Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Hurricane Isaac's legacy: wetland destruction, and a test of the New Orleans levees
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 5:05 PM GMT on January 07, 2013 +40
The hurricane season of 2012 will rightfully be remembered for the legacy left behind by Hurricane Sandy. But in Louisiana, the other hurricane to affect the U.S. in 2012--Hurricane Isaac--left a legacy of its own. Isaac hit Louisiana as a Category 1 hurricane with 80 mph winds on August 28, but the storm's massive wind field brought a storm surge characteristic of a Category 2 hurricane to the coast. A storm surge of 11.1 feet was measured at Shell Beach, LA and higher surges were reported in portions of Louisiana. The surge levels experienced along portions of the New Orleans levee system were similar in magnitude to the surge of Hurricane Katrina in 2005. Fortunately, the new $14.5 billion upgrade to the New Orleans levee system kept the city dry, and we can now be confident that the city will stay protected from Category 2-level storm surges. The new levee system has yet to be tested against a full Category 3-level storm surge, the maximum it is designed to handle.


Figure 1. Hurricane Isaac lit up by moonlight as it spins towards the city of New Orleans, LA, on August 26, 2012. The Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) satellite captured these images with its Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS). The "day-night band" of VIIRS detects light in a range of wavelengths from green to near-infrared and uses light intensification to enable the detection of dim signals. Image Credit: NASA/NOAA, Earth Observatory.

Environmental impacts of Isaac
One major long-term environmental impact of Isaac will be the erosion and destruction of wetlands along the Southern Louisiana coast. A 2011 study by the USGS found that four hurricanes in the past seven years--Katrina, Rita, Gustav, and Ike--have together destroyed about 250 square miles of Louisiana marshland--an area 20% the size of Rhode Island. Researchers have yet to quantify how great Isaac's impact was on Louisiana's wetlands, but given Isaac's large size, large storm surge, and the extended battering it gave the coast, I expect 2012 will be one of the state's highest years on record for wetland loss. Over the past 25 years, Louisiana has lost an average of 17 square miles per year of wetlands, and I expect Louisiana lost 30 - 70 square miles of wetlands in 2012, primarily due to Isaac. As I explain in my detailed article on Storm Surge Reduction by Wetlands, wetlands can help significantly reduce the storm surge from a hurricane, though the degree of protection wetlands provide from storm surges is extremely complicated and is largely unknown. The general rule of thumb is that each 2.7 miles of marsh reduces the storm surge by one foot, though wetlands will provide almost no protection from a slow-moving storm like Isaac, which had enough time to completely inundate the coast, despite the presence of wetlands. Louisiana's wetlands have other huge benefits besides hurricane protection, though--they filter out nutrients that would contribute to the huge Gulf of Mexico dead zone, they support 25% of the nation's total commercial fishing haul, and provide storm protection to five of the nation's largest ports.


Figure 2. Hurricane Isaac inundated large areas of Southeastern Louisiana due to storm surge levels in excess of 10'. Image credit: USGS.

One way in which Isaac may have helped the marshlands of Louisiana and Mississippi, though, is that the storm drowned tens of thousands of Nutria, the large semi-aquatic South American rodents released in Louisiana and Mississippi in the 1930s by fur trappers looking for new stock. Nutria can severely reduce overall wetland biomass, and lead to the conversion of wetland to open water. Populations were kept in check as long as fur prices were high, but a fur price collapse in the 1980s led to a nutria population explosion into the millions. The Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries emphasizes that without effective, sustainable nutria population control, coastal wetland restoration projects will be greatly hindered. The Louisiana's 2012 Coastal Master Plan, unanimously approved by the Louisiana State Legislature in May 2012, called for 109 projects costing $50 billion over 50 years to use a combination of restoration, nonstructural, and targeted structural measures to provide increased flood protection. Louisiana needs to build a series of engineered structures called diversions along the lower Mississippi River in order to restore river sediment to Louisiana's marshlands, said a report co-authored by 22 prominent scientists and engineers in April 2012.

Jeff Masters
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351. AussieStorm 2:06 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
The southerly change just hit Sydney airport. it's gone dead still outside my place. Won't be long now till it hit my place. WOOOOOHOOOOO!!!!!

I'm waiting for the change to hit my place, then I'll open all the windows and the front and back door to let it pass through.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13351
352. ihave27windows 2:07 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
The small dogs are in early stage storm alert mode (looks of concern, staying in close proximity, minimal vibrations.)

