Category 3 Tropical Cyclone Evan bearing down on Fiji

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:19 PM GMT on December 16, 2012

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Category 3 Tropical Cyclone Evan is closing in on the main island of Fiji, where hurricane warnings are flying and torrential rains are already falling. Radar images from Fiji show that the large eye of Evan is just north of the two main islands of Fiji. The expected southwesterly track of the storm should keep the calm of the eye just north of Fiji, though the southern eyewall may brush the north coast of the main island of Vici Leva, affecting the tourist town of Nadi. Evan has intensified today to its strongest level yet, with 120 mph winds, and satellite loops show that the storm remains well-organized, with plenty of intense heavy thunderstorm activity and a prominent eye. Evan will be in a region with moderate wind shear of 15 - 20 knots as it approaches Fiji, and could intensify by another 5 - 10 mph before making its closest pass to the islands later today. According to NOAA's Coastal Services Center, Evan is the strongest tropical cyclone to threaten Fiji since Tropical Cyclone Daman of December 2007. Dating back to 1972, twelve Category 3 or stronger tropical cyclones have threatened the Republic of Fiji.


Figure 1. Radar image from the Fiji weather service showing the large eye of Tropical Cyclone Evan just north of Fiji.

Severe damage in Samoa from Evan
Evan made landfall on the north shore of Samoa near the capital of Apia on Thursday as a Category 1 cyclone with 90 mph winds, and intensified into a Category 3 storm with 115 mph after the eye wandered back offshore late Thursday. Media reports indicate that Evan killed four and has left eight missing on Samoa, and left at least 4,000 homeless. The main power plant for Samoa was destroyed, and it is expected that power will be out to almost all of Samoa for at least ten more days. Evan was one of Samoa's most destructive tropical cyclones on record, as discussed by wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt.


Figure 2. True-color MODIS satellite image of Tropical Cyclone Evan nearing Fiji at 01:35 UTC December 16, 2012. At the time, Evan was a Category 3 storm with 115 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting Bielle:


How many people have been killed by a baseball bat versus the number killed by a gun? How many people have been killed in a single incident by a baseball bat versus a gun? Perspective, lads, perspective!

It doesn't matter how many less people baseball bats kill compared to gun. You guys want tighter gun laws in order to prevent a criminal from getting his/her hands on one as easily to prevent lives from being lost, regardless of the number. According to you and Tom's logic, if a select few people use a gun to kill a group of people, it should be banned or harder to gain access to. The same should go for the baseball bat by that logic.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31463
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

In a perfect world, I would agree. But you and I both know that's not happening. Criminals will still find easy access to gun no matter the strength of the gun laws in place.
Not true at all. That is your assumption. The fact is it would be harder to get a gun if we had stricter laws for it.

People could still get guns, but it would be harder. If it is harder to get, massacres like the Sandy Hook incident, will be less likely to occur. That is the point.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

In a perfect world, I would agree. But you and I both know that's not happening. Criminals will still find easy access to gun no matter the strength of the gun laws in place.


Other countries manage, somehow, to keep the gun deaths down. One of the ways is to make the ownership of guns in general, and assault-type weapons in particular, difficult.
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Anyways...

Evan is now a 145 mph Category 4-equivalent cyclone.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31463
Quoting AussieStorm:

all forms of transport kill people. should we ban them. It would make the AGW/CC people happy.
Try and be rational, Aussie.

I'm not going to debate with an irrational person.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Baseball bats are number one on the FBI's list of top-used assault weapons. I guess we should get rid of those too because a few people have violent tendencies.


How many people have been killed by a baseball bat versus the number killed by a gun? How many people have been killed in a single incident by a baseball bat versus a gun? Perspective, lads, perspective!
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:

A baseball bat is generally not capable of killing 26 people in a matter of a minute or two, while a gun is very much capable of that. We don't need to be making it any easier on these violent people than we should be. The only people who should be allowed to own guns are law enforcement officers for obvious reasons.

