Very warm November assures 2012 will be warmest year in U.S. history
The heat is on again in the U.S. After recording its first cooler-than-average month in sixteen months during October, the U.S. heated up considerably in November, notching its 20th warmest November since 1895, said NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in their latest State of the Climate report. The warm November virtually assures that 2012 will be the warmest year on record in the U.S. The year-to-date period of January - November has been by far the warmest such period on record for the contiguous U.S.--a remarkable 1.0°F above the previous record. During the 11-month period, 18 states were record warm and an additional 24 states were top ten warm. The December 2011 - November 2012 period was the warmest such 12-month period on record for the contiguous U.S., and the eight warmest 12-month periods since record keeping began in 1895 have all ended during 2012. December 2012 would have to be 1°F colder than our coldest December on record (set in 1983) to prevent the year 2012 from being the warmest in U.S. history. This is meteorologically impossible, given the recent December heat in the U.S. As wunderground's weather historian Christopher C. Burt reported, an early-December heat wave this week set records for warmest December temperature on record in seven states. December 2012 is on pace to be a top-20% warmest December on record in the U.S.
November 2012 was the 8th driest November on record for the U.S., and twenty-two states had top-ten driest Novembers. The area of the contiguous U.S. experiencing moderate-to-exceptional drought grew from 59% on November 6 to 62% on December 6. This is the largest area of the U.S. in drought since 1954.
Figure 1. Historical temperature ranking for the U.S. for November 2012. Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, and Wyoming had top-ten warmest Novembers, while only North Carolina had a top-ten coldest November. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).
Figure 2. Historical temperature ranking for the U.S. for the January - November period. Eighteen states were record warm, and an additional 24 states were top ten warm. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).
Most extreme January - November period on record
The year-to-date January - November period was the most extreme on record in the contiguous U.S., according to NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI), which tracks the percentage area of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% and bottom-10% extremes in temperature, precipitation, and drought. The CEI was 46% in January - November, more than double the average of 20%. A record 86% of the contiguous U.S. had maximum temperatures that were in the warmest 10% historically during the first eleven months of 2012, and 71% of the U.S. of the U.S. had warm minimum temperatures in the top 10%--2nd highest on record. The percentage area of the U.S. experiencing top-10% drought conditions was 32%, which was the 4th greatest since 1910. Only droughts in the Dust Bowl year of 1934, and during 1954 and 1956, were more extreme for the January - November period. Heavy 1-day downpours have been below average so far in 2012, though, with 9% of nation experiencing a top-10% extreme, compared to the average of 10%.
Figure 3. NOAA's U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January - November shows that 2012 had the most extreme first eleven months of the year on record, with 46% of the contiguous U.S. experiencing top-10% extreme weather-more than double the average of 20%.
Jeff Masters
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By Dennis Jay Santos, Frinston Lim, Nico Alconaba
Inquirer Mindanao
TAGUM CITY, Philippines—Authorities fear that the death toll due to typhoon Pablo (international codename: Bopha) could reach 1,000 as almost 600 bodies have been recovered in the two hardest-hit Mindanao provinces.
The stench of rotting bodies have become unbearable, prompting rescuers to immediately bury the bodies after they were found, said Capt. Raul Villegas, of the Army’s 10th Infantry Division, based in Mawab town, in Compostela Valley.
“We are still hoping we can find survivors,” Villegas said on Sunday. “But the chance (of finding anyone alive) is getting thinner by the hour.”
Search operations on the fifth day after the disaster were concentrated in the devastated town of New Bataan, where sniffer dogs have been deployed to lead teams from police, Army and rescue groups to bodies buried under fallen trees or thick mud that enveloped a large swathe of the desolate town.
At least 316 bodies have been found in Compostela Valley, 165 of them in New Bataan alone. The death toll there included four soldiers belonging to the Charlie Company of the Army’s 66th Infantry Battalion, said Villegas.
At least 441 people are still missing in New Bataan, and 20 others in other areas of the 11-town Compostela Valley.
