Wednesday's Nor'easter to have lower impact than originally feared
An early-season Nor'easter is taking shape along the coast of South Carolina today, but is now forecast to be weaker and move farther offshore than originally forecast, resulting in lower impacts to the New Jersey and New York coasts than originally feared. The storm will head north-northeast along the coast on Wednesday, intensifying into a 990 mb Nor'easter, a few hundred miles south of Long Island, NY, by Wednesday evening. The storm will likely bring wind gusts up to 50 mph and a storm surge of 2 - 3 feet along the coasts of Virginia, Maryland, New Jersey, and New York, including New York City. High waves of 10 - 20 feet will ride on top of this surge, and cause moderate beach erosion along much of the coastline damaged by Hurricane Sandy. The greatest flooding will occur during the Wednesday early afternoon high tide cycle, near 1 pm EST. Fortunately, the high tides this week will be some of the lowest of the month, since we are midway between the new moon and full moon. The Nor'easter's strongest winds will likely affect eastern Long Island and coastal Massachusetts, where wind gusts up to 60 mph will be possible Wednesday evening and Thursday. The storm's heaviest rains will stay offshore, and only Eastern Massachusetts can expect to see more than 1" of rain. The storm isn't going to tap into a large reservoir of cold, Arctic air, which will limit snowfall amounts to perhaps 1 - 2" along a swath from Northern New Jersey northeastwards, across Western Massachusetts and into Maine. While the storm will slow down recovery efforts from Hurricane Sandy, this is a pretty ordinary Nor'easter of the type the Northeast sees several times per year, and will not cause major damage.
Figure 1. Predicted wind speed for 1 pm EST Wednesday, November 7, 2012, from the 12Z (7 am EST) run of the GFS model made on Tuesday, November 6, 2012. Winds tropical storm-force (39+ mph) are predicted to affect Southern New Jersey, eastern Long Island, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts, but miss the areas hardest hit by Sandy--northern New Jersey and the New York City area.
Figure 2. Predicted storm surge at Sandy Hook, NJ for Wednesday's Nor'easter, from the experimental Extratropical Storm Surge model, run by NOAA"s Meteorological Development Laboratory. This model used winds from this morning's 6Z (1 am EDT) run of the GFS model. The peak storm surge (yellowish-brown line) is predicted to be 3.7', occurring Wednesday afternoon. High tide (green line) occurs near 1 pm Wednesday afternoon, resulting in a peak storm tide of approximately 7.8' around 1 pm Wednesday (black line). For comparison, Sandy delivered a 8.6' storm surge to Sandy Hook before their tide gauge failed, with the storm tide reaching 13.2' above MLLW (Mean Lower Low Water.)
More Sandy links
I gave a TED talk in Bermuda in October 2011, and presented a list of nine potential $100 billion weather disasters that could happen in the next 30 years. Number six on my list was a hurricane hitting New York City. “We really don’t know what climate change is going to do to hurricanes,” I said, “but it makes sense that it’ll probably make the strongest ones stronger.” If you want to see what I had to say about a hurricane hitting New York City, plus the other eight disasters I think have at least a 10% chance of happening in the next 30 years, the 18-minute video is up on the main TED site. (I've since updated my list to twelve potential $100 billion disasters, and plan on running a blog series on the topic in 2013.)
Was Sandy a hurricane at landfall? Lee Grenci, a senior lecturer and forecaster at the Department of Meteorology at Penn State, weighs in on the matter in this guest blog post. He presents evidence that Sandy was not a hurricane at landfall, and was instead a rapidly evolving hybrid storm. Lee , who is a frequent contributor to Weatherwise magazine, will be joining wunderground as a featured blogger in December, and we're looking forward to having his excellent writings!
Be sure to vote today!
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND...FROM THE GREAT SOUTH CHANNEL TO HUDSON
CANYON INCLUDING THE WATERS SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET ISLAND...OUT TO 1000 FM
300 AM EST WED NOV 07 2012
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 TO 65 KT...THEN
OVER E PORTION DIMINISHING TO E TO SE 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11
FT BUILDING TO 20 TO 28 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS W. RAIN. A
CHANCE OF TSTMS E PORTION.
