A tranquil and record-warm Thanksgiving for much of the U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:35 PM GMT on November 23, 2012

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Celebrations of the Thanksgiving holiday in the United States in 2012 were aided by some of the most tranquil travel weather ever seen on what is America's busiest travel week. Unusually warm and precipitation-free conditions prevailed over almost the entire nation on Wednesday and Thursday, with many locations in the Midwest reporting their warmest Thanksgiving Day on record. At least three cities set records for their warmest temperature ever recorded so late in the year: Valentine, Nebraska (76° on Wednesday); Rochester, Minnesota (70° on Wednesday); and Sault Ste. Marie, Michigan (65° on Thursday.) While the quiet weather was a boon for travelers, the lack of rain in the Midwest allowed the nation's worst drought since 1954 to expand; the U.S. Drought Monitor reported that the area of the contiguous U.S. covered by moderate or greater drought expanded by 1% to 60% this week. This reversed a seven-week trend of slowly decreasing drought that began on September 25 and extended until November 13, when the area covered by drought declined from 65% to 59%. The latest ten-day forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models show much below average chances of precipitation across more 90% of the U.S., including the drought regions. These dry conditions will allow the drought to expand over the next two weeks, and potentially cover 65% of the contiguous U.S. again by mid-December. The next chance for significant rains in excess of one inch in the Midwest will not occur until December 2, at the earliest. The lack of rain will potentially cause serious trouble for barge traffic on the Mississippi River by December 10, when the river may fall below the level of -5 feet at St. Louis needed to allow barges to not scrape bottom.


Figure 1. This week's U.S. Drought Monitor shows 60% of the contiguous U.S. was in moderate or greater drought.


Figure 2. Predicted 8-day precipitation amounts from the 06Z (1 am EST) November 23, 2012 run of the GFS model. For the 8-day period ending on Saturday, December 1, only the Northwest Coast, Central Gulf Coast, and portions of the Tennessee Valley are predicted to receive rains in excess of one inch. Image credit: NOAA.

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas in the Atlantic to discuss today, and none of the reliable models is forecasting tropical cyclone development between now and the Friday, November 30 official end of hurricane season. I wouldn't dismiss the possibility of one more named storm forming in December in the middle Atlantic between Bermuda and Puerto Rico, but late-season storms forming in that location rarely affect land.

Have a great holiday weekend, everyone!

Jeff Masters

I Am Thankful (pasocorto)
I Am Thankful
HappyThanksgiving! (suzi46)
to all our wonderful WU Community..a frigid and frosty daybreak at our neighbor's pond..heading up to a sunny and beautiful 50 degree afternoon..:)
HappyThanksgiving!
there's always light.. (mieke)
there's always light..
()

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Quoting eyeofbetsy:


Yes, I took Radin's work to the next level and have attained pure truth and the godhead too.(turns out Buhdda was right). I have a card to donate my essence(which is very much like fog but not severe) to Tulane Medical school.


<--- Lives near Broad and Orleans ave.


: )

who Dat.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
PR has recieved a lot of rain in the past few days to cut the deficit of rainfall that has occured so far this year.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1012 PM AST FRI NOV 23 2012

.SYNOPSIS...BROAD TROF PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SAT
WITH FLAT RIDGE EXPECTED TO BUILD SUN NIGHT. FRONT STRETCHING NE
TO SW INTO THE NRN DOM REP WILL BECOME STATIONARY NW OF AGUADILLA
SAT THEN DISSIPATE MON.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT NRLY FLOW WILL RESULT IN A STRATUS DECK NORTH
OF THE CORDILLERA WITH AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE OVERNIGHT.
STRATUS WILL BEGIN TO MIX OUT LATE IN THE MORNING WITH CONVECTION
FIRING AGAIN OVR THE CORDILLERA. STEERING FLOW WILL BE VERY WEAK
WITH A SLIGHT NORTHWARD DRIFT EXPECTED. THIS PATTERN WILL REPEAT
ITSELF AGAIN SAT NIGHT AND SUN. HEIGHTS BEGIN TO RISE QUICKLY SUN
NIGHT WITH FRONT FCST TO DISSIPATE. H85 DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS ARE
FCST TO BECOME QUITE LARGE SUN NIGHT AND MON AND DOUBT THAT ANY
CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP. HIGH PRES BUILDING TO THE NORTH WILL
TIGHTEN THE PRES GRADIENT MON-TUE WHICH SHOULD ALSO INHIBIT SEA
BREEZE CYCLE.

