Very warm November assures 2012 will be warmest year in U.S. history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:39 PM GMT on December 07, 2012

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The heat is on again in the U.S. After recording its first cooler-than-average month in sixteen months during October, the U.S. heated up considerably in November, notching its 20th warmest November since 1895, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in their latest State of the Climate report. The warm November virtually assures that 2012 will be the warmest year on record in the U.S. The year-to-date period of January - November has been by far the warmest such period on record for the contiguous U.S.--a remarkable 1.0°F above the previous record. During the 11-month period, 18 states were record warm and an additional 24 states were top ten warm. The December 2011 - November 2012 period was the warmest such 12-month period on record for the contiguous U.S., and the eight warmest 12-month periods since record keeping began in 1895 have all ended during 2012. December 2012 would have to be 1°F colder than our coldest December on record (set in 1983) to prevent the year 2012 from being the warmest in U.S. history. This is meteorologically impossible, given the recent December heat in the U.S. As wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt reported, an early-December heat wave this week set records for warmest December temperature on record in seven states. December 2012 is on pace to be a top-20% warmest December on record in the U.S.

November 2012 was the 8th driest November on record for the U.S., and twenty-two states had top-ten driest Novembers. The area of the contiguous U.S. experiencing moderate-to-exceptional drought grew from 59% on November 6 to 62% on December 6. This is the largest area of the U.S. in drought since 1954.


Figure 1. Historical temperature ranking for the U.S. for November 2012. Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming had top-ten warmest Novembers, while only North Carolina had a top-ten coldest November. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).


Figure 2. Historical temperature ranking for the U.S. for the January - November period. Eighteen states were record warm, and an additional 24 states were top ten warm. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

Most extreme January - November period on record
The year-to-date January - November period was the most extreme on record in the contiguous U.S., according to NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), which tracks the percentage area of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% and bottom-10% extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought. The CEI was 46% in January - November, more than double the average of 20%. A record 86% of the contiguous U.S. had maximum temperatures that were in the warmest 10% historically during the first eleven months of 2012, and 71% of the U.S. of the U.S. had warm minimum temperatures in the top 10%--2nd highest on record. The percentage area of the U.S. experiencing top-10% drought conditions was 32%, which was the 4th greatest since 1910. Only droughts in the Dust Bowl year of 1934, and during 1954 and 1956, were more extreme for the January - November period. Heavy 1-day downpours have been below average so far in 2012, though, with 9% of nation experiencing a top-10% extreme, compared to the average of 10%.


Figure 3. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - November shows that 2012 had the most extreme first eleven months of the year on record, with 46% of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% extreme weather-more than double the average of 20%.

Jeff Masters

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The dry conditions in the SW are beginning to have more of an effect, critical fire risk for today and tomorrow in just about the same area:



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.
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Quoting TomballTXPride:


What exactly is that showing, Georgia?

Quarterback that puppy for me...





It means a 5% tornado risk:


SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
PROMOTE SUPERCELL
AND BOW/LEWP STRUCTURES OVER THIS REGION CAPABLE
OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. A TORNADO OR TWO IS ALSO POSSIBLE
THIS EVENING AS LOW LEVEL WINDS STRENGTHEN FURTHER. THE MAIN
TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE FROM CENTRAL AR/SOUTHEAST MO INTO
WESTERN KY/TN.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE INTO A QLCS BY LATE
EVENING AND PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF NORTHERN MS/WESTERN TN
THROUGH THE NIGHT.
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WINTER WEATHER UPDATE...
____________________________

Significant snowfall for the big cities
Winter storm Caesar



click image for bigger pic
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Quoting wxchaser97:

The Lions are SCREWED tonight :P Most likely going to be another loss.

I am getting little snow accumulation from Winter Storm Caesar.


Last Time the Detroit Lions Won in Green Bay...

The Lions last won at Lambeau Field on Dec., 15, 1991. No, that's not a misprint.

Here's a list of what was and was yet to occur in weather at that time:

No Doppler radar deployed nationally at NWS offices. The first so-called NEXRAD radar to be deployed for operational use wouldn't occur until June 1992.
The costliest U.S. hurricane was Hurricane Hugo. In the latest list from the National Hurricane Center through 2010, that means 17 of the top 20 costliest storms in the period 1900-2010 had yet to occur. Then, we had Irene ($15.8b), followed by 2012's Hurricane Isaac and Superstorm Sandy.
Incidentally, the director of the National Hurricane Center at the time was Bob Sheets.
The Perfect Storm had just raked parts of the Northeast over a month prior, not to mention a snowstorm of record for the Twin Cities and parts of the Upper Midwest.

