Category 5 Super Typhoon Bopha bearing down on the Philippines

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:41 PM GMT on December 03, 2012

Share this Blog
39
+

Extremely dangerous Typhoon Bopha is bearing down on the Philippine island of Mindanao as a Category 5 storm with 160 mph winds. Bopha completed an eyewall replacement cycle on Sunday and has been steadily intensifying today, and will make landfall on Mindanao in the early morning on Tuesday local time. Mindanao rarely gets hit by typhoons, since the island is too close to the Equator, and the infrastructure of Mindanao is not prepared to handle heavy typhoon rains as well as the more typhoon-prone northern islands. Bopha is potentially a catastrophic storm for Mindanao. The typhoon is following a similar track to last year's Tropical Storm Washi, which hit Mindanao on December 16, 2011 with 60 mph winds and torrential rains. Washi triggered devastating flooding that killed 1268 people. Washi was merely a tropical storm, and Bopha is likely to hit at Category 4 or 5 strength, making it the strongest typhoon ever recorded in Mindanao.


Figure 1. Super Typhoon Bopha at 01:45 UTC on December 2, 2012. At the time, Bopha had top sustained winds of 150 mph, as was just below its peak intensity of 155 mph, which it reached from 06 - 12 UTC on December 2. Image credit: NASA.

Bopha: the 2nd most southerly typhoon on record
Bopha became a tropical depression unusually close to the Equator, at 3.6°N latitude. Tropical cyclones rarely form so close to the Equator, because they cannot leverage the Earth's rotation to get themselves spinning. According to hurricane expert Dr. Paul Roundy of SUNY Albany, Bopha got its spin from a large-scale atmospheric wave called a mixed Rossby gravity wave. Because of the lack of atmospheric spin so close to the Equator, it took Bopha over four days to intensify into a typhoon, and it stayed a relatively small storm. Bopha became the 2nd most southerly typhoon ever recorded in the Western Pacific at 06 GMT on November 30, when the storm was at 3.8°N latitude. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center lists Typhoon Vamei of 2001 as the most southerly typhoon on record, at 1.5°N. However, other meteorological agencies do not credit Vamei with reaching typhoon strength, so this record is disputed. The previous most southerly typhoon was Typhoon Kate of 14 - 25 October 1970, which reached typhoon intensity at 4.3°N, 137.4°E. Bopha continued intensifying over the weekend, becoming the second most southerly super typhoon ever recorded (150 mph winds) at 00 GMT on December 1, when it was at 6.1°N latitude. The record most southerly super typhoon was Kate, which reached super typhoon intensity at 6.0°N, 126.3°E. Kate struck the Philippine island of Mindanao as a Category 4 storm, killing 631 people. Bopha further intensified into a Category 5 typhoon on Monday at 7.4°N latitude, becoming the second most southerly Category 5 typhoon on record, next to Typhoon Louise of 1964, which was a Category 5 storm at 7.3°N. According to NOAA's Coastal Services Center, there have been only 4 previous typhoons of at least Category 4 strength to track within 200 nautical miles of Mindanao Island, dating back to 1945: Mike ("Ruping" ) in 1990, Ike ("Nitang") in 1984, Kate ("Titang") in 1970, and Louise ("Ining" ) in 1964.


Figure 2. Tracks of all Category 4 typhoons to affect the southern Philippine Island of Mindanao since 1945. Image credit: NOAA Coastal Services Center.

The closest a tropical cyclone has ever been to the Equator is 0.7°N, by Tropical Cyclone Agni in the North Indian Ocean in November 2004. Agni got counter-clockwise spin from the presence of the summer monsoon circulation in the Indian Ocean. The closest a Western Pacific tropical cyclone has been to the Equator is 1.4°N latitude, by Tropical Storm Vamei on December 27, 2001. Vamei hit Singapore after Christmas in 2001, at a latitude of 1.5°N.


Figure 3. This MET-5 visible satellite image taken at 0400 UTC November 28, 2004, shows Agni as a developing tropical storm just north of the Equator in the Indian Ocean. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 537 - 487

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13Blog Index

Quoting aislinnpaps:
Everyone have a great Tuesday. Aussie, have a great Wednesday!

Salamat po (Translated from Tagalog to english means, Thank you)

Have a good day to you too.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Everyone have a great Tuesday. Aussie, have a great Wednesday!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Flashflood claims 34 lives in Compostela, including soldiers on disaster duty

At least 34 were reported dead Tuesday evening, including soldiers on board an army truck that overturned in New Bataan, Compostela Valley, after a flashflood triggered by strong rains brought by Typhoon Paul, according to Compostela Valley Governor Arturo Uy. The soldiers were reportedly enroute to assist in evacuation operations.

Hey Governor announced the details in a breaking report on 24 Hours Oras, citing information as of 5 pm

He said Drowning was the cause of the deaths.

"Drowning .. terrifying because your in flowing water, "Uy said.

However, Uy was Unable to give a breakdown of how many of the dead were soldiers and how many were civilians.

Uy also said the Conditions in the area were now somewhat stable. - HS / BM, GMA News
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
532. yoboi
Quoting RTSplayer:


The heck is your problem?

