Category 5 Super Typhoon Bopha bearing down on the Philippines

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:41 PM GMT on December 03, 2012

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Extremely dangerous Typhoon Bopha is bearing down on the Philippine island of Mindanao as a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds. Bopha completed an eyewall replacement cycle on Sunday and has been steadily intensifying today, and will make landfall on Mindanao in the early morning on Tuesday local time. Mindanao rarely gets hit by typhoons, since the island is too close to the Equator, and the infrastructure of Mindanao is not prepared to handle heavy typhoon rains as well as the more typhoon-prone northern islands. Bopha is potentially a catastrophic storm for Mindanao. The typhoon is following a similar track to last year's Tropical Storm Washi, which hit Mindanao on December 16, 2011 with 60 mph winds and torrential rains. Washi triggered devastating flooding that killed 1268 people. Washi was merely a tropical storm, and Bopha is likely to hit at Category 4 or 5 strength, making it the strongest typhoon ever recorded in Mindanao.


Figure 1. Super Typhoon Bopha at 01:45 UTC on December 2, 2012. At the time, Bopha had top sustained winds of 150 mph, as was just below its peak intensity of 155 mph, which it reached from 06 - 12 UTC on December 2. Image credit: NASA.

Bopha: the 2nd most southerly typhoon on record
Bopha became a tropical depression unusually close to the Equator, at 3.6°N latitude. Tropical cyclones rarely form so close to the Equator, because they cannot leverage the Earth's rotation to get themselves spinning. According to hurricane expert Dr. Paul Roundy of SUNY Albany, Bopha got its spin from a large-scale atmospheric wave called a mixed Rossby gravity wave. Because of the lack of atmospheric spin so close to the Equator, it took Bopha over four days to intensify into a typhoon, and it stayed a relatively small storm. Bopha became the 2nd most southerly typhoon ever recorded in the Western Pacific at 06 GMT on November 30, when the storm was at 3.8°N latitude. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center lists Typhoon Vamei of 2001 as the most southerly typhoon on record, at 1.5°N. However, other meteorological agencies do not credit Vamei with reaching typhoon strength, so this record is disputed. The previous most southerly typhoon was Typhoon Kate of 14 - 25 October 1970, which reached typhoon intensity at 4.3°N, 137.4°E. Bopha continued intensifying over the weekend, becoming the second most southerly super typhoon ever recorded (150 mph winds) at 00 GMT on December 1, when it was at 6.1°N latitude. The record most southerly super typhoon was Kate, which reached super typhoon intensity at 6.0°N, 126.3°E. Kate struck the Philippine island of Mindanao as a Category 4 storm, killing 631 people. Bopha further intensified into a Category 5 typhoon on Monday at 7.4°N latitude, becoming the second most southerly Category 5 typhoon on record, next to Typhoon Louise of 1964, which was a Category 5 storm at 7.3°N. According to NOAA's Coastal Services Center, there have been only 4 previous typhoons of at least Category 4 strength to track within 200 nautical miles of Mindanao Island, dating back to 1945: Mike ("Ruping" ) in 1990, Ike ("Nitang") in 1984, Kate ("Titang") in 1970, and Louise ("Ining" ) in 1964.


Figure 2. Tracks of all Category 4 typhoons to affect the southern Philippine Island of Mindanao since 1945. Image credit: NOAA Coastal Services Center.

The closest a tropical cyclone has ever been to the Equator is 0.7°N, by Tropical Cyclone Agni in the North Indian Ocean in November 2004. Agni got counter-clockwise spin from the presence of the summer monsoon circulation in the Indian Ocean. The closest a Western Pacific tropical cyclone has been to the Equator is 1.4°N latitude, by Tropical Storm Vamei on December 27, 2001. Vamei hit Singapore after Christmas in 2001, at a latitude of 1.5°N.


Figure 3. This MET-5 visible satellite image taken at 0400 UTC November 28, 2004, shows Agni as a developing tropical storm just north of the Equator in the Indian Ocean. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Jeff Masters

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337. yonzabam
10:14 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting RTSplayer:


Just wait man and don't write people off yet.

Ironically, last time a cat 5 hit the Philippines there were zero deaths, even though a mere TS Washi killed like 1,200.

