Category 2 Evan batters Samoa, killing two

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:30 PM GMT on December 13, 2012

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The Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season is beginning to heat up. Category 2 Tropical Cyclone Evan is pounding Samoa and American Samoa with heavy rains and high winds, after making landfall earlier today on the north shore of Samoa near the capital of Apia. At landfall, Evan had a small 10-mile diameter eye and top winds of 90 mph, but has since intensified to 105 mph winds. Media reports indicate that Evan has killed two, and brought a 12 - 15' storm surge, heavy rains, and severe damage to the island nation. Satellite loops show a well-organized storm with a tiny 7-mile diameter eye. Evan has plenty of intense heavy thunderstorm activity near its core, solid upper-level outflow, and is in an area with weak steering currents. Evan is expected to meander over Samoa until about 18 UTC on Friday, when a ridge of high pressure will build in and force the cyclone to the west. The storm will be in a region with light wind shear and very warm ocean waters that extend to great depth, and could intensify into a Category 3 or 4 cyclone by this weekend. On Sunday, when the ECMWF model predicts that Evan will be near Fiji, the storm will encounter increasing wind shear and should weaken.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of Tropical Cyclone Evan over Samoa at 01:05 UTC December 13, 2012. At the time, Evan was a Category 1 storm with 90 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting wxmod:


Still working for Heartland?

Nice slimeball personal attack. Inpugning the motives of critics raising a valid, logical counterpoint is a favored tactic of conspiracy-mongers who cannot counter the point. I am really curious why the moderators here allow such.
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334. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
333. yoboi
Quoting bohonkweatherman:
Couple years ago we had worst drought in History here with like 9 inches of rain in a 12 month period but we are currently dryer than that and the extended forecast provides little relief or hope, I am praying the forecast are wrong but I am not even getting drizzle here or trace amounts like i did 2 years ago. We are suppose to get light amounts next 2 days. When El Nino did not develop i knew we would be in bad shape. Trying to think positive but that is hard to do in a drought. The Texas farmers may be facing a complete loss of their crops if rains dont develop soon? Only parts of texas getting decent rains are extreme east and southeast Texas, rest of the state is bone dry. But I read there are several states not getting rain or snow and way too warm also. I mowed my back yard last week cause my grass is still growing which is unheard of for December, did just have my first mild freeze. There are several places that depend on Snow for their income.




you should get rain this weekend
Member Since: August 25, 2010 Posts: 7 Comments: 2409
There are now 7 days until the 2012 winter solstice
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Quoting pcola57:


Did SE Texas get any measurable precip from the moisture that moved in from Mexico the last couple of days?..
I was hoping they would as they are in moderate drought conditions as well..
Not sure but that area is about the only part of Texas getting rains worth talking about, from like College Station to Houston and eastward. I am hoping the roads get wet today, will be first time in 2 months.
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330. eddye
can someone tell me wat the gfs shows for orlando for next friday and saturday does it show high in the 60 and low in the 40 i need someone 2 tell me wat it shows.
Member Since: August 12, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1281
Quoting ILwthrfan:


I fear the drought of 2012 during the summer will not only come back for 2013, but be worse. We had a recent relief in the early fall, but over the last 2 months we have only seen 50% of our normal rainfall. With snow this winter looking bleak for Ohio Valley and Midwest, I'd say it won't take long for the core of the drought over the Plains to expand eastward.
Couple years ago we had worst drought in History here with like 9 inches of rain in a 12 month period but we are currently dryer than that and the extended forecast provides little relief or hope, I am praying the forecast are wrong but I am not even getting drizzle here or trace amounts like i did 2 years ago. We are suppose to get light amounts next 2 days. When El Nino did not develop i knew we would be in bad shape. Trying to think positive but that is hard to do in a drought. The Texas farmers may be facing a complete loss of their crops if rains dont develop soon? Only parts of texas getting decent rains are extreme east and southeast Texas, rest of the state is bone dry. But I read there are several states not getting rain or snow and way too warm also. I mowed my back yard last week cause my grass is still growing which is unheard of for December, did just have my first mild freeze. There are several places that depend on Snow for their income.
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Here is the latest on Hurricane Evan




SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN NUMBER EIGHTEEN (18) FOR SAMOA
ISSUED BY SAMOA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES AT 141200 UTC OR 2:00 A.M
SATURDAY 15TH DECEMBER 2012

.............. Storm warning is now in effect for Savaii……………..