Villegas said Davao Oriental has recorded 276 dead, including 122 in Baganga and 103 in Cateel municipalities. About 61 persons are still missing in that province.
Villegas said search operations would not be stopped, “’til we can.”
He said identification of the bodies has been a problem due to the heavy stench.
“The bodies are buried immediately with the consent of the relatives,” the military official said.
In Cateel, Davao Oriental, boys and girls are either just loitering aimlessly on the streets, helping their parents in the many tasks at hand, or are begging for food.
Darryl Blatchley, a member of a religious ministry in Davao city, who arrived with a jeepney loaded with relief goods, was overwhelmed with what he saw in the town.
“The villagers badly need food and we have yet to go to remote areas where people are in great need. It’s so sad that help has not reached to their area yet,” he said.
Due to the lack of resources, some villagers opted to bury their dead relatives in the lot where their houses once stood.
“Several of our neighbors had no choice. They do not have money to have a decent burial for the dead,” said Jerry Terio, 40, who has been helping his brother-in-law, who lost his parents and several other family members.
Liza Ayeng, 43, expressed her frustration over the fact that help from the government has not arrived.
“We have asked local politicians for help, but they just told us they have nothing to give,” Ayeng said.
Residents in Baganga town have also complained that they have not received relief goods from the government. They said relief goods were poured in Cateel, the hometown of Governor Corazon Malanyaon.
Leonor Escodillo said she had to leave Baganga for Mati City because they were getting hungrier by the day.
“Walang dumating na relief galing sa gobyerno. Mabuti pa ang GMA 7 nagbigay (No relief goods came from the government. It’s a good thing GMA 7 (television network) gave,” said Escodillo, who was with her one-year-old son on a bus to Mati City to live with her sister.
I have heard in some movies for people to plead the 5th. How many Amendments is there?
27 including the Bill of Rights, I believe
I wouldn't be surprised to see the death toll from Bopha go higher than last year's Washi. Because a different part of Mindanao was hit, there were many people who were not prepared by last year's experience. In the Oro de Cayagan valley, it seems, people were considerably more wary.
They are going to have to do something about the shelter designations, though. Obviously you can't continue to send people to shelters that are going to be flooded by water, engulfed by mud or that will slide down the mountain in heavy rains.
Sad.
The numbers continue to climb
620 People Dead
1448 People Injured
817 People Missing
5,408,229 people effected
11 bridges and 8 road impassable
67,779 houses damaged (32,412 partially damaged. 35,367 totally damaged/destroyed)
Total cost of damage: PHP 6,424,515,300 (US$156,848,521)
Infrastructure = PHP 2,789,381,300 (US$68,100,131)
Agriculture = PHP 3,616,745,507 (US$88,299,453)
I'm Just a Vagabond Lover (1929) Rudy Vallee
Link
What a fight it was. Best of the year I thought. Wow what a punch from Marquez to end it. Maybe the hardest I have ever seen anyone hit in my life. Did you happen to catch Henderson and Diaz in the MMA bout
Link
The female Al Jolson......Sophie Tucker
The 1st Amendment was one of the laws the early US statesmen passed which set it apart from most of the other nations of its day. Unlike the Prohibition amendment, its validity is unchallenged even today.
And, like many other things, lots of people cite it without full knowledge or understanding of what it says. [Just like the Bible or other books of "law"].
I'm off to the store for milk, fruit and a couple other purchases.
I sure wish all I had to do today was wade through 2 inches of Christmas ads.... lol
Seeya later, guys...
I haven't actually seen the fight, either of them. Just kept up to date via twitter.
Wild winds halt Australian Open golf championships in Sydney
GALE force winds have swept through parts of Sydney, bringing down trees and forcing the suspension of the Australian Open golf championships.
Gusts of up to 65 km/h were forecast for Sydney on Sunday, with the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) warning of strong south to southeasterly winds and 2.5 metre seas.
Before noon, the final round of the Australian Open golf championship was halted at the Lakes Golf Club in Sydney's south, as winds of up to 75 km/h left officials with little alternative but to stop play.
