Top Ten Global Weather Events of 2012

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:34 PM GMT on January 11, 2013

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It was another year of incredible weather extremes globally during 2012. The year featured two of the most expensive weather disasters in world history--Hurricane Sandy and the Great U.S. Drought of 2012, which will both cost more than $50 billion. Thankfully, no disasters had a death toll in excess of 2,000, though the 1,901 people dead or missing due to Super Typhoon Bopha in the Philippines may rank as that nation's 2nd deadliest typhoon ever. Twenty-six weather disasters costing at least $1 billion occurred globally, according to insurance broker AON Benfield. Eleven billion-dollar weather disasters hit the U.S., a figure exceeded only by the fourteen such disasters in 2011. Nine billion-dollar weather disasters hit China, their highest total in a decade of record-keeping. I present for you, now, the top ten global weather stories of 2012, chosen for their meteorological significance and human and economic impact:



1) New Record Minimum for Arctic Sea Ice (September 16)
Sea ice extent in the Arctic fell to 3.41 million square kilometers on September 16, breaking the previous all-time low set in 2007 by 18%--despite the fact that 2012's Arctic weather was much cloudier and cooler than in 2007. Nearly half (49%) of the icecap was gone during 2012s minimum, compared to the average minimum for the years 1979 - 2000. This is an area approximately 43% of the size of the contiguous United States. And, for the fifth consecutive year--and fifth time in recorded history--ice-free navigation was possible in the Arctic along the coast of Canada (the Northwest Passage), and along the coast of Russia (the Northeast Passage or Northern Sea Route.) "We are now in uncharted territory," said NSIDC Director Mark Serreze. "While we've long known that as the planet warms up, changes would be seen first and be most pronounced in the Arctic, few of us were prepared for how rapidly the changes would actually occur. While lots of people talk about opening of the Northwest Passage through the Canadian Arctic islands and the Northern Sea Route along the Russian coast, twenty years from now from now in August you might be able to take a ship right across the Arctic Ocean." Arctic sea ice is an important component of the global climate system. The polar ice caps help to regulate global temperature by reflecting sunlight back into space. White snow and ice at the poles reflects sunlight, but dark ocean absorbs it. Replacing bright sea ice with dark ocean is a recipe for more and faster global warming. The fall air temperature over the Arctic has increased by 4 - 6°F in the past decade, and we could already be seeing the impacts of this warming in the mid-latitudes, by an increase in extreme weather events. Another non-trivial impact of the absence of sea ice is that is causes increased melting in Greenland, contributing to sea level rise.


Figure 1. A sunny, slushy day near the North Pole on September 1, 2012. Webcam image courtesy of the North Pole Environmental Observatory. It won't be many years before Santa's workshop needs pontoons in the summer to stay afloat.

2) Agricultural Drought in the U.S., Europe, and Asia (Summer)
Drought is civilization's great enemy, and the most dangerous threat from global warming. Drought impacts the two things we need to live--food and water. When the rains stop and the soil dries up, cities die and civilizations collapse, as people abandon lands no longer able to supply them with the food and water they need to live. In a harbinger of things to come, severe droughts affected important agricultural regions across the globe during summer 2012, including eastern Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and central North America. Wheat, corn, and soybean crops were among those heavily impacted; global food prices rose by 10 percent during July. While it will be several months before the costs of America's worst drought since the 1930s Dust Bowl are known, the 2012 drought is expected to cut America's GDP by 0.5 - 1 percentage points, said Deutsche Bank Securities. Since the U.S. GDP is approximately $15 trillion, the drought of 2012 represents a $75 - $150 billion hit to the U.S. economy. This is in the same range as the estimate of $77 billion in costs for the drought, made by Purdue University economist Chris Hurt in August, and the Great U.S. Drought of 2012 is going to be one of the top-five most expensive weather disasters in world history.


