Historic heat wave brings Australia its hottest average temperature on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:27 PM GMT on January 08, 2013

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It's been a summer like no other in the history of Australia, where a sprawling heat wave of historical proportions is entering its second week. Monday, January 7, was the hottest day in Australian history, averaged over the entire country, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The high temperature averaged over Australia was 105°F (40.3°C), eclipsing the previous record of 104°F (40.2°C) set on 21 December 1972. Never before in 103 years of record keeping has a heat wave this intense, wide-spread, and long-lasting affected Australia. The nation's average high temperature exceeded 102°F (39°C) for five consecutive days January 2 - 6, 2013--the first time that has happened since record keeping began in 1910. Monday's temperatures extended that string by another day, to six. To put this remarkable streak in perspective, the previous record of four consecutive days with a national average high temperature in excess of 102°F (39°C) has occurred once only (1973), and only two other years have had three such days in a row--1972 and 2002 (thanks go to climate blogger Greg Laden for these stats.) Another brutally hot day is in store for Wednesday, as the high pressure region responsible for the heat wave, centered just south of the coast, will bring clear skies and a northerly flow of air over most of the country. A slight cool down will occur later in the week, as the high weakens and slides to the east of Australia. The western coast of Australia may see cloud cover and rain from Tropical Cyclone Narelle this weekend, but the rest of the country will see very little in the way of cloud cover or rain during the coming week.


Figure 1. Aerial view of fire at Copping/Forcett, Tasmania, at around 4pm on 4 Jan 2013, taken from an airplane leaving Hobart Airport. Image credit: Wikipedia.

As discussed by wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt in his Monday post, Australia's extreme heat helped fuel wild fires in southeastern Tasmania that burned to the ground at least 100 homes last Friday and Saturday. The temperature peaked in the state capital of Hobart at 41.8°C (107.2°F) on Friday, the hottest temperature on record for the city, and tied for the 2nd hottest temperature ever recorded in Tasmania (records go back to 1882). The 2013 Australian heat wave extends a period of unusual warmth for the country. The last four months of 2012 were the hottest such period on record, with an average Australian maximum temperature +1.61°C, just beating the previous record of 1.60°C set in 2002. The current heat wave has not yet set a record for all-time hottest temperature in Australian history, which remains the 50.7°C (123.3°F) reading on 2 January 1960 at Oodnadatta, South Australia.


Figure 2. Departure of high temperature from average (using a base period of 1961 - 1990) for the first six days of 2013. A large area of Australia has had high temperatures more than 6°C (11°F) higher than average. Image credit: Australian Bureau of Meteorology.

Jeff Masters

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So far pretty lame with scattered activity over TX, long ways to go though.
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I see a nearly record-braking high for this upcoming Saturday Jan 12...


Forecast for Sat...High 55F

All time record: 56F set in 1975
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Quoting Some1Has2BtheRookie:


Cheetos?
Lol.Might as well been since that is what it sounded like.
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Narelle looks like trouble to me, predicted for a peak of 150mph just off the coast of Western Australia.


Very favorable upper level environment aloft, good conditions all around, with very high SSTs in the way. This could be a bad cyclone and get awfully coast to the coast.
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Which one is right??



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TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE
____________________________

Narelle intensifying... and so is the impact danger for western Australia

NOTE: All timing in the forecast path is in Australia Time...about 1 day ahead of us in USA
PTWC: #4



click imager for larger view...
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looks like south fl will get into the 30 on the 18th when that big cold front comes
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Quoting washingtonian115:
Meanwhile here in D.C we saw ice on the grassy areas and on car surfaces.I heard the ground crunch up under my feet as I walked to work this morning.We've seen our share of cold mornings already this year.However that'll be taken away by that milder air that's suppose to come >.>...


