Very warm November assures 2012 will be warmest year in U.S. history

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:39 PM GMT on December 07, 2012

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The heat is on again in the U.S. After recording its first cooler-than-average month in sixteen months during October, the U.S. heated up considerably in November, notching its 20th warmest November since 1895, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in their latest State of the Climate report. The warm November virtually assures that 2012 will be the warmest year on record in the U.S. The year-to-date period of January - November has been by far the warmest such period on record for the contiguous U.S.--a remarkable 1.0°F above the previous record. During the 11-month period, 18 states were record warm and an additional 24 states were top ten warm. The December 2011 - November 2012 period was the warmest such 12-month period on record for the contiguous U.S., and the eight warmest 12-month periods since record keeping began in 1895 have all ended during 2012. December 2012 would have to be 1°F colder than our coldest December on record (set in 1983) to prevent the year 2012 from being the warmest in U.S. history. This is meteorologically impossible, given the recent December heat in the U.S. As wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt reported, an early-December heat wave this week set records for warmest December temperature on record in seven states. December 2012 is on pace to be a top-20% warmest December on record in the U.S.

November 2012 was the 8th driest November on record for the U.S., and twenty-two states had top-ten driest Novembers. The area of the contiguous U.S. experiencing moderate-to-exceptional drought grew from 59% on November 6 to 62% on December 6. This is the largest area of the U.S. in drought since 1954.


Figure 1. Historical temperature ranking for the U.S. for November 2012. Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming had top-ten warmest Novembers, while only North Carolina had a top-ten coldest November. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).


Figure 2. Historical temperature ranking for the U.S. for the January - November period. Eighteen states were record warm, and an additional 24 states were top ten warm. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

Most extreme January - November period on record
The year-to-date January - November period was the most extreme on record in the contiguous U.S., according to NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), which tracks the percentage area of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% and bottom-10% extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought. The CEI was 46% in January - November, more than double the average of 20%. A record 86% of the contiguous U.S. had maximum temperatures that were in the warmest 10% historically during the first eleven months of 2012, and 71% of the U.S. of the U.S. had warm minimum temperatures in the top 10%--2nd highest on record. The percentage area of the U.S. experiencing top-10% drought conditions was 32%, which was the 4th greatest since 1910. Only droughts in the Dust Bowl year of 1934, and during 1954 and 1956, were more extreme for the January - November period. Heavy 1-day downpours have been below average so far in 2012, though, with 9% of nation experiencing a top-10% extreme, compared to the average of 10%.


Figure 3. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - November shows that 2012 had the most extreme first eleven months of the year on record, with 46% of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% extreme weather-more than double the average of 20%.

Jeff Masters

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982. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
18:00 PM FST December 10 2012
================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 03F (997 hPa) located at 18.8S 157.2W is reported as slowly moving. Position fair based on multispectral infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 29C

System lies in a high sheared environment and downstream of an upper level trough. Low level circulation center is partially exposed with convection displaced to the south.

Global models have picked up the system and moves it southwestward with slight intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours is LOW.

System #2
-----------

A 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression 04F (1003 hPa) located at 14.6S 178.0E is reported as slowly moving. Position fair based on multispectral infrared imagery and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 30C.

Organization is slightly improved in past 24 hours. Convection has slightly increased in the past 24 hours. System lies under an upper level ridge in a low sheared environment. The cyclonic circulation extends up to 500 hPa.

Global models have picked up the system and moves it eastward with slight intensification.

Potential for this system to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24-48 hours is LOW.
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981. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17
CYCLONE TROPICAL CLAUDIA (04-20122013)
10:30 AM RET December 10 2012
======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Claudia (956 hPa) located at 16.9S 74.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving south at 5 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0/5.5/W0.5/12 HRS

Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM radius from the center

Storm Force Winds
=================
50 NM radius from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM radius from the center, extending up to 90 NM in the southern semi-circle

Near Gale Force Winds
=====================
110 NM radius from the center, extending up to 170 NM in the southern semi-circle

Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 19.6S 73.5E - 70 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
48 HRS: 24.4S 74.1E - 50 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
72 HRS: 31.2S 79.4E - Depression Extratropicale

Additional Information
=====================
The system has performed cycle of eye last night (residual eye wall on TRMM data of 0156 AM UTC), and is now weakening.