Figure 2. Corn in Colby, Kansas withers in the Great Drought of 2012 on May 27. Image credit: Wunderphotographer treeman.

3) Superstorm Sandy (October 29)
Hurricane Sandy was the most powerful and second most destructive Atlantic hurricane in recorded history. Ten hours before landfall, at 9:30 am EDT October 29, the total energy of Sandy's winds of tropical storm-force and higher peaked at 329 terajoules--the highest value for any Atlantic hurricane since at least 1969, and equivalent to more than five Hiroshima-sized atomic bombs. At landfall, Sandy's tropical storm-force winds spanned 943 miles of the the U.S. coast. No hurricane on record has been larger. Sandy's huge size prompted high wind warnings to be posted from Chicago to Eastern Maine, and from Michigan's Upper Peninsula to Florida's Lake Okeechobee--an area home to 120 million people. Sandy's winds simultaneously caused damage to buildings on the shores of Lake Michigan at Indiana Dunes National Lake Shore, and toppled power lines in Nova Scotia, Canada--locations 1200 miles apart! Sandy made landfall near Atlantic City, NJ on October 29, with sustained winds of 80 mph and a central minimum pressure of 946 mb--the lowest pressure on record along the Northeast coast. The Battery, in New York City Harbor, had an observed water level of 13.88 feet, besting the previous record set by Hurricane Donna in 1960 by 3 feet. Sandy's catastrophic storm surge was responsible for the majority of the 131 deaths and $62 billion in damage in the U.S. Sandy also brought torrential rainfall in excess of 12 inches to the mid-Atlantic, and blizzard conditions to the central and southern Appalachians. Sandy's late-season show of unprecedented strength, unusual track, and exceptionally damaging storm surge were made more likely due to climate change, and the storm helped bring more awareness and debate about the threat of climate change to the U.S. than any event since Hurricane Katrina in 2005.


Figure 3. Hurricane Sandy at 10:10 am EDT October 28, 2012. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

4) Greenland Ice Sheet melt and Glacier Calving (July)
Measurements from three satellites showed that on July 8, about 40 percent of the Greenland ice sheet had undergone thawing at or near the surface. But during four consecutive days July 11 - 14, temperatures rose above freezing at the top of the Greenland Ice Sheet, which is 10,551 feet (3216 meters) above sea level and 415 miles (670 km) north of the Arctic Circle. Melting of the ice sheet dramatically accelerated, and an estimated 97 percent of the ice sheet surface had thawed by July 12. This was the greatest melt since 1889, according to ice core records. On July 16, an iceberg twice the size of Manhattan calved from the Petermann Glacier in Northeast Greenland. This was the second huge ice island to calve from the glacier since 2010. The glacier's margins have now retreated to the farthest point in the last 150 years. The record melt in Greenland caused the highest loss of ice mass observed in the satellite era, and melting from Greenland is now thought to cause about 0.7 mm/year of global sea level rise, which is about 20 - 25% of the global total.


Figure 4. The massive 46 square-mile iceberg two times the size of Manhattan that calved from Greenland's Petermann Glacier on July 16, 2012, as seen on July 21, 2012, using MODIS satellite imagery. Image credit: NASA.

5) Super Typhoon Bopha (December 3 - 4)
The deadliest weather disaster of 2012 was Super Typhoon Bopha. Bopha was the strongest typhoon ever hit the southern Philippine island of Mindanao, making landfall as a Category 5 super typhoon with winds of 160 mph (260 km/h) on December 3. Bopha made two additional landfalls in the Philippines, on central Visayas and on Palawan, on December 4. The typhoon left 1901 people dead or missing, mostly on the island of Mindanao. If the missing people are presumed dead, this total would make Bopha the 2nd deadliest typhoon in Philippine history. Bopha affected over 5.4 million people and left over 700,000 people homeless. With damages estimated at $1.04 billion, Bopha is the most costly typhoon ever to hit the Philippines. The previous record was the $600 million price tag of 2009's Typhoon Parma.