Maybe people just don't take a TS seriously so didn't prepare. Maybe they got the message and will be safer because of it.


Or maybe a slow moving tropical storm is more dangerous than a fast moving major hurricane because the tropoical storm dumps far more rain, and causes catastrophic flooding and landslides.
Member Since: July 20, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2929
336. RTSplayer
10:14 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


pressure never got lower then 920 in the all the advisories I looked at for the last 12 hours.


Ok.

Then what is this?

Why did it repeatedly have T number 7.5 with a raw number as high as 7.6?

Given the basin, that's consistent with a sub-900mb storm...
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
335. RTSplayer
10:11 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting nymore:
or the other possibility is you over estimated it.


NOAA doesn't over-estimate that badly.

It wasn't my estimate.

Besides even Colorado State had it at 140kts on their latest update.

There's no way they were off by 30 to 45mb in their estimate.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
334. yoboi
10:11 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:
WINTER WEATHER UPDATE
__________________________

HPC rainfall reports

...CALIFORNIA...
BRANDY CREEK (SHASTA) 23.48
STERLING CITY (FEATHER) 21.24
SIMS 17.90
PETROLIA 7.4 SE 17.50
NORTH COAST CAMP SIX 16.64
BRIDGEVILLE 5.2 ENE 15.72
OAK MOUNTAIN 15.16
MIRANDA 4.1 SW 14.98
CAZADERO 6.9 WNW 14.45
KINGVALE 1.3 WSW 14.37
LOS GATOS 6.1 S 13.89
BLUE CANYON 13.41
REDWAY 1.8 WSW 13.39
BRANDY CRK 12.60
SECRET TOWN 12.55
BEALE AFB/MARYSVILLE 9.55
SAN FRANCISCO INTL AIRPORT 4.09

graphic from Dec 1



140 mph gust in nevada???
Member Since: August 25, 2010 Posts: 7 Comments: 2344
333. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
10:08 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting RTSplayer:


I guess it could have weakened that much. It was a smaller storm than most we're used to tracking in the W. Pac.


pressure never got lower then 920 in the all the advisories I looked at for the last 12 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45620
332. RTSplayer
10:08 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting JustPlantIt:

Yes... and as amazing that this storm was and is, sad that body bags will be needed. Horrible to have to go through it.... times are a changing regarding our weather and storms.


Just wait man and don't write people off yet.

Ironically, last time a cat 5 hit the Philippines there were zero deaths, even though a mere TS Washi killed like 1,200.

Maybe people just don't take a TS seriously so didn't prepare. Maybe they got the message and will be safer because of it.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
331. barbamz
10:08 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting Luisport:
Still have power, but the local cable company just went off-Line. We had to switch to satellite now.
They are talking about Davao area now.

Boro


Thanks a lot for your updates and stay safe!
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 55 Comments: 6030
330. nymore
10:08 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting RTSplayer:


I guess it could have weakened that much. It was a smaller storm than most we're used to tracking in the W. Pac.
or the other possibility is you over estimated it.
Member Since: July 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2259
329. Luisport
10:07 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Still have power, but the local cable company just went off-Line. We had to switch to satellite now.
They are talking about Davao area now.

Boro
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026
328. nymore
10:06 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting JustPlantIt:

Yes... and as amazing that this storm was and is, sad that body bags will be needed. Horrible to have to go through it.... times are a changing regarding our weather and storms.
Really he we go
Member Since: July 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2259
327. PedleyCA
10:06 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Someone asked earlier what the name Bopha meant, I believe it was Wash115 and I just found this in a story from Accuweather.com

The name Bopha, pronounced boe-fa, originates from Cambodia and means blossom or flower.