When they call a "Mandatory Evacuation" that really isn't mandatory, because the law of the land doesn't allow it, but it's been that way forever. Nagin was just trying to get more power to try to save more lives, but you're going to fault him for that too.

I have no idea how stupid the average person really is, but maybe it's worse than I imagined.

My family lived here for as long as I know, and everyone knows you don't ride out a hurricane in NOLA.

In the past several decades before Katrina they had category 3 landfalls left, right, and center and they had black and whites of Camille and Betsy, so nobody had any excuse for not knowing they were supposed to evacuate. This has happened before just a few decades earlier, so it's not like they didn't know about it.


Then in the case of Rita, you get a bunch of people who also didn't evacuate, or who chose to build in the same place that got demolished by Audrey, and they come out after the fact and boo hoo about how it's never happened before, when in fact the previous one in the same location was 20mph worse at landfall.


What's more, if you check the history of hurricanes in the region, Katrina and Betsy might not even be the two most powerful hurricanes to have hit NOLA region. This happens every 2 or 3 decades, and it's the same thing every time: blame the government. There's even records of it happening during the war of 1812 when the British naval officer kept a journal of a really powerful NOLA landfall that killed a couple thousand people.

They've hit coming right to left, left to right, and bottom to top, and everything between, and literally scour the region on some occasions, and in a few cases wiped out resort islands from the map. There used to be resort towns on barrier islands off the coast of Louisiana in the mid-1800's and the islands don't even exist any more, because they were destroyed by hurricanes and completely erased from the map.


So how much responsibility is the government supposed to have for people's bad choices, particularly in places where this has been happening literally for as long as civilization has existed?


This is what was on the world news at least 24 hours ahead of time (still more than enough for people to get up and leave).



I've already posted this before in the past.

News people shocked at the idiocy of the people not leaving, even after the mayor and governor called for an evacuation.

Pay attention, he stands there all day, for day time to night, as nobody in the background is doing anything.

The forecast they gave ahead of time was for 22feet of water and for the city to be flooded, and combined with the previous video, they were even expecting some high-rise buildings to collapse.

Crud I forgot. I can't post the next video I was going to post, because of what happens at the end. I think I got banned last time I posted it. Search "Katrina non-evacuation" on youtube.



louisiana has lost more coast from oil companies cutting canals in the southern marshes. the same marshes that help protect louisiana from hurricanes...also with man altering the flow of the mississippi river didn't help matters either...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Mornin' gang.
G' eve Aussie.
Thanks for keeping us updated mate.

No worries mate. And good morning to you.

This is the Official report, not media report.
NDRRMC Update Sitrep No. 07 re Effects of Typhoon "PABLO" (BOPHA) as of 04 December 2012, 6:00PM.

AFFECTED POPULATION (TAB A)
As of 6:00 PM, 04 December 2012, a total of 12,366 families / 60,054 persons
were affected in Regions VIII, X, XI, and CARAGA.
B. CASUALTIES
Four (4) persons are reported dead while two (2) persons were reported
injured.
Three were reported dead due to fallen trees and one (1) due to drowning. The
name are as follows:
1. Jegger Gomonit, 31 y/o, from Brgy Sumasap, Panaon, Misamis
Occidental, due fallen tree.
2. Erlinda Balante, 60 y/o, from Manay, Davao Oriental, due fallen tree.
3. Elberto Daniel, 23 y/o, from Lazi Siquijor, due to fallen tree.
4. Sgt Olivarez, from the Temporary Command Post, Charlie Company,
Brgy Andap, New Bataan, Compostela Valley, due to drowning.
Leticia Benitez and one (1) unidentified person were reported injured due to
flying galvanized iron.
The details on the incidents will be reflected on the succeeding reports.

_________________________________________________ _____________________________________________

Just in..... 34 confirmed dead in Compostela Valley landslide - 24 oras
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
530. beell
Quoting AllyBama:
{{Beell}}...am I going to get my snow this winter? lol


Mornin' Ally, if your here. Missed your post.

You know how it works...If ND wins, you get snow.
Make your selection please. You can't have both!

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I gotta run. Thoughts and prayers with pple in the Philippines today.

Stay safe, all.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Mornin' gang.
G' eve Aussie.
Thanks for keeping us updated mate.
Member Since: July 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 519
"Davao City’s investment come-on of being typhoon-free is no longer true, after the city saw 14 trees fall and an electric post toppled."

Isn't there a song, The Times, They Are A-Changing?

So far that sounds like four children dead because parents / relatives didn't understand the reality of the storm.... I always feel the worst for the children who die. They have so few choices in the face of these kinds of disasters. And their parents must go through agony.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
PNP prepares rescue units, relief goods for typhoon victims

