October 2012: Earth's 5th warmest October on record
October 2012 was the globe's 5th warmest October on record, said National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) today. NASA rated October 2012 the 2nd warmest October on record. Global temperature records begin in 1880. October 2012 global land temperatures were the 8th warmest on record, and global ocean temperatures were the 4th warmest on record. October 2012 was the 332nd consecutive month with global temperatures warmer than the 20th century average. The last time Earth had a below-average October global temperature was in 1976, and the last below-average month of any kind was February 1985. Global satellite-measured temperatures in October 2012 for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were 7th or 2nd warmest in the 34-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH), respectively. Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has a comprehensive post on the notable weather events of October 2012 in his October 2012 Global Weather Extremes Summary.
Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for October 2012, the 5th warmest October for the globe since record keeping began in 1880. Several regions around the globe were much warmer than average, including northeastern and southwestern North America, most of South America, northern Africa, southeastern Europe, southwestern Asia, and far eastern Russia. A heat wave brought record warmth to large areas of Brazil and Bolivia. Record heat was also present in southern India. It was cooler than average in parts of northern Siberia, Mongolia, and northern China along with much of central North America. Western Canada was much cooler than average. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .
El Niño watch discontinued
Neutral El Niño conditions exist in the equatorial Pacific, where sea surface temperatures were 0.4°C above average as of November 12. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has cancelled their El Niño watch, and expects neutral El Niño conditions for the coming winter. Temperatures in the equatorial Eastern Pacific need to be 0.5°C above average or warmer to be considered an El Niño. El Niño conditions tend to bring cooler and wetter winter weather to the Southern U.S.
Figure 2. Arctic sea ice extent in October 2012 (thick black line) was the second lowest since satellite records began in 1979. Sea ice extent has sunk to the lowest values on record for this time of year during the first half of November. The previous record low occurred in 2007 (magenta line.) Image credit: National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) and meteomodel.pl.
Arctic sea ice falls to 2nd lowest October extent on record
Arctic sea ice extent during October reached its second lowest extent in the 35-year satellite record, behind 2007, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). Beginning in late October, Arctic sea ice extent began setting new daily record lows again, and it is very likely we will have a new monthly record low for the month of November. I have much more to say about this year's extraordinary loss of Arctic sea ice in my October 20, 2012 post, Earth's attic is on fire: Arctic sea ice bottoms out at a new record low.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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I dunno, hang around and you may see a few ding dongs soon...
LOL, I heard that this morning... *gasp*...soon people all over the country will be hoarding Ho-Ho's.
Good morning all...it was a frosty morning here in East Texas.
Edited to add the inevitable... Wendy Williams starts %u2018Save The Twinkie%u2019 campaign
Blind Mellon Chitlin'?
I sorry, but if after all the warnings and press, if you decided NOT to prepare "because" the NHC quit calling this storm a hurricane, then maybe you belong in the Darwinian process. This is 20/20 hindsight maneuvering for litigation.
Agreed, I wouldn't mind a blizzard in Florida.
+1000 for certain. The Darwin Award is a harsh judge...
With respect to the U.S. and any other local area having a nth warmest year on record it is specifically referenced to just that local area. When you average all these areas across the globe and add all the temperatures, they comes out to a net increasing number, but local areas are in constant flux, with the net result being that there is much more record warmth being recorded than record cold.
I've always pictured an extreme artic blast of air causing GOM effect snow across SW. Florida.
Pattern set ups is looking good for you washington115 if your wanting your snow that is...;)
There's a reason for that.
I loved them as a kid.
But that was a very long time ago and haven't had one since!
The port of New Orleans was completely iced over by February 13, with ice floes reportedly floating out of the Mississippi River into the Gulf of Mexico. On February 14 the city experienced its coldest ever Mardi Gras reading of 22 °F (%u22126 °C). The Krewe of Rex Parade was delayed while snow was removed from the route.[1]
Also on February 14, the low temperature in Miami was 29 °F (%u22122 °C), the second-coldest (and the first sub-30) temperature that the city has ever recorded.
North of the Mid-Atlantic region, the storm weakened somewhat, but it was still a very powerful blizzard. New York's Central Park recorded 16 inches (41 cm), which at the time was its third-biggest snowfall, but many surrounding areas recorded 2%u20133 feet (60 to 90 cm), as did most of New England.
There are even Cuban reports (made by the U.S. Weather Bureau, as Cuba was a U.S. territory at the time) that the country experienced hard frost which killed or damaged many crops. This was despite the cold air first having to cross the Florida Strait and its warm Gulf Stream waters. The blizzard of 1899 is referred to as "The Snow King".