Figure 5. December 7, 2012: rescuers and residents look for missing victims amongst toppled tree trunks and coconut shells after flash floods caused by Super Typhoon Bopha hit Compostela Valley on Mindanao Island in the Philippines on December 3 - 4, 2012. (AP Photo/Jay Morales, Malacanang Photo Bureau, HO)

6) Northern Hemisphere Warmth (throughout 2012)
Land areas in the Northern Hemisphere reached record warm monthly values for four consecutive months (April - July). Much of the unusual warmth occurred in North America; Canada was 3rd warmest on record for the period January- September, and the United States had its warmest year on record. Many European countries and Russia had record to near-record warm summer temperatures in 2012.


Figure 6. This young lady chose to cool her heels in the Fox River on June 28, 2012, as the temperature was topping 102 degrees in Carpentersville, IL imag credit: wunderphotographer pjpix.

7) Eurasian Continent Cold Wave (January 24 - February 17)
Europe's worst cold snap in at least 26 years hit central and eastern Europe hard during a 3-week period in late January and the first half of February. The 824 deaths being blamed on the cold wave made it 2012's second deadliest weather disaster. Parts of the Danube River froze over for the first time in 25 years, and Northeast China through eastern Inner Mongolia recorded extremely cold minimum temperatures ranging between -30°C to -40°C.


Figure 7. Snow falls in Trogir, Croatia on February 3, 2012. Image credit: wunderphotographer antoniomise.

8) China Floods (July 21 - 22)
Torrential downpours on July 21 - 22 affected Beijing, Tianjin, and Hebei, with several stations recording their highest daily precipitation on record. Mentougou recorded an impressive 305.2 mm (12 inches) of precipitation in one day. The floods killed 129 people and did $4.8 billion in damage, one of a record nine billion-dollar weather disasters to affect China in 2012.


Figure 8. A Chinese man uses a signboard to signal motorists driving through flooded street following a heavy rain in Beijing Saturday, July 21, 2012. China's government says these were the heaviest rains to hit Beijing in six decades. The torrential downpour left low-lying streets flooded and knocked down trees. (AP Photo)

9) Pakistan Floods (August 21 - September 30)
Torrential monsoon rains caused deadly floods in Pakistan, with Balochistan, Punjab, and Sindh provinces the hardest hit. Over 5 million people and over 400,000 hectares of crops were affected by the floods, with more than 460,000 houses and infrastructures damaged or destroyed. The death toll of 455 made it Earth's 3rd deadliest weather-related disaster of 2012.


Figure 9. A driver makes his way on a street flooded from heavy rain in Peshawar, Pakistan, Tuesday, Aug. 28, 2012. (AP Photo/Mohammad Sajjad)

10) African Floods (July - October)
Heavy rains in Nigeria killed at least 431, making it Earth's 4th deadliest weather disaster of 2012. Over 3 million people were affected by flooding across 15 countries in Africa, most notably Nigeria, Niger, Senegal, and Chad. The floods destroyed farmlands, homes, and schools, and caused outbreaks of cholera and other diseases.

Other Top Ten Weather Lists of 2012
My Top Ten U.S. Weather Events of 2012.

Wunderground's Angela Fritz's has a list of Top Climate Events of 2012.

A group of seventeen climate scientists and climate bloggers created a Climate Disruption: Critical 2012 Events and Stories list of 19 key climate change events that occurred in 2012.

TWC's Stu Ostro has his annual post showing his pick for top weather images of 2012.

Climate Central has a top-ten most striking images of 2012 post.

Have a great weekend, everyone!

Jeff Masters

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More rain for Louisiana.



Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 671


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#169:
Statue Bubbles?
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Quoting PedleyCA:
What's your temperature Keeper???




