the estimate of $77 billion in costs for the drought, made by Purdue University economist Chris Hurt in August, and the Great U.S. Drought of 2012 is going to be one of the top-five most expensive weather disasters in world history.


Figure 2. Corn in Colby, Kansas withers in the Great Drought of 2012 on May 27. Image credit: Wunderphotographer treeman.

3) Superstorm Sandy (October 29)
Hurricane Sandy was the most powerful and second most destructive Atlantic hurricane in recorded history. Ten hours before landfall, at 9:30 am EDT October 29, the total energy of Sandy's winds of tropical storm-force and higher peaked at 329 terajoules--the highest value for any Atlantic hurricane since at least 1969, and equivalent to more than five Hiroshima-sized atomic bombs. At landfall, Sandy's tropical storm-force winds spanned 943 miles of the the U.S. coast. No hurricane on record has been larger. Sandy's huge size prompted high wind warnings to be posted from Chicago to Eastern Maine, and from Michigan's Upper Peninsula to Florida's Lake Okeechobee--an area home to 120 million people. Sandy's winds simultaneously caused damage to buildings on the shores of Lake Michigan at Indiana Dunes National Lake Shore, and toppled power lines in Nova Scotia, Canada--locations 1200 miles apart! Sandy made landfall near Atlantic City, NJ on October 29, with sustained winds of 80 mph and a central minimum pressure of 946 mb--the lowest pressure on record along the Northeast coast. The Battery, in New York City Harbor, had an observed water level of 13.88 feet, besting the previous record set by Hurricane Donna in 1960 by 3 feet. Sandy's catastrophic storm surge was responsible for the majority of the 131 deaths and $62 billion in damage in the U.S. Sandy also brought torrential rainfall in excess of 12 inches to the mid-Atlantic, and blizzard conditions to the central and southern Appalachians. Sandy's late-season show of unprecedented strength, unusual track, and exceptionally damaging storm surge were made more likely due to climate change, and the storm helped bring more awareness and debate about the threat of climate change to the U.S. than any event since Hurricane Katrina in 2005.


Figure 3. Hurricane Sandy at 10:10 am EDT October 28, 2012. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

4) Greenland Ice Sheet melt and Glacier Calving (July)
Measurements from three satellites showed that on July 8, about 40 percent of the Greenland ice sheet had undergone thawing at or near the surface. But during four consecutive days July 11 - 14, temperatures rose above freezing at the top of the Greenland Ice Sheet, which is 10,551 feet (3216 meters) above sea level and 415 miles (670 km) north of the Arctic Circle. Melting of the ice sheet dramatically accelerated, and an estimated 97 percent of the ice sheet surface had thawed by July 12. This was the greatest melt since 1889, according to ice core records. On July 16, an iceberg twice the size of Manhattan calved from the Petermann Glacier in Northeast Greenland. This was the second huge ice island to calve from the glacier since 2010. The glacier's margins have now retreated to the farthest point in the last 150 years. The record melt in Greenland caused the highest loss of ice mass observed in the satellite era, and melting from Greenland is now thought to cause about 0.7 mm/year of global sea level rise, which is about 20 - 25% of the global total.


Figure 4. The massive 46 square-mile iceberg two times the size of Manhattan that calved from Greenland's Petermann Glacier on July 16, 2012, as seen on July 21, 2012, using MODIS satellite imagery. Image credit: NASA.

5) Super Typhoon Bopha (December 3 - 4)
The deadliest weather disaster of 2012 was Super Typhoon Bopha. Bopha was the strongest typhoon ever hit the southern Philippine island of Mindanao, making landfall as a Category 5 super typhoon with winds of 160 mph (260 km/h) on December 3. Bopha made two additional landfalls in the Philippines, on central Visayas and on Palawan, on December 4. The typhoon left 1901 people dead or missing, mostly on the island of Mindanao. If the missing people are presumed dead, this total would make Bopha the 2nd deadliest typhoon in Philippine history. Bopha affected over 5.4 million people and left over 700,000 people homeless. With damages estimated at $1.04 billion, Bopha is the most costly typhoon ever to hit the Philippines. The previous record was the $600 million price tag of 2009's Typhoon Parma.


