Hurricane Sandy remains a Category 2, continues on its track toward the East Coast

By: Angela Fritz , 9:48 PM GMT on October 25, 2012

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Hurricane Sandy is tracking north through the Bahamas this afternoon as a Category 2 hurricane. Maximum wind speeds in the hurricane are 105 mph, with a minimum central pressure of 963 mb. Sandy's center is moving through the eastern Bahamas, about 100 miles southeast of Nassau. The hurricane's eye is still not apparent on satellite nor was it clear in the data from today's Hurricane Hunter mission. Gusts in Nassau have reached 39 mph so far today as the hurricane approaches from the south. Buoys west of Nassau have been recording surface winds up to 39 mph, as well. On Abaco Island, just over an inch of rain has fallen today, and almost an inch of rain has fallen in Miami, where rain started last night.

Sandy's appearance on satellite is a bit ragged this afternoon as it approaches very high wind shear (40-50 knots). The hurricane is obviously already undergoing structural changes this afternoon, caused in part by an upper level low over western Cuba. This low is prohibiting Sandy's outflow on the west side, and as a result, the storm appears asymmetrical with a large area of outflow and circulation to the north, and only a tail of circulation on the southeast of the hurricane. Visually, Sandy is a huge storm. Based on clouds alone, Sandy stretches from Jacksonville, Florida, east to Bermuda, and south to the southern Caribbean Sea. Sandy's radius of outer closed isobar is 350 miles, though tropical storm-force winds only extend around 200 miles from the center.


Figure 1. High resolution MODIS visible satellite imagery of Hurricane Sandy early this morning.

Forecast For Hurricane Sandy
As Sandy moves north, it will grow larger and the hurricane's energy will spread out even more, which will lead to a slight decrease in maximum wind speed. Models agree on this steady decrease in intensity over the next few days, though beyond that, the intensity forecast is still in question since Sandy could begin to gain non-tropical energy as it transitions into a non-tropical storm. The track through Saturday evening remains well understood by the models: Sandy will move north with a slight turn to the west before being yanked north-northeast again by the approaching mid-latitude trough. It's at this point in the forecast that the models diverge, though all but the HWRF are forecasting the unfortunate turn back to the west and into the Northeast U.S. Furthest south along the East Coast is the ECMWF, which forecasts a turn into Maryland/North Carolina on Monday. The GFS forecast is a bit further north than the ECMWF, pushing Sandy onshore near Long Island late Tuesday night. However, this represents a large shift south from earlier GFS runs, and puts the Mid-Atlantic into play more than it was in earlier forecasts. The forecast from the National Hurricane Center appears to be a compromise between the ECMWF and the GFS. The Center is forecasting Sandy to approach the New Jersey coast on Tuesday afternoon.

There are many questions surrounding this hurricane and its forecast, but I find it important to convey that Sandy's impacts will be widespread, no matter the location of "landfall." Risk to the Mid-Atlantic seems higher this afternoon, and as Jeff noted in his morning blog, Sandy will be a very large and possibly non-tropical storm as it approaches the coast, with gale-force winds extending up to 300 miles from its center. This increases the probability of storm surge extending far from the center of the storm, which, combined with the timing of a full moon tide, is a big concern, along with freshwater and river flooding from heavy, extended periods of rain.

Angela


Figure 2. Today's "extra" 18Z (2pm EDT) weather balloon launched from the Peachtree City office of the National Weather Service. The National Weather Service is launching extra weather balloons all over the country to improve the quality of forecasts as Sandy approaches. Thanks to NWS Meteorologist Alex Gibbs for snapping this shot just before launch!

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i have a cruise, a wedding, a business meeting and a secret rendevouz all for new jersey shore on monday tuesday wednesday and thursday my daughter or son has a cruise , honeymoon, vacation, cub scout meeting in norfolk on tuesday wednesday and next saturday , should i cancel and ask for my money back?
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Quoting barbamz:
Science-Time-Report (with citing our doc)

Frankenstorm: Why Hurricane Sandy Could Be the Perfect Storm, Part II
By Bryan Walsh Oct. 26, 2012
morning all I notice the media using the term frankenstorm. I do believe that phrase was coined here about a week ago from a wu member.
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Seems like the closer Sandy gets to me, in se Florida, the better the weather is getting!!! It was worse Wed. night. Crazy!!!
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985. MahFL
Quoting Doppler22:
OK so in case anyone didnt see... the Weather Channel has expanded its aware area out to Ohio and the alert area has been put in place in much of the mid-atlantic/northeast


Sadly TWC hypes everything. It's always like the end of the world.
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Wind field continuing to get ridiculous. Dropsonde 125 miles northeast of the center has 70 mph surface winds, and given that that's as far as the recon went, and winds were actually higher there than closer, it could be like that 150 miles out.