MANILA, Philippines–The Philippine National Police on Tuesday said it has prepared for distribution 10,000 blankets, food packs and other relief goods for residents of towns ravaged by Typhoon “Pablo” in the Visayas and Mindanao regions.
Chief Superintendent Bernardo Florece Jr., chief of the PNP task force on disaster preparedness, said Tuesday that the Special Action Force, the Maritime Group and local police units had also pre-positioned more than 300 water assets and rescue equipment.
“The PNP had already prepared nonperishable goods, bottles of mineral water, food packs and other items needed by people affected by this typhoon,” Florece told reporters.
He said the police convened its own disaster response teams in northern Mindanao and Caraga regions to provide assistance to local government units.
He said PNP chief Director General Nicanor Bartolome directed police officials in nearby regions to prepare their police rescue teams for possible deployment to typhoon-hit provinces.
Bartolome said PNP search and rescue units and equipment were already sent to provinces in the country’s eastern seaboard.
The PNP chief said all police offices in Mindanao and three regions in the Visayas were placed on full alert to ensure that all police personnel would be available in disaster response operations.
“The lessons we learned from our experiences in the series of weather disturbances in 2009 … should prompt us to find better ways of ensuring readiness to effectively address similar situations,” Bartolome said in a statement.
To prevent unscrupulous traders from taking advantage of the situation, Bartolome also ordered the PNP investigative units to help the Department of Trade and Industry in “monitoring market conditions for price control violations and unfair trade practices.”
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting aislinnpaps:
Good morning/evening all. Thanks Aussie, for the information, my heart goes out to all those people. I read this morning that Australia is having bush fires again.

It's a balmy almost 70 degrees here this morning, but rain in the forecast, so recess inside. I think we'll work on something Chrismassy.

Your welcome.

We've had bush fires here since September. NW NSW has had a lot due to dry lightning.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Typhoon Pablo awes Davao residents

DAVAO CITY, Philippines —For the first time in their lives, people in the coastal towns of Davao Oriental heard the sound of a typhoon, leaving some of them to compare it with the groan from an angry man.
“Even from the sound alone, it seemed like the wind wanted to eat us alive,” said Juvy Tanio, assistant of Mayor Michelle Rabat of Mati City in Davao Oriental, who said he was surprised to see the roofs of his neighbors’ houses gone and the trees toppled.
“Ana diay ang bagyo, no (So that’s what a typhoon is like),” said Tanio, who admitted it was his first time to experience it.
“Scary,” Patrick Ronolo, a college student at the Davao Oriental State College of Science and Technology described his first typhoon experience.
“Kusog jud ang hangin (the wind was really strong,” he said.
“Hadlok kaayo ang hangin, karun rami naka experience ani,” said Flordeliz Bantolinao, a teacher in Baculin National High School in Baganga, Davao Oriental, where typhoon Pablo has its landfall.
She said it was the first time she saw coconut trees falling down because of the strong winds.
Tanio said people were still grumbling in the afternoon of Monday, because it was “too hot,” it never felt like there was an upcoming typhoon. But it started to rain that night and the strong winds started at 2 a.m. Tuesday.
“When the wind started to groan at 3 a.m., nobody dared to speak,” Tanio said.
“Everyone was so quiet, we never heard that sound before. Grabe jud diay ang bagyo,” he added.
Even Vivencio Anislag, a resident of Tarragona town, who has been used to big waves and strong winds from years of living along the coast of Davao Oriental was surprised.
“I live near the shore, so I’m used to big waves and strong winds,” he said. “But this one is something different, lahi ra jud ang bagyo,” he said, awed.
Davao Oriental’s Tarragona town, which faces the Pacific Ocean, was among those badly battered when the typhoon made landfall Tuesday morning. Close to 300 families evacuated, and a five-year-old child was killed when a tree fell on their house in sitio Madian, barangay Tubaon.
In Davao city, people were equally awed as it was the first time for them to see strong wind and rain battering houses.
Davao City’s investment come-on of being typhoon-free is no longer true, after the city saw 14 trees fall and an electric post toppled.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good morning/evening all. Thanks Aussie, for the information, my heart goes out to all those people. I read this morning that Australia is having bush fires again.

It's a balmy almost 70 degrees here this morning, but rain in the forecast, so recess inside. I think we'll work on something Chrismassy.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


cdo river near city hall






Winds have calmed. Water now rising even at higher ground.


To new bridge rotonda


Hope that crane stays in place #PabloPh #storm #Cebu
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


Super Typhoon Bopha Bearing Down on the Philippines
Bopha is tracking west-northwestward at 16 knots, on course to cross the island of Mindanao late tonight. With winds sustained near 135 knots and gusts near 165 knots, and with significant wave heights of 52 feet, Super Typhoon Bopha is expected to cause significant damage to coastal areas of the island. This image was taken by the NASA/NOAA Suomi NPP satellite's VIIRS instrument around 0435Z on December 3, 2012.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Strong waves hit coast line along the Boulevard in Surigao City


wave height in Dumaguete as of 3:40pm


Strong winds brought by #PabloPH lash through trees and establishments in Mati City, Davao Oriental


#PabloPH hits Carmen, Davao del Norte: http://twitpic.com/bivk9n. Christmas displays fell due to strong winds.


Evacuation center in Opol, Misamis Oriental
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Updated: Tuesday, 04 December, 2012 at 09:43 UTC
Description
The Philippines's strongest typhoon so far this year has forced more than 41,000 people from their homes as it pounds southern provinces cutting power, suspending travel and flooding areas that are prone to landslides. More than 41,000 people evacuated high-risk coastal villages and along rivers, including in areas that were devastated by a deadly storm a year ago. President Benigno Aquino III made a national TV appeal for people in typhoon Bopha's path to move to safety and take storm warnings seriously. Aquino said army troops had deployed search and rescue boats in advance. Authorities ordered small boats and ferries not to venture out along the country's eastern coastline, warning of rough seas and torrential rain and wind that could whip up four-metre waves. Government forecaster Jori Loiz said Bopha, the strongest typhoon to hit the country this year, had weakened since it made landfall in Davao Oriental province early on Tuesday but winds remained at 99mph (160km/h) with gusts of up to 121mph.