Toronto Pearson Int'l Airport
Date: 6:14 PM EST Friday 11 January 2013
Condition: Light Drizzle
Pressure: 29.89 inches
Tendency: falling
Visibility: 2 miles
Air Quality Health Index: 3

Temperature: 42.4°F
Dewpoint: 41.9°F
Humidity: 99 %
Wind: SSE 5 mph


temp trend rising steadly by daybreak may near 50 degrees 55 or higher depending if mid afternoon sun peaks out tomorrow may or could reach 60 at peak by late afternoon again depending on amount of sunny breaks

another event will dev to our south for a sunday crossing in southern ontario with rain transitioning to cold and snow for next week
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Quoting originalLT:
Go on a trip to Alaska see how the glaciers are retreating, go ask Alaskan's what they think. It is a conservative state, but most that I talked to up there this past summer say , at least up there, there is global warming. They can see it with there own eyes and you could too if you make the trip. Many are not convinced man is to blame, but virtually all I spoke with say it (global warming) is taking place.As one guy put it, ,the glaciers are akin to "the canary in a coal mine",-- pretty good analogy. Virtually all the glaciers are retreating, and they have photographic proof of that for at least the past 60-70 years.
hi i hope 2013 is finding all my fellow weather geeks well. the so called "conservatives" i feel have given up this argument about global warming being a "conspiracy". notice during the election the topic was not brought up and avoided except the extremest talk show folks that are just playing to there base.there being dead wrong about this I feel just added to the infighting and discourse in the party. their denial of science was extremely damaging to their image and agenda. In lighter thing very beautiful sunset in naples Florida this evening.perfect temps.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
If you ever want to experience most types of weather you'll find in the United States without traveling from place to place to get it, move to the Dallas-Forth Worth, Texas area. North Texas gets snowstorms and cold weather (typically) in December through March, severe thunderstorm and tornadoes in April and May, extreme heat and sunny conditions in June, July, and August, and a lot of rain in September, October, and November.

Add in an occasional earthquake as well.
You left out the most important one, tropical systems.
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167. DDR
Good evening
Levi could you please post some of those precipitation forecast for the tropical atlantic from some of the models,TIA.
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Narelle is now a Category 5 Severe Tropical Cyclone.


It's on a steady weakening trend, however:



Eye is now mostly cloud filled:

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R.e. CaicosRetiredSailor, post #143,
"...balance fetish..." - I love it!

Akin to False Equivalency, furthering the pretense of being centrist, moderate, balanced, or middle-of-the-road. Darn that pesky science.
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What's your temperature Keeper???
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Quoting HadesGodWyvern:
2013JAN11 213200 6.5 915.7/ 1.7 /127.0

Narelle with intensity of 6.5 Dvorak or winds of nearly 130 knots (1 min sustained winds average)




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Narelle is now a Category 5 Severe Tropical Cyclone.

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Special weather statement for:
City of Toronto
Windsor - Essex - Chatham-Kent
Sarnia - Lambton
Elgin
London - Middlesex
Simcoe - Delhi - Norfolk
Dunnville - Caledonia - Haldimand
Oxford - Brant
Niagara
City of Hamilton
Halton - Peel
York - Durham
Huron - Perth
Waterloo - Wellington
Dufferin - Innisfil
Grey - Bruce
Barrie - Orillia - Midland
Belleville - Quinte - Northumberland
Kingston - Prince Edward
Peterborough - Kawartha Lakes
Stirling - Tweed - South Frontenac
Bancroft - Bon Echo Park
Brockville - Leeds and Grenville
City of Ottawa
Gatineau
Prescott and Russell
Cornwall - Morrisburg
Smiths Falls - Lanark - Sharbot Lake
Parry Sound - Muskoka
Haliburton
Renfrew - Pembroke - Barry's Bay
Algonquin
Burk's Falls - Bayfield Inlet.

January thaw continues into this weekend with periods of
Freezing rain over Eastern Ontario changing to rain this
Evening.

