Sandy slams Cuba, intensifies over the Bahamas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:39 PM GMT on October 25, 2012

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Hurricane Sandy shrugged off wind shear of 20 knots and passage over the southeastern tip of Jamaica yesterday afternoon, explosively deepening into a top-end Category 2 hurricane with 110 mph winds. Sandy made landfall in Southeastern Cuba around 1 am EDT this morning near Santiago de Cuba, which experienced sustained winds of 78 mph, gusting to 114 mph. Winds at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba peaked at 58 mph, gusting to 72 mph, at 3 am local time this morning, and the base received 3.51" of rain from Sandy as of 8 am EDT this morning. Punta Lucrecia, Cuba on the north coast of Cuba received 8.42" of rain from Sandy as of 8 am EDT. Cuban state media is reporting that one person was killed on Cuba, and damage was heavy, with thousands of homes damaged or destroyed. Damage was also substantial on Jamaica, where one person was killed, and power was knocked out for 70% of the island's residents. One death has been reported in Haiti due to flooding.

Sandy survived the crossing of Cuba's high mountains with its inner core relatively intact, and is now re-intensifying over the warm waters of the Central Bahama Islands. The latest 9:30 am center fix from the Hurricane Hunters found a central pressure of 965 mb, down 3 mb in 1.5 hours. The eye is intermittently visible on satellite loops, and Sandy appears to be holding its own against the high 30 knots of wind shear affecting it.


Figure 1. Hurricane Sandy approaching landfall in Southeast Cuba as seen by Cuban radar at 10:15 pm EDT Wednesday, October 24, 2012. Image credit: Cuban Institute of Meteorology.


Figure 2. Morning satellite image of Sandy.

Forecast for Sandy
Wind shear is expected to rise to 40 - 55 knots by Friday, as Sandy interacts with a trough of low pressure to its west. The high shear should disrupt Sandy's inner core and reduce the maximum winds. However, the trough will also inject energy into Sandy, and the hurricane's winds will spread out over a wider area of ocean, keeping the storm surge threat high. This large wind field will likely drive a storm surge of 5 - 8 feet in the Bahamas. Sandy will make its closest pass by Nassau around 8 am EDT Friday.

The latest set of 00Z (8 pm EDT) and 06Z (2 am EDT) computer model runs are in substantial agreement for the next 3 days, but Sandy's future is as clear as mud after that. Sandy will continue to punish the Bahamas today and Friday, as it tracks north to north-northwest. Sandy will probably come close enough to the Southeast U.S. on Saturday afternoon to spread heavy rains to the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina. However, the 4 - 6 day computer model forecasts for Sunday - Tuesday diverge widely. The GFS model, which has been one of our two top models for predicting hurricane tracks the past two years, has been very inconsistent with its handling of Sandy. Runs of the GFS model done 6 hours apart, at 8 pm last night and 2 am EDT this morning, were 300 miles apart in their position for Sandy on Tuesday, with the latest run predicting a landfall in Maine on Wednesday morning. On the other hand, the ECMWF model, our other top model for predicting hurricane tracks, has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy. The ECMWF model has Sandy hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon, the same forecast it has had for three consecutive runs. The other models tend to follow one extreme or the other, and NHC is picking a solution somewhere in the middle of these two extremes. An extra set of balloon-borne radiosondes is going to be launched at 2 pm EDT Thursday all across the U.S., which should help this evening's model runs. Extra radiosondes will be launched every 6 hours through Saturday afternoon.


Figure 3. This Maximum Water Depth storm surge image for the Bahamas shows the worst-case inundation scenarios for a Category 2 hurricane with 105 mph winds, as predicted using dozens of runs of NOAA's SLOSH model. For example, if you are inland at an elevation of ten feet above mean sea level, and the combined storm surge and tide (the "storm tide") is fifteen feet at your location, the water depth image will show five feet of inundation. No single storm will be able to cause the level of flooding depicted in this image. Sandy's maximum storm surge may reach levels portrayed in this image for some islands in the Bahamas. See wunderground's storm surge pages for more storm surge info.

The Northeast U.S. scenario
If Sandy makes landfall farther to the north near Maine and Nova Scotia, heavy rains will be the main threat, since the cold waters will weaken the storm significantly before landfall. The trees have fewer leaves farther to the north, which will reduce the amount of tree damage and power failures compared to a more southerly track. However, given that ocean temperatures along the Northeast U.S. coast are about 5°F above average, there will be an unusually large amount of water vapor available to make heavy rain. If the trough of low pressure approaching the East Coast taps into the large reservoir of cold air over Canada and pulls down a significant amount of Arctic air, the potential exists for the unusually moist air from Sandy to collide with this cold air from Canada and unleash the heaviest October rains ever recorded in the Northeast U.S., Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick. This Northeast U.S. scenario would probably cause damages near $100 million dollars.