Figure 5. December 7, 2012: rescuers and residents look for missing victims amongst toppled tree trunks and coconut shells after flash floods caused by Super Typhoon Bopha hit Compostela Valley on Mindanao Island in the Philippines on December 3 - 4, 2012. (AP Photo/Jay Morales, Malacanang Photo Bureau, HO)

6) Northern Hemisphere Warmth (throughout 2012)
Land areas in the Northern Hemisphere reached record warm monthly values for four consecutive months (April - July). Much of the unusual warmth occurred in North America; Canada was 3rd warmest on record for the period January- September, and the United States had its warmest year on record. Many European countries and Russia had record to near-record warm summer temperatures in 2012.


Figure 6. This young lady chose to cool her heels in the Fox River on June 28, 2012, as the temperature was topping 102 degrees in Carpentersville, IL imag credit: wunderphotographer pjpix.

7) Eurasian Continent Cold Wave (January 24 - February 17)
Europe's worst cold snap in at least 26 years hit central and eastern Europe hard during a 3-week period in late January and the first half of February. The 824 deaths being blamed on the cold wave made it 2012's second deadliest weather disaster. Parts of the Danube River froze over for the first time in 25 years, and Northeast China through eastern Inner Mongolia recorded extremely cold minimum temperatures ranging between -30°C to -40°C.


Figure 7. Snow falls in Trogir, Croatia on February 3, 2012. Image credit: wunderphotographer antoniomise.

8) China Floods (July 21 - 22)
Torrential downpours on July 21 - 22 affected Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei, with several stations recording their highest daily precipitation on record. Mentougou recorded an impressive 305.2 mm (12 inches) of precipitation in one day. The floods killed 129 people and did $4.8 billion in damage, one of a record nine billion-dollar weather disasters to affect China in 2012.


Figure 8. A Chinese man uses a signboard to signal motorists driving through flooded street following a heavy rain in Beijing Saturday, July 21, 2012. China's government says these were the heaviest rains to hit Beijing in six decades. The torrential downpour left low-lying streets flooded and knocked down trees. (AP Photo)

9) Pakistan Floods (August 21 - September 30)
Torrential monsoon rains caused deadly floods in Pakistan, with Balochistan, Punjab, and Sindh provinces the hardest hit. Over 5 million people and over 400,000 hectares of crops were affected by the floods, with more than 460,000 houses and infrastructures damaged or destroyed. The death toll of 455 made it Earth's 3rd deadliest weather-related disaster of 2012.


Figure 9. A driver makes his way on a street flooded from heavy rain in Peshawar, Pakistan, Tuesday, Aug. 28, 2012. (AP Photo/Mohammad Sajjad)

10) African Floods (July - October)
Heavy rains in Nigeria killed at least 431, making it Earth's 4th deadliest weather disaster of 2012. Over 3 million people were affected by flooding across 15 countries in Africa, most notably Nigeria, Niger, Senegal, and Chad. The floods destroyed farmlands, homes, and schools, and caused outbreaks of cholera and other diseases.

Other Top Ten Weather Lists of 2012
My Top Ten U.S. Weather Events of 2012.

Wunderground's Angela Fritz's has a list of Top Climate Events of 2012.

A group of seventeen climate scientists and climate bloggers created a Climate Disruption: Critical 2012 Events and Stories list of 19 key climate change events that occurred in 2012.

TWC's Stu Ostro has his annual post showing his pick for top weather images of 2012.

Climate Central has a top-ten most striking images of 2012 post.

Have a great weekend, everyone!

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1124 - 1074

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26Blog Index

That extratropical low epected to bomb-out should hook-up with the Alutian Vortex. Once the MJO pregresses into phase 7 or so, the subtropical jet could also hook up with this beast! Which in turn will solidify WPO/EPO/AO/NAO/PNA blocking.