In a perfect world, I would agree. But you and I both know that's not happening. Criminals will still find easy access to gun no matter the strength of the gun laws in place.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31463
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

It's not about having the top economy, it's about having a good economy at all. If you haven't noticed, the US is approaching the fiscal cliff.
And in case you haven't noticed, we still have the largest economy in the world. Link.

Obviously it's not the healthiest, and we have to work out the problems, but that doesn't mean we can't also make stricter gun laws.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
Quoting TomTaylor:
Assault is not the same as the killing of 28 innocent people. Quit distracting from the point.

As I will continue to say, clearly stricter gun laws are needed.

all forms of transport kill people. should we ban them. It would make the AGW/CC people happy.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Baseball bats are number one on the FBI's list of top-used assault weapons. I guess we should get rid of those too because a few people have violent tendencies.

A baseball bat is generally not capable of killing 26 people in a matter of a minute or two, while a gun is very much capable of that. We don't need to be making it any easier on these violent people than we should be. The only people who should be allowed to own guns are law enforcement officers for obvious reasons.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7614
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Baseball bats are number one on the FBI's list of top-used assault weapons. I guess we should get rid of those too because a few people have violent tendencies.
Assault is not the same as the killing of 28 innocent people. The fact that you'd compare the two is an insult to the victims of the event.

Anyway, as I will continue to say, clearly stricter gun laws are needed.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7614
Quoting TomTaylor:
I didn't mean it in the literal sense. Obviously, we can't suddenly remove millions of guns from the face of the earth. The point is if we had stricter gun laws, it would be harder for an individual to acquire a gun, and particularly, a powerful assault rifle capable of mowing down a classroom full of students.


Also, the fact that the cold blooded killing of 28 innocent people is not a concern for the United States is really just a reflection of our society today. Pretty sad what we truly value...wars, oil, political power, having the top economy.

It's not about having the top economy, it's about having a good economy at all. If you haven't noticed, the US is approaching the fiscal cliff.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31463
Quoting AussieStorm:

People that want to hurt many people will just find other ways. Like petrol or gas. Better gun control and background and mental/phycological checks and proper storing of gun are needed.

I have never heard of a gun going off by it's self.
Well now you've heard of it.

And I'm glad you agree stricter laws are needed.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
Baseball bats are number one on the FBI's list of top-used assault weapons. I guess we should get rid of those too because a few people have violent tendencies.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31463
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

That's the thing though. You can't remove guns just like that or make sure no criminal has them. There are thousands upon thousands of guns sold each year. And if stricter gun control laws are put in place, there will be a huge uproar over it and I doubt it'd get far.

Plus, gun control is definitely NOT at the top of the United States' list of things to worry about right now.
I didn't mean it in the literal sense. Obviously, we can't suddenly remove millions of guns from the face of the earth. The point is if we had stricter gun laws, it would be harder for an individual to acquire a gun, and particularly, a powerful assault rifle capable of mowing down a classroom full of students.


Also, the fact that the cold blooded killing of 28 innocent people is not a concern for the United States is really just a reflection of our society today. Pretty sad what we truly value...wars, oil, political power, having the top economy.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
Quoting Civicane49:
The eye can still be seen on the bottom left of the imagery. However, it is not that ragged as everyone might think it is. If you look at the radar imagery, the center of the imagery shows clearer pixels while the outer image shows less clear pixels or less details. Like Jedkins said, the Fiji weather radar is clearly primordial. Evan is very close to make landfall on Fiji.



I think you'll find that the amount of rainfall is causing a distortion of the eye. It happens when systems are close to the radar.



Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
Quoting TomTaylor:
Not at all true, Aussie. Guns can accidentally go off and kill people. Happened just over a week ago in Pittsburgh when a 7 year old was killed by a handgun that accidentally went off.

Also, you, along with all the other gun nuts (not saying you are a gun nut though), seem to miss the point. The point is if we remove the tools they use to kill people, it would be much harder for them to achieve mass murder.