The mid-Atlantic U.S. scenario
Landfall Monday along the mid-Atlantic coast on Monday, as predicted by the ECMWF and NOGAPS models, would likely be a billion-dollar disaster. In this scenario, Sandy would be able to bring sustained winds near hurricane force over a wide stretch of heavily populated coast, causing massive power outages, as trees still in leaf fall and take out power lines. Sandy is expected to have tropical storm-force winds that extend out more than 300 miles from the center, which will drive a much larger storm surge than its winds would ordinarily suggest. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical tides will be at their peak for the month, increasing potential storm surge flooding. Fresh water flooding from heavy rains would also be a huge concern. Given the ECMWF's consistent handling of Sandy, I believe this mid-Atlantic scenario has a higher probability of occurring than the Northeast U.S. scenario. However, it is likely that the models are overdoing the strength of Sandy at landfall. The models have trouble handling the transition from tropical storm to extratropical storm in these type of situations, and I expect that the 940 mb central pressure of Sandy predicted at landfall Monday in Delaware by the ECMWF model is substantially overdone.

Jeff Masters

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796. popartpete
11:59 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
My community, Seaside Heights, New Jersey, which blog readers may know as the location where 'Jersey Shore' is filmed, is directly in between the current points where the GFS and the Euro are anticipating the center of Sandy will make landfall. There's so many spaghetti models over my area that it's like an Italian restaurant! I hope that The Weather Channel keeps programming focused on Sandy tonight rather than airing some 'show'. That's just SO annoying!
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795. sunlinepr
11:23 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9814
794. Abacosurf
10:53 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
This thing literally stretches from Panama to North Carolina. Incredible

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.h tml
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 367
793. aspectre
10:52 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
681 BahaHurican: It looks like the eye is approaching southern Cat Island, and based on the previously forecast motion should be moving along the eastern coast of that island by now...

IF the most recent NHC.Advisory position was correct, H.Sandy had been moving on the western side of CatIsland(CAT) -- overrunning the southwestern tip and the northern island -- and should now be cruising along east of Eleuthera(ELH,GHB,RSD)

The bottom line marks the 6hour path between the 2 most recent ATCF positions
The top line marks the 3hour path between the most recent ATCF position and the most recent NHC.Advisory position

Considering the hurricane's recent travel curvature, I wouldn't be surprised if the next ATCF position shows Sandy's path passing over easternmost Eleuthera.
Member Since: August 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
792. TomTaylor
10:19 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting 1900hurricane:

I was quite skeptical at first, and still am to a degree, but that is a pretty good model consensus, which is amazing when they are all so low. Oh, and the 12Z GFS went lower than you have listed from what I see.

Guess Maue's graphics for the GFS run at a higher resolution than Huffman's. Interestingly, I've noticed that Huffman's website offers a higher resolution output for the ECMWF, than Maue's (Huffman showed 931mb on the 12z ECMWF, Maue's showed 932).

And yea the model consensus is amazing. Likely overdone, but I have to wonder just how overdone it is with such a strong consensus.
Member Since: August 24, 2010 Posts: 19 Comments: 4357
791. SFLWeatherman
10:16 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
WOW WPB!!!!
Monday Night
Clear. Low of 45F. Breezy. Winds from the NW at 15 to 20 mph.
Member Since: May 23, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4532
790. clickBOOM
10:10 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting BahaHurican:
I've been hearing some reports locally that imply that the wind field is expanding; officials from both Bimini and Grand Bahama have reported TS strength winds and heavy rains in the last couple of hours. The guy from Bimini sounded particularly concerned. I guess the impacts were not expected.

Additionally, reports from Inagua suggest that while they definitely didn't get the worst of Sandy, it was obvious Sandy was still holding its own handily as it came off Cuba. They've been without power since this morning, and a confiscated craft has sunk near the entrance to the boat basin there...


We had a strong squall pass through GB about 30 minutes ago. It did not last long but it packed a good punch.
Member Since: August 24, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 19
789. Thrawst
10:05 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting BahaHurican:
I'm starting to see some 50+ mph gusts here...

Great... power just went out.... from one of those gusts, it seems. :o( Geez... and we are barely in the TS wind zone...

I have battery backup, but I want that to last as long as possible, so I'll get off now.

More later as Sandy progresses...



what are your thoughts on our maximum winds from this storm?
Member Since: July 18, 2010 Posts: 50 Comments: 1894
788. BahaHurican
10:04 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Ok... it just came back on... do you think they were giving us the heads up???

[I better go find my flashlight.... lol]
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22150
787. androsann
9:55 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting BahaHurican:
@ ANDROSANN,

How are u guys faring? With the windfield expanding pretty much as predicted, most of North Andros could get the same kind of winds we get here in Nassau....