A NSW State Emergency Service (SES) spokeswoman said they had received almost 30 requests for assistance due to damaged roofs and fallen trees and branches in south and eastern suburbs. "In particular from Sutherland, Kogarah, Hurstville and Randwick," she told AAP.
Volunteers were also fixing a small part of Matraville Sports High School.
Meanwhile, the BoM has also issued a severe thunderstorm warning for the Mid-North Coast, Hunter and parts of the Central Tablelands and Northern Tablelands districts, forecasting large hailstones, heavy rain and damaging winds.
Locations that may be affected include Taree, Kempsey, Scone, Cessnock, Maitland, Katoomba, Bellingen, Dorrigo and Ebor.
AAP December 09, 2012
AFTER the eastern beaches coastline resembled the Red Sea last Tuesday, the "night lantern" visited Sydney's Malabar beach that evening.
These photos have not been digitally enhanced - in fact, photographer Dr David Psaila said the water was an even more spectacular colour blue than that shown in these images, the Southern Courier reports.
"The organism responsible, Noctiluca Scintillans known as "night lantern" is very aptly named, as it will luminesce a bright blue when it is disturbed by waves," he said.
The Chifley scientist said the red algae that crept along the east coast last week contained a chemical called luciferin which was a common protein found in bioluminescent animals.
“It’s a chemical reaction that causes light,” he said. “It is often found in deep sea creatures and is the exact same chemical that causes fire flies to glow.”
Dr Psaila said although he had seen this effect before but never to this degree.
“The reason why there are probably not seeing it at other beaches is that those beaches would have a lot more lights around so its really hard to see whereas at Malabar – you see the waves rolling in and they are all blue,” he said.
Leesa Smith, Southern Courier
News Limited Network
If you want to see the highlights, you can go to Mmafighting.com and see them. Pac-man vs Marquez is on the lower left.
G'eve mate.
Cool algae pics.
The water here in P'cola glows at nite when you disturb it. Only for a sec tho. It's cool looking.
Thanks for that. I've opened the windows to let in the nice cool breeze that was a wild gale today into my lounge room. I'm going to plonk my butt down in front of the tv to watch the Manchester Derby starting in about 5mins. It's going to be a cracker.
Meanwhile Just north of Fiji.
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 09/0822 UTC 2012 UTC.
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CENTRE [1002HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 15.0S 153.0W AT
090900UTC MOVING SLOWLY WEST. POSITION FAIR BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES
CELCIUS.
SYSTEM LIES IN A MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND JUST WEST OF AN
UPPER DIFFLUENT REGION. CONVECTION HAS NOT INCREASED MUCH IN THE PAST
24 HOURS.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND FURTHER DEVELOPING AND
MOVING IT SOUTHWEST WARDS.
The Depression is intensifying and has a moderate probability of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours. However, from Thursday, the system is expected to be moving into an area of unfavourable conditions, which will significantly reduce its chances of developing into a tropical cyclone, thus, remain as a tropical depression, as it heads into the high seas.
Loop
Everyone have a great day. Goodnight.
Cold Christmas for Florida if this verifies.
White Christmas for many!
Live video of MN winter storm
Nice link..Thanks
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #14
CYCLONE TROPICAL CLAUDIA (04-20122013)
16:30 PM RET December 9 2012
======================================
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Cyclone Claudia (960 hPa) located at 15.5S 74.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving south at 4 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.0/5.5/S0.0/12 HRS
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM radius from the center
Storm Force Winds
=================
45 NM radius from the center, extending up to 50 NM in the southeastern quadrant and up to 55 NM in the southwestern quadrant
Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM radius from the center, extending up to 90 NM in the southeastern quadrant and up to 110 NM in the southwestern quadrant
Near Gale Force Winds
=====================
90 NM radius from the center, extending up to 120 NM in the southeastern quadrant and up to 160 NM in the southwestern quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 17.5S 73.6E - 80 knots (Cyclone Tropical)
48 HRS: 21.2S 72.9E - 60 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
72 HRS: 27.1S 74.5E - 50 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
Additional Information
=====================
Last infrared and visible imagery depict an improving eye pattern since 0900 AM UTC (better eye definition, top of clouds cooling). At 1200 PM UTC, T number averaged over 6h and 3h are respectly. At 4.8 and 4.6. That is the basis for the present intensity estimate.