...And what about the state of technology in December 1991?

Tim Berners-Lee posted a summary of the "World Wide Web" project in a newsgroup in August 1991. Wonder how that turned out?
First GSM cell phone network launched in Finland.
Apple focused on the NeXTstation, which flopped, shutting down the project in 1993.
This was over 3 years before Google founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin first met.
The CD-ROM was just coming into wide use in personal computers.

Here's what else was going on at that time:

George H.W. Bush was President of the U.S.
Mikhail Gorbachev would step down as Soviet leader 10 days later, on Christmas Day.
Dow Jones index closes month at record high of 3168.83.
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Quoting wxchaser97:

The Lions are SCREWED tonight, most likely another loss.

I am getting little snow accumulation from Winter Storm Caesar.


If they can win just one more game this season (highly likely) I would want it to be this one.

Still gonna be hard.
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Quoting DocNDswamp:
re: 755. nymore

Also came across article related to Koch contributions, where viewer was shocked to learn PBS' NOVA series is sponsored by them, particularly one concerning impacts of global warming - "I just watched a NOVA show that was sponsored by the David H. Koch Foundation..."

Yes, a bit ironic it seems. LOL, in many ways it reflects how a majority of large and small businesses alike contribute, sometimes near equally, to both Dem and Rep candidates prior to elections just to make sure their interests are represented! LOL, guarantee a win-win... like betting for and against stocks, etc...
He has supported PBS for years. Joe Romm had a problem with him in 2010 for supporting Becoming Human on Nova which originally aired in 2009

A which time the Ombudsman from Pbs took issue with Romm

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Quoting Slamguitar:


That's because it's now impacting a significant population.

And by significant population of course they mean the Lions and Packers tonight at Lambeau.

:D

The Lions are SCREWED tonight :P Most likely going to be another loss.

I am getting little snow accumulation from Winter Storm Caesar.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
news...
WINTER STORM CAESAR....


they finally decided to name it


That's because it's now impacting a significant population.

And by significant population of course they mean the Lions and Packers tonight at Lambeau.

:D
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772. beell
Quoting TomballTXPride:


What exactly is that showing, Georgia?

Quarterback that puppy for me...





NAM_218_2012120906_F21_32.5000N_90.5000W_HODO_SM. png

Not GS, but based on the image name, it is a forecast hodograph from today's 06Z run of the NAM valid at 3AM local-tomorrow.

The lat/long in the image name points to a location NW of Jackson, MS-not Arkansas.

Only a fair amount of curvature in the windfield up to about 2,000 meters and only modest velocities (under 30 knots) and mostly unidirectional above that.

Not sure I would pick this one to be representative of any severe potential today since instability should be lower during the overnight hours.

ADDED: But yeah, sometime a caption or title would help...
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re: 755. nymore

Also came across article related to Koch contributions, where viewer was shocked to learn PBS' NOVA series is sponsored by them, particularly one concerning impacts of global warming - "I just watched a NOVA show that was sponsored by the David H. Koch Foundation..."

Yes, a bit ironic it seems. LOL, in many ways it reflects how a majority of large and small businesses alike contribute, sometimes near equally, to both Dem and Rep candidates prior to elections just to make sure their interests are represented! LOL, guarantee a win-win... like betting for and against stocks, etc...
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30 degree plunge here in SE TX from 80s today, to possibly dropping into the 40s during day tomm

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THE SNOWFALL FORECAST WAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1012 AM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

.UPDATE...

