Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Two EF-3 tornadoes confirmed from Christmas Day; heavy snows hit 19 states
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 4:04 PM GMT on December 27, 2012 +31
Winter Storm Euclid continues its U.S. tour today, and is pounding New England with heavy snows, high winds, and coastal flooding. The impressive storm set a record for most tornadoes spawned on Christmas Day, as 13 tornadoes have been confirmed (with at least 12 other suspected tornadoes still unrated.) The previous record for most tornadoes on Christmas Day was twelve, back in 1969. Yesterday, Euclid spawned an additional confirmed tornado in North Carolina. No more tornadoes are expected today.

Euclid has dumped more than six inches of snow in 19 states--Arkansas, Indiana, Illinois, Missouri, Oklahoma, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, Ohio, West Virginia, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Maine, and Texas. According to the latest NWS Storm Summary, the greatest snowfall so far has been at Albion, Illinois, where 18.3" has fallen. This will likely be exceeded in Maine, where up to two feet of snow is expected before the storm ends on Friday. Fortunately, the tornadoes from the storm are not being blamed for any deaths, though strong thunderstorm winds killed two people on Christmas Day due to falling trees. At least two of the Christmas Day tornadoes were rated EF-3. The EF-3 that hit Pennington, in Southeast Texas, completely destroyed a feed store and a restaurant, and had winds up to 150 mph. The other EF-3 hit McNeil, Mississippi, and was rated a weak EF-3 with winds of 140 mph. The tornado cut a path 24 miles long, injured 8 people, and damaged or destroyed 46 homes. Only four other EF-3 tornadoes have been recorded on Christmas Day since 1950, according to the Tornado History Project. The latest in the year an EF-3 tornado has touched down is December 31. This occurred just two years ago, in 2010, when five EF-3 tornadoes raked Arkansas, Missouri, and Illinois.

Powerful southwest winds from the storm created a significant storm surge of 5 - 6 feet which caused moderate coastal flooding this morning at Sandy Hook, NJ and King's Point, NY. The storm surge in New York City at Battery Park reached 5.9 feet, but occurred near low tide, so only minor flooding was reported. Some peak wind gusts from the storm:

66 mph at Tuckerton Shores, NJ
64 mph at Dover AFB, Delaware
64 mph at Boone, NC
60 mph at Eatons Neck, NJ


Figure 1. Damage from the tornado that hit Maxie, MS on Christmas Day was EF-2. This tornado did EF-3 damage near McNeil, MS. Image credit: NWS Jackson.


Figure 2. Storm reports from Christmas Day, 2012, from NOAA's Storm Prediction Center, show a preliminary 35 tornado reports.


Video 1. This remarkable video from surveillance cameras at a Walgreen's in Mobile, AL during the December 25, 2012 EF-2 tornado show cars and debris flying through the parking lot, and it is fortunate no one was killed. I like the reaction of the guy pushing his cart outside the door into the tornado. Whoa! Not a good idea! This was the second tornado to hit Mobile in the past week, as an EF-1 tornado also hit the city on December 20.

Our new featured blogger, meteorologist Lee Grenci, offers a detailed analysis of the Christmas Day tornado outbreak.

Jeff Masters
Marshmallow World (gardner48197)
Teasel in the snow reminded me of that song...
Marshmallow World
The Fallen (DCMaki)
A recent heavy wet snow caused many trees and branches in the Pheasant Branch Conservancy to fall.
The Fallen
BlizzardWarning (CalicoBass)
We didn't wake up to a White Christmas, but had one before the day was over. We do get some snow, but I can't ever remember us having a Blizzard Warning and we did get from 10
BlizzardWarning
Categories: Winter Weather Tornado
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401. MontanaZephyr 4:18 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting TomballTXPride:





Take a look at your use of the word unprecedented.

Count the number of times from me I hear that from you.

What does that tell you??

Something to ponder today.






It wasn't my use. It was a cut an paste of the title. It was a substantial enough storm that Dr. Masters wrote about it.

Tomball, you're just another blog assassin ... taking cheap shots at people that post links to stories that you don't like.
Member Since: May 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 427
402. bappit 4:19 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting Dragod66:
Finally Not stranded... What a surprise storm that was.

Didn't the name Euclid tip you off?
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 3 Comments: 4385
403. cyclonekid 4:23 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
It will be a race to see what name it will get. Right now, if it were to gain a name, it would be Freda. However, seeing as though it will cross 160E before it gains a name, it will probably be Mitchell.



Then this one will probably be Narelle.

Member Since: July 14, 2009 Posts: 51 Comments: 1629
404. bappit 4:24 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting MontanaZephyr:


It wasn't my use. It was a cut an paste of the title. It was a substantial enough storm that Dr. Masters wrote about it.

Tomball, you're just another blog assassin ... taking cheap shots at people that post links to stories that you don't like.