I myself was wondering the same and didn't have clue how to say the name, do now...
Member Since: February 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 5924
326. RTSplayer
10:06 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


estimated between 920-930 millibars (hectopascal) according to the official RSMC in the west pacific basin


I guess it could have weakened that much. It was a smaller storm than most we're used to tracking in the W. Pac.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
325. JustPlantIt
10:05 PM GMT on December 03, 2012

Quoting RitaEvac:


Now the real damage begins
Yes... and as amazing that this storm was and is, sad that body bags will be needed. Horrible to have to go through it.... times are a changing regarding our weather and storms.
Member Since: November 13, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 488
324. nymore
10:05 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting HadesGodWyvern:


estimated between 920-930 millibars (hectopascal) according to the official RSMC in the west pacific basin
thanks
Member Since: July 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2259
323. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
10:03 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting nymore:
what was the pressure at landfall 930 hpa or millibars


estimated between 920-930 millibars (hectopascal) according to the official RSMC in the west pacific basin
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45620
322. nymore
10:02 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
what was the pressure at landfall 930 hpa (millibars)
Member Since: July 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2259
321. BahaHurican
10:01 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
What's interesting in the article posted by Largo is that very little discussion of preparation in Davao Oriental, where the eye came ashore, was mentioned.

I hope that isn't a bad sign.

Edited.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22322
320. weatherskink
9:59 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting LargoFl:
yes he sure was a terror alright, dont know where he came from but geez..he sure dont belong in a populated area


There's still a pocket of wild monkeys near the Dania cutoff canal near Port Everglades . They can carry some bad diseases , but humans still feed them .
Member Since: September 3, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 99
319. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
9:58 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting yonzabam:


Good points. The NHC's criteria is one minute sustained. However, the criteria varies from region to region. For example, I think I read somewhere that China's criteria is two minutes sustained and some regions have even longer periods. So, that might be the issue.


Asian countries
---------------
northeast China uses 2mins
Korea uses 10min
Japan uses 10min
Philippines uses 10min
southern China uses 10min
Taiwan uses 10min
Thailand uses 10min
Indonesia uses 10min

south Pacific agencies uses 10 min
south Indian Ocean agencies also uses 10 min

northern Indian Ocean uses 3 min
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45620
318. trHUrrIXC5MMX
9:55 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting Luisport:
The wind is really picking up now.

50 to 70mph gusts
The rain has also started to pick up again.

Here is some info on Davao, closer to where the eye is.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davao_Region

Looks like about 1/2 million people or so in direct hit zone.
More that 4 million in the city further south.

Boro



hopefully everyone is safe there
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
317. yonzabam
9:54 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting RTSplayer:


Probably not.

something is obviously wrong with someone's data. There's been a tremendous amount of confusion from all different agencies giving vastly different data on the storm.

They are using 10 minute averages, but those numbers aren't even close to correct even for 10 minute averages. And those are the same numbers they were using several hours ago, when Bopha was a NOAA estimated a 155kts storm, and a Colorado State estimated 140kts.

If that landfall intensity is true, it would be a good thing, but it means the ADT probably needs to be trashed or something, because it makes no sense at all.

ADT says T 6.7 as of a few minutes ago, which would still be 150mph 1 minute sustained with 180mph gusts, which in kph that is 240kph sustained and 288kph gusts respectively.

This is like a category and a half stronger than they are reporting it.

So clearly someone's data is horribly wrong.


Good points. The NHC's criteria is one minute sustained. However, the criteria varies from region to region. For example, I think I read somewhere that China's criteria is two minutes sustained and some regions have even longer periods. So, that might be the issue.
Member Since: July 20, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2929
316. Luisport
9:52 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
The wind is really picking up now.

50 to 70mph gusts
The rain has also started to pick up again.

Here is some info on Davao, closer to where the eye is.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Davao_Region

Looks like about 1/2 million people or so in direct hit zone.
More that 4 million in the city further south.

Boro
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026
315. trHUrrIXC5MMX
9:51 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
WINTER WEATHER UPDATE
__________________________

HPC rainfall reports

...CALIFORNIA...
BRANDY CREEK (SHASTA) 23.48
STERLING CITY (FEATHER) 21.24
SIMS 17.90
PETROLIA 7.4 SE 17.50
NORTH COAST CAMP SIX 16.64
BRIDGEVILLE 5.2 ENE 15.72
OAK MOUNTAIN 15.16
MIRANDA 4.1 SW 14.98
CAZADERO 6.9 WNW 14.45
KINGVALE 1.3 WSW 14.37
LOS GATOS 6.1 S 13.89
BLUE CANYON 13.41
REDWAY 1.8 WSW 13.39
BRANDY CRK 12.60
SECRET TOWN 12.55
BEALE AFB/MARYSVILLE 9.55
SAN FRANCISCO INTL AIRPORT 4.09

graphic from Dec 1
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
314. JNCali
9:50 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
US Forecast Precip. tomorrow evening..
Member Since: September 9, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 1034
313. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
9:50 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #65
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
6:00 AM JST December 4 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Overland Mindanao