We are OK heavy rain squall passing through right now and a little wind, some trees have been reported down earlier but so far we have kept electricity and phones although cable was out most of the day but is back now.

I expect the worst that we will get will happen later this evening/tonight unless there is a significant shift to the west over the next few hours.
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 5
786. WPBHurricane05
9:54 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
This is my forecast for Monday night:

Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Windy, with a northwest wind 30 to 34 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph.
Member Since: July 31, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 8112
785. waterskiman
9:52 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
We are getting some of the strongest winds today so far in Tavernier in the upper keys, 31 gusting to 37 but some gusts I swear are higher, boat is be bopping around in the slip alot more than for Issac got to be wind direction NE right now.
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784. mbo1971
9:52 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
new blog
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782. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:50 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 060 TILL 144


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53866
781. Tazmanian
9:50 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
any ch we could see a massive snow storm for the E cost?
Member Since: May 21, 2006 Posts: 5091 Comments: 115131
780. BahaHurican
9:49 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting Thrawst:
Winds are still pretty unimpressive by west Nassau.. Max winds are probably up near 40mph. Pretty sure once the CDO slides over me, it will significantly increase.

I went in the ocean today with 2 other buddies bodysurfing the waves. There was no current because the bay protected the wind and the beach is not known to have rip currents.

Waves were running 7-10 feet, and the 10 footers were as time went by.

I'll keep you guys informed on when and if the winds start to intensify here.
I'm starting to see some 50+ mph gusts here...

Great... power just went out.... from one of those gusts, it seems. :o( Geez... and we are barely in the TS wind zone...

I have battery backup, but I want that to last as long as possible, so I'll get off now.

More later as Sandy progresses...

Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22150
779. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:49 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 054 TILL 144


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53866
778. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
9:48 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
777. Grothar
9:48 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26156
776. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:48 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 048 TILL 144


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53866
775. Dakster
9:48 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting Grothar:


It is the heaviest so far. The wind is really coming in hard now.


Grothar - are you getting blown hard now?

Winds calmed down here for the moment.
Member Since: March 10, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 10322
774. SavannahStorm
9:45 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Looks like the GFS has been spending too much time around the NAM- 18z run is much tighter to the coast and slower.
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773. MAweatherboy1
9:45 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Latest microwave.

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772. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:44 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 042 TILL 144


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53866
771. Grothar
9:44 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting barbamz:


Hmmmm, watching the cam right now I hope you'll find something left from your lovely beach tomorrow ... Heavy blow is coming in.


It is the heaviest so far. The wind is really coming in hard now.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26156
770. oracle28
9:43 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting CybrTeddy:


Well for one, it's rude and unnecessarily hostile to open up all guns and start claiming someone wants a bad hurricane to hit them.

And for two, I have yet to earn the blog cop badge ;)


But, if someone is claiming a NW heading when it's really North, then isn't that inaccurate and worthy of correction, especially when combined with the other biases?
Member Since: July 25, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 596
769. PalmBeachWeather
9:42 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Getting pretty windy here in Palm Beach county.......Thought I would take down my Christmas decorations.....Hoping I could make it another year.....Guess not, too windy ...Alas
Member Since: October 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 5864
768. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:42 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 036 TILL 144


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53866
767. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:41 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 030 TILL 144


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53866
766. BahaHurican
9:41 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
@ ANDROSANN,

How are u guys faring? With the windfield expanding pretty much as predicted, most of North Andros could get the same kind of winds we get here in Nassau....
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22150
765. testbenchdude
9:41 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Media fatigue has already set in. One of my friends on fb said this: "I already know that I am not interested in either Hurricane Sandy or the "Frankenstorm." Is it OK if I just opt out?"

To which I replied, "Sure. But stock up on supplies just in case. Power could go out. :) "

I'm overseas right now, and I won't be back until after whatever happens happens, but I've been following it enough to know that it's a potential history maker. You don't just get to "opt out" of that.

I might add that said friend lives just SW of Philly...
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764. MAweatherboy1
9:41 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18z GFS is coming in now. 36 hours:

Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7788
763. Tropicsweatherpr
9:40 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
525 PM AST THU OCT 25 2012

PRC001-013-017-027-039-054-055-059-065-073-075-08 1-091-093-101-107-
111-113-115-121-141-145-149-153-252215-
BARCELONETA PR-CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-GUANICA PR-GUAYANILLA PR-
HATILLO PR-JAYUYA PR-JUANA DIAZ PR-LARES PR-MANATI PR-MARICAO PR-
MOROVIS PR-OROCOVIS PR-PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-SABANA GRANDE PR-
UTUADO PR-VEGA BAJA PR-VILLALBA PR-YAUCO PR-ADJUNTAS PR-ARECIBO PR-
CAMUY PR-QUEBRADILLAS PR-
525 PM AST THU OCT 25 2012

AT 520 PM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE
OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING STEADILY EAST
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL PUERTO RICO. THESE SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...BRIEF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND PONDING OF WATER
OR FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND URBAN AREAS AS THEY PROGRESS EASTWARD.