Actually I don't like the news story much either. It does not give enough background to justify the overused word "unprecedented". The original journal article is a bit more muted. From the abstract:

"The pressure of the storm was the lowest of all Arctic August storms over our record starting in 1979, and the system was also the most extreme when a combination of key cyclone properties was considered. Even though, climatologically, summer is a %u2018quiet%u2019 time in the Arctic, when compared with all Arctic storms across the period it came in as the 13th most extreme storm, warranting the attribution of %u2018Great%u2019."

Edit: according to Mary & Webster, the word "unprecedented" was unprecedented until 1623.
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 3 Comments: 4385
405. weatherh98 4:27 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting Tazmanian:
i think LA NINA is fourming





last weeks



I was just looking at that taz!

Definitely looks to have cooled off
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091
406. weatherh98 4:30 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Global warming

As a blizzard has just passed through Arkansas
Member Since: June 17, 2011 Posts: 11 Comments: 6091
407. yonzabam 4:32 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting weatherh98:
Global warming

As a blizzard has just passed through Arkansas


More heat = more evaporation = more precipitation = more blizzards.
Member Since: July 20, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1734
408. Dragod66 4:32 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting bappit:

Didn't the name Euclid tip you off?


We don't name the storms up here... or call them by that. Also I was supposed to get 2cm of snow followed by 15-20mm of rain.
Member Since: August 24, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 446
409. TropicalAnalystwx13 4:33 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting weatherh98:
Global warming

As a blizzard has just passed through Arkansas

Lol.

Global warming doesn't mean we won't ever see blizzards again.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25331
410. RTSplayer 4:40 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting LargoFl:
I guess once again the current weather is unimportant..have a great day folks


The current weather is unimportant most of the time.
Quoting yonzabam:



Well, Florida will look like this




Whoever has money will probably still be building right on the coast, and blaming the government every time a hurricane hits too.

If the higher projections of sea level rise are correct, which is nearly 11 feet, then you can expect 1 mile of permanent intrusion of ocean per foot of sea level rise in Louisiana. This comes to 11 linear miles INLAND of inundated land along the entire coast of Louisiana, more in some places. Even the lower estimates of 0.5m to 1m will spell serious trouble, possibly near total destruction, for NOLA and so many other locations.

Check my blog later, as I may right down a theory about the self-enforcing feedback that the thermal expansion of water will produce over time scales of generations to a few centuries. As the albedo of snow and ice are removed, Sea level rise caused by thermal expansion over time scales of centuries may be far higher than anyone realizes possible.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 27 Comments: 875
412. WxGeekVA 4:43 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    



Just in case people see accumulating snot tomorrow!
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3323
413. bappit 4:45 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting Dragod66:


We don't name the storms up here... or call them by that. Also I was supposed to get 2cm of snow followed by 15-20mm of rain.

We don't name them either. Just TWC.
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 3 Comments: 4385
414. goosegirl1 4:46 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting TomballTXPride:






That is just it.

You won't see either of them.

Ever.

The hypocrisy on here reeks.










Then why are you reading this blog? You have infinite choices- go read one you enjoy.
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 860
415. TropicalAnalystwx13 4:47 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting goosegirl1:


Then why are you reading this blog? You have infinite choices- go read one you enjoy.

That would be too easy.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25331
416. Dragod66 4:50 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting bappit:

We don't name them either. Just TWC.


Yeah I know. But half the time I don't know that these things are named or not because even our crappy TWN (TWC affiliate) don't name them. I bet this new big storm that I'm getting on Sunday will not get named by TWC because I don't think it will drop that much snow on the NE US. But we will get a lot here :)
Member Since: August 24, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 446
417. RTSplayer 4:51 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting weatherh98:
Global warming

As a blizzard has just passed through Arkansas


It's hard to explain, but in the short and medium term, global warming will produce stronger winter storms in some locations due to enhanced convection, and changing of the jet stream configurations.

Over the long term, the temperature will eventually rise so much that some locations which commonly have winter weather may lose all winter weather. It depends on lots of things: elevation/topography, latitude, and proximity to water.

Even if December was the coldest December on record, which it hasn't been, it still would not be enough to prevent 2012 from being the hottest year on record for the 48.

This is probably a "normal" winter, but remember, the "30 year normal" has rotated out the 1970's, and so the "average" or "normal" has been weighted heavily by the past 15 years, where I think 13 or 14 of them are in the top 15 hottest years all time.

So if it's a tenth of a degree colder than the new normal, it's still hotter than the old normal.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 27 Comments: 875
418. bappit 4:53 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting yonzabam:


More heat = more evaporation = more precipitation = more blizzards.

A blizzard warning depends on strong winds. I think that was the unusual part of the snowfall in Arkansas.