People that want to hurt many people will just find other ways. Like petrol or gas. Better gun control and background and mental/phycological checks and proper storing of gun are needed.

I have never heard of a gun going off by it's self.

I am way from being a gun nut. I have never shot a gun and I have no intention or need to shoot one.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
Quoting TomTaylor:
The point is that people kill other people much more easily and effectively with guns. Remove guns from the equation and it becomes much harder for incidents like the Sandy Hook massacre to occur.

Anyone who disagrees with this is a fool.

That's the thing though. You can't remove guns just like that or make sure no criminal has them. There are thousands upon thousands of guns sold each year. And if stricter gun control laws are put in place, there will be a huge uproar over it and I doubt it'd get far.

Plus, gun control is definitely NOT at the top of the United States' list of things to worry about right now.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31463
Pretty nasty looking storm heading in the general direction of New Orleans, could get a severe thunderstorm warning soon:

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7614
The eye can still be seen on the bottom left of the imagery. However, it is not that ragged as everyone might think it is. If you look at the radar imagery, the center of the imagery shows clearer pixels while the outer image shows less clear pixels or less details. Like Jedkins said, the Fiji weather radar is clearly primordial. Evan is very close to make landfall on Fiji.

Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
The point is that people kill other people much more easily and effectively with guns. Remove guns from the equation and it becomes much harder for incidents like the Sandy Hook massacre to occur. Clearly stricter gun laws need to be in place.

Anyone who disagrees with this is a fool.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
172. etxwx
Speaking of drought, farming, and adaptability:

India tests ways to help farmers cope with climate change
By Vaishnavi Chandrashekhar, via CSM / December 7, 2012

Nagenahalli, India
Excerpt: Like his father, Venkatappah has spent his life growing rice and vegetables on two acres of land in this village three hours from Bangalore. Harvesting a good crop from these dry, rocky slopes has become tougher in recent years as the monsoon rains have become more erratic.

Rainfall was poor last year, and worse this past summer. “There was a lot of rain in a few days, then there was nothing for a long time,” says Mr. Venkatappah, who uses only one name.

This year, however, he hoped that a new government project would help him avert the worst. With the aid of officials, Venkatappah dug ponds upland to catch and store rainwater, scooped trenches and bunds around his fields to help conserve the run-off, and diversified his crops to lower his risks.

A number of new initiatives in India are testing ways to help farmers like Venkatappah cope with changing weather as concerns about climate change bring fresh urgency – and funding – to longstanding challenges in sustainable agriculture.

The biggest of these efforts is the National Initiative for Climate Resilient Agriculture (NICRA), a $63-million government pilot program covering 130 villages including Nagenahalli. Like the other projects, it promotes water and soil conservation and tries to improve access to better seeds and infrastructure as well as modern weather and crop data.

Complete article can be found here.
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Evan's going in for the kill:
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Quoting AussieStorm:


Guns don't kill people. It's the crazy nut-cases that pull the trigger that kill people. We have very strong gun laws down here, especially after the Port Arthur massacre when 35 adults and children were murdered by a very sick, crazy and twisted man.

No matter how tight gun laws are, people will get there hands on a gun and if they have a "bad" part in there brain, they will use them for bad.
Not at all true, Aussie. Guns can accidentally go off and kill people. Happened just over a week ago in Pittsburgh when a 7 year old was killed by a handgun that accidentally went off.

Also, you, along with all the other gun nuts (not saying you are a gun nut though), seem to miss the point. The point is if we remove the tools they use to kill people, it would be much harder for them to achieve mass murder.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7614
Quoting AussieStorm:


Guns don't kill people. It's the crazy nut-cases that pull the trigger that kill people. We have very strong gun laws down here, especially after the Port Arthur massacre when 35 adults and children were murdered by a very sick, crazy and twisted man.

No matter how tight gun laws are, people will get there hands on a gun and if they have a "bad" part in there brain, they will use them for bad.