------------------------------------------------- --------------------
==discussion==
A warm front associated with a disturbance from Texas will continue
tracking northeastward across Southern and Eastern Ontario this
evening and tonight. In the wake of the warm front, a very mild and
fairly moist air mass from the Gulf of Mexico will pay a visit,
giving a taste of spring to the regions into this weekend.

Rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 mm were common across Southern Ontario
today with little further rainfall expected. Over Eastern Ontario
occasional rain or freezing rain will change to a light rain or
drizzle this evening with precipitation amounts generally less than
5 mm.

On Saturday very mild air ushered in by southerly winds will help
temperatures rise to the double digits in many areas.
These temperature will be some 10 to 15 degrees above normal values
across the entire district. In fact, afternoon temperatures in a few
locales Saturday may actually reach the mid teens, especially in
snow-free areas, making it feel much more like late April.

As a result of the very mild temperatures, a number of new maximum
temperature records may be set today in Southern Ontario and
especially Saturday across both Southern and Eastern Ontario.
Most if not all of the snow on the ground across Southern Ontario and
in southern parts of Eastern Ontario will melt by Saturday.

A new low pressure system will bring 10 to 15 mm of rain to Southern
Ontario and Eastern Ontario on Sunday.

Colder air will arrive Sunday night bringing an end to the thaw.

Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment
Canada at www.weatheroffice.gc.ca.

End

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61 TomballTXPride: Antarctica will make a complete thaw by 2035.

And by this summer, you and other denialists will be posting that "Scientists have been claiming that Antarctica will be totally melted by 2035."
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If you ever want to experience most types of weather you'll find in the United States without traveling from place to place to get it, move to the Dallas-Forth Worth, Texas area. North Texas gets snowstorms and cold weather (typically) in December through March, severe thunderstorm and tornadoes in April and May, extreme heat and sunny conditions in June, July, and August, and a lot of rain in September, October, and November.

Add in an occasional earthquake as well.
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Quoting SunriseSteeda:



So other than that (April), it's OK? :)
That's probably when the river floods!
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Quoting FunnelVortex:


July is brutualy hot and hardly brings any rain.

In January, the December snow packs into ice.

In Febuary, the melting snow refeezes making the roads slick.

September-November can bring powerful mid-latitude gales.

May, June, and August are full of thunderstorms.

The Wisconsin river tends to flood too.



So other than that (April), it's OK? :)
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156. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
2013JAN11 213200 6.5 915.7/ +1.7 /127.0

Narelle with intensity of 6.5 Dvorak or winds of nearly 130 knots (1 min sustained winds average)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44473
155. VR46L
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Just make sure they have a screwdriver set and a roll of duct tape...


That is too Funny LOL
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Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Just make sure they have a screwdriver set and a roll of duct tape...


Oh, Please... Play Nice....

55.1 now 37.8 was the Low .... Send some heat back this way....
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153. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Advice #19
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE NARELLE, CATEGORY FIVE (05U)
5:30 AM WST January 12 2013
=========================================

At 5:00 AM WST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle (925 hPa) located at 18.5S 111.9E or 445 km north northwest of Exmouth and 730 km north northwest of Carnarvon has 10 minute sustained winds of 110 knots with gusts of 155 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southwest at 6 knots.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle is expected to continue moving to the south to southwest and pass west of the Northwest Cape over the weekend.

Gales with gusts to 100 kilometers per hour could develop in coastal areas between Mardie and Exmouth during Saturday, then extend south to Cape Cuvier later on Saturday.

Winds are likely to increase in the Exmouth area during Saturday with damaging wind gusts to 125 kilometers per hour possible overnight Saturday if the cyclone takes a track closer to the coast. However given the consistent movement of Narelle to the south to southwest movement closer to the coast is now less likely.

On Sunday gales may extend south to Denham and winds along the west Pilbara coast should ease from the east later in the day.

Thunderstorm activity in western parts of the Pilbara could be squally with isolated heavy falls. This activity will extend into far northwestern Gascoyne over the weekend.