.............. Hurricane warning is now cancelled for Savaii……………..

.............. Wind advisory is now effective for Upolu……………..

.............. Gale watch is now cancelled for Upolu……………..

……….. Flood Advisory remains in effect for low lying areas due to heavy rain ……….

Tropical Cyclone Evan was moving west northwest at 8 mph and was located at about 12.62 south, 172.77 west or 56 miles north northwest of Avao, 53 miles north north of Asau or 91 miles northwest of Apia at 141100 UTC or 1:00 a.m. this morning. TC Evan is expected to move southwest and may relocate at about 121 miles west northwest of Apia or 68 miles west-northwest of Asau at 8.00 am tomorrow.

Expected winds:

Hurricane force winds of 70-95 mph within 5 nautical miles from the centre
Storm force winds of 55-70 mph within 15 nautical miles from the centre.
Gale force winds of 35-50 mph within 25 miles from the centre

Forecast

For Upolu: Northeast winds of 15-25 mph with gusts to 35mph in squalls .
Poor visibility in rain. Damaging storm surges of 10-14 feet and very rough seas. Isolated showers, moderate falls possible with a few thunderstorms.

For Savaii: Southern side: East to southeast winds of 45-55 mph with gusts at times mainly at exposed areas.
Northern side: Northeast winds of 50-70 mph with higher gusts at times mainly at exposed areas. Poor visibility in heavy rain. Seas very rough with damaging storm surge of 12-16 feet. Rain heavy at times with thunderstorms.

The next Special Weather Bulletin will be issued at 6.00 a.m. today.
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Quoting #320


The GFS model begs to differ. :)

It shows snow behind a developing low in western Missouri strolling northeastwards across much of Illinois and Indiana as early as Monday morning.
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Quoting ILwthrfan:


I fear the drought of 2012 during the summer will not only come back for 2013, but be worse. We had a recent relief in the early fall, but over the last 2 months we have only seen 50% of our normal rainfall. With snow this winter looking bleak for Ohio Valley and Midwest, I'd say it won't take long for the core of the drought over the Plains to expand eastward.


Just remember. We still have three months to get a good snow pack.
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Quoting bohonkweatherman:
So is it Going to be Warm and Dry for Christmas for areas from Texas to Florida? 57 here this morning, we should be in upper 30s to upper 50s to near 60 for a high. 70s to near are likely here. 63 tonight for a low? Should cool to 40s for lows. Front coming thru is very weak though. Approaching 70 days since our last decent rain. Every county is under severe drought conditions and unless we get alot of rain soon Extreme drought conditions will be over most of Texas by Spring. A huge portion of the Country seems to be lacking in rain or snow outside of Florida?


I fear the drought of 2012 during the summer will not only come back for 2013, but be worse. We had a recent relief in the early fall, but over the last 2 months we have only seen 50% of our normal rainfall. With snow this winter looking bleak for Ohio Valley and Midwest, I'd say it won't take long for the core of the drought over the Plains to expand eastward.
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1535
324. MTWX
Quoting BahaHurican:
Some of the pics are pretty.


LOL!!
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Quoting ILwthrfan:


In other words no winter this year.....:( I don't think it is ever going to snow here in Illinois. Our December average high for the first 13 days of the month is probably around 53-54 F, compared to the climatology average of 39 F. My grass is still green and growing...


I expect temperatures to plummet sometime after Christmas.
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Quoting bohonkweatherman:
So is it Going to be Warm and Dry for Christmas for areas from Texas to Florida? 57 here this morning, we should be in upper 30s to upper 50s to near 60 for a high. 70s to near are likely here. 63 tonight for a low? Should cool to 40s for lows. Front coming thru is very weak though. Approaching 70 days since our last decent rain. Every county is under severe drought conditions and unless we get alot of rain soon Extreme drought conditions will be over most of Texas by Spring. A huge portion of the Country seems to be lacking in rain or snow outside of Florida?