Cheetos?
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 4737
Quoting washingtonian115:
It appears that hypuweather keeps on reassuring the cold air will "come".I gues they don't want their forecast of above normal snow to blow up in their face again.The models don't look to happy about cold air in the east...
..NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
939 AM EST TUE JAN 8 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST TODAY. A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL RETURN THURSDAY BEFORE LOW PRESSURE IMPACTS THE AREA FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST WILL PROVIDE MORE DRY AND MILD
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. A SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH ALONG
WITH SUNSHINE WILL CAUSE MAX TEMPS TO REMAIN ABOVE CLIMO...RANGING
FROM THE 40S IN NORTHERN MARYLAND TO THE MIDDLE 50S ACROSS CENTRAL
VIRGINIA.

AN UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CAUSE
SOME HIGH CLOUDS. HIGH CLOUDS MAY FILTER THE SUN AT TIMES...BUT
THE CLOUD DECK WILL REMAIN THIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY/...
AND W/ HIGH PRES OFFSHORE TNGT LGT WAA WL KEEP TEMPS RLVTLY WARM
IN WHAT IS TRADITIONALLY THE COLDEST TIME OF THE YR. LOWS IN THE
U20S IN THE HIGHLANDS...L40S IN THE CITIES...30 ELSEWHERE.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. MODELS ARE
NOT PRODUCING ANY PRECIP WITH THIS FEATURE...AS ABUNDANT MOISTURE
WILL NOT BE PRESENT. IN ADDITION...LITTLE IF ANY...FORCING AT THE
SURFACE OR ALOFT WILL BE PRESENT.

HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN FOR THE EARLY PART OF THURSDAY...
BUT THE CENTER QUICKLY MOVES OFFSHORE BY THURSDAY NIGHT. BOTH THE
NAM AND THE GFS KEEP THE CWFA IN A "WEDGE" PATTERN WITH A WARM
FRONT TO THE SOUTH AND A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY.
ISENTROPIC LIFT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY FRIDAY AND SPREAD PRECIP ACROSS THE AREA. ADDITIONAL PRECIP
WILL ACCOMPANY THE FROPA LATER ON FRIDAY. WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE
FREEZING THURSDAY NIGHT...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE ALL RAIN.

THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD IMPACT THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY.

&&
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It appears that hypuweather keeps on reassuring the cold air will "come".I gues they don't want their forecast of above normal snow to blow up in their face again.The models don't look to happy about cold air in the east...
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....................im wondering what is going to happen when this HUGE blob of moisture hits that cold air up by the great lakes..hope its not freezing temps when it gets up there..whew
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Quoting MontanaZephyr:
Fun Puzzle of the day:

Mysterious “Beam” Interrupts Radar in Illinois, Puzzles Experts


"Since the 16th of November, the National Weather Service has been reporting that a mysterious “beam of interruption” in Lincoln, Illinois has been screwing with it’s radar. A quick glance at one of their Doppler images and it’s easy to see that something is shooting through the state, but as of now the meteorologists can only guess at the cause...."

Link
Interesting story! Good morning everyone. I used to experience interruption with my car's computer brain from radar at Boca Chica, so a cell tower is probably the most likely explanation. I always wonder what all these "invisible" waves of energy will do to living tissue.
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Quoting DavidHOUTX:


Pretty wicked movement of the rain on the radar. Some of the bands offshore are going almost due east while others on shore just west of Houston are going due North. Need to watch out for some brief tornadoes today and tomorrow.
yes be very careful over there especially tonight when the storms are supposed to get stronger,might just be a very dangerous morning tomorrow..
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Thanks Doc.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 20345
Meanwhile here in D.C we saw ice on the grassy areas and on car surfaces.I heard the ground crunch up under my feet as I walked to work this morning.We've seen our share of cold mornings already this year.However that'll be taken away by that milder air that's suppose to come >.>...
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Aussie, i see you also corrected your mistake.
i caught that 'Monday the 6th' you had typed up... you edited just in time as i was going to quote you ;)
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Quoting pcola57:


Thanks Aussie..
I must of passed over the post you made..
Rest well.. :)

it's ok. Goodnight all. 2:45am and cooling down nicely.
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Quoting AussieStorm:


Check out
16. AussieStorm 2:45 PM GMT on January 08, 2013



Thanks Aussie..
I must of passed over the post you made..
Rest well.. :)
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Quoting pcola57:


??
I'm not seeing the edit Aussie..
Give me a clue.. :)


Check out
16. AussieStorm 2:45 PM GMT on January 08, 2013
Dr Masters, You need to make a correction.