With a massive SSW event ready to dislodge the Polar Vortex to the south, we(eastern 2/3 of US) very well might see a record-shattering(or at least a significant) arctic outbreak by next week or so!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1123. nymore
Quoting Skyepony:


I don't think you'll find melt. You promised me leads...
You said look the surface isn't even frozen, I said either they are leads or the data is faulty, look at Alert Canada it is about as close as you can get to the North Pole on land
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1122. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting nymore:
I will for you, you will see no surface melting. I promise you.


I don't think you'll find melt. You promised me leads...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1121. Skyepony (Mod)
A high wind warning is in effect from midnight to 7 a.m. Monday for the Anchorage Hillside and Turnagain Arm, with winds of 40-60 mph and gusts from 70-85 mph, according to the National Weather Service.

Read more here:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1120. nymore
Quoting Skyepony:


I was hoping for a few hundred miles north of Greenland but I'll enjoy them none the less:)

To get the sea concentration to compare you'd need to check the percentage of an area the size of about 10 miles by 10 miles.. Usually around the edges & near land it isn't 100%.
I will for you, you will see no surface melting. I promise you.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1119. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting nymore:
I will show you pics from Northern Mn and you will see no surface melt and our temp is forecast at 3 above zero. So unless the temp in the arctic is above 32 degrees or has sun helping like in March or April and it below 32 degrees we will see no surface melting.


I was hoping for a few hundred miles north of Greenland but I'll enjoy them none the less:)

To get the sea concentration to compare you'd need to check the percentage of an area the size of about 10 miles by 10 miles.. Usually around the edges & near land it isn't 100%. It's not just melt..those leads you were talking about count too..

That's brutal temps. 63F here.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1118. BtnTx
Quoting nymore:
Right now outside my house it is only 4 below zero not bad actually
wow! here it is 44.4F which is reasonably cold for Baytown, but not unusual. Stay Warm! I guess it helps a lot if your utilities are are working. What would you do do if your heat and electricity went out?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1117. nymore
Quoting BtnTx:
how cold is it now?
Right now outside my house it is only 4 below zero not bad actually
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1116. BtnTx
Quoting nymore:
Dude I am close enough to there.
how cold is it now?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1115. nymore
Quoting BtnTx:
I am glad I don't live there - Brrr! Oh no! I did not want to offend! I wonder if wu police will attack me for this...
Dude I am close enough to there.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1114. BtnTx
Quoting beell:


Icebox of the Nation
International Falls has long promoted itself as the "Icebox of the Nation"; however, the trademark for the slogan has been challenged on several occasions by the small town of Fraser, Colorado. Officials from Fraser claimed usage since 1956, International Falls since 1948. The two towns came to an agreement in 1986, when International Falls paid Fraser $2,000 to relinquish its "official" claim. However, in 1996, International Falls inadvertently failed to renew its federal trademark, although it had kept its state trademark up to date. Fraser then filed to gain the federal trademark.[10] International Falls submitted photographic proof that its 1955 Pee Wee hockey team traveled to Boston, Massachusetts with the slogan.[11] After several years of legal battles, the United States Patent and Trademark Office officially registered the slogan with International Falls on January 29, 2008, Registration Number 3375139.[12] Only a few days after announcing its success in the trademark battle, International Falls had a daily record low temperature of −40°F (−40°C), beating a previous record of −37°F (−38.3°C) in 1967.[13]

Wiki
I am glad I don't live there - Brrr! Oh no! I did not want to offend! I wonder if wu police will attack me for this...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1113. nymore
Quoting Skyepony:


Where are you bringing pics from?
I will show you pics from Northern Mn and you will see no surface melt and our temp is forecast at 3 above zero. So unless the temp in the arctic is above 32 degrees or has sun helping like in March or April and it below 32 degrees we will see no surface melting.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1112. Skyepony (Mod)
Big change the last few weeks.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1111. Skyepony (Mod)
December anomaly..the high spot finally left Greenland. No wonder Russia & China got most the winter so far. Sea ice anomaly on that side is actually slightly past it's normal extent too.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1110. nymore
.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1109. nymore
Quoting beell:


Icebox of the Nation
International Falls has long promoted itself as the "Icebox of the Nation"; however, the trademark for the slogan has been challenged on several occasions by the small town of Fraser, Colorado. Officials from Fraser claimed usage since 1956, International Falls since 1948. The two towns came to an agreement in 1986, when International Falls paid Fraser $2,000 to relinquish its "official" claim. However, in 1996, International Falls inadvertently failed to renew its federal trademark, although it had kept its state trademark up to date. Fraser then filed to gain the federal trademark.[10] International Falls submitted photographic proof that its 1955 Pee Wee hockey team traveled to Boston, Massachusetts with the slogan.[11] After several years of legal battles, the United States Patent and Trademark Office officially registered the slogan with International Falls on January 29, 2008, Registration Number 3375139.[12] Only a few days after announcing its success in the trademark battle, International Falls had a daily record low temperature of %u221240F (%u221240C), beating a previous record of %u221237F (%u221238.3C) in 1967.[13]

Wiki
Look at Embarrass MN it is colder than I' Falls. I have even drank at The Cold Spot Bar there years ago
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1108. beell
Quoting nymore:
We always laugh when folk go there expecting to see the falls it is better known as a small dam with a short falls between Rainy lake and the Rainy River


Icebox of the Nation
International Falls has long promoted itself as the "Icebox of the Nation"; however, the trademark for the slogan has been challenged on several occasions by the small town of Fraser, Colorado. Officials from Fraser claimed usage since 1956, International Falls since 1948. The two towns came to an agreement in 1986, when International Falls paid Fraser $2,000 to relinquish its "official" claim. However, in 1996, International Falls inadvertently failed to renew its federal trademark, although it had kept its state trademark up to date. Fraser then filed to gain the federal trademark.[10] International Falls submitted photographic proof that its 1955 Pee Wee hockey team traveled to Boston, Massachusetts with the slogan.[11] After several years of legal battles, the United States Patent and Trademark Office officially registered the slogan with International Falls on January 29, 2008, Registration Number 3375139.[12] Only a few days after announcing its success in the trademark battle, International Falls had a daily record low temperature of −40°F (−40°C), beating a previous record of −37°F (−38.3°C) in 1967.[13]

Wiki
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1107. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting nymore:
I believe we started out discussing surface melt which I still say your graphic could be mistaken on. Like I said I will go take photos tomorrow on surface melt and they won't be what you may believe they are


Where are you bringing pics from?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1106. Skyepony (Mod)
Nature Geoscience | Letter

The impact of polar mesoscale storms on northeast Atlantic Ocean circulation

Alan Condron
& Ian A. Renfrew

Nature Geoscience
6,
34–37
(2013)
doi:10.1038/ngeo1661

Received
23 June 2012
Accepted
09 November 2012
Published online
16 December 2012

Atmospheric processes regulate the formation of deep water in the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean and hence influence the large-scale ocean circulation1. Every year thousands of mesoscale storms, termed polar lows, cross this climatically sensitive region of the ocean. These storms are often either too small or too short-lived to be captured in meteorological reanalyses or numerical models2, 3, 4. Here we present simulations with a global, eddy-permitting ocean/sea-ice circulation model, run with and without a parameterization of polar lows. The parameterization reproduces the high wind speeds and heat fluxes observed in polar lows as well as their integrated effects, and leads to increases in the simulated depth, frequency and area of deep convection in the Nordic seas, which in turn leads to a larger northward transport of heat into the region, and southward transport of deep water through Denmark Strait. We conclude that polar lows are important for the large-scale ocean circulation and should be accounted for in short-term climate predictions. Recent studies3, 4 predict a decrease in the number of polar lows over the northeast Atlantic in the twenty-first century that would imply a reduction in deep convection and a potential weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1105. nymore
Quoting Skyepony:


This isn't about leads & ice heaves but less than 90% ice cover over large areas of the Arctic Ocean in mid-Jan and how little of it is thick multi year ice.



