Typhoon Bopha hits the Philippines at Cat 5 strength; at least 40 killed

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:00 PM GMT on December 04, 2012

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Typhoon Bopha slammed ashore on the Philippine island of Mindanao at 4:45 am local time on Tuesday morning as a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds. Bopha is the third Category 5 typhoon to affect the Western Pacific this year, and the strongest typhoon ever recorded to hit Mindanao, which rarely sees strong typhoons due to its position close to the Equator. The death toll from the powerful storm already stands at 40, and is expected to rise. While passage over land has weakened Bopha to a Category 2 storm, the tropical cyclone is spreading torrential rains over a large portion of the southern Philippine Islands, and this will cause serious flooding problems today. The island of Mindanao is highly vulnerable to flood disasters from tropical cyclones; last year's Tropical Storm Washi, which hit Mindanao on December 16, 2011 with 60 mph winds and torrential rains, killed over 1500 people. Before hitting the Philippines, Typhoon Bopha brought a storm surge estimated at ten feet to the island nation of Palau, where near-total destruction is being reported in some coastal areas.


Figure 1. Super Typhoon Bopha as seen from the International Space Station on December 2, 2012. At the time, Bopha had top sustained winds of 150 - 155 mph. Image credit: NASA.

Bopha: the 2nd most southerly Category 5 typhoon on record
Bopha, a Cambodian word for flower or a girl, became a tropical depression unusually close to the Equator, at 3.6°N latitude. Tropical cyclones rarely form so close to the Equator, because they cannot leverage the Earth's rotation to get themselves spinning. Bopha became the second most southerly Category 5 typhoon on Monday at 7.4°N latitude. The record is held by Typhoon Louise of 1964, which was a Category 5 storm at 7.3°N.


Video 1. Scenes of wind damage and flooding from Typhoon Bopha's landfall in the Philippines yesterday.

Jeff Masters

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501. VR46L
10:00 PM GMT on December 06, 2012
.
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
500. GeorgiaStormz
5:31 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
WITH A
STRONG +100KT UPPER JET AND FORECAST MUCAPE OF LESS THAN 500
J/KG...THIS IS LOOKING TO BE A HIGH SHEAR LOW CAPE SYSTEM....
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9757
499. GeorgiaStormz
5:27 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
MODELS ARE NOW SHOWING A MUCH FASTER
PROGRESSION WITH THE TROUGH...SHOWING LESS OF A TENDENCY TO DIG IN
ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES. RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY HAS BEEN
RATHER POOR WITH RESPECT TO TIMING...STRENGTH...AND POSITION OF
THIS SYSTEM. A MORE PROGRESSIVE NATURE AND POSITIVE TILT OF THE
TROUGH AS SHOWN BY THE CURRENT MODEL FORECASTS WOULD LIMIT ANY
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TO A NARROW AXIS IMMEDIATELY ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF
THIS SYSTEM PRECLUDES THE INTRODUCTION OF ANY HAZARDOUS WEATHER
INTO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
_________________________________________________ ___

bummer.... -__-

Maybe just one of those really long squall lines that pass by in 20 minutes. If that much.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9757
498. Minnemike
5:27 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
since this blog is moving on, i'm gonna shout out to my best friend Nicholas David (mrozinski) who is Killin it on the Voice, moving to top 4!!!
sorry doc, hope i haven't broken the rule of the road too badly ;)
Member Since: July 31, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
497. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
5:21 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
496. GeorgiaStormz
5:20 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
LOL GFS showing snow in TN in 5-6 days and freezing temps directly behind a front.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9757
495. Minnemike
5:20 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting plutorising:
well, this is an argument in favor of chemtrails. not my own research.
this is neither an argument for anything, nor relevant to modern commercial air traffic, but yes, it is a news story about cold war antics decades ago.. ok then
Member Since: July 31, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
494. hydrus
5:16 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting Minnemike:
big change a comin, it sure feels to me.. thinking about that well of deep cold pooling, something's gotta give!
Possible severe weather, could be some strong tornadoes. The GFS still showing positive tilt, but if that changes not good.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22592
493. plutorising
5:13 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
well, this is an argument in favor of chemtrails. not my own research.
Member Since: August 30, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 81
492. GeorgiaStormz
5:03 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting hydrus:
Mets are talkin about a big pattern shift with severe weather and snow.