.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING N 45 TO 55 KT...EXCEPT E OF 71W
BECOMING S AND DIMINISHING TO 30 TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 15 TO 22 FT. AREAS OF RAIN. A CHANCE OF TSTMS E PORTION.
.THU...WINDS BECOMING NW 30 TO 40 KT THROUGHOUT. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 12 TO 18 FT...HIGHEST SE. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 14 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS E. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
.FRI...N TO NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT E OF 72W TO 5 TO 8 FT.
.SAT...WINDS DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 3 FT.
.SUN...WINDS BECOMING S TO SW 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
$$
.FORECASTER CLARK. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
329 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012
...A HIGH WIND WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
.STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST EARLY
THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH TO A POSITION OFF THE NEW
JERSEY COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORM WILL PULL AWAY
FROM THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
THE STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT. THOSE AREAS THAT WERE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY SANDY
LAST WEEK WILL BE MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE HIGH WINDS.
DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-012- 015>019-021-
PAZ067>071-072200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WI.Y.0011.121107T1100Z-121108T1100Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCES TER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CUMBERLAND-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...ELKTON...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...MOR RISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
MILLVILLE...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA
329 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...
* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
* THIS IS A POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY FOR THE
AREAS THAT WERE HARD HIT BY THE STORM LAST WEEK.
* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING.
* IMPACTS...STRUCTURES AND TREES WEAKENED BY THE STORM LAST WEEK
MAY BE FURTHER DAMAGED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS. THIS
COULD ALSO RESULT IN RENEWED POWER OUTAGES...PARTICULARLY IN
AREAS WHERE THE ELECTRICAL SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAKENED STATE.
ANY LEFT OVER DEBRIS FROM LAST WEEKS STORM COULD BECOME A
HAZARD DURING THIS NEW STORM... ESPECIALLY IF IT IS LIGHT
ENOUGH TO BECOME AIRBORNE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS
WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH OR GREATER. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS. IF POSSIBLE... NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING IN OR
SECURE OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT COULD BE BLOWN AROUND IN THE STRONG
WINDS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION...ESPECIALLY THOSE IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO
FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED.
&&
$$
Noreaster: WINTER STORM WARNING! now around PHL with Hurricane Wind Warning offshore, storm on coast. Says it all! http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/266125974 482087936/photo/1
ANZ084-ANZ470-071500-
HUDSON CANYON TO BALTIMORE CANYON INCLUDING THE WATERS W OF
39.3N 71.9W...SW TO 37.7N 72.9W
400 AM EST WED NOV 07 2012
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.TODAY...N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 45 KT INCREASING TO 50 TO 65 KT...
THEN BECOMING N TO NW. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT BUILDING TO 20 TO 28 FT.
AREAS OF RAIN. A CHANCE OF TSTMS FAR E.
.TONIGHT...N TO NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO
23 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 TO 17 FT. AREAS OF RAIN. A CHANCE OF TSTMS
FAR NE.
.THU...NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 8
TO 13 FT...HIGHEST E. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3
TO 5 FT.
.SAT...WINDS DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT.
.SUN...WINDS BECOMING S TO SW 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
$$
ANZ083-ANZ272-ANZ273-ANZ370-071430-
SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND...FROM THE GREAT SOUTH CHANNEL TO HUDSON
CANYON INCLUDING THE WATERS SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET ISLAND...OUT TO 1000 FM
300 AM EST WED NOV 07 2012
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 TO 65 KT...THEN
OVER E PORTION DIMINISHING TO E TO SE 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11
FT BUILDING TO 20 TO 28 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS W. RAIN. A
CHANCE OF TSTMS E PORTION.
.TONIGHT...WINDS BECOMING N 45 TO 55 KT...EXCEPT E OF 71W
BECOMING S AND DIMINISHING TO 30 TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 15 TO 22 FT. AREAS OF RAIN. A CHANCE OF TSTMS E PORTION.