The only other cold wave of such severity in the Southeast was the 1985 Florida freeze, which destroyed the citrus groves in central Florida, and forced the industry into south Florida.
gag
anyway, it's the bittersweet end of an era!
What about Southern PA?
Usually i have snow when u have snow cause the bad winter storms here come from the south... so start doing a snow dance wash! :p
yeah and after a dead winter like last year in snow form... we need another large winter with a goods bit of snow
But if you had saved any of those childhood Twinkies, they would still be fresh and tasty to this day. ;-)
The Eternal Twinkie...may it rest in peace.
was that gro in that pic???
Prolly blame this on agw too.
LMAO....
SUPERCELL thunderstorms with the potential to create tornadoes are threatening to smash NSW and Queensland this weekend.
Considered the most dangerous storms, supercells develop where wind shear is present through a very unstable atmosphere.
"Supercell thunderstorms are likely to produce severe weather," said Tom Saunders, Senior Meteorologist at The Weather Channel.
He said such extreme weather events were "likely across northeast New South Wales and southeast Queensland this weekend and have the potential to cause flash flooding, damaging winds and large hail".
"The wind shear leads to rotation within the storm and a longer lifespan," he said.
"Supercells often cause very heavy rain and flash flooding, large hail, damaging winds gusts and occasionally tornadoes.
The more intense thunderstorms this weekend have the potential to bring around 50mm of rain, but most of northeast New South Wales and southeast Queensland are expected to receive at least 20mm.
Mr Saunders said the chance of severe storms would reduce by Monday as the trough moves offshore.
In Queensland, any storms will follow an early burst of hot weather.
Ipswich is expected to record a top of 37C on Saturday, as will Brisbane's western and southern suburbs.
Much of the west will be in the 40s.
Weather Bureau forecaster Bryan Rolstone said the hottest place in the state would most likely be Bedourie in the far southwest, with 43C.
"A northwest wind will bring hot air out of the Gulf (of Carpentaria) and the NT," Mr Rolstone said.
"There'll be more moisture around on Saturday and a trough will be right on us, providing lift and moisture.
"We're about a month behind with our storm season, but moisture levels are rising."
The Yanks had Sandy, now our superstorm needs a name.
Which do you like?
Barry 9.06% (362 votes)
Shane 2.93% (117 votes)
Kylie 5.13% (205 votes)
Cheryl 6.86% (274 votes)
Bruce 10.81% (432 votes)
Tezza 9.89% (395 votes)
Gaz 6.38% (255 votes)
Shaz 23.88% (954 votes)
Jacko 6.48% (259 votes)
Col 2.43% (97 votes)
Donna 2.95% (118 votes)
Alfie 6.41% (256 votes)
Johnno 6.78% (271 votes)
Total votes: 3995
Cold weather.
Yeah i want another 09-10 winter
Here's a snow forecast link for you Doppler,it may be helpful as winter moves along.. :)
Come on Chicklit. We all sneak a Twinkie now and then. I know when I pass the pharmacy to pick up my Geritol, I have to grab a Ring-Ding on the way out.
The Northshore of What?
Well if your in the D.C. area I'd say getting 20-30 inches this year might be a good bet. It all depends on the timing with the cold air and phasing of systems, but it looks like it's going to be wetter than normal. CPC just came out a few days with their updated outlooks.
December Outlook
Precip:
Temperatures:
Three month outlook
Precip:
Temperatures:
I would expect that above normal anomalies for precipitation would extend all the way through mid-Atlantic states. The storm track would be right on top of you.
Nort shore about that.
1 KM Visible Satellite for Florida
1 KM Visible Satellite for Southern Florida
1 KM Visible Satellite for Carolinas
Not standard for NWS to cancel a service assessment on order from higher-ups.
Bless your little heart for trying to understand, and please forgive me for not responding to further comment from you and/or others.
Have a nice day.
;)
To answer an earlier poster's question...For it to snow in Florida, you (obviously) need sufficiently cold temperatures, but also moisture and some sort of mechanism to cause precipitation. This moisture and/or mechanism tends to be rare in Florida when temperatures are cold enough for frozen precip. The Florida Panhandle experiences snow (often just flurries) somewhere at least every other year on average, whereas any type of frozen precip. is extremely rare in South Florida, and likely occurs an average of, say 3 times per century.
Lake Ponchartrain...sorry. I thought everybody knew I was a Louisiana boy
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