At 21:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (930 hPa) located at 7.7N 126.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 16 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: Overland

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 9.8N 121.1E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Mindanao (Philippines)
45 HRS: 11.6N 118.9E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
69 HRS: 12.9N 117.2E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45620
312. Luisport
9:49 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

A potential disaster is unfolding as Super Typhoon Bopha makes landfall on the Philippines island of Mindanao. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/typhoon -bopha-danger-to-southe/2293941
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026
311. LargoFl
9:48 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting weatherskink:


Isn't that the monkey that was jumping out of bushes and biting people ?
yes he sure was a terror alright, dont know where he came from but geez..he sure dont belong in a populated area
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39248
310. RTSplayer
9:48 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting yonzabam:


So, only a cat 2 hurricane at landfall? Never seen a cat 5 weaken so quickly.


Probably not.

something is obviously wrong with someone's data. There's been a tremendous amount of confusion from all different agencies giving vastly different data on the storm.

They are using 10 minute averages, but those numbers aren't even close to correct even for 10 minute averages. And those are the same numbers they were using several hours ago, when Bopha was a NOAA estimated a 155kts storm, and a Colorado State estimated 140kts.

If that landfall intensity is true, it would be a good thing, but it means the ADT probably needs to be trashed or something, because it makes no sense at all.

ADT says T 6.7 as of a few minutes ago, which would still be 150mph 1 minute sustained with 180mph gusts, which in kph that is 240kph sustained and 288kph gusts respectively.

This is like a category and a half stronger than they are reporting it.

So clearly someone's data is horribly wrong.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 33 Comments: 1520
309. yonzabam
9:46 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
...
Member Since: July 20, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2929
308. hydrus
9:45 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21416
307. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
9:45 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting yonzabam:


So, only a cat 2 hurricane at landfall? Never seen a cat 5 weaken so quickly.


no, this is a poor wind speed estimate from PAGASA. The intensity based on satellite imagery was still around 140-150 knots (1 min)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45620
306. barbamz
9:43 PM GMT on December 03, 2012


High-ResLoop (CIMSS), found by twitter:

Scott Bachmeier ‏@CIMSS_Satellite
MTSAT-1R InfraRed images of Super Typhoon Bopha making landfall in the Philippines
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 55 Comments: 6030
305. AussieStorm
9:40 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Landfall


Click image for loop.
Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15940
304. LargoFl
9:39 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Hundreds of coastal residents fled their homes Monday as Typhoon “Pablo” barreled toward the northeastern part of Mindanao with maximum sustained winds of 175 kilometers per hour gusting up to 210 kph.

Authorities shut down schools and government offices in the regions where the potential supertyphoon was likely to hit early this morning. Ferry boat operators and fishermen were told to stay ashore and civil defense units and the Philippine Coast Guard went on full alert ahead of the storm’s onslaught.

The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) said close to 2,000 passengers had been stranded in nine seaports.

The NDRRMC said 54 “roll-on, roll-off” cargo ships and 25 other smaller sea vessels were stopped from leaving ports in the National Capital Region, Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas and Northern Mindanao.

The council said the Department of Social Welfare and Development had allocated P42.35 million worth of relief goods for affected provinces, including P3.7 million in stand-by funds. Prepacked food items were ready to be distributed to some 10,000 families in Mindanao, the agency said.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) hoisted Storm Signal No. 3 Monday over Surigao del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Siargao Island, Dinagat Island, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, and Davao Oriental, warning of wind blasts between 100 and 185 kph in the next 18 hours.

“The weather is good right now but we keep advising local governments not to be complacent because this is going to get worse,” said Olive Luces, the regional director of the Office of Civil Defense in the Caraga region.

“Everyone is hoping that it won’t be that fierce,” said Social Welfare Secretary Corazon Soliman after officials briefed President Aquino in Malacañang on disaster relief preparations.