Meanwhile, Buoy 41047, 330 miles east, has been reporting winds sustained at tropical storm force for several hours, with gusts as high as 58 mph.
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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE SANDY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
613 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SOUTH OF
OREGON INLET...

.NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
MAINLAND DARE...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND HYDE...CRAVEN...PAMLICO...
CARTERET...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE AND OUTER BANKS HYDE.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF OREGON INLET INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND.

PLEASE CHECK THE LATEST PUBLIC AND MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILED
INFORMATION ABOUT ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3N...LONGITUDE 76.9W. THIS WAS ABOUT 580 MILES SOUTH
OF MOREHEAD CITY NC. STORM MOTION WAS NW OR 325 DEGREES AT
13 MPH. STORM INTENSITY WAS 80 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
HURRICANE SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND REMAIN OFFSHORE
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THIS WEEKEND. DESPITE REMAINING
OFFSHORE IT WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ALONG COASTAL NORTH
CAROLINA. MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING AND ROUGH SURF WILL DEVELOP
SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. IN GENERAL...RESIDENTS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR STORM SURGE RESULTING IN INUNDATION OF 3 TO 5
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE SOUTHERN PAMLICO SOUND AND ALONG
THE COAST NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT. WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
OF 50 TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST...OVER THE INLAND
AREAS WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE LIKELY. RAIN
WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES INLAND WITH 4 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE
COAST...LOCAL AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS AMOUNT OF
RAIN WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THERE REMAINS A HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN EXACT WIND AND
SURGE FORECAST VALUES PROVIDED FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS. A GENERAL
CONCERN SHOULD BE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST SOME DAMAGING
WINDS AND MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING LIKELY SOMEWHERE WITHIN
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WATCH...NOW IS THE TIME TO BEGIN PREPARING YOUR
HOME OR BUSINESS ACCORDING TO YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN. LISTEN
FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE READY TO EVACUATE IF NECESSARY. HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY ORDERS THAT ARE
ISSUED.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...IT IS RECOMMENDED
THAT YOU PERFORM THE PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A
BOAT...BEGIN TO SAFELY SECURE YOUR CRAFT AND MAKE PLANS TO LEAVE
IT FOR ADEQUATE LAND BASED SHELTER. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS
FOR OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY AROUND 12 PM EDT...OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.
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For all who've missed this: ECMWF 00z at 96h (loop)
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OK so in case anyone didnt see... the Weather Channel has expanded its aware area out to Ohio and the alert area has been put in place in much of the mid-atlantic/northeast
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Quoting aislinnpaps:


Tell them Mother Nature isn't that easily predictable and they'll have to watch closely and wait and see. If you're a science teacher, might be a fun and educational day to have them try to plot where Sandy might go.
and tightn your hat and lower your head
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WPB!!!
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Quoting Pipewhale:
So... I'm a science teacher in Fayetteville, NC... when the kids start asking me if we're going to have Monday off what should i say?

A) "Nah, no worries"
B) "Eh, Maybe"
C) "hmm... it does keep moving further south in the track..."
D) "Yes, go ahead and make your plans for general mischief now"


I only ask because the cone-of-excitement continues to carve out a bigger part of NC and the center of the track is already Delaware/Maryland.


Tell them Mother Nature isn't that easily predictable and they'll have to watch closely and wait and see. If you're a science teacher, might be a fun and educational day to have them try to plot where Sandy might go.
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6z model UTC ensembles shifted south again MD/VA/DL

http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/al182012.png



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Good morning/evening, all. Woke up to 69 degrees and the high today is forecast to be 64...
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So... I'm a science teacher in Fayetteville, NC... when the kids start asking me if we're going to have Monday off what should i say?