INCREASED THE SNOW AMOUNTS FOR TODAY INTO THIS EVENING DUE TO A
SLOWER TREND OF THIS SYSTEM EXITING
...IMPRESSIVE FORCING...HIGH
QPF NUMBERS...AND WHAT HAS ALREADY BEEN REPORTED. MANY REPORTS OF
6 TO 10 INCHES HAVE BEEN RECEIVED ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN
MINNESOTA WITH AT LEAST ANOTHER 3 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED TODAY AND
THIS EVENING. FURTHER EAST TOWARD THE TWIN CITIES METRO AND FAR
WRN WI...3 TO 4 INCHES WERE REPORTED THIS MORNING WITH ANOTHER 7 TO
10 EXPECTED TODAY AND THIS EVENING. THUS...HAVE A LARGE SWATH OF 9
TO 15 INCHES ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA
...EXCEPT FOR FAR SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA WHERE RADAR AND SATELLITE INDICATES A DRY SLOT BEGINNING
TO MOVE IN. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE. THE
LOW WILL CONTINUE TRACKING DUE EAST ACROSS FAR SRN MN TODAY...SO
WILL LEAVE THE HEADLINES AS THEY ARE WITH WARNINGS NORTH OF THE
LOW TRACK AND AN ADVISORY ALONG AND SOUTH.


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Quoting Neapolitan:
One of the most cherished parts of the United States Constitution, and one that is under near constant attack by those who fear a free press; by those who think protesters should have no rights; by those who'd like to see opinions different from their own silenced; by those who want the stark lines separating government and religion blurred or obliterated. All dangerous stuff, so defensive vigilance every bit as constant as those attacks must be maintained.


See my blog for a response, as I'll not post on the main blog.

Short version is there's a lot wrong in the U.S. and the self-contradictions of the first amendment itself are actually part of the problem.
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766. wxmod
Quoting Jedkins01:


Well when it comes to a conspiracy theorist, or someone with an agenda, it doesn't necessarily mean he/she doesn't understand thermodynamics, its that they don't want to think about it.

Joe Bastardi is just one example. Obviously as a meteorologist, he would know basic principle of the green house effect and that adding massive amounts of CO2 is a problem. Yet he claims otherwise. It's not that he doesn't know, he doesn't want to think about it. Human beings are masters of self deception.


Of course, the dominant theory involved in biology today has some portion of conflict with the second law of thermodynamics. Yet many seem to act as if they don't know that, either.


David Kieth says it is easy and cheap to geoengineer the whole planet, so it follows that geoengineering a single storm would be child's play. Keith's resume includes a ton of articles and books on climate modification with sun blocking aerosols. Please look him up! His research is funded through a grant from Bill Gates. I keep posting links to an ABC interview with him, but I guess some people would rather vilify a blog user rather than understand the truth of the matter.

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news...
WINTER STORM CAESAR....


they finally decided to name it
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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1224 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012

NYZ032-033-041>043-082-083-VTZ013>015-100130-
/O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0013.121210T0000Z-121210T1100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...
BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO ...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1224 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS
IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE
SARATOGA REGION...AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...ALONG WITH
ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH THE
LONGEST DURATION FOR FROZEN PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS THE
ADIRONDACKS INTO SOUTHERN VERMONT.

* IMPACTS...ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS.

* WINDS...EAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42267
Quoting wxchaser97:

He was banned for an hour last night and he is back.

Also, there is another east coast storm later in the run.


I know he was but afterwards..go down to about 5:30 AM EST or 10:30 GMT a lot of posts were deleted from a post made by Kori

Taz should not have done that to him...
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Well from what happened this morning here..I have to say that some comment (inappropriate) banned some people here.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


I was asking for this info before...

Who knows what happened to Kori.?

He was banned for an hour last night and he is back.

Also, there is another east coast storm later in the run.
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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1224 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012

NYZ032-033-041>043-082-083-VTZ013>015-100130-
/O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0013.121210T0000Z-121210T1100Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
SARATOGA SPRINGS...WARRENSBURG...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...
BENNINGTON...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE...BRATTLEBORO ...
WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
1224 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2012

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
6 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS
IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...LAKE GEORGE
SARATOGA REGION...AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...ALONG WITH
ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH THE
LONGEST DURATION FOR FROZEN PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS THE
ADIRONDACKS INTO SOUTHERN VERMONT.

* IMPACTS...ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND ICE WILL RESULT IN SLIPPERY
CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS.

* WINDS...EAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42267
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
12z GFS spins a decent little storm up off the NE coast in 7-8 days:



I was asking for this info before...

Who knows what happened to Kori.?
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Quoting 1911maker:
Celebrate Bill of Rights Day on December 15!

Link

I have no idea if this sight is a good one or not. IT was the first one that came up on search.

For those of you not in the US, (and some in the US also) the bill of rights is not just about any one amendment, it is a complete document.