Tides along the west Pilbara coast are likely to rise above the normal high tide mark Saturday morning and again Saturday night with flooding of low lying coastal areas possible. Higher than normal tides should extend along the west coast later Saturday and into early next week.

Tropical Cyclone Warning
======================
A Cyclone WARNING continues for coastal areas from Mardie to Cape Cuvier

Tropical Cyclone Watch
======================
A Cyclone WATCH continues for coastal areas from Cape Cuvier to Denham
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44473
Quoting CaicosRetiredSailor:
Science Geeks Ready to Rumble
By Keith Kloor | January 11, 2013 5:34 am

Anyone who believes that science, above all, should inform our debates on medical, health and environmental issues, will find much to agree with in The Geek Manifesto, a recently published book by Mark Henderson, one of Britain's leading science communicators. As science writer David Dobbs writes in his foreward to the U.S. edition, The Geek Manifesto

articulates with bracing clarity how science's central principle - that evidence should trump authority, and reason trump rumor - can help improve the clumsy, cranking machinery that produces law, policy and other frameworks of public life.


Quote
...
The first problem is the balance fetish. Far too often, the media sees science through the prism of politics - if you've got the Republican view, you've got to have the Democrat too for balance. That might generate debate, but it distorts science. The evidence isn't always equally weighted between one side and its critics - global warming and vaccine safety are particular examples of where phony balance, rather than fairness to the evidence, has damaged the quality of public debate.

The other problem is that too few senior editors in newspapers and radio and television stations actually know enough about science to identify op-ed viewpoints that are founded on misinformation.

http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/collideascape/2 013/01/11/science-geeks-ready-to-rumble/#.UPCJtWt5 mSN


Psychological polarization is maybe the biggest problem of all: These days, no matter how well a thing is said, one is preaching to the choir.... no one else will take the time and effort to listen. Geekdom and reason in general are getting marginalized, increasingly playing a Cassandra-like role in the national dialog.

People gravitate to spending their time reading things that they already agree with; and trying to imagine inhabiting other, radically different points of view, isn't even an app on their intra-cranial console.
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151. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BISING
5:00 AM PhST January 12 2013
==============================

Tropical Depression "Bising" has maintained its strength as it moves north northwestward

At 4:00 AM PhST, Tropical Depression Bising (1004 hPa) located at 12.0N 127.0E or 170 km northeast of Borongan, Eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots. The depression is reported as moving north northwest at 7 knots.

Signal Warnings
================

Signal Warning #1
-----------------

Luzon region
=============
1. Camarines Norte
2. Camarines Sur
3. Catanduanes
4. Albay
5. Sorsogon

Visayas region
==============
1. Northern Samar
2. Western Samar
3. Eastern Samar

Additional Information
======================
Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.Estimated rainfall amount is from 05-15 mm per hour (moderate to heavy) within the 300 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of northern and central Luzon over the seaboards of Southern Luzon and Visayas due to Tropical Depression "Bising" and the Northeast Monsoon.

The public and the local disaster risk reduction and management councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44473
Quoting VR46L:
138

LMAO

Men do have their uses ...
Just make sure they have a screwdriver set and a roll of duct tape...
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Quoting ILwthrfan:


Here ya go dabirds!



LINK to more


The thing dumped about 8 inches here (Helena MT), of various kinds of snow ... pellets, dense gick, then fluff.
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143) How true!
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147. VR46L
Quoting overwash12:
Like argue on weather blogs! lol


Oh, the females can hold their own on here I think LOL
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Well at least the IL valley got some 1+, that'll help. Funny the spot in S IL where I'd seen a 4-5" forecast got the least. Not much help for Rend, other than melting the snow.