A) "Nah, no worries"
B) "Eh, Maybe"
C) "hmm... it does keep moving further south in the track..."
D) "Yes, go ahead and make your plans for general mischief now"


I only ask because the cone-of-excitement continues to carve out a bigger part of NC and the center of the track is already Delaware/Maryland.
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Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)
Transmitted: 26th day of the month at 10:02Z
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF)
Storm Number & Year: 18L in 2012
Storm Name: Sandy (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 9
Observation Number: 04
A. Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 9:25:26Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 2608'N 7644'W (26.1333N 76.7333W)
B. Center Fix Location: 83 miles (133 km) to the NNE (27) from Nassau, Bahamas.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D & E. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: Not Available
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 40 at 82kts (From the NE at ~ 94.4mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 59 nautical miles (68 statute miles) to the NW (322) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 971mb (28.67 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 11C (52F) at a pressure alt. of 2,444m (8,018ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18C (64F) at a pressure alt. of 2,441m (8,009ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 15C (59F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: Other - Not surface, 1500ft, 925mb (if vortex is newer than about mid 90's; see note for more), 850mb, 700mb, 500mb, 400mb, 300mb or 200mb
O. Fix Determined By: Penetration
O. Fix Level: 1,500 feet
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 82kts (~ 94.4mph) in the northwest quadrant at 9:09:10Z
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
SONDE SPLASH WIND 18 KTS
CENTER SST 27.4C
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Science-Time-Report (with citing our doc)

Frankenstorm: Why Hurricane Sandy Could Be the Perfect Storm, Part II
By Bryan Walsh Oct. 26, 2012
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Mike Bettes ‏@TWCMikeBettes
Live in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, or Midwest & like the fall color? Take photos now! #Sandy will strip all the trees of their leaves.
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Sandy seen from the ISS yesterday.
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NWS Miami ‏@NWSMiami
NOAA NWR WWG 92 Naples is off the air... techs are wrking on the problem... For wx updates visit our website http://www.weather.gov/miami #sofla
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160k winds are common here, we call them a blow
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HH flying readings in the center
09:25:00Z
Coordinates: 26.1167N 76.7167W
Acft. Static Air Press: 752.3 mb (~ 22.22 inHg)
Acft. Geopotential Hgt: 2,308 meters (~ 7,572 feet)
Extrap. Sfc. Press: 977.5 mb (~ 28.87 inHg)
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Very strong wind gusts here in Grand Bahama, nothing crazy but it got me out of bed.
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Quoting Unfriendly:


Hoooood-BRIIIIDGE.

Been there, done that.

Up in Baltimore now.


Baltimore - the city that breeds. I miss that ghetto. Also miss Andy Melson's BBQ. NJ people have no idea what BBQ actually is. Sad. Other than that, it's pretty ip here
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for the tampa bay area today..............
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That water vapor loop makes it look as if it's totally falling apart. Could that happen from the shear?
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Not exactly the most important thing with a 'cane bearing down on the east coast I know, but y'all seen today's xkcd at all? It's about the NHC advisories for Epsilon & Zeta of 2005.
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All times in GMT. Derived from NHC_ATCF data for HurricaneSandy @ 26Oct.6am

TCB-GreatAbaco :: GHB&RSD-Eleuthera :: CAT-CatIsland :: LGI-LongIsland

The bottom dot on the connected lines is where TropicalStormSandy became HurricaneSandy
The southernmost dot on the longes line is H.Sandy's most recently reported ATCF position

The longest line is a straightline projection through H.Sandy's 2 most recent positions to its closest approach (within ~23miles or 37kilometres) to an inhabited coastline (then to the map's top, this time).
26Oct.12am: H.Sandy had been headed for passage 10.9miles(17.5kilometres)ENEast of Eleuthera, then a passage 23.6miles(37.9kilometres)ENEast of ElbowCay (right of MarshHarbour)
(shown by the 2 unlabeled and unconnected dots right of the connected lines)
26Oct.06am: H.Sandy was heading for a 10:30am passage over MarshHarbour,GreatAbaco

If Sandy continues its curvature over the previous 24hours for the rest of Friday, there's gonna be some mighty annoyed Floridians between Titusville(TIX)CapeCanaveral and PalmBeach(PBI).

Click this link to the GreatCircleMapper for a larger map with more info
And the previous mapping for comparison
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2012 Atlantic Hurricane Forecast - Post 399 OracleDeAtlantis 5:06 AM GMT on April 20, 2012

"S" is for Sandy?