REST OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE DOMINATED BY STRONG HIGH PRES TO THE
NORTH WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS AND DEEP LAYER OF DRY AIR. TURNING
COOLER NEXT THU AS HEIGHTS ALOFT AND LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES DROP
AS RIDGE GETS SHUNTED SWD AND POLAR TROF PATTERN DEEPENS ACROSS
THE ATLC INTO THE NRN CARIBBEAN. WILL LIKELY SEE A RETURN OF EARLY
MORNING SHALLOW CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHEAST PR TYPICAL OF WINTER
AND PLEASANT AFTERNOONS.


&&

.AVIATION...BKN TO OVC SKIES EXPECTED ACROSS THE PR TERMINALS AS
WELL AS TIST WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. CIGS EXPECTED TO BE
MAINLY BETWEEN 4-7K FT WITH OCNL PERIODS OF AROUND 3K FT. WINDS WILL
BE FROM LIGHT AND VRB TO NORTHERLY AT 10 KTS OR LESS ACROSS PR AND
USVI. TNCM AND TKPK CAN EXPECT WINDS FROM THE WEST LATE
TONIGHT...SHIFTING TO THE EAST NORTHEAST EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.
AFTER 24/16Z...SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF
PR...DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN STEERING WINDS...VCTS WAS LEFT OUT OF
TAF.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS 4-6 FT IN NORTH SWELLS. WILL CHECK BUOYS AGAIN TO
SEE IF SMALL CRAFT ADVZY IS NEEDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 87 77 86 / 80 40 70 70
STT 80 87 80 87 / 80 40 30 30
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 13285
Quoting EstherD:


Robert Todd Carroll, Ph.D. (born 1945), is an American writer and academic. Carroll has written several books and skeptical essays but achieved notability by publishing the Skeptic's Dictionary online in 1994.

EDIT: For the sake of completeness...

Dean Radin (born February 29, 1952) is a researcher and author in the field of parapsychology. He has been Senior Scientist at the Institute of Noetic Sciences (IONS), in Petaluma, California, USA, since 2001, and is on the Adjunct Faculty in the Department of Psychology at Sonoma State University, on the Distinguished Consulting Faculty at Saybrook Graduate School and Research Center, and former President of the Parapsychological Association.



Yes, I took Radin's work to the next level and have attained pure truth and the godhead too.(turns out Buhdda was right). I have a card to donate my essence(which is very much like fog but not severe) to Tulane Medical school.
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Dunno offhand which side of the GW debate MontanaZephyr and RTSPlayer are on, so this should be construed as a general comment, not directed at either of them in particular.

It never ceases to amaze me how people on this blog can argue endlessly about GW, for which there actually is some decent science, and then accept uncritically certain pseudo-scientific claptrap such as PSY, for which there is little, if any, credible scientific evidence.

BTW, back to post 49... My glasses are very thick, my lips are very thin, and my pocket protector and sliderule collection is in excellent condition, thank you for asking. ;)

Oh. And it's a good day when I get to quote from the Bible...

Matthew 23.24: You blind guides! You strain out a gnat but swallow a camel!

Told you I was bored silly. ;)
Member Since: November 10, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 146
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
I'm gonna miss the warmth....
Same here...
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Quoting allancalderini:
Good job.yeah I see.its really a tradition? I didn`t know that.

Lol, no, not that I know of, just a coincidence.
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I thought our Thanksgiving was very pleasant and right around average temperature wise. Lower 70s for highs and upper 40s to lower 50s for lows. I absolutely love this fall to winter type weather.
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I'm more a Terrance McKenna fan myself.

: )
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211. etxwx
NJ Governor estimates Sandy will cost state at least $29.4 billion
By Chris Francescani
NEW YORK | Fri Nov 23, 2012 8:42pm EST

(Reuters) - Superstorm Sandy caused at least $29.4 billion in overall damage in New Jersey, according to a preliminary analysis released by Governor Chris Christie's office Friday.
Details here.
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Quoting MontanaZephyr:


Don't know who that is, but it is nonsense. It is not speaking to Radin's numbers. Lookit the numbers. Some twirp pissing in the wind about them is irrelevant. Duh.