Tuesday, January 8, was the hottest day in Australian history, averaged over the entire country, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The high temperature averaged over Australia was 105F (40.3C),
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Quoting AussieStorm:
Gee, I just noticed Dr Masters corrected his blog.

Don't worry Dr Masters, I know you don't like me cause of your busted forecast of Paula. Remember that!!!

I'm going to bed now that the southerly change is here. Good night all. Stay warm and dry.


??
I'm not seeing the edit Aussie..
Give me a clue.. :)
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Quoting TomballTXPride:



IL Weather Fan ~ Not seeing any snowfall in your forecast for at least the next few weeks unfortunately. :(

I know you want that snow pack.


Mine has been consistently showing snow Sun/Mon, but I'm W of him. Last of past snow should be gone by tomorrow at latest. Hope to get good rain over upper MS, lower MO & IL valleys in next two days. StL now saying mid 60s late week, then major cool down on Sun.
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Gee, I just noticed Dr Masters corrected his blog.

Don't worry Dr Masters, I know you don't like me cause of your busted forecast of Paula. Remember that!!!

I'm going to bed now that the southerly change is here. Good night all. Stay warm and dry.

P.S Bega on the south coast of NSW hit a high of 105.8F at 11:30am Tuesday morning, right now it's 63.9F
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Quoting AussieStorm:
This is for Monday the 14th of January..... 52C-54C in South Australia.



WOW!!! I want a cave, a very deep cave.

Good luck, Aussie and all your mates down there.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


Initial USGS EarthQuake Report:

5.7mag..
47km WSW of Bozcaada, Turkey 2013-01-08 14:16:09
39.659 N 25.567E Depth 9.9km

No other info available at this time..
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Oh yes, I feel it now.



Loop
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Quite a bit of rain about

Radar Unisys

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Quoting LargoFl:


Pretty wicked movement of the rain on the radar. Some of the bands offshore are going almost due east while others on shore just west of Houston are going due North. Need to watch out for some brief tornadoes today and tomorrow.
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Thanks Dr. Masters, for continuing to highlight extreme weather in other parts of the world, that we might not hear about otherwise.

In the other hemisphere, the opposite extreme weather in China....
China's Coldest Winter in Decades
Link
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THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE PEARL RIVER NEAR BOGALUSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS ALREADY CRESTED AND IS EXPECTED TO FALL
TO AROUND 20.5 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING JANUARY 13TH.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER
WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE
INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS
* IMPACT...AT 18.5 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER
WILL BE FLOODED. THE BOGUE CHITTO WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA WILL BE
INUNDATED WITH WATER IN RECREATIONAL CAMPS AND OVER ACCESS ROADS
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...WOODLANDS AND CROP ACREAGE ALONG THE RIVER
WILL BE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...WOODLANDS ALONG THE RIVER AND WILDLIFE
MANAGEMENT PROPERTY WILL BE FLOODED.

$$
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.NOW...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...AND NORTH LOUISIANA. HEAVIER RAIN CONCENTRATION WILL BE
NEAR TOLEDO BEND COUNTRY...WITH LIGHTER RAIN AREAS NEAR THE I30
CORRIDOR. RAINFALL RATES WILL RANGE FROM LIGHT TO MODERATE...AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR WITH STRONGER STORMS.
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bad rains going into the flood area's of LA....
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Hottest days on record

State by state:
SA: 50.7C (123.2F) Oodnadatta, January 2, 1960
WA: 50.5C (122.9F) Mardie, February 19, 1998
NSW: 49.7C (121.4F) Menindee, January 10, 1939
Qld: 49.5C (121.1F) Birdsville, December 24, 1972
Vic: 48.8C (119.8F) Hopetoun, February 7, 2009
NT: 48.3C (118.3F) Finke, January 1, 1960
ACT: 42.2C (107.9F) Canberra, February 1, 1968
Tas: 42.2C (107.9F) Scamander, January 30, 2009