Doesn't look like we'll be getting to 60 either, still pretty nice for mid Jan. Back to winter Sat. night. Have a good weekend, maybe we'll have better luck aiming at badgers, sure couldn't hit any gophers.
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Quoting VR46L:
138

LMAO

Men do have their uses ...
Like argue on weather blogs! lol
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:
That is some impressive and fast Stratospheric warming



I hope bastardi is right..we are dealing with 70s here..January has brought out flip flops, heavy coats and umbrellas..

7-DAY FORECAST

Tonight Patchy fog after 8pm. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southwest wind 7 to 9 mph.
Saturday Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 73. West wind 3 to 7 mph.
Saturday Night Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. South wind 3 to 5 mph.
Sunday Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Sunday Night Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 57. South wind around 8 mph.
Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 73.
Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Tuesday A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday Night A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.
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Science Geeks Ready to Rumble
By Keith Kloor | January 11, 2013 5:34 am

Anyone who believes that science, above all, should inform our debates on medical, health and environmental issues, will find much to agree with in The Geek Manifesto, a recently published book by Mark Henderson, one of Britain's leading science communicators. As science writer David Dobbs writes in his foreward to the U.S. edition, The Geek Manifesto

articulates with bracing clarity how science's central principle - that evidence should trump authority, and reason trump rumor - can help improve the clumsy, cranking machinery that produces law, policy and other frameworks of public life.


Quote
...
The first problem is the balance fetish. Far too often, the media sees science through the prism of politics - if you've got the Republican view, you've got to have the Democrat too for balance. That might generate debate, but it distorts science. The evidence isn't always equally weighted between one side and its critics - global warming and vaccine safety are particular examples of where phony balance, rather than fairness to the evidence, has damaged the quality of public debate.

The other problem is that too few senior editors in newspapers and radio and television stations actually know enough about science to identify op-ed viewpoints that are founded on misinformation.

http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/collideascape/2 013/01/11/science-geeks-ready-to-rumble/#.UPCJtWt5 mSN
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Why is this happening?
Quoting DavidHOUTX:
That is some impressive and fast Stratospheric warming


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Quoting dabirds:
ILwthr, mentioned in previous blog that a pulse headed north of StL last night, but have not looked up what amounts were received, but along with melt should help. Also didn't see if S IL got anywhere near forecast, if they did that might help Rend (along with the melt of that big snow they got)

Pretty sure WC said Gandolph came out of a Pacific NW system, had someone out in Park City because they were supposed to get worst of it (best as far as ski operators are concerned, I'm sure).


Here ya go dabirds!



LINK to more
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140. VR46L
Quoting MontanaZephyr:
138

LMAO

Men do have their uses ...
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Quoting nymore:
I believe I said they can find a different career or go home or find private funding.


No, what you said was "I agree no gov't cash or breaks but those engineers will still have jobs. Those scientists who are climatologists will not."
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Quoting VR46L:


Women have alot more to put up with ....


Impossible to measure objectively, but if I had incarnated as a woman, I almost certainly would've gone dyke: Straight guys are a dismal species. I accede that there are outliers, but I better not go there.... I have almost certainly already exceeded my Daily Political Incorrectness Limit.
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Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


So, is the real purpose of your previous post just an attempt by you to put climatologist out of work then? Do you think that climatologist are just uneducated dolts that could not find a job someplace else or doing something else? What is the real reason for your previous post?
I believe I said they can find a different career or go home or find private funding.

Now I really do have to start driving home
Member Since: July 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2253
Quoting FunnelVortex:


Try living in Wisconsin.

In summer, we fry. (I've seen 100 as a high)

In winter, we freeze. (It got down to -40 here once!)


Been there, done that Funnel. I prefer Florida :)
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Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Montana........ I bitch, we all bitch abouth the Florida weather... But that is our nature... Florida is fantastic. (But so freekin' hot in the summer)


When I was young, I moved there in August, from the North East. Next day, after unloading the truck, I went for a five mile run in the delicious,Venice coastal air, about 95 degrees and 95 per. humidity. I was in heaven!