The models may be transitioning to a flatter sort of trough, this wasnt even on the run consistently in this time fram till yesterday but it has consistency now:

NOW:



12 hour ago run:


24hr ago run when it first started to show up:


It tends to go negative in the mid atlantic


Almost NO CAPE forecast at this time...but we'll have to see if any can develop.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9757
491. hydrus
5:03 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting Luisport:
Philippine: Death toll due to typhoon rises to 274 (video)
Posted today at 14:02 The number of deaths caused by the passage of Typhoon Bopha the Philippines rose to 274 and hundreds of people still missing, reported the civil protection services.
The typhoon hit the island of Mindanao (south) on Tuesday with gusts of 210 kilometers / hour uprooted trees and destroyed hundreds of thousands of homes.

The storm caused flooding and landslides, especially near the towns of New Bataan and Monkayo​​, killing at least 253 people, according to the head of the civil protection Benito Ramos.

21 others died in other parts of Mindanao and other islands, according to the same charge.

The interior ministers, Mar Roxas, and Social Affairs, Corazon Soliman, traveled to Mindanao to monitor the relief operations and described a scene of devastation.

"They are whole families, six or seven names with the same surname. It is sad to think that entire families were washed away, "Roxas said in an interview with ABS-CBN television.

http://www.tsf.pt/PaginaInicial/Vida/Interior.asp x?content_id=2928455
Knew it was going to be bad down there. Makes me sad.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22592
490. Minnemike
4:59 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting hydrus:
Chicken, AK..:)
Quoting hydrus:
Mets are talkin about a big pattern shift with severe weather and snow.
big change a comin, it sure feels to me.. thinking about that well of deep cold pooling, something's gotta give!
Member Since: July 31, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
489. GeorgiaStormz
4:58 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EVIDENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS DAY
4 /SAT. 12-8/...AND THEN EXPANDING INTO THE OH/TN/MID AND LOWER MS
VALLEYS AND WRN GULF COAST REGION DAY 5
...AS FRONTAL CYCLOGENESIS
OVER THE SRN PLAINS DAY 4 SHIFTS NEWD DAY 5 ALONG THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE -- ALLOWING A TRAILING COLD FRONTAL SURGE TO OCCUR. WITH A
SEASONABLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN PLACE IN THE WARM SECTOR IN
CONJUNCTION WITH MODERATELY STRONG FLOW ALOFT...GENERAL SEVERE
POTENTIAL APPEARS POSSIBLE
. ATTM HOWEVER...WILL OPT NOT TO
INTRODUCE ANY THREAT AREAS SUGGESTING A MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE
EVENT...AS SUCH A SCENARIO CURRENTLY APPEARS UNLIKELY.
_________________________________________________ _____

Im getting my hopes up, it wont be as warm or humid as this week but still....
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9757
488. Luisport
4:58 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting hydrus:
Mets are talkin about a big pattern shift with severe weather and snow.
Bad weather to where?
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2029
487. hydrus
4:57 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting nymore:
Alaska is still getting crushed with cold air running in some places over 30 degrees below normal. Some let up in the cold is expected next week when temperatures should rise to 15 to 20 degrees below normal.

Chicken Ak got to -50 six days in a row and Tok Ak made it to -58F

Fairbanks yesterday





Chicken, AK..:)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22592
486. hydrus
4:56 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting SteveDa1:
What do we have here? :)

It deepens to 960mb on its way north!