System still undergoes the steering influence of a mid-tropospheric ridge existing in its east. Within the next 36 hours, it should progressively accelerate. Beyond, it is expected to accelerate more rapidly, still on a southward track. On Wednesday, system should encounter the mid-latitude westerly flow and curve southeastward.

Environmental upper levels conditions remain favorable with a weak north-easterly vertical wind shear on the western edge of an upper tropospheric ridge, and good outflow southward always for the next 24 hours. But Sea surface temperatures are becoming less efficient (26.5C), and from this afternoon, Claudia will evolve over more and more cool sea surface temperature by going down southward. So system should begin to weaken rather slowly after has been reaching maximum intensity yesterday evening. Weakening is expected become more rapid on and after Tuesday as northwesterly vertical wind shear will strengthen ahead a high tropospheric trough.

Wednesday, system should begin its extratropical transition. Winds could remain strong then begin to weaken at the end of the forecast period.
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980. Skyepony (Mod)
One more of Claudia


Quoting plutorising:
we got a light rain last night, but it's dry and clear here now. waaah.


Me too. 0.14" lastnight, nothing but stars now. So dry.
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we got a light rain last night, but it's dry and clear here now. waaah.
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Quoting Civicane49:


Although the system will move into sea surface temperatures of 26C, upper air environment will likely be unfavorable for it to further develop. Models are forecasting the system to weaken and later dissipate in the next few days.


oh ok...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting Minnemike:
we got a lot of snow
Did you see the weather terrorists on the 4 with their new mobile weather watcher. Honest to god they have outdone themselves.

Barreiro had some fun with it on the fan this morning and I am sure tomorrow when they name the storm they will lambaste it.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


southwest?? That would make it go into warner sea temperatures. I don't nkw about the upper air environment though?


The system is still attached to a frontal boundary. Although the system will move into sea surface temperatures of 26C, upper air environment will likely be unfavorable for it to further develop. Models are forecasting the system to weaken and later dissipate in the next few days.
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COUNTDOWNS

Dec 17 - My b-day...a week from today
Dec 21 - 11 days...FIRST DAY OF WINTER....NASA says there won't be doom. Im not sure though
Dec 25 - 16 days...Christmas
Jan 1, 2013 - 21 days
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting Civicane49:


True, but models show no subtropical/tropical cyclone development from the current low pressure feature west-northwest of Hawaii. The low is forecast to move southwestward in the next few days.


southwest?? That would make it go into warner sea temperatures. I don't nkw about the upper air environment though?
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
we got a lot of snow
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Houston discussion--a win for dual polarity.

KHGX RADAR ESTIMATES ARE VERY HIGH ON THE PRECIP AND APPEAR TO BE BADLY CONTAMINATED BY HAIL. THE KEWX RADAR (DUAL POL) APPEAR TO FIT THE OBS AROUND THE CLL AREA MUCH MORE CLOSELY. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO RAISE THE POPS FOR THE SOUTHERN AREAS WITH THE FRONT NOW TIMED TO REACH THE DOWNTOWN HOUSTON METRO AREA AROUND 1130 PM-1230 AM WITH ABOUT A 10 DEGREE TEMPERATURE DROP WITHIN THE 15 MINUTES AFTER FROPA.
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Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


That's how Omeka began


True, but models show no subtropical/tropical cyclone development from the current low pressure feature west-northwest of Hawaii. The low is forecast to move southwestward in the next few days.
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Quoting Civicane49:
Interesting low pressure system west-northwest of Hawaii:



That's how Omeka began
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
Quoting txjac:
OMG ..this rain is going to miss me ...been waiting for it all day ...very humid day here ...really thought that west Houston would get some much anticipated rain
I got thunder out of it, hasn't rained here since Sept, did have a light shower in October but not a trace since then. May get some showers later this week? I hate droughts! Good thing is it is down to 56.
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Time waits for nobody.
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965. wxmod
Lovely ship pollution. MODIS satellite photo today

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964. txjac
OMG ..this rain is going to miss me ...been waiting for it all day ...very humid day here ...really thought that west Houston would get some much anticipated rain
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Mesoscale discussion 2144
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Intense Tropical Cyclone Claudia:

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Quoting AstroHurricane001:
Rain, no snow, here in Southern Ontario. Two years ago today some parts of SW Ontario were covered with six feet of it.