‘Let’s pray’

Pablo (international name: “Bopha”) was spotted at 10 p.m. Monday in the Pacific 230 km southeast of Hinatuan City in Surigao del Sur. It was moving westward at 26 kph and was expected in Surigao del Sur Tuesday morning.

Signal No. 3 was raised in Surigao del Norte incl. Siargao, Surigao del Sur, Dinagat Province, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, Bukidnon, Davao Oriental, Compostela Valley, North Cotabato, Lanao del Sur, Lanao del Norte and Davao del Norte incl. Samal Is.

Storm Signal No. 2 was hoisted over Southern Leyte, Bohol, Cebu incl. Camotes Is, Negros Oriental, Negros Occidental, Siquijor, Misamis Occidental, Davao del Sur, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, Sultan Kudarat and Maguindanao.

Eastern Samar, Western Samar, Leyte incl. Biliran, Aklan, Capiz, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Zamboanga Sibugay, Basilan, Sarangani and South Cotabato were under Storm Signal No. 1.

“Let’s pray that, while this storm is expected to be stronger than ‘Sendong,’ we’ll be spared from a severe calamity,” Vice President Jejomar Binay said.

Tropical Storm “Sendong” struck Northern Mindanao a year ago, leaving more than 1,500 people dead.

Rear Adm. Luis Tuason Jr., officer in charge of the Philippine Coast Guard, placed the agency’s units to “brace up for the coming onslaught.”

Tuason warned ferry operators and fishermen against putting out to sea in the areas on the path of the typhoon.

Environment Secretary Ramon Paje ordered key field officials of his department to link up with local disaster management councils and issue geohazard advisories, saying that he expected the typhoon “to dump an unusual large volume of rainfall, especially in Mindanao.

Paje said the advisories should include relocation sites and “must point susceptibility levels of areas to landslides, floods, flash floods and debris accumulation zones, and must include warnings.”

Red alert

“All disaster agencies were placed on red alert ahead of the full brunt of Typhoon Pablo,” Blanche Gobenchiong, civil defense regional director, told the Philippine Daily Inquirer.

Gobenchiong said maritime operations all over the region particularly at the Butuan, Surigao and Dinagat ports had been suspended.

Local officials were not taking chances, apparently heeding the lesson of Supertyphoon “Nitang” (international name: “Ike”) in 1984. Packing winds of 220 kph, Nitang killed some 1,300 people in Surigao del Norte.

In Hinatuan and the capital town of Tandag in Surigao del Sur, forced evacuation was implemented in six coastal villages.

Surigao City Mayor Ernesto Matugas suspended classes in all levels and port operations and ferry boat trips in and out of the city were canceled. Gymnasiums in the area were already crammed with evacuees Monday.

Butuan City Mayor Ferdinand Amante said disaster rescue and relief personnel were on stand by and evacuation sites had been readied.

Dinagat Island Gov. Glenda Ecleo shut down schools and government offices Monday morning, while the Philippine Coast Guard ordered a no-sailing, no-fishing policy this noon in all areas of Caraga.

In Agusan del Sur, residents in low-lying and landslide-prone areas were told to evacuate. Gov. Adolf Edward Plaza directed the 14 town mayors of the province to designate evacuation centers. Classes were also suspended in San Francisco town at noon Monday.

Church in relief efforts

In Cagayan de Oro City, Archbishop Antonio Ledesma on Monday called for a briefing with lead government agencies. The Church will act as a coordinating body for the local government of Misamis Oriental and the city.

Mayor Vicente Emano ordered code blue, which means people living near rivers, streams, slopes and other disaster-prone areas in Cagayan de Oro should move to their barangay-designated evacuation areas. Two dump trucks were transporting residents to evacuation centers yesterday morning.

The Provincial Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council of Surigao del Norte has passed a resolution declaring forced evacuation for residents living in identified “high risk” areas all over the province.

Compostela Valley Gov. Arturo Uy said he ordered mining communities as early as Saturday to move to safer ground as they were most vulnerable to landslides. Uy, who was attending a peace and order meeting in Davao City, said he had asked people living near riverbanks to evacuate.

Davao del Norte Gov. Rodolfo del Rosario said over 100 volunteers were on standby in the province.

“I have asked the disaster office to issue regular updates for us to keep ourselves abreast of the status of the storm and be aware of its effects, so that we can immediately come to the aid of neighboring communities,” said Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte.