Exactly.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31463
Quoting superpete:
Any way you measure it, when the eye-wall makes contact with the coast, its safe to say 'land-fall' has occurred. Nadi is getting the worst of Evan at this time, thoughts to all there during this impact stay safe & come thru today ok. At least it is daylight for them during this close passage

There is about 2000 Australian tourists in Fiji. they were transferred to evacuation centres on the main islands. I have a friend in Nadi, I have lost contact with them. I will try to make contact later tonight or tomorrow morning once Evan has moved away.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
Quoting TomTaylor:
Very sad. It makes me wonder just how many more shootings we need before our second amendment is amended. How many more innocent people must be killed before the second amendment loving, NRA gun nuts give in?

There is absolutely no good reason civilians should be able to purchase assault rifles. Absolutely no reason.

And to those who argue guns don't kill people, I present you this. In China, on the EXACT SAME DAY as the Sandy Hook Elementary School Shooting, a man walked into a Chinese elementary school and stabbed 23 students. Zero deaths have been reported.

That is the difference between a crazy man with a gun and a crazy man without a gun.


Guns don't kill people. It's the crazy nut-cases that pull the trigger that kill people. We have very strong gun laws down here, especially after the Port Arthur massacre when 35 adults and children were murdered by a very sick, crazy and twisted man.

No matter how tight gun laws are, people will get there hands on a gun and if they have a "bad" part in there brain, they will use them for bad.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
As TX was coming out of drought this year, in the end we succumbed to drought at all locations, as we are behind for the yearly total.
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I kneel down on one knee this evening of great thanks, as I received 2.02" of rain today...that is the first significant rainfall on a given day since June 7th where 1.85" of rain fell that day at my location.

(There were other days of around 1.5" but the 1.85" is the only closest amount to today's amount, so you had to go back to June which was the closest amount to 2 inches.)

It would be the middle of May where over 5" fell, since a major rain event.
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Quoting Civicane49:


Evan is undoubtedly a monster storm. By the way, the radar you posted was slightly old. Here is the other updated radar:


Yeah, It is kinda old.

Here's another radar image that's up to date. Evan is about to make landfall very soon.
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 4898
Any way you measure it, when the eye-wall makes contact with the coast, its safe to say 'land-fall' has occurred. Nadi is getting the worst of Evan at this time, thoughts to all there during this impact stay safe & come thru today ok. At least it is daylight for them during this close passage
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Quoting Ameister12:
What a monster!

Visible


Radar


Evan is undoubtedly a monster storm. By the way, the radar you posted was slightly old. Here is the other updated radar:

Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
Special Weather Bulletin Number TWENTY-THREE FOR FIJI ON SEVERE
TROPICAL CYCLONE EVAN ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
at 11:59am on Monday the 17th of December 2012
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR YASAWA AND MAMANUCA GROUP,
WEST OF THE LINE FROM RAKIRAKI TO SIGATOKA AND NEARBY SMALLER
ISLANDS.
A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE BUA PROVINCE AND INTERIOR OF
VITI LEVU .
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR TAVEUNI, THE REST OF VANUA LEVU
AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS, NORTHERN LAU AND LOMAIVITI GROUP, REST OF
VITI LEVU AND NEAR BY SMALLER ISLANDS, KADAVU, BEQA, VATULELE AND
NEAR BY SMALLER ISLANDS.
A STRONG WIND WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR THE REST OF FIJI.
A DAMAGING HEAVY SWELL WARNING REMAINS IN FORCE FOR FIJI.

SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EVAN CENTRE [945HPA] CATEGORY 4 WAS LOCATED
NEAR 17 DECIMAL 0 SOUTH 177 DECIMAL 6 EAST OR ABOUT 35 KM SOUTH OF
YASAWA-I-RARA AND ABOUT 195 KM SOUTHWEST OF LABASA AND ABOUT 85 KM
NORTH OF NADI AT MIDDAY TODAY.

THE CYCLONE IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 20 KM/HR.
CLOSE TO ITS CENTRE THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO HAVE AVERAGE WINDS
UPTO 185 KM/HR WITH MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 270 KM/HR.