But then that was basically it for the winter.
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Interesting low pressure system west-northwest of Hawaii:

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Rain, no snow, here in Southern Ontario. Two years ago today some parts of SW Ontario were covered with six feet of it.
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956. wxmod
Pacific weather manipulation on a scale as big as the USA. MODIS today

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954. wxmod
MODIS satellite pacific today

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953. wxmod
Another day of grand scale manipulation of our precious atmosphere. Some day you will not be able to breath it. You will not be a survivor no matter how well you prepare. MODIS SATELLITE PHOTO Pacific ocean today.

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952. txjac
Almost nine in the evening here and still sitting at 73 degrees ...come on cold front!
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...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM EST TUE DEC 08 THROUGH 900 PM EST WED DEC 09...

...MICHIGAN...
GRAYLING 10 S 4.0
EAST JORDAN 3.5
FIFE LAKE 3.0
HARRISON 3.0
SCOTTVILLE 6 NNW 2.0
INDIAN RIVER 1.2

...MINNESOTA...
SACRED HEART 17.3
GRANITE FALLS 15.5
HAM LAKE 15.2
SILVER CREEK 4 SSE 14.0
ISANTI 13.5
KINGSTON 13.0
PRINCETON 8 ESE 13.0
RED WING 3 W 13.0
REDWOOD FALLS 3 NW 13.0
HASTINGS 12.5
WILLMAR 11.8
SWANVILLE 0.6 SSW 11.4
SHOREVIEW 11.0
SAINT CLOUD 10.8
MONTEVIDEO 0.4 SSW 10.0
SAUK RAPIDS 10.0
MINNEAPOLIS 1 W 9.5
MURDOCK 9.4
DULUTH 3 NW 7.8

...NORTH DAKOTA...
NEW SALEM 13.7 SSE 8.0
ROOSEVELT 8 NNE 6.0
BEULAH 15.0 NNW 5.0

...SOUTH DAKOTA...
BROOKINGS 1.1 S 11.0
MADISON 11.0
ASTORIA 8.5
DE SMET 0.2 SSE 8.0
FLANDREAU 1 NW 8.0
WATERTOWN 2.7 E 8.0
MILBANK 0.9 NNW 7.2
HURON 7.1
ABERDEEN 1.5 SSW 7.0
GANN VALLEY 7.8 WNW 6.4
WESSINGTON SPRINGS 6.0
WOONSOCKET 6.0

...WISCONSIN...
EAST FARMINGTON 3 E 14.0
OSCEOLA 13.5
MENOMONIE 12.1
GRANSTBURG 4 N 7.0
MONDOVI 7.0
LA CROSSE NWS 6.5
STEVENS POINT 4.0
OREGON 5.3 W 3.5
ST. CROIX FALLS 7.0 ESE 3.5
DRESSER 6.1 ESE 3.3
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Claudia:

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No rain here but I heard Thunder for first time since September, LOL. Got close, Bastrop got over 1 inch.
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
821 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN WINN PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHERN BIENVILLE PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...
NORTH CENTRAL NATCHITOCHES PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...

* UNTIL 845 PM CST

* AT 819 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SALINE...OR 22 MILES WEST OF JONESBORO...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO LUCKY
AND FRIENDSHIP...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE
STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...
MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 9306 3217 9311 3235 9291 3220 9280
3215 9282 3214 9280
TIME...MOT...LOC 0221Z 243DEG 26KT 3214 9305

$$

20
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7724
Quoting sunlinepr:Residents affected by typhoon Bopha crowd as relief goods are distributed at New Bataan township, Compostela Valley in southern Philippines Sunday Dec. 9, 2012. The number of missing in the wake of the typhoon that devastated parts of the southern Philippines has jumped to nearly 900 after families and fishing companies reported losing contact with more than 300 fishermen in the South China Sea and Pacific Ocean, officials said Sunday.