Gov. Mujiv Hataman said the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao was also bracing for the typhoon.

Hataman said his office would monitor water levels in catch basins where floodwaters from Bukidnon, North Cotabato and South Cotabato drain in Lanao or Cotabato City.

Authorities in the Visayas and the Bicol region also geared up for Pablo’s onslaught. With reports from TJ Burgonio, Tarra Quismundo, Jerry Esplanada in Manila; and Danilo V. Adorador III, Chris V. Panganiban, Cai Panlilio, Germelina Lacorte, Julie S. Alipala, Frinston Lim, Bobby Lagsa, Inquirer Mindanao; Jani Arnaiz, Joey Gabieta, Jhunnex Napallacan, Carmel Loise Matus, Carla Gomez and Nestor Burgos, Inquirer Visayas; and Mar S. Arguelles, Inquirer Southern Luzon

Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39248
303. LargoFl
9:38 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting PensacolaDoug:




Holy moly! That'd be weird as heck!
..yes they tried to catch him for 3 years..finally got him..imagine..taking out the trash and meeting him wow...
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39248
302. yonzabam
9:38 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting barbamz:
"Typhoon "PABLO" has made landfall over Baganga, Davao Oriental."
Updated by pagasa


So, only a cat 2 hurricane at landfall? Never seen a cat 5 weaken so quickly.
Member Since: July 20, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2929
301. PensacolaDoug
9:37 PM GMT on December 03, 2012
Quoting weatherskink:


Isn't that the monkey that was jumping out of bushes and biting people ?




Holy moly! That'd be weird as heck!
Member Since: July 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 571
Super Typhoon Bopha has made landfall. The last Category 5 to make landfall anywhere in the world was Super Typhoon Megi on October 17, 2010. Before that it was Hurricane Dean in 2007.

Member Since: October 30, 2012 Posts: 1 Comments: 83
Quoting LargoFl:
Look at what was roaming around my county for 3 years..(pic)..................they finally caught it


Isn't that the monkey that was jumping out of bushes and biting people ?
Member Since: September 3, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 99
Quoting LargoFl:
Look at what was roaming around my county for 3 years....................they finally caught it

and what is it?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
297. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #7
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
5:00 AM PhST December 4 2012
==============================

Typhoon PABLO has made landfall over Baganga, Davao Oriental.

At 4:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Pablo [948 hPa] located at 7.6°N 126.9°E or east of the eastern coast of Davao Oriental has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots gusting up to 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.

State of the sea is rough to phenomenal

Signal Warnings
==============

Signal Warning #3
-----------

Visayas Region
----------------
1. Southern Leyte
2. Bohol
3. Negros Oriental
4. Siquijor
5. Southern Cebu

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Surigao del Norte including Siargao
2. Surigao del Sur
3. Dinagat Province
4. Agusan del Norte
5. Agusan del Sur
6. Misamis Oriental
7. Camiguin
8. Bukidnon
9. Davao Oriental
10. Compostela Valley
11. North Cotabato
12.Lanao del Sur
13. Lanao del Norte Misamis Occidental
14. Zamboanga del Norte
15. Zamboanga del Sur
16. Davao del Norte including Samal Island


Signal Warning #2
-----------

Visayas Region
-------------
1. Rest of Cebu including Camotes Island
2. Iloilo
3. Guimaras Capiz
4. Leyte including Biliran
5. Negros Occidental

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Davao del Sur
2. Sultan Kudarat
3. Zamboanga Sibugay
4. Maguindanao

Signal Warning #1
----------

Luzon Region
-------------
1. Palawan
2. Calamian Grp. Of Islands
3. Ticao Island
4. Masbate

Visayas Region
=============
1. Northern Samar
2. Eastern Samar
3. Western Samar,
4. Aklan
5. Antique

Mindanao Region
================
1. Basilan
2. Sarangani
3. South Cotabato

Additional Information
========================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-30 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 600 km diameter of the typhoon.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signals are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Likewise, residents in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #2 and signal #3 are alerted against storm surges particulary those living in the coastal areas of Surigao del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat, Bohol and Leyte provinces where 3-6 meters wave height is expected.