By this did you mean leads wouldn't cause sea ice concentrations drop below 90% so suddenly?
I believe we started out discussing surface melt which I still say your graphic could be mistaken on. Like I said I will go take photos tomorrow on surface melt and they won't be what you may believe they are
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1104. nymore
Quoting beell:


18Z GFS Temp/Wind Chill-International Falls, MN
(0-180 hrs)
We always laugh when folk go there expecting to see the falls it is better known as a small dam with a short falls between Rainy lake and the Rainy River
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1103. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting nymore:
The ice always breaks the colder it gets the more it will crack into leads. I don't have to look from shore hell we can drive out on it and look from there. I know very well what wind does and why ice heaves happen. I don't think just the sun causes ice to break up or crack wide open, come on up we can watch ice crack open at 40 below zero and touch the cold water.


This isn't about leads & ice heaves but less than 90% ice cover over large areas of the Arctic Ocean in mid-Jan and how little of it is thick multi year ice.

Quoting nymore:
I am not trying to argue but even if they are leads they will freeze rather quickly in temps like that. And if that is the surface only with no sun to melt them I can not see how it is possible.


What did you mean by this?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The GFS suggests that the low pressure area well west-southwest of Alaska right now is going to bomb out into one of the top 10 most intense extratropical cyclones in recorded history tomorrow. Pressure down into the 920s.

Is that the one NW of Japan?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1101. beell


18Z GFS Temp/Wind Chill-International Falls, MN
(0-180 hrs)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The GFS suggests that the low pressure area well west-southwest of Alaska right now is going to bomb out into one of the top 10 most intense extratropical cyclones in recorded history tomorrow. Pressure down into the 920s.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32076
1099. nymore
Quoting whitewabit:


Wind has more of a factor in opening up leads in the ice the the sun ..

Was amazed that the sea ice made so much noise during my time in the arctic .. and that it was always moving to the south ..
agreed for ppl who have never experienced it the mechanism is hard to explain.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1098. whitewabit (Mod)
Quoting nymore:
The ice always breaks the colder it gets the more it will crack into leads. I don't have to look from shore hell we can drive out on it and look from there. I know very well what wind does and why ice heaves happen. I don't think just the sun causes ice to break up or crack wide open, come on up we can watch ice crack open at 40 below zero and touch the cold water.

FWIW I can order a pizza or a sub sandwich and have it delivered on the ice.


Wind has more of a factor in opening up leads in the ice then the sun ..

Was amazed that the sea ice made so much noise during my time in the arctic .. and that it was always moving to the south ..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1097. nymore
Quoting Skyepony:


I've ice skated on the south edge of a frozen Lake Erie. It wasn't even frozen over at that spot as of 6 days ago.. Look how much you noticed about the war you're in. You went into this debate with the argument that nothing but the sun breaks up sea ice. Watching it from nothing but the shore you feel all sheltered & safe never seeing the affect of high winds and huge waves on the new first year ice. The Arctic used to be covered in deep multi year ice that would have never have broken up like that. Guess you'd never notice from shore though.

So where exactly are you watching it freeze from in the morning anyways? I would like to see the pics.

The ice always breaks the colder it gets the more it will crack into leads. I don't have to look from shore hell we can drive out on it and look from there. I know very well what wind does and why ice heaves happen. I don't think just the sun causes ice to break up or crack wide open, come on up we can watch ice crack open at 40 below zero and touch the cold water.

FWIW I can order a pizza or a sub sandwich or chinese food and have it delivered on the ice.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
BREAKING: 33 homes now confirmed lost in the Coonabarabran fire.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1095. whitewabit (Mod)
Quoting AussieStorm:
Introducing Florida's snake hunters: Eight hundred hopefuls gather to flush out huge snake infestation in reward for cash prizes.




Sure hope no one gets killed by the mishandling of a firearm .. most of those people have no idea how strong a large snake is .. or for that matter how fast they can strike ..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1094. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting nymore:
I agree you will get no argument from me but a satellite is not the same as being there. It is a little like saying I have seen the War on tv and then talking to someone actually in said war


I've ice skated on the south edge of a frozen Lake Erie. It wasn't even frozen over at that spot as of 6 days ago.. Look how much you noticed about the war you're in. You went into this debate with the argument that nothing but the sun breaks up sea ice. Watching it from nothing but the shore you feel all sheltered & safe never seeing the affect of high winds and huge waves on the new first year ice. The Arctic used to be covered in deep multi year ice that would have never have broken up like that. Guess you'd never notice from shore though.