.THU...WINDS BECOMING NW 30 TO 40 KT THROUGHOUT. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 12 TO 18 FT...HIGHEST SE. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 14 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS E. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS.
.FRI...N TO NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING
TO 3 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT E OF 72W TO 5 TO 8 FT.
.SAT...WINDS DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 3 FT.
.SUN...WINDS BECOMING S TO SW 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.
$$
Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
340 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012
DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-072200-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0004.121107T1100Z-121108T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0002.121107T1100Z-121108T1100Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA
340 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.
* TIMING...LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING...AND
BECOME STEADIER LATER THIS MORNING. AS THE PRECIPITATION FALLS
MORE HEAVILY THIS AFTERNOON...THE PRECIPITATION WILL TAKE THE
FORM OF SNOW...AND THE SNOW MAY FALL HEAVILY AT TIMES THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
* IMPACTS...AS THE PRECIPITATION FALLS MORE HEAVILY AND CHANGES TO
SNOW...ACCUMULATIONS ON COLDER SURFACES IS EXPECTED. DURING THE
HEAVIEST OF THE SNOWFALL...SECONDARY ROADS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK. MAIN ARTERIES MAY EXPERIENCE SOME
SLICK SPOTS AS WELL...MAINLY DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S...BUT TEMPERATURES MAY FALL BACK
CLOSE TO THE FREEZING MARK DURING THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
In the meantime, as per weatherbell idea, the noreaster is here. Hurricane wind warnings offshore,storm warnings coast, snow inland
makes me miss Thanksgiving even more over here...nothing between Halloween and xmas! And halloween is still pretty minor here (though getting bigger) so some places go straight to xmas in September LOL
MT @accu_adrienne: United Airlines has canceled 500 flights starting noon today - noon Thursday out of EWR, JFK & LGA airports
Um, why didn't you go out and check before coming on here, Priorities!!!!
Good Evening,
Mike Bettes @TWCMikeBettes
Total power outages after #Sandy is now down to 636,000.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
326 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012
...A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
.STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE EAST OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST EARLY
THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH TO A POSITION OFF THE NEW
JERSEY COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORM WILL PULL AWAY
FROM THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
MORNING TO 8 AM EST THURSDAY...
* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
DELAWARE BAY.
* COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TODAY AND TONIGHT. WATER LEVELS MAY NOT
RECEDE MUCH BETWEEN THE TWO HIGH TIDES.
* AT SANDY HOOK... NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
118 PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 212 AM THURSDAY...
WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER.
* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
AT 1248 PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 142 AM THURSDAY...
WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER.
* AT ATLANTIC CITY... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
101 PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 157 AM THURSDAY... WITH A
FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
* AT CAPE MAY... NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 135
PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 231 AM THURSDAY... WITH A
FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR... DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
AT 221 PM... WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 302 AM THURSDAY...
WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER
LOW WATER.
* AT REHOBOTH BEACH... DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
133 PM...WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 207 AM THURSDAY...WITH A
FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER.
* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS...ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG
RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.
* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE SURF ZONE ALONG THE COAST ARE
EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE 6 TO 10 FOOT RANGE. WAVE HEIGHTS ON
DELAWARE BAY SHOULD BE IN THE 2 TO 6 FOOT RANGE.
* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL MINOR TO
MODERATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THE ELEVATED TIDES WILL
HAVE A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON RECOVERY EFFORTS. THE TIDES AND THE
WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH
EROSION.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS COASTAL FLOOD WARNING INDICATES THAT MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING
IS IMMINENT. BE PREPARED FOR RISING WATER LEVELS AND TAKE
APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOLLOW THE
RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER MAY BE
DEEPER THAN YOU THINK IT IS. YOU WILL BE PUTTING YOURSELF IN
DANGER AND YOUR VEHICLE MAY BE DAMAGED... LEADING TO COSTLY
REPAIRS.
FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR
COUNTY... PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN
LOWER CASE).
&&
$$
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
450 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012
...STRONG COASTAL STORM WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO
LOCALIZED MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
NJZ006-106-108-NYZ072-074-071800-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.W.0004.121107T1600Z-121108T1100Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
450 AM EST WED NOV 7 2012
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS
MORNING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY...
* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK HARBOR.
* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND 3.5 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND
AROUND 3 FT LATE TONIGHT.
* BEACH EROSION...LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF 8 TO 12 FEET ON TOP OF
ANY SURGE COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL BEACH EROSION AND
OVERWASH.
* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
* IMPACTS...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO LOCALIZED MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS
EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
LOCALLY MAJOR FLOODING COULD OCCUR IN PLACES DUE TO CHANGES TO
UNDERWATER SLOPES AND/OR LOSS OF PROTECTIVE DUNES BOTH CAUSED BY
SANDY. WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR
BASEMENTS WILL HAMPER RECOVERY EFFORTS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.
...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD......
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY... ...
................................(MLLW)........... ..........
THE BATTERY NYC.....137 PM...........7.55-8.05.....MODERATE...
BERGEN POINT NY.....128 PM...........8.25-8.75.....MODERATE...
...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR LATE TONIGHT...
COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD......
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY... ...
................................(MLLW)........... ..........
THE BATTERY NYC.....241 AM...........6.5-7.6.......MINOR......
BERGEN POINT NY.....230 AM...........7.2-8.3.......MINOR......
...OCEAN WATER LEVELS FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD......
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY... ...
................................(MLLW)........... ..........
MONTAUK POINT NY....312 PM...........5.45-5.95.....MODERATE...
...OCEAN WATER LEVELS FOR LATE TONIGHT...
COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD......
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY... ...
................................(MLLW)........... ..........
MONTAUK POINT NY....352 AM...........4.0-5.1.......MINOR......
&&
$$
nope not the only one ... i love x-mas. after Remembrance day we Canucks get right into it.
Philadelphia has not had 2" of snow in November since 1995; that could change later today into tonight
Clearing out the sleepies first. Short of a scream or a fire or substantial building movement, I can't think of a single thing that'd make me go out into a blustery dawn while still groggy. Whereas according to presslord and pottery, a ration of grog can only help when visiting the Wunderground.
Link
give him a break... this is exciting times. Everyone has been talking about politics if you havn't noticed...
THURSDAY...
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 4 INCHES.
* TIMING...LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS MORNING...AND
CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WHEN THE PRECIPITATION FALLS
MORE STEADILY AND HEAVILY...IT WILL PRIMARILY TAKE THE FORM OF
SNOW. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO MAINLY RAIN
TONIGHT.
* IMPACTS...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO TO UPPER 30S ARE FORECAST...SO
ANY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ON COLDER SURFACES. AS TEMPERATURES
COOL BACK TOWARD FREEZING TONIGHT...THERE COULD BE SOME SLICK
SPOTS ON MAINLY SECONDARY ROADS. TREATED ROADWAYS SHOULD REMAIN
MOSTLY ICE FREE.
* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.
&&
$$
* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT...HUDSON COUNTY...AND SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTY.
* HAZARDS...DAMAGING WINDS.
* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.
* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
* IMPACTS...WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES...AS WELL AS MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.
&&
Uhm...you might want to read back some. A majority of the discussion on here last night and this morning has been about politics.
Congratulations Obama...you weren't the candidate I was hoping for, but maybe you'll get America on the right track.
Barney Alert!
*Breaking News* - @weatherchannel has just named it's 1st winter storm #Athena
Just stupid
HUDSON CANYON TO BALTIMORE CANYON INCLUDING THE WATERS W OF
39.3N 71.9W...SW TO 37.7N 72.9W
400 AM EST WED NOV 07 2012
...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.TODAY...N TO NE WINDS 35 TO 45 KT INCREASING TO 50 TO 65 KT...
THEN BECOMING N TO NW. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT BUILDING TO 20 TO 28 FT.
AREAS OF RAIN. A CHANCE OF TSTMS FAR E.
Based on the advertising last night, I thought the election was sponsored by "clean coal".
I'm thankful both that I got to vote and that Florida's typical inability to complete a count was rendered irrelevant to the presidential election based on electoral count. So my vote hasn’t counted yet.
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