The system has moved southward at about 4kt over the past 6 hours. Environmental conditions are favorable with a weak northeasterly vertical wind shear (05-10 knots) on the western edge of an upper tropospheric ridge, and with a good outflow southward. Sea surface temperatures are good (27C). System undergoes the steering influence of a mid-tropospheric ridge in its east. After 24 hours, southward movement may remain rather slow, and may increase progressively then and after. Beyond 72 hours, system should encounter the mid-latitude westerly flow and track southeastward faster.
On the forecast track, for the next 24 hours, environmental conditions may remain favorable and system intensity may fluctuate around the actual intensity. after 24 hours, system may begin to weaken, first with the weakening of the heat oceanic content south of 17.0S. On and after 48 hours, the vertical wind shear should strengthen ahead a high tropospheric trough. After 72 hours, system may begin its extratropical transition. Winds may remain strong and begin to weaken at the end of the forecast period. Available numerical weather prediction models are in very good agreement for the track.
Aussie must be tired..
This disturbance mentioned in the tropical disturbance summary is east of the dateline not anywhere near Fiji islands.
Maybe I'll at least get some thunder and wind gusts.
and the US in the middle... Amplified patterns:
Considering they are so far below normal this year, this probably won't even make a significant difference.
Tornado threat today in Arkansas and parts of surrounding states: http://kamala.cod.edu/spc/day1.tornado.gif
Record Events Summary for The Past Week
Total Records: 2470
Rainfall: 332
Snowfall: 54
High Temp: 1130
Low Max Temp: 8
High Min Temp: 946
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CST SUN DEC 09 2012
VALID 121200Z - 171200Z
...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A SIGNIFICANT SHORT
WAVE TROUGH...DIGGING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD...WILL INTERACT WITH A BELT OF WESTERLIES EMERGING FROM THE
SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC...BEFORE TURNING EAST TOWARD THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE COMING WORK WEEK. AS THIS
OCCURS...SIGNIFICANT MID/UPPER JET INTENSIFICATION APPEARS LIKELY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TIER OF THE U.S. TO THE EAST
OF THE ROCKIES...WITH THE JET LINGERING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND INTO
THE EARLY PART OF THE FOLLOWING WEEK...WHILE ANOTHER VERY STRONG
MID-LATITUDE JET STREAK BEGINS TO NOSE INLAND ACROSS THE PACIFIC
COAST. ADDITIONAL AMPLIFYING SHORT WAVE IMPULSES ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE FEATURES MAY POSE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS
WHICH COULD BECOME CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING A REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT...ANYWHERE FROM THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS EASTWARD
THROUGH THE MID SOUTH AND GULF STATES AND MIDDLE/SOUTHERN ATLANTIC
SEABOARD. WHILE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL APPEARS LIKELY TO
INCREASE...WITH AT LEAST A FEW RELATIVELY MINOR BOUTS OF POTENTIAL
SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT...PREDICTABILITY REMAINS TOO LOW TO
CONFIDENTLY ASCERTAIN AND DELINEATE A REGIONAL SEVERE RISK AREA.
..KERR.. 12/09/2012
Minnesota
Wisconsin
Iowa
Michigan
South Dakota
North Dakota
there dead links
Link
I have no idea if this sight is a good one or not. IT was the first one that came up on search.
For those of you not in the US, (and some in the US also) the bill of rights is not just about any one amendment, it is a complete document.
It is worth noting that the people (as a group) the most opposed to the first amendment support the second amendment. The people (as a group) who support the first amendment are very opposed to the second amendment.
These two amendments, more then any others cause the most political dispute in and division in this country. They tend to define the left and the right. In fact, they cause so much dispute, that my putting this post here will likely lead to a major political fight and I will get banned.
With that said, every one have a happy "Bill of rights day".
????
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