So where exactly are you watching it freeze from in the morning anyways? I would like to see the pics.


source
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Taking off for the Night, Stay Safe All - Sleep Well - Hi Dean07 - Later .....
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 5819
Quoting HurricaneDean07:
Hey Guys. Been a long time. Just wanted to check in and see how everyone was. I'm currently EXTREMELY busy, so I wont be on long, but I just wanted to show everyone I was still alive. :)

Hey HDean, what makes you so busy?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hey Guys. Been a long time. Just wanted to check in and see how everyone was. I'm currently EXTREMELY busy, so I wont be on long, but I just wanted to show everyone I was still alive. :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1090. nymore
Quoting Skyepony:


It's too cold..I have watched it for years though & the amount of first year & lack of 100% frozen is startling. I'd rather look at buoys & sat pics..there are real observations to verify without me having to go out in it.. the dot at the end of the drift map is were it is now...that area North of Greenland.



I agree you will get no argument from me but a satellite is not the same as being there. It is a little like saying I have seen the War on tv and then talking to someone actually in said war
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1089. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting nymore:
It will open up in spots for a short period of time but these will freeze than another area will open this is what ice does. It would and has scared the hell out of ppl not familiar with it. I have always loved when I take ppl on the ice for the first time and the ice cracks they think they are going to die but those of us that drive on it and live with it don't mind that it cracks to a certain point because we understand the cracking is reassuring that ice is being made. You should come up and witness it in person.


It's too cold..I have watched it for years though & the amount of first year & lack of 100% frozen is startling. I'd rather look at buoys & sat pics..there are real observations to verify without me having to go out in it.. the dot at the end of the drift map is were it is now...that area North of Greenland. This buoy hasn't seen 100% frozen sea ice since late June.



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1087. wxmod
Quoting wxchaser97:

LOL
I'm not even playing video games, I'm finishing up an English project, monitoring radar, and blogging on WU. I know the world as it is, trust me. Generalizing teens like that is not good.


Ok. I'm glad you are being a citizen and doing your homework.
You want my respect. I'm just showing you satellite photos. Don't ridicule the messenger. Nobody else posts what I post. Keep an open mind and you will get a good education.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1085. nymore
Quoting Skyepony:
nymore~ I don't doubt where you are next to shore you will see a 100% freeze of the surface. This article certainly confirms the lack of 100% coverage the various maps are now showing out there in the Hudson Bay. Good news for the trapped whales. They still might not make it but their situation is better than it was..

MONTREAL (AP) — About a dozen killer whales trapped under sea ice appeared to be free after the ice shifted, village officials in Canada's remote north said Thursday, while residents who feared they would get stuck elsewhere hired a plane to track them down.

The whales' predicament in the frigid waters of Hudson Bay made international headlines, and locals had been planning a rescue operation with chainsaws and drills before the mammals slipped away.

Tommy Palliser said two hunters from remote Inukjuak village reported that the waters had opened up around the area where the cornered whales had been bobbing frantically for air around a single, truck-sized hole in the ice. Officials said shifting winds might have pushed the ice away.

Mark O'Connor of the regional marine wildlife board said the aerial search did not locate the orcas, but he noted that large swaths of ice-free water were seen in the area.


It will open up in spots for a short period of time but these will freeze than another area will open this is what ice does. It would and has scared the hell out of ppl not familiar with it. I have always loved when I take ppl on the ice for the first time and the ice cracks they think they are going to die but those of us that drive on it and live with it don't mind that it cracks to a certain point because we understand the cracking is reassuring that ice is being made. You should come up and witness it in person.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Extratropical low south of Japan:

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Still stormy from Alabama to Kentucky.



Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Astrophysics:


This is really sad :( I use the AAT telescope for observing (in fact I was up there during Christmas doing some observing). I've heard the lodge where us astronomers sleep and eat has been damaged but the full extent will not be known until tomorrow morning. I just hope most of the telescopes and instruments up there on Siding Spring have survived. Truly devastating.

Well, there is good news and bad news.