Robert Todd Carroll, Ph.D. (born 1945), is an American writer and academic. Carroll has written several books and skeptical essays but achieved notability by publishing the Skeptic's Dictionary online in 1994.

EDIT: For the sake of completeness...

Dean Radin (born February 29, 1952) is a researcher and author in the field of parapsychology. He has been Senior Scientist at the Institute of Noetic Sciences (IONS), in Petaluma, California, USA, since 2001, and is on the Adjunct Faculty in the Department of Psychology at Sonoma State University, on the Distinguished Consulting Faculty at Saybrook Graduate School and Research Center, and former President of the Parapsychological Association.

Member Since: November 10, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 146
Quoting EstherD:


Slow day. Bored silly. I'll take the bait...

Found one in just a few minutes of Googling...


Book Review by Robert T. Carroll, The Skeptic's Dictionary...
"Radin, however, has no doubts. He writes that “the eventual scientific acceptance of psychic phenomena is inevitable.” He tells us that in chapter 16 he is going to explain how psi works. He believes psi research will profoundly affect our notions of space, time, mind, and matter. He even thinks that miracles will become explicable in terms of psi, thereby profoundly affecting theology. He laments that science has not helped us understand such concepts as “hope” and “meaning.” He wants science to include a dualistic metaphysics and overcome its materialism. In short, he thinks psi research will provide scientific evidence that forces us to accept the metaphysical beliefs of mystics, who think everything is related as one holistic entity in which the spiritual dimension (imagined as disembodied consciousness) functions according to will. Like many others in his field, Radin tries to put forth a return to vitalism and some form of philosophical idealism in opposition to mechanistic materialism. Like many other parapsychologists, he claims this is a giant leap forward instead of a nostalgic longing for a magical past."

Read more.




Don't know who that is, but it is nonsense. It is not speaking to Radin's numbers. Lookit the numbers. Some twirp pissing in the wind about them is irrelevant. Duh.
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"Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation
if it didn't change once in a while."
-Kin Hubbard
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MASTERMIND: Dr. Jeff Masters
TANYA MUZUMDAR | WEDNESDAY, MARCH 23, 2011




Dr. Jeff Masters, co-founder and director of meteorology at Weather Underground, has built a site that wraps his mind around the tragicomedy of whatever the atmosphere throws at us. Masters co-founded the Internet's first weather site back in 1995, and today Wunderground.com is visited by 17 million people worldwide (13 million in the U.S.) each month, ranking second only to Weather.com in U.S. web traffic. It's the 77th-most visited site in the U.S., according to Quantcast, and depending on turns of the weather, has been ranked as high as 52nd, Masters says.
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Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
I'm gonna miss the warmth....

I'm not...
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 123 Comments: 7886
I'm gonna miss the warmth....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

Tropical Storm Mindy from the 2003 Atlantic hurricane season.
Good job.
Quoting wxchaser97:

Tropical storm Nana?

Ok it was Mindy of 2003 but for Nana they did: SO IT'S TIME TO SING NA NA HEY HEY
KISS HER GOODBYE.
yeah I see.
Quoting MAweatherboy1:

It's a popular phrase over at the NHC. They have started a tradition of using it every 5 years. We'll see some variation of it again next season.

ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2003

NANO NANO...NANO NANO...HEY HEY...GOODBYE. SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS
EVENING INDICATES MINDY IS A MERE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH THE
EXPOSED CENTER BECOMING INCREASINGLY SEPARATED FROM THE DEEP
FRONTAL-LOOKING CONVECTION TO THE EAST. MINDY IS DEGENERATING INTO
A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY
UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. GIVEN THE STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR AND
DRY ENVIRONMENT...THIS SEEMS RATHER UNLIKELY.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 090/5...CONSIDERABLY SLOWER THAN BEFORE AS THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS GETTING LEFT BEHIND AS THE DEEP CONVECTION
CONTINUES MORE RAPIDLY EASTWARD. THE TRACK FORECAST FOR THE
REMNANTS OF MINDY IS SLOWER THAN AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY AND IS VERY CLOSE TO THE SHALLOW BAM.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 14/0300Z 26.0N 67.4W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
12HR VT 14/1200Z 26.2N 66.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 15/0000Z 26.5N 65.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED


NNNN


ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
500 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

NANA HASN'T BEEN PRODUCING ENOUGH CONVECTION TO QUALIFY FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE STATUS FOR MANY HOURS...SO IT'S TIME TO SING NA NA HEY HEY
KISS HER GOODBYE. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON NANA. WITH SUCH
STRONG SHEAR FORECAST IN THE PATH OF THIS SYSTEM...REGENERATION IS
EXTREMELY UNLIKELY. A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST
IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE REMNANT LOW DISSIPATES IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 14/0900Z 18.4N 43.3W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
12HR VT 14/1800Z 19.3N 44.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 15/0600Z 20.5N 46.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 15/1800Z 21.8N 48.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

NNNN
its really a tradition? I didn`t know that.
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“Never argue with a fool, onlookers may not be able to tell the differance”


― Mark Twain
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
America - Sandman

Ain't it foggy outside
All the planes have been grounded
Ain't the fire inside?
Let's all go stand around it
Funny, I've been there
And you've been here
And we ain't had no time to drink that beer

'Cause I understand you've been running from the man
That goes by the name of the Sandman
He flies the sky like an eagle in the eye
Of a hurricane that's abandoned

Ain't the years gone by fast
I suppose you have missed them
Oh, I almost forgot to ask
Did you hear of my enlistment?

Funny, I've been there
And you've been here
And we ain't had no time to drink that beer

'Cause I understand you've been running from the man
That goes by the name of the Sandman
He flies the sky like an eagle in the eye
Of a hurricane that's abandoned

I understand you've been running from the man
That goes by the name of the Sandman
He flies the sky like an eagle in the eye
Of a hurricane that's abandoned

I understand you've been running from the man
That goes by the name of the Sandman
He flies the sky like an eagle in the eye
Of a hurricane that's abandoned

I understand you've been running from the man
That goes by the name of the Sandman
He flies the sky like an eagle in the eye
Of a hurricane that's abandoned
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Gas explosion damages and destroys buildings in Mass.


The extra-tropical storm is still impacting areas of Alaska.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 123 Comments: 7886
There are photos of pea-sized hail on Hawaii today.
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7056
Quoting Neapolitan:
The "single location" reference is way back in the comment queue; you'd have to read back to the beginning to understand the context. The bottom line, however, is this: some people will argue with certain other people about virtually anything.

Anyway, while some here may wish to apply the term "severe weather" to fog events, I've found no meteorological agency that does so. The fact is, if fog can be classified as severe weather merely because it can lead to traffic accidents, then light rains are severe weather, too. And frost. And dew. And bright clear mornings that cause the low sun to cause temporary driver blindness...Skin cancer is dangerous. The sun causes skin cancer. Therefore, sunny days are severe weather.

Got it. Thanks! ;-)




So if someone ask me what the weather is should I answer I don't know because it's foggy outside and I can't see the real weather. Fog is weather, the sun is not. Just don't believe weather has to be moving at 60mph to be severe. It's the visability thing with me.
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Quoting allancalderini:
NANO NANO...NANO NANO...HEY HEY...GOODBYE
anyone knows or remember to which tropical storm was given this line.lets see if you can remember.

It's a popular phrase over at the NHC. They have started a tradition of using it every 5 years. We'll see some variation of it again next season.

ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2003

NANO NANO...NANO NANO...HEY HEY...GOODBYE. SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS
EVENING INDICATES MINDY IS A MERE SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH THE
EXPOSED CENTER BECOMING INCREASINGLY SEPARATED FROM THE DEEP
FRONTAL-LOOKING CONVECTION TO THE EAST. MINDY IS DEGENERATING INTO
A NON-CONVECTIVE REMNANT LOW AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY
UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. GIVEN THE STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR AND
DRY ENVIRONMENT...THIS SEEMS RATHER UNLIKELY.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 090/5...CONSIDERABLY SLOWER THAN BEFORE AS THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS GETTING LEFT BEHIND AS THE DEEP CONVECTION
CONTINUES MORE RAPIDLY EASTWARD. THE TRACK FORECAST FOR THE
REMNANTS OF MINDY IS SLOWER THAN AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY AND IS VERY CLOSE TO THE SHALLOW BAM.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN/COBB