ON THIS TRACK, THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED ABOUT 190 KM
SOUTH- SOUTHWEST OF YASAWA-I-RARA OR ABOUT 90 KM SOUTHWEST OF NADI AT
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND 325 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YASAWA-I-RARA OR 215
KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NADI AT OR ABOUT 190 KM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
KADAVU MIDDAY TOMORROW.

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS MAY BEGIN SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE THE CYCLONE CENTRE
PASSES OVERHEAD OR NEARBY.

FOR YASAWA AND MAMANUCA GROUP, WEST OF THE LINE FROM RAKIRAKI TO
SIGATOKA AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS:
EXPECT VERY DESTRUCTIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS TO
185 KM/HR AND MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 270 KM/HR. HEAVY RAIN WITH SQUALLY
THUNDERSTORMS.
FLOODING INCLUDING SEA FLOODING OF LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS.
DAMAGING HEAVY SWELLS.

FOR THE BUA PROVINCE , THE INTERIOR OF VITI LEVU:
EXPECT DESTRUCTIVE STORM FORCE WINDS WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS TO 110
KM/HR AND MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 150 KM/HR.
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WITH SQUALLY THUNDERSTORMS.
FLOODING INCLUDING SEA FLOODING OF LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS.
DAMAGING HEAVY SWELLS.

FOR TAVEUNI, THE REST OF VANUA LEVU AND NEARBY SMALLER ISLANDS,
NORTHERN LAU AND LOMAIVITI GROUP, REST OF VITI LEVU AND NEAR BY
SMALLER ISLANDS, KADAVU, BEQA, VATULELE AND NEAR BY SMALLER ISLANDS:
DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS UP TO 80 KM/HR AND
MOMENTARY GUSTS TO 110 KM/HR. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WITH SQUALLY
THUNDERSTORMS WITH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS.
DAMAGING HEAVY SWELLS WITH SEA FLOODING OF LOW LYING COASTAL AREAS.

FOR THE REST OF FIJI:
STRONG WINDS WITH AVERAGE SPEEDS TO 55 KM/HR AND MOMENTARY GUSTS TO
85 KM/HR. OCCASIONAL RAIN, HEAVY AT TIMES AND SQUALLY
THUNDERSTORMS.FLOODING INCLUDING SEA FLOODING OF LOW LYING COASTAL
AREAS.
The following information is provided especially for the mariners:
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND PHENOMENAL SEAS NEAR THE CYCLONE CENTRE.
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE AND VERY HIGH
SEAS. GALE FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS TO ABOUT 90 NAUTICAL MILES FROM
CENTRE. ELSEWHERE, STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. HEAVY
SWELLS.

The next Special Weather Bulletin for Fiji on Severe Tropical Cyclone
Evan will be issued at or around 03:00pm today.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
Quoting KoritheMan:
I want to end this post by formally apologizing to wxmod, specifically regarding the claim I made Thursday evening that his claims lack evidence. I've honestly become convinced now that weather modification projects are ongoing, and are being researched further. We're stupid enough to do want to do things like that. But I don't believe we can literally shape the skies, as it were.
The problem with wxmod is he posts satellite images and then automatically connects them to weather modification. He'll post a satellite image containing a dozen "chemtrails" (actually contrails) and claim it is active weather modification. The reality is contrails are a byproduct of mass transportation, whether it be by plane or boat.

Or, he'll post the radar image of rain falling in the desert and claim that it is raining because of weather modification. It's ridiculous.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
I was too mad at the shooter yesterday to say anything about the children so...

RIP to the 27 children and adults who lost their lives in the Newtown, Connecticut shooting yesterday. You guys had your whole lives ahead of you, and all of your dreams were wiped out in mere minutes.

Very sad. It makes me wonder just how many more shootings we need before our second amendment is amended. How many more innocent people must be killed before the second amendment loving, NRA gun nuts give in?