If it is, then something else is forecast to happen.

Something big ...


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000
WTNT43 KNHC 260856
TCDAT3

HURRICANE SANDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
500 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

THE STRUCTURE OF SANDY CONTINUES TO EVOLVE...AS SHEAR AND DRY AIR
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER-LOW TO THE SOUTHWEST HAVE DISPLACED MOST
OF THE CONVECTION NORTH OF THE CENTER. AIRCRAFT DATA SHOW THAT
WHILE THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS NOT CHANGED MUCH...THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND WIND FIELD HAVE BROADENED SUBSTANTIALLY. AS A
RESULT...WINDS FROM FLIGHT LEVEL DO NOT APPEAR TO BE MIXING DOWN TO
THE SURFACE VERY EFFICIENTLY...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN
LOWERED TO 70 KT. SANDY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR HURRICANE
STRENGTH FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AFTERWARD...SOME RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS SHOWN AS SANDY INTERACTS WITH A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...GIVEN THAT THE GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE LARGE CYCLONE
DEEPENING OFFSHORE OF THE CAROLINAS AND THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. IT
APPEARS THAT SANDY WILL MAINTAIN SOME TYPE OF WARM SECLUSION
STRUCTURE UNTIL NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD...ALTHOUGH IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT SANDY COULD BECOME POST-TROPICAL A LITTLE SOONER THAN
INDICATED HERE.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325/11. AS
SANDY CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH THE UPPER-LOW IT WILL SLOW DOWN
TODAY AND TONIGHT BEFORE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD ON SATURDAY.
THE NHC TRACK FORECAST IS A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE
THROUGH 36 HOURS AND LIES BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS. LATE IN
THE PERIOD...WHILE ALL OF THE GUIDANCE SHOWS SANDY TURNING
NORTHWESTWARD...THERE CONTINUES TO BE LARGE SPREAD IN THE EXACT
TRACK. THE ECMWF...GFDL...HWRF...AND SOME OF THE HFIP GUIDANCE SHOW
A SHARPER TURN TOWARD THE DELMARVA PENINSULA...WHILE THE GFS AND
UKMET SHOW A WIDER TURN WITH A TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD LONG
ISLAND. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CONTINUES TO LIE BETWEEN THE ECMWF
AND THE TVCA MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS AT DAYS 4 AND 5...AND IS JUST A
LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK. USERS ARE REMINDED TO NOT
FOCUS ON THE DETAILS OF THE TRACK FORECAST LATE IN THE PERIOD...AS
SANDY IS EXPECTED TO BRING IMPACTS TO A LARGE PART OF THE U.S. EAST
COAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

GIVEN THE NEW NHC FORECAST AND THE EXPECTED GROWTH IN THE SIZE OF
THE OUTER WIND FIELD...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA ON THIS ADVISORY.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0900Z 26.3N 76.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 27.2N 77.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 28.3N 77.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 27/1800Z 29.7N 76.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 28/0600Z 31.4N 74.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 29/0600Z 35.5N 72.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 30/0600Z 38.5N 74.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 31/0600Z 40.5N 77.5W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
409 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

ANZ330-335-338-340-350-353-355-270815-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
409 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT THE COASTAL WATERS WILL FEEL
THE IMPACTS OF A DANGEROUS COASTAL STORM LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS INCLUDES THE POTENTIAL FOR STORM FORCE WINDS
ALONG WITH EXTREMELY HIGH SEAS. THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS AND
SEAS WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON THE EXACT TRACK AND EVOLUTION OF
TROPICAL CYCLONE SANDY AS IT INTERACTS WITH A DEEPENING UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE EAST COAST.

PLEASE REFER TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS ON SANDY...AND MONITOR THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECASTS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
500 AM EDT FRI OCT 26 2012

...SANDY PASSING NEAR GREAT ABACO ISLAND...
...WIND FIELD CONTINUING TO EXPAND...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 76.9W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM ESE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES
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NAEFS model at 108 hours,prepare folks.............
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ECMWF loop 00Z ("Euro").
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Coldest cloud tops are really collapsing in that water vapor loop.
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Big IR-loop:
Link to enlarge.
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Recon-mission No 9 with Kermit has started from Tampa.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.