Capital cities:
Adelaide: 47.6C (117.6F) January 12, 1939
Melbourne: 46.4C (115.5F) February 7, 2009
Perth: 46.2C (115.1F) February 23, 1991
Sydney: 45.3C (113.5F) January 14, 1939
Brisbane: 43.2C (109.7F) January 26, 1940
Canberra: 42.2C (107.9F) February 1, 1968
Hobart: 41.8C (107.2F) January 4, 2013
Darwin: 40.5C (104.9F) October 17, 1892
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NSW Police Force

Three teenage boys have been charged after they allegedly lit a fire in bushland at Shalvey yesterday afternoon.

About 1:15pm, Tuesday 8 January 2013, police were called to a fire in bushland behind Chestnut and Sedgman Crescent.

About 15 appliances from the Rural Fire Service (RFS) and five police cars attended the scene.

It took fire-fighters two and a half hours to bring the fire under control, however, approximately ten hectares had been burnt out as a result of the blaze.

No one was injured during the fire and no properties damaged.

Three teenage boys were arrested in the vicinity of the fire and taken to Mt Druitt Police Station where they were spoken to by investigators.

Detectives from Mt Druitt Local Area Command and the State Crime Command’s Arson Squad attended Chestnut Crescent and conducted examinations of the scene.

A 14-year-old boy and two boys, aged 15, were charged with intentionally cause fire being reckless to its spreading and also causing or setting fire to the property of another.

They were granted strict conditional bail to appear in Parramatta Children’s Court on Tuesday 29 January 2013.
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Quoting AussieStorm:
This is for Monday the 14th of January..... 52C-54C in South Australia.



Yikes!!
I can't see the scale very well,but I can see the colors.. :)
You don't have to be a met. to understand that one..
Wow..
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Quoting RitaEvac:
1.68 inches of rainfall this morning along the Harris/Montgomery County line including 1.0 inch in 15-minutes which suggests this air mass is very capable of some high totals in a short period of time
.10 here see the difference. LOL
Member Since: July 5, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1348
This is for Monday the 14th of January..... 52C-54C in South Australia.

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Quoting MontanaZephyr:
Fun Puzzle of the day:

Mysterious “Beam” Interrupts Radar in Illinois, Puzzles Experts


"Since the 16th of November, the National Weather Service has been reporting that a mysterious “beam of interruption” in Lincoln, Illinois has been screwing with it’s radar. A quick glance at one of their Doppler images and it’s easy to see that something is shooting through the state, but as of now the meteorologists can only guess at the cause...."

Link

I see them all the time on our radar images here. quite common actually.
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Quoting pottery:
Hey, Aussie.
Thanks for your post's.
Always good.

No worries mate.
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Here we go this weekend...

Next storm system will arrive into the area on Saturday with a strong cold front late Saturday or early Sunday. Rains will begins on Saturday and last through Monday…and while not expected to be heavy…the prolonged nature of light to moderate rains on top of what will then be very saturated grounds could lead to more run-off concerns especially since area rivers will just be reaching their peaks at this point. Highs on Saturday in the 70’s will tumble into the 40’s and 50’s on Sunday under cold air advection and rainfall.
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Quoting AussieStorm:
Yesterday was the 197th consecutive day without a tornado fatality in the U.S., tying the record for longest streak (1986-87).


Good News..
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Fun Puzzle of the day:

Mysterious “Beam” Interrupts Radar in Illinois, Puzzles Experts


"Since the 16th of November, the National Weather Service has been reporting that a mysterious “beam of interruption” in Lincoln, Illinois has been screwing with it’s radar. A quick glance at one of their Doppler images and it’s easy to see that something is shooting through the state, but as of now the meteorologists can only guess at the cause...."

Link
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Hey, Aussie.
Thanks for your post's.
Always good.
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Yesterday was the 197th consecutive day without a tornado fatality in the U.S., tying the record for longest streak (1986-87).
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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