The civil defence chief, Benito Ramos, said officials were checking for casualties or damage from a landslide on a mountainside village in Compostela Valley province. They were also working to verify unconfirmed casualty reports from Southern Leyte and Davao Oriental provinces. Power was cut off in several municipalities in southern Surigao del Sur, Surigao del Norte and Davao Oriental provinces after parts of Agusan del Sur province flooded. Bopha's rain front, 373 miles wide, is expected to be out of Philippine territory by Friday. Bopha, its name taken from the Cambodian word for flower or a girl, is the 16th big storm system to hit the Philippines this year. The country usually has about 20 typhoons and major storms a year.
http://hisz.rsoe.hu/alertmap/site/?pageid=event_u pdate_read&edis_id=TC-20121203-37381-PHL&uid=13199
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TYPHOON POUNDS THE PHILIPPINES, KILLING AT LEAST 5

MANILA, Philippines (AP) — One of the strongest typhoons to hit the Philippines this year barreled across the country's south on Tuesday, killing at least five people and forcing more than 50,000 to flee from inundated villages.

Typhoon Bopha slammed into the Davao region at dawn, its ferocious winds ripping roofs from homes and its 500-kilometer- (311-mile-) wide rain band flooding low-lying farmland. The storm, packing winds of 160 kilometers (99 miles) per hour and gusts of up to 195 kph (121 mph), toppled trees, triggered landslides and sent flash floods surging across the region's mountains and valleys.

In the gold-mining province of Compostela Valley, the fierce wind and rain forced a wall of mud and boulders to cascade down on a house, killing three children. Their bodies were wrapped in blankets by their grieving relatives and placed on a basketball court in Maparat village.

"The only thing we could do was to save ourselves. It was too late for us to rescue them," said Valentin Pabilana, who survived the landslide.

In nearby Davao Oriental, a poor agricultural and gold-mining province about 1,000 kilometers (620 miles) southeast of Manila, an elderly woman was killed when her house was struck by a tree felled by howling wind, said Benito Ramos, an ex-army general who now heads the government's disaster-response agency.

A man died a few hours later when a tree knocked him down while he was traveling on a scooter on a road in Misamis Oriental province, Ramos said.

He said the death toll was expected to rise once soldiers and police gain access to some far-flung villages isolated by floods, fallen trees and downed communications.

Regional disaster-response officer Liza Maso told The Associated Press by telephone that she was trying to confirm an army report that a flash flood washed away a truck carrying an undetermined number of people in New Bataan town, also in Compostela Valley.

While some 20 typhoons and storms normally lash the archipelago nation annually, the southern provinces being battered by Bopha are unaccustomed to fierce typhoons. A rare storm that took the area by surprise last December killed more than 1,200 people and left many more homeless and traumatized.

Officials were taking no chances this year, and President Benigno Aquino III made an appeal on national TV Monday for people in Bopha's path to move to safety and take storm warnings seriously.

"This typhoon is not a joke," Aquino said after meeting top officials in charge of disaster-response.

"But we can minimize the damage and loss of lives if we help each other," he added.

Aquino outlined preparations, including evacuations and the deployment of army search and rescue boats in advance. Authorities also ordered small boats and ferries not to venture out along the country's eastern seaboard, warning of rough seas with up to 4-meter (13-foot) waves.

In Compostela Valley, authorities halted mining operations and ordered villagers to evacuate to prevent a repeat of deadly losses from landslides and the collapse of mine tunnels seen in previous storms.

Bopha, a Cambodian word for flower or a girl, is the 16th weather disturbance to hit the Philippines this year. Forecasters say at least one more storm may hit the country before Christmas.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting BahaHurican:
Thanks for all the good posts, Aussie.


No worries mate!
Pablo is on Cebu Radar.


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
My heart goes out to all who are dealing with Bopha.
They have a lot of work ahead of them. I hope the death toll doesn't go up. I still don't have the words to describe what I saw after Rita. I think it's just something you have to see for yourself. And we didn't have the inland flooding like they do. A scary time for them. :(
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Thanks for all the good posts, Aussie.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Google Crisis Map for Bopha/Pablo
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
‘Pablo’ leaves 1 soldier dead, 1 hurt in Compostela Valley

MANILA, Philippines – One soldier was killed, and one was wounded in Compostela Valley as typhoon Pablo whipped up heavy rains and strong winds over the regions of Visayas and Mindanao.
A report from the Eastern Mindanao Command said the soldiers from the Army’s 66th Infantry Battalion were on standby at their patrol base in Andap village in New Bataan when washed away by floods.
Six soldiers were missing from the incident.
An estimated 20 civilians were also swept away by floods, and rescue efforts were underway, the military added.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Surigao del Sur under a state of calamity

MANILA, Philippines – Surigao del Sur has been placed in a state of calamity following nearly 12 hours of strong winds and heavy rains brought by typhoon “Pablo”.