Did SE Texas get any measurable precip from the moisture that moved in from Mexico the last couple of days?..
I was hoping they would as they are in moderate drought conditions as well..
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6884
So is it Going to be Warm and Dry for Christmas for areas from Texas to Florida? 57 here this morning, we should be in upper 30s to upper 50s to near 60 for a high. 70s to near are likely here. 63 tonight for a low? Should cool to 40s for lows. Front coming thru is very weak though. Approaching 70 days since our last decent rain. Every county is under severe drought conditions and unless we get alot of rain soon Extreme drought conditions will be over most of Texas by Spring. A huge portion of the Country seems to be lacking in rain or snow outside of Florida?
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Quoting SteveDa1:
Mother Nature Is Just Getting Warmed Up: Record-Smashing Early December Assures 2012 Will Be Hottest In U.S. History



There is a 99.99999999 percent chance that 2012 will be the hottest year ever recorded in the continental 48 states, based on our analysis of 118 years of temperature records through Dec. 10, 2012.

For the first 10 days of December, new daily record high temperatures have outnumbered record lows by a ratio of 92 to 1. For the 48 contiguous states, the ratio was an incredible 132 to 1, since 3 out of the 10 low records were in Alaska and Hawaii. During the entire week of December 2-8, not a single low temperature record was tied or broken in any of the 50 states, according to NCDC reports. With 3 weeks remaining in the year, the cumulative ratio of heat records to cold records for 2012 has reached 6.0 to 1, more than double the ratio in 2011.

Credit: thinkprogress.org


In other words no winter this year.....:( I don't think it is ever going to snow here in Illinois. Our December average high for the first 13 days of the month is probably around 53-54 F, compared to the climatology average of 39 F. My grass is still green and growing...
Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1535
319. yoboi
Quoting SteveDa1:
Mother Nature Is Just Getting Warmed Up: Record-Smashing Early December Assures 2012 Will Be Hottest In U.S. History



There is a 99.99999999 percent chance that 2012 will be the hottest year ever recorded in the continental 48 states, based on our analysis of 118 years of temperature records through Dec. 10, 2012.

For the first 10 days of December, new daily record high temperatures have outnumbered record lows by a ratio of 92 to 1. For the 48 contiguous states, the ratio was an incredible 132 to 1, since 3 out of the 10 low records were in Alaska and Hawaii. During the entire week of December 2-8, not a single low temperature record was tied or broken in any of the 50 states, according to NCDC reports. With 3 weeks remaining in the year, the cumulative ratio of heat records to cold records for 2012 has reached 6.0 to 1, more than double the ratio in 2011.

Credit: thinkprogress.org



should start to go down next yr....
Member Since: August 25, 2010 Posts: 7 Comments: 2409
Good Morning All,
Very foggy this am..
Here's a couple of webcam's from my area..
I hope it moves out soon..



Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6884
Quoting TomTaylor:
Damn! This post was just 5 hrs before a 6.1 off southern California. I've never seen anyone call an earthquake like that before.


well, this quake is not what I meant.
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Quoting WxGeekVA:


I agree. Evan looks terrible on microwave.



Is it possible that Evan wrapped some dry air from down sloping off the Samoan Islands? They may be too small to play that effect on Evan, but judging from water vapor or any satellite presentations you can see how disorganized he is. He may not even be a hurricane at the moment.

Member Since: February 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1535
An interesting read on Samoan Cyclone History on Christopher C. Burt, Weather Historians blog.

Link
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 695
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


you gotta remember 100 knots is category 2-3 on the SSHS and the categories are different for other RSMC.

90 knots (10min) is a category 4 there.
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Ah. Either way, I think 100 knots may even be overdone. Evan looks more like an 80kt storm at the moment.

What she said.
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313. VR46L
Quoting AussieStorm:

Evan has already devastated Western Samoa. 2 dead. school kids missing and Evan is meant to move over Fiji very slowly which will mean more devastation.
Samoa has barely gotten back on it's feet after the quake and tsunami back in 2009 and now Evan has devastated them again. Some people just can't catch a break.