It should be pointed out that PAGASA was warning this as a (175kph) or 110mph 10-minute sustained winds, which is proably an under-estimate of the real 10 minute sustained wind speed.

The NOAA Advanced Dvorak Technique page suggested a 175mph 1 minute sustained wind speed.

I kept harping on this, and I fear I was right. I think they incorrectly transliterated units and reported the storm with having wind speeds of only 60% of what they were supposed to report.

Look at the confusion that happened here.

I doubt 300 fisherman would get in fishing boats and go out into a category 5 SS equivalent typhoon if they actually knew how powerful it was. Even if they were in a boat, they should have gone south towards the equator.

I also don't recall seeing any boats of significant size in the Google Earth photos, they looked more like boats in the 20 to 40 feet range, if I remember right, not much bigger than a personal water craft. Who would go onto the ocean in that if they actually knew what was coming since 3 days earlier, like we were watching?

There must have been some kind of mis-communication involved.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
945. beell
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
550 PM CST SUN DEC 9 2012

...AFTER A BLUSTERY...OVERCAST AND COOL MONDAY AFTERNOON CLEARING
SKIES WILL ALLOW NON-COASTAL TEMPERATURES TO QUICKLY PLUMMENT
INTO THE 40S AND EVENTUAL 30S THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SURFACE
RIDGING WILL CALM WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL PROVIDE THE SETTING
FOR EFFICIENT RADIATIVE COOLING. AN AREAWIDE FREEZE WARNING IS
ANTICIPATED FOR BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNINGS AS THERMOMETERS
WILL FALL TO (OR BELOW) FREEZING FOR AT LEAST 6 HOURS ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE CWA (OR FOR ALL COMMUNITIES NOT BORDERING THE
GULF/BAY WATERS)...

Houston Intercontinental Airport (KIAH)

Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 33. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 54. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday Night Clear, with a low around 32. North wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 56.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
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Is this the future of Texas? From Al-Jazeera English

Debilitating drought devastates Brazil
The driest conditions in 50 years are wiping out the region's cattle with the threat of 'ghost towns' as ranchers flee.
Gabriel Elizondo Last Modified: 09 Dec 2012 15:12

Serrita, Brazil - Djalma Sedrim worked his entire life to build up his cattle ranch and livelihood, only to see the worst drought in a half century dry it all up in a matter of months.

The 75-year-old rancher had about 1,000 cattle and a plot of land where he and his wife grew corn.

But then the weather changed everything.

Read article here
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Hundreds of fishermen missing in Philippine storm
By By BULLIT MARQUEZ | Associated Press – 1 hr 11 mins ago


Residents affected by typhoon Bopha crowd as relief goods are distributed at New Bataan township, Compostela Valley in southern Philippines Sunday Dec. 9, 2012. The number of missing in the wake of the typhoon that devastated parts of the southern Philippines has jumped to nearly 900 after families and fishing companies reported losing contact with more than 300 fishermen in the South China Sea and Pacific Ocean, officials said Sunday. (AP Photo/Bullit Marquez)
Enlarge Photo

Associated Press/Bullit Marquez - Residents affected by typhoon Bopha crowd as relief goods are distributed at New Bataan township, Compostela Valley in southern Philippines Sunday Dec. 9, 2012. The number …more

Related Content


Residents affected by typhoon Bopha beg for aid from passing motorists along a highway at Montevista township, Compostela Valley in southern Philippines Sunday Dec. 9, 2012. The number of missing in the wake of a typhoon that devastated parts of the southern Philippines has jumped to nearly 900 after families and fishing companies reported losing contact with more than 300 fishermen in the South China Sea and Pacific Ocean, officials said Sunday. (AP Photo/Bullit Marquez)Enlarge Photo