It is worth noting that the people (as a group) the most opposed to the first amendment support the second amendment. The people (as a group) who support the first amendment are very opposed to the second amendment.

These two amendments, more then any others cause the most political dispute in and division in this country. They tend to define the left and the right. In fact, they cause so much dispute, that my putting this post here will likely lead to a major political fight and I will get banned.

With that said, every one have a happy "Bill of rights day".


why are there no dicsusions of chemtrails on this site??
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Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42267
its nice now but an interesting weather week coming up for florida with that front coming then stalling out over us...hopefully with some much needed rain.
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42267
David Koch is devil, just look at what he does for science, education and the arts.

Source Wiki

Philanthropy

Since 2000, David H. Koch Charitable Foundation have pledged or contributed more than $750 million to further cancer research, enhance medical centers, support educational institutions, sustain arts and cultural institutions, and conduct public policy studies.[20][4] Since 2006, the Chronicle of Philanthropy has listed Koch as one of the world's top 50 philanthropists.[21]
Medical research

In 1992, Koch was diagnosed with prostate cancer. He underwent radiation, surgery, and hormone therapy, but the cancer returned every time. Koch believes his experience with cancer has encouraged him to fund medical research. He says, "once you get that disease and I've had it for 20 years almost, you become a crusader to try to cure the disease not only for yourself but for other people."[15] Koch says that his biggest contributions go toward a "moon shot" campaign to finding the cure for cancer, according to his profile on Forbes.[4] Between 1998 and 2012, Koch contributed at least $395 million to medical research causes and institutions.[22]

Koch sits on the Board of Directors of the Prostate Cancer Foundation and has contributed $41 million to the Foundation, including $5 million to a collaborative project in the field of nanotechnology.[23] Koch is the eponym of the David H. Koch Chair of the Prostate Cancer Foundation, a position currently held by Dr. Jonathan Simons.

In 2007, he contributed $100 million to the Massachusetts Institute of Technology to help fund the construction of a new 350,000-square-foot (33,000 m2) research and technology facility to serve as the home of the David H. Koch Institute for Integrative Cancer Research.[24] He has given a total of $185 million to MIT since joining the MIT Corporation in 1988.[22]

$20 million to Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine in Baltimore. The building he financed was named the David H. Koch Cancer Research Building.[25]
$30 million to the Memorial Sloan%u2013Kettering Cancer Center in New York[26]
$25 million to the University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center in Houston to establish the David Koch Center for Applied Research in Genitourinary Cancers[27]
$15 million to New York-Presbyterian Hospital Weill Cornell Medical Center[28]
$5 million to the House Ear Institute, in Los Angeles, to create a center for hearing restoration[21]
$25 million to the Hospital for Special Surgery in New York City[29]

Arts

In July 2008, Koch pledged $100 million over 10 years to renovate the New York State Theater in the Lincoln Center for the Performing Arts (now called the David H. Koch Theater),[30] and has pledged $10 million to renovate the outdoor fountains at the Metropolitan Museum of Art.[31]

Koch has been a trustee of the American Ballet Theater for 25 years[32] and has contributed more than $6 million to the theater.[33]
Education

Koch contributed $7 million to the Public Broadcasting Service (PBS) show Nova,[34] and is a contributor to the Smithsonian Institution in Washington, D.C., including a $20 million gift to the American Museum of Natural History, creating the David H. Koch Dinosaur Wing and a contribution of $15 million to the National Museum of Natural History to create the new David H. Koch Hall of Human Origins, which opened on the museum's 100th anniversary of its location on the National Mall on March 17, 2010.[35] In 2012, Koch contributed US $35 million to the Smithsonian to build a new dinosaur exhibition hall at the National Museum of Natural History. [36]

Koch also financed the construction of Deerfield Academy's $68 million Koch Center for mathematics, science and technology,[37] and was named the first and only Lifetime Trustee.[37]

Koch gave $10 million to the Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory[38] where he was honored with the Double Helix Medal for Corporate Leadership for supporting research that, "improves the health of people everywhere".[39]

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754. wxmod
Quoting Jedkins01:


Well when it comes to a conspiracy theorist, or someone with an agenda, it doesn't necessarily mean he/she doesn't understand thermodynamics, its that they don't want to think about it.