Yes you are right . I think sometime people forget when they are tracking these cyclones that people are affected and there can be huge tragedy . Thats why the E-Pac are my favourites , usually beautiful storms that dont effect land
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6950
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


you gotta remember 100 knots is category 2-3 on the SSHS and the categories are different for other RSMC.

90 knots (10min) is a category 4 there.


Ah. Either way, I think 100 knots may even be overdone. Evan looks more like an 80kt storm at the moment.
Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3476
Mother Nature Is Just Getting Warmed Up: Record-Smashing Early December Assures 2012 Will Be Hottest In U.S. History



There is a 99.99999999 percent chance that 2012 will be the hottest year ever recorded in the continental 48 states, based on our analysis of 118 years of temperature records through Dec. 10, 2012.

For the first 10 days of December, new daily record high temperatures have outnumbered record lows by a ratio of 92 to 1. For the 48 contiguous states, the ratio was an incredible 132 to 1, since 3 out of the 10 low records were in Alaska and Hawaii. During the entire week of December 2-8, not a single low temperature record was tied or broken in any of the 50 states, according to NCDC reports. With 3 weeks remaining in the year, the cumulative ratio of heat records to cold records for 2012 has reached 6.0 to 1, more than double the ratio in 2011.

Credit: thinkprogress.org
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Quoting VR46L:
I dont Know a category 4 around that area is a major issue .and could and probably be a very destructive landfall Cyclone when it does again

Evan has already devastated Western Samoa. 2 dead. school kids missing and Evan is meant to move over Fiji very slowly which will mean more devastation.
Samoa has barely gotten back on it's feet after the quake and tsunami back in 2009 and now Evan has devastated them again. Some people just can't catch a break.
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309. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Quoting WxGeekVA:


I agree. Evan looks terrible on microwave.



you gotta remember 100 knots is category 2-3 on the SSHS and the categories are different for other RSMC.

90 knots (10min) is a category 4 there.
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308. VR46L
I dont Know a category 4 around that area is a major issue .and could and probably be a very destructive landfall Cyclone when it does again
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6950
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Evan is one of the worst organized Category 4's I've ever seen. I doubt it's that powerful.



I agree. Evan looks terrible on microwave.

Member Since: September 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3476
306. VR46L
Morning Folks...Welcome CaptainComet

Evan quite impressive in RB

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6950
Evan is one of the worst organized Category 4's I've ever seen. I doubt it's that powerful.

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Quoting MTWX:


Not necessarily... Wind can cool the surface of the car to the point droplets can freeze... same way frost can occur even when the air temp is above 32 degrees. Guess what I'm getting at is the surface temp of the car is lower than the air temp (think opposite of fog)




Hi, long-time lurker ... first time poster.

I had just moved down from Chicago months before that Florida snow in 77. Walked outside three times around 6 AM before realizing it was actually snowing (the snow was that pathetically light and it was still dark).

It was only when I got to my car that I caught on that it was flurrying..... and it was indeed FROZEN to the windows of the car. This was mid-state, near Tampa, and IIRC, about 34 degrees.

It was at that point I thought to myself ... "WTH!?! .... we moved down here to get away from snow!" ... LOL

While I was disgusted with the whole prospect, I watched my schoolmates collectively lose their minds, (many had never seen snow) until about 11 AM, when it all had melted.
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Quoting HadesGodWyvern:
yikes just a little under Category 5 on the SSH scale




_________________________________________________ _____________________________________________

Disaster declared after deadly Samoan cyclone

Video

The Samoan government has declared a state of disaster after Cyclone Evan ravaged the South Pacific nation, destroying buildings and causing flash floods.

Police in Samoa say a number of children are presumed to have drowned after being swept away in a flooded river after the cyclone hit.

Evan made landfall yesterday and caused widespread damage across the country, killing at least two people, cutting power, causing flooding and ripping trees out of the ground.

Locals say it is the worst storm to hit the region in recent years and a state of disaster has been declared.

There are now fears the storm could intensify to a category five cyclone as it tracks across the north of Tonga and then moves onto Fiji.