Governor Johnny Pimentel said some of the towns hit by massive floods are Hinatuan, Lingig, Bislig City, Tagbina, Barobo, Lianga, San Agustin, Marihatag, Tandag City and Carrascal.

More than 33,000 residents have fled their homes, according to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC).

They are now staying in 35 evacuation centers in the province.

Almost the entire province of Surigao del Sur is also without electricity.

"I would say that this is one of the strongest typhoon na na-experience namin dito sa Surigao del Sur," Pimentel earlier told dzMM.

Pablo (international codename: "Bopha") made landfall in Baganga, Davao Oriental Tuesday morning, and was packing maximum sustained winds of 160 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gusts of up to 195 kph.

A total of 46 areas are under storm signals. The typhoon has already claimed 6 lives, according to the NDRRMC.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
‘Pablo’ disrupts Globe Telecom service in Davao City, Cagayan de Oro, Bukidnon

MANILA, Philippines – Globe Telecom has announced service interruption in some areas in Mindanao due to strong winds and heavy rains brought by typhoon Pablo (international name Bopha).
The interruption Tuesday noon was due to optical fiber cuts in the areas of Davao City, Cagayan de Oro and Bukidnon.
“Subscribers in these areas will temporarily experience difficulties sending and receiving text messages, making calls or connecting to the Internet,” Globe said on its Twitter account.
“Globe assures its subscribers that service restoration is ongoing. We’ll issue another advisory when services are fully restored,” it also said.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Power, water services down in typhoon-hit Surigao del Norte

SURIGAO CITY, Philippines—Power and water services were down in Surigao del Norte as of Tuesday afternoon, where a total of 4,580 families or 21,100 individuals have been evacuated in different designated evacuation centers all over the province.
Hundreds of passengers bound for Leyte have been stranded at the Lipata Port here.
Intermittent rain and wind have been experienced by residents here.
Food packs were distributed to evacuees in Surigao City’s three evacuation centers.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Storm surge spawned by typhoon ‘Pablo’ hits Catanduanes

LEGAZPI CITY, Albay, Philippines —-A storm surge as high as six meters hit the shorelines of Catanduanes on Tuesday, preventing passenger vessels from docking in the Virac port, the Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) in Bicol said.
MV Eugenia, a passenger vessel plying the Virac-Tabaco routes, was forced to return to Tabaco City in Albay due to the big waves battering Virac port in Catanduanes, said Bernardo Alejandro, Office of Civil Defense (OCD) regional director and Regional Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (RDRRMC) chairperson.
Alejandro said the Coast Guard in Virac port had to order the ship captain of MV Eugenia to return to the Tabaco port after big waves spawned by the gale force prevailed at the Virac port.
Quoting an initial report from the Catandaunes PDRRMC, Alejandro said the storm surge hit around 25 coastal villages in the towns of Virac, Bato, Baras and Gigmoto.
The report said strong waves forced seawater to encroach into major highways in these area.
The Coast Guard report said 682 passengers were stranded while 19 trucks, 15 buses, seven cars, and four sea vessels were also grounded in the ports of Matnog, Bulan and Pilar in Sorsogon; Pio Duran in Albay; and Cataingan in Masbate.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
507. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #9
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
5:00 PM PhST December 4 2012
==============================

Typhoon "PABLO" has slightly accelerated as it continues to move towards Siquijor-Negros Oriental area.

At 4:00 PM PhST, Typhoon Pablo [958 hPa] located at 9.0°N 123.7°E or 60 km southeast of Dumaguete City has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots gusting up to 105 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 12 knots.

Signal Warnings
==============

Signal Warning #3
-----------

Luzon Region
-----------
1. Northern Palawan including Calamian Grp. Of Islands

Visayas Region
----------------
1. Bohol
2. Siquijor
3. Southern Cebu
4. Negros Oriental
5. Southern Negros Occidental
6. Iloilo
7. Guimaras
8. Antique

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Lanao del Norte
2. Misamis Occidental
3. Zamboanga del Norte

Signal Warning #2
-----------

Luzon Region
-----------
1. Rest of Palawan

Visayas Region
-------------
1. Aklan
2.Capiz
3. Rest of Cebu incl. Camotes Is.
4. Rest of Negros Occidental

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Misamis Oriental
2. Agusan del Norte
3. Bukidnon
4. Lanao del Sur
5. Zamboanga del Sur including Sibugay

Signal Warning #1
----------

Luzon Region
-------------
1. Occidental Mindoro
2. Oriental Mindoro
3. Romblon

Visayas Region
=============
1. Leyte including Biliran
2. Southern Leyte

Mindanao Region
================
1. Surigao del Norte including Siargao
2. Surigao del Sur
3. Dinagat
4. Agusan del Sur
5. Davao del Norte
6. Compostela Valley
7. North Cotabato
8. Maguindanao

Additional Information
========================
Public Storm Warning Signals elsewhere is now lowered.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10-18 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 500 km diameter of the typhoon.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signals are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under public storm warning signals #3 and signal #2 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this typhoon.