And to those who argue guns don't kill people, I present you this. In China, on the EXACT SAME DAY as the Sandy Hook Elementary School Shooting, a man walked into a Chinese elementary school and stabbed 23 students. Zero deaths have been reported.

Here are the gruesome details compared. Two crazy people, both attacking innocent children on the same day, one event in China, the other in the United States. One with a knife, the other with a gun.





That is the difference between a crazy man with a gun and a crazy man without a gun. There is absolutely no good reason civilians should be able to purchase assault rifles. Absolutely no reason.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
What a monster!

Visible


Radar
Member Since: August 9, 2009 Posts: 10 Comments: 4898
Quoting etxwx:
Good evening everyone. That line of storms that came through SE Texas looked a lot more interesting on radar than it did here on the ground. But we did get 1.5 inches of rain out of it - and I'm very grateful for that. Pond levels are up.


The rain really does look bad on radar but it doesnt seem to be too bad
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154. etxwx
Good evening everyone. That line of storms that came through SE Texas looked a lot more interesting on radar than it did here on the ground. But we did get 1.5 inches of rain out of it - and I'm very grateful for that. Pond levels are up.
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If Evan does not make an official landfall, the storm would have taken the path closest to making a landfall without actually making one.

Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 31463
Cyclone Evan:

Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
i do like the ticker on the side! many new gadgets since i last checked in haha
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Quoting Grothar:


Says who????

yes, well, i tried to make it generic.
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Quoting PlazaRed:

I just checked out the map and satellite map of Fiji.
Worth taking a look at.
It seems that there are a lot of detached buildings near the shore on the satellite images and that an arc of islands is directly in the path of the eye according to Pats map.The eye is going to go right through that arc of islands.
The main island to the south is about 50 miles across and roughly circular.
I think we are looking at major devastation here.
As I remember Fiji, the coast is fairly flat in the airport area with some low hills to the north east but nothing to slow these kind of winds!


Cyclone Evan knocks out power and bridges

A POWERFUL cyclone ripping through Fiji has caused flooding and structural damage but so far there have been no reports of deaths or serious injuries.

Cyclone Evan earlier killed at least four people in Samoa and 12 more people remain missing there.

Fiji's Permanent Secretary of Information Sharon Smith-Johns said on Monday that the northern parts of Fiji had lost power and that some bridges and roads had been washed out after the cyclone first hit late on Sunday. She said about 3,500 people had evacuated to emergency shelters, and that the nation's advance preparation had helped prevent deaths.

The cyclone is expected to make its way south over the next day. It is expected to affect tourist areas around the town of Nadi but miss the capital Suva.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
what do you think of this?
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/12/1212 16132505.htm
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Going to NYC dec 19-30, any chance of seeing any significant (1 inch) snow? I see some low the 19th and 22-24th. I have no way to interpret these lows since im used to dealing with tropical systems.
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Quoting Patrap:
There are now 5 days until the 2012 Winter Solstice.


5 days till hope of huricane says begins to return ehh?
Quoting Grothar:
They have got to be getting some serious rain.



funny for me looking at something that (to my perspective) spins backwards.

ive never really tracked a southern hemisphere storm.

I feel like everything flips itself
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Quoting Patrap:
Typhoon EVAN

Night IR to Day RGB Loop


You mean Severe Tropical Cyclone Evan. Down here in the SW Pacific we call them Cyclones.

Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
Quoting Patrap:
The Rainbow Loop shows a well defined Mature Typhoon bearing down on the Islands.

Note the CDO symmetry in the final frames and the eye structure as well.


I just checked out the map and satellite map of Fiji.
Worth taking a look at.
It seems that there are a lot of detached buildings near the shore on the satellite images and that an arc of islands is directly in the path of the eye according to Pats map.The eye is going to go right through that arc of islands.
The main island to the south is about 50 miles across and roughly circular.
I think we are looking at major devastation here.
As I remember Fiji, the coast is fairly flat in the airport area with some low hills to the north east but nothing to slow these kind of winds!
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.