Homes lost but Siding Spring Observatory survives massive bushfire

AT LEAST 28 homes have been destroyed and buildings at Australia's world-leading Siding Spring Observatory damaged by a "frightening" bushfire in northern NSW.

Fire authorities said the homes and at least one building in the Siding Spring complex were destroyed in the massive bushfire which swept through the Warrumbungle National Park yesterday.

The fire had by today burnt through at least 40,000 hectares and was burning on a perimeter of more than 100 kilometres.

However while the flames yesterday came close to the observatory and severely affected or damaged five of its buildings, none of the valuable telecopes, including the main Anglo-Australian Telescope, appeared today to have been badly damaged.

The Australian National University, which runs Siding Spring, said while there did not seem to be significant damage to the telescopes, the observatory would close for two weeks while staff determined if heat or ash had had any impact on the equipment. Monitoring instruments at the main telescope showed temperatures surging above 100 degrees Celsius at the height of the danger.

Siding Spring houses 10 operating telescopes run by Australian, Polish, British, Korean and US researchers. Administered by ANU's research school of astronomy and astrophysics, Siding Spring is the nation's top optical and infrared observatory and one of the top facilities of its kind in the world.

The Mount Stromlo Observatory, also run by the ANU, was devastated by the Canberra bushfires of 2003.

The ANU said buildings damaged at Siding Spring included the lodge used to accommodate visiting researchers and a number of cottages and sheds.

A fire has been extinguished at the visitors' centre this morning, ANU said in a statement earlier today. We expect the visitors' centre has been severely damaged.

Aerial photographs taken of the Siding Spring Observatory at first light today show the charred remains of bush surrounding the observatory, and one of the buildings on the site completely destroyed.

Eighteen staff from Siding Spring were evacuated yesterday to nearby Coonabarabran due to the blaze.

The Australian Astronomical Observatory (AAO), which operates the four-metre AAT and 1.2-metre UK Schmidt telescope, said both instruments appear to have escaped major damage but would be shut down for at least two weeks.

Acting AAO director Andrew Hopkins said it was a great relief for researchers to see that the telescopes appeared intact after bushfires destroyed a partner observatory in Canberra in 2003.

The significance of the site is absolutely huge, said Hopkins of Siding Spring.

The Siding Spring Observatory site is the premier astronomical observatory facility in Australia for optical and infrared observing.

Officials said lessons had been taken from Mount Stromlo, including clearing the undergrowth at Siding Spring and fitting ember screens to all windows to prevent sparks getting into buildings and starting fires.

Rob McNaught, a researcher at the observatory's Uppsala near Earth object survey telescope, was among many site staff who lived nearby and were forced to flee the massive smoke plume.

Many hold fears that their houses are lost, he said. We heard a lot of hair-raising stories from the last few to drive down the (access) road as it became engulfed in flames.

He said the AAT, one of the world's top telescopes and a key instrument in exploring the Milky Way galaxy and Magellanic Clouds, should be unaffected as it is a very secure and well defended building.

The bushfire, which today had burnt through at least 40,000 hectares and which has a perimeter of more than 100 kilometres, was today confirmed to have destroyed at least 28 properties.

Rural Fire Service Commissioner Shane Fitzsimmons said the number of destroyed properties was likely to change through the day as police and emergency services assessed the damage.

While easing conditions had helped stop the fire spreading, the RFS said additional crews were being deployed to the area before deteriorating weather conditions later in the week.

More than 110 people have fled to the Tattersalls Hotel in Baradine, with residents warned it is not safe to return home.

RFS Deputy Commissioner Rob Rogers said the fire moved through the park at phenomenal speed yesterday and was one of the most frightening fires I think we have had all summer.

The smoke plume extended to 14 kilometres, he told Fairfax Radio.

The fire ... was of such magnitude that there was no way of knowing that anything was going to stop that fire.

He said it moved rapidly with ember showers sparking fires five kilometres ahead.

To have firefighters trying to battle that blaze would have literally been a suicide mission.

On Monday, more than 1100 firefighters, 300 trucks and nearly 90 aircraft were deployed across the state to tackle 146 fires, 36 of which are not contained.