New Zealand's high commissioner to Samoa, Nick Hurley, says police have told him a number of children went missing near the main river in Samoa's capital Apia.

"This is the biggest one I've been through and I've been through difficult situations in the Pacific (before)," Mr Hurley told Radio New Zealand.
"The unpredictable nature of this one has made it quite different. The forecast winds did not give any indication of how strong the impact was going to be."

Many places in Samoa have only just rebuilt after being devastated by a tsunami in 2009.

"Power is off for the whole country... Tanugamanono power plant is completely destroyed and we might not have power for at least two weeks," the Disaster Management Office (DMO) said in a statement.

It said hospitals and other essential services were using standby generators, with water supplies also out and most roads cut off by fallen trees and power poles as hundreds of people languished in evacuation centres.

In travel advice, Australia's Department of Foreign Affairs said the cyclone had caused "damage to local services and infrastructure, including communications and electricity services and Faleolo International Airport".

"The Australian High Commission in Apia has closed until further notice due to storm damage," it said.

The United Nations says international aid groups are ready to help if needed, with damage from the cyclone worse than expected.

Cyclone track

Evan continues to move north west away from Apia, but its progress has slowed to just under 10 kilometres per hour.

It was around 70 kilometres off the coast and is forecast to reverse its course later this evening, although it is not known if it will again cross Samoa.

The Fiji Meteorological Service has warned the cyclone could threaten northern parts of Tonga on Saturday and reach Fiji by Sunday.

Authorities in Fiji have gone into emergency preparation as the cyclone threatens to head towards the country.

Fiji's weather bureau says the storm could eventually become a category five cyclone - packing winds at its core of 360 kilometres per hour(194kn/224mph) - and on its current path would hit both of the nation's main islands.
2012 ABC


Um.... I don't know about the winds getting that fast.

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It's fairly unusual (though not unheard of) that there were two large earthquakes this morning in such spatially- and temporally-close proximity to one another: a 6.4 about 163 miles SSW of Avalon, followed just 17 seconds later by a 6.1 roughly 89 miles SW of Avalon.

It remains to be seen whether there was really just a single quake that was misread as a spurious duality, but so far seismologists are leaving them both up.

The "second" quake was spurious, indeed; it was just deleted, leaving only the initial 6.4 that was 74 miles farther to the south.

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Quoting LargoFl:
Although Florida is not usually considered to be a state subject to earthquakes, several minor shocks have occurred there. Only one of these caused damage. Additional shocks of doubtful seismic origin also are listed in earthquake documents.

A shock occurred near St. Augustine, in the northeast part of the State, in January 1879. The Nation's oldest permanent settlement, founded by Spain in 1565, reported that heavy shaking knocked plaster from walls and articles from shelves. Similar effects were noted at Daytona Beach, 50 miles south. At Tampa, the southernmost point of the felt area, the trembling was preceded by a rumbling sound at 11:30 p.m. Two shocks were reported in other areas, at 11:45 p.m. and 11:55 p.m. The tremor was felt through north and central Florida, and at Savannah, Georgia.


Dr. James Henshell; Camping and Cruising in Florida, page 41. They were camped on the St. Sebastian River on Indian River lagoon.

"A few minutes later I heard a peculiar rumbling and roaring sound proceeding from the eastward, which I at first thought to be the sea; but as it rapidly came nearer it became louder, and the ground began to tremble and roll, jarring the guns on the rack, and producing a rattling among the pans outside. The"

42 CRUISE OF THE BLUE WING.

"heavy rumbling seemed to pass right under me with an oscillating and wavy motion, and disappeared in a westerly direction. I found myself rolling out of my mossy bed, and became conscious that it was the shock of an earthquake or some internal convulsion ; and was a prolonged shock, or rather a quick succession, of two shocks, lasting nearly a minute altogether. The boys were all now wide awake and discussing the matter. Strobhar said he heard it distinctly, but he thought it was "Sen snoring."
This event occurred on the night of January 12th, at half-past eleven o'clock. I learned afterward that it was quite severe in some portions of the State. At Cape Canaveral light-house it threw oil out of the lamp on the reflectors, and shook the solid brick tower of Jupiter light from base to dome, while the keepers of both lights made the best time on record for a hundred feet downward."
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TSUNAMI SEISMIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
239 AM PST FRI DEC 14 2012