Joe Bastardi is just one example. Obviously as a meteorologist, he would know basic principle of the green house effect and that adding massive amounts of CO2 is a problem. Yet he claims otherwise. It's not that he doesn't know, he doesn't want to think about it. Human beings are masters of self deception.


Of course, the dominant theory involved in biology today has some portion of conflict with the second law of thermodynamics. Yet many seem to act as if they don't know that, either.


Jedkins01
One of the leading scientists in the field of weather modification, David Keith, says that the technology is cheap and easy, even on a world wide scale. You and your buddies should go argue with David Keith.

Here's part of the David Keith resume:

* Research Funding. My work has been funded by the US NSF and Canada’s NSERC as well as by a grant from Bill Gates managed as FICER.

Selected Publications on Geoengineering

Some publications require a username and password to access. Contact Hollie Roberts (hroberts(at)seas.harvard.edu) to request this information.

159. Justin McClellan, David W Keith, Jay Apt. (2012). Cost analysis of stratospheric albedo modification delivery systems. Environmental Research Letters, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/7/3/034019. (PDF)

117. Juan B Moreno-Cruz and David W Keith. (2012). Climate Policy under Uncertainty: A Case for Geoengineering. Climatic Change, DOI 10.1007/s10584-012-0487-4. (PDF)

155. Katharine L. Ricke, Dan Rowlands, William J. Ingram, David W. Keith and M. Granger Morgan. (2011). Effectiveness of stratospheric solar radiation management as a function of climate sensitivity. Nature Climate Change, 2: 92-96. (PDF) (SI)

150. A M Mercer, D W Keith and J D Sharp. (2011). Public understanding of Solar Radiation Management. Environmental Research Letters, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/044006. (PDF) [Plain Language Communications Poster - PDF]

158. J. Long, et al. (2011). Task Force on Climate Remediation Research. Bipartisan Policy Center. 33 pages. (PDF)

131. Juan Moreno-Cruz, Katharine Ricke and David W. Keith. (2011). A simple model to account for regional inequalities in the effectiveness of solar radiation management. Climatic Change, doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0103-z. (PDF)

128. Douglas G. MacMynowski, Ho-Jeong Shin, Ken Caldeira and David W. Keith. (2011). Can we test geoengineering? Energy and Environmental Science, 4: 5044-5052. (PDF)

132. K. Caldeira and D. W. Keith. (2010). The Need for Climate Engineering Research. Issues in Science and Technology. 27: 57-62. (PDF)

127. Jeffrey R. Pierce, Debra K. Weisenstein, Patricia Heckendorn, Thomas Peter and David W. Keith. (2010). Efficient formation of stratospheric aerosol for geoengineering by emission of condensible vapor from aircraft. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L18805, doi:10.1029/2010GL043975. (PDF) (Aux Material)

125. David W. Keith, Edward Parson and M. Granger Morgan. (2010). Research on global sun block needed now. Nature, 463: 426-427. (PDF)

96. D. W. Keith. (2010). Photophoretic levitation of engineered aerosols for geoengineering. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107: 16428-16431. (PDF)

89. David W. Keith. Engineering the Planet. (2010). Climate Change Science and Policy. S. Schneider and M. Mastrandrea eds. (PDF)

119. J. J. Blackstock, D. S. Battisti, K. Caldeira, D. M. Eardley, J. I. Katz, D. W. Keith, A. A. N. Patrinos, D. P. Schrag, R. H. Socolow and S. E. Koonin (2009). Climate Engineering Responses to Climate Emergencies, Novim. (PDF)

118. John Shepherd, et al. (2009). Geoengineering the climate - Science, governance and uncertainty. The Royal Society. (PDF)

75. Stephens, J. C. and D. W. Keith (2008). Assessing Geochemical Carbon Management. Climatic Change, 90: 217-242. (PDF)

50. David W. Keith (2002). Geoengineering - die technologische Gestaltung des Planeten Erde. Klima. Das Experiment mit dem Planeten Erde. W. Hauser ed., Deutsche Museum, Munich, Germany, p. 352-369. (PDF)

44. David W. Keith (2002). Geoengineering. Encyclopedia of Global Change. A. S. Goudie ed, Oxford University Press, New York, NY, p. 495-502. (PDF)

41. David W. Keith (2001). Geoengineering and carbon management: Is there a meaningful distinction? Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies: Proceedings of the 5th International Conference. D. Williams, B. Durie, P. McMullan, C. Paulson and A. Smith eds., CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood, Australia, p. 1192-1197. (PDF)