While there are no total fire bans in place, RFS spokeswoman Laura Ryan said 45 new fires were ignited by lightning overnight and yesterday.

So far the fires have scorched more than 500,000 hectares of bush, scrub and grass - - the equivalent of the entire greater Sydney basin, Ms Ryan said.



Cooler temperatures were expected across most of NSW, Tasmania and Victoria today and the NSW Rural Fire Service will finalise containment lines and backburning.

However, the Bureau of Meteorology's senior meteorologist, Simon Allen, said Thursday would carry the worst fire danger this week, especially in Victoria and NSW. It's more of a danger for Victoria and NSW on Thursday, Mr Allen said.

Most of Tasmania will be mild, but the southeast may be a little warm. But certainly it won't be as bad as the fires last week.

Fires continued to burn across Tasmania, with 10 active bushfires last night.

In Victoria, the Country Fire Authority had managed to contain all but two fires by last night.

The federal government has granted 3200 claims for emergency assistance to households damaged by the fires across eastern Australia as authorities learn from the lessons of past disasters to ensure a faster response to those who need help.

In the country's northwest, tropical cyclone Narelle passed down the coast, missing exposed communities around Exmouth.

BY STAFF REPORTERS From: The Australian




ABC News Video(News Conference)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1081. Skyepony (Mod)
nymore~ I don't doubt where you are next to shore you will see a 100% freeze of the surface. This article certainly confirms the lack of 100% coverage the various maps are now showing out in the middle of the Hudson Bay. Good news for the trapped whales. They still might not make it but their situation is better than it was..

MONTREAL (AP) About a dozen killer whales trapped under sea ice appeared to be free after the ice shifted, village officials in Canada's remote north said Thursday, while residents who feared they would get stuck elsewhere hired a plane to track them down.

The whales' predicament in the frigid waters of Hudson Bay made international headlines, and locals had been planning a rescue operation with chainsaws and drills before the mammals slipped away.

Tommy Palliser said two hunters from remote Inukjuak village reported that the waters had opened up around the area where the cornered whales had been bobbing frantically for air around a single, truck-sized hole in the ice. Officials said shifting winds might have pushed the ice away.

Mark O'Connor of the regional marine wildlife board said the aerial search did not locate the orcas, but he noted that large swaths of ice-free water were seen in the area.


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1080. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
SUBJECT: Extratropical Low In Sea South Of Japan

At 9:00 AM JST, Extratropical Low (988 hPa) located at 30.0N 136.0E. This low is reported as moving east northeast at 25 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45318
1079. nymore
Quoting Skyepony:


Watch the animation.. the east side of Greenland ice concentrations has become less & that is quickly spreading N of Greenland as well. That huge warm core low we had hit the SE & east side of Greenland last week brought the ice concentrations down noticeably.
I agree but I will go out tomorrow where I live and take photos of the ice with the sun up and the temp is forecast to be 3 above zero not only will you and I see no melting we will see ice increase in thickness. It makes a hell of a bang kind of like an earthquake as the ice expands and will actually split from the forces being exerted.

Edit the colder it gets the worse it gets
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1078. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting nymore:
I am not trying to argue but even if they are leads they will freeze rather quickly in temps like that. And if that is the surface only with no sun to melt them I can not see how it is possible.


Watch the animation.. the east side of Greenland ice concentrations has become less & that is quickly spreading N of Greenland as well. That huge warm core low we had hit the SE & east side of Greenland last week brought the ice concentrations down noticeably.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Skyepony:
Air Quality in California was worse than forecast.


Thanks for posting that. high here.
Today PM 2.5 - 65
PM 10 - 39

Tomorrow PM 2.5 - 65
PM 10 - 76
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 5819
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1075. Skyepony (Mod)
Last 30 day sea Ice & snow cover animation.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1074. nymore
Quoting Skyepony:
nymore~ Sea ice doesn't float in the air..



I am not trying to argue but even if they are leads they will freeze rather quickly in temps like that. And if that is the surface only with no sun to melt them I can not see how it is possible.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 1124 - 1074

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.