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 14/0300Z 26.0N 67.4W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
12HR VT 14/1200Z 26.2N 66.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 15/0000Z 26.5N 65.2W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED


NNNN


ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142008
500 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

NANA HASN'T BEEN PRODUCING ENOUGH CONVECTION TO QUALIFY FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE STATUS FOR MANY HOURS...SO IT'S TIME TO SING NA NA HEY HEY
KISS HER GOODBYE. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON NANA. WITH SUCH
STRONG SHEAR FORECAST IN THE PATH OF THIS SYSTEM...REGENERATION IS
EXTREMELY UNLIKELY. A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST
IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE REMNANT LOW DISSIPATES IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 14/0900Z 18.4N 43.3W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
12HR VT 14/1800Z 19.3N 44.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 15/0600Z 20.5N 46.6W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 15/1800Z 21.8N 48.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

NNNN
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Quoting allancalderini:
NANO NANO...NANO NANO...HEY HEY...GOODBYE
anyone knows or remember to which tropical storm was given this line.lets see if you can remember.

Tropical storm Nana?

Ok it was Mindy of 2003 but for Nana they did: SO IT'S TIME TO SING NA NA HEY HEY
KISS HER GOODBYE.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 123 Comments: 7886
Quoting allancalderini:
NANO NANO...NANO NANO...HEY HEY...GOODBYE
anyone knows or remember to which tropical storm was given this line.lets see if you can remember.

Tropical Storm Mindy from the 2003 Atlantic hurricane season.
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Quoting DDR:

Hello,what island is that?


Oahu.
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7056
Since some people want to get legalistic about this ...

The original statement that I disputed was:

"The holiday weather has definitely been remarkably lacking in weather-related drama."

Patently false.
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
316 PM HST FRI NOV 23 2012

HIC003-240123-
/O.EXP.PHFO.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-121124T0115Z/
HONOLULU HI-
316 PM HST FRI NOV 23 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE ISLAND OF OAHU IN HONOLULU
COUNTY EXPIRES AT 315 PM HST...

AT 315 PM HST...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER PEARL
HARBOR. THIS STORM WAS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO
10 MPH...TOWARD IROQUOIS POINT AND EWA BEACH.

THIS STORM HAS WEAKENED SOME...BUT IS STILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND POSSIBLY
SOME SMALL HAIL.

LAT...LON 2142 15799 2142 15793 2136 15782 2127 15789
2135 15804
TIME...MOT...LOC 0113Z 031DEG 6KT 2136 15800

$$
R BALLARD
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7056
192. DDR
Quoting Civicane49:
Severe thunderstorm approaching my area.


Hello,what island is that?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting wxchaser97:
The GFS has backed off on bringing a snow system to SE MI early next week. While it could just as easily switch back it isn't likely to happen now. The low will be too far south to get much accumulating snow.

I am back here in NC for thanksgiving...that's not cool I was looking forward to some snow when I returned...oh well....
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Quoting Neapolitan:
.

Ignorance is bliss.
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Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I don't think 96S is an invest anymore:



Neither do I. Looks like a ts to me.
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NANO NANO...NANO NANO...HEY HEY...GOODBYE
anyone knows or remember to which tropical storm was given this line.lets see if you can remember.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
187. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
I don't think 96S is an invest anymore:





Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/2.5/D1.5/18 HRS

we know the JTWC is unofficial and this is why.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43649
Quoting MontanaZephyr:


See Doctor Dean Radin's book "The Conscious Universe". It is already demonstrated beyond all doubt. I don't care HOW thick your glasses are, how thin your lips are, how white your lab coat may be, or how snappy your pocket protectors and slide rulers may be. His book has been out nearing a decade now and NO ONE has found fault with his meta-analysis. Pure science.

PK and things like it are real. It's very annoying if you try to move along in the old world view. But there it is.


Slow day. Bored silly. I'll take the bait...

Found one in just a few minutes of Googling...