Fishing boats and other sea vessels are advised not to venture out into the Seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
6 dead, 50,000 flee homes as Pablo rages

MANILA—Typhoon Bopha killed at least six people in the Philippines on Tuesday as the strongest storm to hit the country this year forced more than 50,000 to seek refuge in emergency shelters, officials said.
Bopha made landfall on the island of Mindanao in the south of the country at dawn, bringing driving rain and packing gusts of up to 210 kilometres (130 miles) an hour that toppled trees and brought down power lines.
Six people were killed, including an elderly woman who was crushed to death when a tree fell on her house, rescue officials said, without identifying the other five or saying how they had died.
Four fishermen were also reported missing off Mindanao’s east coast, said Freddie Bendulo, planning and development officer of Davao Oriental province.
By early afternoon, the typhoon had slowed and weakened somewhat with top gusts of 195 kilometres an hour, the state weather service said.
Civil defence chief Benito Ramos said the storm had altered course and was expected to hit the central islands of Bohol, Negros and the popular tourist resort island of Cebu later on Tuesday.
Hundreds of people are killed each year by the 20 or so tropical cyclones that hit the Philippines, but Ramos said the low casualties so far from Bopha were down to government efforts to move people to safety.
“So far, casualties have been minimal. We attribute this to the cooperation of our people and the efforts of local officials,” he told reporters.
Winds blew roofs off some buildings and residents of coastal and low-lying communities in Mindanao moved into shelters as floods hit some areas, according to residents and AFP reporters.
More than 53,000 people had moved into nearly 1,000 government shelters by early Tuesday, the civil defence office said.
A total of 145 flights to and from Mindanao and the central islands had been grounded since Monday night and more than 3,000 ferry passengers were stranded as vessels were ordered to stay in port, the civil defence office said.
Large parts of Mindanao, which is not normally hit by typhoons, were without electricity after power was cut to reduce the risk of fires and electrocutions, said Liza Mazo, a regional civil defence official.
People living in the path of the storm did what they could to protect their homes and possessions.
“We have taken our pigs and chickens inside our house because their shed might be destroyed,” 46-year-old shopkeeper Marianita Villamor from the farming town of San Fermin on Mindanao’s east coast told AFP by telephone.
Villamor said her relatives who lived in a nearby coastal area had joined hundreds of other families who moved into temporary shelters including schools and other government buildings late Monday.
In Tagum, a city of 243,000 people, hotel waiter Edgie Atilano, 23, said he and his family hunkered down in their home as Bopha bore down.
“At 3:00 am we were woken by strong rain and howling winds. Trees and branches started snapping off near the house,” said the father-of-two, who added that nearby roads were blocked with fallen trees.
“This is my first time to experience a strong typhoon. It was a bit scary,” he added.
The commercial centre of Cagayan de Oro, a city of 600,000 people, was hit by flooding as rivers overflowed.
City mayor Vicente Emano said on ABS-CBN television that police rounded up all residents of low-lying areas Tuesday and moved them to government shelters.
“There were people who refused to leave their homes yesterday. Now those areas are under code red (flood risk) so I ordered the police to go and force them to leave because these areas could soon be flooded,” Emano added.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RTSplayer:


Wait a minute...

Is that an INLAND location, on the west side of the island?

Valley?

I don't get it.

When I first read that I thought it was a tide gauge on the east side of the island, but it's not. It's a river gauge on the west side of the island, apparently at the base of a valley where everything drains together. Elevation changes by about 1000ft in each direction within less than a degree on the map.


You are correct. It's a river gauge. frightening rise in a few hours.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RTSplayer:


Wait a minute...

Is that an INLAND location, on the west side of the island?

Valley?

I don't get it.

When I first read that I thought it was a tide gauge on the east side of the island, but it's not. It's a river gauge on the west side of the island, apparently at the base of a valley where everything drains together. Elevation changes by about 1000ft in each direction within less than a degree on the map.
This is the problem with Mindanao. The mountain ridges funnel water down to the lowlying valleys where people live. The rain falls on slopes 30 miles away, and the rivers flood rapidly. Best US examples, I guess, would be flash flooding in the eastern canyons of the Rockies...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ScottLincoln:

Heck, its worse than that in some cases. Not only are some of the resort towns just completely gone, the island they were on isn't there anymore, either.
Like the Cheneriere Caminada storm in 1893 that killed 2000 and wiped out a town at landfall... Like the Chandeleur Islands which have been cut again and again by storms... the info is out there on the devastation landfalling hurricanes can cause, but the same arrogance of people causes us to end up in the same situation again and again.

EDIT: Oh yeah, and my "fave"... Last Island, which is IMO the ultimate hurricane doom party of our time... But it's all the government's fault.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AGWcreationists:
Spare me. The legalities of forced evacuation for NOLA should have been worked out long before the big one. Just as Blanco was a flaming idiot who didn't want federal assistance pre-Katrina for political reasons. Assistance that was offered by Bush but refused by Blanco, as opposed to Christie with Sandy and Obama.

I imagine you will post all kinds of liberal website attacks over that claim. But the facts stand. Blanco was an idiot hack way over her head.
Revisionist non-history.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Mornin" gang!

Evening Aussie!
Member Since: September 23, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 2428
Quoting RTSplayer:
Thanks Dr. M.

Wow.

I've been shocked at how potent this storm was.