The wind certainly was unusual after the front in southeast Texas. Lots of gusts over 40 mph and some to 50 mph. I saw on Lee Grenci's blog SE Tx had a 120 kt jet aloft. It was aligned with the surface winds which probably had something to do with the wind here.
Member Since: May 18, 2006 Posts: 3 Comments: 4385
419. TropicalAnalystwx13 4:53 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
I love how my avatar just disappears sometimes.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25331
420. tramp96 4:55 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting RTSplayer:



Expect more of this as the warming trend continues.

Remember, the polar waters are warming much faster than the global average.

Scandinavia will be the new Florida, and Russia the new Gulf Coast.

AGW has only just begun. Chevron wants us to burn up ALL of the oil and gas. I wonder what earth will look like at 2000PPM atmospheric CO2?!

Again. Do you drive a car and on and on and on???????
Member Since: August 15, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 331
421. goosegirl1 4:55 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:



Just in case people see accumulating snot tomorrow!


I could see how slippery that would be :)))
Member Since: December 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 860
422. TropicalAnalystwx13 4:59 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    


2012 will go down as the hottest year on record. But it's not global warming...right?
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25331
423. Doppler22 5:00 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting Dragod66:


Yeah I know. But half the time I don't know that these things are named or not because even our crappy TWN (TWC affiliate) don't name them. I bet this new big storm that I'm getting on Sunday will not get named by TWC because I don't think it will drop that much snow on the NE US. But we will get a lot here :)

I'm hoping we get alot because i'm in the area thats getting snow tomorrow!!! So i'm going to do my snow dance again
Member Since: February 13, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 1247
424. WunderAlertBot (Admin) 5:01 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
426. RTSplayer 5:08 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Here:

SANTA CLARA, Calif., Jan. 19, 2012 %u2013 Intel Corporation today reported full-year revenue of $54 billion, operating income of $17.5 billion, net income of $12.9 billion and EPS of $2.39 -- all records. The company generated approximately $21 billion in cash from operations, paid dividends of $4.1 billion and used $14.1 billion to repurchase 642 million shares of stock.


Notice, "Net income" was calculated AFTER buying back stocks and re-investments, all things which actually increase their net worth, but are not taxed. Their net worth went up by about 27 billion, or about half of revenues.

Intel


Chevron paid a 19 percent effective federal tax rate in 2011, well below the statutory corporate rate of 35 percent.


Chevron 1

Chevron Corp., based in San Ramon, Calif., is the second largest investor-owned oil and gas company in the world, and the third largest American company of any type as measured by revenue and profit. Over the last year, Chevron has earned $24 billion on revenue of $231 billion.


Chevron 2

Ok, those are some sources.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 27 Comments: 875
427. Slamguitar 5:09 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Grand Rapids NWS decided to cancel the Winter Weather Advisory that never went into effect. Looks like I'll only get 2" from this one.
Member Since: July 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1021
428. tramp96 5:10 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

That would be too easy.

No to easy would be blaming somebody else for your
actions i.e. The Big Tabacco Companies. Individuals
bought cigs. with their own money smoked and then
sued a company because of their own stupidity.
Maybe just maybe the dem. party supports Big
Lawyers.
Member Since: August 15, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 331
429. pcola57 5:21 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting RTSplayer:
Here:

SANTA CLARA, Calif., Jan. 19, 2012 – Intel Corporation today reported full-year revenue of $54 billion, operating income of $17.5 billion, net income of $12.9 billion and EPS of $2.39 -- all records. The company generated approximately $21 billion in cash from operations, paid dividends of $4.1 billion and used $14.1 billion to repurchase 642 million shares of stock.


Notice, "Net income" was calculated AFTER buying back stocks and re-investments, all things which actually increase their net worth, but are not taxed. Their net worth went up by about 27 billion, or about half of revenues.

Intel


Chevron paid a 19 percent effective federal tax rate in 2011, well below the statutory corporate rate of 35 percent.


Chevron 1

Chevron Corp., based in San Ramon, Calif., is the second largest investor-owned oil and gas company in the world, and the third largest American company of any type as measured by revenue and profit. Over the last year, Chevron has earned $24 billion on revenue of $231 billion.


Chevron 2

Ok, those are some sources.


Ok RTS..
Thanks for the sourcing links..
Also gives alot more validity to the discussion..
Thanks again.. :)
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 3843
430. hydrus 5:54 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14314
431. kwgirl 6:14 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting nymore:
They are reported you just have to know where to look.

Exxon Mobil average profit margin last 5 years is 8.33%

First Solar for the same period is 14.68%

If you want more let me know


Is that gross profit or net profit? There are accounting procedures and business standards that can hide profit. Unless you can pull apart and analyze the financial statement, you are just reading numbers.
Member Since: March 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1530
432. pcola57 6:18 PM GMT on December 28, 2012    
Quoting kwgirl:


Is that gross profit or net profit? There are accounting procedures and business standards that can hide profit. Unless you can pull apart and analyze the financial statement, you are just reading numbers.


Psst..hey kiwi..new blog.. :)
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 3843

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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