37. D. W. Keith (2001). Geoengineering. Nature, 409: 420. (PDF)

28. David W. Keith (2000). The Earth is Not Yet an Artifact. IEEE Technology and Society Magazine, 19: 25-28. (PDF)

26. David W. Keith (2000). Geoengineering the Climate: History and Prospect. Annual Review of Energy and the Environment, 25: 245-284. (PDF)

16. David W. Keith (1998). Geoengineering Climate. Elements of Change 1998. S. J. Hassol and J. Katzenberger eds., Aspen Global Change Institute, Aspen Colorado, p. 83-88. (PDF)

9. David W. Keith and Hadi Dowlatabadi (1992). A Serious Look at Geoengineering. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 73: 289-293. (PDF)
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It just gets worser and worser:

Hundreds of fishermen missing in Philippine storm

NEW BATAAN, Philippines (AP) - The number of people missing after a typhoon devastated parts of the southern Philippines jumped to nearly 900 after families and fishing companies reported losing contact with more than 300 fishermen at sea, officials said Sunday.

The fishermen from southern General Santos city and nearby Sarangani province left a few days before Typhoon Bopha hit the main southern island of Mindanao on Tuesday, triggering flash floods that killed more than 600, Civil Defense chief Benito Ramos said.

Ramos said the fishermen were headed to the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea and to the Pacific Ocean. He said there has been no contact from them for a week.
"We have declared them missing," he said. "Maybe they are still alive."

Ramos said they may have sought shelter on the many small islands in the Spratlys and the Celebes Sea, and lost battery power and have not been able to call.

He said the coast guard, navy and fishing vessels have launched a search.


Source: Associated Press
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13805
Quoting 1911maker:
Celebrate Bill of Rights Day on December 15!

Link

I have no idea if this sight is a good one or not. IT was the first one that came up on search.

For those of you not in the US, (and some in the US also) the bill of rights is not just about any one amendment, it is a complete document.

It is worth noting that the people (as a group) the most opposed to the first amendment support the second amendment. The people (as a group) who support the first amendment are very opposed to the second amendment.

These two amendments, more then any others cause the most political dispute in and division in this country. They tend to define the left and the right. In fact, they cause so much dispute, that my putting this post here will likely lead to a major political fight and I will get banned.

With that said, every one have a happy "Bill of rights day".

MY political views come from the oldFederalist
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Quoting trunkmonkey:


Just remember the 1st. Amendment doesn't apply here!

????
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Quoting 1911maker:
I have no idea if this sight is a good one or not. IT was the first one that came up on search.
Well, the Koch brothers--in the guise of Koch Industries, one of the most anti-science, anti-democracy entities in the world today--has its fingerprints all over the group running the site, so I'd suggest a healthy dose of caution before venturing in.
Quoting 1911maker:
It is worth noting that the people (as a group) the most opposed to the first amendment support the second amendment. The people (as a group) who support the first amendment are very opposed to the second amendment.
I wouldn't say this statement is necessarily true. I, for one, support all the amendments equally, and would fight to the death for each and every one. But having said that, there is a lot of disagreement on exactly what those two amendments mean. Some who'd like to see the establishment of a state-sponsored religion, for instance, think certain provisions of the First Amendment should be downplayed, if not stripped. And others don't believe the Forefathers' intent with the Second Amendment was that sixth graders should be allowed to carry concealed semiautomatic weapons to school. But I have to disagree with overgeneralizations such as the one you made.
Member Since: November 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13805
Celebrate Bill of Rights Day on December 15!

Link

I have no idea if this sight is a good one or not. IT was the first one that came up on search.

For those of you not in the US, (and some in the US also) the bill of rights is not just about any one amendment, it is a complete document.

It is worth noting that the people (as a group) the most opposed to the first amendment support the second amendment. The people (as a group) who support the first amendment are very opposed to the second amendment.

These two amendments, more then any others cause the most political dispute in and division in this country. They tend to define the left and the right. In fact, they cause so much dispute, that my putting this post here will likely lead to a major political fight and I will get banned.