Mets are talkin about a big pattern shift with severe weather and snow.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22592
485. Minnemike
4:55 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Aussie, i'm not offended by the pics, but they seem like something that could maybe be linked to instead, and you could compose a warning about the graphic nature of the images next to the link. my concern is for the younger and very sensitive who may be checking out this site, but unable to comment. best to assume such graphic content is too much for Someone, imo...
however, it is important for us far removed to understand what is going on, so i do thank you.
Member Since: July 31, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1320
484. nymore
4:47 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Alaska is still getting crushed with cold air running in some places over 30 degrees below normal. Some let up in the cold is expected next week when temperatures should rise to 15 to 20 degrees below normal.

Chicken Ak got to -50 six days in a row and Tok Ak made it to -58F

Fairbanks yesterday





Member Since: July 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2260
483. Luisport
4:39 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
ABC7 News‏@abc7newsBayArea

A tree fell onto a house on the 40 block of Lurmont Street in San Francisco. @EricThomasKGO is headed to the scene.
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2029
482. SteveDa1
4:34 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
What do we have here? :)

It deepens to 960mb on its way north!

Member Since: October 17, 2006 Posts: 60 Comments: 1298
481. Luisport
4:26 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Philippine: Death toll due to typhoon rises to 274 (video)
Posted today at 14:02 The number of deaths caused by the passage of Typhoon Bopha the Philippines rose to 274 and hundreds of people still missing, reported the civil protection services.
The typhoon hit the island of Mindanao (south) on Tuesday with gusts of 210 kilometers / hour uprooted trees and destroyed hundreds of thousands of homes.

The storm caused flooding and landslides, especially near the towns of New Bataan and Monkayo​​, killing at least 253 people, according to the head of the civil protection Benito Ramos.

21 others died in other parts of Mindanao and other islands, according to the same charge.

The interior ministers, Mar Roxas, and Social Affairs, Corazon Soliman, traveled to Mindanao to monitor the relief operations and described a scene of devastation.

"They are whole families, six or seven names with the same surname. It is sad to think that entire families were washed away, "Roxas said in an interview with ABS-CBN television.

http://www.tsf.pt/PaginaInicial/Vida/Interior.asp x?content_id=2928455
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2029
480. hydrus
4:25 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Decembr will perhaps tradically end up warm for most people.Something I'm going to really hate.
Just wait until late December, It will make up for the warm period with a cold stormy period.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22592
479. SteveDa1
4:00 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Update from Montreal, Quebec...

I posted a comment a couple of weeks ago about how dry November has been. Well, the numbers are in.

November 2012 recorded 13.8mm(0.52in) of precipitation, which is remarkable considering the next four driest Novembers since 1942 are well above this amount.

1. 2012, 13.8mm(0.52in)
2. 1991, 31.5mm(1.24in)
3. 1998, 35.7mm(1.41in)
4. 1994, 40.2mm(1.58in)
5. 1962, 41.1mm(1.62in)

Ironically, 4 days into December, and we're already at 16.0mm(0.61in) for the month!
Member Since: October 17, 2006 Posts: 60 Comments: 1298
478. pcola57
3:59 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Decembr will perhaps tradically end up warm for most people.Something I'm going to really hate.


I'm pulling for you Washi..
Did you make your list for Santa yet??
I did but I may be on the naughty list.. :)
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6915
477. calkevin77
3:54 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:
This is the last video I will post tonight. Even though many of us don't understand what they are saying, I understand a few words. The look on the peoples faces of shock, sadness and disbelief is all to present. My heart goes out the the people of Mindanao and to the people if the Philippines.



Goodnight all. I will be back in the morning and I'm sure the death toll which is not 274 will only increase.

Goodnight all.


Thank you for all the posts Aussie. Such a tragic situation in the Ph indeed. You are absolutely right. We may all speak a different language and live in a different place on this rock but one thing is true: Pain, loss and compassion are part of a language that is universal. Thoughts and prayers to the people out there.
Member Since: June 9, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 866
476. washingtonian115
3:51 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting pcola57:
I love rainy days..
Makes me feel like going X-mas shopping..
Would rather it would snow but thats out of the question.. :)

Decembr will perhaps tradically end up warm for most people.Something I'm going to really hate.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17804
475. pcola57
3:48 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
I love rainy days..
Makes me feel like going X-mas shopping..
Would rather it would snow but thats out of the question.. :)



Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6915
474. pcola57
3:36 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Hawaii getting rains today..




Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6915
473. pcola57
3:28 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
98S..



Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6915
472. washingtonian115
3:26 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting pcola57:


I realize that washi..
Nature at the helm..
Just hoping it was less of a killing storm..
Can't hold that against me dear..
Oh no I wasn't holding it agisnt you.These storms are more beautiful out in the ocean.When they make landfall it's not a pretty sight to see.Especially at that intensity.

FtMyersgirl:Tombelltx didn't know so I was just warning them If they wanted to reply to my post from now on.Peaople always say who they have on ignore all the time..
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17804
471. FtMyersgal
3:25 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
That map is always giving my area false hope.Temps will rise right back in the 50's and 60's once this little cold wave is over.

Can someone tell TxTombell that I have them on ignore?.Thanks.



I don't mean to be rude wash but.. who you have on ignore is your business not mine and you should keep it to yourself. That's TMI that doesn't need to be shared IMO
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1219
470. pcola57
3:23 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Typhoons/hurricanes aren't always rainbows and sparlkes...


I realize that washi..
Nature at the helm..
Just hoping it was less of a killing storm..
Can't hold that against me dear..
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6915
469. washingtonian115
3:20 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting pcola57:


Some slow moving benefitial re-supply of needed rain headed my way..
And of course whats left of Bopha




A storm of death and destruction.. :(
Typhoons/hurricanes aren't always rainbows and sparlkes...
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17804
468. icmoore
3:20 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting pcola57:


Some slow moving benefitial re-supply of needed rain headed my way..
And of course whats left of Bopha




A storm of death and destruction.. :(


Very sad indeed...
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4147
467. pcola57
3:17 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting icmoore:
a href="Photobucket" target="_blank">

Good morning. What's up? :)


Some slow moving benefitial re-supply of needed rain headed my way..
And of course whats left of Bopha




A storm of death and destruction.. :(
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6915
466. icmoore
3:13 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
a href="Photobucket" target="_blank">

Good morning. What's up? :)
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4147
465. pcola57
3:09 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Good Morning All,
(Good night Aussie)

Webcam from my area


My WU weather





Rain's coming..not far away now.. :)


Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6915
464. AussieStorm
3:07 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
This is the last video I will post tonight. Even though many of us don't understand what they are saying, I understand a few words. The look on the peoples faces of shock, sadness and disbelief is all to present. My heart goes out the the people of Mindanao and to the people if the Philippines.



Goodnight all. I will be back in the morning and I'm sure the death toll which is not 274 will only increase.

Goodnight all.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15977
463. washingtonian115
3:03 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
This December isn't going to be very cold.Seeing that temps will go right back into the 60's is very discouraging.Looks like another 011-012 it seems with winter being more like spring and little short waves of cold.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17804
462. ARiot
3:00 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
This is what happens when the government in a particular country spends the money on themselves except for helping the citizens with it.You get these types of situations like what we saw with Haiti.You would think these type of events are a wake up call for them but they just keep on doing the same thing..


There's much about the RP to understand. Bottom line though, they are economic pawns of multinational interests and their church's dogma on birth control.

There is no way quick way out for this very young country (really 1946). Add to that the fact they really are about 7 or 8 nations rolled into one set of borders, and it's one of the most complicated geopolicital/economic tragedies in a region of many.
Member Since: June 24, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 366
461. washingtonian115
2:52 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting VR46L:


I am sure Ainslie already knows Wash.


Morning Folks.

Anyways its just truely heartbreaking what has happened in the Philipines.

This is what happens when the government in a particular country spends the money on themselves except for helping the citizens with it.You get these types of situations like what we saw with Haiti.You would think these type of events are a wake up call for them but they just keep on doing the same thing..
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17804
460. AussieStorm
2:51 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
Yesterday I wasn't signed in and tombelltx kept replying to my post.I don't think they know that I have them on ignore.They aren't coming off anytime soon either.