The western Pacific as a whole actually churns out these storms on a regular basis. The only reason this one is more notable is because of its rather southerly location.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
499. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #69
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
15:00 PM JST December 4 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon In Sulu Sea

At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (970 hPa) located at 8.7N 124.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 17 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 10.6N 119.8E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sulu Sea
48 HRS: 12.2N 118.2E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
72 HRS: 12.8N 117.0E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Thanks Dr. M.

Wow.

I've been shocked at how potent this storm was.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 32 Comments: 1505
Quoting AussieStorm:
"Pablo" rips off roofs, topples trees in Davao Oriental town



DAVAO CITY, Philippines - Roofs flew as Typhoon "Pablo" hit Tarragona town in Davao Oriental Tuesday morning.
Vivencio Anislag, municipal planning and development coordinator, said several houses in Tarragona are now with damaged roofs after Pablo struck at around 3 a.m.
"Ganito pala ang bagyo?"(This turned out to storm)Anislag said, stressing that it was the first time residents experienced a typhoon.
Anislag said strong winds also toppled several trees.
We are now conducting clearing operations, he said.
As of 7 a.m., the strong wind has stopped. But there still rain, he said.
Initial reports revealed that at least four seaside huts were destroyed by the typhoon. There were no reported casualties.
A total of 321 people have been evacuated to safer grounds as early as Monday.
Tarragona faces the Pacific Ocean.


Tarragona is on the extreme southern side of Bopha's circulation, I'd imagine it would take at least a day or two for news of the areas further north.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
496. JeffMasters (Admin)
Roger Pielke, Jr. noted that Bopha is the 2nd most southerly typhoon ever recorded in the Western Pacific, when it became a typhoon at 3.8°N at 06 GMT on November 30. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center lists Typhoon Vamei of 2001 as the most southerly typhoon on record, as it attained typhoon strength at 1.5°N. However, other meteorological agencies do not credit Vamei with reaching typhoon strength, so this record is disputed.

Jeff Masters
Quoting AussieStorm:
@inquirerdotnet Rainfall amount in Visayas and Mindanao. Torrential/intense rains in Bukidnon, Cagayan de Oro and Iligan. | via @nababaha #PabloPH

nababaha Mahar Lagmay 20m
Water level in Bubunawan rose 7 meters and still rising. Papunta sa CDO river ang tubig na ito. pic.twitter.com/tynnCoUn
(Translation: Water level in Bubunawan rose 7 meters and still rising. Toward the CDO river water)



Wait a minute...

Is that an INLAND location, on the west side of the island?

Valley?

I don't get it.

When I first read that I thought it was a tide gauge on the east side of the island, but it's not. It's a river gauge on the west side of the island, apparently at the base of a valley where everything drains together. Elevation changes by about 1000ft in each direction within less than a degree on the map.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 32 Comments: 1505
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Philippines hit by Typhoon Bopha



Floods and landslides have been reported in areas in the south-eastern Philippines, after Typhoon Bopha made landfall on the southern province of Davao.

Bopha, also known as Pablo, made landfall on Mindanao's east coast at dawn, uprooting trees and blowing off roofs.

There have been no immediate reports of casualties or serious damage but the island is in lockdown, with residents of coastal and flood-prone areas moving into shelters as floods hit some areas.

Local officials in Davao province have reported waist-deep floods following typhoon Bopha's onslaught.

At least four provinces in the southeast - Davao, Surigao, Agusan and Compostela Valley - are without power.

Video

Disaster management officials have started receiving reports of damaged houses, roads and bridges.

They say the damage could be extensive, considering the intense rain and 220-kilometer-peak winds of the typhoon.

The civil defence office says more than 41,000 people have crammed into nearly 1,00 shelters to escape the storm's onslaught.

Aviation and shipping have been suspended, with 80 flights grounded and thousands of ferry passengers stranded as the coastguard ordered vessels to stay in port.

The commercial centre of Cagayan de Oro, one of Mindanao's largest cities, was hit by flooding as rivers overflowed following heavy rain.

Schools were shut in Mindanao and across large areas of the central Philippines.

President Benigno Aquino led calls for evacuations on Monday, saying: "(Bopha's) destructive potential is no laughing matter. It is expected to be the strongest typhoon to hit our country in 2012."

Gwendolyn Pang, the Red Cross spokeswoman for the Philippines, told Radio Australia they have been preparing their equipment and staff since Saturday.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:
@inquirerdotnet Rainfall amount in Visayas and Mindanao. Torrential/intense rains in Bukidnon, Cagayan de Oro and Iligan. | via @nababaha #PabloPH

nababaha Mahar Lagmay 20m
Water level in Bubunawan rose 7 meters and still rising. Papunta sa CDO river ang tubig na ito. pic.twitter.com/tynnCoUn
(Translation: Water level in Bubunawan rose 7 meters and still rising. Toward the CDO river water)



That's 22 to 23 foot storm surge.

Consistent with an intensity similar to Camille.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 32 Comments: 1505
Quoting KoritheMan:


I can see that, and it would be cool if you are right. We'll see in the morning I suppose.


Still waiting to see what happened in Baganga and Cateel, since nobody has mentioned anything from there. I think those two areas probably got hit hard, but as I understood, nearly everyone in the area evacuated.