Book Review by Robert T. Carroll, The Skeptic's Dictionary...
"Radin, however, has no doubts. He writes that “the eventual scientific acceptance of psychic phenomena is inevitable.” He tells us that in chapter 16 he is going to explain how psi works. He believes psi research will profoundly affect our notions of space, time, mind, and matter. He even thinks that miracles will become explicable in terms of psi, thereby profoundly affecting theology. He laments that science has not helped us understand such concepts as “hope” and “meaning.” He wants science to include a dualistic metaphysics and overcome its materialism. In short, he thinks psi research will provide scientific evidence that forces us to accept the metaphysical beliefs of mystics, who think everything is related as one holistic entity in which the spiritual dimension (imagined as disembodied consciousness) functions according to will. Like many others in his field, Radin tries to put forth a return to vitalism and some form of philosophical idealism in opposition to mechanistic materialism. Like many other parapsychologists, he claims this is a giant leap forward instead of a nostalgic longing for a magical past."

Read more.


Member Since: November 10, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 146
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Looks intense.



Hopefully it should dissipate in the late evening.
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7056
Quoting yoboi:


i also posted from nws site that considers it severe...
That's not NWS link... good try, though.
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Severe thunderstorm approaching my area.

Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 82 Comments: 7056
Looks intense.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I don't think 96S is an invest anymore:



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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
308 PM HST FRI NOV 23 2012

HIC003-240115-
/O.CON.PHFO.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-121124T0115Z/
HONOLULU HI-
308 PM HST FRI NOV 23 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 315 PM HST FOR THE
ISLAND OF OAHU IN HONOLULU COUNTY...

AT 302 PM HST...RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER PEARL HARBOR...AND WAS NOW
DRIFTING SOUTH SOUTH AT 5 MPH. OTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE
DEVELOPING OVER KALIHI AND PEARL HARBOR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY
INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING...BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 2142 15799 2142 15793 2136 15782 2127 15789
2135 15804
TIME...MOT...LOC 0107Z 001DEG 5KT 2137 15798

$$

R BALLARD




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www.portlight.org/Featured wunderblog

There's an article from AM New York today that has all of us at Portlight riled up and ready to go to bat once again for people forgotten by local authorities and other organizations when it comes to disaster preparation and relief.

(Please read the entire article here: AM New York)

Each of the stories in this article raises our ire, and gives us renewed energy to continue Portlight's mission. But this one in particular LIT A FIRE UNDER US:

'Crippled in a shooting two years ago, 39-year-old Kenneth Martinez said he never imagined he might die by remaining in his Far Rockaway apartment during Sandy, but insisted he would have left if he were offered a place to stay that could accommodate his motorized wheelchair.

"I knew the storm was coming, but where was I going to go?" he said.

After the lights flickered out, Martinez managed to find a flashlight, but the tide that rushed into his home was ravenous. Filthy, freezing, turbulent water surged up his one leg, then gobbled up his torso. He managed to make a call to his partner, Michelle Medina, pleading for help, but his phone died in the middle of his description of the rising waters.

Medina, who was on Long Island, repeatedly dialed 911 but the three-digit number rang busy or went dead. Then she called 311. Operators there said they'd pass on the information to have Martinez evacuated. Medina also called relatives in NYC begging them to call 311, too, to stress how urgently Martinez needed help.

While his wheelchair remained in the living room, "the water floated me up to the kitchen." He struggled to stay afloat in the rising waters by windmilling his arms. Martinez began banging desperately on the ceiling - now within his reach - with his flashlight.

Hearing the knocks, his upstairs neighbor, Chris Francis, and two other men bashed out a window and rescued him..

"Those good guys upstairs risked their lives to save me," Martinez gratefully recounted. The trio carried Martinez upstairs to a vacant apartment, where he spent two nights swathed in insulation plastic to keep warm, before Medina could return to take him to her mother's house in Levittown. Medina and Martinez, who have two daughters, lost everything they owned. His new $27,000 prosthetic leg was swept away in the receding waters, but the loss most sorely felt for Martinez is his motorized wheelchair, which remains in the apartment but is unsalvageable. "I feel like I'm trapped," said Martinez, who is now facing a frustrating series of bureaucratic hurdles to replace it. "That wheelchair was my legs."'


Portlight is launching a full-on fundraising PUSH to get this man a new power chair AND do whatever we can to see to it that his prosthetic leg is replaced at no cost to him. We know that times are tough, that the holidays are right around the corner, and that a great many of you have already given all you can afford to give. If you're unable to contribute in a monetary way, we ask that you help us get the word out to everyone you know!! As always, thank you so very much for your support of our efforts!!