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS AS THEY
MAY BE WASHED OUT. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO
RISE...THEREFORE SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS REPORTED WITH THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

$$



BCS
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762. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:40 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 024 TILL 144


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53866
761. ProgressivePulse
9:40 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
NWS Miami - South Florida
Point Forecast: Jupiter FL
26.94N 80.09W
Last Update: 5:32 pm EDT Oct 25, 2012
Forecast Valid: 6pm EDT Oct 25,

Friday-Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a temperature rising to near 84 by 9am, then falling to around 77 during the remainder of the day. North wind 31 to 36 mph, with gusts as high as 70 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Friday Night - Tropical storm conditions possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Northwest wind 32 to 37 mph, with gusts as high as 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.


WHOAA, wonder why this went up so much for Jupiter?
Member Since: August 19, 2005 Posts: 5 Comments: 5405
760. barbamz
9:39 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting Grothar:


We just took a walk on the beach. The winds are very strong and getting steadier.


Hmmmm, watching the cam right now I hope you'll find something left from your lovely beach tomorrow ... Heavy blow is coming in.
Member Since: October 25, 2008 Posts: 54 Comments: 5954
759. Grothar
9:38 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting RickWPB:

I may have just caught a picture of Gro and his significant other... ;-)



Nice, except I don't have gray hair.:)

P.S. Someone just looked over my shoulder and said some nasty words in German.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 26156
758. SavannahStorm
9:38 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 012 TILL 144




18Z GFS showing a lot closer approach to FL than the previous runs.
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 18 Comments: 2342
757. FSUstormnut
9:37 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Just had gusts up to about 35-40mph in west boynton! very fast quick squall lasted bout 3 minutes or so and already calmed down.
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756. Thrawst
9:37 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting PalmBeachWeather:
Sand blasted?


sandy blasted. :o)
Member Since: July 18, 2010 Posts: 50 Comments: 1894
755. Thrawst
9:36 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Oh, and pressure is down to 995mbs here!
Member Since: July 18, 2010 Posts: 50 Comments: 1894
754. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:36 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 018 TILL 144


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53866
753. PalmBeachWeather
9:36 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting Grothar:


We just took a walk on the beach. The winds are very strong and getting steadier.
Sand blasted?
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752. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:35 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 012 TILL 144


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53866
751. Thrawst
9:35 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Winds are still pretty unimpressive by west Nassau.. Max winds are probably up near 40mph. Pretty sure once the CDO slides over me, it will significantly increase.

I went in the ocean today with 2 other buddies bodysurfing the waves. There was no current because the bay protected the wind and the beach is not known to have rip currents.

Waves were running 7-10 feet, and the 10 footers were as time went by.

I'll keep you guys informed on when and if the winds start to intensify here.
Member Since: July 18, 2010 Posts: 50 Comments: 1894
750. SunriseSteeda
9:35 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting ProgressivePulse:
Officials are still not sure how Sandy will react with this trough tonight. Even with the storm further east SEFL should remain vigilant overnight and tomorrow.

SANDY WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A NORTH DIRECTION ACROSS THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT
WITH THE TROUGH AXIS REMAINING ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO
THE FLORIDA KEYS. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL FROM THIS FEATURE WILL HOW
IT INTERACTS WITH THE TROPICAL SYSTEM AND THE DIURNAL CYCLE OF
ENHANCED CONVECTION OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE GULF STREAM. THE RAPID
REFRESH DOES INDICATE SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY INTENSIFYING AROUND
MIDNIGHT BUT REMAINING OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHEAST COAST AND THIS
TREND WILL NEED TO BARE WATCHING.
(heh heh heh)
Member Since: July 16, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 484
749. AegirsGal
9:34 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Link
Massachusetts Emergency management website, for those in my area.

The Boston news just reported many folks are pulling their sailboats out of the Plymouth Bay in preparation of Sandy's arrival. Also, the Mets up here have been talking about the storm for the past two days, getting the word out.
Member Since: August 2, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 291
748. PalmBeachWeather
9:34 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
Quoting zoomiami:


Suppose to be driving up to Port St. Lucy tomorrow afternoon -- hope the weather gets better. Will check in with you in the morning -- see how the conditions are.
What time zoo.......? I hope to sleep late
Member Since: October 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 5864
747. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:34 PM GMT on October 25, 2012
18Z gfs INIT 25 OCT hr 006 TILL 144


Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53866

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.