Probably another 6 to 12 hours before we find out what really happened.
Member Since: January 25, 2012 Posts: 32 Comments: 1505
@inquirerdotnet Rainfall amount in Visayas and Mindanao. Torrential/intense rains in Bukidnon, Cagayan de Oro and Iligan. | via @nababaha #PabloPH

nababaha Mahar Lagmay 20m
Water level in Bubunawan rose 7 meters and still rising. Papunta sa CDO river ang tubig na ito. pic.twitter.com/tynnCoUn
(Translation: Water level in Bubunawan rose 7 meters and still rising. Toward the CDO river water)

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
"Pablo" rips off roofs, topples trees in Davao Oriental town



DAVAO CITY, Philippines - Roofs flew as Typhoon "Pablo" hit Tarragona town in Davao Oriental Tuesday morning.
Vivencio Anislag, municipal planning and development coordinator, said several houses in Tarragona are now with damaged roofs after Pablo struck at around 3 a.m.
"Ganito pala ang bagyo?"(This turned out to storm)Anislag said, stressing that it was the first time residents experienced a typhoon.
Anislag said strong winds also toppled several trees.
We are now conducting clearing operations, he said.
As of 7 a.m., the strong wind has stopped. But there still rain, he said.
Initial reports revealed that at least four seaside huts were destroyed by the typhoon. There were no reported casualties.
A total of 321 people have been evacuated to safer grounds as early as Monday.
Tarragona faces the Pacific Ocean.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting RTSplayer:


Supposedly there haven't been any reports of casualties yet.

It seems people take heed on category 5 storms, well, at least over there anyway.

It's those pesky slow moving Tropical Storm strength storms that nobody pays attention to which do the real loss of life.


I can see that, and it would be cool if you are right. We'll see in the morning I suppose.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Over 41,000 flee homes as 'Pablo' batters VisMin

MANILA, Philippines (UPDATE) – Over 41,000 residents in southern Philippines fled their homes as typhoon "Pablo" (international codename "Bopha") made landfall on Tuesday morning, the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) said.

The NDRRMC said as of 6 a.m., 41,608 people (8,283 families) fled their homes in the following areas forecast to be hit by the typhoon:

• Leyte (1,214)
• Southern Leyte (1,152)
• Misamis Oriental (560)
• Lanao del Norte (500)
• Davao Oriental (810)
• Surigao del Sur (17,791)
• Surigao del Norte (19,566)
• Agusan del Norte (15)

The NDRRMC said the evacuees are currently sheltered in various covered courts and schools. At least 972 evacuation centers have been identified ahead of the typhoon's arrival in the country.

Meanwhile, at least 3,406 passengers have been stranded in various ports around the country as of 6 a.m.

Coast Guard officials said 133 rolling cargoes, 87 vessels, and 48 motorboats were barred from sailing due to rough sea conditions.

Surigao blackout

Meanwhile, Surigao del Sur Governor Johnny Pimentel reported that almost the entire province lost electricity due to strong winds.

Pimentel said due to strong winds, 90% of the province lost supply of electricity. He also noted that communication lines are also suffering glitches due to the typhoon.

"Grabe na. Napakalakas ng hangin, talagang nararanasan na namin ang hagupit ng bagyo," Pimentel told dzMM.

"I would say that this is one of the strongest typhoon na na-experience namin dito sa Surigao del Sur," he added.

Pablo to exit PAR on Thursday

Pablo made landfall in the coastal town of Baganga, Davao Oriental Tuesday morning. It was still packing maximum sustained winds of 175 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 210 kph.

As of 9 a.m., Pablo was over Loreto, Agusan del Sur. PAGASA said Pablo has maintained its strength, still packing maximum sustained winds of 175 kph near the center and gusts of up to 210 kph.

PAGASA administrator Nathaniel Servando said the typhoon is expected to weaken after hitting land.

He also noted that Pablo is the strongest weather disturbance to actually hit the Philippine landmass this year.

Pablo was moving west at 26 kph. With this speed and direction, the typhoon will be 180 kilometers southwest of Roxas City on Wednesday morning.

Servando said Pablo is expected to hover over northern Mindanao and southern Visayas before finally exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Thursday.

"Pagkatapos ng Compostela Valley, ito po ay daaanan ng Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental dahil may lawak itong 600 kilometers. Ang pinaka-core circulation ay daanan sa may Bohol, Southern Cebu, Southern Negros, maging sa southern part ng Panay bago ito tumungo ng northern part ng Palawan," Servando said.

"Kung 'di magbago ang direksyon nito, bandang Huwebes ng hapon ito ay lalabas a ng PAR patungong West Philippine Sea."

The typhoon is expected to dump 15-30 millimeters per hour of rain within its 600-kilometer diameter.

"Residents in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #2 and signal #3 are alerted against storm surges particularly those living in the coastal areas of Surigao del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat, Bohol and Leyte provinces where 3-6 meters wave height is expected," PAGASA said.

The weather bureau also warned fishing boats and other small sea crafts against venturing out into the eastern seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) executive director Benito Ramos, meanwhile, no casualties from the typhoon have been reported so far.

Ramos said he is hoping that with all the government's preparation, no loss of life will occur as the typhoon batters the southern Philippines.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 537 - 487

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.