(Note to people stressing over heat: You MUST take mineral supplements.... it makes all the difference! .... when I got back from that run and cooled off, my body was literally encrusted with small saltish crystals.)

Florida in the summer... everything, or nearly everything, that blooms, does. And the snowbirds have gone north again.... so traffic is easier, and the prices of many things are lower.

....Oh! And the weather can get interesting-er mighty fast!
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Quoting nymore:
I agree no gov't cash or breaks but those engineers will still have jobs. Those scientists who are climatologists will not. The private firms have plenty of cash for r and d now if the scientists in this field can find private funding by all means carry on.


So, is the real purpose of your previous post just an attempt by you to put climatologist out of work then? Do you think that climatologist are just uneducated dolts that could not find a job someplace else or doing something else? What is the real reason for your previous post?
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133. VR46L
Quoting goosegirl1:



Like men? ;)


LOL :)
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Quoting goosegirl1:



Like men? ;)


That can be read two ways! :>)
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Retreating snowpack the past couple weeks.

Link
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Quoting VR46L:


Women have alot more to put up with ....



Like men? ;)
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That is some impressive and fast Stratospheric warming

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Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


We also know that we can extract fossil fuels. This is settled, is it not? So why do we not quit funding the fossil fuel industry's R&D projects? Why not stop giving them subsidies? Why not use the money saved from this to invest into renewable energy sources that will be required to be brought into use as the fossil fuels become more depleted and more difficult to extract? Should we not already have alternative energy sources well established before fossil fuels become too depleted and too expensive for daily use? Those that work for the fossil fuel industries now can just get another job. The smart ones will get jobs building the alternative energy sources we all will need down the road.
I agree no gov't cash or breaks but those engineers will still have jobs. Those scientists who are climatologists will not. The private firms have plenty of cash for r and d now if the scientists in this field can find private funding by all means carry on.
Member Since: July 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2253
127. VR46L
Quoting llpj04:
WHEN is this rain going to stop training over the Baton Rouge/New Orleans area????
I think we have gotten 12 inches so far this year!!! 10 in the last 3 days!


There looks to be a small blob of heavy convection at the moment ...

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Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Saturday morning, half of CONUS is well above average. Other half, well-below. Guess what that means? CONUS avg = 0F http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/289841768571232 256/photo/1/large
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Saw the pics on TWC of the haboob in Austrailia... Even more amazing that it was over water! And we think we've got it bad here....
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
From Today's New York Times...

SNOW IN JERUSALEM....OVER 8"


The top big picture is about dead sheep by the wildfires in Australia :(


It also talks about the record US heat, the huge floods in Pakistan, the tornadoes in Italy, the brutal cold in China and in Russia.

Here it says what happened to a town in Russia from the extreme cold
"Especially lately. China is enduring its COLDEST WINTER in near 30 years. Brazil is in the grip of a dreadful heat spell. Eastern Russia is so freezing - minus 50F, and counting - that the traffic lights in the city of Yakutsk RECENTLY STOPPED WORKING..."

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Quoting nymore:
You know after some thought about Climate change I think I may have come up with a way to start solving the problem.

First we cut off all funding for any study or research or courses taught into Climate Change. Because it is not in doubt it is man's fault. All this is just wasted money telling us something we already know.

Now we take the money saved and hand that money to Inventors and Engineers to come up with a solution. I feel sorry for those who will lose their jobs but their part of identifying this problem is over and they can go home now or find other careers.


We also know that we can extract fossil fuels. This is settled, is it not? So why do we not quit funding the fossil fuel industry's R&D projects? Why not stop giving them subsidies? Why not use the money saved from this to invest into renewable energy sources that will be required to be brought into use as the fossil fuels become more depleted and more difficult to extract? Should we not already have alternative energy sources well established before fossil fuels become too depleted and too expensive for daily use? Those that work for the fossil fuel industries now can just get another job. The smart ones will get jobs building the alternative energy sources we all will need down the road.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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