Fishing boats and other sea vessels are advised not to venture out into the eastern Seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45620
"Typhoon "PABLO" has made landfall over Baganga, Davao Oriental."
Updated by pagasa
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 55 Comments: 6030
Bopha made landfall just south of Cateel, a city with a population of 30,000 people. The northeast quadrant of the storm, meaning the Category 5-type winds, are going to pass directly over the area.

This storm is going to cause unimaginable damage to the region where buildings codes are poor. The death toll is going to be higher than any other storm we've seen this year in any basin.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Luisport:
Update:

5:00am local time at the time of this post.

Sorry all I had fallen asleep for awhile.

Well the rain here has slowed to just a trickle.

The wind, however, has picked up considerably.
Were getting big gusts now maybe 40 to 60mph.

Good news for us is that the Typhoon has decided to drift more south, so we are not going to get the direct hit. The bad news is that all the warnings and evacs were issued for more of the northern towns etc of Mindanao. So these southern areas had almost no warning. My heart goes out to them, as this is a surprise attack. The other thing is the area of Davao and North Davao is quite a bit more populated than the path that was expected.

It looks like the Eye is going to Hit Bislig, Mindanao head on, in just under a hour.

Power Grid is now starting to Stress. Our lights are flickering, The UPS's keep clicking in and out.


Will keep you updated. Need some Coffee now :-)

Boro
Take care, Boro. I hope u get to keep power, but know that's the rare occurrence rather than the norm...

Bilsig Bay looks like a horrid place to have a storm tide enter...They'll be getting onshore winds there, too.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22322
Good afternoon everyone, I see Bopha is made landfall. It is really really foggy outside right now. The fog has not let up since this morning and it is nearly 4:30pm now. Dense fog advisories are still in affect in my area of SE MI.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7948
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Bopha has made landfall.



Indeed.
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 55 Comments: 6030
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Bopha has made landfall.



Now the real damage begins
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Bopha has made landfall.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RTSplayer:
Landfall occurring presently.

Looks like a solid cat 5 landfall.



and




Assuming this image is properly aligned on the background map, it looks to be hitting that corner between Cateel and Baganga, threading the needle between them.
That area is a river valley / delta complex, it seems from Google maps / satellite. Only good thing seems to be most of the buildings are along the edges... and it's relatively lightly populated. But flooding potential / storm surge potential at Cateel is tremendous... and the area hospital is on the banks of that river near its mouth.

Sure hope they r ready for this.
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22322
Quoting Luisport:
Update:

5:00am local time at the time of this post.

Sorry all I had fallen asleep for awhile.

Well the rain here has slowed to just a trickle.

The wind, however, has picked up considerably.
Were getting big gusts now maybe 40 to 60mph.

Good news for us is that the Typhoon has decided to drift more south, so we are not going to get the direct hit. The bad news is that all the warnings and evacs were issued for more of the northern towns etc of Mindanao. So these southern areas had almost no warning. My heart goes out to them, as this is a surprise attack. The other thing is the area of Davao and North Davao is quite a bit more populated than the path that was expected.

It looks like the Eye is going to Hit Bislig, Mindanao head on, in just under a hour.

Power Grid is now starting to Stress. Our lights are flickering, The UPS's keep clicking in and out.


Will keep you updated. Need some Coffee now :-)

Boro
.......the BBC said winds at 130 mph with higher gusts and possibly more than 12 inches of rain..going to be quite alot of damage there Im afraid..prayers for the people there...
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 4 Comments: 39248
Update:

5:00am local time at the time of this post.

Sorry all I had fallen asleep for awhile.

Well the rain here has slowed to just a trickle.

The wind, however, has picked up considerably.
Were getting big gusts now maybe 40 to 60mph.

Good news for us is that the Typhoon has decided to drift more south, so we are not going to get the direct hit. The bad news is that all the warnings and evacs were issued for more of the northern towns etc of Mindanao. So these southern areas had almost no warning. My heart goes out to them, as this is a surprise attack. The other thing is the area of Davao and North Davao is quite a bit more populated than the path that was expected.

It looks like the Eye is going to Hit Bislig, Mindanao head on, in just under a hour.

Power Grid is now starting to Stress. Our lights are flickering, The UPS's keep clicking in and out.


Will keep you updated. Need some Coffee now :-)

Boro
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2026

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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