Residents affected by typhoon Bopha …
Residents affected by typhoon Bopha crowd as relief goods are distributed at New Bataan township, Compostela Valley in southern Philippines Sunday Dec. 9, 2012. The number of missing in the wake of the typhoon that devastated parts of the southern Philippines has jumped to nearly 900 after families and fishing companies reported losing contact with more than 300 fishermen in the South China Sea and Pacific Ocean, officials said Sunday. (AP Photo/Bullit Marquez)Enlarge Photo

Residents affected by typhoon Bopha …

NEW BATAAN, Philippines (AP) — The number of people missing after a typhoon devastated the Philippines jumped to nearly 900 after families and fishing companies reported losing contact with more than 300 fishermen at sea, officials said.

The fishermen from southern General Santos city and nearby Sarangani province left a few days before Typhoon Bopha hit the main southern island of Mindanao on Tuesday, Civil Defense chief Benito Ramos said. The death toll has already surpassed 600, mostly from flash floods that wiped away precarious communities in the southern region unaccustomed to typhoons.

Ramos said the fishermen were headed to the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea and to the Pacific Ocean. Coast guard, navy and fishing vessels are searching for them, and some may have sought shelter on the many small islands in the area.

"Maybe they are still alive," Ramos said Sunday.

Bopha was dissipating finally in the South China Sea after briefly veering back toward the country's northwest on Saturday, prompting worries of more devastation.

Rescuers were searching for bodies or signs of life under tons of fallen trees and boulders in the worst-hit town of New Bataan, where rocks, mud and other rubble destroyed landmarks, making it doubly difficult to search places where houses once stood.

Hundreds of refugees, rescuers and aid workers took a break Sunday to watch the Manny Pacquiao-Juan Manuel Marquez fight on a big TV screen, only to be dismayed by their hero's sixth-round knockout.

Elementary school teacher Constancio Olivar said people fell silent when Pacquiao, a congressman who comes from the southern Philippines where the storm hit, fell heavily to the canvas and remained motionless for some time.

"It was like a double blow for me — this disaster and this defeat," said Olivar, whose house was destroyed in the storm. "We were all crestfallen. Everyone fell silent, stunned. It was like we saw a tsunami."

Nearly 400,000 people, mostly from Compostela Valley and nearby Davao Oriental province, have lost their homes and are crowded inside evacuation centers or staying with relatives.

President Benigno Aquino III has declared a national calamity, which allows for price controls on basic commodities in typhoon-affected areas and the quick release of emergency funds.

Officials said Sunday that 316 people were killed in Compostela Valley, including 165 in New Bataan, and 301 in Davao Oriental. More than 45 people were killed elsewhere. Nearly 900 are missing, including the fishermen and 440 from New Bataan alone.

Davao Oriental authorities imposed a curfew there and ordered police to guard stores and shops to prevent looting.

The typhoon destroyed about 18 percent of the banana plantations in Mindanao, causing losses estimated at 12 billion pesos ($300 million), according to Stephen Antig, executive director of the Pilipino Banana Growers and Exporters Association.

The Philippines is the world's third-largest banana producer and exporter, supplying international brands such as Dole, Chiquita and Del Monte.
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942. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting indianrivguy:

looked so cold, I had to turn this AC off and put on a shirt..


My high today was 88.9 °F. I had to bathe & bodyclip Busterpony. It's the second time since summer I've had to do that. I've never seen a horse need clipped twice in the fall/winter to get through. Both times panting from the heat.
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The lake supports snow on my side.

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Quoting indianrivguy:


I heard the Packers paid some Canadian dude to seed the clouds so it would snow at Lam Bow and freak those indoor stadium sissy Lions out...



Looked more like sleet than snow in the pregame.

update, coming down pretty good.. is this "lake effect" snow?

is it usually heavy like this? this looks... moist

looked so cold, I had to turn this AC off and put on a shirt..


Green Bay isn't getting any lake effect or lake enhancement from this. It's called Caesar by TWC and it's moving to the northeast and it came from Colorado.

