Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 2:54 PM GMT on October 29, 2012 | +63 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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That thing is dangling right across the street from Carnegie Hall!
Southern or northern portion of town? Are they calling for an evacuation of your area? Don't tie the surge to the rain/wind... it will not necessarily get bad at the same time the wind/rain does.
PM me an address and I can try to help you estimate your elevation.
I think he also posted a 940-950mb storm striking Ocean County NJ about a week ago. :)
I think I'll take my nap now.
Disasters have many impacts, not the least upon the economy and upon businesses. Many small business never recover from a disaster and close their doors forever. Sorry for your trouble - it is a shame to be hit by this.
but then how do you get another crane up there???
There will probably be all sorts of oddity stories like this today. It does look pretty scary! Even if it doesn't come down today, it has to come down sometime. Sheesh.
Link
Record flooding in the aftermath of Hurricane Floyd in September 1999 (42.13 ft (13.1 m) flood crest, 14 ft (4.6 m) above flood stage) caused renewed interest in a flood control project called the Green Brook Flood Control Project, which will essentially protect Bound Brook from a 150 year flood. Two levees have been built on the perimeter of Bound Brook, but the main levee necessary to keep the Raritan River from flooding the town has not been built as of early 2007 and is not scheduled to be completed for at least another five years.
Link
When the high tide and wind direction both start stacking on top of each other, the situation could change quickly and people could get trapped or washed away.
I hope I'm overreacting.
Yeah, there's a wave in the Cen.Atl, and here in Trinidad we are watching it and hoping for some rain !
There are actually two different markets. There is the real one, that depends on selling products or services, and there is the imagined market, where CEO's try to get people to bet on how the future of the company will be. That is the stock market.
WTNT63 KNHC 291855
TCUAT3
HURRICANE SANDY TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
300 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012
...CENTER OF SANDY HEADING TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
...LANDFALL EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS EVENING...
SUMMARY OF 300 PM EDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.5N 73.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM S OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES
LATEST REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...
AS WELL AS NOAA DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATIONS...INDICATE THAT SANDY
CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF SANDY IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY OR CENTRAL DELAWARE WITHIN THE NEXT 3 TO 5 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
heheheheheheheh
Yeah, I saw it on CNN, and talking about CNN, they have some amazing live footage in Atlantic City, NJ. The winds are extremely rough.
In my economics class they taught that when you sold something, someone had to buy it. They didn't teach me that a weather blog is where serious investors go to solve trading issues. That is new to me.
Inland Wind Model for Northeast Region. NWS has forward motion at 28mph on a Cat One storm. Here is your maximum penetration of wind chart.
More Here
Stay safe everyone.
Making landfall ATM.
Looking like a west turn too.
150 miles inland there's still tides. The subway flooding water is waaay past being freshwater. (it's a tidal estuary)
Nothing is loading. Remarks are coming on about 4 minutes later
The balance of the flooded regions will shifts as the storm progresses.
Look at the times of the posts, they are mixed up.
Lag much?
No. When it comes onshore to the Southwest of NYC, the counter clockwise rotation will be pushing water due North right into Long Island and NYC for hours after the eye is onshore. This maximum effect will be right at high tide.
Similarly, Katrina hit east of NOLA and pushed Lake Ponch right into the city from the North due to the huge surge and south blowing winds.
This same thing happened during Ike in 2008. Ike was onshore before the Bolivar Pennisula got innundated to the East of Houston and NE of Galveston.
Thus Sandy coming onshore early and leaving her North blowing winds pushing water toward NYC right at high tide is, IMO, a worst case scenario not a blessing.
I truly hope everyone takes this storm seriously. Prayers and thoughts to those in it's path.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
300 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012
...CENTER OF SANDY HEADING TOWARD SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
...LANDFALL EXPECTED BY EARLY THIS EVENING...
SUMMARY OF 300 PM EDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.5N 73.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM S OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES
LATEST REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT...
AS WELL AS NOAA DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATIONS...INDICATE THAT SANDY
CONTINUES MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF SANDY IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY OR CENTRAL DELAWARE WITHIN THE NEXT 3 TO 5 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Grothar what browser are you using
Stay safe and warm, everyone. I'll check in for updates as I can.
Gust to 66kts, and that's well to the north of the center. Very impressive.
Surge at Delaware bay specifically.... There were a few model runs that had it diving SSW briefly before landfall then lifting NNW inland...
http://hudson.dl.stevens-tech.edu/SSWS/d/index.sh tml?station=N017
plenty of rain though.
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