With that said, every one have a happy "Bill of rights day".
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12z GFS spins a decent little storm up off the NE coast in 7-8 days:

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Quoting wxgeek723:
Anyone so inclined to follow the Upper Midwest snowstorm today, here are some weather cam links:

Minnesota

Wisconsin

Iowa

Michigan

South Dakota

North Dakota




there dead links
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Winter Storm Caesar is supposed to give me 2-4" of snow this evening:

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Quoting Neapolitan:
One of the most cherished parts of the United States Constitution, and one that is under near constant attack by those who fear a free press; by those who think protesters should have no rights; by those who'd like to see opinions different from their own silenced; by those who want the stark lines separating government and religion blurred or obliterated. All dangerous stuff, so defensive vigilance every bit as constant as those attacks must be maintained.
Thank you Neo, we disagrees on a lot of issues, but we respect each other as Americans, and the freedoms that come with it.
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Anyone so inclined to follow the Upper Midwest snowstorm today, here are some weather cam links:

Minnesota

Wisconsin

Iowa

Michigan

South Dakota

North Dakota
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Models did a good job picking up on this pattern change, but it does mean the possibility of significant severe weather outbreaks.. DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CST SUN DEC 09 2012

VALID 121200Z - 171200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A SIGNIFICANT SHORT
WAVE TROUGH...DIGGING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD...WILL INTERACT WITH A BELT OF WESTERLIES EMERGING FROM THE
SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC...BEFORE TURNING EAST TOWARD THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE COMING WORK WEEK. AS THIS
OCCURS...SIGNIFICANT MID/UPPER JET INTENSIFICATION APPEARS LIKELY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TIER OF THE U.S. TO THE EAST
OF THE ROCKIES...WITH THE JET LINGERING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND INTO
THE EARLY PART OF THE FOLLOWING WEEK...WHILE ANOTHER VERY STRONG
MID-LATITUDE JET STREAK BEGINS TO NOSE INLAND ACROSS THE PACIFIC
COAST. ADDITIONAL AMPLIFYING SHORT WAVE IMPULSES ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE FEATURES MAY POSE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS
WHICH COULD BECOME CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING A REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT...ANYWHERE FROM THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS EASTWARD
THROUGH THE MID SOUTH AND GULF STATES AND MIDDLE/SOUTHERN ATLANTIC
SEABOARD. WHILE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL APPEARS LIKELY TO
INCREASE...WITH AT LEAST A FEW RELATIVELY MINOR BOUTS OF POTENTIAL
SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT...PREDICTABILITY REMAINS TOO LOW TO
CONFIDENTLY ASCERTAIN AND DELINEATE A REGIONAL SEVERE RISK AREA.

..KERR.. 12/09/2012
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From Hamweather:

Record Events Summary for The Past Week
Total Records: 2470
Rainfall: 332
Snowfall: 54
High Temp: 1130
Low Max Temp: 8
High Min Temp: 946
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
This looks cool, note the subtropical jet on the bottom and the two large troughs in the polar jetstream up top..
and the US in the middle... Amplified patterns:
Yes...The GFS is showing a series of potent storms for the next 2 weeks..I believe two of them will cause severe weather...GFS link..Link
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lOCAL MET is saying rain chances better this week yesss
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 42267
Severe Studios‏@severestudios

Tornado threat today in Arkansas and parts of surrounding states: http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/day1.tornado.gif
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736. etxwx
Good morning all. Looks like winter has arrived up north because a big flock of robins just landed in our back yard. It's unseasonably warm here today in E. Texas with a colder trend late in the week. We did get a third of an inch of rain last night, that helped a bit, but it's way too dry for this time of year. There's a possibility of more rain today and tomorrow. I even washed the windows to encourage the rain...maybe I should hang laundry out, too. :)
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Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Winter Storm Caesar is dumping in excess of a half a foot of snow across Minnesota and lesser totals in surrounding states.




Considering they are so far below normal this year, this probably won't even make a significant difference.
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Claudia looks to be undergoing an EWRC, although it probably won't restrengthen much if at all since it's moving into less favorable conditions and should be extratropical in a few days:

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Low this morning 70, high yesterday 83, rain for Nov zero, rain so far december 0. Temps have been 15 to 20 degrees above normal since October. Outlook more of the same, some cool spells but they should only last 2 to 3 days. Strong front in Texas now with Zero rain associated with it.
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This looks cool, note the subtropical jet on the bottom and the two large troughs in the polar jetstream up top..
and the US in the middle... Amplified patterns:
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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