...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED - A TSUNAMI IS NOT EXPECTED.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.4
* ORIGIN TIME 0136 AKST DEC 14 2012
0236 PST DEC 14 2012
1036 UTC DEC 14 2012
* COORDINATES 31.1 NORTH 119.6 WEST
* DEPTH 12 MILES
* LOCATION 180 MILES SW OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA
215 MILES SW OF LOS ANGELES CALIFORNIA


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT.

* THE EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS ARE BASED ON PRELIMINARY INFORMATION.

* FURTHER INFORMATION WILL BE ISSUED BY THE UNITED STATES
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY - EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV - OR THE APPROPRIATE
REGIONAL SEISMIC NETWORK.

$$
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Quoting LargoFl:
ok thanks, we dont really get too many here , good luck on your Final...
Thanks
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Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Quoting TomTaylor:
Certainly. Whether or not you feel the earthquake depends on the strength, depth and your position relative to the earthquake (and other factors), but I know plenty of people living in San Diego felt the earthquake. Others slept through it. Here in Santa Barbara I didn't feel it although I have been awake trying to study for my last final tomorrow.
ok thanks, we dont really get too many here , good luck on your Final...
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Although Florida is not usually considered to be a state subject to earthquakes, several minor shocks have occurred there. Only one of these caused damage. Additional shocks of doubtful seismic origin also are listed in earthquake documents.

A shock occurred near St. Augustine, in the northeast part of the State, in January 1879. The Nation's oldest permanent settlement, founded by Spain in 1565, reported that heavy shaking knocked plaster from walls and articles from shelves. Similar effects were noted at Daytona Beach, 50 miles south. At Tampa, the southernmost point of the felt area, the trembling was preceded by a rumbling sound at 11:30 p.m. Two shocks were reported in other areas, at 11:45 p.m. and 11:55 p.m. The tremor was felt through north and central Florida, and at Savannah, Georgia.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Quoting LargoFl:
..tom, when these events happen off shore..do you feel them on land sometimes?
Certainly. Whether or not you feel the earthquake depends on the strength, depth and your position relative to the earthquake (and other factors), but I know plenty of people living in San Diego felt the earthquake. Others slept through it. Here in Santa Barbara I didn't feel it although I have been awake trying to study for my last final tomorrow (and by tomorrow I mean later today).
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Quoting TomTaylor:
Damn! This post was just 5 hrs before a 6.1 off southern California. Couldn't have called it better.
..tom, when these events happen off shore..do you feel them on land sometimes?
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
Significant shaking in Central America Pacific coast lately...I hope this is not a warning sign

Damn! This post was just 5 hrs before a 6.1 off southern California. I've never seen anyone call an earthquake like that before.
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THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG COASTAL STORM TO IMPACT THE
REGION EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK. QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE
EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM REMAINS AT THIS TIME...BUT THE THREAT
EXISTS FOR A HEAVY RAIN OR WINTRY PRECIPITATION...STRONG
WIND...AND COASTAL FLOODING EVENT.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
6.1 off Southern Californian coast. Didn't feel it here in Santa Barbara, but judging by the facebook posts, many people felt it in San Diego.

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Yowser! Southern California Earthquake Data Center

earthquake

earthquake
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Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ACROSS THE
MIDDLE RED RIVER VALLEY OF NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. SOME OF
THESE STORMS COULD BE ON THE STRONG SIDE AS INCREASING INSTABILITY
ALOFT COULD RESULT IN SOME HAIL POTENTIAL. THERE IS SOMEWHAT OF A
QUESTION AS TO IF ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY COULD BECOME ROOTED
CLOSER TO THE SURFACE WHICH WOULD RESULT MORE IN A WIND THREAT. ALSO...
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AS A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS...AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON
OR TONIGHT.

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002
Good Morning folks!..cool and breezy here now...
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 41002

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.