The snow like you said is moist, which is exactly what I've been getting all day in the mid LP of Michigan, the bad kind for driving.
Member Since: July 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1183
Quoting indianrivguy:


I heard the Packers paid some Canadian dude to seed the clouds so it would snow at Lam Bow and freak those indoor stadium sissy Lions out...



Looked more like sleet than snow in the pregame.


It was 33F during the pregame. That will drop and we'll see it change to more snow.
Member Since: July 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1183
Quoting wxchaser97:
Well I am back. It is going to be a snowy game for the Lions as they take on the Packers. A winter weather advisory is in effect for 3-5" in the Green Bay area.


I heard the Packers paid some Canadian dude to seed the clouds so it would snow at Lam Bow and freak those indoor stadium sissy Lions out...



Looked more like sleet than snow in the pregame.

update, coming down pretty good.. is this "lake effect" snow?

is it usually heavy like this? this looks... moist

looked so cold, I had to turn this AC off and put on a shirt..
Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 2535
Front came thru here dry, 44 days without a Trace of rain, temp has dropped from 80s today down to 60s now.
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936. Skyepony (Mod)
That is a good festival...

Wab~ That's the one that had the 3' tsunami?


Storms seem really spread out.
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Quoting wxchaser97:
Well I am back. It is going to be a snowy game for the Lions as they take on the Packers. A winter weather advisory is in effect for 3-5" in the Green Bay area.

Well, I am watching pre-game and it's snowing there, but it's not sticking to the ground because the ground is not cold enough so it'll be wet game for both teams.
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Quoting plutorising:

when i went to my favorite frog leg place on ponchartrain in metairie, i was told that they get frogs legs frozen, from china.


This talk of frogs legs only reminds me of the Muppet Movie LOL
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Quoting plutorising:

when i went to my favorite frog leg place on ponchartrain in metairie, i was told that they get frogs legs frozen, from china.


Not me, I get mine from the mercury contaminated wetlands here. :)

peanut oil for me.

Fellsmere Florida has a pretty good festival. Next month...

Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 2535
932. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #16
CYCLONE TROPICAL INTENSE CLAUDIA (04-20122013)
4:30 AM RET December 10 2012
======================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Intense Tropical Cyclone Claudia (952 hPa) located at 16.3S 74.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 125 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving south at 5 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.0/5.5/W0.5/6 HRS

Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM radius from the center

Storm Force Winds
=================
50 NM radius from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM radius from the center, extending up to 90 NM in the southern semi-circle

Near Gale Force Winds
=====================
90 NM radius from the center, extending up to 100 NM in the northeastern quadrant and up to 170 NM in the southern semi-circle

Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 18.6S 73.6E - 75 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
48 HRS: 22.8S 73.5E - 50 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
72 HRS: 28.9S 77.1E - Depression Extratropicale

Additional Information
=====================
For the last 6 hours, the eye has cooled and has become less clean, while top of clouds has warmed. DT numbers averaged over 6hrs and 3hrs is respectively 5.4 and 5.2. ADT is to high, but falling since 1800 PM UTC. CIMSS-AMSU estimation is at 95 knots. Current intensity is maintained at 90 knots.

System still undergoes the steering influence of a mid-tropospheric ridge existing in its east. Within the next 24 hours, it should progressively accelerate. Beyond, it is expected to accelerate more rapidly, still on a southward track. Wednesday, system should encounter the mid-latitude westerly flow and curve southeastward.

Environmental conditions remain favorable with a weak northeasterly vertical wind shear (8 knots) on the western edge of an upper tropospheric ridge, and good outflow southward and westward. Sea surface temperatures are still efficient (27C), but from this afternoon, Claudia will evolve over more and more cool sea surface temperatures by going down southward. So system should begin to weaken rather slowly after has been reaching maximum intensity yesterday evening. Weakening is expected become more rapid on and after Tuesday as northwesterly vertical wind shear will strengthen ahead a high tropospheric trough.

Wednesday, system should begin its extratropical transition. Winds could remain strong then begin to weaken at the end of the forecast period.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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