Ok then, well since I am replying to you, I'm sure tombelltx will see you have them on ignore.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15977
459. VR46L
2:43 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
That map is always giving my area false hope.Temps will rise right back in the 50's and 60's once this little cold wave is over.

Can someone tell TxTombell that I have them on ignore?.Thanks.


I am sure Ainslie already knows Wash.


Morning Folks.

Anyways its just truely heartbreaking what has happened in the Philipines.

Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6997
458. washingtonian115
2:42 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:

You can always edit your ignore list. Just click ignore user on any handle, bottom of the list remove that handle and any other handle you wish to un-ignore.
Yesterday I wasn't signed in and tombelltx kept replying to my post.I don't think they know that I have them on ignore.They aren't coming off anytime soon either.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17804
457. AussieStorm
2:39 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting washingtonian115:
That map is always giving my area false hope.Temps will rise right back in the 50's and 60's once this little cold wave is over.

Can someone tell TxTombell that I have them on ignore?.Thanks.

You can always edit your ignore list. Just click ignore user on any handle, bottom of the list remove that handle and any other handle you wish to un-ignore.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15977
456. AussieStorm
2:37 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Devastation caused by Cyclone Pablo, Aerial inspection by GMA Davao



Seeing this destruction really shows how bad Pablo/Bopha was. I am fairly sure PAGASA severely under forecast Pablo/Bopha. They need a big kick up the butt. We here all knew Bopha was a Cat 5 typhoon at landfall, yet PAGASA only had signal 3 up and not signal 4 which means forced evacuations of everyone and if they don't evacuate they will be arrested for there own good. Signal 3 means mandatory but forced evacuations is not enforced.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15977
455. RTSplayer
2:33 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting biff4ugo:
Prayers to all the Pacific islanders affected and for everyone helping out.

Big CME comming off the sun just now. Imagine if Voyager could use a sail and travel with the speed of that solar wind. It could get to its current location in a week or two instead of 35 years.(not doing the math on it yet)

I have heard of purple rain, but not purple lightning. That is impressive.

Lows seem to be overpredicted (too warm by around 5 degrees) in my area lately. Are nightime clouds being over predicted?


Can't catch the solar wind at 100% efficiency.

ESA had a design for an electric solar sail, and based on their numbers that had posted, It still takes a few years to get beyond Neptune, but you will be moving so fast by then that it would quickly over-take Voyager.

Still, if it was actually built and worked the way it's supposed to, it would be the fastest man-made craft ever, and would be far faster than Voyager or New Horizons.

I'd suggest using a solar sail as an extra stage to push a NERVA rocket or an ion engine up to large velocities before the engine was ever engaged. This way you can probably double maximum velocity for the same "fuel" costs.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
454. FunnelVortex
2:32 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE
MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS SYSTEM COULD
BRING AN ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE AREA. THERE IS MUCH
UNCERTAINTY IN THE STRENGTH OF THE STORM AND HOW MUCH
PRECIPITATION IT WOULD BRING TO THE AREA. LATER FORECASTS WILL BE
ABLE TO GET A BETTER HANDLE ON THE EVOLUTION OF THIS STORM AND
PRECIPITATION/SNOWFALL AMOUNTS


Please be right.
Member Since: October 20, 2012 Posts: 7 Comments: 2893
453. washingtonian115
2:31 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting Walshy:
That map is always giving my area false hope.Temps will rise right back in the 50's and 60's once this little cold wave is over.

Can someone tell TxTombell that I have them on ignore?.Thanks.
Member Since: August 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17804
452. FtMyersgal
2:31 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting FunnelVortex:


Wausau.


Thank you FV. I lived in Oak Creek. Moved to Ft Myers in 1982 and can honestly say I don't miss the snow. I hope you get the snow you are wishing for :)
Member Since: September 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1219
451. FunnelVortex
2:28 PM GMT on December 05, 2012
Quoting FtMyersgal:


Where in Wisconsin are you? I went to high school in a burb of Milwaukee.


Wausau.
Member Since: October 20, 2012 Posts: 7 Comments: 2893

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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