HaHa! That's funny!

I am in Pasadena, but my St. Bernard couldn't care less about the weather =)
Member Since: July 19, 2005 Posts: 108 Comments: 14642
353. Chucktown 2:08 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
A nice explanation and interesting read from Buffalo's NWS disco this morning about the stratospheric warming event and MJO. Go down to the climate portion of the discussion.

Link
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1390
354. barbamz 2:15 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Quoting Chucktown:
A nice explanation and interesting read from Buffalo's NWS disco this morning about the stratospheric warming event and MJO. Go down to the climate portion of the discussion.

Link


Indeed. Thanks!
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 1605
355. goosegirl1 2:15 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Quoting RitaEvac:


just decided not to wear any


My favorite paraphrase is "people who live in glass houses should not walk around naked." So maybe pull down the shades? :))))
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 860
356. bohonkweatherman 2:15 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Quoting LargoFl:
Bohonk will be happy today huh..good luck over there.......LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND
WEST OF HIGHWAY 83 AND FROM ONE TO TWO INCHES FROM EAST OF
HIGHWAY 83 TO HIGHWAY 281. FROM HIGHWAY 281 AND EXTENDING EAST
TO A LINE FROM GEORGETOWN AND AUSTIN TO GONZALES TO YORKTOWN...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ALONG AND
EAST OF A GEORGETOWN AND AUSTIN TO GONZALES TO YORKTOWN LINE...
HEAVIER RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE...
WHERE A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY...JANUARY 8...2013
THROUGH NOON ON WEDNESDAY...JANUARY 9...2013.

ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED ON THIS EARLY JANUARY OF 2013
RAIN EVENT LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

$$
I just hope Texas gets rain besides Southeast Texas where they always get it anyway, their Lakes are not Down 50 to 60 feet like other parts of state. LOL I just hope the cracks in our ground close here, I am not worried about flooding when there is No water in creeks and rivers.
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357. pcola57 2:17 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    




Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 3832
358. FunnelVortex 2:21 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Quoting barbamz:
Nice caption anyway

‘Frankenstorm’ Lashes Israel
Israel’s answer to “Superstorm Sandy” closed Tel Aviv’s major highway, and that’s only a preview. Heavy snow predicted.
By Tzvi Ben Gedalyahu
First Publish: 1/8/2013, 10:04 AM
Israel’s answer to “Superstorm Sandy” closed the Ayalon, Tel Aviv’s major highway Tuesday morning, and the worst is yet to come, with several inches of snow possible in Jerusalem and lesser amounts at levels as far west as the Carmel ridge near Haifa.
Source and more



Snow in the Middle East?

Weird.
Member Since: October 20, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 782
359. AussieStorm 2:22 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Woohooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It's here, It's here, It's here, It's here, It's here, It's here, the southerly change is here
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13351
360. pcola57 2:22 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Quoting Chucktown:
A nice explanation and interesting read from Buffalo's NWS disco this morning about the stratospheric warming event and MJO. Go down to the climate portion of the discussion.

Link


Thanks Chucktown..
I think thats the best explanation I've seen in a NWS product on that..
Great Analysis..
Very informative..
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 3832
361. AussieStorm 2:23 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Quoting FunnelVortex:


Snow in the Middle East?

Weird.

Not the 1st time thought.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13351
362. ncstorm 2:23 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Looks like JB was right about the stratospheric warming..who would'va thunk?
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8462
363. FunnelVortex 2:24 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Quoting AussieStorm:
Woohooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

It's here, It's here, It's here, It's here, It's here, It's here, the southerly change is here


Why are you so pumped up over a wind shift?
Member Since: October 20, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 782
364. AussieStorm 2:25 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
the wind has changed directions but it's not cool yet. not very strong either.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13351
365. WunderAlertBot (Admin) 2:27 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
366. bohonkweatherman 2:42 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Record Heat and alot of Fires in Australia sounds so much like our Summers in South Central Texas the last few years. I hope they get some relief soon.
Member Since: July 5, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1348
367. bohonkweatherman 2:47 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Watch out World I went out and did a Rain dance the Skies will open up over Texas now. :)
Member Since: July 5, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1348
368. TropicalAnalystwx13 3:16 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25325
369. hydrus 4:14 PM GMT on January 08, 2013    
Quoting ncstorm:
Looks like JB was right about the stratospheric warming..who would'va thunk?
He knows weather...Even tho people say he does not.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14306

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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