1. Patrap 7:04 PM CST on November 23, 2012 +0

Maybe we should rattle some TWCC,Bain and or Blackstone Groupie's for this push.

I like to rattle the Big Boys and Executive Gurl's for a good Humane cause.


Step up and be a Corporate Hero someone, will ya?




39-year-old Kenneth Martinez with Ashley and Khloe


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Well that explains the Texas-Colorado-Alberta oil corridor
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Quoting clwstmchasr:


What does "a single location" have to do with this being a severe weather event or not? We get sea fog with zero visibility that shuts down airports, interstates and shipping channels. When the NWS puts out dense fog advisories and everything shuts down I call that severe weather.
The "single location" reference is way back in the comment queue; you'd have to read back to the beginning to understand the context. The bottom line, however, is this: some people will argue with certain other people about virtually anything.

Anyway, while some here may wish to apply the term "severe weather" to fog events, I've found no meteorological agency that does so. The fact is, if fog can be classified as severe weather merely because it can lead to traffic accidents, then light rains are severe weather, too. And frost. And dew. And bright clear mornings that cause the low sun to cause temporary driver blindness...
Quoting eyeofbetsy:


Well, it's dangerous weather. Dangerous is severe.
Skin cancer is dangerous. The sun causes skin cancer. Therefore, sunny days are severe weather.

Got it. Thanks! ;-)

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175. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
DEPRESSION TROPICALE 03-20122013
4:30 AM RET November 24 2012
=======================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (998 hPa) located at 13.0S 77.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving southwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/2.5/D1.5/18 HRS

Near Gale Force Winds
======================
30 NM radius from the center extending up to 40 NM in the southern semi-circle

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 13.8S 73.9E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
48 HRS: 14.6S 71.6E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modérée)
72 HRS: 15.5S 68.2E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)

Additional Information
=====================
Convective activity keeps on consolidating and shows now a curved band wrapping .50 around the center.

As expected since, environmental conditions improve aloft the circulation. Wind shear has significantly relaxed and under the upper level ridge axis, upper level divergence is rather good mainly poleward.

In low levels, equatorward inflow is limited in relationship with the convergence area existing in its north from 4.0S to 9.0S and low level vorticity is mainly sustained southward by trade wind inflows. This rather favorable environmental conditions are expected to continue until Sunday afternoon over a globally west southwestward track on the northern edge of the subtropical high pressures. Oceanic heat content remains favorable within this schedule (Sea surface temperature about 27-29C). System should then reach tropical storm stage.

Late Sunday, northerly then northwesterly vertical wind shear is expected to strengthen and system is therefore expected to progressively weaken.

On and after Tuesday, under the unfavorable wind shear constraint and over cooler ocean, the system is expected to regularly fill in. The residual low should track towards a polar trough transiting in its south and merge with it on Thursday.
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The GFS has backed off on bringing a snow system to SE MI early next week. While it could just as easily switch back it isn't likely to happen now. The low will be too far south to get much accumulating snow.
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co2now.org

391.03ppm


Atmospheric CO2 for October 2012

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Any warning of severe or Life Threatening weather is a good thing,...alway's.

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171. yoboi
Quoting Bluestorm5:
That doesn't make it a severe weather just because TV reported it.



Warnings for Mason, Michigan | Weather Underground Dense fog advisory remains in effect until 11 am EST this morning. ... Weather
preparedness information is available on line at ... Severe Overlay on Radar ...
www.wunderground.com/US/MI/037.html


keep drinking the nea kool-aid


Member Since: August 25, 2010 Posts: 6 Comments: 1978
Quoting Bluestorm5:
That doesn't make it a severe weather just because TV reported it.


Well, it's dangerous weather. Dangerous is severe.
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Quoting txjac:


Fog scares me ...I have a hard time breathing when driving in it ...kind of claustrophbic I guess ...being raised a Catholic ...it kind of reminds me what purgatory would be like?


...actually, that's closer to "Limbo". Purgatory is closer to a Black Friday cash register line. With a cranky spouse with you. And you know that at home there is a good sports game on, tropical storms brewing.... snacks waiting...
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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